1 skf first-quarter results 2015 alrik danielson, president and ceo 17 april 2015

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1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

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Page 1: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

1

SKF First-quarter results 2015Alrik Danielson, President and CEO

17 April 2015

Page 2: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

2

Examples of new business in Q1 2015

• Chongqing General Industry (Group) Co and JiangSu High-speed permanent magnetic Jin Tong Ling Fluid Machinery Technology Co, China blower solutions

• Volvo Car Corporation, Sweden Wheel hub bearing units with low friction grease

• Autopartes NAPA, Mexico Agreement to market SKF’sproduct range

• Citroen C4 Cactus, Peugeot 2008 and Fiat 500X Products and solutions

Slide 2

Page 3: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Highlights

Slide 3

• SKF has worked closely with Scuderia Ferrari to produce bearing sets manufactured from specially developed tool steel

• Re-signed the contract as a Ducati Corse Official Technical partner

• Achieved the energy management ISO 50001 certification on a global scale

• SKF will invest SEK 190 million to modernize its spherical roller bearing factory in Gothenburg, Sweden

Page 4: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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SKF Generalized Bearing Life Model

Surface vs sub-surface failure modes

Slide 4

internal geometry

load rating

limiting speed

steel composition

surface finish

heat treatmentcontamination resistance

wear resistance

coatings

lubrication

reduced vibration

longer service life

lower noise

reduced friction

reduced vibration

corrosion resistance

Slide 4

Page 5: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Slide 5

Innovations at Hannover Fair

• Two new oil-free bearing solutions for centrifugal compressors in chillers

• A solution to improve the reliability, safety and performance of jack-up gearboxes used in the offshore oil and gas industry and in the renewable energy industry

• A new shaft alignment tool, specifically designed for usage with smartphones or tablets

• A new magnetic bearing control cabinet for turbo-machinery, for onshore, offshore and subsea turbo-machinery

• SKF Enlight, combines a powerful new mobile app with a special Bluetooth-enabled sensor

• SKF Data Collect, a cloud-based solution to record and manage data

Page 6: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Slide 6

Construction of a large-size bearing test centre in Schweinfurt, Germany

The test center will have two large size test rigs, one for wind turbines and one for other industries. The investment will total SEK 360 million, and is expected to be completed during the first half of 2017.

Page 7: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Christian Johansson, new Senior Vice President and CFO

Slide 7

• Bachelor of Science in Business Administration, Stockholm University

• Currently CFO at Gunnebo AB

• Christian has solid executive experience managing global business services.Before joining Gunnebo:-Vice President Region Americas and EMEA for Volvo Business Services-SVP and CFO for Volvo Trucks -Regional Director, Central Eastern Europe within ABB Service World Wide. 

• Christian will start his new position inSKF no later than October 2015.

Page 8: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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SKF Group – Q1 2015

Slide 8

Financial performance (SEKm) 2015 2014

Net sales 19 454 16 734Operating profit 1 721 2 024Operating margin, % 8.8 12.1Operating margin excl. one-time items, % 12.2 11.4Profit before taxes 1 592 1 787Basic earnings per share, SEK 2.46 2.72Cash flow after investments before financing 988 -63*

Organic sales change y-o-y:

SKF Group 1.4% Europe 1.0%

Industrial Market 1.8% North America -2.4%Automotive Market 0.6% Asia 5.6%

Specialty Business 0.7% Latin America 0.4%Middle East and Africa 14.2%

Manufacturing was higher y-o-y and compared to last year.* Previously published cash flow information is restated

Page 9: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

9

Organic sales growth in local currency

Slide 9

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

% changey-o-y

2013 2014 2015

Page 10: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

10

Organic sales growth in local currency

Slide 10

2013 2014 Q1 2015-4

-2

0

2

4

6

% y-o-y

Structure in 2013: 2.5%Structure in 2014: 3.7%Structure in 2015: 0%

1.4%

3.9%

-0.7%

Page 11: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

11Sales development by geographyOrganic growth in local currency Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014

Slide 11

Europe1.0%

Asia/Pacific5.6%

Middle East& Africa14.2%

LatinAmerica

0.4%

NorthAmerica-2.4%

Page 12: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Components in net sales

Slide 12

2013 2014 2015

Percent y-o-y Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Organic -8.0 -2.2 2.0 6.9 5.8 4.6 3.2 2.8 1.4

Structure 1.5 2.6 1.1 4.8 4.7 3.8 5.4 0.9 0

Sales in local currency -6.5 0.4 3.1 11.7 10.5 8.4 8.6 3.7 1.4

Currency -4.0 -5.0 -2.2 -2.1 -0.1 1.1 5.3 8.9 14.9

Net sales -10.5 -4.6 0.9 9.6 10.4 9.5 13.9 12.6 16.3

Page 13: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Operating profit as reported

