summary of management concall attended by our analysts ... · pdf fileashok leyland ltd ......
TRANSCRIPT
Summary of management concall attended by our Analysts post Q3FY18 earnings
Company Name Page Company Name Page
Aegis Logistics Limited …………………………….…..3 4 Deep Industries Ltd……………………………………….. 18
Allcargo Logistics Ltd …………………………………………………….4 Dewan Housing Finance Co. Ltd.…………………………... 18
Apollo Tyres Ltd ………………………………………………..5 Dhanuka Agritech Ltd………………………..……………….. 19
APL Apollo Tubes Limited……………….. 5 Dilip Buildcon Ltd……………………………….………………… 19
Ashoka Buildcon Ltd ……………………………………… 6 Dishman Pharma Ltd…………………………..………………… 20
Ashok Leyland Ltd ……………………………. 6 Drreddy Ltd…………………………………..…………………… 20
Agro Tech Foods Ltd…………………………. 7 Eicher Motors Ltd………………………………….……………. 21
Aurobindo Pharma Ltd………………………………………………………………..7 EID Parry ( India) Ltd………………………………..………… 21
Axis Bank Ltd………………………………………………………..8 Equitas Holding Ltd……………………………………..…….. 22
Bajaj Auto Ltd ……………………………………………... 8 Escorts Ltd…………………………………………...……... 22
Bajaj Corp Ltd……………………………………………….. 9 Federal Bank Ltd……………………………………………..…. 23
Bajaj Finance Ltd……………………………………………………..9 GAIL (India) Ltd…………………………………………………………...23
Biocon Ltd………………………………………………………….10 Gayatri Projects Limited……………………….. 24
Britania Industries Ltd………………………………………...10 Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd……………………... 24
Cadila Healtcare Ltd……………………………………………….11 Godrej Consumer Products Ltd……………………..... 25
Canara Bank………………………………………….. 11 Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd…………………………… 25
Castrol India Limited…………………………….. 12 Granules India Ltd………………………………..….. 26
CEAT Ltd……………………………………………………………………....12 Hindalco ……………………………………………………….… 26
Century Plyboards (India) Ltd…………………………………..13 HDFC Bank Ltd……………………………………………...…….. 27
CholaFin………………………………………………….. 13 Hero MotoCorp Ltd…………………………………………….…27
Cipla Ltd………………………………………………………….. 14 Hindzinc …………………………………………………….... 28
City Union Bank Ltd ……………………………...…………….14 Hindustan Media Ventures Ltd…………………………… 28
Cyient Ltd…………………………..…………………………. 15 Hindustan Unilever Ltd……………………………………..... 29
Dabur India Ltd…………………………….……………… 16 IIFL Holdings Limited………………………….. 29
DBCORP Ltd…………………………………..………………… 16 ICICI BANK LTD……………………………………………………………30
DCB Bank Ltd……………………………………..…………….17 Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd …………………………………..30
DCM Shriram Ltd…………………………………..…………. 17 Indian Bank ……………………………………………………..………….31
Indusind Bank Ltd………………………………………………………………...31
Infosys Ltd…………………………………………………………………...………….4 KEC Ltd………………………………………………………………………….……. 12
Inox Ltd …………………………………………………………………………………5 KNR Constructions Ltd ……………………………………………………………...13
Insecticides (India) Ltd………………………………………….……………...6 KPIT Technologies Ltd………………………………………………… 13
IRB Infrastructure Developers …………………………………………6 Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd……………………………………………...…… 14
Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd ……………………………………………………………7 Larsen & Toubro Infotech Ltd…………………………………..….. 14
Jindal Saw Ltd……………………………………………………………………….8 LIC Housing Finance Ltd………………………………………………………..15
Jkumar Infraprojects Ltd……………………………………………………….8 Lupin Ltd ………………………………………………………………………………..16
JSW Steel Ltd…………………………………………………………… 9 Mahanagar Gas Ltd …………………………………………………………………...16
Jubilant Foodwork Ltd………………………………………………………....10 Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd …………………………………………………………..17
Kalpataru Power Transmission……………………………. 10 Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd…………………….... 17
Karnataka Bank Ltd……………………………………………….. 11 Manpasand Beverages Ltd…………………………………………….. 18
Karur Vysya Bank Limited………………………………… 11 Marico Ltd …………………………………………………………………………....18
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd……………………………………. 12 Maruti Suzuki India Ltd ………………………………………………………....19
ContentsPart 1
Part 2
Page Page
Mindtree Limited………………………………………… 19 Skipper Limited………………………………………… 27
Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd ……………………………….…………………………...20 Sonata Software Ltd ……………………………….……………………………......28
Muthoot Capital Services Ltd…………………………. 20 Subros Limited………………………………………… 29
Orient Bank of Commerce…………………………… 21 Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd………………………….. 29
Parag Milk Foods Ltd……………………………………………………….21 Suven Life Sciences Limited……………………………. 30
PC Jeweller Ltd………………………………………..……. 22 Tata Consultancy Services ……………………………………………….... 30
Persistent Systems Ltd …………………………….……………………………....22 Tata Elxsi Limited…………………………………….. 31
Petronet LNG Ltd ………………………………………………………………...23 Tatasponge…………………………………………...…. 31
PNB Housing Finance Ltd………………………………………………………………..23 Tech Mahindra Ltd ………………………………………………………….... 32
PNC Infratech Ltd ……………………………………………………… 24 TV Motor Company Ltd …………………………………………...…… 32
PVR Limited……………………………………...…………. 24 Ujjivan Financial Services …………………………………………… 33
RBL Bank Ltd …………………………………………………………………………..25 Union Bank of India……………………………………….. 33
Repco Home Finance Ltd…………………………………………...…………………..25 Yes Bank Ltd …………………………………...………………………………….34
Sadbhav Engineering Ltd ……………………………………………………....26 Zensar Technologies Ltd……………………………………………….. 34
State Bank of India…………………………………...………. 26 Zydus Wellness Ltd ………………………………………………….. 35
Shriram Transport Finance Co. Ltd………………………………………….27
ContentsCompany Name Company Name
Company Aegis Logistics Limited
2nd Feb 2018 INDUSTRY Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Anish Chandaria
CFO
Mr. Murad Moledina
Our Analyst in the Call
Aditya Gupta
Company Allcargo Logistics Ltd.
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
14th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
ED & COO
Mr. Prakash Tulsiani
CFO
Mr. Jatin Choskshi
Our Analyst in the Call
Sandip Jabuani
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Kandla 83,000 KL Liquid terminal has commissioned in Q3, and rest of 17,000 KL will be
commissioned in next month.
♦Management expects bigger revenue from Kandla terminal to be reflected from Q4FY18.
♦Haldia liquid terminal has contributed significantly in Q3 volumes and is expected to contribute
majorly in Q4. Both HPCL and BPCL are has strong uptake in Haldia.
♦Mumbai and Pipavav ports are at full capacity utilization.
♦New tenders for sourcing volume are at the advance stage, it may take few more months.
♦Management refrains from giving any capacity utilization at new terminals.
♦Revenue from ACCI Ltd. a JV Company is in line with management strategy.
♦Net debt on consolidated book is Rs.198 Cr
♦Kolkata CFS has commenced commercial operation in January and expect quick ramp up in
operation.
♦Crane utilization is 60% and management expects to improve going ahead.
♦Freight rate will not reduce further but will remain under pressure going ahead.
♦DPD cargo volume has settled down at lower level compared to higher in initial time.
Management expects recovery in CFS business.
♦Lease rental contract for Mundra CWC CFS is over and which will result into saving of Rs.2 Cr
quarterly.
♦Doubtful debtors’ provision of Rs.25 Cr for the first 9MFY18. No need for further provision.
♦Continue to evaluating inorganic opportunity in contract logistic business.
♦Rs.700-1000 Cr of capex requirement over next 3-5 years.
Company Apollo Tyres Ltd.
INDUSTRY Auto Components
6th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CFO
Mr. Gaurav Kumar
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
Company APL Apollo Tubes Limited
INDUSTRY Metals/Mining/Minerals
30th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr.Ashok Gupta
CFO
Mr.Deepak Goyal
Our Analyst in the Call
Sagar Sharma
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Company expects EBITDA to average around Rs.3300-Rs.3400 (Rs.200 up/down depending
on market sentiments) in future.
♦EBITDA margin are expected to improve as customer move from standardized products to
customize products produced through DFT technology.
♦6 lines out of 8 lines of DFT are installed and last 2 lines are expected to be installed by April
2018.
♦Production through DFT currently at around 10-12% of total production and out of that 90% is
standard products with no customization.
♦Shifting of customers from standardized products to customized products would help in
improving EBITDA margin and this shifting would take 2-2.5 years.
♦Company expected to grow at 20% for next 3 years. Company is also focusing on Tier-2 cities.
Replacement (wood and concrete) market main focus area.
