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STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF THE ALASKA ECONOMY:

A PERSPECTIVE FROM 1997

by

OLIVER SCOTT GOLDSMITH

Institute of Social and Economic Research University of Alaska Anchorage

3211 Providence Drive Anchorage Alaska 99508

(907)-786-7710

prepared for

ALASKA SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FOUNDATION

AUGUST 1997

STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF THE ALASKA ECONOMY: A PERSPECTIVE FROM 1997

SUMMARY

The structure of the Alaska economy is reflected in the share of personal income and employment attributable to each of the BASIC industrial sectors and other external sources of household purchasing power. We identify twelve activities upon which the size and composition of the Alaska economy depends and trace their growth over time. We can clearly see the ascendance of petroleum - including production, activities supported by taxes and royalties, and the Permanent Fund - as the primary driver of the economy. The federal government role, dominant when Alaska became a state, is still strong, but relatively less important. The statewide contribution from the other private basic industries remains relatively small in comparison to petroleum and the federal government. The increasing importance of support activities, in particular trade and services, is a reflection of the maturation of the economic structure of the state.

THE ECONOMIC BASE MODEL AND THE ECONOMIC "MULTIPLIER"

Although an oversimplification of reality, the economic base model is a useful tool for studying the structure of the Alaska economy. In the economic base model, BASIC activities are the source of economic growth for the regional economy. BASIC activities are those which produce a good or service that brings new money into the regional economy from outside the region. All economic activity within the region supports, directly and indirectly, the BASIC activities.

New money that comes into the state generates economic activity through a process commonly known as the "economic multiplier." When this income is spent either by those businesses directly engaged in BASIC activities for the procurement of goods and services or by Alaskan households with workers in these activities, businesses which sell to the local Alaskan market, known as SUPPORT or NONBASIC activities, are fostered.

For example, a sale of timber to a buyer in the lower 48 provides the revenue to pay wages to lumberjacks and sawmill workers as well as to pay the many businesses such as utilities, trucking firms, and accountants which supply goods and services to the timber camp and sawmill. Both of these infusions of money into the local economy will have additional effects. The timber employees will spend their wages in the local economy at grocery stores, hospitals, banks, utilities, and other SUPPORT businesses. The employees at these businesses in turn will spend their wages at other businesses and the economic activity level initiated by the timber sale will be "multiplied" through this process. The employees of those businesses supplying the timber industry will add their wages to the flow, amplifying the multiplier process. Each dollar will continue to circulate in the economy until it "leaks out," either due to a purchase outside the region or to savings.

ISER (scitec97.wpd) August 1997 Page 1

Structural Analysis of the Alaska Economy

The size of the multiplier effect will vary among the BASIC activities and with the passage of time as the composition of industries within the economy changes. As a consequence, the structure of the economy can be characterized by the composition of the BASIC activities and the size of the economic multiplier. Furthermore, we can characterize change in the structure of the economy by tracing changes in the composition of the BASIC activities and the size of the economic multiplier.

TWELVE BASIC ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES

The commodity-producing industries of petroleum, seafood, mining, timber, and agriculture are the most obvious examples of BASIC activities in Alaska. The vast majority of the sales of each of these industries is made to the Lower 48 or outside the United States. Two private industries providing services - tourism and international transit - sell their services primarily to nonresidents. These industries also constitute BASIC activities since they are also supported by money that flows into Alaska from outside the region.

The federal government is an important source of economic activity in Alaska. Each year the federal government spends billions of dollars in the state in support of its programs, both civilian and military. Like private commodity-producing and export service sales, these expenditures can also be viewed as dollars flowing into Alaska from outside to provide economic activity that would not otherwise occur. (Since Alaskans pay for some of these services through income taxes and other payments, only that portion of federal expenditures that is financed by residents of other states is truly BASIC activity in Alaska.)

There are two other sources of economic activity that represent new money flowing into the Alaska economy and directly augment household purchasing power. First, a portion of the annual earnings of the Alaska Permanent Fund that flows into the state each year is distributed to households as the Permanent Fund Dividend. Second, households receive miscellaneous income in the form of earnings on assets and private pensions.

Finally, both because of its importance and for analytical clarity, we distinguish three sources of petroleum-related economic activity in Alaska. The first is the activity that is generated by petroleum production including exploration, development, transportation, and processing. The second is the activity that is generated by state and local government through the spending of the significant public revenues from petroleum-related activities. The third is the activity generated by Permanent Fund Dividend expenditures.

We assume that all economic activity within Alaska can be attributed to these twelve BASIC activities and use the simple economic base model to allocate total economic activity, measured as the number of jobs and the amount of personal income, among these BASIC activities. There are, of course, other methods which could be used to allocate jobs and income, and we are not implying that the other sectors of the economy are not important to its health and development; but the objective of this analysis is to provide an answer to the question of how many jobs and how much personal income is dependent upon each of the BASIC activities of the economy. For example, how

ISER (scitec97.wpd) August 1997 Page2


many jobs and how much personal income for Alaskans would be lost if the exploration, development, production, transportation, and processing of petroleum were to cease?

The answer to this question obviously involves a large number of assumptions and detailed analysis. Our analysis offers a consistent methodology but is not a detailed historical investigation of each individual industry. A more comprehensive analysis would further refine the attributions we have made, but we feel that the representation of the structure of the economy presented in this report is valid and useful as a description of the economy.

For example, we have defined all federal government activities as two BASIC activities -federal civilian and federal military. In reality, some things the federal government does in Alaska are in support of the private BASIC activities. The services provided by the National Park Service to nonresident tourists might appropriately be attributed to tourism BASIC activity. In addition, federal government agencies such as the Postal Service provide services to Alaskans that they pay for directly. These services should not be included in the BASIC activities of the state to the extent they are paid by resident Alaskans. Federal government expenditures, construction spending, and some categories of nonlabor household income are the most difficult elements of the economy to allocate among the activities.

ATTRIBUTION METHODOLOGY

The number of jobs and the amount of personal income we attribute to each of the twelve BASIC activities is determined by a few simple assumptions. As we have indicated, the size of the economic multiplier for each activity depends upon three links to the rest of the economy. The first is the backward link to private businesses providing inputs to the production of the BASIC activity good or service. We have broadly and loosely defined this link to include capital investment as well as infrastructure provision, even though some of these infrastructure requirements might be publicly funded. We assume that the infrastructure would not be required without the existence of the BASIC activities. The second is the link through the wages and salaries paid to the Alaskan workers producing the good or service. The third is the link to the public sector through the payment of taxes and other revenues to state and local government. Since petroleum provides the bulk of the public revenues collected from the BASIC activities, we explicitly account for this link in only that BASIC activity. (Tables A1 through A6 in the appendix provide more detail on the data and assumptions used in this study.)

Figure 1 summarizes the attribution of employment for one of the BASIC activities - federal military. The 19.63 thousand active duty military personnel comprises the first and largest component of what we have defined as CORE employment in this sector. The CORE additionally consists of .98 thousand construction jobs directly dependent on the annual capital budget of the military in Alaska and 2.28 thousand infrastructure jobs in communications, public utilities, and business services that depend directly on the presence of the military in the state. (These jobs are allocated based upon a set of ratios.) WE use the term CORE to represent these jobs that are directly identifiable with the BASIC sector. There are more jobs in the CORE than the number of



active duty military since the military capital budget directly supports construction workers and the military procurement budget directly supports workers in other industries.

NONCORE employment of 16.32 thousand consists of those jobs in all other sectors of the economy that exist because of the spending of the federal military CORE businesses and federal military CORE workers. These NONCORE jobs consist of portions of the trade, service, finance, construction, transportation, manufacturing, state government, and local government sectors. (Since most NONCORE employment arises from the respending of CORE employment wages and salaries, the NONCORE employment is allocated among the BASIC activities based on the CORE wages of each activity.)

An economic multiplier for federal military can be inferred from the ratio of CORE plus NONCORE jobs to CORE jobs, but since other multipliers can also be derived from other ratios using other measures of the CORE military employment, there is no unique multiplier for this, or any other BASIC activity.

We also do an attribution of total personal income using a slightly more complicated methodology which we summarize for petroleum production in Figure 2. Net CORE personal income consists of four components. The calculation begins with the wages and salaries paid to CORE employees. For petroleum production, we include pipeline transportation employment as well as processing employment. As with federal military we also include wages and salaries associated with construction employment financed by petroleum industry capital spending and the wages and salaries associated with the provision of infrastructure services to the industry.

To the CORE wages and salaries, we add the earnings of the self-employed that are working in these same industries in petroleum-related jobs; for example, in construction and consulting. From this total we net out through a residence adjustment the portion of wages and selfemployment income estimated to be earned by nonresidents. Finally, we add in an estimate of the nonwage income which CORE workers earn. This is primarily earnings on financial assets owned by these workers as well as some transfer income.

The resulting net CORE personal income represents the income of Alaska residents that is directly attributable to petroleum production activities. NONCORE personal income is the income of NONCORE workers providing goods and services to the CORE businesses and employee households.

The methods used in the analysis are further explained in two earlier publications entitled What Makes the Alaska Economy Tick, ISER, December 1991, and Structural Analysis of the Alaska Economy, ISER, January 1994.



OVERVIEW OF SHARES

The CORE jobs and income estimates as well as the shares associated with each of the twelve BASIC activities in 1995 is shown in Figure 3. Jobs are measured in thousands and income in millions of dollars. About one~half of CORE personal income can be identified with the sum of oil rents and federal civilian activities. Oil production and oil rents combined with all federal activities account for almost three-fourths of CORE income. The concentration is not so great in the allocation of CORE jobs.

The total jobs and income estimates as well as the shares associated with each of the twelve BASIC activities is shown in Figure 4. The rankings for total jobs and income are similar to those of CORE jobs and income with one important exception. No CORE jobs are associated with either the Permanent Fund Dividend or miscellaneous income, since those sources of BASIC activity provide purchasing power directly to households without associated employment. The employment associated with these sources of BASIC activity comes entirely from the multiplier effect of the household spending these purchasing power infusions allow.

An historical overview of the evolution of personal income shares is shown in Figure 5 from 1965. The continuing importance of the federal civilian budget is clearly indicated as well as the declining relative importance of the military budget.

Figure 6 summarizes four different measures of the shares of economic activity in 1995. The rank correlation is high among most sources of BASIC activity, but the graph clearly shows that the ratio between total and core jobs varies considerably among BASIC activities. The ratio is the highest for those BASIC activities which bring new money into Alaska that is not dependent upon employment. The Permanent Fund Dividend, miscellaneous income, and the federal civilian budget are the most important sources of dollars that flow directly to households and create jobs when consumer spending subsequently rises.

PRIVATE BASIC ACTIVITIES

The most significant private BASIC industries in Alaska are petroleum, seafood, timber, mining, and tourism. In addition, international transit is a new and rapidly growing sector, and the small agriculture sector could be defined as BASIC, although most of its output is currently sold within Alaska. Figure 7 summarizes the total and share of employment attributable to each of these private BASIC activities while Figure 8 presents the supporting data. Figure 9 shows two more narrowly defined measures of employment in the resource processing industries - employment in production and in processing.

The number of people directly involved in production, processing, and transportation in our private BASIC industries is small (CORE jobs). As indicated above, there are different methods of allocating these numbers. For example, the activities of some federal government forest

ISER (scitec97.wpd) August1997 Page 5


service employees could be attributed either to the timber industry or to the federal government. Different allocations have little effect on our overall conclusions.

The percentage of total statewide employment directly associated with these activities is also quite small. In some small Alaska communities, however, these basic activities are a dominant factor in the economy.

The fastest growing BASIC industries since statehood (1960) have been petroleum and tourism.

Taking into account multiplier effects, the petroleum and seafood industries make the largest contribution to total employment.

Taking into account multiplier effects, the production and processing activities of our most significant private BASIC industries account for about 35 percent of all jobs in the economy.

With the exception of the seafood industry, where processing provides about the same number of jobs as harvesting, extraction is the dominant source of employment in the commodityproducing industries. This pattern has changed little since statehood.

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

The federal government has always played an important role in the Alaska economy as employer, payer of entitlements and other transfers to and on behalf of individuals, resource owner, source of construction dollars, and rulemaker for economic development. We include all activities of the federal government as BASIC in this analysis in spite of the fact that some agencies, like the U.S. Postal Service, are here primarily to serve the resident population. Figure 10 shows how the relative importance of federal government has declined over time, primarily due to the more rapid growth in other sectors of the economy. Figure 11 contains the detail on CORE and total employment over time. (The share of total jobs attributable to the federal government is greater in this study than in previous studies. In The Structural Analysis of the Alaska Economy the share of employment attributable to the federal government in 1990 was calculated to be 30% whereas here it is 35%. The increase is primarily due to the assignment of the federal government as the source of a larger share of transfer income than previously. This reallocation also had the effect of reducing the importance of miscellaneous income as a source of Alaska employment.)

• About 35 percent of all jobs are attributable to federal government spending in the state.

The relative importance of the federal government as a source of employment has fallen sharply since statehood, although the number of jobs has not changed much.



The growth in the number of support jobs associated with federal government spending is partially due to the growth in federal transfer payments that significantly contribute to household purchasing power.

THE SPECIAL ROLE OF PETROLEUM

Considering that about 25 percent of U.S. crude oil production comes from Alaska, the number of oil industry jobs in Alaska is quite small. On the other hand, about 36 percent of Alaska GROSS STATE PRODUCT comes from oil production. (See Alaska Gross State Product, ISER, 1997.) A large portion of petroleum-related activity in Alaska arises not from production, but rather from the public expenditure of the taxes, royalties, and other revenues paid to state and local governments. Oil is the primary source of revenue for the support of the activities of state and local government in Alaska, and without it both would be much smaller. We attribute a large share of state and local government employment to the "economic rents" generated by the petroleum industry and identify it as a second component of the contribution of the petroleum industry to the economy of the state. None of the other BASIC industries generates a comparable stream of public revenues, which is tapped by government.

Oil revenues have also been the source of the Alaska Permanent Fund, which does not directly generate jobs in Alaska but which creates employment when Alaskans spend their annual Permanent Fund Dividends. We include the Permanent Fund Dividend as the third component of the petroleum industry contribution to the economy of the state.

Figure 12 shows the number of and share of jobs from petroleum. Figure 13 shows how those jobs are divided among CORE and total jobs. Figure 14 shows the historical detail for petroleum rents and the Permanent Fund Dividend.

The importance of petroleum production-related jobs jumped when North Slope production began in the 1970s.

The importance of petroleum economic rent-related jobs jumped when the value of North Slope reserves was identified in the late 1960s and increased through the 1970s.

Considering both production-related and economic rent-related jobs, petroleum accounts for nearly 40 percent of all jobs in the Alaska economy and has done so since the mid 1970s. Including the Permanent Fund Dividend, the share is currently 40 percent.

More Alaska jobs are due to the spending of petroleum economic rents than are attributable to the production of petroleum.

The share of jobs attributable to petroleum has declined marginally since the early 1980s.



THE IMPORTANCE OF PERMANENT FUND EARNINGS AND

OTHER INDEPENDENT SOURCES OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME

The Permanent Fund produces annual earnings in excess of one-half billion dollars, which is income to Alaska, and in the form of the Dividend that becomes income to Alaskan households. Another source of income to Alaskan households is miscellaneous income. This consists of both the annual earnings on their assets - stocks and bonds, etc. and private pensions.

Although the Permanent Fund Dividend represents in its entirety new money flowing into the economy, some of the earnings on household assets come to Alaska along with the workers in the BASIC or NONBASIC industries, and these assets would be carried away with those workers if their jobs were lost. Only a portion can be said to be independent of activity levels in those industries. We allocate to miscellaneous income only that share of transfers and earnings that we judge to be independent of the level of employment in the state.

Figure 15 shows the total personal income created in Alaska from these two sources as well as the percent of total income generated by these activities when their multiplier effects are included. Figure 16 shows the historical detail for miscellaneous income.

• The total contribution (including the multiplier effect) to Alaska personal income of the Permanent Fund Dividend is approaching one billion dollars.

• The contribution of other income flows into the state from assets held by households is over $500 million.

• Together 10 percent of Alaska personal income is attributable to these sources.

• The contribution of these sources has significantly increased in importance since statehood.

EMPLOYMENT AND INCOME GROWTH IN ALASKA

NONCORE, or support activity, consists of businesses that provide goods and services to Alaska households and to other Alaska businesses. We can measure NONCORE activity either by employment or income generated in those businesses. As the BASIC sector activities have grown and diversified and consequently become more stable, the NONCORE activities have increased at a rapid pace. Figure 17 shows the historical growth in the NONCORE both in terms of jobs and income. Figure 18 shows how the ratio of NONCORE to CORE employment and income have changed over time.

More than 50 percent of the employment growth since the early 1960s has been the result of oil-related activity. This is clearly demonstrated by Figure 19.



• NONCORE employment comprises about one-half of all jobs in the economy.

NONCORE employment has increased its share of total employment steadily since statehood.

NONCORE personal income comprises less than one-half of total personal income in the economy.

NONCORE personal income increased as a share of total personal income in the first decade of statehood and has subsequently fluctuated in a range between 60 percent and 80 percent of CORE personal income.

COMPARISON OF DIFFERENT MEASURES OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

The contribution of any activity to the state economy can be measured in terms of jobs, wages, total personal income (wages, profits, etc.), or value added (total income to households, businesses, and governments). Different measures may result in different rankings of the contribution of a particular activity. Furthermore, we can measure either the direct contribution or the total contribution. The direct contribution is the activity that is required to produce the good or service. The total contribution adds to that the multiplier effect as income entering the economy is respent and creates jobs and income in businesses serving the Alaska economy. The importance of an activity as measured by its direct contribution may differ from its importance measured by its total contribution. We have used the concepts of CORE and NONCORE in this study to measure the direct and total contribution of various BASIC activities to the economy.

• Petroleum, seafood, and the federal government are the most important BASIC activities by any measure.

Tourism, timber, mining, and international transit form a second tier of BASIC activities in terms of contribution to total economic activity.

Although no employment is directly attributable to either the Permanent Fund dividend or other independent sources of household purchasing power (earnings of household assets and federal transfers), both activities generate significant employment and income through the multiplier.


ISERAT UAA

Figure 1.

EMPLOYMENT ATTRIBUTABLE TO ACTIVE DUTY MILITARY: 1995

19.63 (50.1 %) ACTIVE DUTY

2.28 (5.8%) INFRA

0.98 (2.5%) CONST

16.32 (41.6%) NON-CORE

08/20/97 04:59 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 2. Part 1. ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ATTRIBUTABLE TO

PETROLEUM PRODUCTION

PERSONAL INCOME :======= ==:===== ======== =:::====== =:::=::::==== ======== ======== ======== ======== :;:::::;:::::::::::::::::::::: ======== ======== IN MILLIONS OF$ 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972

==== ======= ============:::==== ::;::;::;::;;:;;::::::::; ___ ::;::;: ===----- -:::::;::::::==- -----=== :::::::::::::=--- -======= -----=== ====---- -===::==- ------== ::::::-::==--- -======== ====--==

NET CORE PERSONAL INCOME

CORE WAGES

PRODUCTION PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION PROCESSING

FACILITIES CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE CONSTRUCTION OTHER CONSTRUCTION INFRASTRUCTURE

CORE PROPRIETOR EARNINGS

RESIDENCE ADJUSTMENT

CORE EMPLOYEE NON-WAGE INCOME (A)

NON-CORE INCOME

TOT AL ( CORE + NON-CORE )

(A) NON WAGE INCOME CONSISTS OF DIVIDENDS INTEREST RENT,

TRANSFERS, AND OTHER LABOR INCOME NET OF SOCIAL SECURITY PAYMENTS.

ISERATUAA

$8.2 $9.8

$6.8 $8.1

$5.8 $6.9 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.3 $0.4 $0.7 $0.8

$1.4 $1.6

($0.7) ($0.8)

$0.7 $0.9

$3.3 $4.1

$11.6 $13.9

$10.9 $11.8 $11.2

$9.0 $9.6 $9.2

$7.7 $8.3 $8.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.4 $0.5 $0.5 $0.8 $0.8 $0.8

$1.7 $1.8 $1.5

($0.9) ($1.0) ($0.9)

$1.1 $1.3 $1.4

$4.1 $4.8 $4.6

$15.0 $16.6 $15.8

08/21/97 05:33 PM

$17.1 $29.4 $42.2 $65.4 $57.6 $48.5 $42.4

$14.0 $26.6 $38.6 $60.4 $53.2 $44.4 $39.1

$12.0 $23.1 $33.4 $51.8 $45.9 $37.6 $33.2 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.4 $0.6 $0.8 $0.7

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.7 $1.3 $1.8 $2.9 $2.5 $2.1 $1.8 $1.2 $2.3 $3.5 $5.3 $4.3 $4.0 $3.4

$2.4 $1.7 $2.2 $3.3 $2.7 $2.4 $2.3

($1.4) ($2.7) ($4.0) ($6.2) ($5.4) ($4.5) ($4.0)

$2.1 $3.7 $5.3 $8.0 $7.1 $6.2 $5.0

$7.3 $14.3 $21.1 $38.2 $36.9 $29.7 $25.8

$24.3 $43.7 $63.3 $103.6 $94.4 $78.1 $68.2

AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 2. Part 2.

