spotlight on asx conference · ** resource booking conducted 2010 and will be updated during 2013....
TRANSCRIPT
www.cometridge.com.au ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
Spotlight on ASX Conference 14 May 2013, Hong Kong
16 May 2013, Singapore
www.cometridge.com.au ASX Code : COI
Contents
2
Comet Ridge Limited (COI)
Gas Market
COI Australian Assets
www.cometridge.com.au ASX Code : COI
Section 1:
3
Comet Ridge Limited (COI)
www.cometridge.com.au ASX Code : COI
Company Snapshot
4
Upstream energy company
focusing on exploration and
appraisal of CSG from its
Queensland and Northern NSW
assets
Exposure to significant upside in
basins where there is increasing
demand for gas, significant new
markets and prices moving upwards
ASX listed and based in Brisbane
Operational focus - developing gas
reserves in a tightening east
Australian gas market
Comet Ridge also holds petroleum assets in New
Zealand and 12% of a business based in Denver
focused on exploration targets in the Rockies
www.cometridge.com.au ASX Code : COI
Comet Ridge – Corporate Overview
5
Capital structure (ASX:COI)
Share price (as at 8 May 13) $0.21
Shares on issue 406.5m
Market capitalisation1 $85.4m
Cash (as at 31-Mar-13) $6.5m
Enterprise value1 $78.9m
1. Excludes 2.5m unlisted options and 3.9m performance rights
Source: IRESS
12 month trading history
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James McKay
Non-Exec Chairman
• 25 years in business (commerce/law background)
• Former Chairman, Sunshine Gas
Tor McCaul
Managing Director
• Petroleum engineer with 25 years in upstream and
downstream oil & gas
Tony Gilby
Non-Exec Director
• Geologist with 30 years in oil & gas
• Former Managing Director, Sunshine Gas
Chris Pieters
Non-Exec Director
• Geologist with 10 years in oil & gas
• Former Chief Commercial Officer, Sunshine Gas
Jeff Schneider
Non-Exec Director
• Commercial background with 35 years in oil & gas
• Former Director (Gas) at Woodside
Gillian Swaby
Non-Exec Director
• 30 years in finance & resources
• Former Chair of WA Council of Chartered Sec.
Comet Ridge – Corporate Overview
Board
6
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Comet Ridge Limited
7
Large resource and
equity positions
Multi-basin exposure
Significant 3C
Resource base
Domestic and export
market opportunities
Tightening east
Australian gas market
Board and
management team
combines technical and
commercial; CSG and
conventional; upstream
and downstream
(including LNG)
capability
Combines tenure with
majors and successful
independents
Strategic CSG assets Experienced team
Focus on reserve certification
First Mahalo pilot scheme now operating, second on-line next several weeks
Targeting first 2P Reserves 2013
Advancing appraisal at other projects
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Significant independent Resource bookings in four areas
Outside of the Gladstone LNG projects, Comet Ridge estimates it holds ~20% of the
CSG resources
Net Gas Resources
8
Comet Ridge Limited – Net Recoverable Resources
* Where the auditor has detailed Prospective Resources in a range, the mid-range case has been listed in the table
** Resource booking conducted 2010 and will be updated during 2013.
*** Current interest – announced 2012 that Comet Ridge Limited is acquiring a further 25% interest in PEL 427, 20% in PEL 428 and 22.5% in
PEL 6, subject to NSW Government and JV approvals. Following the completion of this transaction, Comet Ridge Limited net resources in
NSW will increase to 474 PJ (Contingent) and 2101 PJ (Prospective), totalling in excess of 5400 PJ eastern Australia gas resources.