♦JV with Japanese company Daiwa Steel Tubes Industries called off because of Daiwa trying to
restrict APL Apollo’s geographical reach and marketing strategies, company said it would not
impact significantly as volume to be sold under agreement would have been around 3% of total
sales.
♦Company’s sales head has resigned due to personal reasons.
♦Order inflows from Nextracker JV. Arrangement between companies is as Nextracker gets
order to set up solar plant APL Apollo will get order for mounting products (Square, rectangle
pipe) through Nextracker.
♦GI volume decreased because shutting down of one galvanizing line for modification and is
expected to be functional in a month.
♦Company transfers increase in steel prices in a week’s timeframe and if increase in price is
significant (10%) then it takes about two weeks.
♦80% of sales through distributors and construction, housing, industrial, solar and transportation
sector being major consumers. Company has no significant plan for capex in near future.
Company keeps raw material inventory of around 45 days.
♦Hungary plant production has reached to 5000 tyres/ day and the management expect to close
the year at 7000 tyres/day.
♦The foundation stone was led for manufacturing facility in Andhra Pradesh on Jan 9, 2018. The
company plans to invest about Rs.2000 crores in the first phase.
♦Currently Chennai plant produces 9000 TBR tyres/day and it will go up by 11500 tyres/day by
the end of 2018. ♦Net Debt to equity stands at 0.25
♦Import of truck radials have come down to 50000 units from its peak of 150000 units per
month. ♦Tax rate is around 30% going ahead.
♦The growth in the passenger car segment will remain flat due to capacity constraints.
♦The management expect raw material prices to incrase in 4QFY18 and 1QFY19. So given the
strong demand situation there is possibility of price increase.
♦Contribution in topline: TBR currently would be about 35% and TBB would be 28%.
♦EBITDA margin of European operations is 12% and Refein margins stands at 5%.
♦Other expenses remain higher on account of higher production volumes and brand spend. The
revenue contribution from truck category increased to 62% from 60%.
Company Ashoka Buildcon Ltd.
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
31st Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CFO
Mr. Paresh C Mehta
MD
Mr. Satish Parakh
Chairman
Mr. Ashok katariya
Our Analyst in the Call
Sandip Jabuani
Company Ashok Leyland Ltd.
INDUSTRY Automobiles
2nd Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman
Mr. Dheeraj G. Hinduja
MD
Mr.Vinod K. Dasari
Finance & CFO
Mr. Gopal Mahadevan
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
Narnolia Securities Ltd
♦The competitors are giving higher discounts to gain market share.
♦Capex guidance of Rs.650 crores for FY18.
♦Price hike of 1-1.5% in January 2018.
♦Due to higher demand for HCVs the industry is facing supply constraints from suppliers.
♦There are 500-600 BS-III vehicles are left to be exported out of 10600-10700 units.
♦Working capital days are 6-8 days.
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Steel prices continue to increase. However the company revises its prices on quarterly basis to
protect its margins.
♦Currently overal market share stands at 33.4%.
♦Initially competitive intensity was high but currently it has come down.
♦Pickup in economic activity post GST, increased mining activity on Sambhalpur , Belgum
project and higher port trafiic one key project led the toll collection and it will likely to continue
for the next quarter.
♦90% land is available for Jharkhand Chaas project and project is moving up.
♦Company is in discussion with strategy partner for bid ToT.
♦Tax rate will be 22-24% in FY19 and increased in FY20 as revenue from 80IA will be reduce.
♦Maintain EBITDA M at 12.5-13% going ahead.
♦Ashoka is qualified for Lucknow-Balia and Nagpur Express way and will bid for the projects.
♦ASHOKA has participated in Rs.16000 Cr worth of projects and expect to win Rs.4000-5000
Cr.
♦Rs.120 Cr of equity requirement for FY19.
♦Payment of Rs.230 Cr suppose to received in December but delayed and which received in
Jan2018.
♦NHAI will not terminate Islampur Bypass project despite the agitation. Company will claim
losses due to time overrun as arbitration claim.
♦The management is confident of 10% volume growth in FY18.
Company Agro Tech Foods Ltd
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
17th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
President & CEO
Mr Sachin Gopal
CFO
Mr. Arijit Datta
Chairman
Mrs. Anna Elizabeth Biehn
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
Company Aurobindo Pharma Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
8th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr. N. Govindarajan
CFO
Mr. Sudhir Singhi
IR
Ms. Deepika Gupta
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦CSD sales is still sluggish but recovering
♦The company plans to added ~3000 distributors in longer term.
♦Tax rate in FY18&FY19: similar to previous year.
♦Tax rate in FY18&FY19: similar to previous year.
♦Kolkata plant is expected to complete by FY20.
♦US business - Injectables: Auropharma expects to attain 30% plus growth in FY18. A guidance
of US$ 180-185mn for FY18.Company is on track to achieve that guidance and expect US$ 50-
55mn for 4QFY18 The growth to come from enhanced volume through supply of injectables
that are in shortage (Tazobactam/Piperacillin and Pantaprazole injection), and launch of
Fondaparinux.
♦Europe formulations: As per the management a growth of 8%-10% on constant currency basis
will be sustained in near future. The growth will be driven by tenders and new product launches.
♦Net debt should be below US$475mn by the end of FY18E on account of the remittance from
Renvela generic sales.
♦R&D spending guidance of 3.6% in FY18 and can scale up to 4.5% of sales, when late stage
phase 3 clinical trials on biosimilar commence in FY19.
♦Effective Tax guidance at 26%-27% in FY18. Tax rate should hold at 25% level on account of
realisation of SEZ investment benefit in FY19.
♦Vancomycin:Delay in the Approval and should come around FY19 as guided earlier by the
end of FY18.
♦Unit 4 and Unit 12 is due for scheduled inspection by USFDA in next few weeks.
♦Modern trade grew by 21% for food business in this quarter.
♦This quarter, ATFL’s food business grew by 28% including all trade channels led by bouncing
back of traditional channels on account of expansion of distribution reach.
♦Presently distributor’s strength of ATFL (as of December 17), is 890, up by 31% from the
previous year same period.
♦Revenue from bag snacks in traditional channel recorded a solid growth of 116%YoY.
♦Food business growth in traditional channel was up by ~45% QoQ which was driven by strong
performance of peanut butter.
♦Present focus of management is to achieve 9% EBITDA margin.
Company Axis Bank Ltd.
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
22nd Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Deputy MD
Mr. V. Srinivasan
Senior Vice President
Mr. Suresh Warrier
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Company Bajaj Auto Ltd.
INDUSTRY Automobiles
5th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
President (FINANCE)
Kevin D'sa
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
♦The management expects 20-21% kind of margin is sustainable.
♦Capex guidance of Rs 250-300 crores every year.
♦Nigeria volumes are back on track and doing around 33000 units per month from earlier 12000-
15000 units. The growth guidance is 10-15% for next 1-2 years.
♦On the 3Ws side volumes to be around 30000 units per month.
♦The Company has around 645 main dealers and 3000 touch points. By June it may reach 700
dealer and 3300 touch points.
♦Management reiterated the 20 bps compression in NIM in FY18. Management continues to
maintain credit cost guidance for FY18 at 220-260 bps and expect it to normalize from 2Q FY19.
♦Out of the total corporate slippages of Rs 2980 Cr, 93% came from accounts rated BB and
below.
♦During the quarter there was no sale to ARC and SR book is at Rs 3000 Cr. Bank does not hold
any contingent provisions in its balance sheet.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Non fund based exposure to BB or below is roughly around Rs 5000 Cr.
♦Bank has exposure of Rs 6070 Cr against RBI’s both list referred to NCLT under IBC. The
total provisioning against these accounts is Rs 4123 Cr. There is no major non-fund based
exposure in these accounts.
♦The loan growth under corporate book was driven by strong demand in working capital loan
from better rated client.
♦Exports target for FY18 is 1.65 units and 10% growth for FY19.
♦CV 3.5 lakh units in FY18 and 5% growth for FY19.
♦Domestic motorcycles average runrate for 200000 units for next 2 quarters.
♦New Discover has potential to do 75000 units per month; but if it touches 45000 units by March
or April then it can touch 75000 units going ahead.
♦The management expects that the cost pressure on steel side will be there but it can be passed
on.
Company Bajaj Corp Ltd
INDUSTRYHousehold & Personal
products
12th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr. Sumit Malhotra
CFO
Mr. V C Nagroi
Promoter
Kushagra Nayan Bajaj
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
Company Bajaj Finance Ltd.
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
2nd Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CEO & MD
Mr. Rajeev Jain
CFO
Mr. Rajesh Viswanathan
COO
Mr. Pankaj Thadani
Our Analyst in the Call
Sweta Padhi
♦Business from Canteen Stores Department (CSD) has declined by 2.7% in this quarter,
however better than previous 2 quarters. Now it recovering but timing of full recovery is still not
clear. Company’s direct reach has gone up as it has added 300 sales representatives.