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ATTRIBUTABLE TO


PERSONAL INCOME ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== =====:== ::::======= ======== ========

IN MILLIONS OF$ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 ==== ======= =-=========----== :::::-:::::::=------=== ====---- -====--- -----=== ===----- -=====-= -----=== ::;;::::;::;: ____ -======== ------== =====--- -======= :::::::::::::::::::==


CORE WAGES






NON-CORE INCOME

TOT AL ( CORE + NON-CORE )



ISERATUAA

$40.9 $204.8

$37.8 $206.9

$32.4 $58.6 $0.0 $0.0 $0.7 $0.7

$0.0 $4.6 $0.0 $133.5 $1.7 $3.1 $3.1 $6.5

$2.0 $12.7

($3.9) ($40.9)

$4.9 $26.0

$21.0 $117.2

$61.9 $322.0

$778.4 $1,168.0 $627.4

$832.4 $1,226.8 $642.3

$97.9 $115.7 $167.9 $0.0 $0.0 $13.4 $1.1 $1.4 $2.1

$18.1 $102.8 $83.0 $685.3 $967.4 $325.5

$5.0 $5.9 $9.1 $25.1 $33.6 $41.4

$28.8 $32.3 $31.5

($168.3) ($236.8) ($152.5)

$85.5 $145.7 $106.1

$357.7 $470.0 $427.3

$1,136.0 $1,638.0 $1,054.7

08121197 05:33 PM

$347.2 $350.3 $447.9 $691.2 $788.1 $848.8 $839.5

$359.3 $319.1 $409.0 $633.6 $721.3 $751.9 $725.5

$202.7 $216.5 $280.8 $392.8 $413.0 $406.4 $454.5 $26.3 $27.2 $29.8 $33.6 $35.8 $35.7 $32.1

$3.5 $3.8 $5.1 $4.2 $3.9 $4.7 $5.2

$77.3 $23.7 $31.9 $119.5 $175.6 $216.0 $138.4 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$10.5 $11.3 $14.5 $19.2 $19.8 $18.3 $18.9 $39.1 $36.7 $46.9 $64.3 $73.3 $70.8 $76.4

$22.6 $19.4 $21.4 $35.1 $41.8 $59.4 $67.8

($94.6) ($33.7) ($43.2) ($70.3) ($81.9) ($86.9) ($80.4)

$59.9 $45.5 $60.7 $92.8 $106.9 $124.4 $126.7

$267.7 $256.8 $319.4 $431.6 $485.7 $584.4 $630.7

$614.9 $607.0 $767.3 $1,122.9 $1,273.8 $1,433.2 $1,470.3

AIDIMP8.WK4

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ATTRIBUTABLE TO


PERSONAL INCOME IN MILLIONS OF$


CORE WAGES






NON-CORE INCOME

TOTAL (CORE+ NON-CORE)

1985

$843.8

$730.2

$524.0 $29.3

$5.7

$73.0 $0.0

$20.0 $78.3

$61.8

($77.7)

$129.5

$588.3

$1,432.1

Figure 2. Part 3.

1986 1987 1988 1989

$841.8 $733.2 $738.3 $838.4

$715.9 $630.4 $645.2 $743.8

$542.4 $500.5 $530.3 $577.3 $25.9 $24.3 $26.1 $29.4

$6.1 $6.6 $7.3 $8.9

$53.3 $19.8 $14.6 $12.7 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$19.0 $18.0 $19.8 $21.8 $69.2 $61.1 $47.1 $93.7

$68.5 $52.0 $47.8 $44.0

($75.2) ($64.9) ($66.2) ($76.1)

$132.6 $115.8 $111.6 $126.7

$521.0 $414.3 $403.7 $443.3

$1,362.8 $1,147.6 $1,142.0 $1,281.7

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

$927.7 $990.5 $961.1 $949.0 $1,021.3 $1,006.9

$820.7 $887.1 $848.9 $834.3 $881.9 $866.8

$669.4 $719.6 $686.2 $666.9 $692.6 $671.9 $35.0 $43.1 $48.9 $47.1 $49.2 $48.7

$9.3 $9.6 $9.5 $9.5 $9.3 $9.8

$12.4 $12.4 $9.8 $12.7 $26.5 $36.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$25.6 $25.4 $22.8 $23.1 $24.6 $22.7 $69.1 $76.9 $71.6 $75.1 $79.7 $77.7

$46.4 $49.8 $45.4 $46.1 $58.2 $57.3

($84.0) ($90.6) ($86.5) ($85.2) ($90.7) ($89.6)

$144.6 $144.2 $153.4 $153.8 $172.0 $172.4

$523.6 $555.6 $543.4 $552.9 $626.1 $647.0

$1,451.3 $1,546.0 $1,504.5 $1,501.8 $1,647.3 $1,653.9

==== ===;::===============::::==-= ============== ====-=== ======== ====---- ======== ======== =-====== ======== =====::::== ======== ======== =====:::==



ISERAT UAA 08/21/97 05:33 PM AID1MP8.WK4

1995 CORE JOBS 143.26 100.0%

OIL RENTS 37.77 26.4% FEDERAL MILITARY 22.90 16.0% FEDERAL CIVILIAN 22.61 15.8% SEAFOOD 21.66 15.1% TOURISM 15.03 10.5% OIL PRODUCTION 14.41 10.1% TIMBER 4.34 3.0% MINING 2.19 1.5% WORLD TRANSIT 2.17 1.5% AGRICULTURE 0.20 0.1%

MISC INCOME 0.00 0.0% PERMANENT FUND 0.00 0.0%

/ SHARE OF CORE JOBS 19~

15.8% FEDERAL CIVILIAN ., 9 s~ ~6Yi.r~!Ws1T 1.5% MINING

3.0% TIMBER

10.5% TOURISM

Figure 3.

1995 CORE INCOME $3,820.6 100.0%

FEDERAL CIVILIAN $2,409.9 27.6% OIL RENTS $2,090.3 23.9% OIL PRODUCTION $1,006.9 11.5% FEDERAL MILITARY $877.7 10.1% SEAFOOD $646.4 7.4% PERMANENT FUND $531.9 6.1% TOURISM $416.1 4.8% MISC INCOME $341.7 3.9% TIMBER $155.3 1.8% MINING $152.3 1.7% WORLD TRANSIT $98.2 1.1% AGRICULTURE $6.3 0.1%

lsHARfoi= coRE 1N~co~E 19951

11.5% OIL PRODUCTION

27.6% FEDERAL CIVILIAN

q:1% ~f&Lf~IT 1.7% MINING

·:::;:,;~ 1.8% TIMBER

3.9% MISC INCOME

7.4% SEAFOOD

ISERATUAA 08/21/97 05:31 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 4.

1995 TOTAL JOBS 305.65 100%

OIL RENTS 76.64 25.1% FEDERAL CIVILIAN 67.42 22.1% FEDERAL MILITARY 39.22 12.8% SEAFOOD 33.68 11.0% OIL PRODUCTION 33.13 10.8% TOURISM 22.76 7.4% PERMANENT FUND 9.89 3.2% TIMBER 7.23 2.4% MISC INCOME 6.35 2.1% MINING 5.02 1.6% WORLD TRANSIT 4.00 1.3% AGRICULTURE 0.31 0.1%

I SHARE OF TOT AL JOBS 1995 i

12.8% FEDERAL MILITARY

9J~ ~Et,JLf~AW°slT ....... ·.········~ 1.6% MINING ··.•s::::,<,:,j 2.1 % MISC INCOME

10.8% OIL PRODUCTION

1995 TOTAL INCOME $14,343.8 100.0%

FEDERAL CIVILIAN $3,958.2 27.6% OIL RENTS $3,433.3 23.9% OIL PRODUCTION $1,653.9 11.5% FEDERAL MILITARY $1,441.6 10.1% SEAFOOD $1,061.7 7.4% PERMANENT FUND $873.6 6.1% TOURISM $683.4 4.8% MISC INCOME $561.2 3.9% TIMBER $255.1 1.8% MINING $250.2 1.7% WORLD TRANSIT $161.2 1.1% AGRICULTURE $10.4 0.1%

[SHARE OF TOTAL INCO~E 1995 I 27 6% FEDERAL CIVILIAN

11.5% OIL PRODUCTION 3.9% MISC INCOME

7.4% SEAFOOD


Figure 5.

SHARES OF ALASKA PERSONAL INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO SECTOR

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 ------------------------------------------

OIL PRODUCTION 1.8% 6.2% 30.5% 13.7% 14.3% 12.6% 11.5% OIL RENTS 12.5% 12.2% 15.5% 23.3% 29.3% 22.5% 23.9% PERMANENT FUND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 6.4% 6.1%

SEAFOOD 8.2% 8.6% 5.6% 9.5% 6.7% 9.7% 7.4% TIMBER 5.0% 4.5% 3.1% 4.1% 2.3% 2.8% 1.8% MINING 3.5% 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7%

TOURISM 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.8% 4.8% FEDERAL CIVILIAN 33.0% 31.7% 24.3% 26.2% 22.7% 24.1% 27.6% FEDERAL MILITARY 32.8% 31.3% 16.0% 14.5% 11.5% 11.9% 10.1%

INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% AGRICULTURE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9%

** k-lt. * * *** *** * ** *** ** * ** * .. * * * * ****** * *** *** *** ********* * **** **** ------------------------------------------

% OF ALAs~;~:!iT~~~~~~:i~~BUTED-To~ 1 30% [

25% ~ 20% \ :: 15% ::

it -10% ::

0%

SEAFOOD TIMBER MINING

,- - ' i lillll1965 !

!I [:;:J1970 I ~1975 !

' CJ 1980 j

l!8319851

[]1990 !

lillll1995J

-- ·-· ---- -- -- - 1 !

'o/~OF~ALASKA PERSONAL INCOME ATTRIBUTED TO:i L~~><•uuJo•n••"••UU•"-"•••-'•H•••••••••u•,.••••••.,._,.,,,.,o,uoou.wo,.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,o,,,,,,,,,,,.,,.,;

30% ·=

25% :: :;

20% t 15% :'

10% :'

i~5% ~ II: @\• 0% , -~iti:m:W TOURISM FED CIV MILITARY

-----~---- --· ------------- -·---·-· ·-----~----

1;1965 1,=:=l 1970

I

~1975

[J 1980

, ru 1985 i i l:'.:11990

1.l,'$1995.

_j

30% t'-

25% ~ J ::: I ,~ . ' _,· ,ill 10% r . ;::m-

> ··i ' ' . 5% F. ~'% JI o,d" l_l

l'<'l 1965

l:':l1970

S>'l1975

=~Eff,J ~)if: PRODUCTION RENTS PERMANENT FUND

. - - ----- _" ____ ----~----- -:-:-1 1% OF ALASKA PERSONAL INCOME ATTRIBUTED TOj l•••••aa•••••••••••••••uooo••••••Uo>.OOOOOOHHOHHHU-ou,oo••••••noou,Hn,ouo~•••I~.U'"-"""'''_...,,.,,,..,,.....,,*",

.. ---------1

I I ru 19651

\

. I;!;'] 197011

m1975 I

- :,;@'J!Cm $::.~'-•--- 1 it~im!w -__ fflJZ_---eill_ ___ !:l!ditl

INTER TRANSIT AGRI MISC INCOME

- ----- -- ~----~

INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC RESEARCH 08/13/97 10:01 AM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 6.

PROPORTIONS OF TOTAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY 1995

CORE/ TOTAL CORE TOTAL TRANSFER INCOME JOBS JOBS INCOME

OIL PRODUCTION 11.5% 11.5% 10.1% 10.8% OIL RENTS 23.9% 23.9% 26.4% 25.1% PERMANENT FUND 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 3.2% SEAFOOD 7.4% 7.4% 15.1% 11.0% TIMBER 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 2.4% MINING 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% TOURISM 4.8% 4.8% 10.5% 7.4% AGRICULTURE 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% FEDERAL CIVILIAN 27.6% 27.6% 15.8% 22.1% FEDERAL MILITARY 10.1% 10.1% 16.0% 12.8% INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 2.1%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

---------------------------~---·----------------~---- -----------------------------~

~ROPORTIONS OF TOTAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY:19951 30%

20%

10%

I

0% _f~:',::~1sLlll_j:1]_J OIL PRODUCTION PERMANENT FUND TIMBER TOURISM FEDERAL CIVILIAN INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT

OIL RENTS SEAFOOD MINING AGRICULTURE FEDERAL MILITARY MISCELLANEOUS INCOME

INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC RESEARCH 08/13/97 10:04 AM AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 7.

- I

PRIVATE BASIC INDUSTRIES CUMULATIVE EMPLOYMENT

0 ~ 60 ~-~------~------~------(/")

:::i 0 I 40 -c 1-z

!'::-: ~ 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

YEAR

I~ .. OIL PRODUCTION ffil SEAFOOD ITT'{ TOURISM J I DTIMBER m MINING [ =~~=~~= =~w===~mm,===-~=

50%

40% I-d] 30% u tfJ 20% 0..

10%

0% 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

[l WMINING .. !:::',=HIMBER ruiTOURISM ._J ... ~ SEAFOOD ir:'l OIL PRODUCTION

~v: .....-~ .................. -..._ ............................. ..,.. ...... ......,..,....,.,,................,..,....._....,....,.,....,.m,m,~......v,,.w

INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMI08RE3t11l:7ARIDl:-£4 AM A1D1MP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 1.

OIL PRODUCTION

SHARE CORE TOTAL RATIO OF ALL JOBS JOBS JOBS

----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 0.73 1.20 1.6 1.3%

62 0.83 1.39 1.7 1.4%

63 0.90 1.44 1.6 1.4% 64 0.92 1.49 1.6 1.4% 65 0.81 1.35 1.7 1.2% 66 1.15 1.96 1.7 1.7%

67 1.96 3.45 1.8 2.9% 68 2.65 4.80 1.8 4.0%

69 4.03 7.43 1.8 5.8% 70 3.32 6.52 2.0 4.9% 71 2.72 5.20 1.9 3.8%

72 2.31 4.43 1.9 3.1% 73 2.14 3.84 1.8 2.6% 74 7.28 15.87 2.2 9.6% 75 20.70 47.36 2.3 23.7% 76 24.40 58.20 2.4 27.7% 77 15.35 37.04 2.4 18.2% 78 10.23 23.01 2.2 11.3% 79 9.34 21.41 2.3 10.3% 80 10.59 24.18 2.3 11.5% 81 14.59 32.40 2.2 14.3% 82 15.38 33.89 2.2 14.0% 83 15.66 36.44 2.3 14.2% 84 15.21 36.47 2.4 13.6% 85 15.34 34.98 2.3 12.7% 86 14.42 31.84 2.2 12.1% 87 12.90 27.15 2.1 10.7% 88 12.96 27.23 2.1 10.5% 89 14.22 29.69 2.1 10.9% 90 15.53 33.04 2.1 11.7% 91 16.21 34.62 2.1 11.9% 92 14.57 31.65 2.2 10.7% 93 14.26 31.10 2.2 10.3% 94 15.04 33.50 2.2 11.0% 95 14.41 33.13 2.3 10.8%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISERATUM 08/20/97 04:50 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 2.

SEAFOOD


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 7.46 9.81 1.3 10.3% 62 7.57 10.04 1.3 10.3% 63 7.38 9.47 1.3 9.4% 64 7.60 9.71 1.3 9.4% 65 8.05 10.57 1.3 9.6% 66 8.81 11.49 1.3 10.2% 67 7.51 10.33 1.4 8.8% 68 8.16 11.27 1.4 9.3% 69 7.62 10.69 1.4 8.4% 70 9.02 13.52 1.5 10.1% 71 8.59 12.37 1.4 9.0% 72 8.67 12.81 1.5 9.0% 73 10.11 15.13 1.5 10.3% 74 9.64 15.14 1.6 9.2% 75 9.96 14.83 1.5 7.4% 76 12.28 19.32 1.6 9.2% 77 12.90 19.87 1.5 9.7% 78 14.81 24.30 1.6 12.0% 79 16.46 27.24 1.7 13.1% 80 16.90 26.30 1.6 12.6% 81 17.07 23.18 1.4 10.2% 82 16.18 21.29 1.3 8.8% 83 15.37 21.51 1.4 8.4% 84 14.80 19.75 1.3 7.4% 85 16.26 25.46 1.6 9.3% 86 17.01 27.85 1.6 10.5% 87 16.97 27.09 1.6 10.7% 88 18.72 31.86 1.7 12.3% 89 19.40 32.07 1.7 11.7% 90 20.56 34.08 1.7 12.0% 91 21.88 34.98 1.6 12.0% 92 22.64 34.76 1.5 11.8% 93 22.03 33.75 1.5 11.2% 94 21.29 32.09 1.5 10.6% 95 21.66 33.68 1.6 11.0%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISERATUM 08/20/97 04:50 PM AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 3.

TIMBER


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 2.34 3.52 1.5 3.7% 62 2.50 3.79 1.5 3.9% 63 2.63 3.87 1.5 3.9% 64 2.77 4.13 1.5 4.0% 65 2.99 4.53 1.5 4.1% 66 3.00 4.58 1.5 4.1% 67 2.24 3.44 1.5 2.9% 68 3.24 4.97 1.5 4.1% 69 3.29 5.19 1.6 4.1% 70 3.56 5.91 1.7 4.4% 71 3.63 5.94 1.6 4.3% 72 3.74 6.08 1.6 4.3% 73 4.13 6.33 1.5 4.3% 74 4.88 7.93 1.6 4.8% 75 4.67 7.39 1.6 3.7% 76 4.62 7.27 1.6 3.5% 77 4.97 8.69 1.7 4.3% 78 4.26 7.69 1.8 3.8% 79 4.60 8.35 1.8 4.0% 80 5.28 9.31 1.8 4.4% 81 5.29 8.76 1.7 3.9% 82 5.69 9.36 1.6 3.9% 83 5.52 9.37 1.7 3.7% 84 5.48 9.57 1.7 3.6% 85 4.76 7.92 1.7 2.9% 86 5.08 8.18 1.6 3.1% 87 5.37 8.58 1.6 3.4% 88 5.36 8.57 1.6 3.3% 89 6.15 9.88 1.6 3.6% 90 6.25 10.10 1.6 3.6% 91 5.50 8.83 1.6 3.0% 92 5.28 8.44 1.6 2.9% 93 5.42 8.61 1.6 2.8% 94 4.52 7.35 1.6 2.4% 95 4.34 7.23 1.7 2.4%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISERATUM 08/20/97 04:50 PM AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 4.

MINING


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 1.23 2.86 2.3 3.0%

62 1.15 2.69 2.3 2.8% 63 0.96 2.09 2.2 2.1% 64 0.81 1.77 2.2 1.7% 65 0.90 1.97 2.2 1.8% 66 0.90 2.05 2.3 1.8% 67 0.77 1.42 1.8 1.2% 68 0.63 1.16 1.8 1.0% 69 0.59 1.10 1.9 0.9% 70 0.74 1.45 2.0 1.1% 71 0.72 1.41 2.0 1.0% 72 0.68 1.34 2.0 0.9% 73 0.63 1.14 1.8 0.8% 74 0.83 1.62 2.0 1.0% 75 0.86 1.61 1.9 0.8% 76 0.92 1.69 1.8 0.8% 77 0.89 1.94 2.2 1.0% 78 0.87 2.08 2.4 1.0% 79 0.93 2.17 2.3 1.0% 80 1.18 2.67 2.3 1.3% 81 1.76 3.66 2.1 1.6% 82 1.68 3.43 2.0 1.4% 83 1.67 3.70 2.2 1.4% 84 1.48 3.56 2.4 1.3% 85 1.45 3.40 2.3 1.2% 86 1.29 2.97 2.3 1.1% 87 1.59 3.48 2.2 1.4% 88 1.93 4.09 2.1 1.6% 89 2.09 4.31 2.1 1.6% 90 2.31 4.85 2.1 1.7% 91 2.33 4.89 2.1 1.7% 92 2.40 5.12 2.1 1.7% 93 2.07 4.46 2.2 1.5% 94 2.17 4.85 2.2 1.6% 95 2.19 5.02 2.3 1.6%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISERAT UAA 08/20/97 04:50 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 5.

