september 9, 2016 memorandum to: interested...
TRANSCRIPT
September 9, 2016 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: COLORADO 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTER OPINION SURVEY Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely 2016 general election voters in Colorado. The interviews were conducted August 29th to 31st and the survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Survey Findings Looking at the Presidential race in Colorado, our survey finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 5 points, 41% to 36% respectively. Thirteen percent of voters are supporting Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, 3% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 1% support a generic “other candidate” and 6% of voters are undecided. Reviewing the survey data by party, we see that Gary Johnson is starting to gain relevant support among unaffiliated voters with 22% supporting him, and he is within the margin of error of Donald Trump who has 24% support. Hillary Clinton currently holds a significant lead over Donald Trump among female voters and voters 44 and younger. Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton among seniors 65 and older, and is effectively tied with her among men. Presidential Ballot Test Results by Voter Subgroup All
Voters
Men
Wom 18- 34
35- 44
45- 54
55- 64
65+
Dem
Rep
Unaf
Clinton 41% 38% 43% 42% 47% 33% 42% 40% 83% 3% 38% Trump 36% 39% 32% 23% 30% 39% 40% 47% 4% 78% 24% Johnson 13% 16% 11% 18% 18% 18% 7% 6% 6% 11% 22% Stein 3% 4% 2% 7% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% Other Can. 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% Undecided 6% 2% 9% 8% 4% 7% 7% 4% 4% 5% 12%
Presidential Candidate Image Ratings Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have net-negative image ratings. Among all respondents, 40% have a favorable opinion of Hillary Clinton and 56% have an unfavorable opinion of her. Donald Trump’s numbers are worse, with 34% of respondents having a favorable opinion of him and 62% having an unfavorable opinion. Among voters of their respective parties, 15% of Democrats have an unfavorable opinion
Magellan Strategies 2016 Colorado Presidential Survey Summary Field Dates: August 29th to 31st, 2016, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
of Hillary Clinton and 22% of Republicans have an unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump. The survey did not ask an image rating question for Gary Johnson. However, because of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump’s poor image ratings, we believe Coloradans will give Gary Johnson a good hard look before making their decision. Hillary Clinton Image Rating by Voter Subgroup All
Voters
Men
Wom 18- 34
35- 44
45- 54
55- 64
65+
Dem
Rep
Unaf
Favorable 40% 35% 45% 39% 45% 35% 43% 40% 82% 5% 36% Unfavorable 56% 62% 49% 54% 55% 57% 55% 56% 15% 93% 57% No Opinion 2% 0% 4% 3% 0% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% Never Hrd. 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% Refused 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Donald Trump Image Rating by Voter Subgroup All
Voters
Men
Wom 18- 34
35- 44
45- 54
55- 64
65+
Dem
Rep
Unaf
Favorable 34% 36% 31% 20% 24% 42% 39% 44% 4% 73% 22% Unfavorable 62% 60% 65% 72% 72% 53% 60% 54% 92% 22% 74% No Opinion 4% 3% 4% 7% 4% 4% 1% 3% 3% 4% 4% Never Hrd. 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0%
Summary This survey finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 5 points, which is the same margin by which Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney in 2012. The difference this election cycle compared to 2012 is that the Democrat candidate does not have as many unaffiliated voters firmly in her column. In 2016, these “uncommitted” unaffiliated voters have a choice other than the Republican nominee. If Gary Johnson is able to increase his support among all unaffiliated voters, the ballot test could become very tight. We will have to wait and see. Survey Weighting Decisions The survey results are weighted to reflect the age, gender, and party turnout demographics of the 2012 Presidential election in Colorado. While we do think the 2016 voter turnout demographics in Colorado could be different than they were in 2012, we think it is too early to measure a drop in voter turnout intensity by party or age group. We also believe there are strong arguments to be made that Donald Trump’s candidacy could depress some Republican voters from casting a ballot. However, there is also a plausible argument to be made that Hillary Clinton’s campaign is struggling to motivate and inspire some Democrats and younger voters to cast a ballot. The truth is, until ballots are mailed out on October 17th, we will not know if there is a measurable drop in voter turnout by age group or party.
