striking a balance between bank and capital markets debt · funding whilst employing a sensible...
TRANSCRIPT
Striking a balance between bank
DACT Workshop
Striking a balance between bank and capital markets debt
5 November 2009Noordwijk
Rabobank International GFM
Introduction
The credit crisis has changed the funding landscape for Corporatesg g p pdramatically and it has marked the end of cheap bank financing
Faced with bigger solvency constraints and higher liquidity costs banks areFaced with bigger solvency constraints and higher liquidity costs banks arein less of a position to provide cheap financing
This development is forcing Corporates to look at alternative sources ofThis development is forcing Corporates to look at alternative sources offunding whilst employing a sensible strategy with regards to existing bankfinancing
By canvassing recent developments in the bank loan and debt capitalmarkets we want to provide you with a toolset to assist you in addressingupcoming (re)financing requirements and bring you up to date on latestupcoming (re)financing requirements and bring you up to date on latestmarket developments
3
Introduction
This presentation summarises key learning points developed by Rabobankp y g p p yDCM teams through our involvement as lead arranger in many recenttransactions
We look forward to share these learning points with you and we welcomeyour active participation in this workshop
4
Agendag
Introduction
Loan market update
Debt capital markets update
Overview of alternative funding instrumentsOverview of alternative funding instruments
Discussion on financing strategy
Experience of selected transactions
5
Loan Markets
Update
Loan Markets
Rabobank International GFM
Loan Markets Update (I)p ( )
Lowest issuance since 1992 limitedLowest issuance since 1992, limitedbenchmark material
Large number of refinancings expected inLarge number of refinancings expected in2010 / 2011
Banks are focusing on home marketsBanks are focusing on home markets
Relationships / Ancillary business are key
Underwrites only in acquisition scenario’s
Reducing Liquidity PremiumsReducing Liquidity Premiums
Scare capital increases Raroc requirements
7
Source: LPC LoanConnectorPlease note that this graph is distorted by:inclusion of rated transactions only, implicating actual pricing levels are higher than shown in the graph itself. Jumbo transactions
Loan Volume and # of dealLowest volume since early ninety’s
8
Source: LPC LoanConnectorPlease note that this graph is distorted by:inclusion of rated transactions only, implicating actual pricing levels are higher than shown in the graph itself. Jumbo transactions
Pricing for Rated Companiesg pPricings are reducing after the peak in H1 2009
Loan pricing versus Euribor in bpsLoan pricing versus Euribor in bps
9
Source: LPC LoanConnectorPlease note that this graph is distorted by:inclusion of rated transactions only, implicating actual pricing levels are higher than shown in the graph itself. Jumbo transactions
Loan Markets Update (II)p ( )
Debt buy backs from (sponsor) equityDebt buy backs from (sponsor) equity
Three years tenors are regularTenor 1yr, margin 12.5 bps, 4 bps commitment fee, Rating AANew banks may find the super fine pricing on the
Five year tenors now available for highrated companies, possibly back in 2010
y f p f p gfinancing difficult to justify to credit committees, but the short maturity and the possibility of profitable ancillary business may make lenders keen to tie up a relationship with the borrower
Forward start agreement EUR 3.9 bln Tenor 3yr, margin 225bps. Rating A-Companies that have recently secured liquidity through
Forward starts and maturity extensionshave been popular tools
p y q y gforward starts agreements are contemplating returning to the loan market for cheaper full refinancingLess flexibility in interest periods and
multi currency
Documentation to include defaultinglender and impaired agent
EUR 800 mln ,Tenor 5yr, margin bps. Rating A-The financing raised eyebrows when it was launched in July with a 140 basis points (bps) margin and five-year maturity, but gathered support from the market
10
