sedap - socialsciences.mcmaster.ca

S E D A PA PROGRAM FOR RESEARCH ON

SOCIAL AND ECONOMICDIMENSIONS OF AN AGING

POPULATION

Projections of the Population and LabourForce to 2046: The Provinces and Territories

Frank T. Denton, Christine H. Feaver, and Byron G. Spencer

SEDAP Research Paper No. 16

For further information about SEDAP and other papers in this series, see our web site: http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/sedap/

Requests for further information may be addressed to:Secretary, SEDAP Research Program

Kenneth Taylor Hall, Room 426McMaster University

Hamilton, Ontario, CanadaL8S 4M4

FAX: 905 521 8232e-mail: [email protected]

February 2000

The Program for Research on Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population (SEDAP)is an interdisciplinary research program centred at McMaster University with participants at theUniversity of British Columbia, Queen’s University, Univérsité de Montréal, and the University ofToronto. It has support from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada underthe Major Collaborative Research Initiatives Program, and further support from Statistics Canada,the Canadian Institute for Health Information, and participating universities. The SEDAP ResearchPaper series provides a vehicle for distributing the results of studies undertaken by those associatedwith the program. Authors take full responsibility for all expressions of opinion.

Note: This paper is cross listed as No. 348 in the McMaster University QSEP Report Series.

Projections of the Population and LabourForce to 2046: The Provinces and Territories

Frank T. Denton, Christine H. Feaver, andByron G. Spencer

SEDAP Research Paper No. 16

ABSTRACT

Projections of the Population and Labour Force to 2046: The Provinces and Territories


McMaster University

This report makes available projections of the population and labour force of each of the

provinces and territories of Canada. The projections extend to 2046, and are based on information

that is up-to-date at the time of release. The report provides an indication of the capabilities of the

MEDS software on which the projections are based.

PROJECTIONS OF THE POPULATION AND LABOUR FORCE TO 2046:

THE PROVINCES AND TERRITORIES


McMaster University

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

2. THE ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE PROJECTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

3. PRESENTATION OF THE PROJECTION RESULTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

4. POPULATION PYRAMIDS, 1991, 2011, and 2031 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9Newfoundland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9Prince Edward Island . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10Nova Scotia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11New Brunswick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12Quebec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13Ontario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Manitoba . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15Saskatchewan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Alberta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17British Columbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18Yukon Territory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19Northwest Territories and Nunavut . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

5. PROJECTIONS, ALL PROVINCES AND TERRITORIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21Population (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22Labour Force (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth, participation rates) . . . . . 24Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27Life Expectancies at Birth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29Number of Households and Household Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30Median Age of Population and Labour Force . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31Total Fertility Rate Assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34Crude Birth and Death Rates and Rate of Natural Increase . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

6. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NEWFOUNDLAND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 39Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth, participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44

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7. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 47Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52

8. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NOVA SCOTIA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 55Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60

9. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NEW BRUNSWICK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 63Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


10. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, QUEBEC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 71Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


11. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, ONTARIO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 79Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


12. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, MANITOBA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 87Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


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13. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, SASKATCHEWAN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . . 95Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100

14. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, ALBERTA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . 103Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108

15. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, BRITISH COLUMBIA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . 111Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


16. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, YUKON TERRITORY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . 119Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


17. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NORTHWEST TERRITORIES AND NUNAVUT . . . . . . 125Summary Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . 127Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,


18. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, CANADA BY REGION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth) . . . . . . . . . 133Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

participation rates) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135Dependency Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138Number of Households and Household Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140

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1. INTRODUCTION

This is the second of two reports designed to make available projections of the Canadian

population and labour force, and to draw to the attention of interested readers the availability of the

computer software on which they are based. The first report is concerned with projections at the all-

Canada level; it is available as QSEP Research Report No. 347 and as SEDAP Research Paper No.

15. The present report is concerned with projections for the provinces and territories, although results

obtained by aggregating the provincial and territorial projections are shown also at the all-Canada

level and at the level of six regions.

The projections extend to 2046, a period of 50 years starting from the 1996 census of

population. The assumptions on which they are based are described below and selected results are

displayed in the accompanying charts and tables, without analysis. Our intention is to provide a set

of projections based on information that is up-to-date at the time of release. Beyond that, the material

presented here can serve as an indication of the capabilities of the software.

The computer software used in making the projections is referred to as PMEDS-D, the current

demographic component of the MEDS software system. MEDS is an acronym for “Models of the

Economic-Demographic System”. The P refers to “provincial”, indicating that projections at the

provincial and territorial levels are possible, as well as at the all-Canada level and the level of regions

defined as user-determined combinations of provinces and territories. The D refers to the

“demographic” component of MEDS. (A companion model, MEDS-E for “economic”, provides

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medium- to long-term projections of macroeconomic aggregates at the all-Canada level, with

particular attention to the role of population change.) In displaying the output of PMEDS-D,

projection results are shown here at five-year intervals to 2046, with historical values for 1991 and

1996. The results reported relate in most cases to males and females combined, in broad age groups,

where relevant. However, PMEDS-D projects the population one year at a time, by single years of

age, separately for each sex, and the full range of age-sex information is available to a user of the

software for all years of the projection period. PMEDS-D will combine provinces and territories into

any desired set of up to six regions. (The default set is Atlantic, Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, BC, and

Territories.) Accompanying the software is a file with the default set of “standard” assumptions on

which this report is based. The software includes also two files with assumptions used in generating

“higher growth” and “lower growth” projections. More generally, a user has considerable freedom

to determine both the assumptions and the types of results to be displayed. A user is able also to keep

the projection base up to date by adding new fertility, migration, labour force, or other data as they

become available. Further information about the MEDS software system and how to obtain it is

provided at the web site for the McMaster Research Institute for Quantitative Studies in Economics

and Population -- http://socserv2.socsci.mcmaster.ca/~qsep/.

2. THE ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE PROJECTIONS

The assumptions are as follows. In each case the values cited are the latest available at the time

of release.

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Fertility: The total fertility rate in each province or territory is assumed to remain at its

1997 level throughout the projection period. The age distribution of fertility

over the childbearing years is assumed also to remain as it was in 1997.

Immigration: Annual immigration to Canada is assumed to increase from 173,000 in 1998-

99 to 200,000 in 1999-2000, then to increase further in equal annual

increments to a level of 225,000 in 2004-2005, and to remain at that level

thereafter. The proportion going to each province is assumed to move from

its 1998-99 level to the most recent five-year average level by 1999-2000, and

to remain at that level thereafter. The age-sex distribution of immigrants into

each province is assumed to continue to reflect recent experience.

Emigration: Annual emigration from each province is specified as a percentage of the

previous year’s population in that province. It is assumed that in each case the

province-specific emigration rate moves from its 1998-99 value to its latest

three-year average by 1999-2000, and remains at that level thereafter. The

age-sex distribution of emigrants from each province is assumed to continue

to reflect recent experience.

Interprovincial Migration:

In-migrants (from the rest of Canada) and out-migrants (to the rest of

Canada) are treated separately. The latest estimates relate to 1998-99. The

assumed flows for 1999-2000 are based on an average of the previous five

years; by 2009-10 the inflows and outflows for each province are assumed to

be in balance, and are set equal to the average of the two flows in 1999-2000;

values for the intervening years are calculated by linear interpolation. No

further change is assumed after 2009-10: the inflows and outflows for each

province and territory are thus assumed to remain in balance throughout the

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remainder of the projection period.

Mortality: Age-specific mortality rates are projected separately for each sex in each

province and territory. Our standard assumption is that they continue to fall

throughout the projection period, but at a reduced pace. An implication (at the

all-Canada level) of the assumptions is that life expectancy at birth for males

increases from 74.6 in 1991 to 78.9 in 2021, and to 80.9 in 2046, for a total

increase of 6.3 years. The corresponding changes for females are from 80.9

in 1991 to 83.2 in 2021 and 84.8 in 2046, for a total increase of 3.9 years.

Labour Force Participation Rates:

Age-specific labour force participation rates in each province or territory are

projected for each sex separately; the labour force age groups, as defined by

Statistics Canada, are 15-19, 20-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65 and

over. The rates are allowed to continue to change until 2011, generally in

accordance with recent historical trends; after that they remain constant.

Households: Underlying the projection of the number of households for each province or

territory is a set of age-sex-specific primary household maintainer rates;

consistent with recent historical experience, the default assumption is that

these rates remain constant; however, users are able to specify the value of a

trend factor that adjusts the rates up or down; the default value of this factor

is 1.0 (i.e., no trend) in the projections reported here.

3. PRESENTATION OF THE PROJECTION RESULTS

Selected results based on the foregoing assumptions are shown for each of the provinces, for

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the Yukon Territory, and for the Northwest Territories and Nunavut combined. Results for Canada

are obtained by aggregation. It should be noted that they differ slightly from projections made directly

at the all-Canada level.

PMEDS-D allows population pyramids to be generated for user-selected years. To illustrate,

in the next section we provide plots for the years 1991, 2011, and 2031 for each province. We note

that, roughly speaking, members of the baby boom cohort were in the age range 25 to 44 in 1991.

In 2011 they will be in the range 45 to 64, and in 2031 in the range 65 to 84. The relative size and

progression of the cohort shows up clearly in the pyramids.

The tabular material presented in section 5 illustrates the PMEDS-D output that is available

when the program is run for “All Provinces”. Sections 6 through 17 are illustrative of what is

available for individual provinces/territories. Finally, section 18 shows selected results for regions.

(As noted, provision is made for up to six regions, but the provinces and territories can be combined

into other regions by a user.)

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4. POPULATION PYRAMIDS, 1991, 2011, and 2031

Newfoundland, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 * 1906-1911 ** 80-84 *** 1911-1916 *** 75-79 **** 1916-1921 ***** 70-74 ****** 1921-1926 ****** 65-69 ****** 1926-1931 ******* 60-64 ******* 1931-1936 ******** 55-59 ******* 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ******** 1941-1946 ************ 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 *************** 40-44 *************** 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ***************** 30-34 ***************** 1961-1966 ***************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 ****************** 20-24 ***************** 1971-1976 ******************** 15-19 ****************** 1976-1981 ***************** 10-14 **************** 1981-1986 *************** 5- 9 *************** 1986-1991 ************* 0- 4 ************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ * 1921-1926 ** 85-89 *** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******** 1941-1946 *********** 65-69 *********** 1946-1951 *************** 60-64 *************** 1951-1956 ***************** 55-59 ***************** 1956-1961 ***************** 50-54 ****************** 1961-1966 ***************** 45-49 ***************** 1966-1971 *************** 40-44 *************** 1971-1976 *************** 35-39 ************** 1976-1981 ************* 30-34 ************ 1981-1986 ************ 25-29 *********** 1986-1991 *********** 20-24 *********** 1991-1996 *********** 15-19 ********** 1996-2001 ********** 10-14 ********** 2001-2006 ********* 5- 9 ********* 2006-2011 ******** 0- 4 ******** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ ** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 ***** 1946-1951 ******* 80-84 ********** 1951-1956 *********** 75-79 *************** 1956-1961 ************** 70-74 ***************** 1961-1966 **************** 65-69 ****************** 1966-1971 **************** 60-64 **************** 1971-1976 ***************** 55-59 *************** 1976-1981 **************** 50-54 ************** 1981-1986 *************** 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************ 35-39 ********** 1996-2001 ********** 30-34 ********* 2001-2006 ********* 25-29 ******** 2006-2011 ******** 20-24 ******* 2011-2016 ******** 15-19 ******** 2016-2021 ********* 10-14 ******** 2021-2026 ******* 5- 9 ******* 2026-2031 ****** 0- 4 ****** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

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Prince Edward Island, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 * 90+ ** 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 *** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 ***** 75-79 ****** 1916-1921 ****** 70-74 ******* 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ******** 1926-1931 ******** 60-64 ******** 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ********* 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ********* 1941-1946 *********** 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 *************** 40-44 *************** 1951-1956 *************** 35-39 *************** 1956-1961 **************** 30-34 **************** 1961-1966 **************** 25-29 **************** 1966-1971 *************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 **************** 15-19 *************** 1976-1981 **************** 10-14 *************** 1981-1986 **************** 5- 9 *************** 1986-1991 *************** 0- 4 *************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ *** 1921-1926 * 85-89 *** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 **** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******* 1941-1946 ********* 65-69 ********* 1946-1951 ************* 60-64 ************* 1951-1956 ************** 55-59 ************** 1956-1961 *************** 50-54 *************** 1961-1966 *************** 45-49 *************** 1966-1971 ************* 40-44 ************* 1971-1976 ************** 35-39 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 ************* 25-29 ************* 1986-1991 ************* 20-24 ************* 1991-1996 ************* 15-19 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 10-14 *********** 2001-2006 ************ 5- 9 *********** 2006-2011 *********** 0- 4 *********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ **** 1941-1946 ** 85-89 ***** 1946-1951 ****** 80-84 ********* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 *********** 1956-1961 ************ 70-74 ************* 1961-1966 ************* 65-69 ************** 1966-1971 ************* 60-64 ************* 1971-1976 ************** 55-59 ************* 1976-1981 ************** 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 45-49 ************** 1986-1991 ************* 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************* 35-39 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 30-34 *********** 2001-2006 *********** 25-29 ********** 2006-2011 *********** 20-24 ********** 2011-2016 *********** 15-19 *********** 2016-2021 *********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 ********** 5- 9 ********* 2026-2031 ********* 0- 4 ******** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

11

Nova Scotia, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 ** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 **** 75-79 ****** 1916-1921 ****** 70-74 ******** 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ******** 1926-1931 ******** 60-64 ******** 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ********* 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ********* 1941-1946 ************ 45-49 ************ 1946-1951 *************** 40-44 *************** 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 **************** 1956-1961 ****************** 30-34 ****************** 1961-1966 ****************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 **************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 *************** 15-19 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 10-14 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 5- 9 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 0- 4 ************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ *** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 **** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******** 1941-1946 ********* 65-69 ********** 1946-1951 ************* 60-64 ************** 1951-1956 *************** 55-59 *************** 1956-1961 **************** 50-54 ***************** 1961-1966 **************** 45-49 ***************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 ************** 1971-1976 ************** 35-39 ************* 1976-1981 ************* 30-34 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 25-29 ************ 1986-1991 ************* 20-24 ************* 1991-1996 ************* 15-19 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 10-14 ********** 2001-2006 ********** 5- 9 ********* 2006-2011 ********** 0- 4 ********* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ ***** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 ***** 1946-1951 ****** 80-84 ********* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 ************ 1956-1961 ************* 70-74 ************** 1961-1966 ************** 65-69 *************** 1966-1971 ************* 60-64 ************** 1971-1976 ************** 55-59 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************* 35-39 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 30-34 *********** 2001-2006 *********** 25-29 ********** 2006-2011 ********** 20-24 ********** 2011-2016 ********** 15-19 ********** 2016-2021 ********** 10-14 ********* 2021-2026 ********* 5- 9 ******** 2026-2031 ******** 0- 4 ******** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

12

New Brunswick, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 ** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 **** 75-79 ****** 1916-1921 ****** 70-74 ******* 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ******** 1926-1931 ******** 60-64 ******** 1931-1936 ******** 55-59 ******** 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ********* 1941-1946 ************ 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 **************** 40-44 *************** 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ***************** 30-34 ***************** 1961-1966 ***************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 **************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 **************** 15-19 **************** 1976-1981 *************** 10-14 ************** 1981-1986 ************** 5- 9 ************** 1986-1991 ************** 0- 4 ************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ ** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 **** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******** 1941-1946 ********** 65-69 ********** 1946-1951 ************** 60-64 ************** 1951-1956 *************** 55-59 *************** 1956-1961 **************** 50-54 **************** 1961-1966 **************** 45-49 **************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 ************** 1971-1976 ************** 35-39 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 25-29 ************ 1986-1991 ************ 20-24 ************ 1991-1996 ************ 15-19 *********** 1996-2001 *********** 10-14 ********** 2001-2006 ********** 5- 9 ********* 2006-2011 ********* 0- 4 ********* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 *** 90+ *** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 ***** 1946-1951 ******* 80-84 ********** 1951-1956 ********** 75-79 ************* 1956-1961 ************** 70-74 *************** 1961-1966 *************** 65-69 **************** 1966-1971 ************** 60-64 ************** 1971-1976 *************** 55-59 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************* 40-44 ************ 1991-1996 ************ 35-39 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 30-34 ********** 2001-2006 ********** 25-29 ********* 2006-2011 ********** 20-24 ********* 2011-2016 ********** 15-19 ********* 2016-2021 ********* 10-14 ********* 2021-2026 ******** 5- 9 ******** 2026-2031 ******* 0- 4 ******* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

13

Quebec, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 ** 80-84 *** 1911-1916 *** 75-79 ***** 1916-1921 ***** 70-74 ******* 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ********* 1926-1931 ******** 60-64 ********* 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ********** 1936-1941 ********** 50-54 ********** 1941-1946 ************* 45-49 ************* 1946-1951 **************** 40-44 **************** 1951-1956 ***************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ******************* 30-34 ******************* 1961-1966 ****************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 *************** 20-24 ************** 1971-1976 ************* 15-19 ************* 1976-1981 ************** 10-14 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 5- 9 ************ 1986-1991 ************* 0- 4 ************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ ** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 **** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ******* 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******** 1941-1946 ********** 65-69 *********** 1946-1951 ************* 60-64 ************* 1951-1956 *************** 55-59 *************** 1956-1961 ***************** 50-54 ***************** 1961-1966 ***************** 45-49 **************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 ************* 1971-1976 ************* 35-39 ************* 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 25-29 ************ 1986-1991 ************* 20-24 ************ 1991-1996 ************* 15-19 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 10-14 ********** 2001-2006 ********** 5- 9 ********** 2006-2011 ********** 0- 4 ********* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 ** 90+ *** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 ***** 1946-1951 ****** 80-84 ********* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 ************ 1956-1961 ************* 70-74 ************** 1961-1966 ************** 65-69 ************** 1966-1971 ************ 60-64 ************ 1971-1976 ************ 55-59 ************ 1976-1981 ************** 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************* 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************** 35-39 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 30-34 *********** 2001-2006 *********** 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 ********** 20-24 ********** 2011-2016 ********** 15-19 ********** 2016-2021 ********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 ********** 5- 9 ********* 2026-2031 ********* 0- 4 ******** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

14

Ontario, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 ** 80-84 *** 1911-1916 **** 75-79 ***** 1916-1921 ***** 70-74 ******* 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ********* 1926-1931 ********* 60-64 ********* 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ********* 1936-1941 ********** 50-54 ********** 1941-1946 ************ 45-49 ************ 1946-1951 *************** 40-44 *************** 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ****************** 30-34 ****************** 1961-1966 ******************* 25-29 ****************** 1966-1971 **************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 ************** 15-19 ************* 1976-1981 ************* 10-14 ************ 1981-1986 ************** 5- 9 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 0- 4 ************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ ** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 *** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ****** 70-74 ******* 1941-1946 ******** 65-69 ********* 1946-1951 *********** 60-64 ************ 1951-1956 ************* 55-59 ************* 1956-1961 *************** 50-54 *************** 1961-1966 **************** 45-49 **************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 *************** 1971-1976 ************** 35-39 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 ************** 25-29 ************** 1986-1991 ************** 20-24 ************* 1991-1996 ************** 15-19 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 10-14 *********** 2001-2006 *********** 5- 9 ********** 2006-2011 *********** 0- 4 ********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ *** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 **** 1946-1951 ***** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ******** 75-79 ********* 1956-1961 *********** 70-74 ************ 1961-1966 ************* 65-69 ************* 1966-1971 ************ 60-64 ************ 1971-1976 ************ 55-59 ************ 1976-1981 ************* 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************** 1991-1996 ************** 35-39 ************** 1996-2001 ************* 30-34 ************* 2001-2006 ************ 25-29 ************ 2006-2011 *********** 20-24 *********** 2011-2016 *********** 15-19 ********** 2016-2021 *********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 *********** 5- 9 ********** 2026-2031 ********** 0- 4 ********* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

15

Manitoba, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 * 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 *** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 ***** 75-79 ****** 1916-1921 ****** 70-74 ******** 1921-1926 ******* 65-69 ********* 1926-1931 ******** 60-64 ********* 1931-1936 ******** 55-59 ******** 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ********* 1941-1946 *********** 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 ************** 40-44 ************** 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 **************** 1956-1961 ***************** 30-34 ***************** 1961-1966 ***************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 *************** 20-24 ************** 1971-1976 *************** 15-19 ************** 1976-1981 ************** 10-14 ************** 1981-1986 *************** 5- 9 ************** 1986-1991 *************** 0- 4 *************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ *** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 **** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ****** 70-74 ******* 1941-1946 ******** 65-69 ********* 1946-1951 *********** 60-64 ************ 1951-1956 ************* 55-59 ************* 1956-1961 *************** 50-54 *************** 1961-1966 *************** 45-49 ************** 1966-1971 ************* 40-44 ************* 1971-1976 ************* 35-39 ************* 1976-1981 ************* 30-34 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 25-29 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 20-24 ************** 1991-1996 ************** 15-19 ************* 1996-2001 ************* 10-14 ************ 2001-2006 ************ 5- 9 ************ 2006-2011 ************ 0- 4 ************ % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ *** 1941-1946 ** 85-89 **** 1946-1951 ***** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ******** 75-79 ********** 1956-1961 *********** 70-74 *********** 1961-1966 ************ 65-69 ************ 1966-1971 *********** 60-64 *********** 1971-1976 ************ 55-59 *********** 1976-1981 ************ 50-54 ************ 1981-1986 ************* 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************** 35-39 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 30-34 ************ 2001-2006 ************ 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 ************ 20-24 *********** 2011-2016 ************ 15-19 ************ 2016-2021 ************ 10-14 *********** 2021-2026 ************ 5- 9 *********** 2026-2031 *********** 0- 4 *********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

16

Saskatchewan, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 * 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 *** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 ***** 75-79 ******* 1916-1921 ******* 70-74 ******** 1921-1926 ******** 65-69 ********* 1926-1931 ********* 60-64 ********* 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ******** 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ********* 1941-1946 ********** 45-49 ********** 1946-1951 ************* 40-44 ************ 1951-1956 **************** 35-39 *************** 1956-1961 ***************** 30-34 **************** 1961-1966 **************** 25-29 **************** 1966-1971 ************** 20-24 ************* 1971-1976 *************** 15-19 *************** 1976-1981 **************** 10-14 *************** 1981-1986 ***************** 5- 9 **************** 1986-1991 **************** 0- 4 *************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ *** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 **** 1926-1931 **** 80-84 ***** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ****** 1936-1941 ****** 70-74 ******* 1941-1946 ******** 65-69 ******** 1946-1951 *********** 60-64 *********** 1951-1956 ************* 55-59 ************* 1956-1961 *************** 50-54 *************** 1961-1966 ************** 45-49 ************** 1966-1971 ************ 40-44 ************ 1971-1976 ************* 35-39 ************ 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 ************** 25-29 ************** 1986-1991 ************** 20-24 ************** 1991-1996 ************** 15-19 ************* 1996-2001 ************* 10-14 ************ 2001-2006 ************* 5- 9 ************ 2006-2011 ************* 0- 4 ************ % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ **** 1941-1946 ** 85-89 **** 1946-1951 ***** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 ********** 1956-1961 *********** 70-74 ************ 1961-1966 *********** 65-69 ************ 1966-1971 ********** 60-64 *********** 1971-1976 *********** 55-59 *********** 1976-1981 ************* 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************* 45-49 ************* 1986-1991 ************* 40-44 ************* 1991-1996 ************* 35-39 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 30-34 *********** 2001-2006 ************ 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 ************ 20-24 ************ 2011-2016 ************* 15-19 ************ 2016-2021 ************ 10-14 ************ 2021-2026 ************ 5- 9 *********** 2026-2031 *********** 0- 4 *********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