Location Project COI
Interest
Contingent
Resource (2C)
(PJ)
Contingent
Resource (3C)
(PJ)
Prospective
Resource
(PJ)
Galilee Basin,
QLD
Gunn Project Area (ATP 744P) 100% 67 1,870 597*
Bowen Basin,
QLD
Mahalo Block (ATP 337P) ** 35% 193 387 -
Gunnedah
Basin, NSW
PEL 427 and PEL 428 *** 25% &
40%
- 231 1,022
West Coast,
NZ
PMP 50100 and PEP 50279 100% - 244 -
Total 260 2,732 1,619
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Key Achievements - Past 12 Months
9
MAHALO GALILEE GUNNEDAH
Pilot drilling at
Mahalo and Mira
Constructed two
pilot schemes,
Mahalo now
operating
JV with Santos,
APLNG and
Stanwell
3 well appraisal
drilling programme
Successful Gunn-2
extended production
test
Phase 1 ATP 1015
farm-in drilling
programme extends
Gunn Project Area
Progressively
increasing equity in
Gunnedah blocks to
material position
JV with Santos
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2013 Work Programme
10
Q1 (Jan-Mar) Q2 (Apr-Jun) Q3 (Jul-Sep) Q4 (Oct-Dec)
PRODUCTION TESTING PROGRAMME
MA
HA
LO
Non-operated
Mahalo pilot
Mira pilot
GA
LIL
EE
100%,
operated
Gunn-2
EPT
CORE HOLE PROGRAMME
MA
HA
LO
Non-operated
Step-out
core wells
GA
LIL
EE
Farm-in Area,
operated
Stage 2
Farm-in wells
SEISMIC PROGRAMME
NS
W
CSG non-
operated
Construction /
Commissioning Testing
Construction /
Commissioning
Testing
Testing
Drilling
Drilling
Scouting Seismic
acquisition
Testing
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Section 2:
Gas Market
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Gas Market Demand
12
Queensland gas market is
now dominated by LNG
exports
4 large LNG consortia
control almost 90% of 2P
CSG reserves in E. Aust
Increasing pressure on
domestic gas supply and
pricing
Intensifying competition for
uncommitted gas reserves
Qld domestic gas demand and projected
gas demand for LNG exports
CSG 2P Reserves,
February 2013 LNG proponents
AGL
Other
88%
5% 7%
Source: RLMS
Source: 2012 Gas Market Review Queensland
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Gas Market Demand (continued)
13
Domestic customers report
an inability to contract gas
LNG proponents seeking to
contract gas for train
expansions
Qld Gas Market Advisor
forecasts a domestic
supply constraint 2015-
2020 if supply situation does
not improve
NSW gas market expected
to tighten further leaving
+1m gas customers
substantially undersupplied
Australian gas consumer Brickworks switches
fuels as supply crunch looms.....
…..Brickworks is planning to take at least four of
its plants in NSW and Queensland off gas in the
next 6 months….
” “
Platts, 10 April 2013
We’re heading towards a gas crisis.
” “ Chris Hartcher, NSW Minister for Resources and
Energy, ABC Newcastle, 22 August 2012
Whichever way you look at it the east Australian gas
story is a coal seam gas story.
You can clearly see the perfect storm that is heading
the way of east coast gas customers.
” “
Michael Fraser, Managing Director & CEO AGL Energy
at the Australian Domestic Gas Outlook Conference 2013,
Sydney, 10 April 2013
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” “
” “
” “
Historically, east Australia has had some
of the cheapest gas in the world
East Australian gas prices have
increased substantially and forecast to
continue to move up
Gas Pricing
East Coast gas producers are now talking
publicly of prices of up to $8/GJ (Origin
and AGL) and up to $9/GJ (Santos)
……Draft Energy White Paper,
Submission by the DomGas Alliance
(16 March 2012)
Santos Managing Director David Knox,
said gas deals were already being signed
at the "higher end" of a $6-$9 a gigajoule
range, up from current prices of $3 to
$4…
…consumers are being asked to pay
around A$9/GJ for gas delivered up to
2016…
….Platts, 10 April 2013
Range of Qld long-term ex-field gas
contract price outcomes ($/GJ)
Source: 2012 Gas Market Review Queensland
….The Australian, 23 February 2013
14
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Section 3:
COI Australian Assets
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Mahalo Project – Background
16
Located in the northern
Denison Trough, 250km
west of Gladstone
Close to infrastructure
linking to Gladstone
JV partners APLNG and
Santos participate in two
of the Gladstone LNG
projects
Operational focus now on
running two pilot
schemes with the aim of
proving initial 2P reserves
in 2013
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Mahalo and Mira pilot wells drilled
July 2012 and January 2013
Construction of Mahalo and Mira
pilot schemes during first half
2013 comprising:
Downhole pumps and tubing
Separators
Flow lines
Water storage tanks
Gas flare
Mahalo pilot scheme on-line from
late April and producing gas
Mira pilot scheme due on-line
next several weeks
Mahalo Project (ATP 337P), Bowen Basin
17
ATP 337P (COI 35%, Stanwell 5%, APLNG 30%, Santos 30%)
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Sale to Stanwell Corporation
of COI interest in ATP 337P
Mahalo:
5% interest for $7
million;
Stanwell funding up to
$8 million of drilling
programme and pilot
facilities
Stanwell option to pay
$1M per PJ of 2P
reserves booked (to buy-
out COI completely)
Mahalo Contingent
Resource net to COI: 387 PJ
of 3C and 193 PJ of 2C *
ATP 337P Mahalo Agreement with Stanwell
18
* Resource booking conducted 2010 and will be updated during 2013.