maturity, but gathered support from the market
Debt Capital Markets
Update
Debt Capital Markets
Rabobank International GFM
€ issue volume corporate bond market in Europep pSince the credit crisis the bond market has gained in importance at the expense of the bank market
€ Corporate issuance investment grade credits (IG+MTN, volume € mio and no. per month)p g ( , p )
6060,000
40
50
40,000
50,000
3030,000
10
20
10,000
20,000
002007 Apr Jul Oct 2008 Apr Jul Oct 2009 Apr Jul Oct
12
Source: Daelogic, Bloomberg, Rabobank InternationalLevels per 29 October 2009
Corporate issuance per rating category (in € mio)p p g g y ( )
€ Corporate issuance for investment grade credits
2009 AAA
p g
2007
2008 AA
A
2005
2006 BBB
BB
2004
2005B
CCC-D
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000
2003
13
Levels per 29 October 2009
Vix Index
VIXVIX
80
90
VIX Index
60
70
40
50
20
30
0
10
14
Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09
Levels per 29 October 2009
iTraxx
iTraxx CDS (Main and CrossOver)
1200
1400600
Main (LHS) Xover (RHS)
iTraxx CDS (Main and CrossOver)
1000
1200
400
500
600
800
300
400
600
200
0
200
0
100
O t 08 J 09 A 09 J l 09 O t 09
15
Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09
Levels per 29 October 2009
Corporate credit spreads have droppedp p pp
A – and BBB-rated corporate credit asset swap spreads
6004.50
bps%
EUR 10y Bund EUR A EUR BBB
A and BBB rated corporate credit asset swap spreads
400
500
4.00
3003.50
200
3.00
0
100
2.50
16
02.50Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09
Levels per 29 October 2009
Bond issuance throughout the credit crunchWhat a difference a sector makes
g
Bond issuance of KPN (Baa2/BBB+) and BMW (A1/A+, downgraded to A3/A)Bond issuance of KPN (Baa2/BBB+) and BMW (A1/A+, downgraded to A3/A)
BMW 8 875% 2013
600600
iTraxx (lhs)
KPN 7.50% 2019
BMW 8.875% 2013
BMW 6 125% 2012400
500
400
500KPN CDS (lhs)
BMW CDS (lhs)
KPN bonds (rhs)
KPN 6.25% 2014
BMW 6.375% 2012BMW 6.125% 2012
300300
BMW bonds (rhs)
KPN 6.50% 2016
KPN 6.25% 2013
KPN 5.625% 2024
BMW 4.00% 2014
200200
KPN 4.75% 2014KPN 5.00% 2012
BMW 4.25% 2014BMW 4.875% 2012
BMW 5.00% 2015
0
100
0
100
J 07 A 07 J l 07 O t 07 J 08 A 08 J l 08 O t 08 J 09 A 09 J l 09 O t 09 J 10
17
Levels per 29 October 2009
Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10
Cost of funds banksFunding conditions returning to normality
European senior, unsecured bond spreads
260
Credit Suisse 2017 / 5.125% (Aa1/A+/AA-)
Intesa Sanpaolo 2013 / 5.375% (Aa2/AA-/AA-)
Commerzbank 2014 / 5% (Aa3/A/A+)
European senior, unsecured bond spreads
220
Commerzbank 2014 / 5% (Aa3/A/A )
Deutsche Bank 2017 / 5.125% (Aa1/A+/AA-)
HSBC France 2013 / 4.875% (Aa3/AA/AA)
Credit Agricole 2013 / 6% (Aa1/AA-/AA-)
140
180 Svenska 2014 / 4.875% (Aa2/AA-/AA-)
BNP Paribas 2013 / 5% (Aa1/AA+/AA)
Rabobank '14/ 4.375% (Aaa/AAA)
100
20
60
Jan 08 Apr 08 Jul 08 Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09 Jul 09 Oct 09
18
Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09
Levels per 29 October 2009
Alternative funding instruments
Overview
Alternative funding instruments
Rabobank International GFM
Overview of funding instrumentsgBank lending
Bank loan markets
Until Further Notice
Products
Bilateral
Distribution Process
None
Refinancing Method
+ + +- -
Ancillary Club Deal Straightforward
ty
Com
ime
# o
f r
Term Loan
Revolving Credit Facility
Underwritten
Syndicated
Maturity Extension
Forward start
Fle
xib
ilit
mm
itmen
t
Mn
gt
Ti b
an
ks T
en
or
Sub Term Loan
+
+
-
- -
20
Overview of funding instrumentsgDebt capital markets
Debt capital markets
Public bonds
p
Non - Public Commercial Paper Securitisation
Recei ables Sec ritisationEUR / USD / GBP / CHF
Rated / Non-rated
US Private Placements
MTN/European Placements
Euro CP
Domestic CP
Receivables Securitisationthrough conduit
Term Securitisation
Institutional / Retail
Liability Management
Schuldschein
21
Financing strategy
Discussion
Financing strategy
Rabobank International GFM
Financing strategyg gy
Relationship Bank lender is different than investor
Key dynamics to consider
Relationship. Bank lender is different than investor