♦Nomarks has shown a growth of 122% in UP market in Q3FY18 led by distribution expansion
and brand building.Enthused to this, management plans to launch it in other states.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦RBL ties up to increase to 1 million card by Mar 19.
♦Fee income to increase by tie up through 5 insurance businesses.
♦BFL to raise Masala Bond to diversify liability profile.
♦2w & 3w business collection has increased.
♦2500 Cr of NCD to mature next year.
♦Growth in rural market remained weak. For Light Hair Oil(LHO), rural volume growth was
down to 0.5% in this quarter.
♦Opex to stay in the range of 39-40%, though in Q4FY18 it may increase marginally.
♦BHFL will become 16000-18000 Cr in Mar, and 60000-70000 Cr in next 4-5 years.
♦BHFL is present in 160 cities.
♦LAP bucket to remain in 125-160 bps, management is cautious for next 2.5-3 years.
♦Q3FY18's revenue growth is not comparable as sales value last year had been netted of 14% of
VAT, however this year GST rate was 18%.
♦The rural demand is expected to come back in Q1FY19 post the Rabi crop,government
initiatives in terms of MSP and other likely announcements in the upcoming Budget.
♦BAJAJCORP is planning to become well diversified FMCG Company from a Hair Oil based
company. For this, company will launch new product in every quarter and expand its footprint in
different categories.
♦LLP cost is inching up, at current price it is up by 72% while refine mustard oil price declined
by 9%. The company stocked heavily LLP in last quarter which will cover till march 18.
♦If inflation in crude remains at elevated level, company may take price hike in April18.
♦Company’s International business has de grown by 44% YoY due to sluggishness in MENA as
well Nepal business.
Company Biocon Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
25th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chariman & MD
Ms. Kiran Mazumdar Shaw
Head, IR
Mr. Saurabh Paliwal
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company Britania Industries Ltd.
INDUSTRY Food Products
14th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CFO
Mr. Amlan Datta Majumdar
Investor Relations
Mr. B K Guha
Head Supply Chain
Mr. Vinay Singh Kushwaha
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
♦Cash and cash equivalent till date: Rs 1800 cr, Inter corporate deposit: Rs 410 cr(yield on
corporate deposit is little higher than 10%).
♦The company has launched` Pure Magic Deuce’ (first to market product in the country)in
Q3FY18 which is doing very well.
Management has applied for the fiscal benefits of its mega food Park in Ranjangaon,
Maharashtra. Approval is expected in 1-2 months time.
♦Cost saving in FY18 remains Rs 230 cr. For next year, management expects saving more than
previous year.
♦Category growth for this quarter remains single digit.
♦Guwahati (Assam) and Mundra plant are expected to complete in next month.
♦Dairy business is in the validation phase. The company has started procurement of milk from
25000 farmers.
♦New product launches will not have impact on margin.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Capex would remain high for the next 2-3 years (new biological facility + ~USD200mn for
phase 2 expansion of Insulin facility in Bangalore).Maintenance CAPEX will be 100Cr in FY18.
♦Maintained USD200m of revenue guidance from Biologics in FY19E; majority of revenue
contribution will come from emerging markets whereas revenue related to initial supply to
developed markets can come in FY19.
♦Witnessed sluggish sales in API on account of pricing pressure and channel consolidation in
the US which has impacted small molecule business.
♦Management is confident the company’s biosimilars business will bounce back starting from
FY19 in US and Europe.
♦Biocon becomes the first company from India to get its biosimilar approved by the USFDA.
♦Malaysian facility has also received GMP approval from ANVISA for both drug substance and
Drug Product.
♦Company expect growth in other segments to revive from early next fiscal.
♦Expect Syngene to close FY18 by strong Momentum.
♦Biocon will be incurring gross R&D spends ~INR450-500 Cr in FY19 & FY20.
♦Received Insulin Glargine approval in Russia, one of the Top 3 emerging markets, will pave the
way for the drug product launch later this year.
♦Premium biscuit segment and weak states are growing faster.
♦Management will not take any price hike in coming 3 months.
♦In this quarter, company’s direct reach went up to 1.75 mn outlets.
♦Bread segment maintained its momentum and grew by double digit in Q3FY18.
Company Cadila Healthcare Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
8th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
Mr. Pankaj Patel
CFO
Mr. Nitin Parekh
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company CANARA BANK
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
24th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Rakesh Sharma
Our Analyst in the Call
Anu Gupta
[email protected] ♦Credit cost will be tried to restrict below 1%.
♦As on Dec 17 SDR includes 46 cases amounted to 5171 crore, S4A -11 cases 2300 crore and
5/25 -13 cases 6817 crore.
♦NCLT 1 total exposure of 10224 crore and NCLT 2 exposure is 5000 crore.Provisions made is
4827 and 1947 crore respectively.
♦SMA-2 amounts to 14829 crore which includes SDR and S4A numbers.
♦Power sector NPA amounted to Rs 1280 cr which is 4.24%.
♦Standard restructured book-7000 crore.
♦40% of GNPA resolution process is started.
♦Bank has decided to raise QIP of 3500 crore in March18.
♦Plan to divest all 30% or 25% of the share of CANFINHOME for better provisioning.
♦Retail growth is due to 80% of the new customer.
♦Technically write off pool-16.5 crore.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦The Company expects double digit growth for India Business in Q4FY18.
♦Management expects US base business price erosion in single digit in FY18E. For 3QFY18 US
base business price erosion was at 4%.
♦R&D costs are guided to be in the range of 7%
‐
8% in FY18E despite requirements of many
clinical trials of NCE molecules and biosimilar products in regulated markets (Q3FY18 R&D
Expense-6.4%).
♦Management has guided for 22%-27% effective tax rate in FY18E and FY19E due to tax
benefits from newly commissioned facility.
♦Management has guided for capex of Rs1000Cr in FY19 due to expected approvals from
Moraiya and Baddi plant, which would require additional capex.
♦The Vaccine sales are likely to start from FY19 in India. The management expects ~US$200
million vaccine opportunity in the next three to five years mainly from the tender business.
♦The Company expects to launch 10-12 products in 4Q2018 in the US and going forward every
quarter 10-12 product launches.
♦The Company expects to receives approval for gToprol XL (CVS) coming soon.
♦Marginal YoY decline in deposits of 1.26% to improve the efficiency ratio.
♦Although there was growth of 12.5% of advances the risk weighted asset has grown by only
4.05%. RWA to gross advances has come down to 91.27% .This is mainly because of the
realignment of advances.
♦NIM has shown a robust growth of 52.4% due to higher income tax refund of 739 crore during
this quarter. In March 18 NIM is expected to be in the range of 2.45-2.50%.
♦Slippage stood at 2641 crore due to 1 A/c of 678 crore either wise it would be below 2000
crore. It is expected by March 18 to be upgraded or the amount will be recovered.
♦Under 1st list of NPA -12 A/c amounted to Rs 10224 crore and list 2 amounted to Rs 5101
crore.
♦Cash recovery during the quarter amounted to 1527 crore.
Company Castrol India Limited
INDUSTRY Chemicals
7th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Omer Dormen
CFO
Rashmi Joshi
Our Analyst in the Call
Aditya Gupta
Company CEAT Ltd
INDUSTRY Auto Components
2nd Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr.Anant Goenka
CFO
MR. Subba Rao
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
♦The company has added a new model Honda Grazia to its kitty
♦Debt to Equity ratio stands at 0.3:1. The company repaid Rs.230 crores in FY18.
♦ Capacity utilization for new facilities at Nagpur and Halol stand at 60% and 75% respectively.
♦TBR and TBB capacities are running at 100% utilization level since last quarter. The new TBR
facilty to come up in 3QFY19.
♦Capex in FY18 to be Rs.500-600 crores and Rs.1500-1700 crores in FY19 largely towards
capacity expansion. The capex in FY20 would be around Rs.600-800 crores.
♦Castrol India has entered strategic partnership with Renault and to supply lubricants.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Personal mobility and commercial vehicles segment continues to grow in double digit and
management expects that volume will grow at a higher rate than the industry which is 4%.
♦Company has increased price by about 4% in Jan 2018 to pass on the incremental COGS. This
is the second hike in last one year.
♦Increasing crude oil price may impact margins very slightly in next quarter. But majority of the
cost hike will be passed on.
♦Maintenance capex guidance for CY18 is Rs.100 Cr.
♦Advertisement exp. will be in the range of 4-6% in CY18.
♦Management has guided for 100bps rise in market share in replacement market.
♦Management does not see any impact on volume in next 10 years on the advent of electrical
vehicles.
♦The management expects industry to grow at double digit in the current and the next financial
year, considering the strong demand from passenger vehicle and commercial space.
♦Political condition in Brazil and Latin American market has improved and the management
expect these markets to start contributing in the exports revenues in near future.