17

Alberta, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 * 1906-1911 ** 80-84 *** 1911-1916 *** 75-79 **** 1916-1921 **** 70-74 ***** 1921-1926 ****** 65-69 ****** 1926-1931 ******* 60-64 ******* 1931-1936 ******** 55-59 ******** 1936-1941 ********* 50-54 ******** 1941-1946 *********** 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 *************** 40-44 ************** 1951-1956 ****************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ********************* 30-34 ******************** 1961-1966 ******************* 25-29 ******************* 1966-1971 **************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 ************** 15-19 ************** 1976-1981 *************** 10-14 ************** 1981-1986 ***************** 5- 9 **************** 1986-1991 ***************** 0- 4 **************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ * 1921-1926 * 85-89 *** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 **** 1931-1936 **** 75-79 ***** 1936-1941 ***** 70-74 ****** 1941-1946 ******* 65-69 ******** 1946-1951 *********** 60-64 *********** 1951-1956 ************** 55-59 ************* 1956-1961 **************** 50-54 *************** 1961-1966 **************** 45-49 *************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 ************** 1971-1976 *************** 35-39 ************** 1976-1981 *************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 *************** 25-29 *************** 1986-1991 *************** 20-24 ************** 1991-1996 ************** 15-19 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 10-14 *********** 2001-2006 ************ 5- 9 *********** 2006-2011 ************ 0- 4 *********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ ** 1941-1946 ** 85-89 **** 1946-1951 ***** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 ********** 1956-1961 ************ 70-74 ************ 1961-1966 ************ 65-69 ************* 1966-1971 ************ 60-64 ************ 1971-1976 ************* 55-59 ************ 1976-1981 ************* 50-54 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 45-49 ************** 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************** 1991-1996 ************* 35-39 ************* 1996-2001 ************ 30-34 ************ 2001-2006 ************ 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 ************ 20-24 *********** 2011-2016 ************ 15-19 *********** 2016-2021 *********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 ********** 5- 9 ********** 2026-2031 ********** 0- 4 ********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

18

British Columbia, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ * 1901-1906 * 85-89 ** 1906-1911 ** 80-84 **** 1911-1916 **** 75-79 ****** 1916-1921 ****** 70-74 ******* 1921-1926 ******** 65-69 ********* 1926-1931 ********* 60-64 ********* 1931-1936 ********* 55-59 ********* 1936-1941 ********** 50-54 ********** 1941-1946 ************ 45-49 ************ 1946-1951 **************** 40-44 **************** 1951-1956 ***************** 35-39 ***************** 1956-1961 ****************** 30-34 ****************** 1961-1966 ***************** 25-29 ***************** 1966-1971 ************** 20-24 ************** 1971-1976 ************* 15-19 ************* 1976-1981 ************* 10-14 ************* 1981-1986 ************** 5- 9 ************* 1986-1991 ************** 0- 4 ************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 * 90+ ** 1921-1926 ** 85-89 *** 1926-1931 *** 80-84 **** 1931-1936 ***** 75-79 ***** 1936-1941 ******* 70-74 ******* 1941-1946 ********* 65-69 ********* 1946-1951 ************* 60-64 ************* 1951-1956 ************** 55-59 ************** 1956-1961 *************** 50-54 **************** 1961-1966 **************** 45-49 **************** 1966-1971 *************** 40-44 *************** 1971-1976 ************** 35-39 *************** 1976-1981 ************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 ************** 25-29 ************* 1986-1991 ************* 20-24 ************ 1991-1996 ************ 15-19 ************ 1996-2001 *********** 10-14 *********** 2001-2006 ********** 5- 9 ********** 2006-2011 ********** 0- 4 ********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ *** 1941-1946 *** 85-89 **** 1946-1951 ****** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 ********** 1956-1961 ************ 70-74 ************ 1961-1966 ************* 65-69 ************* 1966-1971 ************* 60-64 ************** 1971-1976 ************* 55-59 ************* 1976-1981 ************* 50-54 ************** 1981-1986 ************** 45-49 ************** 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************** 1991-1996 ************* 35-39 ************** 1996-2001 ************ 30-34 ************ 2001-2006 *********** 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 *********** 20-24 ********** 2011-2016 ********** 15-19 ********** 2016-2021 ********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 ********* 5- 9 ********* 2026-2031 ********* 0- 4 ********* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

19

Yukon Territory, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ 1901-1906 85-89 1906-1911 * 80-84 * 1911-1916 * 75-79 * 1916-1921 ** 70-74 ** 1921-1926 **** 65-69 *** 1926-1931 ****** 60-64 **** 1931-1936 ******* 55-59 ****** 1936-1941 ********** 50-54 ******** 1941-1946 *************** 45-49 *********** 1946-1951 ******************* 40-44 ***************** 1951-1956 ********************** 35-39 ********************* 1956-1961 ********************** 30-34 ********************** 1961-1966 ******************* 25-29 ******************** 1966-1971 **************** 20-24 *************** 1971-1976 ************** 15-19 ************* 1976-1981 *************** 10-14 ************** 1981-1986 ****************** 5- 9 ***************** 1986-1991 ******************* 0- 4 **************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 90+ 1921-1926 * 85-89 * 1926-1931 ** 80-84 ** 1931-1936 *** 75-79 *** 1936-1941 ****** 70-74 ***** 1941-1946 ********* 65-69 ******* 1946-1951 ************** 60-64 ************ 1951-1956 **************** 55-59 **************** 1956-1961 ****************** 50-54 ******************* 1961-1966 ************** 45-49 ***************** 1966-1971 ************** 40-44 ************** 1971-1976 ************* 35-39 ************* 1976-1981 **************** 30-34 ************* 1981-1986 ****************** 25-29 ***************** 1986-1991 **************** 20-24 *************** 1991-1996 ************* 15-19 *********** 1996-2001 ********** 10-14 ********* 2001-2006 *********** 5- 9 ********* 2006-2011 ************ 0- 4 ************ % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 * 90+ * 1941-1946 ** 85-89 *** 1946-1951 ****** 80-84 ******* 1951-1956 ********* 75-79 *********** 1956-1961 ************ 70-74 ************* 1961-1966 ********* 65-69 ************* 1966-1971 ********* 60-64 *********** 1971-1976 ********* 55-59 ********** 1976-1981 ************ 50-54 *********** 1981-1986 **************** 45-49 ***************** 1986-1991 ***************** 40-44 **************** 1991-1996 *************** 35-39 ************** 1996-2001 *************** 30-34 ************* 2001-2006 ************* 25-29 *********** 2006-2011 *********** 20-24 *********** 2011-2016 *********** 15-19 *********** 2016-2021 *********** 10-14 ********** 2021-2026 ********** 5- 9 ********* 2026-2031 *********** 0- 4 ********** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

20

Northwest Territories and Nunavut, 1991, 2011, and 2031

PMEDS-D CHART 1: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 1991 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1901 90+ 1901-1906 85-89 1906-1911 * 80-84 * 1911-1916 * 75-79 * 1916-1921 ** 70-74 * 1921-1926 ** 65-69 ** 1926-1931 **** 60-64 *** 1931-1936 ***** 55-59 **** 1936-1941 ******* 50-54 ****** 1941-1946 ********** 45-49 ******** 1946-1951 ************** 40-44 ************ 1951-1956 ***************** 35-39 *************** 1956-1961 ********************* 30-34 ****************** 1961-1966 *********************** 25-29 ********************** 1966-1971 ******************** 20-24 ******************* 1971-1976 ***************** 15-19 **************** 1976-1981 ****************** 10-14 ****************** 1981-1986 ********************** 5- 9 ******************** 1986-1991 ************************* 0- 4 ************************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 2: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2011 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1921 90+ 1921-1926 85-89 1926-1931 * 80-84 * 1931-1936 * 75-79 ** 1936-1941 ** 70-74 *** 1941-1946 ***** 65-69 **** 1946-1951 ******** 60-64 ******* 1951-1956 ********* 55-59 ******** 1956-1961 ************* 50-54 *********** 1961-1966 *************** 45-49 ************* 1966-1971 ************* 40-44 ************* 1971-1976 ************ 35-39 *********** 1976-1981 **************** 30-34 ************** 1981-1986 ****************** 25-29 **************** 1986-1991 ******************* 20-24 ******************* 1991-1996 ******************* 15-19 ***************** 1996-2001 ****************** 10-14 **************** 2001-2006 ******************* 5- 9 ***************** 2006-2011 ******************** 0- 4 ******************* % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

PMEDS-D CHART 3: POPULATION AGE PYRAMID: 2031 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BIRTH YEARS MALES AGE FEMALES PRE 1941 90+ * 1941-1946 * 85-89 * 1946-1951 ** 80-84 *** 1951-1956 **** 75-79 **** 1956-1961 ****** 70-74 ****** 1961-1966 ******** 65-69 ******** 1966-1971 ******** 60-64 ******** 1971-1976 ******* 55-59 ****** 1976-1981 ********** 50-54 ******** 1981-1986 ************ 45-49 ********** 1986-1991 ************** 40-44 ************** 1991-1996 **************** 35-39 ************** 1996-2001 **************** 30-34 ************** 2001-2006 **************** 25-29 ************** 2006-2011 **************** 20-24 *************** 2011-2016 ***************** 15-19 *************** 2016-2021 ****************** 10-14 **************** 2021-2026 ******************* 5- 9 ***************** 2026-2031 ******************* 0- 4 ****************** % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 PERCENT OF TOTAL POPULATION

21

5. PROJECTIONS, ALL PROVINCES AND TERRITORIES

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 28031. 1930. 7.40 14476. 975. 7.22 10288. 2.72 20.7 11.5 1996 29672. 1641. 5.85 15021. 544. 3.76 11155. 2.66 20.2 12.1 2001 31002. 1330. 4.48 15951. 930. 6.19 11990. 2.59 18.9 12.7 2006 32249. 1246. 4.02 16720. 769. 4.82 12787. 2.52 17.4 13.3 2011 33447. 1198. 3.72 17353. 633. 3.78 13567. 2.47 16.1 14.4 2016 34559. 1113. 3.33 17501. 148. .85 14333. 2.41 15.7 16.5 2021 35560. 1000. 2.89 17458. -43. -.25 15039. 2.36 15.5 18.8 2026 36383. 823. 2.31 17373. -85. -.48 15582. 2.33 15.2 21.3 2031 36973. 590. 1.62 17297. -76. -.44 15999. 2.31 14.8 23.5 2036 37336. 363. .98 17312. 16. .09 16269. 2.29 14.3 24.5 2041 37513. 177. .47 17303. -10. -.06 16436. 2.28 14.0 25.1 2046 37555. 42. .11 17201. -102. -.59 16524. 2.27 13.9 25.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: TPOP is total population.Note: The growth rates show total growth over the preceding 5 years.

PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 219.2 43.7 -52.9 18.3 321.3 321.3 140.9 402.9 192.4 1996 217.0 47.1 -2.2 22.9 291.8 291.8 190.6 374.4 210.4 2001 205.0 59.3 -8.0 .0 293.4 293.4 137.7 339.0 227.5 2006 225.0 62.1 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 162.9 337.3 249.7 2011 225.0 64.8 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 160.2 344.9 272.1 2016 225.0 67.3 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 157.7 352.0 294.8 2021 225.0 69.6 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 155.4 352.8 319.9 2026 225.0 71.6 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 153.4 343.0 349.7 2031 225.0 73.1 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 151.9 332.1 385.1 2036 225.0 74.2 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 150.8 328.5 423.0 2041 225.0 74.9 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 150.1 330.1 457.2 2046 225.0 75.4 .0 .0 293.5 293.5 149.6 331.7 481.2

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: NPR is non-permanent residents. All numbers of persons are in thousands.

22

Population (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth)

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 28031 580 130 915 746 7065 10428 1110 1003 2593 3373 29 61 1996 29672 561 136 931 753 7274 11101 1134 1020 2781 3882 32 68 2001 31002 530 140 948 756 7394 11770 1150 1035 3054 4126 30 70 2006 32249 508 143 960 759 7507 12404 1169 1053 3248 4395 30 73 2011 33447 499 146 972 761 7633 13015 1197 1076 3386 4652 31 79 2016 34559 492 148 981 759 7741 13600 1227 1100 3499 4896 31 85 2021 35560 481 149 986 754 7819 14156 1254 1121 3593 5124 32 91 2026 36383 464 149 984 742 7854 14657 1277 1136 3662 5328 32 97 2031 36973 443 147 975 724 7835 15073 1292 1146 3704 5498 32 103 2036 37336 418 145 958 701 7767 15398 1301 1152 3721 5634 31 108 2041 37513 390 142 937 674 7664 15647 1306 1153 3717 5739 31 114 2046 37555 360 139 913 643 7541 15839 1307 1150 3693 5819 30 120

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.4 49.8 50.6 50.7 50.4 50.8 50.6 50.4 50.2 49.6 50.1 47.7 47.5 1996 50.5 50.2 50.7 50.9 50.4 50.7 50.7 50.4 50.3 49.6 50.2 47.8 47.6 2001 50.5 50.3 50.7 51.0 50.4 50.7 50.7 50.4 50.4 49.7 50.3 48.1 47.7 2006 50.5 50.3 50.7 50.9 50.4 50.7 50.7 50.3 50.5 49.7 50.4 48.5 47.8 2011 50.5 50.3 50.6 50.9 50.3 50.7 50.7 50.3 50.5 49.8 50.4 48.8 47.9 2016 50.5 50.2 50.6 50.8 50.3 50.6 50.7 50.2 50.5 49.8 50.5 49.2 48.0 2021 50.5 50.1 50.6 50.8 50.3 50.6 50.6 50.1 50.5 49.8 50.6 49.5 48.0 2026 50.5 50.1 50.7 50.9 50.4 50.7 50.6 50.1 50.6 49.9 50.7 49.8 48.0 2031 50.6 50.1 50.8 50.9 50.5 50.7 50.6 50.1 50.7 50.0 50.8 50.1 48.1 2036 50.6 50.0 50.9 51.1 50.6 50.8 50.6 50.1 50.8 50.1 50.9 50.2 48.1 2041 50.7 49.8 51.0 51.2 50.6 50.9 50.6 50.1 51.0 50.2 51.0 50.3 48.1 2046 50.7 49.4 51.1 51.3 50.5 50.9 50.6 50.1 51.1 50.2 51.1 50.2 48.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

23

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 2.1 .5 3.3 2.7 25.2 37.2 4.0 3.6 9.2 12.0 .1 .2 1996 100.0 1.9 .5 3.1 2.5 24.5 37.4 3.8 3.4 9.4 13.1 .1 .2 2001 100.0 1.7 .5 3.1 2.4 23.8 38.0 3.7 3.3 9.9 13.3 .1 .2 2006 100.0 1.6 .4 3.0 2.4 23.3 38.5 3.6 3.3 10.1 13.6 .1 .2 2011 100.0 1.5 .4 2.9 2.3 22.8 38.9 3.6 3.2 10.1 13.9 .1 .2 2016 100.0 1.4 .4 2.8 2.2 22.4 39.4 3.5 3.2 10.1 14.2 .1 .2 2021 100.0 1.4 .4 2.8 2.1 22.0 39.8 3.5 3.2 10.1 14.4 .1 .3 2026 100.0 1.3 .4 2.7 2.0 21.6 40.3 3.5 3.1 10.1 14.6 .1 .3 2031 100.0 1.2 .4 2.6 2.0 21.2 40.8 3.5 3.1 10.0 14.9 .1 .3 2036 100.0 1.1 .4 2.6 1.9 20.8 41.2 3.5 3.1 10.0 15.1 .1 .3 2041 100.0 1.0 .4 2.5 1.8 20.4 41.7 3.5 3.1 9.9 15.3 .1 .3 2046 100.0 1.0 .4 2.4 1.7 20.1 42.2 3.5 3.1 9.8 15.5 .1 .3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 5.9 -3.3 4.5 1.8 1.0 3.0 6.5 2.2 1.7 7.3 15.1 10.3 10.9 2001 4.5 -5.5 2.6 1.8 .4 1.6 6.0 1.4 1.6 9.8 6.3 -5.7 3.3 2006 4.0 -4.1 2.5 1.3 .3 1.5 5.4 1.7 1.7 6.3 6.5 -.3 5.0 2011 3.7 -1.6 1.8 1.3 .2 1.7 4.9 2.4 2.2 4.2 5.8 1.9 7.2 2016 3.3 -1.5 1.3 1.0 -.2 1.4 4.5 2.5 2.2 3.3 5.2 2.3 7.9 2021 2.9 -2.3 .7 .5 -.8 1.0 4.1 2.3 1.9 2.7 4.7 1.5 7.3 2026 2.3 -3.4 -.1 -.2 -1.5 .4 3.5 1.8 1.4 1.9 4.0 .3 6.5 2031 1.6 -4.6 -.8 -1.0 -2.4 -.2 2.8 1.2 .9 1.1 3.2 -.7 5.8 2036 1.0 -5.7 -1.5 -1.7 -3.2 -.9 2.2 .7 .5 .5 2.5 -1.4 5.5 2041 .5 -6.8 -2.0 -2.2 -3.9 -1.3 1.6 .3 .1 -.1 1.9 -1.6 5.4 2046 .1 -7.6 -2.4 -2.6 -4.5 -1.6 1.2 .1 -.3 -.6 1.4 -1.7 5.2

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: The growth rates show total growth over the preceding 5 years.

24

Labour Force (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth, participation rates)

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 14476 248 64 444 344 3526 5582 557 494 1407 1764 16 31 1996 15021 230 69 442 353 3597 5690 568 497 1523 2001 18 33 2001 15951 232 72 461 372 3672 6125 589 525 1710 2140 17 34 2006 16720 222 75 469 373 3713 6513 607 546 1848 2300 17 37 2011 17353 215 76 472 370 3733 6877 625 564 1930 2435 17 40 2016 17501 202 75 461 356 3664 7049 627 566 1944 2499 16 42 2021 17458 187 73 445 337 3559 7139 623 562 1932 2538 16 44 2026 17373 173 71 430 320 3463 7200 621 560 1909 2565 16 46 2031 17297 159 69 414 301 3383 7247 620 559 1891 2590 15 48 2036 17312 146 67 402 285 3327 7340 624 560 1878 2619 15 51 2041 17303 133 65 389 268 3279 7421 625 557 1855 2643 15 54 2046 17201 120 62 374 251 3205 7467 623 548 1823 2658 15 57

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 44.5 43.3 45.8 44.1 43.9 43.8 45.3 44.5 44.2 44.3 44.3 43.1 42.5 1996 45.1 44.0 46.5 45.3 44.9 44.4 45.8 44.9 44.6 44.7 45.1 43.8 43.2 2001 45.6 44.4 47.4 45.4 45.5 44.6 46.2 45.5 45.2 45.1 46.1 44.8 43.8 2006 45.9 44.4 47.7 45.6 45.7 44.7 46.6 45.8 45.6 45.5 46.6 45.5 44.3 2011 46.3 44.3 48.0 45.8 46.0 45.0 46.9 46.1 46.1 45.8 47.1 46.0 44.8 2016 46.1 43.6 47.7 45.5 45.7 44.7 46.7 45.8 46.0 45.5 47.1 45.9 44.7 2021 45.9 42.9 47.5 45.2 45.4 44.5 46.5 45.6 45.8 45.3 47.1 45.7 44.5 2026 45.9 42.2 47.3 44.9 45.2 44.6 46.5 45.6 45.8 45.2 47.1 45.6 44.4 2031 45.9 41.7 47.2 44.8 45.1 44.6 46.5 45.5 45.7 45.1 47.2 45.4 44.4 2036 45.9 41.2 47.0 44.6 45.0 44.6 46.4 45.5 45.6 45.0 47.2 45.5 44.3 2041 45.8 40.7 46.8 44.4 44.9 44.5 46.4 45.4 45.5 44.9 47.1 45.2 44.2 2046 45.7 40.2 46.6 44.3 44.8 44.5 46.3 45.3 45.4 44.8 47.1 45.2 44.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

25

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 1.7 .4 3.1 2.4 24.4 38.6 3.9 3.4 9.7 12.2 .1 .2 1996 100.0 1.5 .5 2.9 2.4 23.9 37.9 3.8 3.3 10.1 13.3 .1 .2 2001 100.0 1.5 .5 2.9 2.3 23.0 38.4 3.7 3.3 10.7 13.4 .1 .2 2006 100.0 1.3 .4 2.8 2.2 22.2 39.0 3.6 3.3 11.1 13.8 .1 .2 2011 100.0 1.2 .4 2.7 2.1 21.5 39.6 3.6 3.2 11.1 14.0 .1 .2 2016 100.0 1.2 .4 2.6 2.0 20.9 40.3 3.6 3.2 11.1 14.3 .1 .2 2021 100.0 1.1 .4 2.6 1.9 20.4 40.9 3.6 3.2 11.1 14.5 .1 .3 2026 100.0 1.0 .4 2.5 1.8 19.9 41.4 3.6 3.2 11.0 14.8 .1 .3 2031 100.0 .9 .4 2.4 1.7 19.6 41.9 3.6 3.2 10.9 15.0 .1 .3 2036 100.0 .8 .4 2.3 1.6 19.2 42.4 3.6 3.2 10.8 15.1 .1 .3 2041 100.0 .8 .4 2.2 1.5 19.0 42.9 3.6 3.2 10.7 15.3 .1 .3 2046 100.0 .7 .4 2.2 1.5 18.6 43.4 3.6 3.2 10.6 15.4 .1 .3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 3.8 -7.3 7.8 -.5 2.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 .6 8.3 13.4 8.2 8.3 2001 6.2 .9 4.5 4.4 5.3 2.1 7.6 3.7 5.8 12.3 7.0 -3.9 4.0 2006 4.8 -4.3 3.5 1.7 .4 1.1 6.3 3.0 4.0 8.1 7.5 .5 6.0 2011 3.8 -3.5 1.8 .7 -.8 .5 5.6 2.9 3.1 4.4 5.9 .3 8.5 2016 .9 -5.8 -1.7 -2.3 -3.9 -1.9 2.5 .3 .4 .7 2.6 -2.8 5.8 2021 -.2 -7.3 -2.5 -3.4 -5.2 -2.8 1.3 -.6 -.6 -.6 1.6 -3.4 4.6 2026 -.5 -7.6 -2.5 -3.5 -5.3 -2.7 .9 -.4 -.5 -1.2 1.0 -2.6 4.6 2031 -.4 -8.2 -2.9 -3.7 -5.9 -2.3 .7 -.1 -.2 -1.0 1.0 -.5 5.6 2036 .1 -8.3 -2.8 -2.9 -5.3 -1.7 1.3 .6 .2 -.7 1.1 .1 6.0 2041 -.1 -9.0 -3.6 -3.3 -6.0 -1.4 1.1 .2 -.6 -1.2 .9 -1.4 5.9 2046 -.6 -9.7 -4.2 -3.8 -6.3 -2.3 .6 -.4 -1.6 -1.7 .5 -2.2 4.6


26

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 10FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 75.2 63.2 72.1 70.9 67.4 73.2 76.5 75.6 75.8 80.7 75.5 81.9 81.7 1996 72.5 58.5 72.5 67.6 66.1 70.8 73.0 74.7 73.5 79.8 72.8 78.9 79.1 2001 71.9 60.2 71.1 67.9 67.0 69.9 72.5 74.4 74.2 79.0 70.8 76.4 78.1 2006 70.7 58.7 70.1 66.3 65.4 68.2 71.3 73.6 73.9 78.0 69.7 73.6 76.5 2011 69.2 56.7 68.8 64.6 63.4 66.1 70.0 72.4 73.3 76.7 68.2 71.4 75.0 2016 67.5 54.4 66.8 62.4 60.8 64.0 68.5 70.9 72.3 74.9 66.3 68.9 73.8 2021 65.5 51.9 64.7 60.2 58.1 61.7 66.8 69.1 70.6 72.6 64.3 66.7 72.6 2026 63.6 49.8 62.9 58.2 55.8 59.8 65.0 67.5 69.0 70.2 62.4 65.0 71.2 2031 62.1 47.9 61.3 56.6 53.7 58.4 63.4 66.3 68.0 68.5 60.9 65.0 70.3 2036 61.4 46.7 60.5 55.8 52.5 57.8 62.6 66.0 67.7 67.6 60.0 65.6 70.2 2041 61.0 45.5 59.7 55.3 51.3 57.6 62.1 65.8 67.5 66.9 59.5 66.0 70.5 2046 60.6 44.6 58.9 54.8 50.3 57.2 61.7 65.6 67.0 66.4 59.1 65.9 70.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 10FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 58.5 48.4 58.3 53.7 51.1 54.5 61.1 58.7 58.9 64.6 59.1 68.1 68.6 1996 57.8 45.3 60.1 53.0 52.4 54.4 59.1 58.9 58.0 64.9 58.7 66.9 66.9 2001 58.3 47.2 60.9 53.4 54.5 54.2 59.8 60.2 59.6 65.3 59.2 66.0 67.2 2006 58.2 45.9 60.7 52.8 53.8 53.4 59.7 60.5 60.4 65.4 59.3 64.7 66.1 2011 57.9 44.3 60.4 52.0 52.9 52.3 59.6 60.5 60.9 65.0 59.2 63.2 66.0 2016 56.1 41.6 58.2 49.8 50.4 50.3 58.1 58.9 59.7 62.7 57.5 59.8 64.5 2021 54.2 38.7 55.9 47.5 47.6 48.2 56.3 57.2 58.0 60.3 55.6 56.6 62.9 2026 52.6 36.3 53.9 45.5 45.3 46.7 54.8 55.8 56.5 58.0 53.8 54.5 61.4 2031 51.3 34.4 52.1 43.9 43.2 45.6 53.5 54.8 55.3 56.2 52.4 53.5 60.8 2036 50.6 32.9 50.8 42.8 41.9 45.0 52.8 54.4 54.5 55.1 51.4 53.7 60.4 2041 50.0 31.9 49.5 42.0 40.8 44.7 52.2 54.1 53.9 54.1 50.6 53.3 60.4 2046 49.6 31.0 48.3 41.2 40.1 44.4 51.8 53.7 53.0 53.4 50.0 53.2 59.9