Timing. Do not wait until the very last moment. Remain flexible by keepingoptions openoptions open
Consider other products to alleviate pressure on one single market. Pricingpressure and risk of market shutdownpressure and risk of market shutdown
Wallet sizing. Keep in mind prospective bank’s cross-sell products in relationto your own business when selecting banksto your own business when selecting banks
Find the right balance between complementarity and competitiveness ofyour banking group Different banks can offer complementary servicesyour banking group. Different banks can offer complementary serviceshowever competition supports best price execution
23
Financing strategyg gy
Do a liquidity analysis – which banks in your current group will be there
Loan market
Do a liquidity analysis which banks in your current group will be theretomorrow
Avoid collusion amongst the banks no all Lender callsAvoid collusion amongst the banks, no all Lender calls
Self arrange the deal, but appoint a coordinator chosen amongst the banks
A smooth process will improve your conditions, the longer you talk the moreconditions you will get
Avoid using non bank advisors to coordinate the process
Choose the real consensus of indicative term sheets not the best of allChoose the real consensus of indicative term sheets, not the best of allworlds
A t l ti k t th i it d b ti
24
Accept lower tickets than invited, be pragmatic
Financing strategyg gyEurobond market
Strong growth of the market offering deep pool of fundingStrong growth of the market offering deep pool of funding
Strong demand now allows less obvious candidates to tap the market,including un-rated and high yield corporatesincluding un rated and high yield corporates
Stand alone documentation most efficient for infrequent borrowers. IFRSreporting required for EU Prospectus Directive compliant documentationreporting required for EU Prospectus Directive compliant documentation
Can be used to satisfy core funding need, allowing relief of bank lines
Execution time from preparation to settlement can be swift
Market dynamic Correct timing of launch can have big pricing implicationMarket dynamic. Correct timing of launch can have big pricing implication
25
Financing strategyg gyUS Private Placement market
The US Private Placement market offers an alternative source of funding toThe US Private Placement market offers an alternative source of funding tothe bank market
Reliable tried and tested market for terming out debt beyond bank marketReliable, tried and tested market for terming out debt beyond bank marketcomfort
Size is tailored to issuer needs also in terms of redemption profileSize is tailored to issuer needs also in terms of redemption profilemanagement (tranching)
Additional stakeholder group of sophisticated investors able to analyse unAdditional stakeholder group of sophisticated investors able to analyse un-rated debt
26
Financing strategyg gySecuritisation markets
Attractiveness of ABCP financing from strong sponsors has gained as aAttractiveness of ABCP financing from strong sponsors has gained as aresult of higher bank loan costs
Covenant relief Securitisation funding is non-recourse therefore often notCovenant relief. Securitisation funding is non recourse therefore often notincluded in calculation of bank covenant of senior debt / EBITDA
The liquid Asset Backed Commercial Paper markets currently offer a betterThe liquid Asset Backed Commercial Paper markets currently offer a betteralternative for funding than the illiquid ABS market
Term securitisation activity placed with third party investors low in 2008Term securitisation activity placed with third party investors low in 2008and 2009 because of credit crisis
27
Financing strategyg gyInterest rate and currency rate management
Interest rate management can be addressed through cash and derivativeInterest rate management can be addressed through cash and derivativemarkets
Think about your objectives Low coupon or low spreadThink about your objectives. Low coupon or low spread
Currency. When accessing funding in other currencies be aware of creditlines / solvency issueslines / solvency issues
Aim for transparency. Hedge syndication!