♦The management expects 5-6% increase in raw material basket in 1QFY19 on sequential basis.
♦The company has not taken any price hike in 3QFY18.
♦Ambernath facility have started production and once the production level reaches to 40% then
it will start contributing to the margins. Till then it will have higher fixed cost and depreciation
on the this facility.
♦Tax rate will be in the range of 32-33% for FY18.
Company Century Plyboards (India) Ltd
INDUSTRY Paper & Forest Products
6th Feb 2018
Management Participants
MD AND CEO
Mr. Sanjay Agarwal
CFO
Mr. Arun Kumar Julasaria
Ex. Director
Mr. Keshav Bhajanka
Our Analyst in the Call
Pramila Lakra
Company
Cholamandalam Investment &
Finance Company Ltd
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
31st Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr.Vellayan Subbiah
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Arul Selvan
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
♦Average ticket size in home equity has declined to Rs 49 Lakh from Rs 50 Lakh.
♦Management does not intend to raise capital in next one year and thinks internal accrual is
sufficient to support growth.
♦Forex loss during the quarter was 8 crores.
♦Estimated completion of door project will be in FY19. (CAPEX is 60 crores).
♦Total CAPEX for FY19 is Rs 156 crores.
♦1 out of 2 expansion lines in Laminate segment has started operations from 21st January 2018.
♦Production of MDF segment in Punjab has started in October 2017 (contributed 11% in top line
in 3QFY18).
♦GST was the trigger of higher sales in 3QFY18 (Reduced to 18% from 28%).
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Expansion plan: 2 MDF Plants will be open in FY19. One is in UP and another is in Assam
(MDF will be out of bamboo) and more new plants planned for FY19.
♦Working capital cycle has improved to 61 days (65days in 2QFY18).
♦Management expects further reduction in NPA in March quarter. Focus is on collection
efficiency. Taking lot of steps to improve NPA in Home Equity portfolio.
♦Home equity branches are 130 and targeting to do it 200 in next 7-8 months. Prime focus is on
geographical expansion.Company has 43 repossessed assets worth Rs 75 Cr which are in the
process of sale. Most of the property is in auction stage.
♦CV industry has improved and if growth sustains then CHOLAFIN will have strong growth
going forward.
♦Management expects incremental cost of fund to increase by 25 bps.
♦Management intends to increase PCR to 40-45% if NPA declines.
♦Movement in Sainik brand will be seen from H2CY18.
Company CIPLA Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
7th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & Global CEO
Mr. Subhanu Saxena
GLOBAL CFO
Mr. Rajesh Garg
HEAD, IR
Mr. Anant Atal
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company City Union Bank Ltd.
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
7th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Dr.N. Kamakodi
CFO & CS
Mr. V Ramesh
Our Analyst in the Call
Anu Gupta
♦Company filed 2 products in Q3FY18 taking the 9months count to 10 filings; expecting to file
10+ products in Q4. The company expects 20 ANDA filings in the US in 2019 and at least one
differentiated product launches every quarter.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Cipla grew ahead in South Africa private market at 11.1% in the private market vs 10.3%
market growth; as per IMS MAT Dec’17.
♦Cipla flagship respiratory product, FPSM, its in Australia is gaining traction; targeting to
increase market share in FY19.
♦Advair trials progressing smoothly, two additional clinical trials in US to begin soon.
♦Company is tapering down its Capital Expenditure. Guided for Rs 850-900 Crore of capex for
FY18 .Till now Rs750Cr Spent.
♦Guided for 8%-9% R&D spending of total sales for FY18 (FY17-7%-7.5%). Ramp-up in R&D
investments is mainly due to certain clinical trial to begin in H2FY18.
♦Focus on building a strong Specialty portfolio for US continues with certain assets in advanced
stages of discussion in Neurology and Respiratory space
♦During Q3FY2018, no account has slipped to NPA and 1 account has completed its 2 years of
restructured standard period to the tune of Rs.430 crore.
♦CASA declined by 3% YoY mainly due to base effect on demonetization period of last year.
♦The bank has provided Rs.67.8 crore during 9MFY 2018 and as at 31st Dec 2017 the total
outstanding provision towards SR is Rs 117.5 crore.
♦Received income of Rs 2.6 crore by sale of PSLC certificate during the quarter.Expects PSLC
opportunity for the future.
♦Credit growth for the FY18-15-18% and for next year-18-20% if the trend goes in the same
level.
♦Increase in term deposit will be seen going forward and Max CD ratio will be 85%.
♦The Bank does not have more than 50 crore in the watchlist.
♦During 9M FY2018, the repayment received from ARC in SR amounted to Rs 4 crore.
Company Cyient Ltd
INDUSTRY Software & Services
18th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Ex Chairman
Mr. BVR Mohan Reddy
MD & CEO
Mr. Krishna Bodanapu
CFO
Mr. Ajay Agarwal
Our analyst in the call
Niharika Ojha
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Tailwinds for EBITDA margin are [1]Utilization has improved,[2]offshore mix revenue is
increasing,[3] hiring of onsite job.
♦The order intake for Cyient has been picking up indicating continued momentum in the next
quarter and beyond. The management is expecting strong order book for DLM business.
♦DLM Growth expected to grow in 4QFY18: DLM performance declined by 23% QoQ to
USD12m in 3QFY18. However, 20% volume growth guidance for DLM was maintained as
orders got pushed into the next quarter. This would result in 80-90% QoQ growth in DLM in
4QFY18
♦Verticals: Growth was broad-based by seven out of eight service units growing in double-digits
YoY. Services business was sanguine, grew by 4.2% QoQ during the quarter despite the typical
seasonal weakness seen in 3QFY18.Aerospace & Defense saw strong growth in 3QFY18 on the
back of growth in non-top customers, new accounts and commencement of work in defense.
Growth in the vertical would continue to be driven by avionics, aftermarket, manufacturing and
defense. Communications: positive momentum will continue in FY18 and beyond. Utilities
and Geospatial: Strong traction was seen in 3Q. Good opportunities in the vertical should
continue translating into healthy traction. Transportation: Strength has been seen in the areas of
rolling stock and signaling. During the quarter, Cyient signed up one larger OEM. Ongoing
strategic projects with the top 5 rail OEMs globally lend confidence of continued strength going
forward.
Outlook for the year FY18
♦For Rangsons, the growth guidance stands at 20%, after it having achieved 39% YoY growth in
FY17.
♦Margins are expected to expand by 50bp led by operational efficiency improvements. DLM is
expected to break-even in terms of profitability.
♦From FY19 onwards, the reduction in ETR due to US tax rate change is expected to be 1%.
♦Outlook for FY18 is strong backed by a strong pipeline and order backlog.
♦Cyient had guided for double-digit growth in the Services business similar to what was
achieved in FY17.
Company Dabur India Ltd.
INDUSTRY
Household & Personal
products
31st Jan2018
Management Participants
CEO
Mr.Sunil Duggal
CFO
Mr. Lalit Malik
Our Analyst
Rajeev Anand
Company DB Corp Ltd.
INDUSTRY Media
18th Jan 2018
Management Participants
Group CFO
Mr. P G Mishra
Deputy MD
Mr. Pawan Agarwal
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
♦Real Estate contribution to total revenue went down from ~10% earlier to 5% in this quarter.
The company is planning to add another 2-3 Lac copies in next quarter.
♦Investment of Rs 25 cr went towards expansion of number of copies largely in Bihar and
Gujarat in Q3FY18. This expense will come down drastically in coming quarters.
♦Categories remained laggard in this quarter were Real Estate (down by 40%), Education
(down by 7%) and electronic (down by 20%).
♦Company has witnessed strong double digit(~15-16%) growth in the month of December till
Jan 18. Real estate and lifestyle has started coming back in the month of December and January.
♦Going forward, management expects stabilization of beverages volume with double digit
growth on account of urban demand recovery.
♦CSD is still under pressure.
♦Do not see much of the Patanjali impact on Oral Care business.
♦The company is ready to lose some margin in food business for the top line growth.
♦Business from Algeria and Yemen to come back in Q4FY18.
Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
♦Margin : The company will maintain margin in Q4FY18 as it has low price inventory. Will take
up prices in line with the inflation numbers, and that would happen early in Q1 of next year
(Q1FY19).
♦Excluding canteen stores sales, growth of Honey remained 40%. Showing signs of recovery.
Trajectory will continue.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Personal application category is highly under penetrated. Its size in ~Rs 100 cr.
♦Execution to drive market share gain going ahead. Management expects double digit growth
from rural market going ahead. Natural space is growing much higher than non-natural.
♦Company is regaining its lost market share in oral care very rapidly in UP.
♦The company has recovered almost entirely lost ground in honey by better products and
pricing.
♦Hair oil entire growth was volume led except coconut oil driven by LUP.
♦The company has added ~600000 copies in its circulation since July 17, up by 12% on high
base. In July,it was 50.4 lac which increased to 56.39 lac copies in December. Management has
been maintaining the momentum and in the month of Jan circulation copies reached to 57 lac.
