skf first-quarter result slide show
TRANSCRIPT
21 April 2009
0
The SKF Group
First-quarter results 2009
Tom Johnstone, President and CEO
21 April 2009
2Highlights in the first quarter 2009
SKF
• gained an order from CSR Zhuzhou ElectricLocomotive Co., Ltd. ZELC. 500 electriclocomotives, for Chinese railways, will beequipped with SKF axleboxes and drivesystem bearings. Order value: EUR 14 m.
• won a new contract for the supply oftapered roller bearings to GuangdongFuwa Engineering Manufacturing Co Ltd.Order value: USD 14 m.
Photo: CSR Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive
21 April 2009
3First quarter 2009
SEKm 2009 2008
Net sales 14,849 15,596
Cash flow after investments before financial items 523 -131
Operating margin 5.2 13.1
Operating profit 768 2,040
Profit before taxes 531 1,924
Net profit 394 1,296
Basic earnings per share, SEK 0.86 2.77
21 April 2009
4Growth in local currency
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2007 2008 YTD March2009
% y-o-y13.2
Acquisitions/DivestmentsOrganic growth
Long-term target level: 6-8% per annum
7.1- 18.4
21 April 2009
5Sales in local currencies (excl. structural changes)
-20
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
12% change y-o-y
2007 2008 2009
21 April 2009
6Sales volume
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10% change y-o-y
2008 20092007
21 April 2009
7Components in net sales
2007 20092008Percent y-o-y Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2.7 -13.0
2.4
8.5
-2.1
10.3
8.2
0.5
6.4
9.6
-0.9
8.7
6.2
1.3
4.0
11.5
-4.1
7.4
4.9
1.0
3.8
9.7
-1.2
8.5
6.3
1.0
3.2
10.5
-2.0
8.5
9.0
3.7
2.0
14.7
-1.9
12.8
6.9
4.6
2.7
14.2
-2.3
11.9
7.9
4.0
1.8
13.7
-5.6
8.1
Q1
-26.9
1.4
7.1
-18.4
13.6
-4.8
Volume
Structure
Price / Mix
Sales in local currency
Currency
Net sales
21 April 2009
8Operating margin
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2007 2008 YTD March2009
%
12.9 12.2
Long-term target level: 12%
5.2
13.3* 12.7*
6.4*
Restructuring and one-time items
* Excluding restructuring and one-time items
21 April 2009
9Operating margin
% Long-term target level: 12%
2008 2009
0123456789
1011121314
2007
21 April 2009
10Operating margin per division
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Industrial
Service
Automotive
%
2007 2008
Excluding one-off items (eg. restructuring, impairments, capital gains)
2009
21 April 2009
11Activities to adapt to lower demand
• Restructuring/impairment programmesPeople Costs charged to operating profit
- announced Q4 2008, around 2,500 SEK 340 m- announced Q1 2009, around 500 SEK 175 m
3,000 SEK 515 m
At the end of March 2009, around 1,300 people had leftunder the programmes.
• In total, around 2,600 people left the Group during H2 2008 and Q1 2009.
• Around 6,000 people in short-time working (Q1 2009).
21 April 2009
12Inventories as % of annual sales
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25%
2007
Long-term target level: 18%
2008
x excl. currency effects
2009
Inventories versus Q4 2008, in local currencies, were reduced by around SEK 500 million.
21 April 2009
13Return on capital employed
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2007 2008 YTD March 2009
ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months average of total assets less the average of non-interest bearing liabilities.
%Long-term target level: 24%
24.9 24.0
18.7
21 April 2009
14Net debt (Short-term financial assets minus loans and post-employment benefits)
-18 000
-16 000
-14 000
-12 000
-10 000
-8 000
-6 000
-4 000
-2 000
0
SEKm
AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm):2006 Q2 1,8212007 Q2 2,0492008 Q2 2,277
Redemption (SEKm):2007 Q2 4,5542008 Q2 2,277
2007 2008 2009
21 April 2009
15AB SKF, long-term debt structure
Amount in million Maturity
Euro Bond EUR 250 2010-06
SEK Bond SEK 1,500 2011-06
Term loan in euro EUR 150 2013-06
Euro Bond EUR 500 2013-12
Euro loan EUR 100 2016-06
Euro loan EUR 100 2014-03
21 April 2009
16Cash flow, after investments before financial items
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400SEKm
Cash out fromacquisitions (SEKm): 2007 1,2092008 1,284
20092007 2008
21 April 2009
17April 2009: Outlook for the second quarter 2009
The demand for SKF products and services is expected to be significantly lower in the second quarter compared to the secondquarter last year for the Group in total, for all the Divisions and for all regions.
Compared to the first quarter, demand is expected to be slightlylower for the SKF Group in total and lower in Europe, slightly lower in North America and relatively unchanged in Asia and Latin America. Demand is expected to be relatively unchanged for the Automotive Division and slightly lower for both the Industrial and Service Division.
The manufacturing level will be significantly lower year on yearand relatively unchanged compared to the first quarter.
21 April 2009
18Volume trends(based on current assumptions)
Daily volume trends for: Q1 2009 Q2 2009
Net sales2008
Europe 56%
North America 17%
Asia Pacific 19%
Latin America 5%
Total
Outlook Q22009 vs 2008
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21 April 2009
19Volume trend for main segment Q2 2009(based on current assumptions)Net sales 2008
5% Trucks
23% Industrial distribution
12% Industrial OEM, Heavy+Off-highway
20% Industrial OEM, General+Special
13% Cars
3% Electrical and two-wheeler
VSM
Aerospace
Railway
Energy
9%
5%
3%
6%
21 April 2009
20Guidance for the second quarter 2009
• Tax level: around 30%
• Financial net for the second quarter:SEK -220 million
• Exchange rates on operating profit versus 2008Q2: SEK 300 millionFull year: SEK 1 billion
• Additions to PPE: Around SEK 2 billion for 2009
Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates
21 April 2009
21Key focus areas ahead 2009
• Profit and cash flow- maintain positive price/mix- drive operational efficiency and cost reduction- reduce working capital and investments
• Adjustment of manufacturing output to new demand levels- restructuring- short-time working
• Growing segments and geographies
• Strengthening the platform/segment approach
• Competence development
SKF Care and Six Sigma as guiding lights
21 April 2009
22SKF Care
Employee Care
Community CareEnvironmental Care
Business Care
BeyondZeroTM
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
SKF Care
Operating margin
21 April 2009
23SKF Group Vision
To equip the worldwith SKF knowledge
21 April 2009
24Cautionary statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
current expectations of the management of SKF.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such
expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ
materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of,
among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions,
changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions,
fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest
annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report;
"Most important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and
"Sensitivity analysis”.
21 April 2009
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