With increased volatility comes wider bid / offer spread
Higher credit spreads also impact risk pricing in swap marketsHigher credit spreads also impact risk pricing in swap markets
28
Selection of transactions
Experience
Selection of transactions
Rabobank International GFM
Experience of selected transactions
Top 10 Corporate Bonds
EUR 750mln notes due 2013
AB Inbev(Belgium)
EUR 750,000,000
Alliander(The Netherlands)
EUR 700 000 000
KPN(The Netherlands)
EUR 750 000 000
AB Inbev(Belgium)
EUR 500 000 000
DSM(The Netherlands)
EUR 700,000,000
Air France - KLM(France)
p
EUR 750mln notes due 2013EUR 600mln notes due 2017 GBP 550mln notes due 2024
January2009
Joint Lead Manager
EUR 750,000,0005.5% notes due 2016
EUR 500,000,000 4% notes due 2012
April 2009
Joint Bookrunner
EUR 700,000,0005.625% notes due 2024
September 2008
Joint Bookrunner
EUR 750,000,0006.57% notes due 2014
February 2009
Joint Bookrunner
EUR 500,000,0005.75% notes due 2014
March 2009
Joint Bookrunner
EUR 700,000,0006.75% notes due 2016
October 2009
Co-Lead Manager
No. 1 Syndicated Loans
EUR 550,000,000 Syndicated Loan
Enexis(The Netherlands)
Co-ordinating Mandated Lead Arranger & Bookrunner
EUR 1,000,000,000 Syndicated Loans
Friesland Campina(The Netherlands)
Mandated Lead Arranger, Bookrunner & Facility Agent
EUR 350,000,000 Syndicated Loans
NS Groep N.V.(The Netherlands)
Co-ordinatingMandated Lead Arranger
EUR 390,000,000 Senior and Subordinated
Credit Facilities
Gamma Holding N.V.(The Netherlands)
RestucturingCo-ordinator
EUR 350,000,000 Syndicated Loans
Royal Boskalis Westminster N.V.(The Netherlands)
Co-ordinatingMandated Lead Arranger
EUR 130,000,000 & EUR 50,000,000 Syndicated Loans
Arcadis(The Netherlands)
Co-ordinatingMandated Lead Arranger
No. 1 Financials –Senior Unsecured Senior Unsecured
EUR 1,000,000,000
Aegon(The Netherlands)
Senior UnsecuredEUR 2,000,000,000
Rabobank(The Netherlands)
Multi Tranche MTNEUR 383,000,000
FMO(The Netherlands)
Senior UnsecuredEUR 1,500,000,000
Rabobank(The Netherlands)
Senior UnsecuredEUR 5,000,000,000
Rabobank(The Netherlands)
Senior UnsecuredEUR 750,000,000
Eureko(Netherlands)
October 2009 August 2009 August 2009 July 2009 July 2009 July 2009
Senior Unsecured
N 1
7% notes due 2012
April 2009
Co Lead
4.75% notes due 2016
April 2009
Joint Bookrunner
April 2009
Sole Bookrunner
4.75% notes due 2018
January 2009
Joint Bookrunner
4.375% notes due 2014
January 2009
Joint Bookrunner
7.375% notes due 2014
June 2009
Joint Bookrunner
No. 1 Financials –Government Guaranteed Senior Unsecured
EUR 2,500,000,0003.375% notes due 2014
Fortis Bank Nederland(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner
Senior UnsecuredEUR 4,000,000,000
3.375% notes due 2014
ING Bank(The Netherlands)
Co-Lead
Senior UnsecuredEUR 2,000,000,000
3.125% notes due 2012
NIBC Bank(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner
Dual Tranche Senior UnsecuredUSD 2,750,000,000
3.2 % notes due 2014USD 500,000,000
3M L +35 notes due 2014
Achmea Hypotheekbank(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner
Senior UnsecuredEUR 2,000,000,000