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27

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

TOTAL POPULATION RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.94 2.33 2.04 2.06 2.17 2.00 1.87 1.99 2.03 1.84 1.91 1.79 1.99

2001 1.94 2.28 1.94 2.05 2.03 2.01 1.92 1.95 1.97 1.79 1.93 1.79 2.03 2006 1.93 2.28 1.92 2.05 2.03 2.02 1.90 1.92 1.93 1.76 1.91 1.77 2.01

2016 1.97 2.44 1.98 2.13 2.13 2.11 1.93 1.96 1.94 1.80 1.96 1.90 2.02 2021 2.04 2.57 2.04 2.21 2.23 2.20 1.98 2.01 1.99 1.86 2.02 1.99 2.07

2031 2.14 2.79 2.14 2.35 2.41 2.32 2.08 2.08 2.05 1.96 2.12 2.05 2.11 2036 2.16 2.87 2.17 2.38 2.46 2.33 2.10 2.09 2.06 1.98 2.15 2.02 2.11

2046 2.18 3.01 2.25 2.44 2.57 2.35 2.12 2.10 2.10 2.03 2.19 2.02 2.11

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000----------------------------------------------------------------------------

YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN

1991 .53 .74 .62 .57 .62 .53 .50 .58 .63 .56 .51 .55 .81 1996 .53 .68 .57 .56 .56 .52 .52 .57 .63 .54 .50 .55 .82

2006 .46 .48 .48 .47 .45 .46 .47 .51 .52 .46 .44 .44 .77 2011 .43 .44 .45 .43 .42 .44 .43 .48 .49 .42 .41 .39 .72

2021 .42 .42 .44 .42 .41 .43 .42 .48 .49 .41 .40 .42 .72 2026 .43 .42 .44 .43 .41 .44 .42 .48 .49 .42 .40 .43 .73

2036 .42 .40 .42 .42 .40 .44 .42 .47 .47 .40 .40 .40 .71 2041 .42 .40 .41 .41 .39 .43 .41 .47 .46 .40 .39 .38 .69

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28

PMEDS-D TABLE 21: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION 65+ RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .22 .22 .27 .26 .26 .22 .22 .26 .29 .17 .24 .07 .05 1996 .24 .26 .25 .27 .27 .24 .24 .27 .30 .18 .24 .08 .06 2001 .25 .27 .26 .28 .27 .26 .25 .27 .29 .18 .25 .10 .07 2006 .26 .30 .26 .29 .29 .28 .25 .27 .28 .19 .26 .13 .08 2011 .28 .36 .28 .32 .32 .32 .27 .28 .28 .21 .28 .17 .10 2016 .33 .46 .34 .38 .40 .38 .31 .32 .31 .25 .32 .25 .14 2021 .38 .58 .40 .46 .49 .46 .35 .36 .36 .31 .38 .34 .17 2026 .45 .71 .47 .54 .59 .54 .41 .42 .42 .38 .44 .42 .21 2031 .50 .83 .52 .62 .69 .60 .46 .46 .46 .44 .50 .44 .24 2036 .53 .91 .56 .66 .75 .62 .49 .47 .47 .47 .53 .43 .25 2041 .54 .98 .60 .69 .80 .63 .50 .47 .48 .49 .55 .41 .24 2046 .56 1.04 .63 .71 .85 .64 .52 .48 .50 .51 .57 .40 .24

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 22: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION <20 & 65+ RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .76 .96 .88 .83 .88 .75 .72 .85 .92 .73 .75 .62 .86 1996 .77 .94 .83 .83 .83 .77 .76 .84 .93 .72 .75 .63 .88 2001 .74 .82 .78 .78 .76 .75 .74 .81 .85 .68 .72 .61 .87 2006 .72 .78 .74 .76 .74 .74 .72 .77 .80 .65 .69 .57 .85 2011 .71 .79 .73 .75 .74 .76 .70 .75 .77 .63 .69 .56 .82 2016 .75 .88 .78 .80 .81 .81 .72 .78 .79 .67 .72 .64 .84 2021 .81 1.01 .85 .88 .90 .89 .77 .84 .85 .73 .78 .76 .89 2026 .87 1.13 .90 .97 1.00 .98 .83 .90 .91 .80 .85 .85 .94 2031 .93 1.24 .95 1.05 1.09 1.04 .89 .94 .94 .85 .90 .86 .96 2036 .95 1.31 .98 1.07 1.14 1.06 .91 .94 .93 .87 .93 .83 .96 2041 .96 1.38 1.01 1.10 1.19 1.05 .92 .94 .94 .89 .95 .80 .93 2046 .97 1.44 1.05 1.12 1.24 1.07 .93 .94 .97 .91 .96 .78 .93

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29

Life Expectancies at Birth

PMEDS-D TABLE 23: PROJECTED LIFE EXPECTANCIES CANADA (SUM) MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AT AGE 0 YEAR -------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 73.6 73.6 73.6 74.3 73.7 74.9 74.6 75.3 75.1 75.2 71.9 71.9 1996 74.3 74.5 74.5 75.2 74.6 75.9 75.4 76.0 75.9 76.1 73.0 73.0 2001 74.9 75.3 75.3 76.0 75.5 76.8 76.0 76.7 76.6 76.9 73.9 73.9 2006 75.4 75.9 75.9 76.8 76.2 77.6 76.6 77.2 77.2 77.7 74.7 74.7 2011 75.9 76.5 76.5 77.4 76.9 78.3 77.2 77.7 77.8 78.3 75.5 75.5 2016 76.3 77.1 77.1 78.1 77.6 79.0 77.7 78.2 78.4 78.9 76.2 76.2 2021 76.7 77.6 77.6 78.7 78.2 79.6 78.2 78.6 78.9 79.5 76.9 76.9 2026 77.0 78.0 78.0 79.3 78.8 80.2 78.6 79.0 79.3 80.0 77.5 77.5 2031 77.3 78.4 78.4 79.7 79.2 80.7 79.0 79.3 79.7 80.4 78.0 78.0 2036 77.6 78.7 78.7 80.2 79.7 81.1 79.3 79.6 80.1 80.8 78.4 78.4 2041 77.8 79.0 79.0 80.6 80.1 81.5 79.6 79.9 80.4 81.1 78.8 78.8 2046 78.0 79.3 79.3 80.9 80.4 81.9 79.9 80.1 80.7 81.4 79.1 79.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 23: PROJECTED LIFE EXPECTANCIES CANADA (SUM) FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AT AGE 0 YEAR -------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 79.3 80.5 80.5 80.9 80.8 80.9 80.8 81.7 81.0 81.3 76.3 76.3 1996 79.7 81.0 81.0 81.3 81.3 81.4 81.2 82.1 81.4 81.8 77.0 77.0 2001 79.9 81.4 81.4 81.7 81.8 81.7 81.5 82.5 81.7 82.1 77.4 77.4 2006 80.2 81.8 81.8 82.0 82.2 82.1 81.8 82.8 82.0 82.5 77.9 77.9 2011 80.5 82.2 82.2 82.4 82.6 82.4 82.1 83.2 82.3 82.9 78.3 78.3 2016 80.7 82.6 82.6 82.7 83.1 82.7 82.4 83.5 82.6 83.2 78.8 78.8 2021 80.9 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.5 83.0 82.7 83.9 82.8 83.6 79.2 79.2 2026 81.2 83.4 83.4 83.4 83.9 83.4 83.0 84.2 83.1 83.9 79.6 79.6 2031 81.4 83.7 83.7 83.7 84.3 83.7 83.3 84.5 83.4 84.3 80.0 80.0 2036 81.6 84.1 84.1 84.0 84.6 84.0 83.6 84.9 83.6 84.6 80.4 80.4 2041 81.8 84.5 84.5 84.3 85.0 84.3 83.9 85.2 83.9 84.9 80.8 80.8 2046 82.0 84.9 84.9 84.6 85.4 84.6 84.2 85.6 84.1 85.3 81.2 81.2

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30

Number of Households and Household Size

PMEDS-D TABLE 24: PROJECTED NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 10288 178 45 330 261 2701 3758 412 368 927 1280 10 17 1996 11155 189 49 352 278 2883 4060 428 384 1012 1487 12 21 2001 11990 193 52 370 292 3018 4421 445 399 1139 1628 11 22 2006 12787 195 55 387 304 3153 4762 462 415 1245 1774 12 23 2011 13567 200 57 403 316 3275 5107 482 432 1338 1919 12 25 2016 14333 204 60 420 326 3390 5456 503 450 1423 2061 13 28 2021 15039 206 62 433 332 3486 5796 523 466 1496 2195 13 31 2026 15582 203 63 440 334 3534 6082 539 478 1551 2312 14 33 2031 15999 198 64 442 332 3549 6326 551 488 1590 2411 14 35 2036 16269 189 63 440 325 3531 6513 559 495 1614 2490 13 37 2041 16436 178 63 434 315 3493 6661 565 499 1625 2550 13 40 2046 16524 167 62 425 303 3448 6777 567 500 1624 2596 13 42

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 25: PROJECTED HOUSEHOLD SIZE CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CA NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.72 3.25 2.91 2.77 2.86 2.62 2.77 2.69 2.72 2.80 2.64 2.81 3.58 1996 2.66 2.96 2.80 2.65 2.71 2.52 2.73 2.65 2.65 2.75 2.61 2.74 3.27 2001 2.59 2.75 2.71 2.56 2.59 2.45 2.66 2.58 2.60 2.68 2.53 2.62 3.24 2006 2.52 2.60 2.63 2.48 2.49 2.38 2.60 2.53 2.54 2.61 2.48 2.54 3.16 2011 2.47 2.50 2.55 2.41 2.41 2.33 2.55 2.48 2.49 2.53 2.42 2.45 3.09 2016 2.41 2.41 2.47 2.34 2.33 2.28 2.49 2.44 2.44 2.46 2.38 2.38 3.02 2021 2.36 2.34 2.40 2.28 2.27 2.24 2.44 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.33 2.36 2.96 2026 2.33 2.28 2.36 2.24 2.22 2.22 2.41 2.37 2.38 2.36 2.30 2.34 2.93 2031 2.31 2.24 2.32 2.20 2.18 2.21 2.38 2.35 2.35 2.33 2.28 2.33 2.91 2036 2.29 2.21 2.29 2.18 2.16 2.20 2.36 2.33 2.33 2.31 2.26 2.31 2.89 2041 2.28 2.18 2.27 2.16 2.14 2.19 2.35 2.31 2.31 2.29 2.25 2.30 2.86 2046 2.27 2.16 2.25 2.15 2.12 2.19 2.34 2.30 2.30 2.27 2.24 2.29 2.84

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31

PMEDS-D TABLE 26: PROJECTED MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

PROVINCE YEAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 30.2 32.0 32.4 32.1 33.1 32.4 31.9 31.9 30.9 33.8 31.1 25.4

2001 37.3 35.6 37.1 37.1 37.5 36.1 35.3 34.9 34.1 37.1 35.1 26.7 2006 40.6 36.9 39.2 39.4 39.6 37.5 36.4 35.8 35.5 38.7 36.5 27.0

2016 45.0 40.1 42.1 43.4 41.9 39.7 38.2 37.5 38.5 41.4 37.1 28.1 2021 47.0 41.8 43.5 45.2 43.0 40.6 38.9 38.7 39.9 42.4 38.2 28.9

2031 50.5 44.5 45.8 48.4 44.8 42.4 40.6 41.1 42.5 44.4 40.8 30.1 2036 51.7 45.5 46.8 49.6 45.5 43.4 41.4 41.9 43.6 45.3 41.5 30.2

2046 53.8 46.8 48.1 51.6 46.4 44.4 41.6 41.9 44.4 46.1 40.9 30.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN

1991 31.2 33.6 34.1 33.7 35.0 34.1 33.8 33.2 31.5 35.1 30.4 24.1 1996 34.7 35.6 36.5 36.3 37.1 35.9 35.5 35.0 33.7 36.4 32.3 25.5

2006 42.4 39.4 41.5 41.7 41.9 39.5 39.0 38.2 36.8 40.1 37.8 26.7 2011 45.3 41.0 43.5 43.9 43.5 40.7 39.8 38.9 38.4 41.5 39.4 27.4

2021 50.0 44.4 46.6 47.6 45.4 42.5 41.0 40.9 41.3 43.9 40.2 29.3 2026 52.2 46.0 47.9 49.5 46.4 43.3 41.8 42.2 42.9 45.0 41.9 30.2

2036 55.6 49.1 50.3 52.5 47.9 45.1 43.7 44.6 45.7 47.1 44.9 30.6 2041 56.7 50.4 51.4 53.6 48.8 46.0 44.3 45.3 46.5 47.9 45.2 30.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

32

PMEDS-D TABLE 26: PROJECTED MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 30.7 32.8 33.3 32.9 34.1 33.3 32.8 32.5 31.1 34.4 30.8 24.8 1996 34.1 34.7 35.6 35.4 36.1 35.0 34.5 34.2 33.3 35.6 32.6 26.0 2001 38.0 36.7 38.1 38.1 38.6 37.0 36.4 36.0 34.7 37.7 35.4 26.4 2006 41.5 38.2 40.4 40.6 40.8 38.5 37.7 37.0 36.1 39.4 37.1 26.8 2011 44.2 39.8 42.1 42.6 42.2 39.7 38.5 37.7 37.7 40.8 38.4 27.5 2016 46.4 41.4 43.7 44.5 43.2 40.7 39.3 38.6 39.2 42.1 38.3 28.2 2021 48.5 43.0 45.0 46.4 44.2 41.5 39.9 39.8 40.6 43.2 39.1 29.1 2026 50.5 44.6 46.3 48.2 45.2 42.4 40.8 41.1 42.1 44.2 40.8 30.0 2031 52.2 46.0 47.4 49.7 46.0 43.3 41.6 42.2 43.5 45.3 42.2 30.3 2036 53.5 47.3 48.5 51.0 46.7 44.3 42.5 43.3 44.6 46.2 43.2 30.4 2041 54.6 48.4 49.5 52.1 47.5 45.1 42.9 43.7 45.4 46.9 43.3 30.5 2046 55.7 49.1 50.2 53.0 47.8 45.4 42.9 43.7 45.6 47.3 42.8 30.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 27: PROJECTED MEDIAN AGE OF LF MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 35.8 36.3 35.8 35.9 36.5 36.0 35.8 36.3 35.3 36.7 36.5 32.9 1996 37.7 37.2 37.6 37.5 38.1 37.5 37.1 37.7 37.2 38.0 38.1 34.6 2001 39.6 38.9 39.0 39.0 39.8 38.9 38.8 39.0 38.4 39.3 40.3 36.2 2006 41.2 39.8 40.2 40.4 41.1 40.0 39.7 39.8 39.3 40.4 40.4 36.6 2011 42.0 40.2 40.5 41.0 41.4 40.4 39.8 39.8 39.9 40.9 39.5 35.8 2016 42.5 40.6 40.6 41.4 41.0 40.3 39.8 39.9 40.3 41.0 37.8 35.2 2021 43.1 41.1 40.6 41.8 41.0 40.3 39.7 40.3 40.6 41.1 38.1 35.3 2026 43.4 41.4 40.8 42.0 41.0 40.4 39.8 40.7 40.8 41.2 38.8 35.7 2031 43.7 41.7 41.1 42.2 41.0 40.6 40.0 41.0 41.1 41.4 39.9 36.3 2036 44.3 42.1 41.6 42.7 41.5 41.0 40.4 41.3 41.3 41.6 40.3 36.5 2041 44.5 42.1 41.7 42.7 41.6 41.1 40.3 41.2 41.3 41.6 40.0 36.4 2046 44.5 42.0 41.5 42.6 41.3 41.0 40.1 40.9 41.1 41.5 39.6 36.4

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33

PMEDS-D TABLE 27: PROJECTED MEDIAN AGE OF LF FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 33.7 35.0 34.3 34.3 35.3 35.1 35.2 35.5 34.6 35.5 34.5 31.1 1996 36.0 36.7 36.5 36.6 37.6 37.0 36.9 37.3 36.6 37.3 36.5 33.2 2001 38.6 37.9 38.2 38.4 39.0 38.4 38.5 38.9 37.9 38.9 39.1 34.9 2006 40.3 38.5 39.4 39.8 40.1 39.4 39.4 39.9 38.7 39.9 40.2 35.6 2011 41.1 39.0 39.7 40.3 40.0 39.7 39.3 39.9 39.2 40.4 40.1 34.7 2016 41.4 39.3 39.7 40.6 39.4 39.5 39.0 39.8 39.4 40.5 38.6 34.3 2021 41.6 39.6 39.6 40.8 39.3 39.4 38.8 40.1 39.6 40.6 38.2 34.5 2026 41.9 40.1 39.7 41.0 39.3 39.5 39.0 40.5 39.9 40.7 39.2 35.2 2031 42.2 40.6 40.1 41.2 39.6 39.8 39.4 40.8 40.2 41.0 40.0 35.8 2036 42.7 40.8 40.5 41.5 40.0 40.2 39.7 41.1 40.4 41.2 40.3 35.7 2041 42.6 40.5 40.4 41.4 39.9 40.2 39.6 40.9 40.2 41.2 39.7 35.5 2046 42.4 40.3 40.1 41.3 39.6 40.0 39.4 40.7 40.0 41.1 39.3 35.4

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 27: PROJECTED MEDIAN AGE OF LF BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 34.8 35.7 35.2 35.1 36.0 35.6 35.5 35.9 35.0 36.2 35.6 32.1 1996 36.9 37.0 37.1 37.1 37.9 37.2 37.0 37.5 36.9 37.7 37.3 34.0 2001 39.2 38.4 38.6 38.8 39.4 38.7 38.7 39.0 38.2 39.1 39.7 35.6 2006 40.8 39.1 39.8 40.1 40.7 39.7 39.6 39.9 39.0 40.1 40.3 36.1 2011 41.6 39.6 40.1 40.7 40.7 40.0 39.6 39.9 39.6 40.7 39.8 35.3 2016 42.0 39.9 40.2 41.1 40.3 40.0 39.4 39.9 39.9 40.8 38.2 34.8 2021 42.4 40.4 40.2 41.3 40.3 39.9 39.3 40.2 40.1 40.8 38.2 34.9 2026 42.7 40.8 40.3 41.6 40.2 40.0 39.4 40.6 40.4 41.0 39.0 35.5 2031 43.0 41.1 40.7 41.7 40.3 40.2 39.7 40.9 40.7 41.2 40.0 36.1 2036 43.6 41.4 41.1 42.2 40.8 40.6 40.1 41.2 40.9 41.4 40.3 36.1 2041 43.7 41.3 41.1 42.1 40.8 40.7 40.0 41.1 40.8 41.4 39.9 36.0 2046 43.7 41.2 40.9 42.0 40.5 40.5 39.8 40.8 40.6 41.3 39.5 36.0

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34

Total Fertility Rate Assumptions

PMEDS-D TABLE 28: PROJECTED TOTAL FERTILITY RATE ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.44 1.86 1.59 1.55 1.65 1.67 1.97 2.04 1.90 1.69 2.15 2.88 1996 1.30 1.73 1.52 1.46 1.60 1.61 1.90 1.89 1.74 1.55 1.67 2.70 2001 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2006 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2011 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2016 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2021 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2026 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2031 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2036 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2041 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58 2046 1.27 1.63 1.45 1.44 1.52 1.53 1.82 1.84 1.68 1.49 1.82 2.58

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35

PMEDS-D TABLE 29: PROJECTED CRUDE BIRTH RATE ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

PROVINCE YEAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 12.7 14.9 13.6 13.0 14.0 14.5 15.6 15.6 16.6 13.5 19.5 27.1

2001 9.1 11.2 10.0 10.0 10.2 11.1 12.3 12.3 12.5 10.7 13.0 20.7 2006 8.1 11.0 9.4 9.4 9.7 10.5 12.0 12.5 12.2 10.2 12.6 20.1

2016 6.9 10.3 9.0 8.4 9.5 10.4 12.0 12.2 11.7 9.8 13.4 21.0 2021 6.2 9.6 8.6 7.9 9.3 10.2 11.7 11.5 11.0 9.4 12.4 20.1

2031 5.2 8.5 7.5 6.9 8.3 9.3 10.7 10.6 9.8 8.6 10.8 18.6 2036 5.0 8.3 7.3 6.7 8.2 9.0 10.6 10.6 9.7 8.4 11.0 18.7

2046 4.6 8.1 7.3 6.5 8.3 9.0 10.7 10.5 9.7 8.3 11.5 18.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN

1991 6.6 9.2 7.9 7.2 6.9 6.9 7.9 7.9 5.6 7.1 4.1 3.4 1996 7.2 8.6 8.3 7.7 7.2 7.1 8.2 8.2 5.8 7.1 4.4 3.4

2006 9.1 8.7 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.6 8.7 8.8 6.4 7.5 5.6 3.6 2011 9.9 9.0 9.4 9.2 8.8 7.9 8.9 8.9 6.9 7.8 6.4 3.9

2021 12.2 10.1 10.7 10.6 10.1 8.6 9.3 9.1 8.0 8.4 8.4 4.7 2026 13.9 11.0 11.6 11.7 10.8 9.1 9.7 9.4 8.8 9.0 9.6 5.2

2036 18.3 13.0 13.8 14.5 12.8 10.5 11.2 10.8 10.9 10.8 12.2 6.2 2041 20.3 14.0 14.9 15.9 13.7 11.3 11.8 11.6 12.0 11.7 12.9 6.6

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

36

PMEDS-D TABLE 31: PROJECTED RATE OF NATURAL INCREASE ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROVINCE YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- NF PE NS NB QU ON MA SA AL BC YU NN----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 6.1 5.7 5.7 5.8 7.1 7.6 7.7 7.7 11.0 6.4 15.4 23.7 1996 3.4 4.4 3.3 3.7 4.8 6.0 5.9 4.8 8.1 5.0 9.6 20.8 2001 .9 2.6 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.9 3.9 3.9 6.5 3.4 8.1 17.2 2006 -1.0 2.2 .4 .7 1.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 5.8 2.7 7.0 16.5 2011 -2.5 1.7 -.3 -.3 .8 2.4 3.1 3.6 5.2 2.2 6.9 17.0 2016 -4.0 .8 -1.0 -1.4 .1 2.1 3.0 3.2 4.2 1.7 6.1 16.8 2021 -5.9 -.5 -2.1 -2.7 -.7 1.6 2.4 2.4 3.0 1.0 4.0 15.4 2026 -8.3 -2.1 -3.6 -4.4 -2.0 .7 1.4 1.4 1.5 -.1 1.6 13.9 2031 -10.8 -3.5 -5.2 -6.1 -3.4 -.5 .3 .6 .1 -1.3 -.2 12.9 2036 -13.3 -4.7 -6.5 -7.7 -4.6 -1.5 -.6 -.2 -1.2 -2.4 -1.2 12.5 2041 -15.5 -5.7 -7.6 -9.3 -5.4 -2.3 -1.2 -.9 -2.3 -3.3 -1.5 12.2 2046 -17.2 -6.6 -8.3 -10.5 -5.9 -2.9 -1.6 -1.6 -3.3 -4.0 -1.6 11.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

37

6. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NEWFOUNDLAND

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 579.5 3.0 .53 248.5 18.5 8.03 178. 3.25 22.2 9.6 1996 560.6 -18.9 -3.27 230.4 -18.0 -7.25 189. 2.96 19.6 10.7 2001 529.6 -31.0 -5.54 232.4 2.0 .85 193. 2.75 17.0 11.9 2006 507.6 -21.9 -4.14 222.3 -10.1 -4.33 195. 2.60 14.8 13.2 2011 499.4 -8.3 -1.63 214.5 -7.8 -3.52 200. 2.50 13.5 15.3 2016 492.1 -7.3 -1.45 202.1 -12.4 -5.80 204. 2.41 12.7 18.8 2021 480.7 -11.4 -2.31 187.4 -14.7 -7.26 206. 2.34 12.0 22.7 2026 464.4 -16.3 -3.39 173.2 -14.2 -7.57 203. 2.28 11.3 26.5 2031 443.3 -21.2 -4.56 158.9 -14.3 -8.25 198. 2.24 10.6 29.7 2036 417.9 -25.3 -5.71 145.7 -13.2 -8.31 189. 2.21 10.1 31.7 2041 389.6 -28.3 -6.77 132.6 -13.2 -9.03 178. 2.18 9.8 33.4 2046 359.9 -29.7 -7.62 119.7 -12.9 -9.70 167. 2.16 9.7 34.6


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .6 .2 .5 .1 10.3 11.1 .2 7.4 3.8 1996 .7 .3 -.6 .1 7.0 14.5 -7.6 6.0 4.1 2001 .4 .3 .0 .0 7.6 14.2 -6.5 4.9 4.4 2006 .5 .3 .0 .0 9.4 12.4 -2.8 4.1 4.6 2011 .5 .3 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 3.7 5.0 2016 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 3.4 5.4 2021 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 3.0 5.9 2026 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 2.6 6.5 2031 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 2.3 7.1 2036 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .2 2.1 7.7 2041 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .3 1.9 8.0 2046 .5 .2 .0 .0 10.9 10.9 .3 1.7 7.9


38

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.44 12.7 6.6 6.1 73.6 79.3 14.7 18.3 55.8 43.3 1996 1.30 10.6 7.2 3.4 74.3 79.7 14.9 18.5 51.8 44.0 2001 1.27 9.1 8.2 .9 74.9 79.9 15.1 18.6 53.6 44.4 2006 1.27 8.1 9.1 -1.0 75.4 80.2 15.2 18.8 52.2 44.4 2011 1.27 7.4 9.9 -2.5 75.9 80.5 15.4 18.9 50.5 44.3 2016 1.27 6.9 10.9 -4.0 76.3 80.7 15.6 19.0 47.9 43.6 2021 1.27 6.2 12.2 -5.9 76.7 80.9 15.7 19.2 45.3 42.9 2026 1.27 5.6 13.9 -8.3 77.0 81.2 15.9 19.3 43.1 42.2 2031 1.27 5.2 16.0 -10.8 77.3 81.4 16.0 19.4 41.1 41.7 2036 1.27 5.0 18.3 -13.3 77.6 81.6 16.1 19.5 39.8 41.2 2041 1.27 4.8 20.3 -15.5 77.8 81.8 16.2 19.7 38.8 40.7 2046 1.27 4.6 21.8 -17.2 78.0 82.0 16.3 19.8 37.9 40.2

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: LF is total labour force.

PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 30.7 30.2 31.2 37.2 72.9 34.8 35.8 33.7 18.1 1996 34.1 33.5 34.7 39.2 73.5 36.9 37.7 36.0 19.3 2001 38.0 37.3 38.7 41.6 73.7 39.2 39.6 38.6 15.3 2006 41.5 40.6 42.4 43.8 73.6 40.8 41.2 40.3 15.3 2011 44.2 43.0 45.3 45.3 72.8 41.6 42.0 41.1 15.3 2016 46.4 45.0 47.8 45.9 71.9 42.0 42.5 41.4 15.3 2021 48.5 47.0 50.0 46.4 72.4 42.4 43.1 41.6 15.3 2026 50.5 49.0 52.2 46.8 73.2 42.7 43.4 41.9 15.3 2031 52.2 50.5 54.1 47.0 74.0 43.0 43.7 42.2 15.3 2036 53.5 51.7 55.6 47.4 74.9 43.6 44.3 42.7 15.3 2041 54.6 52.7 56.7 48.0 75.5 43.7 44.5 42.6 15.3 2046 55.7 53.8 57.6 48.1 75.6 43.7 44.5 42.4 15.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: LF is total labour force; U RATE is total unemployment rate.

39

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL --------------------------------------------------------------

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 561. 31. 79. 46. 44. 181. 74. 45. 34. 26. 2001 530. 25. 65. 37. 36. 165. 85. 53. 35. 28.

2011 499. 20. 48. 26. 28. 134. 86. 80. 46. 31. 2016 492. 18. 44. 23. 23. 127. 80. 84. 60. 33.

2026 464. 15. 38. 20. 18. 105. 70. 77. 73. 50. 2031 443. 13. 34. 18. 17. 94. 65. 71. 72. 60.

2041 390. 11. 28. 14. 13. 75. 56. 62. 62. 68. 2046 360. 10. 25. 13. 11. 69. 48. 59. 59. 65.

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1996 50.2 48.2 48.9 48.9 48.3 50.5 49.6 49.4 52.2 60.0 2001 50.3 48.6 48.4 49.3 49.4 49.9 50.1 50.0 52.0 59.8

2011 50.3 48.5 48.2 48.1 49.4 48.6 50.8 50.5 52.2 59.6 2016 50.2 48.5 48.2 48.5 47.9 48.0 50.1 51.1 52.2 59.3

2026 50.1 48.4 48.1 48.5 48.4 47.2 47.4 50.2 53.1 58.9 2031 50.1 48.4 48.0 48.5 48.4 46.6 47.7 48.3 53.0 59.4

2041 49.8 48.4 47.9 48.5 48.3 45.8 46.2 47.7 50.2 60.1 2046 49.4 48.4 47.8 48.4 48.2 45.5 45.3 47.3 49.4 59.7

40

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.5 15.7 9.4 8.7 32.7 10.1 7.3 5.8 3.8 1996 100.0 5.5 14.1 8.2 7.9 32.3 13.2 8.0 6.1 4.6 2001 100.0 4.7 12.3 7.0 6.8 31.1 16.1 10.1 6.7 5.2 2006 100.0 4.3 10.5 6.2 5.9 29.0 17.3 13.5 7.4 5.8 2011 100.0 4.0 9.5 5.3 5.6 26.9 17.3 16.1 9.2 6.1 2016 100.0 3.7 9.0 4.7 4.8 25.8 16.2 17.0 12.1 6.7 2021 100.0 3.4 8.6 4.4 4.2 24.1 15.3 17.2 14.5 8.2 2026 100.0 3.1 8.2 4.2 3.9 22.6 15.0 16.5 15.7 10.8 2031 100.0 2.9 7.7 4.1 3.8 21.3 14.6 16.0 16.3 13.4 2036 100.0 2.8 7.3 3.9 3.6 19.9 14.6 16.1 16.0 15.7 2041 100.0 2.7 7.1 3.7 3.4 19.3 14.3 16.0 16.0 17.4 2046 100.0 2.7 7.0 3.5 3.2 19.1 13.4 16.5 16.4 18.2

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 -3.3 -17.9 -12.9 -15.9 -12.1 -4.4 26.7 6.5 2.5 15.3 2001 -5.5 -18.7 -17.9 -19.7 -18.7 -9.0 15.1 18.5 2.5 8.4 2006 -4.1 -13.3 -17.6 -14.6 -17.3 -10.6 3.1 28.6 6.7 5.5 2011 -1.6 -8.7 -10.9 -16.1 -7.0 -8.8 -1.8 16.9 21.5 4.9 2016 -1.5 -7.7 -7.0 -13.1 -15.7 -5.7 -7.6 4.2 30.3 7.8 2021 -2.3 -9.8 -6.9 -7.7 -14.7 -8.5 -7.5 -1.4 17.0 19.6 2026 -3.4 -12.4 -8.0 -7.3 -8.8 -9.6 -5.5 -7.4 4.6 26.7 2031 -4.6 -11.6 -10.1 -7.7 -8.4 -10.1 -7.4 -7.2 -1.1 18.8 2036 -5.7 -9.4 -10.9 -9.8 -9.0 -11.6 -5.2 -5.4 -7.2 10.4 2041 -6.8 -8.7 -9.4 -12.5 -11.7 -9.7 -8.7 -7.1 -6.8 3.3 2046 -7.6 -9.7 -8.0 -11.6 -15.2 -8.5 -13.5 -4.9 -5.2 -3.6


41

Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 230. 13. 27. 62. 66. 47. 14. 1. 2001 232. 11. 22. 56. 68. 57. 18. 2.

2011 215. 8. 17. 45. 58. 59. 27. 2. 2016 202. 7. 14. 42. 54. 55. 28. 2.

2026 173. 6. 11. 33. 48. 48. 25. 3. 2031 159. 5. 10. 29. 43. 45. 24. 3.

2041 133. 4. 8. 24. 33. 39. 21. 3. 2046 120. 4. 7. 22. 31. 34. 20. 3.

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000



1996 44.0 46.7 45.2 47.4 45.2 40.5 32.9 13.5 2001 44.4 44.9 47.2 45.4 46.3 43.9 32.6 35.5

2011 44.3 43.7 48.0 46.0 45.1 46.1 33.6 36.4 2016 43.6 44.1 46.5 45.7 44.3 45.3 34.2 36.1

2026 42.2 44.1 47.0 43.9 44.3 42.7 33.4 36.7 2031 41.7 44.1 47.0 44.0 43.2 43.0 31.8 37.1

2041 40.7 44.1 46.9 43.6 42.2 41.6 31.2 36.6 2046 40.2 44.0 46.8 43.3 41.9 40.7 30.9 36.1

42

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.2 13.8 29.3 27.4 16.0 5.8 .5 1996 100.0 5.7 11.6 27.0 28.7 20.3 6.1 .6 2001 100.0 4.5 9.4 23.9 29.3 24.6 7.5 .7 2006 100.0 4.0 8.1 22.2 27.9 26.8 10.2 .8 2011 100.0 3.5 7.8 21.0 26.8 27.6 12.4 .8 2016 100.0 3.2 7.0 21.0 26.9 27.1 13.6 1.1 2021 100.0 3.2 6.5 20.5 26.8 27.2 14.5 1.4 2026 100.0 3.2 6.4 18.9 27.5 27.8 14.6 1.7 2031 100.0 3.3 6.4 18.1 27.3 28.0 15.0 1.9 2036 100.0 3.2 6.3 18.1 25.7 29.0 15.5 2.1 2041 100.0 3.1 6.1 18.3 25.2 29.2 15.8 2.3 2046 100.0 3.0 5.7 18.2 25.8 28.0 16.7 2.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 -7.3 -27.0 -21.8 -14.6 -3.0 17.8 -1.7 8.9 2001 .9 -19.8 -18.5 -10.7 2.9 22.5 24.5 19.7 2006 -4.3 -14.6 -17.2 -11.2 -8.9 4.2 29.1 2.8 2011 -3.5 -15.9 -6.9 -8.8 -7.1 -.7 17.1 8.1 2016 -5.8 -13.1 -15.6 -5.7 -5.6 -7.5 3.8 21.6 2021 -7.3 -7.7 -14.7 -9.5 -7.6 -7.2 -1.3 17.7 2026 -7.6 -7.3 -8.9 -14.9 -5.3 -5.4 -6.9 12.2 2031 -8.2 -7.7 -8.4 -11.7 -8.8 -7.4 -6.0 6.7 2036 -8.3 -9.8 -9.0 -8.4 -13.7 -5.1 -4.8 .7 2041 -9.0 -12.5 -11.7 -8.4 -10.7 -8.5 -7.3 -1.3 2046 -9.7 -11.6 -15.2 -9.9 -7.5 -13.3 -4.7 -4.0


43

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND MALES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 63.2 34.3 69.7 81.6 84.5 81.5 47.8 3.9 1996 58.5 29.9 63.9 75.8 78.7 75.2 42.0 4.6

2006 58.7 31.1 62.6 79.1 83.1 75.9 44.8 3.7 2011 56.7 31.1 62.2 79.0 83.0 75.8 44.8 3.5

2021 51.9 31.1 62.2 79.0 83.0 75.8 44.8 3.5 2026 49.8 31.1 62.2 79.0 83.0 75.8 44.8 3.5

2036 46.7 31.1 62.2 79.0 83.0 75.8 44.8 3.5 2041 45.5 31.1 62.2 79.0 83.0 75.8 44.8 3.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEWFOUNDLAND FEMALES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 48.4 31.8 65.6 68.5 65.4 54.4 20.2 1.1 1996 45.3 27.5 56.3 67.1 64.2 51.5 20.8 .6

2006 45.9 26.2 58.3 69.1 72.0 60.7 21.7 1.8 2011 44.3 26.2 58.8 70.4 73.6 62.3 22.0 1.7

2021 38.7 26.2 58.8 70.4 73.6 62.3 22.0 1.7 2026 36.3 26.2 58.8 70.4 73.6 62.3 22.0 1.7

2036 32.9 26.2 58.8 70.4 73.6 62.3 22.0 1.7 2041 31.9 26.2 58.8 70.4 73.6 62.3 22.0 1.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

44

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.70 .54 .11 .13 .30 .16 .10 .05 .01 1996 1.63 .45 .09 .11 .26 .17 .10 .06 .02 2001 1.56 .37 .07 .09 .21 .19 .10 .06 .02 2006 1.52 .32 .07 .07 .18 .20 .11 .07 .02 2011 1.52 .29 .06 .07 .16 .23 .14 .07 .02 2016 1.57 .27 .06 .07 .15 .30 .19 .08 .03 2021 1.64 .27 .06 .07 .15 .37 .24 .11 .03 2026 1.73 .27 .05 .07 .15 .46 .27 .15 .04 2031 1.80 .26 .05 .06 .15 .53 .29 .19 .05 2036 1.84 .26 .05 .06 .14 .58 .30 .22 .07 2041 1.88 .25 .05 .06 .14 .63 .30 .24 .09 2046 1.92 .25 .05 .06 .14 .66 .32 .24 .11

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NEWFOUNDLAND ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.33 .74 .15 .17 .41 .22 .14 .07 .02 1996 2.43 .68 .13 .16 .38 .26 .15 .09 .02 2001 2.28 .55 .11 .13 .31 .27 .15 .09 .03 2006 2.28 .48 .10 .11 .27 .30 .17 .10 .03 2011 2.33 .44 .09 .10 .24 .36 .21 .11 .04 2016 2.44 .42 .09 .10 .23 .46 .30 .12 .04 2021 2.57 .42 .09 .10 .23 .58 .37 .16 .05 2026 2.68 .42 .08 .10 .23 .71 .42 .23 .06 2031 2.79 .41 .08 .10 .23 .83 .45 .30 .08 2036 2.87 .40 .08 .10 .23 .91 .46 .34 .11 2041 2.94 .40 .08 .10 .22 .98 .47 .37 .14 2046 3.01 .40 .08 .10 .22 1.04 .49 .38 .17

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

45

7. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 130.3 1.9 1.49 64.0 3.0 4.94 45. 2.91 22.5 13.1 1996 136.2 5.9 4.52 69.0 5.0 7.81 49. 2.80 21.5 12.9 2001 139.8 3.6 2.64 72.1 3.1 4.53 52. 2.71 19.7 13.2 2006 143.3 3.5 2.54 74.7 2.5 3.51 55. 2.63 18.1 13.7 2011 145.9 2.6 1.79 76.0 1.3 1.78 57. 2.55 16.9 14.8 2016 147.8 1.8 1.26 74.7 -1.3 -1.71 60. 2.47 16.5 17.3 2021 148.8 1.0 .68 72.8 -1.9 -2.52 62. 2.40 16.0 19.8 2026 148.6 -.1 -.08 71.0 -1.8 -2.52 63. 2.36 15.4 22.3 2031 147.4 -1.2 -.83 68.9 -2.1 -2.93 64. 2.32 14.6 24.5 2036 145.3 -2.1 -1.45 67.0 -1.9 -2.76 63. 2.29 14.0 25.8 2041 142.4 -2.9 -1.96 64.6 -2.4 -3.63 63. 2.27 13.7 27.0 2046 139.0 -3.4 -2.39 61.8 -2.7 -4.22 62. 2.25 13.6 28.2


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .1 .1 .0 .0 2.8 3.4 -.6 1.9 1.2 1996 .2 .1 .1 .0 2.9 2.2 1.0 1.8 1.2 2001 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.7 2.4 .4 1.6 1.2 2006 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.5 .3 1.6 1.3 2011 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.6 1.3 2016 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.5 1.4 2021 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.4 1.5 2026 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.3 1.6 2031 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.2 1.8 2036 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.2 1.9 2041 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.2 2.0 2046 .2 .0 .0 .0 2.6 2.6 .2 1.1 2.0


46

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.86 14.9 9.2 5.7 73.6 80.5 15.0 19.6 65.0 45.8 1996 1.73 13.0 8.6 4.4 74.5 81.0 15.3 19.9 66.1 46.5 2001 1.63 11.2 8.6 2.6 75.3 81.4 15.6 20.2 65.9 47.4 2006 1.63 11.0 8.7 2.2 75.9 81.8 15.8 20.5 65.3 47.7 2011 1.63 10.7 9.0 1.7 76.5 82.2 16.1 20.8 64.5 48.0 2016 1.63 10.3 9.5 .8 77.1 82.6 16.3 21.1 62.4 47.7 2021 1.63 9.6 10.1 -.5 77.6 83.0 16.5 21.4 60.2 47.5 2026 1.63 8.9 11.0 -2.1 78.0 83.4 16.7 21.7 58.3 47.3 2031 1.63 8.5 12.0 -3.5 78.4 83.7 16.9 22.0 56.6 47.2 2036 1.63 8.3 13.0 -4.7 78.7 84.1 17.1 22.3 55.5 47.0 2041 1.63 8.3 14.0 -5.7 79.0 84.5 17.2 22.6 54.4 46.8 2046 1.63 8.1 14.7 -6.6 79.3 84.9 17.3 22.9 53.4 46.6


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 32.8 32.0 33.6 38.2 74.0 35.7 36.3 35.0 16.7 1996 34.7 33.7 35.6 39.7 74.5 37.0 37.2 36.7 14.6 2001 36.7 35.6 37.7 41.0 74.5 38.4 38.9 37.9 13.0 2006 38.2 36.9 39.4 42.2 74.2 39.1 39.8 38.5 13.0 2011 39.8 38.5 41.0 43.0 73.9 39.6 40.2 39.0 13.0 2016 41.4 40.1 42.7 43.2 72.9 39.9 40.6 39.3 13.0 2021 43.0 41.8 44.4 43.7 73.2 40.4 41.1 39.6 13.0 2026 44.6 43.2 46.0 44.1 73.8 40.8 41.4 40.1 13.0 2031 46.0 44.5 47.6 44.4 74.4 41.1 41.7 40.6 13.0 2036 47.3 45.5 49.1 44.9 75.3 41.4 42.1 40.8 13.0 2041 48.4 46.4 50.4 45.1 75.9 41.3 42.1 40.5 13.0 2046 49.1 46.8 51.3 44.9 75.9 41.2 42.0 40.3 13.0


47

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION P.E.I. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 136. 9. 20. 10. 10. 41. 17. 12. 9. 8. 2001 140. 8. 19. 10. 10. 41. 20. 13. 10. 9.

2011 146. 8. 17. 9. 9. 39. 22. 20. 12. 10. 2016 148. 8. 17. 8. 9. 39. 21. 20. 15. 11.

2026 149. 7. 16. 8. 8. 36. 20. 20. 18. 15. 2031 147. 6. 15. 8. 8. 34. 20. 20. 19. 17.

2041 142. 6. 13. 7. 7. 31. 19. 20. 18. 21. 2046 139. 6. 13. 7. 7. 31. 17. 20. 18. 21.

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000



1996 50.7 48.1 49.4 48.4 48.5 50.1 50.1 50.3 53.2 63.4 2001 50.7 48.3 48.6 50.2 47.8 50.1 50.0 50.2 52.1 64.7

2011 50.6 48.3 47.6 48.6 49.8 49.9 50.3 50.5 51.5 63.6 2016 50.6 48.2 47.6 48.8 47.8 49.9 50.3 50.4 51.9 62.7

2026 50.7 48.2 47.5 48.7 47.8 49.9 49.2 50.6 51.4 61.2 2031 50.8 48.2 47.5 48.7 47.8 49.5 49.6 50.2 51.6 60.7

2041 51.0 48.1 47.3 48.7 47.7 49.0 49.7 49.8 50.9 61.8 2046 51.1 48.1 47.3 48.7 47.6 49.0 48.8 50.7 50.1 62.7

48

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION P.E.I. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.3 15.2 7.7 7.3 31.0 10.1 8.2 7.1 6.0 1996 100.0 6.7 14.8 7.4 7.1 30.0 12.6 8.6 6.8 6.1 2001 100.0 5.8 13.9 7.3 6.9 29.1 14.4 9.4 6.9 6.3 2006 100.0 5.6 12.5 7.0 6.7 28.1 14.7 11.7 7.3 6.4 2011 100.0 5.5 11.5 6.5 6.5 27.1 14.8 13.5 8.1 6.7 2016 100.0 5.3 11.2 5.7 6.0 26.7 13.9 13.9 10.2 7.1 2021 100.0 5.0 11.0 5.5 5.2 25.9 13.4 14.2 11.8 8.0 2026 100.0 4.7 10.7 5.5 5.2 24.5 13.6 13.5 12.4 9.9 2031 100.0 4.4 10.2 5.5 5.2 23.3 13.7 13.2 12.9 11.6 2036 100.0 4.3 9.7 5.3 5.1 22.5 13.6 13.7 12.5 13.2 2041 100.0 4.3 9.4 5.0 5.0 22.0 13.3 14.0 12.5 14.5 2046 100.0 4.2 9.4 4.9 4.7 22.0 12.5 14.1 13.1 15.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION P.E.I. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 4.5 -4.8 1.7 1.0 .7 1.2 30.2 8.7 -.5 6.4 2001 2.6 -11.4 -3.5 .0 .6 -.3 17.5 12.6 4.6 6.2 2006 2.5 -.7 -8.0 -1.2 .1 -1.1 4.3 27.9 9.0 3.6 2011 1.8 -.3 -6.5 -5.9 -2.3 -2.0 2.8 16.9 12.7 6.5 2016 1.3 -1.9 -.9 -11.3 -6.5 .0 -4.8 4.3 27.5 8.0 2021 .7 -4.7 -1.1 -1.4 -12.0 -2.5 -3.4 2.9 16.4 12.7 2026 -.1 -7.0 -3.1 -.4 -1.5 -5.3 2.0 -4.6 4.8 24.1 2031 -.8 -6.3 -5.6 -1.8 -.4 -5.5 -.5 -3.0 3.2 16.3 2036 -1.5 -3.6 -6.3 -4.5 -2.0 -5.2 -1.8 2.1 -4.2 12.3 2041 -2.0 -2.4 -4.7 -6.8 -4.8 -4.1 -4.2 -.3 -2.3 7.7 2046 -2.4 -3.3 -2.8 -6.0 -7.3 -2.1 -8.5 -1.6 2.2 1.5


49


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE P.E.I. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 69. 5. 8. 17. 18. 14. 5. 1. 2001 72. 5. 8. 16. 19. 17. 6. 1.

2011 76. 5. 8. 17. 17. 18. 10. 1. 2016 75. 4. 7. 17. 18. 17. 10. 1.

2026 71. 4. 6. 14. 17. 17. 10. 2. 2031 69. 4. 6. 13. 17. 17. 10. 2.

2041 65. 4. 6. 13. 14. 16. 10. 2. 2046 62. 4. 5. 13. 14. 15. 10. 2.