Magellan Strategies 2016 Colorado Presidential Survey Summary Field Dates: August 29th to 31st, 2016, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
Survey Sample The survey sample was randomly drawn from a Colorado voter file among households containing at least one registered voter. The survey topline and crosstab results are included in this document. Any questions regarding this survey or our methodology should be directed to David Flaherty. He can be reached at 303-861-8585 or by email at [email protected]. Survey Commissioned By This survey was not commissioned or paid for by any issue committee, campaign, individual, or independent expenditure group. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies offers a wide array of services to candidate campaigns, ballot issue campaigns, government relations firms, trade associations, and local and county governments. Our services include polling, survey research, focus groups, voter data mining, voter data analysis, and campaign consulting and management. Our offices are located in Louisville, Colorado. To learn more about our company please visit http://www.MagellanStrategies.com or call 303-861-8585.
Magellan Strategies Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 500n live survey of likely general election voters in the state of Colorado. The interviews were conducted August 29th – 31st, 2016. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon previous general election demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican ............................................................. 35% Democrat ............................................................... 34% Unaffiliated ........................................................... 30% Libertarian ................................................................ 1% Green Party ............................................................. 0%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the general election this November? Would you say you are extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely or unlikely to vote? Extremely Likely ..................................................... 76% Very Likely ............................................................. 18% Somewhat Likely ...................................................... 6%
I’m now going to read you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing the name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you don’t know the person, just say so. The first name is… T3. Hillary Clinton Favorable ............................................................... 40% Unfavorable ........................................................... 56% Heard of, no opinion ............................................... 2% Never heard of ........................................................ 1% Refused ................................................................... 1%
Magellan ID#: COGEN-082916 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 8/29/16 – 8/31/16, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Donald Trump Favorable ............................................................... 34% Unfavorable ........................................................... 62% Heard of, no opinion ............................................... 4% Never heard of ........................................................ 0% Refused ................................................................... 0%
