September 9, 2015 Board Meeting

Presentation Overview

• Introduction

• Adopted Roadway Needs Plan

• Cost Feasible Plan Development– Revenue forecast

– Cost estimates

– Preliminary scenarios

• Next Steps

Long Range Transportation Plan

• Long-term vision for the transportation system

• Multimodal transportation improvements

• 25 Year Horizon (2040)

• Updated every 5 years

• Fiscally constrained (Cost Feasible Plan)

• Addresses regional planning requirement

• Federal requirement

• Adopted by MPO’s Governing Board

Key Issues

• County Revenue Program in Jeopardy

• Becoming more challenging to maintain acceptable LOS– Consuming previously built capacity

– Variability in anticipated growth areas (Fellsmere, South County, Etc.)

– Incomplete grid roadway system

– Spacing of multi-lane roadways

– Limited access to I-95

• Evolving Multimodal Desires

LRTP Development ProcessEstablish Policy, Goals and Objectives

Develop Land Use Vision and

Forecast Socio-Economic Data

Identify Transportation Needs

Assess Transportation Alternatives

Perform Financial Analysis

Develop Cost Feasible Plan

MPO Adopt the Plan

Schedule11/14 12/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15

Land Use and SE Data

Needs Plan

Alternatives Analysis

Financial Resources

Cost Feasible Plan

Prepare LRTP

MPO Adopt 2040 LRTP

Public Workshops MPO Presentation

Parts of the Plan

Adopted Roadway Needs Plan

Needs Plan

• Maintain satisfactory level of service

• Acceptable mobility conditions

• Assumes existing + committed (E+C) improvements

• Fiscally unconstrained

• Guides Cost Feasible Plan (fiscally constrained)

2040 E+C Roadway Network

Potentially Deficient Corridors:

– US 1

– SR A1A

– CR 512

– CR 510

– 66th Avenue

– 58th Avenue

– 43rd Avenue

– 27th Avenue

– Roseland Road

– Barber Street

– Schuman Drive

– WabassoCauseway

– Indian River Blvd

– Aviation Blvd

– SR 60 at I-95

– 8 Street at US 1

2040 Roadway Deficiencies

2040 Final Roadway Needs

Projects

Preliminary Roadway Cost Feasible Scenarios

Preliminary Construction Cost of Final Roadway Needs Projects

• Other Arterials cost estimate includes US 1 widening and the following local road projects:– Oslo Road widening between 58th Avenue and I-95, and

– CR 510 between CR 512 and 66th Avenue

Facility TypePresent Day Cost

(in millions)2021-25 Cost (in millions)

2026-30 Cost (in millions)

2031-40 Cost (in millions)

Strategic Intermodal System (SIS)

$32 $41 $48 $62

Other Arterials (non-SIS) $130 $165 $195 $249

Local Roads $398 $506 $597 $761

Total $560 $712 $840 $1,072

Revenue Forecast

• Three Scenarios1. Base Scenario (Sales Tax extension beyond 2019)

2. Minimum Revenue Scenario (No Sales Tax extension)

3. Enhanced Revenue Scenario (Sales Tax extension + 5-Cent and 9th-Cent Gas Taxes)

Revenue Forecast

SourceWith Sales Tax

(in millions)

Without Sales Tax

(in millions)

With Sales Tax and Additional

Gas Taxes(in millions)

Strategic Intermodal System (SIS) $32 $32 $32

State and Federal for Other Arterial Roads $68 $68 $68

Local – Gas Taxes (existing) $47 $47 $47

Local – Gas Taxes (5 Cent and 9th Cent) 0 0 $24

Local – Traffic Impact Fees $56 $56 $56

Local – Sales Tax $176 0 $176

Sub-Total (Local Only) $279 $103 $303

Total $379 $203 $403

• Revenue in Present Day Dollars• Revenue estimated for 2021-2040• Assumes 75% of Sales Tax revenue will continue to be allocated for transportation projects

Roadway Project Cost vs. Revenue

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Cost of Needs Plan

Base Revenue

Minimum Revenue

Enhanced Revenue

68% of Needs Plan

36% of Needs Plan

Pre

sen

t D

ay D

olla

rs

(mill

ion

s)