2.875% notes due 2012
SNS Bank(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner
Senior UnsecuredEUR 2,000,000,000
3.5% notes due 2014
SNS Bank(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner
30
May 2009 February 2009 February 2009October 2009 January 2009February 2009
Experience of selected transactions
No. 1 Perpetuals/ Hybrid Capital
Euro Retail
Fortis (The Netherlands)
Euro Retail Hybrid
Eureko(Netherlands)
Euro Retail Hybrid
KBC(Belgium)
Euro Retail
ING(The Netherlands)
Fixed Rate
Aegon(Netherlands)
Hybrid Tier 1
Deutsche Bank
(Germany)
p
Euro Retail Hybrid Capital Tier 1
EUR 625 Million
2008
Co-Lead Manager
Euro Retail Hybrid Capital Tier 1EUR 225mln
2008
Joint Bookrunner
Euro Retail Hybrid Capital Tier 1EUR 1.25bn
2008
Senior Co-Lead Managerand Listing Agent
Euro RetailHybrid Capital Tier 1
EUR 1.5 bn
2008
Co-Lead Manager
Fixed RatePerpetual Capital Securities
EUR 200 million
2006
Joint Bookrunner
Hybrid Tier 1EUR 1,300,000,000
9.5% coupon
August 2009
Co Lead Manager
No. 1 Asset Backed - RMBS
RMBSStreAM 2008
EUR 4,167,000,000
ABP(The Netherlands)
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
RMBSSTRONG 2008
EUR 1,000,000,000
Obvion(The Netherlands)
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
RMBS Holland Homes 2007-II
EUR 580,000,000
DBV(The Netherlands)
Joint Bookrunner & Arranger
RMBS Acier 2009
EUR 582,150,000
Staalbankiers(The Netherlands)
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
RMBSBest 2007
EUR 30,000,000,000
BEST(The Netherlands)
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
RMBS Citadel 2009
EUR 1,950,000,000
Van Lanschot(The Netherlands)
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
No. 1 Asset Backed – CMBS / SME
2008 2008 2007
CMBSSkyline 2007
FGH Bank(The Netherlands)
CMBSQuality Parking 2007
Q-Park(The Netherlands)
June 2009 2007
SMEBest SME 2008
BEST(The Netherlands)
SMEBest SME 2007
BEST(The Netherlands)
Hybrid CMBSLancelot 2006
Van Lanschot(The Netherlands)
January2009
CMBS Rec 7
Rothschild(UK)
N 1
EUR 3,000,000,000
June 2007
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
EUR 300,000,000
April 2007
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
EUR 10,763,000,000
2008
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
EUR 7,500,000,000
2007
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
EUR 600,000,000
November 2006
Bookrunner & Arranger
GBP 446,000,000
2008
Sole Bookrunner & Arranger
No. 1 Liability Management
Exchange Offer & Consent SolicitationHybrid Capital Securities
EUR 650,000,000
ASR Nederland(The Netherlands)
Joint Dealer Manager
Tender Offer Storm 2003-2007-IEUR 804,900,000
Obvion(The Netherlands)
Sole Manager & Arranger
Tender OfferSundial 2004-I
EUR 199,000,000
Rabobank(The Netherlands)
Sole Manager & Arranger
Tender OfferSkyline 2007
EUR 3,000,000,000
FGH Bank(The Netherlands)
Sole Manager & Arranger
Buy Back US Private Placement Notes
USD 125,000,000
Heijmans(The Netherlands)
Joint Advisor
Tender OfferEUR 1,000,000,000
KPN(The Netherlands)
Joint Tender Agent
31
July 2009 July 2009 June 2009 May 2009 2009 November 2006