T5. If the election for President were being held today, would you vote for Hillary Clinton the Democratic candidate, Donald Trump the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, or Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate? Clinton ................................................................... 41% Trump .................................................................... 36% Johnson .................................................................. 13% Stein ......................................................................... 3% Some other candidate ............................................... 1% Undecided/Unsure ................................................... 5% Refused .................................................................... 1%
T6. Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? Married .................................................................. 61% Single never been married ...................................... 20% Divorced .................................................................. 9% Widowed ................................................................. 5% Unmarried, living with a partner ............................... 4% Separated ................................................................. 0% No opinion ............................................................... 1%
T7. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-34 ..................................................................... 23% 35-44 ..................................................................... 17% 45-54 ..................................................................... 19% 55-64 ..................................................................... 20% 65+ ........................................................................ 21% Refused ................................................................... 0%
Magellan ID#: COGEN-082916 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 8/29/16 – 8/31/16, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T8. What is your racial or ethnic background? White ..................................................................... 79% Hispanic or Latino .................................................. 15% Black or African American ........................................ 4% Other ........................................................................ 2% Don’t Know or Refused ............................................ 0%
T9. Are you male or female? Female ................................................................... 52% Male ....................................................................... 48%
Survey Methodology This survey was conducted by live dialing both landline and cell phone sample. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a state of Colorado voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon previous general election demographics. The interviews were conducted on August 29th – 31st, 2016. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1 T1. Are you registered to vote in Colorado as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
REPUBLICAN
175 35.0
84 34.8
61 44.4
22 22.0
91 35.2
68 40.3
23 25.7
30 26.2
22 26.2
40 41.7
39 38.9
44 42.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
DEMOCRAT
170 34.0