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000



1996 46.5 46.7 45.8 47.7 48.2 46.3 41.0 28.1 2001 47.4 51.2 45.8 49.3 48.8 47.3 38.0 41.7

2011 48.0 49.6 48.7 49.9 49.7 49.1 38.8 41.3 2016 47.7 49.8 46.6 50.9 49.0 49.1 38.7 40.7

2026 47.3 49.7 46.6 49.1 50.4 47.9 38.9 40.2 2031 47.2 49.7 46.6 49.1 49.6 48.4 38.5 40.3

2041 46.8 49.7 46.5 49.0 48.8 48.5 38.2 41.1 2046 46.6 49.7 46.4 49.0 48.8 47.6 39.0 41.2

50

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE P.E.I. BOTH SEXES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 100.0 8.0 12.1 27.3 26.6 16.1 8.3 1.5 1996 100.0 7.8 11.1 25.1 26.5 20.2 7.8 1.6

2006 100.0 7.1 10.3 22.6 24.0 23.6 11.0 1.3 2011 100.0 6.6 9.9 22.3 23.0 24.1 12.7 1.4

2021 100.0 6.0 8.5 21.8 24.3 23.1 14.2 2.0 2026 100.0 6.1 8.6 20.3 24.5 24.2 13.9 2.3

2036 100.0 6.1 8.9 19.8 22.7 25.1 14.7 2.7 2041 100.0 5.9 8.8 20.3 22.0 24.9 15.2 2.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE P.E.I. BOTH SEXES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1996 7.8 5.1 -1.0 -1.0 7.5 34.9 .3 9.4 2001 4.5 .2 .3 -5.3 1.8 19.5 19.5 -8.9

2011 1.8 -6.0 -2.2 .4 -2.5 4.1 17.6 4.5 2016 -1.7 -11.3 -6.4 -2.0 1.9 -4.8 4.4 19.1

2026 -2.5 -.4 -1.5 -9.1 -1.9 2.0 -4.5 12.5 2031 -2.9 -1.8 -.4 -7.0 -4.3 -.5 -2.8 8.9

2041 -3.6 -6.8 -4.8 -1.2 -6.7 -4.2 -.5 2.6 2046 -4.2 -6.0 -7.3 -3.3 -.9 -8.5 -1.9 1.8

Note: The growth rates show total growth over the preceding 5 years.

51

ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000----------------------------------------------------------------------------

YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

- PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 72.1 55.1 85.3 89.7 91.7 87.4 68.0 10.0

2001 71.1 54.3 82.7 88.2 89.4 87.1 65.6 7.8 2006 70.1 54.3 82.1 87.9 89.2 87.0 65.6 7.4

2016 66.8 54.3 81.6 87.7 89.0 86.9 65.6 7.0 2021 64.7 54.3 81.6 87.7 89.0 86.9 65.6 7.0

2031 61.3 54.3 81.6 87.7 89.0 86.9 65.6 7.0 2036 60.5 54.3 81.6 87.7 89.0 86.9 65.6 7.0

2046 58.9 54.3 81.6 87.7 89.0 86.9 65.6 7.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+


1991 58.3 48.9 77.4 81.9 82.0 70.0 38.8 3.2

2001 60.9 54.0 76.5 86.4 83.3 79.1 39.1 4.1 2006 60.7 54.0 77.2 87.1 85.1 81.4 39.6 4.0

2016 58.2 54.0 77.9 88.7 87.0 83.6 40.1 3.8 2021 55.9 54.0 77.9 88.7 87.0 83.6 40.1 3.8

2031 52.1 54.0 77.9 88.7 87.0 83.6 40.1 3.8 2036 50.8 54.0 77.9 88.7 87.0 83.6 40.1 3.8

2046 48.3 54.0 77.9 88.7 87.0 83.6 40.1 3.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

52

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.77 .53 .13 .13 .27 .23 .13 .08 .03 1996 1.72 .50 .11 .13 .26 .22 .12 .08 .03 2001 1.67 .45 .10 .11 .24 .22 .12 .07 .03 2006 1.63 .41 .09 .10 .22 .22 .12 .07 .03 2011 1.62 .38 .09 .09 .20 .24 .13 .07 .03 2016 1.65 .37 .09 .09 .19 .29 .17 .08 .04 2021 1.71 .37 .09 .09 .19 .34 .20 .10 .04 2026 1.76 .37 .08 .09 .19 .39 .22 .13 .05 2031 1.80 .36 .08 .09 .19 .44 .23 .15 .05 2036 1.82 .35 .08 .08 .19 .47 .23 .17 .07 2041 1.84 .35 .08 .08 .18 .50 .23 .18 .09 2046 1.87 .35 .08 .09 .18 .53 .25 .18 .10

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS P.E.I. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.04 .62 .15 .16 .31 .27 .14 .09 .03 1996 1.97 .57 .13 .14 .29 .25 .13 .09 .03 2001 1.94 .52 .11 .13 .28 .26 .13 .09 .04 2006 1.92 .48 .11 .11 .26 .26 .14 .08 .04 2011 1.92 .45 .10 .11 .24 .28 .16 .09 .04 2016 1.98 .44 .10 .11 .22 .34 .20 .10 .04 2021 2.04 .44 .10 .11 .23 .40 .24 .12 .05 2026 2.09 .44 .10 .11 .23 .47 .26 .15 .05 2031 2.14 .43 .09 .10 .23 .52 .28 .18 .07 2036 2.17 .42 .09 .10 .22 .56 .27 .20 .09 2041 2.21 .41 .09 .10 .22 .60 .28 .21 .11 2046 2.25 .42 .10 .10 .22 .63 .29 .21 .12

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

53

8.

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 NOVA SCOTIA

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP

TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)

1991 915.1 25.8 2.90 444.0 25.0 5.97 330. 2.77 20.3 12.5 1996 931.2 16.1 1.76 441.7 -2.3 -.52 352. 2.65 19.6 12.9

2006 959.9 12.4 1.31 468.8 7.6 1.65 387. 2.48 16.2 14.1 2011 972.0 12.0 1.25 472.1 3.3 .69 403. 2.41 14.9 15.5

2021 986.2 4.8 .49 445.4 -15.9 -3.44 433. 2.28 14.0 20.7 2026 984.2 -2.0 -.20 429.7 -15.7 -3.52 440. 2.24 13.6 23.7

2036 958.3 -16.3 -1.67 401.8 -12.0 -2.91 440. 2.18 12.5 27.6 2041 937.1 -21.2 -2.21 388.7 -13.1 -3.27 434. 2.16 12.2 28.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: TPOP is total population.

PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN-

DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1996 3.7 .8 .2 .4 16.3 17.5 2.2 10.7 7.7 2001 2.9 .6 .0 .0 15.9 17.0 1.1 9.5 8.1

2011 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 8.9 9.2 2016 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 8.8 9.8

2026 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 7.8 11.4 2031 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 7.3 12.4

2041 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 6.9 14.0 2046 3.1 .6 .0 .0 16.5 16.5 2.6 6.7 14.3

Note: NPR is non-permanent residents. All numbers of persons are in thousands.

54

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.59 13.6 7.9 5.7 73.6 80.5 15.0 19.6 62.1 44.1 1996 1.52 11.5 8.3 3.3 74.5 81.0 15.3 19.9 60.1 45.3 2001 1.45 10.0 8.6 1.5 75.3 81.4 15.6 20.2 60.5 45.4 2006 1.45 9.4 9.0 .4 75.9 81.8 15.8 20.5 59.4 45.6 2011 1.45 9.2 9.4 -.3 76.5 82.2 16.1 20.8 58.2 45.8 2016 1.45 9.0 10.0 -1.0 77.1 82.6 16.3 21.1 56.0 45.5 2021 1.45 8.6 10.7 -2.1 77.6 83.0 16.5 21.4 53.7 45.2 2026 1.45 7.9 11.6 -3.6 78.0 83.4 16.7 21.7 51.7 44.9 2031 1.45 7.5 12.7 -5.2 78.4 83.7 16.9 22.0 50.1 44.8 2036 1.45 7.3 13.8 -6.5 78.7 84.1 17.1 22.3 49.2 44.6 2041 1.45 7.3 14.9 -7.6 79.0 84.5 17.2 22.6 48.5 44.4 2046 1.45 7.3 15.6 -8.3 79.3 84.9 17.3 22.9 47.8 44.3


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 33.3 32.4 34.1 37.7 73.4 35.2 35.8 34.3 11.7 1996 35.6 34.7 36.5 39.6 74.1 37.1 37.6 36.5 12.3 2001 38.1 37.1 39.1 41.3 74.5 38.6 39.0 38.2 8.6 2006 40.4 39.2 41.5 43.1 74.5 39.8 40.2 39.4 8.6 2011 42.1 40.7 43.5 44.1 73.8 40.1 40.5 39.7 8.6 2016 43.7 42.1 45.1 44.3 73.0 40.2 40.6 39.7 8.6 2021 45.0 43.5 46.6 44.4 73.2 40.2 40.6 39.6 8.6 2026 46.3 44.6 47.9 44.3 73.6 40.3 40.8 39.7 8.6 2031 47.4 45.8 49.1 44.3 74.2 40.7 41.1 40.1 8.6 2036 48.5 46.8 50.3 44.9 75.3 41.1 41.6 40.5 8.6 2041 49.5 47.7 51.4 45.2 76.3 41.1 41.7 40.4 8.6 2046 50.2 48.1 52.3 45.2 76.5 40.9 41.5 40.1 8.6


Population by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth)

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 915. 62. 124. 68. 70. 304. 96. 76. 66. 48. 1996 931. 57. 125. 63. 65. 298. 121. 81. 65. 55.

2006 960. 46. 110. 64. 62. 272. 153. 118. 71. 65. 2011 972. 45. 100. 60. 63. 257. 160. 137. 83. 68.

2021 986. 44. 95. 50. 52. 252. 134. 155. 121. 83. 2026 984. 41. 93. 49. 50. 243. 132. 144. 132. 101.

2036 958. 36. 84. 47. 48. 217. 132. 129. 128. 136. 2041 937. 35. 79. 45. 47. 206. 130. 128. 118. 149.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NOVA SCOTIA

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 50.7 49.0 48.9 48.4 49.0 50.1 49.7 51.2 54.8 62.0 1996 50.9 48.8 48.8 49.1 49.6 50.3 50.1 50.5 54.7 63.3

2006 50.9 48.3 48.7 49.4 48.7 49.8 50.7 50.6 52.7 64.3 2011 50.9 48.2 48.4 49.1 49.3 49.4 50.5 50.8 52.6 63.6

2021 50.8 48.2 48.4 48.7 48.6 49.0 50.1 50.8 52.5 62.0 2026 50.9 48.2 48.4 48.7 48.6 48.9 49.6 50.6 52.5 61.0

2036 51.1 48.1 48.4 48.7 48.5 48.7 49.2 49.7 51.9 61.3 2041 51.2 48.1 48.4 48.7 48.5 48.5 49.3 49.1 51.5 61.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

56

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.7 13.6 7.4 7.7 33.2 10.5 8.3 7.2 5.3 1996 100.0 6.1 13.4 6.8 7.0 32.0 13.0 8.7 7.0 5.9 2001 100.0 5.2 12.8 6.6 6.6 30.5 14.9 9.9 7.0 6.4 2006 100.0 4.8 11.4 6.7 6.5 28.4 15.9 12.2 7.4 6.7 2011 100.0 4.6 10.2 6.2 6.5 26.4 16.5 14.1 8.5 7.0 2016 100.0 4.6 9.8 5.4 6.1 26.1 15.0 15.1 10.6 7.4 2021 100.0 4.4 9.6 5.1 5.3 25.6 13.6 15.7 12.3 8.4 2026 100.0 4.2 9.4 5.0 5.1 24.7 13.4 14.6 13.4 10.3 2031 100.0 3.9 9.1 5.0 5.0 23.7 13.4 13.5 14.2 12.2 2036 100.0 3.8 8.7 4.9 5.0 22.6 13.8 13.5 13.4 14.2 2041 100.0 3.8 8.4 4.8 5.0 22.0 13.9 13.7 12.6 15.9 2046 100.0 3.8 8.3 4.6 4.9 22.0 13.1 14.3 12.8 16.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 1.8 -7.7 .7 -6.5 -7.5 -2.0 25.9 6.0 -.5 13.6 2001 1.8 -13.7 -3.0 -.8 -3.8 -2.9 16.3 15.7 1.7 10.6 2006 1.3 -5.9 -9.7 1.4 -.6 -5.9 8.4 25.6 6.6 6.0 2011 1.3 -2.3 -9.1 -6.2 2.3 -5.6 4.5 16.3 16.5 5.1 2016 1.0 -1.0 -3.6 -12.2 -6.1 -.4 -7.8 8.7 25.8 7.2 2021 .5 -2.7 -1.5 -4.8 -12.2 -1.4 -9.0 4.5 16.3 14.4 2026 -.2 -6.0 -1.7 -2.0 -4.8 -3.6 -2.0 -7.5 9.1 22.0 2031 -1.0 -7.1 -4.1 -.9 -2.0 -4.9 -.9 -8.4 4.7 17.2 2036 -1.7 -4.9 -6.2 -2.4 -.9 -6.2 1.6 -1.8 -7.3 14.7 2041 -2.2 -2.8 -5.7 -5.5 -2.4 -5.1 -1.6 -.7 -7.7 9.0 2046 -2.6 -2.4 -3.6 -6.4 -5.5 -2.4 -8.2 1.7 -1.5 .1


57

Labour Force by Age Group (thousands, % female, % distribution, % growth,participation rates)

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 444. 34. 54. 131. 118. 71. 33. 4. 1996 442. 27. 48. 117. 124. 88. 32. 5. 2001 461. 29. 47. 106. 132. 105. 38. 4. 2006 469. 30. 47. 103. 122. 115. 48. 4. 2011 472. 28. 48. 103. 111. 122. 56. 5. 2016 461. 24. 45. 104. 109. 112. 61. 5. 2021 445. 23. 39. 102. 108. 102. 64. 6. 2026 430. 23. 37. 93. 110. 100. 59. 7. 2031 414. 22. 37. 85. 108. 99. 54. 8. 2036 402. 22. 36. 82. 99. 101. 53. 8. 2041 389. 21. 36. 81. 91. 99. 53. 8. 2046 374. 19. 34. 80. 88. 91. 54. 8.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 44.1 47.8 46.5 46.0 45.4 40.4 34.4 27.2 1996 45.3 48.2 47.5 46.9 46.1 44.1 37.0 23.9 2001 45.4 49.0 46.6 46.4 46.0 44.9 39.1 29.5 2006 45.6 49.6 46.6 46.1 46.4 45.9 39.3 30.3 2011 45.8 49.3 47.6 46.2 46.8 46.4 39.9 29.7 2016 45.5 48.9 47.3 46.3 46.3 46.3 40.1 29.0 2021 45.2 48.9 46.9 46.4 45.8 46.0 39.9 28.7 2026 44.9 48.9 46.9 46.1 45.9 45.5 39.7 28.6 2031 44.8 48.9 46.8 45.8 46.0 45.0 39.4 28.6 2036 44.6 48.9 46.8 45.8 45.7 45.1 38.8 29.0 2041 44.4 48.9 46.8 45.7 45.5 45.2 38.3 29.4 2046 44.3 48.9 46.8 45.7 45.4 44.9 38.4 29.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

58

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.6 12.2 29.5 26.6 15.9 7.3 .8 1996 100.0 6.0 11.0 26.4 28.2 20.0 7.3 1.1 2001 100.0 6.3 10.2 23.0 28.6 22.7 8.3 .9 2006 100.0 6.3 10.0 22.0 26.0 24.5 10.3 .9 2011 100.0 5.9 10.1 21.8 23.6 25.8 11.9 1.0 2016 100.0 5.3 9.7 22.6 23.6 24.3 13.2 1.2 2021 100.0 5.2 8.8 23.0 24.3 22.9 14.4 1.4 2026 100.0 5.3 8.7 21.7 25.5 23.3 13.8 1.7 2031 100.0 5.4 8.9 20.6 26.0 24.0 13.1 1.9 2036 100.0 5.4 9.1 20.5 24.5 25.1 13.3 2.0 2041 100.0 5.3 9.1 20.9 23.3 25.5 13.7 2.1 2046 100.0 5.2 9.0 21.4 23.4 24.4 14.5 2.2

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NOVA SCOTIA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 -.5 -21.2 -10.8 -10.8 5.3 24.8 -.9 37.1 2001 4.4 9.6 -3.0 -9.0 5.9 18.8 18.0 -14.5 2006 1.7 1.4 -.5 -2.8 -7.5 9.7 26.2 2.8 2011 .7 -6.2 2.3 -.5 -8.5 5.7 16.9 5.9 2016 -2.3 -12.2 -6.1 1.5 -2.1 -7.8 8.6 18.6 2021 -3.4 -4.8 -12.2 -1.8 -1.0 -8.9 4.7 16.0 2026 -3.5 -2.0 -4.8 -8.9 1.5 -1.9 -7.4 14.6 2031 -3.7 -.9 -2.0 -8.6 -1.7 -.8 -8.3 10.1 2036 -2.9 -2.4 -.9 -3.4 -8.5 1.6 -1.5 2.3 2041 -3.3 -5.5 -2.4 -1.4 -8.2 -1.6 -.5 .4 2046 -3.8 -6.4 -5.5 -1.6 -3.2 -8.2 1.7 -1.0


59


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+


1991 70.9 50.2 81.2 91.4 91.8 87.1 57.5 5.7

2001 67.9 46.0 78.9 91.3 90.7 82.7 50.4 5.9 2006 66.3 46.0 78.4 91.0 90.5 82.6 50.4 5.6

2016 62.4 46.0 77.9 90.8 90.3 82.5 50.4 5.3 2021 60.2 46.0 77.9 90.8 90.3 82.5 50.4 5.3

2031 56.6 46.0 77.9 90.8 90.3 82.5 50.4 5.3 2036 55.8 46.0 77.9 90.8 90.3 82.5 50.4 5.3

2046 54.8 46.0 77.9 90.8 90.3 82.5 50.4 5.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+


1991 53.7 49.2 74.2 75.7 75.9 59.8 28.8 1.6

2001 53.4 46.6 72.1 77.5 76.2 66.3 31.5 1.8 2006 52.8 46.6 72.8 78.1 77.8 68.3 31.9 1.8

2016 49.8 46.6 73.4 79.6 79.5 70.1 32.4 1.7 2021 47.5 46.6 73.4 79.6 79.5 70.1 32.4 1.7

2031 43.9 46.6 73.4 79.6 79.5 70.1 32.4 1.7 2036 42.8 46.6 73.4 79.6 79.5 70.1 32.4 1.7

2046 41.2 46.6 73.4 79.6 79.5 70.1 32.4 1.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

60

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.67 .46 .11 .11 .24 .21 .12 .07 .02 1996 1.65 .43 .10 .11 .22 .21 .12 .07 .02 2001 1.62 .40 .08 .10 .22 .22 .11 .08 .03 2006 1.59 .36 .08 .08 .20 .22 .12 .07 .03 2011 1.58 .33 .07 .08 .18 .24 .13 .07 .03 2016 1.61 .32 .07 .08 .17 .29 .17 .08 .04 2021 1.66 .32 .07 .08 .17 .34 .20 .10 .04 2026 1.73 .32 .07 .08 .17 .41 .23 .13 .05 2031 1.80 .32 .07 .08 .18 .47 .25 .16 .06 2036 1.82 .32 .07 .08 .17 .50 .24 .18 .08 2041 1.83 .31 .07 .07 .17 .52 .23 .20 .09 2046 1.84 .31 .07 .07 .16 .54 .24 .19 .11

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NOVA SCOTIA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.06 .57 .14 .14 .29 .26 .15 .08 .02 1996 2.11 .56 .13 .14 .29 .27 .15 .10 .03 2001 2.05 .51 .11 .13 .27 .28 .14 .10 .04 2006 2.05 .47 .10 .11 .26 .29 .15 .10 .04 2011 2.06 .43 .10 .10 .24 .32 .18 .10 .05 2016 2.13 .42 .10 .10 .22 .38 .23 .11 .05 2021 2.21 .42 .10 .10 .22 .46 .27 .13 .05 2026 2.29 .43 .10 .11 .23 .54 .31 .17 .06 2031 2.35 .42 .09 .10 .23 .62 .33 .21 .08 2036 2.38 .42 .09 .10 .23 .66 .32 .24 .10 2041 2.41 .41 .09 .10 .22 .69 .30 .26 .12 2046 2.44 .41 .09 .10 .22 .71 .31 .25 .15

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9. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NEW BRUNSWICK

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------

('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1996 753.0 7.4 1.00 353.2 9.7 2.81 278. 2.71 19.3 12.5 2001 756.3 3.3 .44 371.9 18.7 5.30 292. 2.59 17.5 13.3

2011 760.7 1.9 .25 370.3 -3.0 -.81 316. 2.41 14.6 15.8 2016 759.5 -1.2 -.16 355.9 -14.5 -3.91 326. 2.33 13.9 18.8

2026 742.0 -11.6 -1.54 319.5 -17.9 -5.31 334. 2.22 12.7 25.5 2031 724.4 -17.6 -2.37 300.7 -18.9 -5.90 332. 2.18 12.1 28.6

2041 673.9 -27.5 -3.91 267.6 -17.0 -5.99 315. 2.14 11.3 31.8 2046 643.3 -30.6 -4.54 250.7 -17.0 -6.33 303. 2.12 11.2 32.9

Note: TPOP is total population.Note: The growth rates show total growth over the preceding 5 years.


GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .7 .9 -.2 .4 13.8 12.9 .9 9.7 5.4

2001 .6 .2 .0 .0 11.0 12.2 -.9 7.5 6.1 2006 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.3 11.9 -.1 7.1 6.5

2016 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.6 11.6 .4 6.4 7.4 2021 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.6 11.6 .4 5.9 8.0

2031 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.6 11.6 .5 5.0 9.5 2036 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.6 11.6 .5 4.7 10.2

2046 .7 .2 .0 .0 11.6 11.6 .5 4.2 11.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

thousands.