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Large area (~250,000km2)
covering a big part of central
western Queensland
Overlain by Eromanga Basin
and underlain by Drummond
Basin
Land use is grazing – cattle and
sheep
Oil recoveries and conventional
gas flows over a number of
years
One working pilot in the basin
Permian Betts Creek Beds
Up to 6 seams
Total thickness up to 24m net coal
Significant coal mine province
evolving in the shallow coals in
the east
Galilee Basin – Background
19
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100% interest in 13,000
km2 plus up to 75% interest
in Farm-in Area (825 km2),
operated by COI
5 initial wells (2010) and
2D Seismic acquisition
programme (2011)
1,870 PJ of 3C Contingent
Resource and considerable
untested upside
3 well programme (2012)
Gunn 2 extended production
test 1Q 2013
2 farm-in wells
Galilee Basin – Greater Gunn Project Area
Gunn Project Area 3C Gas Resources are material in size (1,870 PJ) and 100% COI
20
ATP 743P, ATP 744P and Galilee Farm-in
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Different market segments
emerging for commercial
development: coal, power, LNG
Development option 1: Power for
coal mines / local generation
Development option 2: Gas
supply to LNG projects at
Gladstone
Development option 3: Domestic
gas supply via Barcaldine
Galilee Basin – Commercial Options
21
Galilee Basin market
opportunities
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Large area covering central
northern NSW
Overlain by Surat Basin in north
Land use is grazing, forestry and
cropping
Oil recoveries and conventional
gas flows over a number of
years
Several working pilots in the
basin
Permian Blackjack and Maules
Creek
Multiple seams
Total thickness up to 45m net coal
Gunnedah Basin – Background
22
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Significant investment has
been made in the basin (ESG,
Santos, EnergyAustralia) and
material reserves delineated
NSW Government policy has
recently curtailed exploration
in NSW within two km of
townships
Minimal impact on Gunnedah
Basin positioning it for
prioritised development to
supply gas shortfall
Comet Ridge has 18,000 km2
under licence across PEL 428
(60%), PEL 427 (50%) and
PEL 6 (22.5%) *
Gunnedah Basin – Regional Activity
23
Gunnedah Basin permits and infrastructure
*Subject to NSW Government and JV approvals
of Petrel acquisition.
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Disclaimer
This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Comet Ridge Limited (ABN 47 106 092 577) (Comet Ridge). The Presentation and information contained in it is being provided to shareholders and investors for information purposes only. Shareholders and investors should undertake their own evaluation of this information and otherwise contact their professional advisers in the event they wish to buy or sell shares. To the extent the information contains any projections, Comet Ridge has provided these projections based upon the information that has been provided to Comet Ridge. None of Comet Ridge or its directors, officers or employees make any representations (express or implied) as to the accuracy or otherwise of any information or opinions in the Presentation and (to the maximum extent permitted by law) no liability or responsibility is accepted by such persons.
Summary information
This Presentation contains summary information about Comet Ridge and its subsidiaries and their activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with Comet Ridge’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au.
ASX Releases
Investors are advised that by their nature as visual aids, presentations provide information in a summary form. The key information on detailed Resource statements can be found in Comet Ridge’s ASX releases. Resource statements are provided to comply with ASX guidelines but investors are urged to read supporting information in full on the website.
Past performance
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance
This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”, “could ”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees of future performance.
Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains such statements that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Such forward-looking statements are relevant at the date of this Presentation and Comet Ridge assumes no obligation to update such information.
Investment risk
An investment in Comet Ridge shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge. Comet Ridge does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Comet Ridge. Persons should have regard to the risks outlined in this Presentation.
Competent Person Statement
The gas resource estimates for ATP 774P, ATP 337P, PMP 50100 and PMP 50279 provided in this statement were determined by Mr John Hattner of Netherland, Sewell and Associates Inc, Dallas, Texas, USA, in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hattner is a full-time employee of NSAI, and is considered to be a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.11 and has given his consent to the use of the resource figures in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
The resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 referred to in this presentation were determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.11. Mr Hower consented to the publication of certain resource figures which appeared in the announcement of 7 March 2011 made by Eastern Star Gas Limited (ASX:ESG) and any reference and reliance on the resource figures for PEL 6, PEL 427 & PEL 428 in this presentation is only a restatement of the information contained in the ESG announcement.
Important Notice and Disclaimer
24
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Comet Ridge Limited Contact Level 1
283 Elizabeth Street
Brisbane 4000
www.cometridge.com.au
25
GPO Box 798
Brisbane 4001
Telephone:
Facsimile:
+61 7 3221 3661
+61 7 3221 3668