skills development scotland international symposium 2016 - david wilson
TRANSCRIPT
David WilsonExecutive Director
International Public Policy Institute
SKILLS AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTHSkills Development Scotland Symposium
on Work-based Learning21 September, 2016
Skills and Inclusive Growth
• The “big picture” on the future of work, income and skills – a quick review• Why Work-based Learning matters, more and more• Building the work-based learning (eco)system
The “Elephant Diagram” explains almost everything
“Hollowing out” is happening everywhere
And concerns raised about future job losses
“……….around 47 percent of total US employment is in the high risk category – i.e. jobs we expect could be automated relatively soon, perhaps over the next decade or two”.Carl Benedikt Frey & Michael Osborne, The Future of Employment 2013
Should we fear the rise of the robots?
“there is a long history of leading thinkers overestimating the potential of new technologies to substitute for human labour and underestimating their potential to complement it”. David Autor, Professor of Economics, Harvard University
“The things people enjoy the most…are the things machines do worst.” Erik Brynjolfsson, Director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy
Universal skills?
Thinking about the modern workplace
“…every era has a different human model to suit a different theory of productivity…… We apply technologies of the self to our own selves, and measure our worth by the standards of the workplace”.Louis Menand, “The Life Biz”, The New Yorker, March 2016
But we know for sure the challenge on skills
“The UK performs poorly on intermediate professional and technical skills, and is forecast to fall to 28th out of 33 OECD countries for intermediate skills by 2020”UK Government “Productivity Plan” published in July 2015
Changing jobs and changing populations
Evidence of the value of higher level apprenticeships
Introduction of an Apprentice Levy
“Re-establishing a high quality apprenticeship system could do an enormous amount for the productivity of the UK economy”.Baroness Alison Wolf, Fixing a Broken Training System: The case for an Apprenticeship Levy, 2015
Developing a Research Programme
Impacts• Evaluation• Benefits
Future • Foresight• Analysis
Review• Pedagogies• Standards
Change• System• Perception
Now Future
Policy
Practice
• Working with Skills Development Scotland on the Centre for Work-based Learning
• Creating initiatives around• Policy and Research• Practice• Perception