TOURISM


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 1.14 1.55 1.4 1.6% 62 1.18 1.61 1.4 1.7%

63 1.20 1.59 1.3 1.6% 64 1.24 1.65 1.3 1.6%

65 1.30 1.74 1.3 1.6% 66 1.32 1.77 1.3 1.6%

67 1.39 1.92 1.4 1.6% 68 1.41 1.98 1.4 1.6% 69 1.52 2.18 1.4 1.7% 70 1.67 2.48 1.5 1.9% 71 1.95 2.85 1.5 2.1% 72 2.12 3.12 1.5 2.2% 73 2.43 3.42 1.4 2.3% 74 2.82 4.17 1.5 2.5% 75 3.50 5.24 1.5 2.6% 76 4.24 6.29 1.5 3.0% 77 5.43 8.75 1.6 4.3% 78 5.60 9.20 1.6 4.5% 79 6.01 9.64 1.6 4.7% 80 6.52 10.34 1.6 4.9% 81 6.77 10.50 1.6 4.6% 82 7.43 11.47 1.5 4.7% 83 8.04 12.75 1.6 5.0% 84 9.14 14.78 1.6 5.5% 85 9.58 14.91 1.6 5.4% 86 9.86 14.58 1.5 5.5% 87 9.90 14.20 1.4 5.6% 88 9.99 14.33 1.4 5.5% 89 10.67 15.47 1.4 5.7% 90 11.53 16.85 1.5 5.9% 91 12.00 17.50 1.5 6.0% 92 12.71 18.62 1.5 6.3% 93 13.04 19.20 1.5 6.4% 94 14.28 21.32 1.5 7.0% 95 15.03 22.76 1.5 7.4%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 8. Part 6.

AG RI CULTURE


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 0.00 0.01 1.2 0.0% 62 0.00 0.01 1.4 0.0% 63 0.01 0.01 1.3 0.0% 64 0.01 0.01 1.4 0.0% 65 0.01 0.01 1.5 0.0% 66 0.01 0.02 1.5 0.0% 67 0.01 0.02 1.5 0.0%

68 0.01 0.02 1.8 0.0%

69 0.01 0.02 1.7 0.0% 70 0.02 0.03 1.8 0.0% 71 0.02 0.04 1.7 0.0% 72 0.03 0.05 1.8 0.0% 73 0.04 0.07 1.9 0.0% 74 0.04 0.06 1.8 0.0% 75 0.03 0.05 1.6 0.0% 76 0.04 0.07 1.7 0.0% 77 0.04 0.08 1.8 0.0% 78 0.05 0.09 1.8 0.0% 79 0.06 0.11 1.9 0.1% 80 0.05 0.09 1.7 0.0%

81 0.07 0.12 1.7 0.1% 82 0.09 0.15 1.7 0.1% 83 0.09 0.15 1.7 0.1% 84 0.11 0.19 1.7 0.1% 85 0.11 0.18 1.6 0.1% 86 0.12 0.18 1.6 0.1% 87 0.12 0.18 1.5 0.1% 88 0.12 0.18 1.5 0.1% 89 0.12 0.18 1.6 0.1% 90 0.13 0.21 1.6 0.1% 91 0.14 0.22 1.6 0.1% 92 0.15 0.24 1.6 0.1% 93 0.17 0.27 1.5 0.1%

94 0.19 0.29 1.6 0.1% 95 0.20 0.31 1.6 0.1%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISER AT UAA 08/20/97 04:50 PM AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 8. Part 7.

INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 0.33 0.51 1.5 0.5% 62 0.32 0.50 1.6 0.5% 63 0.32 0.48 1.5 0.5% 64 0.33 0.50 1.5 0.5% 65 0.35 0.53 1.5 0.5% 66 0.36 0.55 1.5 0.5% 67 0.40 0.62 1.6 0.5% 68 0.45 0.70 1.6 0.6% 69 0.56 0.93 1.6 0.7% 70 0.57 0.97 1.7 0.7% 71 0.52 0.88 1.7 0.6% 72 0.56 0.95 1.7 0.7% 73 0.61 0.98 1.6 0.7% 74 0.76 1.33 1.7 0.8% 75 1.04 1.89 1.8 0.9% 76 1.03 1.82 1.8 0.9% 77 0.94 1.88 2.0 0.9% 78 0.94 1.92 2.0 0.9% 79 1.02 2.04 2.0 1.0% 80 1.07 2.10 2.0 1.0% 81 1.28 2.43 1.9 1.1% 82 1.35 2.53 1.9 1.0% 83 1.52 2.92 1.9 1.1% 84 1.69 3.32 2.0 1.2% 85 1.71 3.19 1.9 1.2% 86 1.57 2.74 1.8 1.0% 87 1.54 2.59 1.7 1.0% 88 1.56 2.65 1.7 1.0% 89 1.77 3.03 1.7 1.1% 90 1.94 3.34 1.7 1.2% 91 2.05 3.55 1.7 1.2% 92 2.20 3.85 1.7 1.3% 93 2.15 3.79 1.8 1.3% 94 2.22 4.02 1.8 1.3% 95 2.17 4.00 1.8 1.3%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 9.

--··-······-···--·-······-

EXTRACTION AND PROCESSING EMPLOYMENT PETROLEUM

··1 12 t':::: 10 :[\,

~ ;:r <I'. 8 :-· .. ,

~ 6 fti I 4 f.':)j

>-:tm~-

0 z <I'. Cl) :::> 0 I f-

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

l~:::.~.OCESSI.NG ~ ::TRACTIO~. I EXTRACTION AND PROCESSING EMPLOYMENT

WOOD PRODUCTS

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

I 1rn PROCESSING ~ HARVESTING I

EX~RA~TIO~ ~.N "~ ps~?oE;DSI ~G-~_E_M_-P_L_o_Y_M_E_N_T"""']

12 ~1i,---~ 10 [!\ ~ 8 f~l --:::> 6 t::,:{

§ :r 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

[ .. ~ PR~CESSING m HA~_:'ESTING I EXTRACTION AND PROCESSING EMPLOYMENT

MINING

12 .11 10

0 z <I'. (/)

:::> 0 I f-

0 '--~-"-'-~'-'--'-'-~--'---''--'--'--'--"--'~'--'--'-'---'-'-"-'---'---'-'--'-'-'--'---'---'--' 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

I till PROCESSING m EXTRACTION !

!SER AT UAA 08/20/97 04:55 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

80

(I) O'.l 0 60 --, LL 0 (I)

40 0 z <( (I) ::i

20 0 I I-

0

Figure 10.

IMPORTANCE OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT JOBS CIVILIAN PLUS MILITARY

- -

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

[ -m-CORE JOBS <:~ SUPPORT JOBS

ISERAT UAA 08/20/97 05:00 PM

(I) O'.l

60% Q ....J ....J <(

40% ~ fz w

20% 0 a: w 0..

0%

AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 11. Part 1.

FEDERAL CIVILIAN


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 18.10 27.54 1.5 29.0% 62 18.43 28.22 1.5 29.0%

63 19.27 28.44 1.5 28.3% 64 20.36 30.58 1.5 29.5% 65 20.81 30.92 1.5 28.2% 66 20.71 31.29 1.5 27.7%

67 20.66 32.73 1.6 27.7%

68 19.86 32.31 1.6 26.6%

69 19.66 33.52 1.7 26.2% 70 19.62 36.12 1.8 27.0% 71 20.94 38.13 1.8 27.8% 72 21.04 38.97 1.9 27.5% 73 21.19 41.83 2.0 28.5% 74 22.25 43.64 2.0 26.5% 75 23.74 44.98 1.9 22.5% 76 22.94 41.74 1.8 19.8% 77 22.28 46.39 2.1 22.7% 78 22.48 50.39 2.2 24.8% 79 21.95 49.38 2.2 23.8% 80 21.19 47.10 2.2 22.5%

81 20.90 45.54 2.2 20.1% 82 21.16 45.05 2.1 18.6% 83 21.44 49.00 2.3 19.1% 84 22.13 53.31 2.4 19.9% 85 21.54 52.55 2.4 19.2% 86 21.61 50.30 2.3 19.0% 87 22.08 50.46 2.3 19.9% 88 21.54 50.88 2.4 19.7% 89 22.54 53.33 2.4 19.5% 90 22.88 56.44 2.5 19.9% 91 23.06 58.39 2.5 20.1% 92 24.14 61.72 2.6 20.9% 93 24.85 66.34 2.7 21.9% 94 24.13 67.04 2.8 22.1% 95 22.61 67.42 3.0 22.1%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 11. Part 2.

MILITARY


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 35.66 45.27 1.3 47.7% 62 36.22 46.00 1.3 47.3% 63 36.18 45.38 1.3 45.1% 64 35.58 45.48 1.3 43.8% 65 36.28 46.34 1.3 42.3% 66 36.49 47.10 1.3 41.7% 67 37.00 48.77 1.3 41.3% 68 35.92 48.58 1.4 40.1% 69 35.73 50.01 1.4 39.1% 70 34.80 51.09 1.5 38.2% 71 33.53 49.46 1.5 36.0% 72 31.35 47.50 1.5 33.5% 73 30.32 44.20 1.5 30.1% 74 28.79 43.80 1.5 26.6% 75 29.52 43.49 1.5 21.8% 76 28.75 41.29 1.4 19.6% 77 28.80 44.30 1.5 21.7% 78 26.45 42.85 1.6 21.1% 79 26.58 42.21 1.6 20.4% 80 25.09 39.50 1.6 18.8% 81 25.61 38.91 1.5 17.2% 82 25.50 39.19 1.5 16.2% 83 25.73 40.74 1.6 15.9% 84 26.20 42.63 1.6 15.9% 85 26.68 42.45 1.6 15.5% 86 26.49 41.21 1.6 15.6% 87 28.24 43.27 1.5 17.0% 88 27.35 42.38 1.5 16.4% 89 28.35 44.08 1.6 16.1% 90 26.62 43.26 1.6 15.3% 91 28.82 45.91 1.6 15.8% 92 28.19 46.13 1.6 15.6% 93 28.19 46.24 1.6 15.3% 94 23.46 39.88 1.7 13.1% 95 22.90 39.22 1.7 12.8%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

ISERAT UAA 08/20/97 04:50 PM AIOIMP8.WK4

FIGURE 12.

I %OF ALASKA JOBS FROM OIL I [% 6F~ALASKA mss i=RoM ~01L 1

W% I

40% f-+---+-----t----J,~~--t-

30% ~---+----+---

20% .,:

10% I I =~ 0% I I a====:=m=,=m=i:p

0% W e::-=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·=) 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 11111 PRODUCTION rn PRODUCTION + RENTS

I • PF DIVIDEND a PRODUCTION 11111 RENTS I 11!111 PRODUCTION + RENTS + PF

I NUMBER OF ALASKA JOBS FROM Olli [ NUMBER OF ALASKA Joss FROM oTLj 140 'l======~=--~r--~=r====~====~======:===:::==: 1201- I

0

,oo _ I -z ~ 00 ,

::> ~ 60 A I- 40 11 -----z .. ~:!11

o V /--,. '(-·::i:::--··;-;·:·=·=·=·:·=·=·=·=·=·=·=·:·····:···=·:·=·=·=·.-=·=·=·:·z·;·:·=·=·=·=·:·:·=·:_·=·,

2orr----+~'-"""'~ 0 ~t+>~·

1960 1990 1995 1970 1975 1980 1985 1965

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

i 11111 PF DIVIDEND rn PRODUCTION 11111!1 RENTS ! 1111111 PRODUCTION rn PRODUCTION + RENTS

111!1111 PRODUCTION + RENTS + PF

ISERATUAA 01/07/98 AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 13.

IMPORTANCE OF OIL JOBS INCLUDING PRODUCTION, RENTS, AND PERMANENT FUND

120 ~-.•. ..•.•.•., 50%

~ 100 0 -, u. 80 0

~ 60

~ ~ 40 0 I f-- 20

0 L._;__, ~-1960 1965

1111111 CORE JOBS

1970 1975 1980

w SUPPORT JOBS

1985 1990 1995

rJ)

40% ~ -, ....J ....J

30% ~ u. 0

20% !z w 0

10% ffi (l.

0%

= PERCENT OF ALL JOBS

IMPORTANCE OF OIL PRODUCTION JOBS INCLUDING TRANSPORTATION AND PROCESSING

120 50%

~ 100 Q 15 80

rJ) 0 60

~ ~ 40 0 i!: 20

oli-·········,.:.---~ .. 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980

illlll! CORE JOBS lfil SUPPORT JOBS

1985 1990 1995

rJ)

40% ~ -, ....J ....J

30% ~ u. 0

20% !z w 0

10% ffi (l.

0%

"" PERCENT OF ALL JOBS ,

120

~ 100 0 -, u. 80 0 rJ)

60 0 z ~ rJ) 40 ::i 0 I 20 f--

0~ 1960

IMPORTANCE OF OIL JOBS DERIVED FROM PUBLIC OIL REVENUES

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990

50%

rJ)

40% ~ -, ....J

30% ;i u. 0

20% !z w 0

10% ffi (l.

0% 1995

111111 CORE JOBS lfil SUPPORT JOBS ,= PERCENT OF ALL JOBS

120

IMPORTANCE OF OIL JOBS DERIVED FROM PERMANENT FUND DIVIDEND

~~-..,.~~~--;-, 50%

~ 100 rJ)

40% ~ 0 -, u. 80 0 rJ) 0 60 z ~ rJ) 40 ::i 0 I 20 f--

0

' ! '

! ••• L •• J •• J ••• l •• L •• J •• .J ... L •• l .. J ••• 1 ••• L •• J •• J ... • ... L •• .l •• J •• .l ... l't::'.-. ... ,•.lv_:7""' .• ~;.::;;:;::::.;.;,;.;, 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

-, ....J

30% ;i u. 0

20% !z

10%

0%

w 0 Cl:'. w (l.

[~m c:oRE JoBs s suPPORT JoBs ":' PERCENT oF ALL Joos]


Figure 14. Part 1.

OIL RENTS


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 1.54 2.34 1.5 2.5% 62 1.77 2.71 1.5 2.8% 63 5.02 7.52 1.5 7.5% 64 5.38 8.15 1.5 7.9% 65 7.51 11.32 1.5 10.3% 66 7.67 11.68 1.5 10.3% 67 9.36 14.75 1.6 12.5% 68 9.29 14.93 1.6 12.3% 69 9.70 15.94 1.6 12.5% 70 8.49 14.86 1.7 11.1% 71 11.52 20.16 1.7 14.7% 72 14.54 25.50 1.8 18.0% 73 16.88 29.06 1.7 19.8% 74 16.94 30.08 1.8 18.3% 75 18.42 31.99 1.7 16.0% 76 18.50 31.56 1.7 15.0% 77 17.56 33.63 1.9 16.5% 78 19.70 39.78 2.0 19.6% 79 21.27 42.50 2.0 20.5% 80 22.66 45.74 2.0 21.8% 81 30.69 59.08 1.9 26.0% 82 33.20 62.74 1.9 25.9% 83 36.64 72.22 2.0 28.2% 84 37.35 75.94 2.0 28.4% 85 40.10 80.14 2.0 29.2% 86 38.75 74.07 1.9 28.0% 87 35.20 65.82 1.9 25.9% 88 34.32 63.62 1.9 24.6% 89 37.01 68.50 1.9 25.1% 90 36.39 67.71 1.9 23.9% 91 36.15 68.62 1.9 23.6% 92 37.91 71.83 1.9 24.3% 93 38.39 74.42 1.9 24.6% 94 39.13 77.93 2.0 25.7% 95 37.77 76.64 2.0 25.1%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 14. Part 2.

PERMANENT FUND


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 62 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 63 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 64 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 65 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 66 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 67 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 68 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 69 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 70 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 71 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 72 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 73 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 74 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 75 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 76 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 77 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 78 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 79 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 80 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 81 0.00 0.00 ERR 0.0% 82 0.00 10.95 ERR 4.5% 83 0.00 4.32 ERR 1.7% 84 0.00 4.01 ERR 1.5% 85 0.00 4.85 ERR 1.8% 86 0.00 6.11 ERR 2.3% 87 0.00 7.29 ERR 2.9% 88 0.00 8.28 ERR 3.2% 89 0.00 8.17 ERR 3.0% 90 0.00 8.94 ERR 3.2% 91 0.00 8.86 ERR 3.0% 92 0.00 8.50 ERR 2.9% 93 0.00 8.86 ERR 2.9% 94 0.00 9.44 ERR 3.1% 95 0.00 9.89 ERR 3.2%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 15.

CONTRIBUTION TO TOTAL INCOME PERMANENT FUND DIVIDENDS

w $1,000 -----------------~ 20% 2:

0 0

Y> $750 ~ -- - --- 15% ~ ...J

z ...J

~ $500 ~ -- -- 10% ~ 0 I-

...J

2: --- 5% Z w 0 a: -==0 ~~~ 0% w

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

j m ~~ INCO~~E ,~ ~ = __ EJ 0~, ~F TO~L IN_G_~iij

CONTRIBUTION TO TOTAL INCOME MISCELLANEOUS INCOME SOURCES

0..

w $1,000 ------------------~ 20% ~

0

Y> $750 15% ~ ...J ...J z

~ $500 ...J

2: $250

$0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

m MISC INCOME SOURCE l3J % OF TOTAL INCOME

ISER AT UAA 08/20/97 04:56 PM

10% ~ 0

5% ~ w 0

0% ffi 0..

AID1MP8.WK4

Figure 16.

MISCELLANEOUS INCOME


----------------------------------------------------------------------

61 0.00 0.21 ERR 0.2% 62 0.00 0.24 ERR 0.2% 63 0.00 0.25 ERR 0.2% 64 0.00 0.30 ERR 0.3% 65 0.00 0.36 ERR 0.3% 66 0.00 0.42 ERR 0.4% 67 0.00 0.52 ERR 0.4% 68 0.00 0.55 ERR 0.5% 69 0.00 0.74 ERR 0.6% 70 0.00 0.88 ERR 0.7% 71 0.00 0.87 ERR 0.6% 72 0.00 0.92 ERR 0.6% 73 0.00 0.91 ERR 0.6% 74 0.00 1.11 ERR 0.7% 75 0.00 1.04 ERR 0.5% 76 0.00 1.06 ERR 0.5% 77 0.00 1.53 ERR 0.7% 78 0.00 1.95 ERR 1.0% 79 0.00 2.17 ERR 1.0% 80 0.00 2.22 ERR 1.1% 81 0.00 2.30 ERR 1.0% 82 0.00 2.53 ERR 1.0% 83 0.00 3.40 ERR 1.3% 84 0.00 4.13 ERR 1.5% 85 0.00 4.36 ERR 1.6% 86 0.00 4.12 ERR 1.6% 87 0.00 3.94 ERR 1.5% 88 0.00 4.06 ERR 1.6% 89 0.00 4.29 ERR 1.6% 90 0.00 4.75 ERR 1.7% 91 0.00 4.80 ERR 1.7% 92 0.00 4.89 ERR 1.7% 93 0.00 5.25 ERR 1.7% 94 0.00 5.95 ERR 2.0% 95 0.00 6.35 ERR 2.1%

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Figure 17.

~ ::: 1~1 6 :::\:: I

F sJ 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

E~?N-CORE ~ COR~ J

$9.0 Jl::L

; :~~ I ' g $5.0 :j~]))/!1-

~ j~~ '~~,,,_ ... ____.1 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

ISERAT UM 08/20/97 04:59 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Figure 18.

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

NON-CORE JOBS FOR EACH CORE JOB $ OF NON-CORE INCOME FOR EACH $ OF CORE INCOME


Figure 19.

ALASKA JOB GROWTH SINCE 1963 HOW MUCH IS DUE TO OIL?

1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993

IZ=l OIL-PF DIVIDEND ~ OIL-PRODUCTION

Ell OIL-RENTS lmll NON-OIL

ALASKA JOB GROWTH SINCE 1963 HOW MUCH IS THE CORE? HOW MUCH IS SUPPORT?

ALASKA JOB GROWTH SINCE 1963 WHAT SHARE IS DUE TO OIL?

I . ! I I I I 80% I ' I I A

60%

w 0:: < 40% I (I)

20%

1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994

[ OIL~& .. NON-~~L BASED A~~~KA JOBS J Ai

200 p::::1 t/:•:i

~=:=;~,,~~:,h:<~< 0 "--------'

0W'r ..... ·······7

1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

ISERATUAA 08/20/97 05:02 PM AIDIMP8.WK4

Table A1. Part 1.