62

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.55 13.0 7.2 5.8 74.3 80.9 15.6 20.0 59.1 43.9 1996 1.46 11.4 7.7 3.7 75.2 81.3 16.0 20.3 59.2 44.9 2001 1.44 10.0 8.1 1.9 76.0 81.7 16.3 20.5 60.7 45.5 2006 1.44 9.4 8.6 .7 76.8 82.0 16.7 20.8 59.6 45.7 2011 1.44 8.9 9.2 -.3 77.4 82.4 17.1 21.0 58.1 46.0 2016 1.44 8.4 9.8 -1.4 78.1 82.7 17.4 21.2 55.6 45.7 2021 1.44 7.9 10.6 -2.7 78.7 83.0 17.8 21.4 52.8 45.4 2026 1.44 7.3 11.7 -4.4 79.3 83.4 18.1 21.6 50.5 45.2 2031 1.44 6.9 13.0 -6.1 79.7 83.7 18.4 21.9 48.4 45.1 2036 1.44 6.7 14.5 -7.7 80.2 84.0 18.7 22.1 47.1 45.0 2041 1.44 6.6 15.9 -9.3 80.6 84.3 19.0 22.3 46.0 44.9 2046 1.44 6.5 17.0 -10.5 80.9 84.6 19.2 22.5 45.1 44.8


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 32.9 32.1 33.7 37.8 73.3 35.1 35.9 34.3 12.6 1996 35.4 34.4 36.3 39.5 74.0 37.1 37.5 36.6 11.5 2001 38.1 37.1 39.1 41.3 74.5 38.8 39.0 38.4 9.2 2006 40.6 39.4 41.7 43.0 74.5 40.1 40.4 39.8 9.2 2011 42.6 41.4 43.9 44.3 73.8 40.7 41.0 40.3 9.2 2016 44.5 43.4 45.7 44.6 73.0 41.1 41.4 40.6 9.2 2021 46.4 45.2 47.6 45.0 73.2 41.3 41.8 40.8 9.2 2026 48.2 46.9 49.5 45.2 73.8 41.6 42.0 41.0 9.2 2031 49.7 48.4 51.1 45.3 74.5 41.7 42.2 41.2 9.2 2036 51.0 49.6 52.5 45.7 75.6 42.2 42.7 41.5 9.2 2041 52.1 50.7 53.6 46.0 76.5 42.1 42.7 41.4 9.2 2046 53.0 51.6 54.5 45.9 76.7 42.0 42.6 41.3 9.2


63


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 746. 49. 105. 60. 57. 248. 77. 60. 52. 37. 1996 753. 45. 100. 54. 55. 242. 98. 64. 52. 42. 2001 756. 39. 94. 50. 51. 233. 115. 74. 53. 48. 2006 759. 36. 84. 48. 48. 219. 122. 94. 56. 51. 2011 761. 35. 76. 44. 46. 204. 124. 110. 66. 54. 2016 759. 33. 73. 39. 43. 197. 114. 118. 84. 59. 2021 754. 31. 70. 37. 37. 187. 106. 120. 99. 67. 2026 742. 29. 66. 35. 35. 175. 103. 110. 106. 83. 2031 724. 26. 61. 34. 34. 162. 98. 102. 108. 99. 2036 701. 25. 57. 31. 32. 150. 94. 100. 100. 112. 2041 674. 23. 53. 29. 30. 139. 90. 96. 93. 121. 2046 643. 22. 50. 27. 27. 132. 81. 92. 92. 120.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.4 48.2 48.9 48.5 48.9 49.9 49.2 51.3 54.6 61.6 1996 50.4 48.4 48.6 48.4 48.7 49.6 49.5 50.5 54.3 62.3 2001 50.4 48.7 48.4 48.8 48.5 49.3 50.1 49.9 53.5 62.4 2006 50.4 48.7 48.6 48.3 49.0 49.0 50.2 50.0 52.5 62.3 2011 50.3 48.7 48.7 48.4 48.4 48.8 50.0 50.5 51.7 61.6 2016 50.3 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.5 48.7 49.5 50.5 51.6 60.4 2021 50.3 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.8 48.6 48.9 50.3 52.0 59.0 2026 50.4 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.8 48.6 48.7 49.8 51.9 58.4 2031 50.5 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 48.5 48.8 49.1 51.6 58.5 2036 50.6 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 48.6 48.7 48.9 51.0 58.4 2041 50.6 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 48.6 48.5 49.0 50.2 58.2 2046 50.5 48.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 48.6 48.6 48.8 50.0 57.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

64

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.6 14.1 8.0 7.7 33.2 10.3 8.1 7.0 5.0 1996 100.0 6.0 13.3 7.2 7.3 32.2 13.1 8.4 6.9 5.6 2001 100.0 5.1 12.4 6.7 6.7 30.8 15.3 9.8 7.0 6.3 2006 100.0 4.8 11.1 6.3 6.3 28.8 16.1 12.4 7.4 6.8 2011 100.0 4.6 10.0 5.8 6.0 26.8 16.4 14.5 8.7 7.1 2016 100.0 4.4 9.6 5.1 5.6 26.0 15.1 15.5 11.1 7.7 2021 100.0 4.1 9.2 4.9 4.9 24.9 14.0 15.9 13.1 8.9 2026 100.0 3.8 8.9 4.7 4.8 23.5 13.9 14.9 14.3 11.2 2031 100.0 3.6 8.5 4.6 4.6 22.4 13.6 14.1 14.9 13.6 2036 100.0 3.5 8.1 4.5 4.6 21.4 13.5 14.3 14.3 16.0 2041 100.0 3.5 7.8 4.3 4.4 20.6 13.3 14.2 13.9 18.0 2046 100.0 3.4 7.8 4.2 4.3 20.5 12.6 14.3 14.2 18.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 1.0 -8.0 -4.6 -9.5 -3.7 -2.2 27.5 5.7 .4 12.3 2001 .4 -13.9 -6.7 -6.6 -7.5 -3.9 17.4 16.1 .7 13.7 2006 .3 -5.9 -10.2 -5.2 -5.8 -6.2 6.1 27.2 7.0 7.2 2011 .2 -4.8 -9.2 -6.9 -4.4 -6.6 1.7 17.7 17.0 5.7 2016 -.2 -4.8 -4.7 -12.7 -6.9 -3.3 -8.0 6.5 27.6 7.9 2021 -.8 -6.2 -4.5 -5.0 -13.1 -5.1 -7.7 1.9 17.7 14.9 2026 -1.5 -8.0 -5.3 -4.5 -5.2 -6.8 -2.4 -7.8 6.9 23.8 2031 -2.4 -7.9 -6.9 -4.7 -4.7 -7.2 -4.6 -7.3 2.2 18.6 2036 -3.2 -6.0 -7.7 -6.1 -4.9 -7.5 -4.0 -2.2 -7.5 13.7 2041 -3.9 -5.2 -6.7 -7.8 -6.4 -7.1 -5.2 -4.4 -6.7 7.8 2046 -4.5 -5.7 -5.4 -7.7 -8.2 -5.1 -9.5 -3.8 -1.9 -.6


65

participation rates)

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 344. 27. 41. 101. 92. 55. 24. 3. 1996 353. 23. 38. 93. 98. 72. 26. 3.

2006 373. 22. 35. 84. 94. 95. 40. 3. 2011 370. 20. 34. 80. 87. 98. 48. 3.

2021 337. 17. 27. 73. 81. 83. 52. 5. 2026 320. 16. 26. 66. 78. 81. 48. 6.

2036 285. 14. 23. 57. 67. 74. 43. 6. 2041 268. 13. 22. 54. 61. 70. 41. 6.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 43.9 47.8 45.7 46.1 43.8 42.0 34.6 21.8 1996 44.9 47.9 47.2 45.7 45.9 43.2 39.5 24.2

2006 45.7 47.8 48.3 46.0 45.9 46.1 41.9 25.2 2011 46.0 48.0 48.1 46.7 45.9 46.7 42.7 25.4

2021 45.4 48.2 48.5 46.4 45.9 45.6 42.5 24.5 2026 45.2 48.2 48.4 46.5 45.8 45.4 41.9 24.4

2036 45.0 48.1 48.4 46.6 45.7 45.4 41.1 24.5 2041 44.9 48.1 48.4 46.5 45.8 45.2 41.1 24.4

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

66

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.9 11.9 29.5 26.8 16.0 7.1 .9 1996 100.0 6.5 10.9 26.2 27.8 20.4 7.3 .9 2001 100.0 6.2 10.0 23.4 27.4 23.8 8.5 .8 2006 100.0 5.9 9.4 22.5 25.2 25.4 10.8 .9 2011 100.0 5.5 9.1 21.7 23.6 26.4 12.8 .9 2016 100.0 5.0 8.8 21.6 24.0 25.3 14.2 1.2 2021 100.0 5.0 8.0 21.6 24.1 24.6 15.3 1.4 2026 100.0 5.0 8.0 20.5 24.4 25.4 14.9 1.7 2031 100.0 5.1 8.2 19.8 24.5 25.7 14.7 2.0 2036 100.0 5.1 8.2 19.9 23.4 26.1 15.2 2.2 2041 100.0 5.0 8.2 20.1 22.6 26.3 15.5 2.3 2046 100.0 4.9 8.0 20.3 23.0 25.4 15.9 2.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 2.8 -15.8 -5.7 -8.5 6.5 31.6 5.4 9.4 2001 5.3 .4 -3.5 -6.3 3.9 22.7 22.9 -7.0 2006 .4 -5.2 -5.7 -3.2 -7.6 7.4 27.9 1.8 2011 -.8 -7.0 -4.2 -4.4 -7.1 3.0 18.0 8.4 2016 -3.9 -12.7 -6.9 -4.2 -2.5 -8.0 6.4 20.1 2021 -5.2 -5.0 -13.1 -5.4 -4.8 -7.6 2.0 17.1 2026 -5.3 -4.5 -5.2 -9.9 -4.1 -2.4 -7.7 13.9 2031 -5.9 -4.7 -4.7 -9.4 -5.3 -4.7 -7.1 9.2 2036 -5.3 -6.1 -4.9 -4.9 -9.7 -4.0 -2.2 2.6 2041 -6.0 -7.8 -6.4 -4.7 -9.1 -5.1 -4.4 1.2 2046 -6.3 -7.7 -8.2 -5.5 -4.7 -9.5 -3.7 -.7


67

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 67.4 46.4 76.7 86.6 87.5 81.8 54.7 6.6 1996 66.1 43.0 72.8 86.5 85.5 83.1 49.6 6.7 2001 67.0 46.2 75.2 87.9 87.9 84.6 50.2 5.7 2006 65.4 46.2 74.7 87.6 87.7 84.5 50.2 5.4 2011 63.4 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2016 60.8 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2021 58.1 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2026 55.8 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2031 53.7 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2036 52.5 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2041 51.3 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1 2046 50.3 46.2 74.3 87.4 87.5 84.4 50.2 5.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE NEW BRUNSWICK FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 51.1 45.1 67.8 73.2 68.7 61.1 27.2 1.4 1996 52.4 42.2 68.7 74.0 72.8 64.5 31.5 1.6 2001 54.5 45.4 72.4 77.6 74.8 69.9 35.4 1.5 2006 53.8 45.4 73.1 78.2 76.4 71.9 35.9 1.4 2011 52.9 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2016 50.4 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2021 47.6 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2026 45.3 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2031 43.2 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2036 41.9 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2041 40.8 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4 2046 40.1 45.4 73.7 79.7 78.1 73.9 36.3 1.4

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

68

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.69 .48 .11 .12 .26 .20 .12 .07 .02 1996 1.64 .43 .10 .11 .23 .21 .11 .07 .02 2001 1.60 .39 .08 .10 .21 .21 .11 .07 .03 2006 1.57 .35 .08 .08 .19 .22 .12 .08 .03 2011 1.57 .32 .07 .08 .17 .25 .14 .08 .04 2016 1.61 .31 .07 .07 .16 .30 .18 .09 .04 2021 1.67 .31 .07 .07 .16 .37 .22 .11 .04 2026 1.75 .31 .07 .07 .16 .45 .25 .15 .05 2031 1.83 .31 .07 .07 .17 .52 .27 .18 .07 2036 1.86 .30 .07 .07 .16 .56 .27 .21 .09 2041 1.90 .30 .07 .07 .16 .61 .26 .23 .12 2046 1.93 .30 .07 .07 .16 .64 .28 .22 .14

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS NEW BRUNSWICK ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.17 .62 .14 .15 .33 .26 .15 .08 .02 1996 2.13 .56 .13 .14 .30 .27 .15 .09 .03 2001 2.03 .49 .10 .12 .27 .27 .14 .09 .03 2006 2.03 .45 .10 .10 .25 .29 .15 .10 .04 2011 2.05 .42 .09 .10 .23 .32 .18 .10 .05 2016 2.13 .41 .09 .10 .21 .40 .24 .11 .05 2021 2.23 .41 .09 .10 .22 .49 .29 .14 .06 2026 2.32 .41 .09 .10 .22 .59 .33 .19 .07 2031 2.41 .40 .09 .10 .22 .69 .36 .24 .09 2036 2.46 .40 .09 .09 .21 .75 .35 .27 .12 2041 2.52 .39 .09 .09 .21 .80 .35 .30 .15 2046 2.57 .39 .09 .10 .21 .85 .37 .29 .19

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

69

ADDITIONAL RESULTS, QUEBEC

Summary Tables


YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 7064.7 356.3 5.31 3525.5 198.5 5.97 2701. 2.62 19.8 11.1

2001 7393.6 119.6 1.64 3672.4 75.4 2.10 3018. 2.45 17.8 13.0 2006 7506.7 113.1 1.53 3713.3 41.0 1.12 3153. 2.38 16.5 14.0

2016 7740.8 107.6 1.41 3663.5 -69.1 -1.85 3390. 2.28 14.7 18.1 2021 7819.1 78.3 1.01 3559.3 -104.2 -2.84 3486. 2.24 14.6 20.7

2031 7834.8 -19.4 -.25 3382.8 -80.4 -2.32 3549. 2.21 14.0 26.0 2036 7766.9 -67.9 -.87 3326.8 -56.0 -1.65 3531. 2.20 13.6 26.6

2046 7540.7 -123.3 -1.61 3205.1 -74.1 -2.26 3448. 2.19 13.3 27.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 QUEBEC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS

YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS

1991 45.6 6.1 -8.7 2.5 25.5 38.6 20.2 98.2 48.2 1996 29.1 6.5 2.5 3.2 22.6 35.2 15.7 87.1 52.6

2006 30.4 11.2 .0 .0 25.4 31.0 13.5 73.0 61.8 2011 30.4 11.4 .0 .0 28.2 28.2 19.0 73.0 67.2

2021 30.4 11.7 .0 .0 28.2 28.2 18.7 72.7 78.5 2026 30.4 11.8 .0 .0 28.2 28.2 18.6 69.1 85.0

2036 30.4 11.7 .0 .0 28.2 28.2 18.7 63.7 99.2 2041 30.4 11.5 .0 .0 28.2 28.2 18.8 63.3 104.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: NPR is non-permanent residents. All numbers of persons are in

70

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.65 14.0 6.9 7.1 73.7 80.8 15.1 19.7 63.6 43.8 1996 1.60 12.0 7.2 4.8 74.6 81.3 15.5 20.1 62.5 44.4 2001 1.52 10.2 7.6 2.6 75.5 81.8 15.9 20.4 61.9 44.6 2006 1.52 9.7 8.2 1.5 76.2 82.2 16.3 20.7 60.7 44.7 2011 1.52 9.6 8.8 .8 76.9 82.6 16.7 21.0 59.1 45.0 2016 1.52 9.5 9.4 .1 77.6 83.1 17.1 21.2 57.0 44.7 2021 1.52 9.3 10.1 -.7 78.2 83.5 17.4 21.5 54.9 44.5 2026 1.52 8.8 10.8 -2.0 78.8 83.9 17.7 21.8 53.2 44.6 2031 1.52 8.3 11.7 -3.4 79.2 84.3 18.0 22.1 51.9 44.6 2036 1.52 8.2 12.8 -4.6 79.7 84.6 18.3 22.4 51.3 44.6 2041 1.52 8.2 13.7 -5.4 80.1 85.0 18.5 22.6 51.0 44.5 2046 1.52 8.3 14.2 -5.9 80.4 85.4 18.7 22.9 50.7 44.5


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 34.1 33.1 35.0 38.3 72.6 36.0 36.5 35.3 12.0 1996 36.1 35.1 37.1 39.9 73.0 37.9 38.1 37.6 11.8 2001 38.6 37.5 39.6 41.7 73.7 39.4 39.8 39.0 8.7 2006 40.8 39.6 41.9 43.4 74.2 40.7 41.1 40.1 8.7 2011 42.2 41.0 43.5 44.3 73.6 40.7 41.4 40.0 8.7 2016 43.2 41.9 44.6 44.0 73.1 40.3 41.0 39.4 8.7 2021 44.2 43.0 45.4 43.8 73.3 40.3 41.0 39.3 8.7 2026 45.2 44.1 46.4 43.6 73.6 40.2 41.0 39.3 8.7 2031 46.0 44.8 47.3 43.3 74.4 40.3 41.0 39.6 8.7 2036 46.7 45.5 47.9 43.9 75.8 40.8 41.5 40.0 8.7 2041 47.5 46.2 48.8 44.3 76.9 40.8 41.6 39.9 8.7 2046 47.8 46.4 49.3 44.0 76.9 40.5 41.3 39.6 8.7


71



YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

- THOUSANDS -

1991 7065. 456. 941. 465. 503. 2453. 820. 645. 480. 303.

2001 7394. 392. 927. 461. 496. 2263. 1125. 766. 543. 419. 2006 7507. 371. 866. 468. 463. 2120. 1234. 936. 563. 485.

2016 7741. 371. 769. 412. 482. 2008. 1121. 1181. 821. 577. 2021 7819. 371. 769. 395. 420. 2040. 994. 1209. 945. 675.

2031 7835. 340. 759. 396. 403. 1917. 1027. 958. 1076. 960. 2036 7767. 327. 727. 396. 404. 1846. 1017. 981. 960. 1109.

2046 7541. 322. 678. 365. 392. 1755. 986. 987. 886. 1169.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

- FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.8 48.9 48.7 48.8 49.0 49.7 50.2 51.9 56.3 64.7

2001 50.7 48.7 49.0 48.8 48.8 49.1 50.2 51.2 54.5 64.6 2006 50.7 48.7 49.0 49.1 49.0 48.9 49.9 51.1 53.7 63.8

2016 50.6 48.7 48.8 49.1 49.4 49.0 49.1 50.4 53.0 62.2 2021 50.6 48.7 48.8 49.1 49.2 49.2 49.0 49.9 52.6 61.0

2031 50.7 48.7 48.8 49.1 49.2 49.3 49.0 49.4 51.4 59.6 2036 50.8 48.7 48.8 49.0 49.2 49.3 49.2 49.2 51.0 59.2

2046 50.9 48.7 48.9 49.1 49.2 49.2 49.3 49.4 50.5 58.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

72

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION QUEBEC BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.5 13.3 6.6 7.1 34.7 11.6 9.1 6.8 4.3 1996 100.0 6.3 12.7 6.9 6.5 33.0 13.6 9.1 7.2 4.7 2001 100.0 5.3 12.5 6.2 6.7 30.6 15.2 10.4 7.3 5.7 2006 100.0 4.9 11.5 6.2 6.2 28.2 16.4 12.5 7.5 6.5 2011 100.0 4.8 10.3 6.2 6.2 26.2 16.5 14.0 8.7 7.0 2016 100.0 4.8 9.9 5.3 6.2 25.9 14.5 15.3 10.6 7.5 2021 100.0 4.8 9.8 5.1 5.4 26.1 12.7 15.5 12.1 8.6 2026 100.0 4.6 9.8 5.0 5.1 25.1 12.9 13.7 13.3 10.4 2031 100.0 4.3 9.7 5.1 5.1 24.5 13.1 12.2 13.7 12.2 2036 100.0 4.2 9.4 5.1 5.2 23.8 13.1 12.6 12.4 14.3 2041 100.0 4.2 9.1 5.0 5.3 23.1 13.5 13.0 11.2 15.6 2046 100.0 4.3 9.0 4.8 5.2 23.3 13.1 13.1 11.7 15.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION QUEBEC BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 3.0 .9 -1.9 7.4 -5.5 -2.3 20.6 2.3 9.4 14.2 2001 1.6 -14.9 .5 -7.7 4.5 -5.6 13.7 16.2 3.4 21.3 2006 1.5 -5.3 -6.6 1.3 -6.7 -6.3 9.7 22.1 3.9 15.7 2011 1.7 -.3 -9.2 1.4 2.4 -5.7 2.2 14.5 18.2 9.5 2016 1.4 .3 -2.2 -13.1 1.6 .4 -11.1 10.2 23.2 8.7 2021 1.0 .0 .1 -4.1 -12.8 1.6 -11.3 2.4 15.1 17.0 2026 .4 -3.2 .2 -.1 -4.1 -3.2 2.1 -11.0 10.9 20.4 2031 -.2 -5.5 -1.5 .3 -.1 -2.9 1.3 -11.0 2.7 18.0 2036 -.9 -3.7 -4.2 .0 .3 -3.7 -1.0 2.4 -10.8 15.5 2041 -1.3 -1.2 -4.4 -2.9 .1 -4.1 2.0 1.4 -10.4 7.7 2046 -1.6 -.4 -2.4 -5.1 -2.8 -.8 -5.0 -.8 2.9 -2.1




YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

- THOUSANDS -

1991 3526. 226. 376. 1050. 955. 620. 268. 31.

2001 3672. 187. 364. 809. 1074. 880. 319. 40. 2006 3713. 190. 340. 816. 957. 978. 392. 42.

2016 3664. 167. 354. 821. 871. 899. 498. 54. 2021 3559. 160. 308. 838. 881. 797. 512. 63.

2031 3383. 160. 295. 727. 888. 824. 407. 80. 2036 3327. 161. 296. 713. 843. 816. 416. 81.

2046 3205. 148. 288. 715. 763. 791. 419. 81.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+


1991 43.8 45.7 47.8 44.9 44.7 42.4 33.6 27.4

2001 44.6 47.7 46.6 45.5 45.4 44.8 37.0 27.1 2006 44.7 48.0 47.2 45.7 45.7 45.3 37.2 27.7

2016 44.7 47.9 48.0 46.5 46.2 45.2 36.9 26.5 2021 44.5 47.9 47.8 46.7 46.3 45.1 36.4 26.0

2031 44.6 47.9 47.8 46.6 46.7 45.1 35.9 25.4 2036 44.6 47.9 47.8 46.6 46.6 45.3 35.8 25.5

2046 44.5 47.9 47.8 46.5 46.5 45.4 36.0 25.4

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

74

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE QUEBEC BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.4 10.7 29.8 27.1 17.6 7.6 .9 1996 100.0 5.7 9.6 25.6 29.1 21.6 7.5 1.0 2001 100.0 5.1 9.9 22.0 29.2 24.0 8.7 1.1 2006 100.0 5.1 9.1 22.0 25.8 26.3 10.5 1.1 2011 100.0 5.2 9.3 22.3 22.9 27.1 12.1 1.2 2016 100.0 4.6 9.6 22.4 23.8 24.5 13.6 1.5 2021 100.0 4.5 8.7 23.5 24.8 22.4 14.4 1.8 2026 100.0 4.6 8.5 22.9 25.2 23.5 13.2 2.1 2031 100.0 4.7 8.7 21.5 26.3 24.4 12.0 2.4 2036 100.0 4.8 8.9 21.4 25.3 24.5 12.5 2.4 2041 100.0 4.8 9.0 21.8 23.7 25.4 12.9 2.5 2046 100.0 4.6 9.0 22.3 23.8 24.7 13.1 2.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE QUEBEC BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 2.0 -9.5 -8.2 -12.4 9.6 25.3 .1 16.0 2001 2.1 -8.5 5.3 -12.1 2.6 13.4 18.9 11.5 2006 1.1 1.3 -6.6 .9 -10.9 11.1 22.8 5.6 2011 .5 1.4 2.5 1.8 -10.8 3.4 15.2 9.3 2016 -1.9 -13.1 1.6 -1.2 2.0 -11.1 10.4 18.0 2021 -2.8 -4.1 -12.8 2.0 1.2 -11.3 2.7 16.9 2026 -2.7 -.1 -4.1 -5.4 -1.1 2.1 -10.8 15.5 2031 -2.3 .3 -.1 -8.2 2.0 1.3 -10.9 9.8 2036 -1.7 .0 .3 -2.0 -5.1 -1.0 2.4 1.5 2041 -1.4 -2.9 .1 .1 -7.8 2.0 1.4 -.7 2046 -2.3 -5.1 -2.8 .2 -1.8 -5.0 -.8 .2


MEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE QUEBEC MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1996 70.8 43.3 78.5 89.4 90.8 88.3 53.9 7.2 2001 69.9 42.0 78.0 90.0 91.1 87.3 54.4 7.8

2011 66.1 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0 2016 64.0 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0

2026 59.8 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0 2031 58.4 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0

2041 57.6 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0 2046 57.2 42.0 77.0 89.5 90.7 87.1 54.4 7.0

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE QUEBEC FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1996 54.4 39.5 69.4 75.6 76.3 69.9 29.2 2.5 2001 54.2 40.1 71.0 77.8 77.7 70.3 30.5 2.1

2011 52.3 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0 2016 50.3 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0

2026 46.7 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0 2031 45.6 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0

2041 44.7 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0 2046 44.4 40.1 72.3 79.9 81.1 74.3 31.3 2.0

76

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.60 .42 .10 .10 .22 .18 .11 .05 .01 1996 1.61 .42 .10 .10 .21 .19 .12 .06 .02 2001 1.59 .38 .08 .10 .20 .21 .12 .07 .02 2006 1.58 .36 .08 .08 .20 .22 .12 .08 .03 2011 1.59 .34 .08 .08 .18 .25 .14 .08 .03 2016 1.62 .32 .08 .08 .17 .29 .17 .08 .04 2021 1.68 .33 .08 .08 .17 .35 .20 .10 .04 2026 1.76 .34 .08 .09 .18 .42 .23 .13 .05 2031 1.82 .35 .08 .09 .18 .47 .25 .16 .06 2036 1.83 .34 .08 .08 .18 .49 .23 .18 .08 2041 1.82 .33 .08 .08 .18 .49 .20 .19 .09 2046 1.83 .33 .08 .08 .17 .50 .21 .17 .11

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS QUEBEC ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.00 .53 .13 .13 .27 .22 .14 .07 .02 1996 2.02 .52 .13 .13 .27 .24 .15 .07 .02 2001 2.01 .48 .11 .13 .25 .26 .15 .09 .03 2006 2.02 .46 .10 .11 .25 .28 .15 .10 .03 2011 2.04 .44 .10 .10 .24 .32 .18 .10 .04 2016 2.11 .42 .10 .10 .22 .38 .22 .11 .05 2021 2.20 .43 .10 .11 .22 .46 .27 .14 .05 2026 2.27 .44 .10 .11 .23 .54 .30 .17 .06 2031 2.32 .44 .10 .11 .23 .60 .32 .21 .08 2036 2.33 .44 .10 .11 .23 .62 .29 .23 .10 2041 2.34 .43 .10 .10 .23 .63 .26 .25 .12 2046 2.35 .43 .10 .10 .22 .64 .28 .22 .14

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

77

11.