♦The second phase of Bihar launch has been completed. The company has extended its
presence in all 38 districts of Bihar.
♦Newsprint cost: company envisages 7-8% newsprint cost inflation in FY19.
♦Radio business went down due to de growth of 7%in government advertisement and shift of
some festivals in the second quarter.
Company DCB Bank Ltd.
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
18th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Murali Natarajan
CFO
Mr. Bharat Sampat
Head Marketing & PR
Mr. Gaurav Mehta
Our Analyst in the Call
Anu Gupta
Company DCM Shriram Ltd.
INDUSTRY Diversified
22th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
Mr. Ajay Shriram
Joint MD
Mr. Ajit Shriram
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
♦Mgt is positive on SME growth.
♦Management is hopeful that pricing pressure on sugar will come down from middle of
February.
♦For the Fenesta segment outlook is positive because of the Improvement in the overall
economic scenario and uptick in the Real Estate sector which will enable higher penetration of
UPVC window offerings.
♦As of now the price of sugar price is still hovering between Rs. 33-32.5 / per kg.
♦Company expects to sustain the trend of high capacity utilization (~ 100% capacity utilization)
at Bharuch for chemical Business.
♦Capacity expansion of Chlor-alkali at Kota (84TPD) and Bharuch (146TPD) at an investment
of Rs98Cr. Bharuch expansion is expected to be completed by Q1FY20 and Kota by
Q2FY20.These projects underway- are progressing as per plan.
♦Domestic prices will follow global price trends. The prices of PVC as well as Carbide will be
stable going ahead.
♦The 150 KLD Distillery project at Hariawan unit will be commissioned by end of Jan’18.
♦As on 30th December sugar was valued at Rs. 3350 per quintal and the inventory was 12lakh
quintals.
♦Mgt expects to double loan book in 3-4 years.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Incremental yield on advances-11.25%
♦No sale to ARC in this quarter.
♦Cost to income ratio in this quarter is high due to raise of capital of Rs 5 crore which also
includes rating agency cost.
♦Plan to add 10-15 branches in the coming quarters.
♦There will be delinquency pressure on LAAP. Average ticket is 40-50 lakh.
♦Improvement in Cost of fund will not be seen.
♦Credit cost is maintained at 50-60bps and is aimed to be in this trend.
♦Addition of 800 employees in 1 year.
♦Slippage run rate 2-2.1 % ignoring Rs 15 crore of corporate loan.
♦NIM is expected to be slightly lower.
♦Target for CASA ratio -25%
♦20-21% growth is possible in mortgage loan.
♦Fee income grew due to ATM fee charges.
Company Deep Industries Ltd.
INDUSTRY Energy Equipment & Services
9th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CMD
Mr. Paras Savla
CFO
Mr. Rohan Shah
Our Analyst in the Call
Aditya Gupta
CompanyDewan Housing Finance
Corporation Ltd.
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
23rd Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CEO
Mr. Harshil Mehta
CFO
Mr. Santosh Sharma
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
♦Entire SME portfolio of DHFL is securitized.
♦Management believes securitization and liability structure will help in sustaining NIM.
♦Government has launched first bidding of exploration blocks after 8 years. Govt. has invited
bids for 55 blocks and has received 57 expression of interest for various blocks. Two-thirds of
blocks are onshore. Shortlisted names of the company for award mend of blocks will be declared
by the end of May 2018.
♦Second round of auction for 61 blocks will be offered next year.
♦Deep industry has incorporated a new subsidiary DMCC in Dubai for exploration. Recruitment
of manpower has already started and company is now contacting major vendors in middle-east
countries.
♦Prabha energy deal is working on schedule and drilling is expected to be started in next 2
months i.e from May 2018.
♦Current Order book outstanding is Rs.604 Cr. without adjusting order terminated by ONGC.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Mgt. do not see that ongoing issues with ONGC to impact any business with other oil PSU’s.
♦Mgt. expect that even in worst case if everything goes unfavorable in ONGC case then also
company will be able to diversify its portfolio through oversees projects & its subsidiaries.
♦Management expect a huge orderbook in a month timeframe.
♦Revenue from CBM block is likely to start coming from next fiscal.
♦Targeting Disbursement growth of 27-28% and AUM growth of 22-23% going forward.
♦Affordable housing will be key driver for HFCs.
♦Management is optimistic to continue healthy growth in core home loan segment.
♦Targeting 50-100 bps reduction in C/I ratio over 18-20 months.
♦Margins were dipped in Q3 due to higher repair and maintenance cost which is routine in
nature. Mostly repairs and maintenance occurs in the second half of every year.
♦Management is witnessing real estate price appreciation in the market of Tier 1&2 cities.
♦DHFL is adequately capitalized for 18-20 months growth story and there is no requirement of
capital in near term.
♦Disbursement breakup- Project loan- Rs 1940 Cr, Core home loan- Rs 5755 Cr, LAP -Rs 2325
Cr and SME- Rs 827 Cr.
♦Incremental Yield in LAP is 11.3% and Core home loan is 9.3%.
Company Dhanuka Agritech Ltd.
INDUSTRY Agrochemicals
14th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
Mr.Ram Gopal Agarwal
Joint MD
Mr.Mahendra Kumar Dhanuka
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company Dilip Buildcon Ltd
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
14th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Ex Director & CEO
Mr. Devendra Jain
CFO
Mr.Vaibhav Rawat
Head – Strategy & Planning
Mr. Rohan Suryavanshi
Our Analyst in the Call
Sandip Jabuani
♦Working capital days has gone up during the quarter due to delay in payment receipt and
deferment in mobilization advances due to non declaration of appointment date.
♦Order Inflow in FY19 will be Rs.8000-10000 Cr and revenue growth in FY19 will be 15-20%.
♦Rs.200 Cr was received during the quarter from BoT assets sale; this was utilized for working
capital. Another Rs.200-250 Cr will receive in Q4FY18.
♦Expect bonus of Rs.65-70 Cr in Q4FY18 as CoD on 4 projects will be achieved.
♦Tax rate will be 8/20/33% in FY18/FY19/FY
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦The Company expects FY18 tax rate of around 27% and for FY19 it estimates full tax rate of
28.5-29%.
♦Prices of most RM have increased and the management believes there should not be further
price increases beyond March’18 onwards.
♦Management maintains top line guidance of 10% in FY18.
♦Management is expecting that the Rabi Season will be good especially in south and east India.
♦The company has launched 3 new products in 3QFY18 (Swello,Finoex wheat herbicide and
spectrum fungicide) and plans to launch 1-2 more in 4QFY18.
♦Paddy acreages especially in south India are expected to be higher compared to last year due to
better water availability.
♦Management is looking at 5-6 products launches every year and 1-2 9(3) and 9(4) launches
over the next 3 years.
♦Combination products will also be introduced in the next financial year to control plant
diseases in various crops.
♦Maintain order inflow guidance of Rs.8000 Cr in FY18 with Rs.7000 Cr plus revenue in FY18.
♦Debt as on 31st December 2018 was Rs.3165 Cr and it will reduce to Rs.2600-2700 Cr by the
year end.
♦Appointment date of couple of HAM projects were delay and expect to receive by March.
♦9MFY18 capex was Rs.229 Cr and expect to do Rs.50 Cr in Q4FY18. Capex requirement in
FY19 will be Rs.130-140 Cr.
♦Issued Rs.600 Cr of NCDs during the quarter at coupon rate of 8.09% for the period of 5 years.
Company Dishman Carbogen Amcis Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
25th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CMD
Mr. Janmejay R Vyas
MD & CFO
Mr.Arpit Vyas
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
25th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
President, CFO and Global
Head of IT&BPE
Mr. Saumen Chakraborty
VP Finance
Mr. MV Narasimhan
Chairman
Mr. Satish Reddy
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
♦Annual Tax Rate 23%-25% in FY18 as guided earlier.
♦For R&D expense management has guided for a US$ 300mn spend in FY18E.
♦Company has responded to the queries sent by the regulatory agency on Srikakulam site.
♦Three major limited competition generic opportunities that include copies of Nuvaring,
Suboxone and Copxone 20 mg and 40 mg to drive growth in the coming quarters.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Management guided for 2 further commercial launches in the next 6-9 months.
♦The expansion of development capacities in Carbogen Amics (to be completed by 1QFY19) is
likely to ease constraints (currently 95% utilization), and management expects double-digit
growth in this segment starting FY19E.
♦Management expects a strong 4Q from the India CRAMs segment on the back of higher
commercial sales of niraparib and sales of eprosartan which were pushed from Current to the next
quarter.
♦Company also revealed that the Switzerland facility is likely to undergo a Pre-Approval
Inspection (PAI) in April 2018, as a US based customer has filed an NDA for a CNS drug which
is approaching commercialization.