= == ::;:::::::::::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::;::; ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= :;::::;::;::;::;:;:::; ======= ======= ======= ::;::;::;::;::;::;::; EMPLOYMENT 1960 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

= == ===========:::===== ======= ======= ======= :::====== ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= CORE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT INCLUDING PROPRIETORS 137.515 136.196 133.885 133.868 142.336 144.141 148.137 150.193 150.579 146.446 143.260

1. PETROLEUM 15.338 14.423 12.899 12.961 14.219 15.531 16.209 14.567 14.262 15.036 14.406

E ----Mining--Petroleum 8.870 8.510 8.060 8.620 9.165 10.258 10.541 9.229 8.956 9.149 8.690 E .... Transportation--Pipeline 0.940 0.880 0.860 0.880 0.949 1.095 1.299 1.380 1.312 1.329 1.300 E .... Manufacturing--Petroleum 0.234 0.254 0.260 0.285 0.318 0.330 0.340 0.324 0.335 0.328 0.330 E ----Construction--Facilities 1.222 0.958 0.382 0.272 0.240 0.225 0.225 0.167 0.173 0.473 0.434 E ----Construction--Alyeska Pipeline 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 c .... Construction 0.502 0.482 0.459 0.489 0.522 0.584 0.609 0.547 0.530 0.540 0.516 c----lnfrastructure 2.558 2.312 2.084 1.604 2.213 2.171 2.291 2.122 2.177 2.318 2.284 c----Proprietors 1.012 1.027 0.794 0.811 0.813 0.868 0.904 0.799 0.779 0.899 0.852

2. FISHING 16.256 17.006 16.965 18. 722 19.399 20.560 21.882 22.642 22.029 21.288 21.656

E .... Proprietors--Fish Harvestors 8.150 8.210 8.080 8.210 8.288 8.377 8.561 8.600 8.600 8.600 8.600 E ----AFF--Fish Harvesting 0.210 0.240 0.290 0.360 0.532 0.463 0.519 0.728 0.771 0.446 0.419 E .... Manufacturing--Food 6.390 6.810 6.890 8.490 8.552 9.852 10.974 11.617 10.944 10.660 10.909 c .... Construction 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 c .... f nfrastructure 0.000 1.506 1.746 1.705 1.662 2.027 1.868 1.828 1.697 1.714 1.582 1.728 c----Proprietors 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

3. TIMBER 4.756 5.077 5.369 5.365 6.153 6.248 5.498 5.276 5.420 4.525 4.338

E .... Manufacturing--Lumber 1.690 1.830 2.170 2.670 2.895 3.060 2.605 2.340 2.347 2.249 2.225 E .... Manufacturing--Paper&Pulp 0.630 0.830 0.890 0.950 0.978 0.906 0.910 0.908 0.779 0.653 0.528 E ----AFF--Forestry & Misc. 1.260 1.160 0.950 0.428 0.706 0.746 0.637 0.748 0.981 0.504 0.496 c---- Construction 0.537 0.573 0.602 0.607 0.687 0.707 0.623 0.599 0.616 0.511 0.487 c----lnfrastructure 0.379 0.358 0.388 0.293 0.450 0.397 0.347 0.329 0.339 0.292 0.296 c---- Proprietors 0.260 0.327 0.370 0.417 0.437 0.432 0.377 0.352 0.359 0.316 0.306

4. MINING 1.449 1.290 1.586 1.929 2.092 2.314 2.327 2.397 2.072 2.173 2.188

E ----Mining--Other 0.640 0.570 0.720 0.970 1.082 1.217 1.221 1.252 1.075 1.122 1.125 x ----Construction--Facilities 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 c----Construction 0.096 0.086 0.108 0.146 0.162 0.183 0.183 0.188 0.161 0.168 0.169 c----lnfrastructure 0.173 0.146 0.175 0.170 0.245 0.242 0.247 0.265 0.241 0.262 0.272 c----Proprietors 0.540 0.488 0.583 0.644 0.603 0.673 0.675 0.692 0.595 0.621 0.622

5. TOURISM 9.581 9.862 9.895 9.991 10.674 11.527 12.000 12.712 13.041 14.284 15.027

E .... Retail Trade 3.390 3.532 3.558 3.656 3.844 4.189 4.362 4.619 4.719 5.155 5.413 E ----Transportation 1.695 1.766 1.779 1.828 1.922 2.095 2.181 2.309 2.359 2.578 2.707 E----Services--Non-Business 3.390 3.532 3.558 3.656 3.844 4.189 4.362 4.619 4.719 5.155 5.413 c----Construction 0.212 0.221 0.222 0.229 0.240 0.262 0.273 0.289 0.295 0.322 0.338 c----lnfrastructure 0.831 0.727 0.689 0.525 0.732 0.700 0.726 0.775 0.845 0.960 1.036 c----Proprietors 0.063 0.084 0.089 0.097 0.092 0.092 0.096 0.102 0.104 0.114 0.120

6. AGRICULTURE 0.114 0.118 0.116 0.118 0.118 0.130 0.137 0.152 0.174 0.186 0.197

s----AFF--Agriculture 0.098 0.102 0.100 0.104 0.102 0.113 0.119 0.133 0.152 0.163 0.171 c ----Construction 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.007 0.008 0.008 0.009 c----1 nfrastructure 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.007 0.009 0.009 0.010 0.010 0.011 0.012 0.014 c----Proprietors 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003

7. FEDERAL GOVT-· CIVILIAN 21.541 21.613 22.077 21.540 22.545 22.876 23.064 24.140 24.852 24.133 22.611

E----Federal Civilian 17.570 17.830 17.890 17.870 18.218 18.729 18.922 19.558 19.997 18.741 17.576 F----State 0.616 0.532 0.904 0.861 1.059 1.046 0.958 1.261 1.254 1.938 1.687 c----Construction 0.879 0.892 0.895 0.894 0.911 0.936 0.946 0.978 1.000 0.937 0.879 c ----1 nfrastructure 2.217 2.022 2.032 1.538 2.008 1.837 1.903 1.998 2.247 2.185 2.158 c----Proprietors 0.260 0.337 0.356 0.378 0.349 0.329 0.335 0.346 0.354 0.331 0.311

8. FEDERAL GOVT MILITARY 26.676 26.488 28.242 27.354 28.352 26.623 28.818 28.192 28.188 23.463 22.896

E----Active Duty Military 23.070 22.950 24.450 24.060 24.564 23.132 25.139 24.460 24.355 20.119 19.633 c--·-Construction 1.154 1.148 1.223 1.203 1.228 1.157 1.257 1.223 1.218 1.006 0.982 c----1 nfrastructure 2.112 1.957 2.083 1.582 2.089 1.928 1.977 2.076 2.185 1.982 1.934 c----Proprietors 0.341 0.434 0.487 0.509 0.471 0.406 0.444 0.432 0.431 0.356 0.347

9. PETROLEUM RENTS 40.097 38.751 35.196 34.325 37.012 36.395 36.151 37.912 38.390 39.133 37.772

F ----State Government 17.595 17.855 16.052 16.884 18.158 18.596 18.318 18.593 18.815 19.106 18.691 F ----Local Government 12.299 12.510 11.357 12.079 12.281 12.094 12.160 13.304 13.047 12.937 12.610 c----Construction 4.440 3.130 3.005 1.866 2.115 1.934 1.809 1.998 2.169 2.419 2.004 c----lnfrastructure 4.449 4.071 3.585 2.707 3.646 3.092 3.224 3.311 3.592 3.816 3.758 c----Proprietors 1.312 1.185 1.197 0.789 0.810 0.679 0.640 0.707 0.767 0.856 0.709

10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1.707 1.568 1.538 1.565 1.773 1.937 2.051 2.201 2.152 2.224 2.170

s----Transportation 1.374 1.287 1.270 1.321 1.464 1.618 1.711 1.833 1.781 1.832 1.783 c----Construction 0.069 0.064 0.064 0.066 0.073 0.081 0.086 0.092 0.089 0.092 0.089 c----lnfrastructure 0.196 0.153 0.141 0.112 0.163 0.157 0.169 0.185 0.192 0.209 0.209 c---- Proprietors 0.069 0.064 0.064 0.066 0.073 0.081 0.086 0.092 0.089 0.092 0.089 - == =========:::======= ::_:;::;::::::;:::::; :::;::::::;::;:::;;::;:::;, -====== ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= =======

ISERATUM 08/21/97 07:48 AM AID1MP8.WK4

Table A1. Part 2.

= :::::: :::=========:::====== ======:::: ======:::: ::::.====== ======= :;::;:::::::::::::::::::::: ===:::::::;::::: ======= ======::: =-=-=== ======= --===== ======-EMPLOYMENT 1960 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

=== ::::::::::::::::;::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: :::;:::;::::::::::::;:: ::::::::::::;::::::::::: ======= ::::::;_::::;:;::::;::: ::::::::::::::::::::; ======= ======= ===---- ----=== ==::::=-=- --===== ::::::::;:;:::;:: __

NON CORE WAGE AND 136.887 127.951 120.136 124.265 130.676 139.436 143.051 145.556 151.704 157.217 162.388 SALARY & PROPRIETORS

EMA Ag-forestry-Fish 0.392 0.408 0.400 0.416 0.408 0.454 0.477 0.531 0.610 0.650 0.686 EMC Construction 9.494 5.815 3.122 3.189 3.614 4.430 4.548 4.166 5.487 6.301 7.096 EMM Manufacturing 3.166 2.876 2.670 2.815 2.924 3.034 3.168 2.820 3.469 3.386 3.031 EMT Transportation 8.531 8.057 8.061 8.141 9.334 10.075 10.633 11.082 11.233 11.400 11.010 Ek\D Whok,-sa!e Trade 8.730 8.090 l.410 7.500 7.924 8.038 7.787 7 820 8009 8 277 8.647 EMD Retail Trade 33.680 32.048 30.162 30.854 32.429 33.728 34.618 35.433 36.307 39.215 40.063 EMFI Finance-Insurance-Real Estate 11.620 11.360 10.240 9.710 9.244 9.165 9.466 9.488 10.004 10.787 10.555 EMS Non-Business Services 31.340 31.078 30.342 34.204 36.141 38.968 39.404 41.332 42.987 44.530 46.468 EMG State Government 2.258 1.793 1.774 1.634 1.458 1.832 2.157 2.029 1.460 0.528 1.044 EMG Local Government 16.431 16.110 16.433 15.731 15.886 17.432 17.888 17.534 18.284 18.265 19.452 EMP Proprietors 11.245 10.316 9.523 10.071 11.313 12.280 12.904 13.320 13.855 13.877 14.336

EM99 CHECK FROM RAW DATA 281.270 270.580 260.372 264.739 280.330 291.667 299.743 304.914 311.191 312.821 314.562 ::; :::;::: :::::::::::::::::::::::::;::::;::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::;:::;;::::::: ======= ::;::;;:::::;:::::;::_ -----== :::::;;::::::::::::::;:::_ --===:::= ::;;:::::::::::::-=------ ____ ::;::;::::; ==----- --:::::::::;::::::; ====---

TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 274.402 264.147 254.021 258.133 273.012 283.577 291.188 295.749 302.284 303.662 305.648

CORE 137.515 136.196 133.885 133.868 142.336 144.141 148.137 150.193 150.579 146.446 143.260 NON-CORE 136.887 127.951 120.136 124.265 130.676 139.436 143.051 145.556 151.704 157.217 162.388

EMPLOYMENT RATIOS TOTAL/CORE 2.00 1.94 1.90 1.93 1.92 1.97 1.97 1.97 2.01 2.07 2.13 NON-CORE I CORE 1.00 0.94 0.90 0.93 0.92 0.97 0.97 0.97 1.01 1.07 1.13

= == ==:::============== :::====== ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ===-=== :::::::::::::::;::: =-===== =======

EMPLOYMENT CATEGORIES FOR MONITORING MODEL

CONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMEN

CORE 9.115 7.557 6.964 5.776 6.184 6.073 6.017 6.087 6.258 6.477 5.907

Petroleum 1.724 1.440 0.841 0.761 0.762 0.809 0.834 0.714 0.703 1.013 0.950 Fishing 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Timber 0.537 0.573 0.602 0.607 0.687 0.707 0.623 0.599 0.616 0.511 0.487 Mining 0.096 0.086 0.108 0.146 0.162 0.183 0.183 0.188 0.161 0.168 0.169 Tourism 0.212 0.221 0.222 0.229 0.240 0.262 0.273 0.289 0.295 0.322 0.338

Agriculture 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.007 0.008 0.008 0.009 Fed--Civilian 0.879 0.892 0.895 0.894 0.911 0.936 0.946 0.978 1.000 0.937 0.879 Fed--Military 1.154 1.148 1.223 1.203 1.228 1.157 1.257 1.223 1.218 1.006 0.982 Petroleum Rents 4.440 3.130 3.005 1.866 2.115 1.934 1.809 1.998 2.169 2.419 2.004 INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 0.069 0.064 0.064 0.066 0.073 0.081 0.086 0.092 0.089 0.092 0.089

NON-CORE 9.494 5.815 3.122 3.189 3.614 4.430 4.548 4.166 5.487 6.301 7.096

TOTAL 18.609 13.372 10.086 8.965 9.798 10.503 10.565 10.253 11.745 12.778 13.003

CORE SHARE 49.0% 56.5% 69.0% 64.4% 63.1% 57.8% 56.9% 59.4% 53.3% 50.7% 45.4%

PROPRIETORS EMPLOYMENT

CORE 12.008 12.159 12.021 11.921 11.939 11.939 12.120 12.125 12.079 12.186 11.958

Petroleum 1.012 1.027 0.794 0.811 0.813 0.868 0.904 0.799 0.779 0.899 0.852 Fishing 8.150 8.210 8.080 8.210 8.288 8.377 8.561 8.600 8.600 8.600 8.600 Timber 0.260 0.327 0.370 0.417 0.437 0.432 0.377 0.352 0.359 0.316 0.306 Mining 0.540 0.488 0.583 0.644 0.603 0.673 0.675 0.692 0.595 0.621 0.622 Tourism 0.063 0.084 0.089 0.097 0.092 0.092 0.096 0.102 0.104 0.114 0.120

Agriculture 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 Fed--Civilian 0.260 0.337 0.356 0.378 0.349 0.329 0.335 0.346 0.354 0.331 0.311 F ed--Military 0.341 0.434 0.487 0.509 0.471 0.406 0.444 0.432 0.431 0.356 0.347 Petroleum Rents 1.312 1.185 1.197 0.789 0.810 0.679 0.640 0.707 0.767 0.856 0.709 INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 0.069 0.064 0.064 0.066 0.073 0.081 0.086 0.092 0.089 0.092 0.089

NON-CORE 11.245 10.316 9.523 10.071 11.313 12.280 12.904 13.320 13.855 13.877 14.336

TOTAL 23.253 22.475 21.544 21.992 23.252 24.219 25.024 25.445 25.934 26.063 26.294

CORE SHARE 52% 54% 56% 54% 51% 49% 48% 48% 47% 47% 45%

ISER AT UAA 08/21/97 07:48 AM AID1MP8.WK4

Table A2. Part 1.

=--==== == =============c::c== =====cec==c:c==="'"''====== ==================::==============:::===-=-=====c:=:=======::==============:cc==:==========="'=

INCOME 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 199-4 1995 =::::::::::::,;cc====:===========,;:, ::cc=c:c=c::============;;=:: =c==c::::=:::c:::::::c::::=:::::;:::c:::::=======,o::===========-----==::===========cc===-----===========,::;:===---=---

CORE WAGES AND SAI..ARIES-MILLIDN $ (RlCLUOli'IG PROPRETOR !HC t10T 111 S\JIJJ $3,825.4 $3,721.8 $3,793.1 $4,339.8 $-4,450.3 $-4,714.4 $-4,982.5 $5,055.3 $5,058.0 $4,972.6

1. PEffiOLEUM $715.94 $630.45 $645.16 $743.76 $820.69 $887.11 $848.88 $834.29 $881.86 $868.85

\\'SW Mining--Petroleum $542.36 $500.5-4 $530.29 $577.27 $669.40 $719.62 $686.20 $666.88 $692.59 $671.88 Trn1ispmt;ifron--Pip"FA1ri S?;i 9~) 'S?-1 :l-1 $?fl 11 $?9.43 $'."14.!Hl 5,~3.14 S-18 87 S-47JJ8 $4fl.27 $48.72 Manulc1cturln9-Petroleum $6.10 S6.t.i0 Sl.32 $8.91 $9.2j S9.G2 $9.t,2 sn.tt3 $9.20 S!J.M

W"SCHXI Construction--F acilities $53.31 $19.80 $14.61 $12.66 $12.41 $12.41 $9.81 $12.60 $26.48 $36.01 WSCtHAP Construction-Nyeska Pipefine $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 crnmt•;•.scu Construction $19.01 $18.04 $19.76 $21.78 $25.59 $25.44 $22.85 $23.08 $2-4.65 $22.72 COHAl*(WSS8 lnlrastmcture $69.21 $61.12 $47.07 $93.72 $69.08 $76.88 $71.63 $75.07 $79.67 $77.67 COHC1'WPR Proprietors $68.51 $51.97 $-47.76 $-44.05 $-46.38 $-49.80 $-45.36 $-46.07 $58.18 $57.31

2.FISHING $220.94 $231.39 $275.30 $337.96 $347.78 $386.05 $-417.92 $389.02 $366.41 $394.7-4

EMPROflS ---Proprielors--Fish Haivestors $265.06 $253.48 $357.6-4 $311.74 $325.88 $291.59 $235.09 $239.70 $200.43 $216.55 EIMFISH ---AFF--Fish Haivesting $5.17 $6.50 $8.32 $12.59 $12.09 $14.13 $19.40 $18.61 $11.05 $10.68 El.ti.IF --- Manufacturing--Food $163.50 $17-4.88 $218.20 $239.53 $276.23 $310.56 $341.20 $311.30 $301.01 $325.31 COHB2"EM--Constmction $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 COllA2"'(E ·--lnfrastmcture $52.26 $50.01 $48.78 $85.8& $59.46 $61.35 $&7.31 $59.11 $54.36 $58.75 COHC:Z-EM - Proprietors $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

3. TIMBER $122.16 $134.00 S13fl.05 $172.91 $174.30 $1S4.4G $1f,1AS $151.10 $127.77 $126.27

EWJ1. --~Manufacturing--lumber $-43.94 $55.08 $68.62 $81.08 $85.80 $73.72 $68.73 $66.76 $63.M $66.35 Er.t•!P ·-· Manufacturing--Paper&Pulp $19.93 $22.59 $24.42 $27.39 $25.40 $2&.75 $26.67 $22.15 $18.45 $15.75 EMAUtl ~AFF--forest1y & Misc. $25.00 $21.30 $9.90 $16.70 $19.48 $17.35 $19.9,1 $23.68 $12.48 $12.64 COHBl"EM -- Constmction $22.59 $23.64 $24.52 $28.67 $30.96 $26.01 $2&.05 $26.81 $23.31 $21.46 COHAS"(E -- lnfrastmcture $10.71 $11.38 $8.60 $19.06 $12.65 $11.63 $11.10 $11.68 $10.02 $10.07 COHCl'EI.I-·· Proprietors $21.79 $24.20 $24.&& $23.66 $23.07 $20.74 $20.01 $21.22 $20.44 $20.57

4.MINING $44.08 $54.10 $70.53 $85.30 $95.10 $99.30 $109.89 $95.37 $101.62 $103.66

et/Pt.me ~Mining--Other $36.33 $'14.71 $59.67 $68.15 $79.42 $83.36 $93.09 $80.05 $84.94 $86.98 EMO/XI -- Constmction-F acililies $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 crnm~·m .... Construction $3.37 $4.25 $5.88 $6.78 $8.00 $7.65 $7.85 $7.02 $7.68 $7.43 COllM'(E ·--Infrastructure $4.38 $5.14 $4.98 $10.38 $7.69 $8.30 $8.96 $8.31 $9.01 $9.25 CONC4'EM --- Proprietors $32.57 $38.16 $37.89 $32.66 $35.93 $37.20 $39.31 $35.17 $-40.18 $41.85