71 29.5
30 21.4
41 40.8
99 38.2
62 36.6
38 41.1
36 31.0
28 33.5
33 34.3
32 32.2
41 39.2
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
UNAFFILIATED
147 29.5
79 33.1
45 32.8
33 32.8
68 26.2
38 22.5
30 33.2
45 38.9
33 39.1
23 23.9
28 27.6
19 18.3
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
LIBERTARIAN
5 1.0
4 1.6
2 1.5
2 1.9
1 0.4
1 0.6
2 1.7
1 1.2
1 1.4
1 0.6
GREEN PARTY
3 0.5
3 1.0
3 2.5
3 2.2
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2 T1. Are you registered to vote in Colorado as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
REPUBLICAN
175 35.0
151 38.2
21 28.4
2 20.3
20 30.6
22 27.4
32 42.5
30 42.9
20 30.2
25 31.0
27 41.3
139 39.2
36 24.8
DEMOCRAT
170 34.0
126 31.8
29 39.2
13 63.8
2 22.5
25 37.8
33 41.7
32 42.5
23 32.7
14 21.3
27 34.0
16 24.9
124 35.0
46 31.6
UNAFFILIATED
147 29.5
113 28.7
24 32.4
7 36.2
2 23.9
21 31.7
23 29.3
11 14.9
17 24.3
27 41.9
27 33.6
21 32.5
88 24.9
59 40.5
LIBERTARIAN
5 1.0
5 1.3
1 1.5
2 2.7
1 1.4
1 1.4
3 0.9
2 1.3
GREEN PARTY
3 0.5
3 33.3
3 3.8
3 1.7
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the general election this November for the State Legislature? Would you say you are extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely or unlikely to vote? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
380 76.0
181 75.4
108 78.5
71 70.8
199 76.5
135 80.4
63 69.3
89 77.6
70 82.8
71 74.7
66 65.9
83 79.4
136 77.8
60 71.9
76 83.1
134 78.9
55 77.9
79 79.7
104 70.5
61 77.4
43 62.5
VERY LIKELY
92 18.3
48 19.8
27 19.5
21 20.6
44 16.9
25 14.6
19 21.1
14 12.2
9 10.0
21 21.6
30 30.0
19 17.7
34 19.6
22 26.7
12 13.0
28 16.3
12 17.4
15 15.6
28 18.7
11 13.8
17 24.4
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
29 5.7
11 4.8
3 2.0
9 8.6
17 6.6
8 5.0
9 9.6
12 10.3
6 7.2
4 3.7
4 4.1
3 3.0
5 2.7
1 1.4
4 3.9
8 4.7
3 4.7
5 4.7
16 10.8
7 8.7
9 13.1
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-2 T2. How likely are you to vote in the general election this November for the State Legislature? Would you say you are extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely or unlikely to vote? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
380 76.0
317 80.3
42 56.2
13 63.2
6 79.1
51 77.8
69 86.8
59 78.1
56 80.6
44 67.9
53 66.2
48 73.3
261 73.9
118 80.8
VERY LIKELY
92 18.3
59 14.8
27 35.4
5 24.5
1 12.3
10 16.0
8 9.5
15 20.3
12 17.5
12 19.0
23 29.1
10 15.9
72 20.3
20 13.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
29 5.7
19 4.8
6 8.4
2 12.3
1 8.7
4 6.2
3 3.7
1 1.5
1 1.9
8 13.0
4 4.7
7 10.7
20 5.8
8 5.6
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 I'm now going to read you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing the name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you don't know the person, just say so. The first name is... T3. HILLARY CLINTON GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
FAVORABLE
202 40.4
84 35.0
39 28.0
44 44.1
118 45.3
70 41.5
48 52.5
45 39.4
38 44.6
34 35.4
43 42.6
42 40.3
8 4.5
2 2.0
6 6.7
140 82.2
56 79.0
84 84.4
53 36.1
25 32.0
28 40.9
UNFAVORABLE
277 55.5
150 62.6
97 70.0
53 53.0
127 48.9
92 54.9
34 37.6
62 54.1
47 55.0
55 57.4
55 55.4
58 55.7
162 92.7
80 96.2
82 89.5
25 14.6
13 18.9
11 11.5
84 57.2
52 65.1
33 47.9
HEARD OF, NO OPINON
12 2.4
1 0.4
0.1
1 0.8
11 4.2
4 2.2
7 7.8
4 3.3
4 4.6
2 1.9
2 1.7
2 1.4
0.2
2 2.4
4 2.4
0.2
4 4.1
5 3.6
1 1.0
5 6.7
NEVER HEARD OF
6 1.1
3 1.4
3 1.9
1 0.8