♦Company has possibly around 15-16 molecules which would essentially turned into a long term
visibility revenue as and when they will be launched.
♦Continue to have healthy order book across all business segments.
♦In Marketable Molecules management expects growth to be flattish for FY18E.
♦Interest expense declined by 4.4% YoY from Rs 13.39 Cr in Q3 FY17 to Rs 12.8Cr in Q3
FY18 driven by conversion of higher cost rupee loans into lower cost foreign currency loans.
♦Management has guided for flat to low single-digit growth on the top-line for FY18E.
♦Dr Reddy's expects US FDA re-inspection of Duvvada oncology injectable formulation facility
near Visakhapatnam plant in next 3-6 months.
♦Generic versions of Aloxi, Alimta, Faslodex, Gleevec, and Jevtana among others are filed from
that facility.
♦In Emerging market the management remains positive on this segment and plans to enter 4-5
new markets in FY19E.
♦Foreign exchange gains of Rs 17.45 Cr recognized in other operating income.
Company Eicher Motors Ltd.
INDUSTRY Automobiles
7th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Siddhartha Lal
CFO
Mr.Lalit Malik
Chairman
Mr. S Sandilya
Our Analyst
Naveen Kumar Dubey
Company EID Parry (India) Ltd.
INDUSTRY Food Products
8th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr. S. Suresh MD
CFO
Mr.V. Suri
Our Analyst in the Call
Pramila Lakra
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles plant is running at 100% capacity.
♦Expected cane crushing for CY18 is 37 MT.
♦Additional cane price in Tamil Nadu and subdued cane crushed in 2QFY18 affected the
profitabilty of Sugar division in 3QFY18.
♦Company has announced a JV with Synthite Industries Ltd, Cochin on 31st Jan,2018, to grow
business as a value-added Algae company. This will set up in Tamil Nadu as a manufacturing
facility with a CAPEX of Rs.40 Crores.
♦Sugar prices has come down heavily because of the expected high production for the country
for the Sugar year 2017-2018.
♦CAPEX for FY2018 is Rs.60 crores.
♦Total debt till 31st Dec 2017 : Long term-636 cr and Short term-92 cr.
♦For CY18, Sugar Division (expected): Opening -4 million tonne, Production- 26-27 million
tonne, Consumption-25-26 MT, Closing-6 MT.
♦Current realization of Sugar is Rs. 32.
♦Market share: (a) in 3.5-5 tonne- 27.6% ; (b) 5-15 tonne- 30.7% ; (c) above 16 tonne- 4.4% ;
(d) bus segment- 14.8%.
♦Bio Pesticides division will be completely shifting to Coromandel International
Ltd.(Subsidiary) on 1st April 2018 for a consideration of Rs.338 crores.
♦Commercial vehicles demand is driven by infrastructure development, mining sector and e-
commerce.
♦The management expects strong growth in 7 out of top cities where it has 2-4% market share.
New upgrades, as well as dealership network expansion, will drive the growth going forward.
♦Price hike of 1% was taken on all 350 cc models from 1st Feb 2018.
♦Total capacity of RE stood at 900000 units.
♦The Company opened six new exclusive stores in the overseas market and the total store count
reaches to 35.
♦The Company will launch 650 cc twins in April 2018 in the European and US market.
Company Equitas holdings Ltd.
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
1st Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
P N Vasudevan
CFO
Ms Srimathy Raghunathan
Our Analyst in the Call
Sweta Padhi
Company Escorts Ltd.
INDUSTRY Automobiles
31st Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CEO-ESCORTS AGRI
MACHINERY
Mr. Ravi MenonCEO-ESCORTS
CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
Mr. Ajay MandahrCEO-RAILWAY PRODUCT
DIVISION
Ms. Dipankar Ghosh
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
♦The pressure on the commodity side continues and the company would take a call based on the
competitive intensity.
The company will be debt free by FY19. The company sold its 2.94% stake of Escort Benefit
Trust for a consideration of Rs.252.4 crores and the sum will be used for acquisitions.
♦Replacement cycle for agri machinery is 7-8 years and for non agri it is 5 years.
♦The company does not expect major changes in gross margins.
♦Electric tractor commercial launch in next 12-18 years.
♦ECE: 14-15% growth for FY19. Margin guidance of 3-4% for FY19 and 7-8% for long term.
♦Railways: Order book of Rs.330 crores and it will be executed over next 12 months. Margin
stands between 14-15%.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Retail TD is 23% of Term Deposit.
♦Opex is going to grow at 15-18%, because of few branch expansions.
♦MFI to become 1/3 rd of the portfolio.
♦MFI Disbursement is 1120 Cr, Total disbursement is 1550 Cr .
♦12000 Cr NIM Premium ac is launched, with portfolio of 170 Cr.
♦Gross yield will decline, Net yield will remain same.
♦Yield on SLR is 6.4, Non SLR is 7.76.
♦Out of 13500 total employee, 3500 are in liability side.
♦Agri Machinery: 15-16% industry growth in FY18. 7-8% growth for FY19.
♦Market share target for next 4-5 years is 14-15%. Currently 15% business comes from new
products and in the next FY the contribution will increase to 30%.
♦Margin guidance of 14-15% for FY19 and beyond that it can sustain over double digit.
♦Industry growth for tractors may be flattish in FY20.
Company Federal Bank Ltd
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
15th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
MR. Shyam Srinivasan
ED & CFO
MR. Mr. Ashutosh Khajuria
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Company GAIL (India) Ltd.
INDUSTRY Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
12th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Director (Finance)
Mr. Subir Purkayastha
ED (Marketing)
Mr. A K Manchanda
ED (F&A)
Mr. R C Gupta
Our Analyst in the Call
Aditya Gupta
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦For unified tariff PNGRB has called for comments from various stakeholders. At current public
consultation is ongoing. It is just matter of time for the decision to be made.
♦Petchem plant PATA-2 has been interrupted due to power supply disruption, management has
guided for both PATA-1&2 to clock 100% utilization in FY19.
♦On Kochi pipeline, all contracts have been awarded and project is expected to complete much
before expectation ie Dec 2018.
♦Market Share in Advances increases to 1.01% up by 6bps Y-o-Y and Market Share in deposits
increases to 0.91% up by 3bps Y-o-Y.
♦Pool of education loan in KERALA has some stress which has slipped into NPA category in
3Q FY18. The slippage was led by loan subsidy sentiment which state Government announced
earlier. The deadline for subsidy is 31st January. Barring slippages from education loan, assets
quality in retail portfolio remained healthy. State Government announced subsidy early in July
2017. However as a proactive measures management had provided provisions in previous
quarter only. Rs 500 Cr is education exposure in Kerala.
♦Security Receipt at book value is Rs 870 Cr of which only Rs 95 Cr has been provided.
Management expects some provisions to occur on SR book as it migrates to further level of
assets classification.
♦GST impact of Rs 50 Cr in Q4 due to un availability of input credit.
♦Most of US volumes placed for CY18; few cargoes to land up in India from March2018.
♦One time provision of Rs 80 Cr for take-or-pay to be paid to one vendor.
♦RBI has done audit related to divergence. Result has not been released yet. Management
doesn’t expect dramatic divergence in the report.
♦Management may announce within two months the strategic investment deal in its NBFC
subsidiary Fedbank Financial Services. Under IDBI Federal value discovering is going on.
♦Focus on strengthening distribution model rather in increasing branch network.
♦Under corporate slippages there were 3 accounts each amounting in the range of Rs 30-35 Cr.
Management expects one account to get upgraded very soon.
Company Gayatri Projects Limited
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
12th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Sandeep Ready
CFO
Mr. P Sreedhar Babu
Our Analyst in the Call
Sandip Jabuani
CompanyGlenmark Pharmaceuticals
Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
9th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Charirman & CEO
Mr.Glenn Mario Saldanha
VP & Head-Corporate
Strategy & IR
Mr. Jason D'Souza
CFO
Mr. Rajesh Desai
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
♦EBITDA margin will remain in range of 15.5-16%.
♦Standalone debt is Rs.2000 Cr.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Currently, 60% land is available and by the year end management expects 100% land
acquisition on Varanasi Projects.
♦On the track to achieve 15% revenue growth of 15% in FY18 with EBITDA margin of 15%.
♦GPL has submitted bid of Rs.6000-7000 Cr
♦Revenue will be 3000-3200 Cr in FY18 and 4500 Cr in FY19.
♦Capex requirement in FY19 is 100 Cr.
♦Average cost of debt is 11%.
♦Company has 188 USFDA filings as on 3QFY18. Till 3QFY18 the company has received
approvals for 130. Out of the 58 pending ANDAs of which~26 are Para IV applications.
♦Pricing Erosion in US base business is expected at double digit ~13% in next five quarters.
♦Company guided R&D Expense for 11.5%-12% of sales in FY18 and 12% of sales in FY19.