5. TOURISM $211.23 $204.72 $209.38 $244.69 $264.06 $280.58 $310.09 $322.77 $358.50 $381.56

C0tl2"EIJO --Retail Trade $55.77 $54.31 $55.90 $61.78 $70.09 $73.84 $80.77 $82.01 $90.51 $97.39 COtlDS'EM ·- Transportation $52.07 $50.35 $54.24 $59.01 $66.88 $72.43 $81.77 $84.65 $95.48 $101.45 COIWEMS - SeJVices--Non..Susiness $72.91 $71.10 $74.58 $82.27 $93.32 $98.55 $109.33 $114.14 $12-4.85 $132.59 crnmnt.1-- Conslmction $8.70 SB.7'1 $9.23 $10.03 $11.47 $11.39 $12.06 $12.64 $14.70 $14.90 COllAS'{E -~- lnfraslrncture $21.78 $20.21 $15.43 $31.01 $22.29 $2-4.37 $26.16 $29.14 $32.97 $35.24 COllCS'Et.1---Proprietors $5.57 $5.80 $5.69 $4.98 $-4.91 $5.31 $5.80 $6.17 $7.38 $8.05

8. AGRICULTURE $2.66 $2.70 $2.82 $2.99 $3.50 $3.82 $-4.16 $4.39 $4.83 $5.21

EM.li..GR! ----AFF-Agriculture $2.20 $2.24 $2.40 $2.41 $2.96 $3.25 $3.54 $3.68 $4.03 $4.37 COfl86*EM --- Construction $0.20 $0.20 $0.21 $0.21 $0.25 $0.25 $0.28 $0.33 $0.37 $0.38 COIIA.6~(E ----Infrastructure $0.26 $0.26 $0.20 $0.37 $0.29 $0.32 $0.34 $0.38 $0.43 $0.46 COllC6*W - Prop1ietors S0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.11 $0.11 $0.12 $0.13 $0.16 $0.19 $0.20

7. FED GOVERNMENT-CIVILIAN $616.55 $6'14.26 $651.27 $718.33 $739.12 $781.09 $8&7.90 $917.46 $904.f)9 $870.70

--- Federal Civilian $502.4-4 $518.10 $540.50 $558.63 $603.79 $6-11.36 $701.13 $746.83 $707.08 $690.37 Etl.GS --- State Government $18.42 $31.41 $29.!:16 $36.62 $35.85 $36.37 $-48.45 $49.62 $78.27 $68.22 CONB7'EM -- Constmction $35.15 $35.16 $36.08 $38.03 $-11.03 $39.52 $40.87 $43.52 $42.74 $38.70 COIIA7'(E ---Infrastructure $60.54 $59.58 $,15.13 $85.05 $58.45 $63.64 $67.45 $77.49 $75.10 $73.-41 COIIC7'EM---Proprietors $22.50 $23.32 $22.74 $18.90 $17.57 $18.43 $19.63 $20.92 $21.46 $20.00

8. FED GOVERNMENT --MILITARY $589.97 $ll40.29 $651.18 $721.11 $7-45.99 $785.41 $8-49.97 $854.35 $756.21 $727.59

EMGM --Active Duty Mifilary $-,186.14 $531.15 $556.16 $581.33 $633.95 $1366.57 $728.74 $726.01 $642.20 $618.58 crnmre1.1 - Constmction $45.25 $,18.06 $-,18.58 $51.27 $50.67 $52.50 $51.11 $53.01 $45.89 $43.23 CONA7'(E --lnlrastmcture $58.57 $61.08 $,16.44 $88.51 $61.37 $66.35 $70.11 $75.33 $68.12 $65.78 COHC1'EI.I ·--Proprietors $28.97 $31.87 $20.95 $?5A8 $21.70 $24.49 $24.55 $25.48 $23.03 $23.35

9. PEffiOLEUM RENTS $1,256.85 $1,137.3·1 $1,106.77 $1,257.34 $1,199.56 $1,270.54 $1,357.23 $1,412.08 $1,477.51 $1.418.19

A"EMGS --- Slate Govemmenl $618.62 $&57.71 $579.29 $tl27.94 $637.66 $G!l5.13 $714.M $74•1.54 $771.40 $7&5.61 B"EMGL ··· Lor.al Govemment $392.H4 $356.38 $372.19 $386.62 $378.79 $391.65 $447.40 $449.28 $464.64 $446.49 cmma•e1.1 -·· Constmction $123.40 $118.13 $75.:H $B8.31 $&4.71 $75.57 $83.50 $9-4.39 $110.36 $88.26 COIIAS"(E -- Infrastructure $121.88 $105.12 $79.45 $154.46 $98.40 SHJB.18 $111.7{} $123.87 $131.11 $127.82 Cot!CB"EM-- Proprietors $79.00 $78.35 $•16.•M $-43.89 $36.27 S:\5.25 $40.11 $45.37 $55.40 $-47.67

10. INTERNATIONAi. TRANSIT $•15.04 S-42.58 $45.15 $55.313 $60.20 $66,05 $74.99 $74.43 $79.21 $77.84

COHD9'EM+~-Transpo,tation $37.93 $35.95 $39.71 $45.39 $51.65 $56.82 $6-4.91 $63.92 $67.8-4 $66.81 Cotl89'EM-·-Constmction $2.54 $2.50 $2.67 $3.06 $3.54 $3.57 $3.83 $3.88 $-4.18 $3.93 COIIA9'(E --Infrastructure $4.57 $~.13 $3.27 $6.91 $5.00 $5.66 $6.24 $6.63 $7.20 $7.10 COllC9'EM-Proprie!OfS $-4.29 $-4.16 $3.89 $3.96 $4.32 $-1.71 $5.20 $5.27 $5.93 $6.00 ::::::::,:: =:::c :::=c:c:cc:c::c:======= ::::::,::::::===:=::::==== ==:=:::===:::,c=========::==-.:;;c::::c:c=======c:c=c:=====,c:::=====:=::===c:,=,:::==c==:::::::==::=:c::::c:::::::=:=,::c::==

ISERATUM 08!21/97 07:43 AM AID1MP8.WK4

Table A2. Part 2.

------- -- - --------------- ----- ----------- ---- ------------- --- -- ---=------ -- ------------------- -- -- - ------------ ------------------------INCOME 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

======= == ========--====== :============-====== :c==========c===-======-:c:===============:=:::=:;================c:c==='========================== CORE WAGES AND SAi.ARiES-MiLLiON $ NON CORE WAGES AND SAi.ARiES $2,815.6 $2,569.8 $2,643.0 $2,861.9 $3,160.8 $3,299.2 $3,469.4 $3,688.4 $3,872.3 $-4,014.4

Etl.ft.FF Ag.forestiy-Fishery $8.79 $8.97 $9.62 $9.65 $11.85 $12.99 $14.16 $14.72 $16.11 $17.47 EMC/i1 --- Construction $229.27 $122.74 $128.77 $150.89 $194.06 $189.97 $174.12 $238.83 $287.43 $312.52 EI.IUO ----Manufacturing $69.05 $67.77 $72.35 $81.90 $85.07 $89.65 $82.83 $98.68 $95.61 $90.39 EMT$\ --- Transpo1tation $237.56 $228.16 $241.57 $289.51 $321.63 $353.1? $392.44 $403.07 $422.21 $412.63 HOW - Wholesale Trade $248.27 $220.79 $222.13 $242.22 $258.86 $257.43 $265.14 $272.33 $282.33 $269.84 El.OR -Retail Trade $506.02 $460.36 $471.80 $521.16 $564.37 $586.02 $619.62 $630.94 $688.49 $720.82 Ell.Fl --Finance-insurance.Real Estate $306.95 $277.40 $258.29 $242.64 $247.99 $2tl1.70 $275.14 $302.65 $324.32 $321.49 EMS.US ----Non-Business Services $641.53 $606.37 $697.73 $773.47 $868.14 $890.28 $978.35 $1,039.76 $1,078.46 $1,138.28 EMGS - State Government $62.13 $61.62 $56.07 $50.42 $62.84 $81.87 $77.99 $57.78 $21.31 $42.20 EMGl -- local Govemment $506.01 $515.67 $484.69 $500.08 $545.95 $576.16 $589.64 $629.64 $655.98 $688.76

El/PRO! --- ITEM:Proprietors $688.00 $623.23 $593.03 $612.68 $656.01 $710.92 $756.27 $819.66 $898.52 $964.32

WS98 CHECK- FROM RAW DATA $6,6'11.0 $fl,291.7 SB.43fi.1 $7,?01.7 $7,611.0 $8,013.6 $8,451.9 $8,743.fl $8,930.3 $8,987.0

TOTAL W&S FROM MODEL $6,6-41.0 $6,291.7 $6,436.1 $7,201.7 $7,611.0 $8,013.6 $8,451.9 $8,743.6 $8,930.3 $8,987.0

COREW&S $3,825.4 $3,721.8 $3,793.1 $4,339.8 $4,450.3 $4,714.4 $4,982.5 $5,055.3 $5,058.0 $4,972.6 NON-CORE W&S $2,815.6 $2,569.8 $2,6·13.0 $2,861.9 $3,160.8 $3,299.2 $3,469.4 $3,688.4 $3,872.3 $4,014.4

TOTAL/CORE RATIO 1.7'1 1.69 1.70 1.66 1.71 1.70 1.70 1.73 1.77 1.81

AVERAGE ANNUAL WAGE (NET PROP) CORE $30.73 $30.42 $30.9B $33.16 $33.56 $34.55 $35.97 $36.39 $37.57 $37.77 NON..CORE $23.93 $23.23 $23.15 $23.98 $24.86 $25.35 $26.24 $26.76 $27.01 $27.11 TOTAL $27.43 $27.01 $27.20 $28.78 $29.30 $30.06 $31.22 $31.59 $32.13 $32.13

,,-------- -- ---------------- -----------------="'- ------"'------------=:====:::=:c==="-cc-----------::::::::::::::===::c===::::::====--======c::c:==:==:::::::::::::=== NON-WAGE. INCOI.E $3,613.6 $3,628.0 $3,763.0 $3,919.8 $4,260.2 $4,332.5 $4,719.1 $5,137.2 $5,447.1 $5,712.8

1.CDRE $2,602.7 $2,705.2 $2,890.7 $3,037.2 $3,251.5 $3,316.0 $3,559.2 $3,8-13.1 $3,983.9 $4,116.2

1A. NDT JOBS RELATED $1,190.6 $1,319.7 $1,450.? $1,570.8 $1,707.2 $1,826.3 $1,9,19.9 $2,15'1.7 $2,240.0 $2,335.8

EXlRHS ~PF Dividend $295.14 $374.0H $428.38 S,f.13.07 $473.BS S47H.75 $478.30 S.199.58 $522.37 $531.85 COHHF1"PI-- Transfer Payments financed by Federal Govt $556.23 $590.54 $M3.B4 $710.87 $778.80 $858.87 $939.38 $1,065.56 $1,093.26 $1,151.30 COUHSt'PITR Transfer Payments financed by State Govt $169.11 $181.23 $196.82 $216.76 $23fU4 $266.69 $297.M $337.51 $346.2B $36-4.67 CCXlH2'PI --Dividend-Interest-Rents $170.14 $173.12 $181.11 $200.19 $215.77 $223.98 $234.69 $252.06 $278.11 $287.96

18. ATIRIBUTABI.E TO CORE JOBS $1,412.1 $1.385.4 S1,<MO.s $1,466.3 $1,544.4 $1,48!1.l $1,609.3 $1,688.4 $1,743.9 $1,780.4

PROPRIETORS $528.4 $511.4 $576.2 $509.4 $516.1 $487.6 $435.2 $445.5 $432.6 $442.5 EIIPROflS- Fishennen Proprietors $265.06 $253.48 $357.H4 $311.M $325.88 $2H1.59 $735.09 $239.70 $200.43 $216.55

Other Proprietors $263.33 $257.HS $718.5·1 $197.69 $190.26 $196.06 $200.12 $205.83 $232.17 $225.91

CORE EMPLOYEE NON-WAGE INCOME $883.72 $874.00 $8fi4.34 $fl56.89 $1,028.23 $-1,(H)2.07 $1,174.09 $1,242.83 $1,311.29 $1,337.94 Transfers $141.8 $109.1 $10U.4 $99.7 $115.3 $140.6 $184.7 $205.5 $206.5 $212.5 Dividend-Interest-Rents $577.5 $593.0 $607.3 $674.5 $693.1 $711.2 $733.7 $759.2 $806.2 $801.1 Other Labor Income Net SS Conlnbu!i $70.2 $77.8 $53.2 $75.1 $96.3 $31.5 $144.5 $161.6 $173.5 $177.7 STATISTICAL DISCREPAflCY $94.3 $94.2 $103.3 $107.fi $123.5 $118.7 $111.2 $116.5 $125.0 $146.7 BETWEEN OOL AND BEA

CORE Ef..WLOYEE RESIDENCE ADJUSTME ($226.0) ($220.0) ($226.3) ($268.9) ($283.0) ($297.5) ($308.6) ($303.5) ($307.3) ($309.5)

2. NON-CORE $1,010.9 $922.8 $873.3 $882.6 $1,008.7 $1,016.5 $1,159.9 $1,294.2 $1,458.2 $1,596.6

Transfers $104.4 $75.3 $70.0 $65.7 $81.9 $98.4 $128.6 $149.9 $158.1 $171.5 Oividen d-lnteresl-Rents $425.0 $-409.4 $423.1 $444.8 $402.3 $497.7 $510.9 $554.0 $617.2 $646.7 Residence Ad~Jstmenl ($327.6) ($303.9) ($322.IJ) ($361.1) ($377.0) ($395.7) ($414.0) ($432.3) ($444.2) ($447.8) Other Labor Income Net SS ContJibution $51.7 $53.7 $37.1 $49.5 $6B.4 $22.0 $100.6 $117.9 $132.8 $143.4 Proprietors $688.0 $623.2 $593.0 St312.7 $056.0 $710.9 $750.3 $819.7 $898.5 $964.3 STATISTICAL DISCREPNiCY (OOL VS BEA) $69.4 $65.0 $72.0 $71.0 $87.7 $83.1 $77.4 $85.0 $95.7 $118.4

INCOME CHECK FROM RAW DATA $10,028.6 $9,699.6 $9.971.S $10,852.6 $11,588.2 $12,0'18.6 $12,862.4 $13,577.4 $14,065.1 $14,390.3 =- ~-"'-==c=== == = = = =:: = ====="'"'"'-"'-="'==="'="' = = =::: = = = = == = = = :::c: = = :,:c:,;:;;=; = ===c======"'= ====co::: = = = = :::c::,:: = = = = =c::c==::cc;::cc;="' ======c=== ==== "'"' === == =,:: = = = = = = =:: TOTAL INCOME FROM MODEL $10,028.6 $9,699.6 $9,971.8 $10,852.6 $11,588.2 $12,048.6 $12,862.4 $13,577.4 $14,065.1 $14,390.3

Core income $6,202.1 $6,207.0 $6,455.5 $7,108.0 $7,418.8 $7,732.9 $8,233.1 $8,594.9 $8,734.6 $8,779.3 Non-Core Income $3,826.5 $3,492.6 $3,516.3 $3,744.6 $4,169.4 $•1,315.7 S,1,629.3 $4,982.6 $5,330.5 $5,611.0

TOTAL/CORE RATIO 1.62 1.56 1.~ 1.53 1.56 1.56 1.50 1.58 1.61 1.64 NON-CORE/CORE RATIO 0.62 0.56 0.54 0.53 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.64

------- - - ---- ------------ -------------------- ----------------. -- ------ -- --------------------- --- - ---- .. ----------------- ---------------TRANSFERS

Core-Not Job Relaled $725.3 $771.8 $B40.7 $027.6 $1,017.5 $1,125.6 $1,236.9 $1,403,1 $1,439.5 $1,516.0 Core-Job Related $141.8 $109.1 $100.4 $99.7 $115.3 $140.6 $184.7 $205.5 $206.5 $212.5 Non-Core-Job Related $104.4 $75.3 $70.0 $65.7 $81.9 $98.4 $128.6 $149.9 $158.1 $171.5

DIVIDEND / INT /RENT Core-Not Job Related $170.1 $173.1 $181.1 $200.2 $215.8 $224.0 $234.7 $252.1 $278.1 $288.0 Core-Joh Related $577.5 $593.0 $607.3 $674.5 $693.1 $711.2 $733.7 $759.2 $806.2 $801.1 Non-Core--Job Related $425.0 $409.4 $423.7 $'144.8 $492.3 $497.7 $510.9 $554.0 $617.2 $646.7

JOB SENSITIVE NON-WAGE INCOME ATTRIBU TOCOREJOBSNETRESIDENCEADJUSTME!l $1,186.11 $1,165.44 $1,21?.?3 $1,HH.43 $1,261.3·1 $1,19?.18 $1,300.73 $1,384.88 $1,436.58 $1,470.87

CORE SECTOR RESIDENCE ADJUSTI.ENT $226.0 $220.0 $278.3 $268.9 $283.0 $291}1 $308.6 $303.5 $307.3 $309.!"1

PETROLEUM $75.2 $1>'1.9 $66.7 $76.1 SB4.n $90.6 $86.5 $85.2 $90.7 $89.6 FISHING $44.2 $,16.3 $55.1 $67.6 $69.13 $77.2 $83.6 $77.8 $73.3 $78.9 TIMBER $18.3 $20.1 $20.4 $25.9 $26.1 $23.2 $22.7 $22.7 $19.2 $18.9 MINING $8.6 $10.6 $13.8 $16.7 $18.6 $10.5 $21.6 $\B.7 $19.9 $20.4 TOURISM $25.6 $24.8 $25.4 $29.7 $32.0 $34.0 $37.6 $39.1 $43.5 $46.2 AGRICULTURE $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 S0.1 $0.1 $0.1 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT -CIVILIAN $11.1 $11.4 $11.6 $12.5 $13.1 $13.3 $14.3 $15.3 $15.0 $14.1 FEDERAL GOVT---MILITAAY $12.2 $13.1 $13.3 $14.4 $14.6 $15.2 $15.7 $16.0 $14.0 $13.3 PETROLEUM RENTS $29.8 $27.9 $21.6 $24.9 $23.9 $23.3 $25.3 $27.3 $30.2 $26.5 INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT S0.8 $0.8 $0.8 $1.0 $1.1 $1.7 $1.3 $1.3 $1.4 $1.3

TOTAL RESIDENCE ADJUSTMENT (R.AW DATA $553.6 $523.9 $550.3 $630.0 $660.7 $6B3.2 $/'.l2.5 $735.7 $751.5 $757.3

CORE SHARE OF RESIDENCE ADJUSTMENT 41% ,12% 41% 43% 43% 43% 43% 41% 41% 41% =c====== == =====:-- --"'=====:c ====:= ::::::::::::::,:::c;:;,;c_:::;"'"'= =======:====:c:. = ===:==cc::: =====::::,;,c==c::c==:·· === ==:: :;c::;: == .. = = = """" :::" "'"'"'""' ======="'===:===========:c======

ISERATUM OB/21197 07:·13AM AID1MP8.WK4

Table A3. Part 1.