2 0.9
2 1.4
1 1.0
0.4
2 1.9
2 2.3
2 1.4
1 1.6
1 1.2
3 1.8
2 2.0
1 1.7
REFUSED
3 0.7
1 0.6
1 1.3
2 0.8
0.1
2 2.1
3 2.2
1 0.7
0.1
0.1
0.1
1 0.8
1 1.9
2 1.3
2 2.8
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-2 I'm now going to read you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing the name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you don't know the person, just say so. The first name is... T3. HILLARY CLINTON RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
FAVORABLE
202 40.4
147 37.3
38 50.4
15 73.3
2 22.0
31 48.4
38 47.3
29 39.1
25 35.9
20 31.2
31 39.2
26 40.5
143 40.5
59 40.0
UNFAVORABLE
277 55.5
230 58.1
35 47.0
5 26.7
5 70.8
32 49.7
38 47.9
41 55.0
43 60.9
45 68.5
45 55.7
34 51.8
196 55.5
81 55.3
HEARD OF, NO OPINON
12 2.4
10 2.4
2 2.6
3.1
1 1.8
1 1.8
3 4.1
1 1.6
2 2.6
3 4.6
8 2.1
4 3.0
NEVER HEARD OF
6 1.1
5 1.3
4.1
1 1.6
1 1.5
1 1.5
0.3
1 0.9
1 2.0
4 1.3
1 0.8
REFUSED
3 0.7
3 0.8
1 1.5
0.2
1 1.7
1 1.0
2 0.6
1 0.9
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T4. DONALD TRUMP GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
FAVORABLE
167 33.5
87 36.2
63 45.7
23 23.2
80 31.0
63 37.2
18 19.6
23 19.6
21 24.2
40 41.6
39 38.7
46 43.8
128 73.2
65 78.1
63 68.8
7 4.0
1 1.1
6 6.1
32 21.8
21 26.1
11 16.9
UNFAVORABLE
311 62.2
143 59.5
72 51.8
70 69.8
168 64.7
102 60.6
66 72.3
83 72.4
61 71.9
50 52.9
60 60.1
56 53.6
39 22.1
14 16.8
25 26.9
156 92.0
66 93.5
90 91.0
108 73.6
56 70.9
52 76.7
HEARD OF, NO OPINON
18 3.7
8 3.3
2 1.7
6 5.6
10 4.0
4 2.2
7 7.4
8 6.9
3 3.8
4 3.7
1 1.1
3 2.6
7 4.1
3 3.9
4 4.2
5 3.1
2 3.5
3 2.9
6 4.1
2 2.8
4 5.5
NEVER HEARD OF
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
REFUSED
3 0.6
2 1.0
1 0.7
1 1.4
1 0.3
0.1
1 0.7
1 1.2
2 1.8
0.1
1 0.6
1 1.2
0.1
1 0.8
1 1.9
1 0.5
0.1
1 1.0
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2 T4. DONALD TRUMP RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
FAVORABLE
167 33.5
141 35.8
24 31.7
1 16.6
12 19.0
21 26.4
36 47.6
29 41.0
20 30.9
26 32.6
23 35.7
132 37.3
35 24.2
UNFAVORABLE
311 62.2
237 60.0
49 65.7
18 87.7
6 79.0
51 79.0
58 72.7
37 49.6
39 55.0
45 69.1
45 55.7
36 55.8
205 57.9
106 72.7
HEARD OF, NO OPINON
18 3.7
14 3.5
2 2.6
2 12.3
3.3
1 1.9
1 0.8
2 2.6
3 4.0
7 8.8
5 7.2
15 4.3
3 2.1
NEVER HEARD OF
0.1
REFUSED
3 0.6
3 0.8
1.1
0.2
2 2.9
1 1.1
2 0.5
1 1.0
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T5. If the election for President were being held today, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, the Democrat candidate, Donald Trump the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate or Jill Stein, the Green party candidate? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
CLINTON
203 40.5
90 37.5
43 31.1
46 45.8
113 43.4
67 39.6
46 50.3
48 41.7
40 47.1
31 33.0
42 41.5
42 39.9
5 2.9
5 5.5
141 82.9
60 84.3
81 81.9
56 37.8
29 37.1
26 38.7
TRUMP
178 35.7
93 38.8
65 47.3
27 27.3
85 32.8
63 37.4
22 24.3
26 23.0
26 30.1
37 38.8
40 40.0
49 47.1
137 78.1
68 81.3
69 75.3
7 3.8
2 2.9
4 4.5
35 23.7
23 29.1
12 17.5
JOHNSON
65 13.1
38 15.9
24 17.6
14 13.6
27 10.5
21 12.4
6 6.8
21 17.9
15 17.7
17 17.7
7 7.0
6 5.6
18 10.5
11 13.3
7 7.8
10 6.1
4 5.6
6 6.4
33 22.3
20 25.2
13 18.8
STEIN
14 2.7
9 3.6
1 0.7
8 7.7
5 1.9
3 1.9
2 2.0
8 7.3
1 1.2
1 1.5
1 1.1
2 1.6
2 1.4
1 1.5
1 1.2
4 2.2
3 4.0
1 1.0
5 3.3
2 2.5
3 4.2
SOME OTHER CANDIDATE
8 1.6
5 2.0
3 1.9
2 2.1
3 1.3
2 1.2
1 1.4
3 2.3
1 1.1
3 3.1
1 1.3
4 2.3
2 2.5