72% of Needs Plan

100%

Prioritization Process

• County’s Priority Projects– Oslo Road interchange at I-95

– CR 510 widening from CR 512 to 66th Avenue

– 66th Avenue widening from 49th

Street to CR 510

– 82nd Avenue – 2 lanes from 26th

Street to CR 510

– Oslo Road widening from 58th

Avenue to I-95

– US 1 widening from 53rd Street to CR 510

• Prioritization Criteria– Future Volume to Capacity Ratio

– Project Benefit

– Connectivity

– Project Location

– Evacuation Route

– Truck Route

– Transit Route

– Environmental Impacts

– Public Input

Scenario #1: Base RevenueWith Sales Tax

Scenario #1:Cost Feasible

Projects

Notes: • US 1 and 12th Street are

partially funded

Scenario #1 – Cost Feasible Projects

Facility From To Improvement Implementation

I-95 At Oslo Road Interchange 2021-25

CR 510 CR 512 Intracoastal Waterway 2L – 4L 2021-30

66th Avenue 49th Street Barber Street 2L – 4L 2021-30

82nd Avenue 26th Street Laconia Street New 2L 2026-40

Oslo Road 58th Avenue I-95 2L – 4L 2031-40

US 1 (partially funded) CR 510 53rd Street 4L – 6L 2026-40

53rd Street 58th Avenue 82nd Avenue New 2L 2026-40

26th Street/Aviation Boulevard 66th Avenue US 1 2L – 4L 2026-30

CR 512 I-95 Willow Street 2L – 4L 2031-40

CR 512 I-95 CR 510 4L – 6L 2031-40

43rd Avenue 26th Street Oslo Road 2L – 4L 2026-40

74th Avenue 12th Street Oslo Road New 2L 2031-40

12th Street (partially funded) 58th Avenue 74th Avenue New 2L 2031-40

Scenario 1 - North CountyFacility From To Improvement Implementation

1 CR 510 CR 512 Intracoastal Waterway 2L – 4L 2021-30

2 CR 512 I-95 Willow Street 2L – 4L 2031-40

3 CR 512 I-95 CR 510 4L – 6L 2031-40

4 US 1 (partially funded) CR 510 53rd Street 4L – 6L 2026-40

1

4

2

3

Facility From To Improvement Implementation

5 66th Avenue 49th Street Barber Street 2L – 4L 2021-30

6 82nd Avenue 26th Street Laconia Street New 2L 2026-40

7 53rd Street 58th Avenue 82nd Avenue New 2L 2026-40

8 26th Street (Aviation Boulevard) 66th Avenue US 1 2L – 4L 2026-30

6

7

8

Scenario 1– Central County

5

Facility From To Improvement Implementation

9 I-95 At Oslo Road Interchange 2021-25

10 Oslo Road 58th Avenue I-95 2L – 4L 2031-40

11 43rd Avenue 26th Street Oslo Road 2L – 4L 2026-40

12 74th Avenue 12th Street Oslo Road New 2L 2031-40

13 12th Street (partially funded) 58th Avenue 74th Avenue New 2L 2031-40

9

1213

Scenario 1– South County

11

10

Scenario #2: Minimum RevenueWithout Sales Tax

Scenario #2: Cost Feasible

Projects

Note: • US 1 is partially funded

Scenario #2: Cost Feasible Projects

Facility From To Improvement Implementation

I-95 At Oslo Road Interchange 2021-25

CR 510 CR 512 Intracoastal Waterway 2L – 4L 2021-30

66th Avenue 49th Street Barber Street 2L – 4L 2026-40

82nd Avenue 69th Street Laconia Street New 2L 2026-30

Oslo Road 58th Avenue I-95 2L – 4L 2031-40

US 1 (partially funded) CR 510 53rd Street 4L – 6L 2026-40

43rd Avenue 26th Street 16th Street 2L – 4L 2031-40

Scenario #3: Enhanced RevenueWith Sales Tax and 5-Cent and

9th-Cent Gas Taxes

Scenario #3: Cost Feasible

Projects

Notes: • US 1 and Roseland Road

are partially funded

Scenario #3: Cost Feasible Projects

Facility From To Improvement Implementation

I-95 At Oslo Road Interchange 2021-25

CR 510 CR 512 Intracoastal Waterway 2L – 4L 2021-30

66th Avenue 49th Street Barber Street 2L – 4L 2021-30

82nd Avenue 26th Street Laconia Street New 2L 2026-40

Oslo Road 58th Avenue I-95 2L – 4L 2031-40

US 1 (partially funded) CR 510 53rd Street 4L – 6L 2026-40

53rd Street 58th Avenue 82nd Avenue New 2L 2026-40

26th Street/Aviation Boulevard 66th Avenue US 1 2L – 4L 2026-30

CR 512 I-95 Willow Street 2L – 4L 2031-40

CR 512 I-95 CR 510 4L – 6L 2031-40

43rd Avenue 26th Street Oslo Road 2L – 4L 2026-40

74th Avenue 12th Street Oslo Road New 2L 2031-40

12th Street 58th Avenue 74th Avenue New 2L 2031-40

Roseland Road (partially funded) CR 512 US 1 2L – 4L 2031-40

Comparison of Draft Cost Feasible Projects by Revenue Scenarios

Project Improvement Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

I-95 at Oslo Road Interchange

CR 510 between CR 512 and ICWW 2L – 4L

66th Avenue between 49 St and Barber St 2L – 4L

82nd Avenue between 69 St and Laconia St New 2L

82nd Avenue between 26 St and 69 St New 2L

Oslo Road between 58 Av and I-95 2L – 4L

US 1 between 53 St and CR 510 4L – 6L

43rd Avenue between 26 St and 16 St 2L – 4L

43rd Avenue between 16 St and Oslo Rd 2L – 4L

26th Street between US 1 and 66 Av 2L – 4L

53rd Street between 58 Av and 82 Av New 2L

CR 512 between I-95 and Willow St 2L – 4L

CR 512 between I-95 and CR 510 4L – 6L

12th Street between 58 Av and 74 Av New 2L

74th Avenue between 12th St and Oslo Rd New 2L

Roseland Road between CR 512 and US 1 2L – 4L

Fully funded Partially funded Unfunded

With Sales Tax vs. Without

Sales Tax

Note: • US 1 is partially funded in

all scenarios

Potential Action Items/Policy Decisions

• Build support (county and municipalities) to extend Sales Tax beyond 2019.– 63 percent of projected local funding is from Sales Tax

– The draft cost feasible scenarios #1 and #3 assume the current 75-percent allocation of Sales Tax revenue will be maintained between 2021 and 2040

• Determine if the 5-Cent and 9th-Cent gas taxes should be implemented.

Public Involvement Opportunities

• Workshops – in October

• “Connecting IRC” LRTP website www.irmpo.com/LRTP

• MPO newsletters, TV and Radio, newspapers, online media, etc.

• Presentations to MPO Board and Committees– These meetings are open to the general

public

• Refine Cost Feasible Plan

• Public Workshops (October 2015)

• Presentations to MPO (October 2015)

• Public Comment Period

• Plan Adoption - Public Hearing (December 2015)

Next Steps

MPO Contact

Phil Matson (MPO Director)

1801 27th Street

Vero Beach FL 32960

pmatson@ircgov.com

(772) 226-1455