========= =======:==============:====== =========,;;:==== ======== ========"' ==o:===== ====c:c=== -----=== ======== ======== ======== "'------- --------INCOME AND JOB SHARES 1960 19S5 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

-=====::::: =========================::;;=:;:; ===--========' ==::c:,,==:== ======== ======"'= "'--""=-=- -----=== ======== =="'===="' ======== -------- --------A. CONTRIBUTIONS TO INCOME

A.1. COREWAGES&PROPRETOR~OME+ NON-JOB RELATED CORE ~COME-Pf. TRANSFERS, NE DR-BEFORE RES. ADJUST .$5.284 $5,525 $5.527 $5.794 $6.394 $6.642 $6,990 $7.323 $7.613 $7,691 $7.704

OL 1. PETROLEUM $792 $784 $682 $693 $788 $867 $937 $894 $880 $940 $924 OR.. RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS $1,511 $1.485 $1,371 $1,324 $1.492 $1.443 $1.534 $1,650 $1,752 $1,840 $1,784 PF PERl,W1ENT FUND $208 $295 $375 $428 $443 $474 $477 $478 $500 $522 $532

FISH 2. FISHING $375 $486 $485 $633 $S50 $674 $678 $653 $629 $567 $611 TIMBER 3. TIMBER $132 $144 $158 $161 $197 $197 $175 $171 $172 $148 $147 MINING 4.MINING $80 $77 $82 $108 $118 $131 $137 $149 $131 $142 $146 TOURISM S. TOURISM $219 $217 $211 $215 $250 $269 $286 $316 $329 $366 $390 AG 6. AGRICULTURE $3 $3 $3 $3 $3 $4 $4 $4 $5 $5 $5 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT--CIVILW-1 $1,155 $1,195 $1.258 $1.317 $1,448 $1.535 $1.658 $1,817 $2,004 $2,019 $2.043 Mil B. FED GOVERNMENT-MlUTARY $593 $619 $672 $681 $747 $768 .$810 $875 $880 $779 $751 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAl TRANSIT $56 $49 $47 $49 $59 $65 $71 $80 $80 $S5 $84 MISCINC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME $161 $170 $173 .$181 $200 $216 $224 $235 $252 $278 $288

A2.. CORE INCOME ATIRBUTED TO SECTOR t,ICLUOtffi NON-WAGE ~COJ.E OF EJ.4>t...OYEES ND PET RESDENCE. ADJUSTMENT .$5.880 $6.183 $6.181 $6.430 $7.082 $7.387 $7,694 $8,188 $8,552 $8,695 $8,733

OIL 1. PETROLEUM $844 $842 $733 $738 .$838 $928 $990 $961 $949 .$1.021 $1.007 OH... RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS $1.720 $1.707 .$1.576 .$1/,16 $1.707 $1.659 $1,746 .$1.908 $2.031 $2.146 $2.090 PF PERf,W-IENT FUND $208 $295 $375 $428 $443 $474 $411 .$478 $500 $522 $532 FISH 2. FISHING $395 .$524 .$521 $680 $687 .$716 .$705 .$681 $661 $597 $646 TIMBER 3. TIMBER .$136 $150 $165 $166 $202 $204 .$179 $178 $180 $156 $155 MINING 4.MIN!NG $84 $01 $97 .$112 $120 $134 $138 $153 $135 $148 $152 TOURISM 5. TOURISM .$229 $228 .$221 .$224 $260 $282 $296 $333 $347 $389 .$416 AG 6. AGRICULTURE $3 $3 $3 $3 $4 $4 $4 $5 $5 $6 $6 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT--CIVIL IAN .$1.332 $1.386 .$1,460 $1.518 $1,668 $1.778 $1,900 $2.114 $2.339 $2.373 $2,410 MIL 8. FED GOVERNMENT-M!LITAAY .$678 .$711 $173 .$778 $S52 .$881 $919 $1.009 $1,018 $908 $878 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT .$64 $57 $54 .$56 $68 $74 $80 $93 $92 $99 $98 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME .$187 .$199 $202 $210 $232 $252 $258 .$275 .$296 $329 $342

~- NON-CORE WAGE AND PROPRETOR f.lCOf.E ATIREUTED TO SECTOR .$4.100 .$3.826 $3,493 .$3.516 .$3.74.S $4.169 .$4.316 .$4.629 $4.983 $5,330 .$5.611

OL 1. PETROLEUM $588 .$521 $414 $404 .$443 $524 $556 $543 .$553 $626 $647 OB.. RENTS 9. PETROLEUM REUTS $1.199 $1.056 .$8!10 $829 $902 .$937 $980 .$1,079 $1,183 $1,316 .$1.343 PF PERl,W-IENT FUND .$145 $183 .$212 $234 .$234 .$267 $267 $270 .$291 $320 .$342 FISH 2. FISHING $276 .$324 $294 .$372 $363 .$404 $395 $3S5 $3S5 $366 $415 TIMBER 3. TIMBER $95 $93 $93 $91 $107 .$115 $100 $101 $105 $96 .$100

MINING 4.MINING $58 $50 $55 $61 $64 $76 $77 $87 $78 $91 $98 TOURISM 5. TOURISM $160 $141 $125 $123 $130 $159 $166 $188 .$202 .$239 $267 AG 6. AGRICULTURE $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 $3 $3 $3 $4 $4 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT-CIVILIAN S929 $858 .$825 $830 $882 .$1.004 .$1.066 $1.195 $1,363 $1,455 $1,548 Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MILITARY $472 .$440 $437 $425 $451 $497 .$516 $570 $593 $557 $564 IUTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT $45 $35 $30 $31 $36 $42 $45 $52 $54 $61 $63 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME $130 $123 $114 .$11!"> $123 S142 $145 S155 .$173 $202 $220

A..J. TOTAL tJCOME ATTRIBUTED TO SECTOR .$9,930 .$10,009 $9.674 $9.946 $10.826 .$11.SSti .$12.010 $12.818 $13.535 $14.025 $14.344

OIL 1.PETROLEUM $1.432 $1.363 $1,148 $1.142 $1.282 .$1.451 .$1.546 $1.504 $1,502 .$1.647 $1.654 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS $2,920 $2.763 $2,466 .$2.345 $2.609 $2.596 $2,126 $2,987 .$3.215 $3.461 $3.413 PF PERMANEUT FUND $354 .$478 $587 $663 .$677 .$741 $744 $749 $791 $843 .$874 FISH 2.FISHJNG .$671 .$348 $815 $1.052 $1.050 $1.121 $1.100 $1.067 $1.046 $963 $1.062 TIMBER 3. Tlf,tBER sn1 $243 $258 $257 .$309 .$319 .$279 $279 $284 $252 $255 MINING 4.MINING $142 $131 $152 $173 $104 .$210 .$215 $240 $213 .$238 $250 TOURISM 5. TOURISM .$389 $369 $347 .$347 $398 .$441 $462 $520 .$550 .$628 $663 AG 6.AGRICULTURE $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $6 $7 $0 $8 $9 $10 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMEUT-CIVILIAN $2.261 $2.244 $2.205 $2.348 $2,551 .$2.782 $2.986 $3,310 $3.701 $3.828 $3.958 MIL 8. FED GOVERNt.lENT-f,lll.JfARY S1.150 $1.151 $1.210 $1,203 $1,303 $1.378 $1.43.S $1,579 $1,610 $1.464 $1.442 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT $108 $92 $84 $87 $104 $116 $126 $145 $146 $160 $161 MISCINC MISCELLANEOUS V~COME $318 .$322 $317 $325 $355 .$394 $403 $4.10 $469 $531 .$561

A5. % OF CORE NCOJ.E 100% 100% 100% 100% 100':>~ 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

OR. 1. PETROLEUM 14% 14o/. 12% 11% 12o/~ 13% 1:1% 12% 11% 12% 12% Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 29% 23% 25% 24% 24% 22% 23% 23% 24% 25% 24% PF PERl,W-IENT FUND 4% 5'Y~ 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6¥. 6% •.. FISH 2. FISHING 7% 8Y. 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% .,. ... 7% "' TIMBER 3.TIMBER 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% MINING 4.MINING 1'·:.. 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% TOURISM 5. lOURISM 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4'i'~ 4% 4% 4% 5% AG 6. AGRICULTURE 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% FEDS 1. FED GOVERNMENT--CfVll..tMI 23% 22% 24% 2-1'1. 24% 24% 25% 26% 27% 27% 28% Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT--Mlt..lTMY 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12'% 12% 12% 12% 10% 10% INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAl TRANSIT 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% "' 1% 1% M1SC INC MISCELLAtlEOUS INCOME 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3'% 3% 3% 4% 4%

A.8. % OF TOTAL NCOME. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% IOO'Y. 100% 100% 100% 100%

OIL 1. PETROLEUM 14% 14% 12% 11% 12'1~ 13'1 .. 13% 12% 11'Y· 12% 12'i. Olt.. RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 29% '.ill% 15% 24% 24% 22% 23% 23% 24% 25,Y .. 24% PF PERMAf./ENT FUtlO 4% 5% 6% 1% 6% 6% 6% 6% .•. 6% 6% FISH 2. FISHING 1% "" 8% 11% 10% 10% 9,:.. 8% 8% 1% 1,:.. TIMBER 3.TIMBER 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3't~ 2% 2% 2% 2% 2,. MINING 4.MINING 1% 1% 2Y. 1'% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% TOURISM 5. TOURISM 4% 4% 4% 3'Y. 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% FEDS 1. FED GOVERNMENT-CIVlt..tMI 23% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 7!,% 26% 21% 27% 28% Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MILITARY 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 10% INTEffi.lATI 10. INTERNATIONAl TRANSIT 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1o/. "' 1% 1% MISCINC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4%

A.7_ f.lCOf.EJ.U..TPt.ERS-BASEISBEFORE RE.SDENCE ADJl.JSThENT AMJ ADOITION OF NON-WAGE NCOt.E OF CORE. EPJPLOYEES

OIL 1. PETROLEUM 1.81 1.74 168 165 163 1.67 165 1.68 1.71 1.15 1.79 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS t.93 1.86 1.tto 1.17 1.75 188 178 181 t.83 1.88 1.92 PF PERIAANENT FUtlD 1.70 1.62 157 155 1.53 156 156 157 1.58 1.61 1.64 FISH 2.FISH!NG 1.79 175 168 1.66 162 166 162 1.63 1.66 1.70 1.74 TIMBER 3. TIMBER 1.15 1.69 1.63 1.60 157 162 159 163 1.65 1.70 1.74 MINING 4.M!N!NG 178 171 165 160 156 1.60 1 S8 1.61 1.63 168 1.72 TOURISM 5. TOURISM 1.77 1.70 1.65 161 1.50 1.64 162 165 1.67 1.72 1.75 AG 6. AGRICUI.. TURE 1.94 186 1.80 177 I 75 1.79 177 180 1.83 1.88 1.92 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNt,IENT --CIVILIMI 1.96 1.8B 1.8:? 178 176 181 179 1.82 1.SS 1.90 1.94 Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT -M!LIT ARY 1.94 1.86 UJO 177 1.75 1.80 1.77 181 1.83 1.88 1.92 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL. TRANS!T 1.95 1.37 1.80 177 175 180 178 181 183 188 1.92 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 197 189 183 180 177 103 180 183 1.86 1.91 1.95

=======::c= ================c========c:::c==cc,c =====::======== ======== ======== =====.::=·· ::;;==,:e:::c:= ..o======= ======== ======== =c:c==c==c::c,::c ======== ======c==

ISERATUM 08/21197 07:42AM AID1MP8.\.VK4

Table A3. Part 2.

========= :c::::c:::;:::;o:;:c=-=====c=:=======-== =c=::c:,c========;c;= =c==:==:cc== ==='-'==== ======== ======== ======"'= ::::;;:;,;:=--- "'-"'""==== ======== ======== ======== INCOME ANO JOB SHARES 1960 1935 1906 19!.!7 19U8 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

=====:c:::c== ======= ====:c:======c======::c=s:c= =====c:c====="'== =:="'=--== ======== ======== ::,,:c:::cc:::.:::a:::; :::==:c:;cc,;=-- -------- ---==--- -------- --=''""""-= --------B. CONTRIBUTIONS TO JOBS

B.1. COREJOBSATTREUTEDTOSECTOR 137 &1 136.20 133.08 13-187 14734 144_14 14814 150.19 15058 146.45 143.26

OL 1. PETROLEUM 15-34 14 42 12.90 12.96 14 22 1553 1621 14 57 14_26 15.04 14.41 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 40.10 38H, 35.20 3432 3101 3639 36.15 37.91 3839 39.13 37.77 PF PERMAf-lENT FUND 0.00 o_oo 0.00 o_oo 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 o_oo 0.00 FISH 2.FISHING 16.26 17.01 16.97 18.72 19.40 2056 21.88 22.64 22.03 21-29 21.66 TIMBER 3. TIMBER 4.76 5.08 5.37 536 6.15 6_25 5.50 528 5.42 452 434 MINING 4.MINING 1.45 1.29 1.59 1.93 2.09 2.31 233 2.40 2.07 2.17 2.19 TOURISM S. TOURISM 9.58 9.86 9_90 9.99 1067 11.53 12.00 12.71 13_04 14.28 15.03 AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.20 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT-CIVIL WI 21-54 21.61 22.08 21.54 2254 22.88 2306 24.14 24.85 24.13 22.61 MIL 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MILITARY 26.68 26.49 2824 27_35 2835 26.62 28.82 28.19 28.19 23.46 22.90 fNTERNATI 10 INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 171 1 S7 154 156 177 194 2 OS 220 215 222 217

1)1)11 1)11{1 !/0() 1)1)1/ fl(J1) nn11 H II{) 1)1]11 {)(}{l OfJil

9.2. NON-CORE.JOBSATTRBUTEDTO SECTOR 136.89 12795 120.14 124.26 13068 139.44 143.05 14556 151 70 157.22 162.39

OIL 1. PETROLEUM 19_64 17.42 14.25 14.27 15.47 17 51 18.41 17.08 16.83 18.47 18.72 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 40_05 35.32 30.62 2929 31.49 3132 32.47 33.92 36.03 38_80 38.87 PF PERt,W,iENT FUND 4.85 6.11 7.29 8.28 8.17 8.94 8.86 8.50 8.86 9.44 9.89 FISH 2. FISHING 9_20 1084 10.12 13.14 12.67 1352 13.10 12_11 11.72 10.80 12.02 TIMBER 3. TIMBER 3.16 3.10 3.21 321 3.13 385 333 3.17 3.19 2.82 2.89 MINING 4.MINING 1.95 1.60 1.89 2.17 2.22 253 2.57 2.72 2.39 2.67 2.83 TOURISM .5. TOURISM 533 4.71 4_30 433 4.80 5.32 5.50 .5.91 6.16 7.04 7.74 AG 6. AGRICVl TURE 0.07 0.07 0.06 006 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.12 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT-CIVILIAN 31.01 28.69 28.38 2934 30.79 3357 3533 37.58 41.49 42.91 44.81 Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MILITARY 15.77 14.72 15.03 15.03 15 73 16.63 17.09 17.93 18.05 16.41 16.32 INTERNATI 10. lt-lTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1.49 1-18 1 o; 1 08 125 1.40 1 so u;5 1.64 180 1.83 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 436 4.12 3 94 4.06 4:!9 4.75 4.80 4.89 525 595 635

B.3. TOTAI..JOBSATTRBUTEDTO SECTOR 274.40 264.1.5 254 02 251.l 13 21:rn1 28358 291.19 295.75 30228 30366 30565

OR. 1. PETROLEUM 34.98 3184 27.H, 27 23 2969 33.04 3462 :H.GS 31.10 33.SO 33 13 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 80_14 74.07 6582 63.62 68!.0 67.71 68.62 71.83 74.42 77.93 76.64 PF PERMANENT FUND 4.85 611 7 29 ll23 817 094 8.86 8.50 8.86 9.44 989 FISH 2.FISHING 25.46 27_35 27.09 31.86 3207 34.08 3498 34.76 33.75 32.09 33.68 TIMBER 3. TIMOER 7.92 8.18 858 857 9_88 10.10 083 8.44 8.61 735 723 MINING 4.MINING 3.40 2.97 348 4.09 431 4 o; 4tl9 .5.12 4.46 4.85 5.02 TOURISM S. TOURISM 14 91 14 58 14-20 1433 1547 16.85 17 so 18.62 19.20 2132 22.76 AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0.18 0.18 0_18 010 0.18 021 022 0_24 0.27 0.29 031 FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT--CIVII.IAN 5255 5030 50.46 50.00 5333 56.44 5839 61.72 66.34 67.04 67.42 Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MILITARY 42 45 4121 4327 4238 44.08 43 26 4591 46.13 4624 39.88 3922 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 3.10 2.74 2.59 2.65 303 3.34 355 3.85 3.79 4.02 4.00 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 436 4.12 3.94 406 4 29 4.15 4.80 4.89 5.25 S.95 635

8.,&. % OF CORE. JOBS 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100 00% 10000% 100.00,;. 10000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

OL 1.PETROLEUM 112% 106'% 9.6% 9.7% 100% 10.8% 10.9% 9.7% 95% 103% 10.1% OIL RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 292% 285% 263% 25.6% 26.0% 252% 24.4% 25_2% 25.5% 26.7% 26.4¥~ PF PERMANENT FUND 0.0% 0.0% 00% 00% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% FISH 2. FISHING 11.8% 12.5% 12.7% 140% 13.6% 14.3% 14.8% 15.1% 14.6o/. 145% 1S.1'Y~ TIMBER 3. TIMBER 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 40% 4_3% 43% 31% 35% 3.6% 3.1% 3.0o/ .. MINING 4.MINING 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1-5% 1.6'>~ 16% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% TOURISM 5. TOURISM 7.0% 72% 7.4% 7 ~.% 75% 8.0% 81% 8.5% 8.7% 98% 10.5% AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 01% 0.1% 0.1o/ .. 0,1% 0.1% FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT ~CfVllWI 15.7% 15.9% 165% 16.1% 158% 15.9% 15.6% 16.1% 16.5% 16-5% 158% M!L 8. FED GOVERNMENT--MILITARY 19.4o/ .. 19.4% 21.1% 20.4% 19.9% HIS% 195% 188% 18.7% 16.0% 16.0% INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 12% 1 2,~ 13% 1.4% 15% 1.4% 15'% 15% MISCINC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 0.01'~ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 00% 00% 0_0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

8.5. % OF TOT AL JOBS 100.00% 100.00% 10000% 100.00% 10000% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Oil 1. PETROLEUM 12.7% 12.1% 10.7% 105% 109% 11.7% 11.9% 10.7% 10.3% 11.0% 10.8% OK. RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 292% 280% 25.9% 24.6% lS.1% 239% 23.6% 24.3o/. 24.6% 25.7% 2S.1'Y. PF PERMANENT FUND 1_8% 23% 2.9% 32% 3.0% 32% 30% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 32% FISH 2. FISHING 93% 105% 107% 123% 11.7% 12.0% 12.0% 11.8% 11.2% 10.6% 11_0% TIMBER 3. TIMBER 2.9% 3.1'Y. 3.4% 3::t% 36% 36% 3.0% 2.9% 28% 2.4% 2.4% MINING 4.M!NING 1_2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6'1 .. 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% TOURISM S. TOURISM 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 55% 57% 5.9% 60% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0.1% 0.1% 0.1". 0_1% o.w .. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 01% 0.1% 0 1% FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT--CIVILIAN 19_2% 19.0% 19.9% 197% 195% 19.9% 20.1% 20.9% 21.9% 22.1% 22.1,~ Mn.. 8. FED GOVERNt.tENT-MILITARY 155% 15.6% 17.0% 16.4% 16.1% 153% 15.8% 15.6% 15.3% 13.1% 12_8% INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAl TRANSIT 1_2% 1.0% 1.0% 10% 1.1% 12% 12% 1.3% 13% 13% 1-3% MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 1.6% 1.11% 1-5% 16% 1.6% 17% 17% 1.7% 1.7o/~ 2.0% 2.1'Y.

8.8. % OF NON-CORE JOBS 100.00% 10000% 10000% 100.00% 10000% 10000% 100 OO'Y~ 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

OIL 1. PETROLEUM 14.3% 136% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 1:!6% 129% 117"1. 11.1% 11.7% 11.5% Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 293% 27.6% 255% 236% 24.1% 225% 227% 233o/. 23.8% 24.7% 23.9%. PF PERMAf.lENT FUNO 3.5% 48% 6.1% 67% 63% 6.4% 62% 58% 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% FISH 2. FISHING 6.7% 85% 8.4% 10.6% 9.7% 9.7% 92% 83% 7.7% 6.9% 7.4% TIMBER 3. TIMBER 23% 24% 2.7% 26% 29% 28% 23% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% MINING 4.M!NING 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 17% 18% 18%, 1.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% TOURISM S. TOURISM 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3 S'Y .. 3.7'Y~ 38% J.H% 4.1% 4_1% 4.SY. 4.8% AG 6. AGRICULTURE 0.1% 01% 0.1% 01% 00% 0.1% 01% 0.1% O.l'Y. 0.1% 0.1% FEDS 7. FED GOVERNMENT--CIVILW-1 22.7% 224% 23.6% 236% 23.6% 24.1% 24,7% 25.8% 27.3'1. 27 3% 27.6% Mlt.. 8. FED GOVERNMENT-MIUTARY 11.5% 11.5% 12.5% 12.1% 120% 11.9% 119% 12.3% 11.9% 10.4% 10.1% INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1-1% 0.9% 0_9% 09% 10% 1.0% 10% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% U% MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS INCOME 32% 32% 33% 33% 33% 3.4% 34% 3.4% 35% 38o/ .. 3.9%

9.7. JOB MULTPLERS

OIL 1. PETROLEUM 2.28 2 21 2.10 2.10 2.09 2.13 214 2.17 2.18 223 230 Oil RENTS 9. PETROLEUM RENTS 2.00 1.91 1.87 1 85 ms 1.86 190 1.89 1.94 1.99 2.03 PF PERt,WlENT FUND ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR FISH 2. FISHING 157 1.64 1.60 1.70 165 1.66 1.60 1.53 1.53 1.51 1.56 TIMBER 3.TIMBER 167 1.61 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.62 1 61 1_60 159 1.62 1.67 MINING 4.M!NING 23.", 2:10 2.19 2_12 ::,06 2_10 2.10 2.14 2.15 2.23 229 TOURISM S. TOURISM 1!"i6 1.48 1.43 143 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.47 1.49 151 AG 6. AGRICULTURE 1.62 1-56 155 1.5~ 1.55 1.60 1.61 1.58 1.54 1.57 1.60 FEDS 1. FED GOVERNl,tENT--CIVII.IAN 2.44 23.1 229 23t) 237 :/47 253 256 2,67 2.78 2.90 Mil 8. FED GOVERNMENT--M!LITARY 1.!"19 156 1.5.3 1 SS 15!. 1.62 159 1.64 1.64 1.70 1.71 INTERNATI 10. INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT 1.87 1.75 1.68 1.69 171 1.72 173 1.75 1.76 1.81 1.84 MISC INC MISCELLANEOUS lNCOME ERR ERR EHH ERR ERH ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR ERR

z;:;:;;:::;:;:;;::::::c ::::::;;:;;:;;=:cc:c::::::c::::::=:::::::;;=:::=====,:;::::::cc=:c=c ====,:ccc.:,,::;;:;;:;;:;;:,:c =====-c::cc:: :;;::::;;:::::::::::,: :::;,;,;::;;:===oc =====:::::::: :::::::::::::;;;c:=; :c:cc:::=--··~ ---=::-:::;;:;; ====cc==---==::c=== :::::::;;:;;::::c=:;;

ISERATUM 08121197 07:42A!.1 AIDIMP8.WK4

Table A4.