2 2.2
2 1.2
2 3.0
2 1.3
1 0.7
1 2.0
UNDECIDED UNSURE
26 5.2
5 2.3
2 1.4
4 3.5
20 7.8
11 6.2
10 10.7
8 6.8
3 3.8
7 7.2
5 5.3
3 2.4
6 3.6
1 1.4
5 5.6
6 3.7
0.2
6 6.2
13 8.9
4 5.2
9 13.2
REFUSED
6 1.2
0.1
6 2.3
2 1.2
4 4.5
1 1.0
0.1
1 0.7
2 2.0
2 2.2
2 1.3
2 2.5
4 2.6
0.1
4 5.6
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2 T5. If the election for President were being held today, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, the Democrat candidate, Donald Trump the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate or Jill Stein, the Green party candidate? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
CLINTON
203 40.5
153 38.7
33 44.0
15 73.3
2 22.1
32 48.6
41 51.4
30 40.7
22 31.5
21 31.9
31 39.0
26 39.2
134 37.9
69 46.9
TRUMP
178 35.7
151 38.1
25 33.7
1 16.0
18 27.4
25 30.9
34 45.6
32 46.3
19 29.5
25 31.8
25 37.8
138 39.1
40 27.3
JOHNSON
65 13.1
55 13.8
9 12.0
1 19.3
7 10.7
8 10.1
5 6.5
13 18.5
15 23.8
8 10.5
9 13.3
47 13.4
18 12.2
STEIN
14 2.7
9 2.2
2 2.9
3 36.8
6 8.5
1 1.8
1 1.1
0.1
3 3.8
1 1.8
2 2.7
4 1.2
9 6.4
SOME OTHER CANDIDATE
8 1.6
8 2.0
2 3.6
0.1
2 3.0
4 4.6
5 1.5
3 1.8
UNDECIDED UNSURE
26 5.2
16 4.1
4 4.7
5 26.7
5.7
1 1.2
5 5.7
2 3.0
3 3.6
3 4.9
10 12.3
3 4.1
19 5.4
7 4.6
REFUSED
6 1.2
4 1.0
2 2.7
2 3.0
2 3.1
2 2.9
5 1.4
1 0.8
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 T6. Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
MARRIED
306 61.3
138 57.6
138 100.0
168 64.7
168 100.0
28 24.2
58 67.8
69 72.1
75 75.4
77 73.5
129 73.8
61 73.3
68 74.1
91 53.6
30 41.8
62 62.1
83 56.4
45 57.1
38 55.5
SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED
101 20.3
69 28.8
69 68.7
32 12.4
32 35.3
71 61.7
11 13.5
9 9.9
8 8.1
1 1.4
19 10.9
14 17.1
5 5.3
40 23.3
29 40.5
11 11.0
38 25.9
22 27.4
16 24.2
DIVORCED
46 9.1
16 6.6
16 15.9
30 11.4
30 32.4
5 4.6
10 11.7
13 14.2
8 8.5
8 8.0
12 7.0
4 5.1
8 8.7
20 11.7
6 8.6
14 14.0
13 9.1
6 7.0
8 11.5
WIDOWED
23 4.7
7 2.8
7 6.6
17 6.5
17 18.4
1 1.0
1 1.5
1 1.2
5 4.9
15 14.2
8 4.4
1 1.3
7 7.2
11 6.6
5 6.5
7 6.7
4 3.0
1 1.2
4 5.2
UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER
20 4.0
8 3.4
8 8.1
12 4.5
12 12.8
9 8.2
5 5.3
2 1.6
2 2.3
2 1.9
6 3.2
2 3.0
3 3.5
7 4.1
1 1.4
6 6.0
7 4.9
5 5.8
3 3.7
SEPARATED
2 0.4
1 0.3
1 0.7
1 0.4
1 1.2
0.2
1 0.8
1 0.9
1 0.5
1 1.0
1 0.5
1 1.0
0.2
NO OPINION
2 0.3
1 0.6
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
1 0.9
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
1 0.8
1 1.4
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2 T6. Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
MARRIED
306 61.3
254 64.2
44 58.2
4 20.3
3 45.3
32 49.0
53 66.8
54 71.4
53 75.2
39 60.3
43 53.6
33 50.6
250 70.6
57 38.9
SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED
101 20.3
70 17.6
15 20.0
13 66.7
3 44.0
13 19.8
13 16.4
7 9.8
9 12.9
13 20.3
29 35.8
17 26.4
40 11.4
61 41.6
DIVORCED
46 9.1
32 8.0
12 16.5
1 6.5
1.1
11 17.6
5 6.1
6 7.9
2 2.7
7 10.7
7 9.2
7 11.0
28 7.9
18 12.0
WIDOWED
23 4.7
20 5.1
2 2.5
1 6.5
1.1
2 3.0
3 3.8
7 9.5
4 5.7
3 4.4
1 1.4
3 5.1
22 6.3
1 0.8
UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER
20 4.0
18 4.5
2 2.7
2.0
7 10.5
5 5.9
1 1.2
1 1.6
3 4.0
4 5.5
11 3.1
9 6.1
SEPARATED
2 0.4
2 0.4
2.6
1 0.9
0.3
1 1.4
1 0.3
1 0.6
NO OPINION
2 0.3
1 0.2
4.0
0.1
0.2
1 1.9
0.1
2 0.5
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T7. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
18-34
115 23.0