♦The management expects improvement in the margin in FY19 and 15%+ revenue growth in ex-
US geographies.
♦The management expects double digit margins with strong growth in LatAm from FY19
onwards due to new launches.
♦ Multiple out-licensing deals is expected in the next 12- 15 months.
CompanyGodrej Comsumer Products
INDUSTRYHousehold & Personal
products
30th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr . Vivek Gambhir
Head finance,India & Saarc
and Investor Relation.
Mr. Sameer Shah
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
COMPANY Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd.
INDUSTRY Construction & Engineering
30th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr.Keld Pedersen
General Manager (Finance &
Accounts)
Mr. Santosh Breed
Our Analyst in the Call
Sandip Jabuani
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦No plans of raising prices in the near term.
♦The company is planning for new launches in Home Insecticide(HI) segment in 6-12 months
horizon.
♦Secondary sales remained higher than the primary sales in this quarter.
♦Indonesian business: Promotional and competitive intensity is still high but management see
gradual improvement in the business. Plans to rejig distribution channels and launch more
innovative products to boost growth.
♦Unorganised channels in India are more resilient. Presently doesn’t see signs of market share
gain from unorganized players.
♦ Management still sees room for margin improvement in Indian as well African business.
♦Higher import of fertilizer drive the bulk volume growth.
♦Liquid volume growth driven by LPG volume.
♦No change in realization across all the business segment.
♦Mgt. is focusing on capacity utilization rather than increasing tariff rate.
♦Growth in Kenya was hampered by election related disruption. Management sees better
traction from Kenya business in FY19.
♦The company will continue to focus on innovation to drive ahead of category growth.
♦The company took price cut in the range of 6-10% in the month of November to pass benefits
of GST to consumers.
♦Recovery in rural is much stronger than urban. Sees better traction from rural market going
ahead.
♦One new line in container business is added in 15th Jan and another one will be added in Feb
2018.
COMPANY Granules India Ltd.
INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals
9th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman & MD
Mr. C Krishna Prasad
CFO
Mr. VVS Murthy
Our Analyst in the Call
Ritika Jalan
Company Hindalco Industries Limited
INDUSTRY Metals/Mining/Minerals
2nd Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD
Mr. Satish Pai
CFO and Whole-time Director
Mr. Praveen Maheswari
Head- Copper Business
Mr. J.C Laddha
Our Analyst in the Call
Sagar Sharma
♦1.5 to 2 million ton Alumina refinery Brownfield expansion at capex of Rs.1300 crore on line.
♦Alumina cost of production increased by Rs.1000 from 2Q to 3QFY18 led by increase in
caustic soda prices and transportation issues.
♦Capex for FY19 expected to be around Rs.1600 crore to Rs.1700 crore led by Utkal expansion
and downstream expansion.
♦ Increase in notified price of coal by 11% effective from Jan 18 will have as impact in coming
quarters.
♦Copper business benefited due to higher volume, Sulfuric acid prices.
♦Lower Tc/Rc & lower DAP volume impacted copper volume.
♦Novelis- Sign of improvement in can demand in Asia & South America. Novelis acquired
operating business in Switzerland worth Euro 200 million.
♦DAP Production impacted because of operational issues and is expected to ramp up in
1QFY19. Increase in volumes of novelis led by 12% increase in automotive shipments.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦The company maintains its 5-year revenue growth guidance (20- 25% CAGR) through the
Omnichem JV.
♦ Company has filed 5ANDA’s till 3QFY18 and plans to file 5 more ANDA’s in 4Q FY18.Out
of 10 filing,6 filling will be from Virginia facility including complex filing and rest filing are
from India.
♦After the ongoing CAPEX Plan, the company do not have any plan for CAPEX for next three-
four year. Guided for maintenance CAPEX of Rs 50Cr in FY19.
♦Management has retained its revenue growth guidance of 15% in FY18.
♦Company didn’t face pricing pressure in US market due to product mix and efficient in pricing.
♦Management has targeted Debt/Equity ratio of 0.8 times in FY18.
♦Expect 20 percent plus as EBITDA Margin and that definitely company expect to maintain.
♦Going Forward tax rate will be 30%-31%.
♦EBITDA increase driven by stable operation & favourable commodity prices in both business
(Aluminium & Copper).
♦ Prepayment of loan and repricing of loans led to reduction in interest expense by Rs.100 crore.
♦Average cost of long term borrowing reduced from 9.25 % in 3QFY17 to 8.76% in 3QFY18.
♦Aluminium business took headwinds by oversupply domestic market and surge in input cost
such as caustic soda and carbon.
♦Provision of Rs.115 crore based on Supreme Court judgment on mining regulation.
♦Company aims to double downstream (VAP) business by next 5 years. Expected 40-50 KT
increase in VAP in FY19.
Company HDFC BANK LTD
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
19th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
MD
Mr. Aditya Puri
CFO
Mr. Shashidhar Jagdishan
DEPUTY MD
Mr. Paresh Sukthankar
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Company Hero Motocorp Ltd.
INDUSTRY Automobiles
6th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chairman
Mr. Brijmohan Lall Munjal
CMD & CEO
Mr. Pawan Munjal
Sr V P & CFO
Ms. Ravi Sud
Our Analyst in the Call
Naveen Kumar Dubey
♦Agriculture is the main contributor in NPA which would be in the range of 5-6% on agri book.
50% of the personal loan and 70% of the credit card is coming from existing customer.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦The commodity prices may go up going ahead.
♦Revenue from spares stood at Rs.960 crores during 3QFY18.
♦Capex guidance of Rs.2500 crores for FY18 and FY19.
♦Inventory level 4-6 weeks
♦ EBITDA margins guidance of 14-15% sustainable in the long run.
♦Price increase of Rs.400 per vehicle was taken from 1st Jan 2018.
♦The management expects double digit growth in FY19.
♦The company will come up with new product in the premium segment motorcycles to further
strengthen its leadership position by gaining market share.
♦The contingent provision of Rs 700 Cr made on this JLF account in previous quarter was no
longer required due to up-gradation of the account. Management has not write back this
provision rather utilized in floating provision, general provision for stress sector and on certain
agri portfolio.
♦Management is seeing market opportunity in both retail and corporate side thus raising capital
to support the growth.
♦GNPA divergence for FY17 was Rs 2051 Cr and NNPA was Rs 1258 Cr. This divergence was
found in recent RBI RBS review under three accounts. RBI communicated the bank to classify
one JLF project loan account worth Rs 1700 Cr as an NPA with effect from March 2016.
However with satisfactory performance of the account during the specified period, JLF decided
to upgrade the account classification to standard as on December 2017. Hence this account was
standard in the book of HDFC BANNK and net effect on NPA was just Rs 294 Cr on this
divergence related issue.
♦Slippages were Rs 4588 Cr including one divergence account, recovery& up-gradation was Rs
3016 Cr and write offs was Rs 1040 Cr.
♦The entire PL provision was on account of specific loan loss.
♦Strong loan growth and fee growth was mainly on account of lower base YoY. There was no
one offs in fee income. Distribution fee is showing strong traction.
♦Credit demand in the system has picked up. Large part of it is coming from retail side.
Corporate is also contributing. Due to increase in market rate and decline liquidity, the
corporate that was raising funds from debt market is now turning towards bank.
♦There was no sale to ARC during the quarter.
Company Hindustan Zinc Ltd
INDUSTRY Metals/Mining/Minerals
18th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CEO
Mr.Sunil Duggal
CFO
Mr. Amitabh Gupta
General Manager, IR
Ms. Preeti Dubey
Associate Manager, IR
Ekta Singh
Our Analyst in the Call
Sagar Sharma
CompanyHindustan Media Ventures
Ltd.
INDUSTRY Media
16th Oct 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Chief Financial Strategist
Mr. Vinay Mittal
DIRECTOR
Mr. Ajay Relan
CFO
Mr. Ajay Jain
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
♦Mined metal production in 3QFY18 up 10% , sequentially at 240kt due to higher ore treatment
and declined YoY by 13% because of decline in overall ore grades due to mine mix and lower
production from Rampura Agucha OC mine.
♦COP for zinc was at Rs.66118 per MT up 14% YoY and 4% QoQ. YoY increase was primarily
on account of 25% increase in prices of metcoke & imported coal.
♦ Lower investment income on account of smaller corpus and lower rate of return.
♦Integrated zinc metal production was 200kt tonnes, 4% higher sequentially and 3% lower YoY.
Integrated lead metal production was 46kt tonnes, 20% higher QoQ and 18% higher
YoY.Integrated silver production was at 132 tonnes , 6% lower QoQ on accumulation of WIP
and up 12% YoY because of higher lead production.
♦Zawar mine achieved mine development of 6555 meters in quarter.
♦Company has done forward sale of 220kt of zinc and 30kt of lead at $3084 and $2148
respectively for the period of January to June 2018. Of this 165kt (150kt of zinc and 15kt of
lead) is for 4QFY18 and remaining for 1QFY19.