BOLD ENffiY INDICATES AN ESTIMATE =c:===============--- -=::==::===:========cc==----====:c==-="'===="'"'==============:=.====--=======----===:c============:==================='========== MAP VARIABLE 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 :::== ===::: =====-"'"'---- - ::: :==: ==::: ==::::::: =c:c=== ---- -"':: = =:: ::: ::: ::; :: ===== c;_ ===---= -====== =:::::.. = = = = :. =::::;; :== -- - - ===cc====== ::cc:,:==-:::::::::::::===::;=========::: =cc: :,co:,=:::=::::=

INPUT: EMPLOYt.ENT IN 0-00

EMCN1 Constrnction--Other 17.387 12.414 9.704 8.693 9.558 10.278 10.340 10.086 11.572 12.305 12.569 EMCtJXf Construction-High Wage Enclave 1.222 0.958 0.382 0.272 0.240 0.225 0.225 0.167 0.173 0.473 0.434 EMCtHAP Construction-Alyeska pipef1ne 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 HIPP f.iining-Petroleum 8.870 8.510 8.060 8.620 9.165 10.258 10.541 9.229 B.956 9.149 B.690 EMPM~IE Mining-Other 0.640 0.570 0.720 0.970 1.082 1.217 1.221 1.252 1.075 1.122 1.125 EMMO Manulacturing...Other 3.400 3.130 2.930 3.100 3.242 3.364 3.508 3.144 3.804 3.714 3.361 EWJF Manufacturfug...food 6.390 6.810 6.890 8.490 8.552 9.852 10.974 11.617 10.944 10.660 10.909 El.l.'11. Manufacturing-Lumber 1.690 1.830 2.170 2.670 2.895 3.060 2.605 2.340 2.347 2.249 2.225 EIJ.>JP Manufaduring--Paper&Pulp 0.630 0.830 0.890 0.950 0.978 0.906 0.910 0.908 0.779 0.653 0.528 EMT91 Transpo11alion...Other 11.600 11.110 11.110 11.290 12.720 13.788 14.525 15.224 15.373 15.810 15.500 E!.IT9X Transportation-Pipeline 0.940 0.880 0.860 0.880 0.949 1.095 1.299 1.380 1.312 1.329 1.30-0 H.05 Transportation-Air 5.765 5.358 5.297 5.528 6.148 6.683 7.025 7.641 7.397 7.570 7.401 EMH T ransportation--Smvices 1.103 1.075 1.054 1.078 1.170 1.407 1.530 1.524 1.510 1.589 1.513

'.\()f,I) 3H11 'l?Hi1 11flH '\'.HG 3 ~11g '!tHfl :1 rnn 'l 8()7 '.J..774 Public Utilities 2.U1U 2.000 1.970 1.!J--10 4.469 2.393 2.43ti L.362 2.454 2.432 2.336

EMDW Wholesale Trade 8.730 8.090 7.410 7.500 7.924 8.038 7.787 7.820 8.009 8.277 8.647 EMDR Retail Trade 37.070 35.580 33.720 34.510 36.273 37.917 38.980 40.052 41.026 44.370 45.476 EI.IFI Finance, Insurance, Real Estate 11.620 11.360 10.240 9.710 9.244 9.165 9.466 9.488 10.004 10.787 10.555 EUS8 SefVices--Business 8.290 7.540 7.090 4.970 5.914 6.662 6.779 6.756 7.330 7.385 7.629 EUS:N8 Seivices--Non-Business 3-4.730 34.610 33.900 37.860 39.985 43.157 43.766 45.951 47.706 49.685 51.881 EMGC Federal Civilian 17.570 17.830 17.890 17.870 18.218 18.729 18.922 19.558 19.997 18.741 17.576 El.!GS Slate Government 20A70 20.180 18.730 19.380 20.675 21.474 21.434 21.883 21.529 21.572 21.422 EMGL Local Government 28.730 28.620 27.790 27.810 28.167 29.526 30.048 30.838 31.331 31.202 32.062 Et.lAFtSH AFF...fish Harvesting 0.210 0.240 0.290 0.360 0.532 0.463 0.519 0.728 0.771 0.446 0.419 E1'AGRI AFF--Agricolture 0.490 0.510 0.500 0.520 0.510 0.567 0.596 0.664 0.762 0.813 0.857 EllAUtl AFF-...fores!Jy & Misc. 1.260 1.160 0.950 0.428 0.706 0.746 0.637 0.748 0.981 0.504 0.496 EMGM Active Duty Milital)' 23.070 22.950 24.450 24.060 24.564 23.132 25.139 24.460 24.355 20.119 19.633 EI.IPROI Proprietors--Other ??? 15.103 14.265 13.464 13.782 14.964 15.842 16.463 16.845 17.334 17.463 17.694 EIJPROFIS Proprietors-.fish Harvest ??? 8.150 8.210 8.080 8.210 8.288 8.377 8.561 6.80-0 8.600 8.60-0 8.600

EIIOTOUR Tourisrn--Trade 3.390 3.532 3.558 3.656 3.844 4.189 4.362 4.610 4.719 5.155 5.413 EMTTOUR Tourism~ Transportation 1.695 1.766 1.779 1.828 1.922 2.095 2.181 2.309 2.359 2.578 2.707 EMSTOUR Tourism-Services 3.390 3.532 3.558 3.656 3.844 4.189 4.362 4.619 4.719 5.155 5.413 EIJ23 Manufactming-Petroleurn 0.23•1 0.254 0.260 0.285 0.318 0.330 0.340 0.324 0.335 0.328 0.330 EMTA Transpo1tation--Afr 5.765 5.358 5.298 5.528 6.150 6.662 7.025 7.341 7.396 7.570 7.401

INPUT: WAGES & SALARIES IN MIL

V.'SCtH Constnidion-Other $691.80 $•189.49 $381.46 $351.02 $399.02 $450.28 $431.87 $421.52 $503.70 $561.31 $553.53 \YSCtlXt Construdion.--Hi9h Wage Enclave $73.01 $53.31 $19.80 $14.61 $12.66 $12.41 $12.41 $9.81 $12.66 $26.48 $36.01 WSCNTAP Construdion-Atyeska pipeline so.oo S0.00 $0.00 $0.00 so.oo S0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 \'iSP'J Mining $561.76 $578.69 $545.25 $58!Hl6 $645.47 $748.82 $802.98 $779.29 $746.93 $777.52 $758.86 WSM9 Manufacturing $293.38 $302.52 $326.91 $390.91 $438.81 $"181.75 $509.32 $528.94 $508.42 $487.83 $507.63 WST9 T ranspo1tatlon $390.22 $353.51 $338.81 $361.13 $423.96 $475.12 $525.51 $587.99 $598.72 $634.75 $629.61

Communications $171.85 $162.08 $157.78 $117.71 $118.36 $126.19 $141.64 $145.24 $153.29 $161.90 $160.24

'""'' Public Utilities $87.19 $86.93 $83.51 $84.27 $320.19 $115.53 $113.83 $113.91 $120.68 $123.05 $119.74 WSD\'I Wholesale Trade $272.55 $248.27 $220.79 $222.13 $242.22 $258.86 $257.43 $265.14 $272.33 $282.33 $269.84 WSOR Retail Trade $612.28 $561.79 $514.67 $527.70 $582.94 $634.46 $659.86 $700.40 $712.94 $778.99 $818.21

Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $303.09 $306.95 $211.40 $258.79 $242.64 $247.99 $261.70 $275.14 $302.65 $324.32 $321.49 WSSB Seivices-Business $182.82 $155.15 $136.76 $97.38 $136.76 $152.97 $171A7 $171.94 $193.05 $183.02 $185.59 WSSflB Seivices~Non-Business $747.07 $714.44 $677.47 $772.31 $855.74 $961.46 $988.83 $1,087.68 $1,153.90 $1,203.31 $1,270.87 Vt&GC Federal Civilian $4s.t.32 $502.4·1 $518.10 $540.50 $558.63 $603.79 $641.313 $701.13 $746.83 $707.98 $690.37

Stale Government $694.97 $699.17 $650.74 $664.92 $714.99 $736.35 $813.37 $840.98 $851.93 $870.98 $866.03 Local Govemment $875.37 $898.95 $872.05 $856.88 $886.70 $924.H $967.81 $1,037.0,1 $1,078.92 $1,120.62 $1,135.25

V<SA9 AFF $,lt.49 $41.16 $39.02 $30.24 $41.35 $46.38 $47.71 $57.fM $60.70 $43.67 $<15.15 WSGM Active Duty Militaiy $461.42 $486.14 $531.15 $556.16 $581.33 $633.95 $666.57 $728.74 $726.01 $642.20 $618.58

INPUT: PERSONAL INCOME IN MIL

POP Population 230.4 543.9 550.7 541.3 535 538.9 553.124 569.6 587.6 598.3 602.9 603.5 PINS Wages and Salaries $7,127.88 $6,8°'1.69 $6,450.89 $6,611.45 $7,380.28 $7,822.32 $8,715.46 $8,&10.54 $8,945.16 $9,151.05 $9,252.13 POR Dividend.Interest-Rent $1,124.89 $1,172.61 $1,175.49 $1,211.63 $1,319A2 $1,401.13 $1,432.91 $1,479.26 $1,565.26 $1,701.52 $1,735.76 PITR,\111 Transfers (Net of PF Dividend) $925.50 $971.49 $956.18 $1,011.10 $1,093.05 $1,214.80 $1,3&1.60 $1,550.27 $1,758.51 $1,804.22 $1,900.00 EXTRHS PF Dividend $208.29 $295.M $374.86 $428.38 $443.02 $•173.85 $•176.75 $478.30 $499.58 $522.37 $531.85 P/SSC SS Contributions $516.65 $509.76 $499.20 $539.65 $604.45 $&13.12 $S48.5f1 $706.65 $740.36 $774.54 $795.42 PJPR01 Proprietor Income.Non Fi ??? $922.2•1 $%1.33 $881.18 $811.57 $810.37 $846.27 $H06.98 $956.39 $1,025.49 $1,130.69 $1,190.23 PJPROF Proprietor lncome.flsh H ??? $169.7!1 $265.06 $2,<,3.48 $357.6,1 $311.74 $325.88 $291.59 $235.09 $239.70 $200.43 $216.55 PIOLI OU1erLabor Income $647.32 $631.62 $630.68 $62!1.96 $729.14 $807.74 $902.0t'i $951.75 $1,019.82 $1,080.84 $1,116.52 PWDJ Residence Adjustment $605.12 $503.58 $523.91 $550.33 $629.07 $660.67 $693.20 $722.52 $735.75 $751.49 $757.34

INPUT: STATE REVENUES IN MIL$

RSfDtl Fed-State Grants in aid $304.50 $296.44 $359.42 $443.36 $491.78 $510.67 $553.70 $643.80 $775.10 $772.10 $812.21 GF Petroleum Royalties.lBonuses $1,061.10 $1,304.30 $526.00 $877.20 $886;10 $H17.50 $1,024.70 $720.30 $765.90 $525.0-0 $856.0-0

RPPS Pet Property Tax $128.40 $113.50 $102.50 $96.20 $89.70 $89.80 $85.00 $69.00 $66.90 $61.50 $57.30 RPTS Pel Production Tax $1,3B9.40 $1,107.90 $6·18.50 $818.70 $698.80 $1,001.60 $1,284.10 $1,053.20 $1,017.60 $692.10 $793.90 RP,X Pet Misc. Tax $0.00 $460.70 $85.20 $329.00 $259.70 $156.80 $398.60 $447.57 $75.83 $0.0-0 $0.00 RTCSPX Pet Corp Income Tax $168.60 $133.90 $120.40 $158.00 $166.00 $117.20 $185.10 $165.50 $834.70 $17.80 $128.50 Rl.1"1 Stale-local Transfers $930.50 $B46.90 $7135.70 $812.20 $859.30 $814.60 $846.20 $900.00 $900.00 $900.00 $900.0-0 RSGF GF Total Revenues $3,599.22 $3,441.01 $2,2•18.71 $2,827.55 $2,782.31 $3.0B7.74 $3,645.66 $3,173.11 $3,861.70 $2,426.27 $2,895.13 Rl.TF Federal.t.ocal Grants $128.90 $66.20 $74.80 $59.40 $78.30 $90.70 $98.30 $87AO $124.50 $100.00 $10-0.0-0 RlPT local Property Tax s,131.10 $465.10 $520.90 $565.70 $572.70 $595.50 $606.20 $559.8fJ $601.70 $60-0.00 $600.0-0 RUil Total local Govt Revenues $2,205.70 $2,065.40 $2,026.40 $2,058.90 $2,164.30 $2.201.90 $2,281.40 $2,200.70 $2,365.70 $2,-iOO.OO $2,500.00

RSEIIGF Non-Oil GF Revenues $279.0 $220.7 $240.1 $223.1 $244.6 $263.7 $282.7 $352.8 $325.6 $350.0 $350.0 RSIH GF Revenues from Fund Earnings $233.5 $195.2 $161.9 $13'.l.6 $100.7 $117.9 $12~1.0 SHH.8 $70.9 $31.7 $72.4 ELCP'9 Capital Outlays, local Government $731.4 $600.4 $713.9 $406.7 $354.1 $315.5 $335.B $417.5 $474.7 $50-0.0 $500.0

Capital Outlays, State Govemment $730.9 $467.4 $417.0 $259.8 $358.9 $377.7 $365.3 $390.0 $428.9 $502.4 $410.9 GF Expenditures Related to Currnnt Yr $3,&19.4 $3,610.0 $2,811.9 $2,767.1 $2,836.4 S2,8·13.5 $2,BM.7 $3,023.7 $3,145.3 $3,338.6 $3,312.9

INPUT: OUTPUT VARIABLES

OfV.ALP9 Petroleum Production --Value in 1995 .............. $5,897.32 .............. $8,531.05 ............ , ............... $9,3'19.47 $8/169.26 $7,257.40 VOl.PO Petroleum Production-Net Oil (Mill Bar 665.639 677.72 732.203 7!:>9.fi0t3 690.316 664.633 679.06~1 652.582 600.629 VOlPG Petroleum Production --Net Gas {Bill C 223.855 192.885 197.671 178.102 178.058 187.B-16 $201.48 200.885 189.816 217.714 VOl19 TimberHaivest--Public lands {t.1i!I BF) 555 622.5 830.3 951.2 1096.5 1033.4 921.2 OFV/ILF9 Fish landed-Value in 1995 $ $936.60 $1,189.38 $1,515.39 $2,059.86 $1.723.24 $1.784.71 $1,432.50 $1,821.21 VOlF9 Fish landcd--Volume (Mill lbs.) 3155.53 398'1.45 4776.07 5533.42 5200.76 5385.81 5010.67 5760.64

VOLi.iC Coal Produdion -{Million Tons) 1.37 1.493 1.509 1.551 1.457 1.!"176 $1.54 1.532 DFVAU.I Minfng Produdion~Value in 1995 $ $295.87 $254.77 $259.43 $29GA4 $344.24 $623.05 $610.85 $606.40 DfV.Al.AG Agriculture Production~Value in 1995 $19.72 $21.64 $23.11 $22.39 $10.02 $14.51 S13.71 $11.89

POMICPI Anchorage CPI-W (uiban wage earn} 106.0 108.0 108.0 108.0 111.0 118.0 123.8 128.0 132.0 134.8 138.5

ISERATUM Of\/21197 07:•13AM AID1MP8.WK4

ISERAT UAA

Table A5.

PARAMETERS 1985 1986 1987 1966 1969 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

RP7SGF PETROLEUM ROYALTIES & BONUSES RAW DATA $1,061.1 $1,304.3 $526.0 $677.2 $666.4 $917.5 $1,024.7 $720.3 $765.9 $525.0 $656.0 69 SMOOTHED $1,061.1 $1,304.3 $526.0 $677.2 $666.4 $917.5 $1,024.7 $720.3 $765.9 $525.0 $656.0

SHARES OF STATE-LOCAL REVENUE FROM OIL OR OIL BASED SAVINGS

FISC1 FISC2 FISC3

STATE LOCAL 0.33 % STATE GOVT$ FROM FEDS

STATE/LOCAL CONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMENT

ESCP91PDA REAL STATE CAPITAL SPENDING CONS1 STATE FUNDED CONST JOBS

ELCPSIPDANREAL LOCAL CAPITAL SPENDING CONL 1 LOCAL FUNDED CONST JOBS

% INFRASTRUCTURE JOBS ASSIGNED TO INDUSTRY I (SUM=1)

0.66 0.43 0.03

0.66 0.44 0.03

0.66 0.41 0.05

0.67 0.43 0.04

0.66 0.44 0.05

0.67 0.41 0.05

0.65 0.40 0.04

0.85 0.43 0.06

0.87 0.42 0.06

0.69 0.41 0.09

0.67 0.39 0.06

$669.53 $432.76 $366.11 $240.56 $323.33 $320.06 $295.07 $304.69 $324.92 $372.70 $296.66 '.3 45 2 16 1 93 1 20 1 62 1 60 I 48 1 62 1 86 1.48

$690.00 $555.93 $661.02 $376.57 $319.01 $267.37 $271.06 $326.17 $359.62 $370.92 $361.01 3.45 2.76 3.31 1.66 1.60 1.34 1.36 1.63 1.60 1.65 1.61

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

JOBS TO BE ASSIGNED 14.43 13.5 12.691 10.196 13.561 12.401 12.722 12.767 13.544 13.619 13.669 CORE WAGES (FOR ASSIGNMENT) $3,152.69 $3,354.36 $3,267.32 $3,564.97 $3,776.77 $4,077.01 $4,268.46 $4,480.84 $4,500.60 $4,411.64 $4,376.36

CONA1 CONA2 CONA3 CONA4 CONA5 CONA6 CONA7 CONA7A CONA6 CONA9

Petroleum Fishing Timber Mining Tourism Agriculture Federal Government Federal Military Petroleum Rents INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT

RATIO OF CONSTRUCTION TO CORE JOBS IN

CONB1 CONB2 CONB3 CONB4 CONB5 CONB6 CONB7 CONB7A CONB6 CONB9


PROPRIETOR JOBS FOR EACH CORE OR INFRASTRUCTURE JOB BY INDUSTRY

CONC1 CONC2 CONC3 CONC4 CONC5 CONC6 CONC7 CONC7A CONC6 CONC9

CONC11


Construction

CORE PORTIONS OF INDUSTRIES

SHR1 SHR2

Agriculture Non.Tourist Air Transport

% NON-WAGE INCOME ASSUMED CORE AND NOT FROM STATE/LOCAL GOVT SOURCE

CONHF CONHS CONH2

PITRAN1 PITRAN1 PIDIR

FEDERAL-MISC TRANSFE STATE TRANSFERS

0.015

% OF WAGES LEAKING OUT--RESIDENCE ADJ

Petroleum Fishing Timber f,.iining Tourism Agriculture Federal Government Federal Military Petroleum Rents INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT

Construction

0.16 0.10 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.31 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.30

0.2 0.2

0.17 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.15 0.14 0.30 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.36

0.2 0.2

0.16 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.26 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.40

0.2 0.2

0.16 0.16 0.63 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.15 0.16 0.27 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.42

0.2 0.2

0.16 0.15 0.03 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.27 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.38

0.2 0.2

0.18 0.15 0.63 O.D2 0.06 0.00 0.15 0.16 0.25 0.01

0.05 0.000 0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0.2

0.18 0.14 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.15 0.16 0.25 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0.2

0.17 0.13 O.Q3 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.26 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.625 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0.2

0.57329 0.57256 0.6176 0.63676 0.65036 0.64109 0.62939 0.60595 0.16312 0.17407 0.16954 0.19466 0.1963 0.19653 0.19544 0.19193

14.3% 14.5% 14.7% 14.9% 15.2% 15.4% 15.6% 15.9%

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

06/21197 07:43 AM

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.61 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.0, 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.16 0.13 O.D3 0.02 0.06 0.00 0,17 0.16 0.27 0.01

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0.2

0.61 0.19

16.1%

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.17 0.12 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.16 0.15 0.28 0.02

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0.2

0.61 0.19

16.3%

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

0.17 0.13 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.16 0.14 0.27 0.02

0.05 0.000

0.15 0.15

0.025 0.05 0.05 0.05

NA 0.05

0.05 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05

0.35

0.2 0,2

0.61 0.19

16.6%

0.10 0.20 0.15 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.15

AIDIMP8.WK4

Table A6.