72 29.8
14 10.1
57 57.2
43 16.7
14 8.2
30 32.3
115 100.0
30 17.2
24 28.3
7 7.2
36 21.0
22 31.0
14 13.8
45 30.4
22 27.3
23 33.9
35-44
85 17.0
46 19.3
29 20.9
17 17.2
39 14.9
29 17.0
10 10.9
85 100.0
22 12.7
12 14.6
10 11.0
28 16.8
16 22.8
12 12.4
33 22.5
18 22.6
15 22.4
45-54
95 19.0
39 16.4
29 21.0
10 10.2
56 21.4
40 23.5
16 17.5
95 100.0
40 22.7
17 20.8
22 24.4
33 19.2
8 10.6
25 25.3
23 15.4
15 18.3
8 12.1
55-64
100 20.0
44 18.3
33 23.8
10 10.2
56 21.5
43 25.3
13 14.7
100 100.0
39 22.2
14 16.7
25 27.2
32 18.9
15 20.9
17 17.5
28 18.7
14 17.5
14 20.1
65+
105 21.0
39 16.1
33 24.2
5 5.1
66 25.5
44 25.9
23 24.7
105 100.0
44 25.2
16 19.6
28 30.3
41 24.2
10 14.7
31 30.9
19 13.0
11 14.3
8 11.5
UNSURE NO OPINION
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2 T7. Which of the following age groups applies to you? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
18-34
115 23.0
79 20.0
22 29.2
11 53.0
4 46.8
20 30.1
17 21.4
7 9.0
11 15.0
16 24.1
28 35.6
17 26.1
32 8.9
83 57.0
35-44
85 17.0
71 17.9
9 12.1
3 13.7
2 21.7
19 28.7
14 17.8
6 8.4
13 18.3
13 19.2
11 13.5
10 14.8
46 13.0
39 26.7
45-54
95 19.0
74 18.8
18 23.8
1 6.5
1 15.2
12 18.0
14 17.8
13 17.5
18 25.8
11 16.8
14 18.1
12 19.2
71 20.1
24 16.4
55-64
100 20.0
80 20.3
15 19.8
4 20.3
1 7.7
5 7.9
19 24.1
22 29.0
10 14.2
14 21.0
15 19.0
15 23.0
100 28.3
65+
105 21.0
91 23.0
11 15.2
1 6.5
1 8.6
10 15.3
15 18.9
27 36.0
19 26.6
12 18.9
11 13.8
11 16.9
105 29.7
UNSURE NO OPINION
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T8. What is your racial or ethnic background? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
WHITE
395 79.0
176 73.4
107 77.7
68 67.6
219 84.2
146 86.9
73 79.4
79 68.6
71 83.2
74 78.2
80 80.1
91 86.6
151 86.3
67 80.0
84 91.9
126 73.9
45 63.2
81 81.6
113 76.9
61 76.5
53 77.3
HISPANIC
75 15.0
44 18.4
25 18.4
19 18.5
31 11.9
18 10.9
13 13.9
22 19.0
9 10.7
18 18.8
15 14.8
11 10.8
21 12.2
15 17.5
7 7.3
29 17.3
15 21.5
14 14.3
24 16.5
14 17.9
10 14.8
BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN
20 4.0
13 5.3
2 1.6
11 10.6
7 2.8
2 1.1
5 5.8
11 9.2
3 3.2
1 1.4
4 4.1
1 1.2
13 7.5
10 14.4
3 2.6
7 4.9
3 3.3
5 6.8
OTHER
7 1.5
5 2.2
2 1.4
3 3.1
2 0.8
2 0.9
1 0.7
4 3.1
2 1.9
1 1.2
1 0.6
1 0.6
2 0.9
1 1.5
0.3
2 1.0
0.4
1 1.4
2 1.2
1 1.6
0.7
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
3 0.5
2 0.7
1 1.0
0.2
1 0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
1 1.0
0.5
0.4
1 0.7
1 0.7
1 0.9
0.5
0.3
0.5
0.1
1 0.5
1 0.7
0.3
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2 T8. What is your racial or ethnic background? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
WHITE
395 79.0
395 100.0
45 68.7
74 92.5
62 82.2
60 85.4
56 86.9
49 60.9
50 76.4
283 79.9
112 76.8
HISPANIC
75 15.0
75 100.0
17 25.5
5 6.4
10 13.9
9 12.9
5 7.3
17 21.7
12 18.1
51 14.4
24 16.4
BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN
20 4.0
20 100.0
3 4.0
2 2.9
13 16.0
2 3.8
15 4.1
5 3.6
OTHER
7 1.5
7 100.0
1 1.6
0.6
0.4
1 1.4
3 5.2
1 0.7
1 1.3
3 0.9
4 2.9
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
3 0.5
0.2
0.5
1 0.7
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.4
2 0.6
0.2
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T9. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
FEMALE
260 52.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
43 37.7
39 45.6
56 58.5
56 56.0
66 63.1
91 52.3
91 100.0
99 58.4
99 100.0
68 46.2
68 100.0
MALE