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 ONTARIO

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP

TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)

1991 10428. 990. 10.49 5582. 423. 8.21 3758. 2.77 20.1 11.6 1996 11101. 673. 6.46 5690. 108. 1.93 4060. 2.73 20.3 12.2

2006 12404. 634. 5.39 6513. 388. 6.33 4762. 2.60 17.8 13.3 2011 13015. 612. 4.93 6877. 364. 5.60 5107. 2.55 16.4 14.2

2021 14156. 556. 4.09 7139. 90. 1.28 5796. 2.44 15.7 17.9 2026 14657. 501. 3.54 7200. 61. .86 6082. 2.41 15.5 20.1

2036 15398. 325. 2.16 7340. 92. 1.27 6513. 2.36 14.7 23.3 2041 15647. 249. 1.62 7421. 81. 1.11 6661. 2.35 14.3 23.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: TPOP is total population.

PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000

IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN-

DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1996 115.4 19.7 -10.8 9.7 69.0 72.0 91.6 144.4 77.9 2001 110.7 30.3 -4.0 .0 70.6 66.3 80.7 130.1 84.7

2011 121.5 33.5 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 88.0 134.3 102.6 2016 121.5 35.1 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 86.4 140.2 111.6

2026 121.5 37.9 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 83.6 142.9 132.5 2031 121.5 39.0 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 82.5 139.4 146.2

2041 121.5 40.6 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 80.9 139.8 176.2 2046 121.5 41.1 .0 .0 68.5 68.5 80.4 142.3 187.8

Note: NPR is non-permanent residents. All numbers of persons are in thousands.

78

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.67 14.5 6.9 7.6 74.9 80.9 15.8 19.8 68.7 45.3 1996 1.61 13.1 7.1 6.0 75.9 81.4 16.3 20.1 65.9 45.8 2001 1.53 11.1 7.2 3.9 76.8 81.7 16.7 20.3 66.0 46.2 2006 1.53 10.5 7.6 2.9 77.6 82.1 17.2 20.5 65.4 46.6 2011 1.53 10.4 7.9 2.4 78.3 82.4 17.6 20.7 64.7 46.9 2016 1.53 10.4 8.2 2.1 79.0 82.7 18.0 20.9 63.2 46.7 2021 1.53 10.2 8.6 1.6 79.6 83.0 18.4 21.1 61.5 46.5 2026 1.53 9.8 9.1 .7 80.2 83.4 18.7 21.3 59.8 46.5 2031 1.53 9.3 9.7 -.5 80.7 83.7 19.0 21.6 58.4 46.5 2036 1.53 9.0 10.5 -1.5 81.1 84.0 19.3 21.8 57.6 46.4 2041 1.53 8.9 11.3 -2.3 81.5 84.3 19.6 22.0 57.1 46.4 2046 1.53 9.0 11.9 -2.9 81.9 84.6 19.8 22.2 56.7 46.3


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 33.3 32.4 34.1 37.7 72.7 35.6 36.0 35.1 9.6 1996 35.0 34.2 35.9 39.2 73.2 37.2 37.5 37.0 9.1 2001 37.0 36.1 37.8 40.6 73.9 38.7 38.9 38.4 5.9 2006 38.5 37.5 39.5 42.0 74.4 39.7 40.0 39.4 5.9 2011 39.7 38.7 40.7 42.7 74.0 40.0 40.4 39.7 5.9 2016 40.7 39.7 41.6 42.7 73.3 40.0 40.3 39.5 5.9 2021 41.5 40.6 42.5 42.7 73.4 39.9 40.3 39.4 5.9 2026 42.4 41.5 43.3 42.7 73.6 40.0 40.4 39.5 5.9 2031 43.3 42.4 44.2 42.7 74.0 40.2 40.6 39.8 5.9 2036 44.3 43.4 45.1 43.1 74.9 40.6 41.0 40.2 5.9 2041 45.1 44.1 46.0 43.5 75.9 40.7 41.1 40.2 5.9 2046 45.4 44.4 46.4 43.4 76.1 40.5 41.0 40.0 5.9


79

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 11101. 756. 1500. 721. 747. 3660. 1399. 961. 805. 551. 2001 11770. 675. 1588. 769. 761. 3719. 1656. 1097. 829. 675.

2011 13015. 677. 1451. 859. 868. 3653. 2039. 1622. 999. 847. 2016 13600. 705. 1452. 780. 901. 3772. 1999. 1819. 1252. 921.

2026 14657. 735. 1544. 779. 808. 3981. 1905. 1960. 1665. 1280. 2031 15073. 720. 1573. 806. 820. 3970. 1972. 1862. 1831. 1519.

2041 15647. 711. 1534. 834. 870. 3857. 2155. 1945. 1723. 2017. 2046 15839. 723. 1524. 818. 874. 3902. 2104. 2045. 1744. 2105.

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000



1996 50.7 48.7 48.7 48.6 49.4 50.2 50.4 50.8 54.1 62.8 2001 50.7 48.7 48.6 48.8 49.2 50.0 50.7 51.0 52.9 62.3

2011 50.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 50.1 50.0 51.3 52.5 60.1 2016 50.7 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 50.0 50.1 51.0 52.3 59.3

2026 50.6 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 50.0 50.0 50.4 51.9 57.4 2031 50.6 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 50.0 50.1 50.5 51.2 57.0

2041 50.6 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 50.0 50.0 50.3 51.1 56.0 2046 50.6 48.7 48.6 48.7 49.3 49.9 50.0 50.3 50.8 56.0

80

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.0 13.1 6.8 7.7 34.2 10.7 8.8 7.0 4.6 1996 100.0 6.8 13.5 6.5 6.7 33.0 12.6 8.7 7.3 5.0 2001 100.0 5.7 13.5 6.5 6.5 31.6 14.1 9.3 7.0 5.7 2006 100.0 5.3 12.4 6.7 6.5 29.7 15.0 11.1 7.0 6.2 2011 100.0 5.2 11.2 6.6 6.7 28.1 15.7 12.5 7.7 6.5 2016 100.0 5.2 10.7 5.7 6.6 27.7 14.7 13.4 9.2 6.8 2021 100.0 5.2 10.5 5.4 5.8 27.7 13.4 14.1 10.4 7.4 2026 100.0 5.0 10.5 5.3 5.5 27.2 13.0 13.4 11.4 8.7 2031 100.0 4.8 10.4 5.3 5.4 26.3 13.1 12.4 12.2 10.1 2036 100.0 4.6 10.1 5.4 5.5 25.4 13.5 12.2 11.7 11.6 2041 100.0 4.5 9.8 5.3 5.6 24.7 13.8 12.4 11.0 12.9 2046 100.0 4.6 9.6 5.2 5.5 24.6 13.3 12.9 11.0 13.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 6.5 3.4 9.7 1.7 -6.8 2.5 24.8 4.2 10.9 15.1 2001 6.0 -10.7 5.8 6.5 1.9 1.6 18.4 14.2 2.9 22.5 2006 5.4 -1.9 -2.9 7.5 6.5 -.8 12.1 25.1 4.9 14.8 2011 4.9 2.1 -5.9 4.0 7.2 -.9 9.8 18.1 14.9 9.3 2016 4.5 4.2 .0 -9.2 3.8 3.3 -2.0 12.1 25.4 8.7 2021 4.1 3.5 2.8 -1.7 -8.8 4.1 -5.3 9.8 18.1 14.1 2026 3.5 .7 3.5 1.6 -1.7 1.4 .7 -1.8 12.6 21.9 2031 2.8 -2.1 1.9 3.5 1.5 -.3 3.5 -5.0 10.0 18.6 2036 2.2 -1.6 -.7 2.9 3.3 -1.4 5.1 .8 -1.6 17.4 2041 1.6 .4 -1.8 .5 2.8 -1.5 4.0 3.6 -4.4 13.1 2046 1.2 1.7 -.6 -1.9 .5 1.2 -2.3 5.1 1.2 4.4


81


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000


---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1996 5690. 350. 555. 1528. 1560. 1136. 475. 86. 2001 6125. 382. 565. 1433. 1735. 1372. 544. 94.

2011 6877. 427. 646. 1517. 1636. 1733. 811. 106. 2016 7049. 388. 670. 1607. 1648. 1699. 911. 126.

2026 7200. 387. 601. 1640. 1796. 1620. 984. 172. 2031 7247. 401. 610. 1560. 1870. 1676. 934. 196.

2041 7421. 415. 647. 1589. 1741. 1832. 977. 219. 2046 7467. 407. 650. 1631. 1737. 1789. 1027. 226.

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000



1996 45.8 48.7 47.5 45.9 46.8 45.8 40.2 34.7 2001 46.2 49.5 47.5 46.5 46.5 47.1 40.4 34.1

2011 46.9 49.4 48.4 47.2 48.0 47.9 41.3 33.7 2016 46.7 49.4 48.4 47.2 47.8 48.0 41.0 33.1

2026 46.5 49.3 48.4 47.1 47.9 47.9 40.5 32.2 2031 46.5 49.3 48.4 47.2 47.8 48.0 40.6 31.8

2041 46.4 49.3 48.3 47.1 47.8 47.9 40.3 31.7 2046 46.3 49.3 48.3 47.0 47.8 47.9 40.3 31.7

82

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.4 11.3 29.3 25.5 16.5 8.5 1.6 1996 100.0 6.2 9.8 26.9 27.4 20.0 8.3 1.5 2001 100.0 6.2 9.2 23.4 28.3 22.4 8.9 1.5 2006 100.0 6.3 9.2 22.2 26.3 23.9 10.5 1.5 2011 100.0 6.2 9.4 22.1 23.8 25.2 11.8 1.5 2016 100.0 5.5 9.5 22.8 23.4 24.1 12.9 1.8 2021 100.0 5.3 8.6 23.6 23.9 22.5 14.0 2.1 2026 100.0 5.4 8.3 22.8 24.9 22.5 13.7 2.4 2031 100.0 5.5 8.4 21.5 25.8 23.1 12.9 2.7 2036 100.0 5.6 8.6 21.2 24.9 24.0 12.8 2.9 2041 100.0 5.6 8.7 21.4 23.5 24.7 13.2 3.0 2046 100.0 5.4 8.7 21.8 23.3 24.0 13.8 3.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 1.9 -14.9 -11.6 -6.5 9.6 23.4 .0 -3.5 2001 7.6 9.1 1.8 -6.3 11.2 20.8 14.6 9.1 2006 6.3 7.5 6.6 .8 -1.2 13.6 25.7 5.4 2011 5.6 4.0 7.2 5.0 -4.5 11.2 18.6 7.1 2016 2.5 -9.2 3.8 5.9 .7 -2.0 12.3 18.5 2021 1.3 -1.7 -8.8 4.6 3.6 -5.3 10.0 16.9 2026 .9 1.6 -1.7 -2.5 5.2 .7 -1.8 17.0 2031 .7 3.5 1.5 -4.9 4.1 3.5 -5.0 14.2 2036 1.3 2.9 3.3 -.2 -2.4 5.1 .9 7.1 2041 1.1 .5 2.8 2.0 -4.6 4.0 3.6 4.3 2046 .6 -1.9 .5 2.6 -.2 -2.3 5.1 3.0


83

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO MALES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 76.5 58.4 82.5 94.2 94.9 92.2 64.2 12.8 1996 73.0 49.0 78.7 92.9 92.7 89.6 60.7 10.3

2006 71.3 49.7 77.8 92.4 93.1 89.6 60.9 9.6 2011 70.0 49.7 77.3 92.2 92.9 89.5 60.9 9.1

2021 66.8 49.7 77.3 92.2 92.9 89.5 60.9 9.1 2026 65.0 49.7 77.3 92.2 92.9 89.5 60.9 9.1

2036 62.6 49.7 77.3 92.2 92.9 89.5 60.9 9.1 2041 62.1 49.7 77.3 92.2 92.9 89.5 60.9 9.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ONTARIO FEMALES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 61.1 59.3 77.5 79.5 81.0 73.4 40.2 4.4 1996 59.1 49.4 73.0 78.9 79.7 74.3 39.5 4.2

2006 59.7 51.1 74.0 80.7 82.7 79.8 40.2 4.0 2011 59.6 51.1 74.6 82.2 84.6 82.0 40.7 3.8

2021 56.3 51.1 74.6 82.2 84.6 82.0 40.7 3.8 2026 54.8 51.1 74.6 82.2 84.6 82.0 40.7 3.8

2036 52.8 51.1 74.6 82.2 84.6 82.0 40.7 3.8 2041 52.2 51.1 74.6 82.2 84.6 82.0 40.7 3.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

84

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.63 .44 .11 .11 .21 .19 .11 .06 .02 1996 1.64 .44 .11 .11 .22 .20 .12 .06 .02 2001 1.63 .42 .09 .11 .22 .21 .11 .07 .02 2006 1.61 .39 .09 .09 .21 .21 .11 .07 .03 2011 1.59 .37 .08 .09 .20 .23 .12 .07 .03 2016 1.60 .35 .08 .08 .18 .26 .15 .08 .03 2021 1.64 .35 .08 .09 .18 .29 .17 .09 .04 2026 1.69 .35 .08 .09 .18 .34 .19 .11 .04 2031 1.75 .36 .08 .09 .19 .39 .21 .13 .05 2036 1.77 .36 .08 .09 .19 .41 .21 .15 .06 2041 1.77 .35 .08 .08 .18 .42 .20 .16 .07 2046 1.77 .34 .08 .08 .18 .43 .20 .16 .08

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS ONTARIO ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.87 .50 .13 .13 .25 .22 .13 .07 .02 1996 1.95 .52 .13 .13 .26 .24 .14 .07 .02 2001 1.92 .50 .11 .13 .26 .25 .14 .08 .03 2006 1.90 .47 .10 .11 .25 .25 .13 .09 .03 2011 1.89 .43 .10 .10 .23 .27 .15 .09 .04 2016 1.93 .42 .10 .10 .22 .31 .18 .09 .04 2021 1.98 .42 .10 .10 .21 .35 .21 .10 .04 2026 2.04 .42 .10 .11 .22 .41 .23 .13 .05 2031 2.08 .43 .10 .11 .22 .46 .25 .15 .05 2036 2.10 .42 .10 .10 .22 .49 .25 .17 .07 2041 2.11 .41 .10 .10 .22 .50 .23 .19 .08 2046 2.12 .41 .10 .10 .21 .52 .23 .19 .10

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

85

12. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, MANITOBA

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1109.6 17.9 1.64 557.4 7.4 1.34 412. 2.69 21.9 13.3 1996 1134.4 24.8 2.24 568.3 10.9 1.96 428. 2.65 21.7 13.5 2001 1149.8 15.4 1.36 589.5 21.2 3.73 445. 2.58 20.6 13.7 2006 1169.3 19.4 1.69 607.4 18.0 3.05 462. 2.53 19.2 13.9 2011 1197.0 27.7 2.37 625.2 17.8 2.92 482. 2.48 18.1 14.5 2016 1226.8 29.8 2.49 626.8 1.6 .25 503. 2.44 17.9 16.1 2021 1254.4 27.6 2.25 623.1 -3.7 -.59 523. 2.40 17.9 18.1 2026 1276.9 22.5 1.79 620.6 -2.4 -.39 539. 2.37 17.6 20.2 2031 1292.3 15.4 1.21 620.0 -.6 -.10 551. 2.35 17.2 21.8 2036 1301.4 9.1 .71 624.0 4.0 .64 559. 2.33 16.7 22.4 2041 1305.9 4.6 .35 625.0 1.0 .16 565. 2.31 16.4 22.6 2046 1307.3 1.4 .11 622.8 -2.3 -.36 567. 2.30 16.5 22.7


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 6.3 2.2 .1 .9 16.6 24.3 -2.6 17.3 8.8 1996 3.7 2.4 -.2 1.1 15.1 18.6 -1.3 16.0 9.3 2001 3.5 1.5 .0 .0 15.3 18.8 -1.5 14.1 9.7 2006 3.8 1.5 .0 .0 16.2 17.8 .8 14.0 10.2 2011 3.8 1.5 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.3 14.4 10.6 2016 3.8 1.6 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.2 14.7 11.1 2021 3.8 1.6 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.2 14.7 11.6 2026 3.8 1.7 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.2 14.2 12.4 2031 3.8 1.7 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.1 13.8 13.4 2036 3.8 1.7 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.1 13.8 14.5 2041 3.8 1.7 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.1 14.0 15.5 2046 3.8 1.7 .0 .0 17.0 17.0 2.1 14.0 16.1


86

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.97 15.6 7.9 7.7 74.6 80.8 15.8 20.1 67.0 44.5 1996 1.90 14.1 8.2 5.9 75.4 81.2 16.1 20.3 66.7 44.9 2001 1.82 12.3 8.4 3.9 76.0 81.5 16.4 20.5 67.2 45.5 2006 1.82 12.0 8.7 3.3 76.6 81.8 16.7 20.7 66.9 45.8 2011 1.82 12.0 8.9 3.1 77.2 82.1 17.0 20.9 66.4 46.1 2016 1.82 12.0 9.1 3.0 77.7 82.4 17.2 21.1 64.9 45.8 2021 1.82 11.7 9.3 2.4 78.2 82.7 17.5 21.3 63.1 45.6 2026 1.82 11.1 9.7 1.4 78.6 83.0 17.7 21.5 61.6 45.6 2031 1.82 10.7 10.4 .3 79.0 83.3 17.9 21.7 60.5 45.5 2036 1.82 10.6 11.2 -.6 79.3 83.6 18.1 21.9 60.2 45.5 2041 1.82 10.7 11.8 -1.2 79.6 83.9 18.2 22.1 59.9 45.4 2046 1.82 10.7 12.3 -1.6 79.9 84.2 18.3 22.3 59.6 45.3


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 32.8 31.9 33.8 37.7 73.6 35.5 35.8 35.2 8.8 1996 34.5 33.6 35.5 39.1 74.3 37.0 37.1 36.9 7.4 2001 36.4 35.3 37.5 40.7 75.0 38.7 38.8 38.5 5.1 2006 37.7 36.4 39.0 42.2 75.3 39.6 39.7 39.4 5.1 2011 38.5 37.4 39.8 42.5 74.6 39.6 39.8 39.3 5.1 2016 39.3 38.2 40.4 42.3 73.4 39.4 39.8 39.0 5.1 2021 39.9 38.9 41.0 42.1 73.3 39.3 39.7 38.8 5.1 2026 40.8 39.7 41.8 42.0 73.7 39.4 39.8 39.0 5.1 2031 41.6 40.6 42.7 42.1 74.4 39.7 40.0 39.4 5.1 2036 42.5 41.4 43.7 42.6 75.5 40.1 40.4 39.7 5.1 2041 42.9 41.7 44.3 42.8 76.4 40.0 40.3 39.6 5.1 2046 42.9 41.6 44.3 42.7 76.3 39.8 40.1 39.4 5.1


87


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 1110. 84. 159. 82. 82. 353. 110. 92. 83. 65. 1996 1134. 82. 165. 79. 80. 349. 135. 92. 82. 71. 2001 1150. 72. 164. 81. 77. 337. 158. 102. 79. 79. 2006 1169. 70. 154. 83. 80. 322. 171. 127. 79. 83. 2011 1197. 72. 145. 82. 83. 316. 175. 150. 89. 84. 2016 1227. 74. 146. 74. 83. 326. 162. 163. 112. 86. 2021 1254. 75. 149. 73. 75. 335. 152. 168. 132. 95. 2026 1277. 73. 152. 75. 74. 335. 154. 156. 145. 113. 2031 1292. 71. 151. 77. 76. 329. 160. 146. 149. 133. 2036 1301. 70. 147. 78. 78. 321. 168. 148. 138. 152. 2041 1306. 71. 144. 76. 79. 317. 171. 154. 131. 164. 2046 1307. 71. 144. 74. 77. 320. 163. 162. 133. 163.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.4 48.8 48.7 48.1 48.8 49.4 49.7 50.8 55.0 61.6 1996 50.4 48.8 48.7 48.8 48.4 49.3 49.9 50.5 54.5 62.3 2001 50.4 48.6 48.7 48.9 48.7 49.0 50.0 50.6 52.8 62.8 2006 50.3 48.6 48.5 49.1 48.8 48.9 49.7 50.6 52.3 62.5 2011 50.3 48.5 48.3 48.9 49.0 48.8 49.5 50.7 52.2 61.7 2016 50.2 48.5 48.3 48.7 48.8 48.9 49.2 50.3 52.1 61.0 2021 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.7 48.6 49.0 48.7 50.0 52.0 60.0 2026 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.6 48.5 49.0 48.8 49.6 51.5 59.1 2031 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.6 48.5 48.9 49.0 49.1 51.1 58.6 2036 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.6 48.5 48.8 49.1 49.2 50.7 58.3 2041 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.6 48.5 48.7 49.1 49.3 50.1 58.4 2046 50.1 48.5 48.3 48.6 48.5 48.7 48.9 49.4 50.1 58.6

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

88

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.5 14.3 7.4 7.4 31.9 9.9 8.3 7.5 5.8 1996 100.0 7.2 14.5 7.0 7.0 30.8 11.9 8.1 7.3 6.3 2001 100.0 6.3 14.3 7.0 6.7 29.3 13.7 8.9 6.8 6.9 2006 100.0 6.0 13.2 7.1 6.9 27.5 14.6 10.9 6.8 7.1 2011 100.0 6.0 12.1 6.8 7.0 26.4 14.6 12.5 7.5 7.0 2016 100.0 6.0 11.9 6.0 6.8 26.6 13.2 13.3 9.1 7.0 2021 100.0 5.9 11.9 5.8 6.0 26.7 12.1 13.4 10.6 7.5 2026 100.0 5.7 11.9 5.9 5.8 26.2 12.1 12.2 11.3 8.9 2031 100.0 5.5 11.7 6.0 5.9 25.5 12.4 11.3 11.5 10.3 2036 100.0 5.4 11.3 6.0 6.0 24.7 12.9 11.4 10.6 11.7 2041 100.0 5.4 11.0 5.8 6.0 24.2 13.1 11.8 10.0 12.6 2046 100.0 5.4 11.0 5.6 5.9 24.5 12.4 12.4 10.2 12.5

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 2.2 -2.1 3.7 -3.2 -2.9 -1.3 22.7 -.6 -.9 10.1 2001 1.4 -11.8 -.4 2.1 -2.7 -3.4 17.1 11.3 -4.6 11.7 2006 1.7 -2.7 -6.2 2.5 3.5 -4.5 8.4 24.1 .7 4.5 2011 2.4 2.1 -6.0 -.8 4.1 -1.8 2.5 18.0 13.1 1.3 2016 2.5 3.1 .6 -9.7 -.5 3.2 -7.4 9.0 25.2 2.4 2021 2.3 .8 2.7 -1.2 -9.6 2.6 -6.1 2.7 18.3 10.0 2026 1.8 -2.2 1.9 2.3 -1.2 -.1 1.2 -7.2 9.4 19.7 2031 1.2 -3.2 -.7 3.0 2.3 -1.7 3.5 -5.9 2.8 17.9 2036 .7 -1.1 -2.6 .8 2.9 -2.3 5.1 1.4 -7.1 14.3 2041 .3 .9 -2.1 -2.1 .8 -1.5 1.9 3.7 -5.3 7.7 2046 .1 1.0 -.1 -3.1 -2.0 1.1 -4.8 5.2 1.6 -.4


89


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 557. 47. 65. 155. 141. 89. 49. 12. 1996 568. 43. 62. 142. 154. 112. 46. 10. 2001 589. 43. 61. 130. 157. 133. 54. 10. 2006 607. 45. 63. 130. 145. 147. 67. 10. 2011 625. 44. 66. 135. 137. 152. 80. 11. 2016 627. 40. 66. 142. 139. 141. 87. 12. 2021 623. 39. 59. 144. 144. 132. 90. 14. 2026 621. 40. 59. 137. 151. 134. 83. 16. 2031 620. 42. 60. 130. 154. 139. 79. 18. 2036 624. 42. 62. 131. 146. 146. 80. 18. 2041 625. 41. 62. 134. 139. 148. 82. 18. 2046 623. 40. 61. 136. 139. 141. 87. 18.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 44.5 46.5 46.1 44.9 46.2 44.4 38.8 27.3 1996 44.9 47.1 45.5 44.7 46.3 46.5 38.3 23.2 2001 45.5 46.9 46.6 45.3 46.4 46.9 40.5 30.4 2006 45.8 47.1 47.1 45.6 46.7 47.4 40.9 30.7 2011 46.1 46.9 47.6 46.4 46.9 47.9 41.2 30.7 2016 45.8 46.7 47.5 46.5 47.0 47.5 40.8 29.9 2021 45.6 46.7 47.2 46.5 47.2 47.1 40.6 29.4 2026 45.6 46.6 47.2 46.3 47.3 47.2 40.2 29.0 2031 45.5 46.6 47.2 46.1 47.3 47.3 39.8 28.8 2036 45.5 46.6 47.2 46.1 47.1 47.5 39.8 28.9 2041 45.4 46.6 47.2 46.1 46.9 47.4 39.9 28.9 2046 45.3 46.6 47.2 46.1 46.9 47.2 40.0 29.0