BASIC SECTORS EMPLOYMENT SUMMARY

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------OIL MIN TOUR INTER MISC

OIL RENTS PF FISH TIMBER ING ISM AG FEDS MIL TRAN INC SUM ------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------

CORE EMPLOYMENT IN THOUSANDS

61 0.73 1.54 0.00 7.46 2.34 1.23 1.14 0.00 18.10 35.66 0.33 0.00 68.54 62 0.83 1.77 0.00 7.57 2.50 1.15 1.18 0.00 18.43 36.22 0.32 0.00 69.95 63 0.90 5.02 0.00 7.38 2.63 0.96 1.20 0.01 19.27 36.18 0.32 0.00 73.86 64 0.92 5.38 0.00 7.60 2.77 0.81 1.24 0.01 20.36 35.58 0.33 0.00 74.99 65 0.81 7.51 0.00 6.05 2.99 0.90 1.30 0.01 20.61 36.26 0.35 0.00 79.00 66 1.15 7.67 0.00 6.61 3.00 0.90 1.32 0.01 20.71 36.49 0.36 0.00 60.41 67 1.96 9.36 0.00 7.51 2.24 0.77 1.39 0.01 20.66 37.00 0.40 0.00 61.32 66 2.65 9.29 0.00 6.16 3.24 0.63 1.41 0.01 19.66 35.92 0.45 0.00 61.63 69 4.03 9.70 0.00 7.62 3.29 0.59 1.52 0.01 19.66 35.73 0.56 0.00 62.72 70 3.32 6.49 0.00 9.02 3.56 0.74 1.67 0.02 19.62 34.60 0.57 0.00 61.61 71 2.72 11.52 0.00 6.59 3.63 0.72 1.95 0.02 20.94 33.53 0.52 0.00 84.14 72 2.31 14.54 0.00 6.67 3.74 0.68 2.12 0.03 21.04 31.35 0.56 0.00 65.03 73 2.14 16.86 0.00 10.11 4.13 0.63 2.43 0.04 21.19 30.32 0.61 0.00 88.49 74 7.26 16.94 0.00 9.64 4.88 0.63 2.82 0.04 22.25 28.79 0.76 0.00 94.22 75 20.70 18.42 0.00 9.96 4.67 0.86 3.50 O.Q3 23.74 29.52 1.04 0.00 112.43 76 24.40 18.50 0.00 12.26 4.62 0.92 4.24 0.04 22.94 28.75 1.03 0.00 117.73 77 15.35 17.56 0.00 12.90 4.97 0.69 5.43 0.04 22.26 26.60 0.94 0.00 109.16 78 10.23 19.70 0.00 14.81 4.26 0.87 5.60 0.05 22.46 26.45 0.94 0.00 105.40 79 9.34 21.27 0.00 16.46 4.60 0.93 6.01 0.06 21.95 26.56 1.02 0.00 106.21 80 10.59 22.66 0.00 16.90 5.28 1.18 6.52 0.05 21.19 25.09 1.07 0.00 110.54 81 14.59 30.69 0.00 17.07 5.29 1.76 6.77 O.o? 20.90 25.61 1.28 0.00 124.04 82 15.36 33.20 0.00 16.18 5.69 1.66 7.43 0.09 21.16 25.50 1.35 0.00 127.65 83 15.66 36.64 0.00 15.37 5.52 1.67 6.04 0.09 21.44 25.73 1.52 0.00 131.67 84 15.21 37.35 0.00 14.80 5.48 1.48 9.14 0.11 22.13 26.20 1.69 0.00 133.59 85 15.34 40.10 0.00 16.26 4.76 1.45 9.58 0.11 21.54 26.68 1.71 0.00 137.51 86 14.42 38.75 0.00 17.01 5.06 1.29 9.86 0.12 21.61 26.49 1.57 0.00 136.20 87 12.90 35.20 0.00 16.97 5.37 1.59 9.90 0.12 22.06 28.24 1.54 0.00 133.88 88 12.96 34.32 0.00 18.72 5.36 1.93 9.99 0.12 21.54 27.35 1.56 0.00 133.87 89 14.22 37.01 0.00 19.40 6.15 2.09 10.67 0.12 22.54 28.35 1.77 0.00 142.34 90 15.53 36.39 0.00 20.56 6.25 2.31 11.53 0.13 22.88 26.62 1.94 0.00 144.14 91 16.21 36.15 0.00 21.88 5.50 2.33 12.00 0.14 23.06 28.82 2.05 0.00 148.14 92 14.57 37.91 0.00 22.64 5.28 2.40 12.71 0.15 24.14 28.19 2.20 0.00 150.19 93 14.26 38.39 0.00 22.03 5.42 2.07 13.04 0.17 24.65 28.19 2.15 0.00 150.58 94 15.04 39.13 0.00 21.29 4.52 2.17 14.28 0.19 24.13 23.46 2.22 0.00 146.45 95 14.41 37.77 0.00 21.66 4.34 2.19 15.03 0.20 22.61 22.90 2.17 0.00 143.26

TOTAL EMPLOYMENT IN THOUSANDS

61 1.20 2.34 0.00 9.81 3.52 2.86 1.55 0.01 27.54 45.27 0.51 0.21 94.83 62 1.39 2.71 0.00 10.04 3.79 2.69 1.61 0.01 28.22 46.00 0.50 0.24 97.21 63 1.44 7.52 0.00 9.47 3.87 2.09 1.59 0.01 28.44 45.38 0.48 0.25 100.55 64 1.49 8.15 0.00 9.71 4.13 1.77 1.65 0.01 30.58 45.48 0.50 0.30 103.78 65 1.35 11.32 0.00 10.57 4.53 1.97 1.74 0.01 30.92 46.34 0.53 0.36 109.63 66 1.96 11.66 0.00 11.49 4.58 2.05 1.77 0.02 31.29 47.10 0.55 0.42 112.93 67 3.45 14.75 0.00 10.33 3.44 1.42 1.92 0.02 32.73 48.77 0.62 0.52 117.98 68 4.80 14.93 0.00 11.27 4.97 1.16 1.98 0.02 32.31 46.58 0.70 0.55 121.27 69 7.43 15.94 0.00 10.69 5.19 1.10 2.18 0.02 33.52 50.01 0.93 0.74 127.75 70 6.52 14.86 0.00 13.52 5.91 1.45 2.48 O.o3 36.12 51.09 0.97 0.88 133.83 71 5.20 20.16 0.00 12.37 5.94 1.41 2.85 0.04 38.13 49.46 0.88 0.87 137.31 72 4.43 25.50 0.00 12.81 6.08 1.34 3.12 0.05 38.97 47.50 0.95 0.92 141.66 73 3.84 29.06 0.00 15.13 6.33 1.14 3.42 O.D7 41.83 44.20 0.96 0.91 146.89 74 15.87 30.06 0.00 15.14 7.93 1.62 4.17 0.06 43.64 43.80 1.33 1.11 164.75 75 47.36 31.99 0.00 14.83 7.39 1.61 5.24 0.05 44.98 43.49 1.89 1.04 199.86 76 58.20 31.56 0.00 19.32 7.27 1.69 6.29 0.07 41.74 41.29 1.82 1.06 210.31 77 37.04 33.63 0.00 19.87 8.69 1.94 8.75 0.08 46.39 44.30 1.88 1.53 204.09 78 23.01 39.76 0.00 24.30 7.69 2.06 9.20 0.09 50.39 42.85 1.92 1.95 203.26 79 21.41 42.50 0.00 27.24 8.35 2.17 9.64 0.11 49.38 42.21 2.04 2.17 207.21 80 24.18 45.74 0.00 26.30 9.31 2.67 10.34 0.09 47.10 39.50 2.10 2.22 209.54 81 32.40 59.08 0.00 23.18 6.76 3.66 10.50 0.12 45.54 38.91 2.43 2.30 226.89 82 33.89 62.74 10.95 21.29 9.36 3.43 11.47 0.15 45.05 39.19 2.53 2.53 242.57 83 36.44 72.22 4.32 21.51 9.37 3.70 12.75 0.15 49.00 40.74 2.92 3.40 256.53 84 36.47 75.94 4.01 19.75 9.57 3.56 14.78 0.19 53.31 42.63 3.32 4.13 267.66 85 34.98 80.14 4.85 25.46 7.92 3.40 14.91 0.18 52.55 42.45 3.19 4.36 274.40 86 31.84 74.07 6.11 27.85 8.18 2.97 14.58 0.18 50.30 41.21 2.74 4.12 264.15 87 27.15 65.82 7.29 27.09 8.56 3.48 14.20 0.18 50.46 43.27 2.59 3.94 254.02 88 27.23 63.62 8.28 31.66 8.57 4.09 14.33 0.18 50.66 42.36 2.65 4.06 258.13 89 29.69 66.50 8.17 32.07 9.86 4.31 15.47 0.18 53.33 44.06 3.03 4.29 273.01 90 33.04 67.71 8.94 34.08 10.10 4.65 16.85 0.21 56.44 43.26 3.34 4.75 283.56 91 34.62 68.62 8.86 34.98 8.83 4.69 17.50 0.22 58.39 45.91 3.55 4.80 291.19 92 31.65 71.83 8.50 34.76 8.44 5.12 18.62 0.24 61.72 46.13 3.85 4.89 295.75 93 31.10 74.42 8.86 33.75 8.61 4.46 19.20 0.27 66.34 46.24 3.79 5.25 302.28 94 33.50 77.93 9.44 32.09 7.35 4.85 21.32 0.29 67.04 39.86 4.02 5.95 303.66 95 33.13 76.64 9.89 33.66 7.23 5.02 22.76 0.31 67.42 39.22 4.00 6.35 305.65

ISERAT UAA 08/21/97 07:47 AM AIDIMP8.WK4

BASIC SECTORS EMPLOYMENT SUMMARY

----------------------------------------------------------------------------OIL MIN TOUR INTER MISC

OIL RENTS PF FISH TIMBER ING ISM AG FEDS MIL TRAN INC SUM -------------------------------------------------------------

RATIO OF TOTAL TO CORE EMPLOYMENT

61 1.65 1.51 ERR 1.31 1.51 2.33 1.36 1.22 1.52 1.27 1.55 ERR 1.36 62 1.66 1.54 ERR 1.33 1.52 2.34 1.37 1.40 1.53 1.27 1.56 ERR 1.39 63 1.61 1.50 ERR 1.26 1.47 2.16 1.32 1.35 1.48 1.25 1.51 ERR 1.36 64 1.63 1.52 ERR 1.26 1.49 2.19 1.33 1.36 1.50 1.26 1.52 ERR 1.36 65 1.67 1.51 ERR 1.31 1.51 2.19 1.34 1.54 1.49 1.26 1.52 ERR 1.39 66 1.70 1.52 ERR 1.31 1.52 2.29 1.34 1.54 1.51 1.29 1.55 ERR 1.40 67 1.76 1.56 ERR 1.37 1.53 1.64 1.36 1.46 1.56 1.32 1.56 ERR 1.45 66 1.61 1.61 ERR 1.36 1.54 1.64 1.40 1.76 1.63 1.35 1.57 ERR 1.49 69 1.65 1.64 ERR 1.40 1.56 1.67 1.43 1.67 1.70 1.40 1.64 ERR 1.54 70 1.96 1.75 ERR 1.50 1.66 1.97 1.49 1.79 1.64 1.47 1.72 ERR 1.64 71 1.92 1.75 ERR 1.44 1.64 1.95 1.46 1.74 1.62 1.46 1.67 ERR 1.63 72 1.91 1.75 ERR 1.46 1.63 1.96 1.47 1.79 1.65 1.51 1.69 ERR 1.67 73 1.79 1.72 ERR 1.50 1.53 1.61 1.41 1.66 1.97 1.46 1.59 ERR 1.66 74 2.16 1.76 ERR 1.57 1.63 1.96 1.46 1.63 1.96 1.52 1.74 ERR 1.75 75 2.29 1.74 ERR 1.49 1.56 1.67 1.50 1.63 1.69 1.47 1.62 ERR 1.76 76 2.36 1.71 ERR 1.57 1.57 1.63 1.46 1.74 1.62 1.44 1.76 ERR 1.79 77 2.41 1.92 ERR 1.54 1.75 2.18 1.61 1.61 2.06 1.54 2.00 ERR 1.67 78 2.25 2.02 ERR 1.64 1.81 2.38 1.64 1.61 2.24 1.62 2.05 ERR 1.93 79 2.29 2.00 ERR 1.66 1.62 2.32 1.61 1.87 2.25 1.59 1.99 ERR 1.91 80 2.26 2.02 ERR 1.56 1.76 2.26 1.59 1.71 2.22 1.57 1.96 ERR 1.90 81 2.22 1.92 ERR 1.36 1.65 2.06 1.55 1.67 2.16 1.52 1.90 ERR 1.63 82 2.20 1.69 ERR 1.32 1.65 2.o4 1.54 1.70 2.13 1.54 1.67 ERR 1.90 63 2.33 1.97 ERR 1.40 1.70 2.21 1.59 1.70 2.26 1.56 1.93 ERR 1.95 64 2.40 2.03 ERR 1.33 1.75 2.41 1.62 1.73 2.41 1.63 1.97 ERR 2.00 65 2.26 2.00 ERR 1.57 1.67 2.35 1.56 1.62 2.44 1.59 1.67 ERR 2.00 66 2.21 1.91 ERR 1.64 1.61 2.30 1.46 1.56 2.33 1.56 1.75 ERR 1.94 67 2.10 1.67 ERR 1.60 1.60 2.19 1.43 1.55 2.29 1.53 1.66 ERR 1.90 66 2.10 1.65 ERR 1.70 1.60 2.12 1.43 1.55 2.36 1.55 1.69 ERR 1.93 69 2.09 1.65 ERR 1.65 1.61 2.06 1.45 1.55 2.37 1.55 1.71 ERR 1.92 90 2.13 1.66 ERR 1.66 1.62 2.10 1.46 1.60 2.47 1.62 1.72 ERR 1.97 91 2.14 1.90 ERR 1.60 1.61 2.10 1.46 1.61 2.53 1.59 1.73 ERR 1.97 92 2.17 1.69 ERR 1.53 1.60 2.14 1.46 1.56 2.56 1.64 1.75 ERR 1.97 93 2.16 1.94 ERR 1.53 1.59 2.15 1.47 1.54 2.67 1.64 1.76 ERR 2.01 94 2.23 1.99 ERR 1.51 1.62 2.23 1.49 1.57 2.76 1.70 1.81 ERR 2.07 95 2.30 2.03 ERR 1.56 1.67 2.29 1.51 1.60 2.96 1.71 1.64 ERR 2.13

SHARE OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT

61 1.3% 2.5% 0.0% 10.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0% 29.0% 47.7% 0.5% 0.2% 62 1.4% 2.8% 0.0% 10.3% 3.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.0% 29.0°/t 47.3% 0.5% 0.2% 63 1.4% 7.5% 0.0% 9.4% 3.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.0% 28.3% 45.1% 0.5% 0.2% 64 1.4% 7.9% 0.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.7% 1.6% 0.0% 29.5% 43.8% 0.5% 0.3% 65 1.2% 10.3% 0.0% 9.6% 4.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.0% 28.2% 42.3% 0.5% 0.3% 66 1.7% 10.3% 0.0% 10.2% 4.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.0% 27.7% 41.7% 0.5% 0.4% 67 2.9% 12.5% 0.0% 8.8% 2.9% 1.2% 1.6% 0.0% 27.7% 41.3% 0.5% 0.4% 66 4.0% 12.3% 0.0% 9.3% 4.1% 1.0% 1.6% 0.0% 26.6% 40.1% 0.6% 0.5% 69 5.6% 12.5% 0.0% 8.4% 4.1% 0.9% 1.7% 0.0% 26.2% 39.1% 0.7% 0.6% 70 4.9% 11.1% 0.0% 10.1% 4.4% 1.1% 1.9% 0.0% 27.0% 36.2% 0.7% 0.7% 71 3.8% 14.7% 0.0% 9.0% 4.3% 1.0% 2.1% 0.0% 27.8% 36.0% 0.6% 0.6% 72 3.1% 18.0% 0.0% 9.0% 4.3% 0.9% 2.2% 0.0% 27.5% 33.5% 0.7% 0.6% 73 2.6% 19.8% 0.0% 10.3% 4.3% 0.8% 2.3% 0.0% 28.5% 30.1% 0.7% 0.6% 74 9.6% 18.3% o.or. 9.2% 4.8% 1.0% 2.5% 0.0% 26.5% 26.6% 0.8% 0.7% 75 23.7% 16.0% 0.0% 7.4% 3.7% 0.8% 2.6% 0.0% 22.5% 21.8% 0.9% 0.5% 76 27.7% 15.0% 0.0% 9.2% 3.5% 0.8% 3.0% 0.0% 19.8% 19.6% 0.9% 0.5% 77 18.2% 16.5% 0.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.0% 4.3% 0.0% 22.7% 21.7% 0.9% 0.1-r. 76 11.3% 19.6% 0.0% 12.0% 3.8% 1.0% 4.5% 0.0% 24.8% 21.1% 0.9% 1.0% 79 10.3% 20.5% 0.0% 13.1% 4.0% 1.0% 4.7% 0.1% 23.8% 20.4% 1.0'% 1.0% 80 11.5% 21.8% 0.0% 12.6% 4.4% 1.3% 4.9% 0.0% 22.5% 18.8% 1.0% 1.1% 61 14.3% 26.0% 0.0% 10.2% 3.9% 1.6% 4.6% 0.1% 20.1% 17.2% 1.1% 1.0% 62 14.0% 25.9% 4.5% 6.8% 3.9% 1.4% 4.7% 0.1% 18.6% 16.2% 1.0% 1.0% 63 14.2% 28.2% 1.7% 8.4% 3.7% 1.4% 5.0% 0.1% 19.1% 15.9% 1.1% 1.3% 64 13.6% 28.4% 1.5% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 5.5% 0.1% 19.9% 15.9% 1.2% 1.5% 65 12.7% 29.2% 1.8% 9.3% 2.9% 1.2% 5.4% 0.1% 19.2% 15.5% 1.2% 1.6% 66 12.1% 28.0% 2.3% 10.5% 3.1% 1.1% 5.5% 0.1% 19.0% 15.6% 1.0% 1.6% 67 10.7% 25.9% 2.9% 10.7% 3.4% 1.4% 5.6% 0.1% 19.9% 17.0% 1.0% 1.5% 66 10.5% 24.6% 3.2% 12.3% 3.3% 1.6% 5.5% 0.1% 19.7% 16.4% 1.0% 1.6% 69 10.9% 25.1% 3.0% 11.7% 3.6% 1.6% 5.7% 0.1% 19.5% 16.1% 1.1% 1.6% 90 11.7% 23.9% 3.2% 12.0% 3.6% 1.7% 5.9% 0.1% 19.9% 15.3% 1.2% 1.7% 91 11.9% 23.6% 3.0% 12.0% 3.0% 1.7% 6.0% 0.1% 20.1% 15.8% 1.2% 1.7% 92 10.7% 24.3% 2.9% 11.8% 2.9% 1.7% 6.3% 0.1% 20.9% 15.6% 1.3% 1.7% 93 10.3% 24.6% 2.9% 11.2% 2.8% 1.5% 6.4% 0.1% 21.9% 15.3% 1.3% 1.7% 94 11.0% 25.7% 3.1% 10.6% 2.4% 1.6% 7.0% 0.1% 22.1% 13.1% 1.3% 2.0% 95 10.8% 25.1% 3.2% 11.0% 2.4% 1.6% 7.4% 0.1% 22.1% 12.8% 1.3'rt 2.1%

ISERAT UAA 08/21/97 07:47 AM AIDIMP6.WK4

structural analysis of the alaska economy: … · structural analysis of the alaska economy: a...

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