240 48.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
72 62.3
46 54.4
39 41.5
44 44.0
39 36.9
84 47.7
84 100.0
71 41.6
71 100.0
79 53.8
79 100.0
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2 T9. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
FEMALE
260 52.0
219 55.4
31 41.3
7 36.2
2 29.1
37 57.0
47 59.0
47 62.7
30 43.5
28 42.5
37 45.7
34 52.6
196 55.3
64 43.9
MALE
240 48.0
176 44.6
44 58.7
13 63.8
5 70.9
28 43.0
33 41.0
28 37.3
40 56.5
37 57.5
43 54.3
31 47.4
158 44.7
82 56.1
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 REGION GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT ----------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
---------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
---------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65 PLUS
---------
REP TOT
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
---------
DEM TOT
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND TOT
---------
IND MEN
---------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
240 100.0
138 100.0
100 100.0
260 100.0
168 100.0
91 100.0
115 100.0
85 100.0
95 100.0
100 100.0
105 100.0
175 100.0
84 100.0
91 100.0
170 100.0
71 100.0
99 100.0
147 100.0
79 100.0
68 100.0
CD1
65 13.0
28 11.7
12 8.5
16 16.2
37 14.2
20 12.0
17 18.5
20 17.0
19 22.0
12 12.3
5 5.1
10 9.4
20 11.3
9 10.9
11 11.8
25 14.4
8 11.9
16 16.3
21 13.9
10 13.2
10 14.8
CD2
80 16.0
33 13.7
21 15.4
12 11.5
47 18.1
32 19.1
15 16.4
17 14.9
14 16.7
14 15.0
19 19.3
15 14.4
22 12.5
5 6.1
17 18.4
33 19.6
13 18.6
20 20.4
23 15.9
13 16.8
10 14.9
CD3
75 15.0
28 11.7
19 13.6
9 9.1
47 18.1
35 20.7
12 13.2
7 5.9
6 7.4
13 13.8
22 21.8
27 25.7
32 18.2
15 17.7
17 18.7
32 18.8
9 13.0
23 22.9
11 7.6
4 5.1
7 10.5
CD4
70 14.0
40 16.5
29 21.3
9 8.7
30 11.7
23 13.8
7 8.0
11 9.1
13 15.1
18 19.0
10 10.0
19 17.8
30 17.2
19 22.5
11 12.3
23 13.5
8 12.0
14 14.6
17 11.5
12 15.4
5 7.0
CD5
65 13.0
37 15.6
23 16.4
15 14.7
28 10.6
17 9.8
11 12.1
16 13.6
13 14.7
11 11.5
14 13.7
12 11.7
20 11.2
15 17.4
5 5.6
14 8.1
3 4.1
11 11.0
27 18.5
16 19.8
12 16.9
CD6
80 16.0
43 18.1
21 15.3
22 22.2
37 14.0
22 12.9
15 16.1
28 24.7
11 12.7
14 15.2
15 15.2
11 10.5
25 14.2
11 12.8
14 15.4
27 16.0
20 27.7
8 7.7
27 18.2
13 16.6
14 20.1
CD7
65 13.0
31 12.8
13 9.5
18 17.6
34 13.1
20 11.7
14 15.8
17 14.8
10 11.3
12 13.1
15 15.0
11 10.5
27 15.3
10 12.5
16 17.9
16 9.5
9 12.8
7 7.2
21 14.3
10 13.1
11 15.7
Colorado General Election Survey, August 29th - 31st, 2016, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2 REGION RACE REGION MODE ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------
TOTAL
--------- WHIT
--------- HISP
--------- BLCK
--------- OTHR
--------- CD1
--------- CD2
--------- CD3
--------- CD4
--------- CD5
--------- CD6
--------- CD7
--------- LL
--------- CELL
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
395 100.0
75 100.0
20 100.0
7 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
65 100.0
80 100.0
65 100.0
354 100.0
146 100.0
CD1
65 13.0
45 11.3
17 22.1
3 13.0
1 13.8
65 100.0
31 8.9
34 23.0
CD2
80 16.0
74 18.7
5 6.8
6.1
80 100.0
52 14.7
28 19.1
CD3
75 15.0
62 15.6
10 13.9
2 10.8
3.7
75 100.0
68 19.3
7 4.6
CD4
70 14.0
60 15.1
9 12.0
1 12.6
70 100.0
59 16.6
11 7.7
CD5
65 13.0
56 14.3
5 6.3
3 44.6
65 100.0
48 13.6
17 11.5
CD6
80 16.0
49 12.3
17 23.2
13 63.9
1 8.0
80 100.0
51 14.3
29 20.0
CD7
65 13.0
50 12.6
12 15.7
2 12.3
1 11.2
65 100.0
44 12.6
21 14.1