Slide 13

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500SEKm

2013 2014 2015

Page 14: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

14

Operating profit excluding one-time items

Slide 14

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500SEKm

2013 2014 2015

Page 15: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

15

Operating margin

Slide 15

2013 2014 Q1 20150

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

%

5.8

11.9*

One-time items

* Excluding one-time items

8.8

12.2*11.7*

11.0

Page 16: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Slide 16

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-3

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

Specialty Business*

Automotive Market

%

2013 2014 2015

Operating margin per business area as reported

Industrial Market

* Q4 2013, impacted by cost related to Kaydon acquisition

Page 17: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

17

Slide 17

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-3

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

Specialty Business

Automotive Market

%

2013 2014 2015

Operating margin per business area excl. one-time items

Industrial Market

Page 18: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

18

Operating profit bridge, Q1 2015

Slide 18

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

-1 547

-700

+1 721

+120 0

+450 -173

SEKm

Q1 2014 Q1 2015One-time items at

2014 exchange

rates

Acquisitions/divestments

Currency impact

Other* Organic sales growth in local

currencies

* Includes general inflation, manufacturing and purchasing impacts, IT project and running costs, and R&D..

+2 0240

Savings from

restructuring programme

Page 19: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

19

Restructuring programme

• Main activities:- merging the two industrial businesses- streamlining of supporting country organisations in all main countries

- general staff optimization and productivity improvements

• Reduction of annual cost by SEK 1.2 billion by the end of 2016.Total cost for the programme around SEK 1.4 billion, covering 1 500

people.Major part of the programme expected to be implemented within 2015

• After first quarter 2015 around 40% of planned activities are in progressQ1 2015

Cost, SEKm 535

People affected 575

Cost savings in Q1 -

Annual cost savings, SEKm: 460 effective beginning 2016

Slide 19

Page 20: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Net working capital as % of annual sales

Slide 20

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q125

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

%

2013 2014 2015

Target: 27%

Page 21: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

21

Return on capital employed

Slide 21

2013 2014 YTD 20150

5

10

15

20

%

12.6

7.5

15.1*

One-time items * Excluding one-time items

ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months rolling average of total assets less the average of non-interest bearing liabilities.

14.5*14.8*

13.9

Page 22: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

22

-7,000

-6,000

-5,000

-4,000

-3,000

-2,000

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

Cash flow, after investments before financing*

Slide 22

SEKm

2013 2014 2015

Excl. acq. and div.: 1) Q1 2013 SEK -69 million2) Q3 2013 SEK 871 million3) Q4 2013 SEK 1 122 million

Excl. EU payment 4) Q2 2014 SEK 1 423 million

3)

4)

2)

1)

* 2013 and 2014 are restated

Page 23: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

23

Net debt

Slide 23

-35,000

-30,000

-25,000

-20,000

-15,000

-10,000

-5,000

0SEKm

2013 2014 2015

AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm):2013 Q2 2 5302014 Q2 2 530

Cash out from majoracquisitions (SEKm):

2013 Q1 8232013 Q4 7 900

Net debt: Loans and net provisions for post-employment benefits less short-term financial assets excluding derivatives.

EU payment (SEKm):

2014 Q2 2 825

Page 24: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Debt structure, maturity years

Slide 24

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20210

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

EURm

• Available credit facilities:EUR 500 million 2019SEK 3 000 million 2018

EUR 150 million 2017

• No financial covenants nor material adverse change clause

200

100 100 110

500 500

850

Page 25: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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April 2015: SKF demand outlook Q2 2015

Slide 25

Demand compared to the second quarter 2014The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be relatively unchanged for the Group and for Europe. For Asia it is expected to be higher and for North and Latin America slightly lower. Per business area, for both Industrial Market and Automotive Market it is expected to be relatively unchanged, and for Specialty Business to be slightly higher.

Demand compared to the first quarter 2015The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be relatively unchanged for the Group, Europe and North America. For Asia it is expected to be higher and for Latin America slightly lower. Per business area, for both Industrial Market and Automotive Market it is expected to be relatively unchanged, and for Specialty Business to be slightly higher.

ManufacturingManufacturing is expected to be relatively unchanged year over year and compared to the first quarter.

Page 26: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

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Guidance for 2015*

Slide 26

Q2 2015:

• Financial net: around SEK -230 million

• Currency impact on operating profit vs 2014Q2: SEK +800 million

2015:

• Tax level: below 30% for 2015

• Additions to PPE: around SEK 1 700 million for 2015

* Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates.

Page 27: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015

© SKF Group 17 April 2015

27

Cautionary statement

Slide 27

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF.

Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report; “Important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”.

Page 28: 1 SKF First-quarter results 2015 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO 17 April 2015