♦Production guidance for FY18 remains intact with refined zinc – lead metal of about 95kt,
refined silver metal of over 500MT.
♦Zinc COP for FY18 expected to be in range of $950 to $975 per MT.
♦Capital mine development increased by 55% YoY and was flat QoQ to 9685 meters.
♦Rampura Agucha underground mine achieved the highest ever mine development at 5958
meters. Sindesar Khurd mine achieved mine development at 4527 meters in 3QFY18.
♦Advertising revenue has picked up sharply towards the end of the Q3FY18.
♦Expect faster growth in advertising revenue in the next financial year.
♦Ad revenue grew by 5% (3% from volume and 2% from pricing) led by better performance of
FMCG, Retail and BFSI.
♦Government, real estate and durables remained laggards.
♦Expert Appraisal Committee of MoEF has approved expansion of ore production at Rajpura
Dariba from 0.9 to 1.08 mtpa and at Kayad from 1.0 to 1.2 mtpa.
♦Chanderiya project is progressing as per schedule. Civil construction work is 70% complete
and the project is on track to get commissioned by mid-FY2019.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Sold entire investment in HT Digital Streams Limited resulting in a gain of Rs 15.3 Cr.
♦The company has maintained market share amidst competitive environment.
♦Higher RM cost due to higher newsprint consumption and inflation in commodity prices. IRS
survey report is expected to come out in Jan, 2018.
♦Now witnessing inching up of cover price realization. This quarter, cover price realization
remained lower on account of competitor actions in UP and Bihar.
♦The company is witnessing early signs of inflation in News print prices. It is expected to remain
in the range of 5-10% going ahead.
♦Reported other income of Rs 21 cr in which Rs 15.3 cr was due to sell of entire investment in
HT Digital Streams Limited.
Company
Hindustan Unilever Ltd
INDUSTRYHousehold & Personal
products
17th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
CEO & MD
Mr. Sanjiv Mehta
CFO, ED, Finance & IT
Mr. P. B. Balaji
Our Analyst in the Call
Rajeev Anand
Company IIFL Holdings Limited.
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
2nd Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
Group Chairman
Mr Nirmal Jain
MD
Mr. R. Venkataraman
CFO-India Infoline Finance
Mr. Prabodh Agarwal
Our Analyst in the Call
Sweta Padhi
[email protected] ♦In Home loan segment, NIM will decline going forward.
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Real Estate NPA has risen.
♦AUM of Asset Management Company is 26156 Cr, Domestic is 13494 Cr & International is
12670 Cr.
♦Affordable housing Fund is 860 Cr.
♦20% of increase in disbursement & 10% of portfolio is Affordable Home loans.
♦Bankers to increase 50 bankers in next 6 months.
♦Trade condition is normalizing. Gradual demand recovery is visible in all categories.
♦Input costs continue to inflate primarily due to crude surge.
♦The company has units in Assam and Uttaranchal for which it gets excise duty benefits. Now
fiscal unit refund will be considered as budgetary support and it will be accounted as other
operating income in PL.
♦GST rate reduction: company’s ~50% portfolio was subject to GST rate reduction from 28% to
18%. The company took price reduction in the range of 7-9% across the category in this quarter.
♦The company will keep investing behind the brand that why A&P expenses may be higher. The
company has launched Pureit air purifier in Delhi.
♦LAP has moderate yield compression.
♦Focus is on Construction Finance with 5500 approved small ticket housing project.
♦Management is going to raise securitization numbers to 15-20% range.
♦Incremental Borrowings is 8-8.1%
♦INDULEKHA is doing much better than expected. INDULEKHA is extended to shampoo
category and launched nationally.
♦Oral care has shown signs of green shoots. Rural growth this quarter was better than urban.
♦Company continues to save cost in the range of 6-7% of sales, benefits of which will be
reflected in coming quarters.
Tax rate was down this quarter due to exceptional item. Effective Tax rate for FY18: 30%.
♦20% of home loan disbursement is Swaraj loans.
Company ICIC Bank Ltd.
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
31st Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Chanda Kochhar
Ex. DIRECTOR
Mr. N. S. Kannan
CHAIRMAN
Mr. Mahendra Kumar Sharma
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
CompanyIndiabulls Housing Finance
Ltd.
INDUSTRY Diversified Financial Services
23rd Jan2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
VC & MD
Mr. Gagan Banga
CFO
Mr. Mukesh Garg
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Management guided that slippages for FY18 will be much lower than that of FY17 and focus
will be on recoveries.
♦Slippages breakup- Watchlist slippage was Rs 614 Cr, from restructured book it was Rs 197 Cr
and retail slippages were Rs 790 Cr.
♦ICICI Bank was not required to report divergence under RBI supervision as it was lower than
15%. However management refrained from quantifying any amount.
♦ Bank has exposure of Rs 10000 Cr in the second list referred to NCLT by RBI. Non-fund
based exposure is Rs 1335 Cr. Total provisions on this list is 34% and the remaining provisions
will be done in 4Q FY18. Out of this list, 98% is already NPA in the book of ICICI Bank.
♦Fee income growth was lower during the quarter due to high base effect of demonetization
period. However management expects double digit growth in FY18.
♦Management has guided NIM of 5% and spread of 300-325 bps.
♦Incremental cost of fund is 7.5%.
♦Management highlighted that 27% of incremental home loan sourcing is done through e-home
loan platform.
♦Management sold 10% stake in Oak North to GIC of Singapore at a consideration of Rs 768 Cr
and earned a pre-tax profit of Rs 543 Cr. Management utilized Rs 180 Cr to build counter
cyclical provisions as a prudent measures.
♦Excluding one-off gain from Oak North, PAT registered a growth of 24% YoY.
♦Got approval from RBI to raise Rs 750 million through masala bonds.
♦Disbursement grew by 35% YoY. Composition of home loan disbursement is Rs 7090 Cr, LAP
is Rs 2040 Cr and construction finance is at Rs 3150 Cr.♦The proportion of home loan has increased to 59% and management guided it to rise to 66% till
FY20.
Company INDIAN BANK
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
12th Feb 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr.Kishor Piraji Kharat
Executive Director
M K Bhattacharya
Our Analyst in the Call
Anu Gupta
Company IndusInd Bank Ltd
INDUSTRY Commercial Banks
12th Jan 2018 Q3FY18 EARNING CONFERENCE CALL
Management Participants
MD & CEO
Mr. Romesh Sobti
CFO
Mr. S.V. Zaregaonkar
Our Analyst in the Call
Deepak Kumar
Narnolia Securities Ltd Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
♦Net profit dip by 19% YoY due to provisioning required on investment side.
♦Treasury income was not there because of sale of investment during the quarter. This led to
reduction in the other income by 18% YoY.
♦ROA shrunk to 0.5% due to adverse effect on earnings.
♦Interest reversal amounts to 33 crore in power sector account.
♦Under NCLT 1st list-8 A/c –O/s amount-Rs 2639 crore and 2nd list -10 A/c-O/s amount-Rs
784 crore. Provision required Rs 1980 crore out of which 1816 crore has already been provided
and remaining will be done in Q4FY18.
♦Got approval for rising of capital of Rs. 7000 crore.
♦SMA-2 book is less than 2% of the total gross outstanding amount.
♦Expected advances growth for FY18-19 -20%. Plan for 100-150 branch expansion per year.
♦Slippages were high during the quarter to Rs. 955 crore due to 4 accounts under SDR
amounting to Rs 450 crore .Out of 4 A/c three are from power sector and one from
infrastructure.
♦Slippages are expected to be lesser than FY18 going forward.
♦Average ticket size is around 20-25 lakh.
♦O/s security receipts -2200 crore. Duration of ASS portfolio is 4.5.
♦Added 3 Lakh customers in saving and current account of the bank during the quarter.
♦Disbursement in vehicle finance book grew by 34% YoY. Commercial vehicle disbursement
grew by 39% YoY.
♦Power generation loan book share increases during the quarter because of one account which is
guaranteed by International Bank.
♦Management is seeing recovery in working capital demand.
♦SMA 2 data is well below 1% of the book
♦RBI report on divergence is awaited. RBI has audited at December end and report will come in
4Q somewhere.
♦Under MFI book there has been 99.8% recovery rate in the loans generated from January 2017.
There has been some good recovery in earlier NPA account also.
Narnolia Securities Ltd201 | 2nd Floor | Marble Arch Building | 236B-AJC Bose Road |
Kolkata-700 020 , Ph : 033-40501500
email: [email protected], website
: www.narnolia.com
Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer: This report/message is for the personal information of
the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation
advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any
action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been
furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person in any from. The report/message is based upon publicly
available information, findings of our research wing “East wind” & information that we
consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not
provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change
without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations,
should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that
past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of
any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to
assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates
and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or
otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and
other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned
in this report/message.