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90

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 8.4 11.7 27.7 25.3 16.0 8.7 2.1 1996 100.0 7.6 11.0 24.9 27.1 19.7 8.0 1.7 2001 100.0 7.4 10.4 22.1 26.6 22.6 9.2 1.8 2006 100.0 7.3 10.4 21.4 23.9 24.1 11.1 1.7 2011 100.0 7.1 10.6 21.6 22.0 24.3 12.8 1.7 2016 100.0 6.4 10.5 22.6 22.2 22.5 13.9 1.9 2021 100.0 6.3 9.5 23.2 23.1 21.2 14.4 2.3 2026 100.0 6.5 9.5 22.1 24.3 21.6 13.4 2.6 2031 100.0 6.7 9.7 20.9 24.8 22.4 12.7 2.8 2036 100.0 6.7 9.9 20.9 23.5 23.3 12.8 2.9 2041 100.0 6.6 10.0 21.4 22.2 23.7 13.2 2.9 2046 100.0 6.4 9.8 21.9 22.4 22.7 13.9 3.0

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PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 2.0 -7.9 -4.5 -8.4 8.9 25.8 -6.6 -16.2 2001 3.7 1.1 -1.9 -8.1 1.8 19.2 18.7 6.0 2006 3.0 2.5 3.6 -.4 -7.1 9.9 24.7 -1.6 2011 2.9 -.8 4.2 3.9 -5.5 3.8 18.7 2.9 2016 .3 -9.7 -.5 5.1 1.1 -7.3 9.2 15.2 2021 -.6 -1.2 -9.6 1.9 3.4 -6.1 2.8 15.4 2026 -.4 2.3 -1.2 -4.9 5.0 1.2 -7.1 14.3 2031 -.1 3.0 2.3 -5.4 1.8 3.5 -5.7 9.6 2036 .6 .8 2.9 .5 -4.8 5.1 1.3 3.0 2041 .2 -2.1 .8 2.5 -5.3 1.9 3.6 1.4 2046 -.4 -3.1 -2.0 1.8 .5 -4.8 5.1 .4


91

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 75.6 61.7 87.4 92.6 94.7 92.2 67.8 14.6 1996 74.7 58.8 86.0 93.9 94.6 91.1 63.8 12.5 2001 74.4 58.6 85.6 92.6 94.5 92.3 65.7 11.6 2006 73.6 58.6 85.0 92.3 94.3 92.2 65.7 11.0 2011 72.4 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2016 70.9 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2021 69.1 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2026 67.5 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2031 66.3 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2036 66.0 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2041 65.8 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4 2046 65.6 58.6 84.5 92.1 94.1 92.1 65.7 10.4

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PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE MANITOBA FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 58.7 58.6 78.2 77.5 81.5 74.0 41.3 4.1 1996 58.9 55.7 76.7 78.5 82.6 79.4 38.6 2.8 2001 60.2 54.8 78.6 80.3 83.3 81.2 43.4 3.8 2006 60.5 54.8 79.3 80.9 85.1 83.6 43.9 3.7 2011 60.5 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2016 58.9 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2021 57.2 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2026 55.8 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2031 54.8 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2036 54.4 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2041 54.1 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6 2046 53.7 54.8 80.0 82.4 87.0 85.9 44.5 3.6

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92

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.74 .51 .13 .13 .25 .23 .13 .08 .02 1996 1.73 .50 .12 .13 .24 .23 .13 .08 .03 2001 1.70 .47 .11 .12 .24 .23 .12 .08 .03 2006 1.67 .44 .10 .10 .23 .23 .11 .08 .04 2011 1.65 .41 .10 .10 .21 .24 .12 .08 .04 2016 1.67 .40 .10 .10 .20 .27 .15 .08 .04 2021 1.72 .41 .10 .10 .20 .31 .18 .09 .04 2026 1.78 .42 .10 .11 .21 .36 .20 .12 .04 2031 1.82 .42 .10 .10 .22 .40 .21 .14 .05 2036 1.82 .41 .10 .10 .21 .41 .19 .15 .06 2041 1.81 .40 .10 .10 .21 .41 .18 .16 .07 2046 1.81 .40 .10 .10 .20 .41 .18 .14 .08

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PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS MANITOBA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.99 .58 .15 .15 .29 .26 .15 .09 .03 1996 2.00 .57 .14 .15 .28 .27 .15 .09 .03 2001 1.95 .54 .12 .14 .28 .27 .13 .10 .04 2006 1.92 .51 .12 .12 .27 .27 .13 .10 .04 2011 1.91 .48 .11 .11 .25 .28 .14 .09 .04 2016 1.96 .47 .12 .12 .23 .32 .18 .09 .05 2021 2.01 .48 .12 .12 .24 .36 .21 .11 .05 2026 2.06 .48 .12 .12 .24 .42 .23 .13 .05 2031 2.08 .48 .11 .12 .25 .46 .24 .16 .06 2036 2.09 .47 .11 .12 .24 .47 .22 .17 .07 2041 2.09 .47 .11 .11 .24 .47 .21 .18 .08 2046 2.10 .46 .11 .12 .23 .48 .21 .17 .10

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93

13. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, SASKATCHEWAN

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1002.7 -26.5 -2.58 493.6 -13.4 -2.64 368. 2.72 23.9 14.1 1996 1019.5 16.8 1.68 496.6 2.9 .59 384. 2.65 22.8 14.5 2001 1035.4 15.9 1.56 525.2 28.7 5.77 399. 2.60 21.0 14.7 2006 1052.9 17.5 1.69 546.5 21.3 4.05 415. 2.54 19.5 14.7 2011 1076.4 23.5 2.23 563.6 17.1 3.14 432. 2.49 18.8 14.9 2016 1100.3 23.8 2.21 566.0 2.4 .43 450. 2.44 18.8 16.1 2021 1120.7 20.4 1.85 562.4 -3.7 -.65 466. 2.40 18.6 18.2 2026 1135.9 15.2 1.36 559.8 -2.6 -.46 478. 2.38 18.0 20.5 2031 1146.0 10.1 .89 558.8 -.9 -.17 488. 2.35 17.3 22.3 2036 1151.7 5.7 .49 559.9 1.0 .18 495. 2.33 16.8 22.7 2041 1153.0 1.3 .11 556.7 -3.2 -.57 499. 2.31 16.7 23.1 2046 1150.1 -2.9 -.25 547.9 -8.8 -1.57 500. 2.30 16.8 23.9


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.3 .8 -.1 .4 16.7 28.4 -9.9 15.7 7.9 1996 1.7 1.0 .4 .5 17.4 19.6 -.6 13.3 8.3 2001 1.8 .9 .0 .0 18.0 20.2 -1.2 12.7 8.7 2006 2.0 .9 .0 .0 18.6 19.6 .1 13.1 9.2 2011 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.1 13.5 9.5 2016 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 13.4 9.8 2021 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.8 10.2 2026 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.3 10.7 2031 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.1 11.4 2036 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.2 12.4 2041 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.3 13.3 2046 2.0 1.0 .0 .0 19.1 19.1 1.0 12.1 13.9


94

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.04 15.6 7.9 7.7 75.3 81.7 16.5 20.9 67.3 44.2 1996 1.89 13.0 8.2 4.8 76.0 82.1 16.8 21.2 65.6 44.6 2001 1.84 12.3 8.5 3.9 76.7 82.5 17.0 21.5 66.8 45.2 2006 1.84 12.5 8.8 3.7 77.2 82.8 17.2 21.7 67.0 45.6 2011 1.84 12.5 8.9 3.6 77.7 83.2 17.4 22.0 67.0 46.1 2016 1.84 12.2 8.9 3.2 78.2 83.5 17.6 22.2 65.9 46.0 2021 1.84 11.5 9.1 2.4 78.6 83.9 17.8 22.5 64.2 45.8 2026 1.84 10.8 9.4 1.4 79.0 84.2 18.0 22.8 62.7 45.8 2031 1.84 10.6 10.0 .6 79.3 84.5 18.1 23.0 61.5 45.7 2036 1.84 10.6 10.8 -.2 79.6 84.9 18.3 23.3 61.0 45.6 2041 1.84 10.6 11.6 -.9 79.9 85.2 18.4 23.6 60.5 45.5 2046 1.84 10.5 12.1 -1.6 80.1 85.6 18.5 23.8 59.8 45.4


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 32.5 31.9 33.2 37.8 73.9 35.9 36.3 35.5 7.3 1996 34.2 33.4 35.0 39.2 74.6 37.5 37.7 37.3 6.6 2001 36.0 34.9 37.0 40.6 75.3 39.0 39.0 38.9 5.6 2006 37.0 35.8 38.2 41.9 75.7 39.9 39.8 39.9 5.6 2011 37.7 36.5 38.9 42.1 75.5 39.9 39.8 39.9 5.6 2016 38.6 37.5 39.7 41.9 74.3 39.9 39.9 39.8 5.6 2021 39.8 38.7 40.9 42.2 73.5 40.2 40.3 40.1 5.6 2026 41.1 40.0 42.2 42.4 73.6 40.6 40.7 40.5 5.6 2031 42.2 41.1 43.5 42.7 74.5 40.9 41.0 40.8 5.6 2036 43.3 41.9 44.6 43.3 75.9 41.2 41.3 41.1 5.6 2041 43.7 42.0 45.3 43.4 76.8 41.1 41.2 40.9 5.6 2046 43.7 41.9 45.5 43.0 76.3 40.8 40.9 40.7 5.6


95


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 1003. 79. 160. 74. 67. 303. 92. 86. 78. 63. 1996 1020. 73. 160. 79. 69. 298. 110. 83. 77. 71. 2001 1035. 65. 153. 79. 77. 288. 135. 87. 74. 78. 2006 1053. 66. 140. 77. 76. 281. 153. 105. 72. 82. 2011 1076. 68. 134. 73. 76. 282. 155. 129. 77. 83. 2016 1100. 69. 139. 66. 71. 294. 138. 147. 93. 84. 2021 1121. 67. 142. 67. 64. 299. 130. 148. 116. 88. 2026 1136. 64. 140. 70. 66. 288. 142. 133. 132. 102. 2031 1146. 62. 136. 70. 68. 278. 151. 125. 133. 122. 2036 1152. 62. 131. 69. 69. 271. 152. 137. 119. 142. 2041 1153. 63. 130. 66. 67. 269. 147. 146. 113. 153. 2046 1150. 62. 130. 64. 64. 272. 136. 147. 124. 151.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.2 48.9 48.7 49.1 49.2 49.3 49.8 50.2 53.4 59.0 1996 50.3 48.8 48.8 48.5 48.7 49.4 49.5 50.4 52.6 60.3 2001 50.4 48.7 49.0 48.4 48.6 49.6 49.2 50.7 52.2 61.0 2006 50.5 48.7 49.0 48.7 48.6 49.6 49.5 50.2 52.4 61.2 2011 50.5 48.7 48.9 48.7 48.8 49.5 50.0 49.8 52.5 61.2 2016 50.5 48.7 48.9 48.6 48.8 49.5 50.0 50.0 51.8 61.4 2021 50.5 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.7 49.5 49.9 50.5 51.3 61.0 2026 50.6 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.7 49.6 49.7 50.5 51.5 59.9 2031 50.7 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.7 49.6 49.6 50.3 51.9 59.1 2036 50.8 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.6 49.6 49.7 50.1 51.9 59.2 2041 51.0 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.6 49.5 49.8 49.9 51.5 60.0 2046 51.1 48.7 48.8 48.5 48.6 49.5 49.8 50.0 51.3 61.2

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96

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.9 16.0 7.4 6.7 30.2 9.2 8.6 7.8 6.3 1996 100.0 7.1 15.7 7.8 6.8 29.2 10.8 8.1 7.5 6.9 2001 100.0 6.2 14.7 7.6 7.4 27.8 13.1 8.4 7.2 7.5 2006 100.0 6.2 13.3 7.3 7.2 26.7 14.6 9.9 6.9 7.8 2011 100.0 6.3 12.5 6.7 7.0 26.2 14.4 12.0 7.1 7.7 2016 100.0 6.2 12.6 6.0 6.5 26.7 12.6 13.4 8.5 7.6 2021 100.0 6.0 12.6 6.0 5.7 26.6 11.6 13.2 10.3 7.8 2026 100.0 5.6 12.4 6.1 5.8 25.3 12.5 11.7 11.6 8.9 2031 100.0 5.4 11.8 6.1 6.0 24.2 13.2 10.9 11.6 10.6 2036 100.0 5.4 11.4 6.0 6.0 23.5 13.2 11.9 10.4 12.3 2041 100.0 5.5 11.2 5.7 5.8 23.3 12.8 12.6 9.8 13.3 2046 100.0 5.4 11.3 5.6 5.6 23.6 11.8 12.8 10.8 13.1

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PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 1.7 -8.2 -.2 7.1 3.2 -1.6 19.1 -3.8 -1.2 12.2 2001 1.6 -10.9 -4.6 -.9 10.2 -3.3 23.2 5.1 -3.3 10.3 2006 1.7 1.6 -8.4 -1.8 -.3 -2.4 13.4 20.5 -2.7 5.2 2011 2.2 3.7 -3.9 -6.2 -.8 .1 .9 23.7 6.2 1.2 2016 2.2 .8 3.2 -9.6 -6.0 4.5 -10.7 13.7 21.4 .4 2021 1.9 -2.7 2.3 2.6 -9.8 1.5 -6.0 1.0 24.0 5.2 2026 1.4 -4.4 -.9 3.8 2.6 -3.6 9.2 -10.6 13.9 15.6 2031 .9 -2.7 -3.4 .8 3.9 -3.5 6.5 -5.7 1.1 20.0 2036 .5 .3 -3.4 -2.6 .8 -2.6 .5 9.3 -10.4 16.4 2041 .1 .9 -1.2 -4.2 -2.6 -.8 -3.1 6.5 -5.1 7.7 2046 -.3 -.8 .6 -2.6 -4.3 1.1 -7.6 .6 9.6 -1.4


97

participation rates)

PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 494. 40. 51. 136. 123. 76. 50. 17. 1996 497. 40. 51. 116. 137. 90. 46. 16.

2006 546. 39. 56. 117. 123. 132. 63. 15. 2011 564. 37. 56. 126. 117. 135. 79. 15.

2021 562. 34. 47. 122. 136. 113. 90. 20. 2026 560. 35. 49. 113. 136. 124. 81. 23.

2036 560. 35. 51. 112. 122. 132. 83. 25. 2041 557. 33. 50. 114. 117. 128. 89. 25.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 44.2 46.4 46.3 45.5 45.4 45.4 39.0 24.1 1996 44.6 45.4 45.4 45.6 46.1 45.7 41.8 23.2

2006 45.6 45.0 45.2 46.0 47.8 47.8 42.7 21.9 2011 46.1 45.0 45.8 46.4 48.3 49.0 42.7 22.3

2021 45.8 44.9 45.7 46.7 48.1 48.9 43.4 21.3 2026 45.8 44.9 45.7 46.7 48.1 48.7 43.4 21.0

2036 45.6 44.8 45.6 46.6 48.3 48.7 43.0 21.5 2041 45.5 44.8 45.6 46.5 48.2 48.8 42.8 21.9

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98

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 8.2 10.3 27.6 24.9 15.5 10.0 3.5 1996 100.0 8.1 10.3 23.3 27.5 18.2 9.3 3.3 2001 100.0 7.6 10.7 20.6 26.2 21.9 9.9 3.0 2006 100.0 7.1 10.3 21.5 22.6 24.2 11.6 2.8 2011 100.0 6.5 9.9 22.3 20.7 23.9 14.0 2.7 2016 100.0 5.8 9.3 22.3 22.5 21.3 15.8 3.0 2021 100.0 6.0 8.4 21.7 24.1 20.1 16.0 3.5 2026 100.0 6.3 8.7 20.1 24.3 22.1 14.4 4.1 2031 100.0 6.4 9.0 19.4 23.6 23.6 13.6 4.4 2036 100.0 6.2 9.1 20.0 21.8 23.6 14.9 4.5 2041 100.0 5.9 8.9 20.6 21.0 23.0 15.9 4.6 2046 100.0 5.9 8.6 20.7 22.1 21.6 16.3 4.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 .6 -.9 .8 -15.1 11.3 18.3 -6.4 -6.9 2001 5.8 -1.0 9.6 -6.2 .8 27.4 12.4 -1.8 2006 4.0 -1.8 -.2 8.2 -10.4 14.8 21.3 -4.1 2011 3.1 -6.2 -.7 7.2 -5.4 2.2 24.5 -1.1 2016 .4 -9.6 -6.0 .4 9.2 -10.7 13.6 11.6 2021 -.6 2.6 -9.8 -3.2 6.5 -6.0 .9 16.4 2026 -.5 3.8 2.6 -7.8 .4 9.2 -10.6 15.2 2031 -.2 .8 3.9 -3.9 -3.2 6.5 -5.6 9.1 2036 .2 -2.6 .8 3.3 -7.7 .5 9.4 1.7 2041 -.6 -4.2 -2.6 2.3 -3.8 -3.1 6.6 1.0 2046 -1.6 -2.6 -4.3 -.9 3.2 -7.6 .5 2.8


99

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 75.8 59.7 84.1 94.2 95.5 91.9 72.3 22.8 1996 73.5 55.7 82.6 91.2 95.3 90.4 67.3 20.7 2001 74.2 56.2 82.9 91.8 94.7 91.1 70.9 20.3 2006 73.9 56.2 82.3 91.5 94.5 91.0 70.9 19.3 2011 73.3 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2016 72.3 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2021 70.6 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2026 69.0 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2031 68.0 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2036 67.7 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2041 67.5 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3 2046 67.0 56.2 81.8 91.3 94.3 90.9 70.9 18.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE SASKATCHEWAN FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 58.9 53.9 74.1 79.4 83.0 76.8 45.9 5.9 1996 58.0 49.4 71.8 77.3 83.9 77.1 47.7 5.0 2001 59.6 48.7 70.6 78.8 85.2 82.2 52.1 4.4 2006 60.4 48.7 71.3 79.4 87.0 84.6 52.8 4.2 2011 60.9 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2016 59.7 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2021 58.0 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2026 56.5 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2031 55.3 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2036 54.5 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2041 53.9 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1 2046 53.0 48.7 71.9 80.9 88.9 86.9 53.5 4.1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

100

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.83 .57 .14 .15 .28 .26 .14 .09 .03 1996 1.82 .56 .13 .14 .29 .26 .14 .09 .03 2001 1.76 .50 .11 .13 .27 .26 .13 .09 .04 2006 1.71 .46 .11 .11 .25 .25 .12 .09 .04 2011 1.68 .43 .11 .11 .22 .25 .12 .09 .04 2016 1.69 .42 .11 .11 .21 .27 .14 .08 .05 2021 1.75 .43 .10 .11 .22 .32 .18 .09 .05 2026 1.81 .44 .10 .11 .22 .37 .21 .11 .05 2031 1.84 .43 .10 .11 .23 .41 .21 .14 .05 2036 1.83 .42 .10 .10 .22 .42 .19 .16 .06 2041 1.83 .41 .10 .10 .21 .42 .18 .16 .08 2046 1.86 .42 .10 .11 .21 .44 .20 .15 .09

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS SASKATCHEWAN ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 2.03 .63 .16 .17 .31 .29 .16 .10 .03 1996 2.05 .63 .15 .16 .32 .30 .16 .11 .04 2001 1.97 .56 .12 .14 .30 .29 .14 .11 .04 2006 1.93 .52 .12 .12 .28 .28 .13 .10 .05 2011 1.91 .49 .12 .12 .25 .28 .14 .10 .05 2016 1.94 .48 .12 .12 .24 .31 .16 .09 .05 2021 1.99 .49 .12 .13 .25 .36 .21 .10 .05 2026 2.03 .49 .11 .12 .25 .42 .24 .13 .05 2031 2.05 .48 .11 .12 .25 .46 .24 .16 .06 2036 2.06 .47 .11 .11 .24 .47 .21 .18 .07 2041 2.07 .46 .11 .12 .23 .48 .20 .18 .09 2046 2.10 .47 .11 .12 .24 .50 .23 .17 .11

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

101

ADDITIONAL RESULTS, ALBERTA

Summary Tables


YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2592.6 161.7 6.65 1406.7 78.7 5.93 927. 2.80 23.6 9.0

2001 3054.1 273.5 9.84 1710.2 187.4 12.30 1139. 2.68 20.5 10.3 2006 3247.9 193.8 6.35 1848.1 137.9 8.06 1245. 2.61 18.7 10.9

2016 3499.1 113.3 3.35 1944.1 14.1 .73 1423. 2.46 17.1 14.1 2021 3593.4 94.3 2.69 1932.3 -11.8 -.61 1496. 2.40 16.7 16.8

2031 3704.4 41.9 1.15 1890.9 -18.6 -.97 1590. 2.33 15.4 22.3 2036 3721.5 17.1 .46 1877.8 -13.1 -.69 1614. 2.31 14.8 23.7

2046 3693.2 -23.6 -.63 1822.8 -32.3 -1.74 1624. 2.27 14.5 25.3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 ALBERTA

---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS

YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS

1991 17.8 7.6 -4.8 3.0 63.4 54.7 17.1 42.5 14.3 1996 14.1 7.9 .8 3.8 57.0 49.4 18.4 38.3 16.0

2006 14.6 7.4 .0 .0 61.8 53.4 15.7 39.4 20.6 2011 14.6 7.7 .0 .0 57.6 57.6 6.9 40.6 23.2

2021 14.6 8.2 .0 .0 57.6 57.6 6.4 39.4 28.8 2026 14.6 8.4 .0 .0 57.6 57.6 6.2 37.6 32.1

2036 14.6 8.6 .0 .0 57.6 57.6 6.1 36.1 40.5 2041 14.6 8.6 .0 .0 57.6 57.6 6.1 36.1 44.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: NPR is non-permanent residents. All numbers of persons are in

102

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.90 16.6 5.6 11.0 75.1 81.0 16.3 20.2 72.7 44.3 1996 1.74 13.9 5.8 8.1 75.9 81.4 16.7 20.5 72.4 44.7 2001 1.68 12.5 6.0 6.5 76.6 81.7 17.0 20.6 72.2 45.1 2006 1.68 12.2 6.4 5.8 77.2 82.0 17.3 20.8 71.7 45.5 2011 1.68 12.0 6.9 5.2 77.8 82.3 17.6 21.0 70.8 45.8 2016 1.68 11.7 7.4 4.2 78.4 82.6 17.9 21.2 68.8 45.5 2021 1.68 11.0 8.0 3.0 78.9 82.8 18.1 21.4 66.4 45.3 2026 1.68 10.3 8.8 1.5 79.3 83.1 18.4 21.5 64.1 45.2 2031 1.68 9.8 9.8 .1 79.7 83.4 18.6 21.7 62.4 45.1 2036 1.68 9.7 10.9 -1.2 80.1 83.6 18.8 21.9 61.3 45.0 2041 1.68 9.7 12.0 -2.3 80.4 83.9 19.0 22.1 60.5 44.9 2046 1.68 9.7 12.9 -3.3 80.7 84.1 19.2 22.2 59.8 44.8


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 31.1 30.9 31.5 36.6 72.9 35.0 35.3 34.6 8.3 1996 33.3 32.8 33.7 38.5 73.3 36.9 37.2 36.6 7.0 2001 34.7 34.1 35.3 39.9 73.7 38.2 38.4 37.9 5.3 2006 36.1 35.5 36.8 41.2 74.2 39.0 39.3 38.7 5.3 2011 37.7 37.0 38.4 41.9 73.9 39.6 39.9 39.2 5.3 2016 39.2 38.5 39.9 42.3 73.0 39.9 40.3 39.4 5.3 2021 40.6 39.9 41.3 42.6 72.9 40.1 40.6 39.6 5.3 2026 42.1 41.3 42.9 42.7 73.0 40.4 40.8 39.9 5.3 2031 43.5 42.5 44.4 43.0 74.0 40.7 41.1 40.2 5.3 2036 44.6 43.6 45.7 43.4 75.3 40.9 41.3 40.4 5.3 2041 45.4 44.3 46.5 43.4 76.2 40.8 41.3 40.2 5.3 2046 45.6 44.4 46.9 43.2 76.3 40.6 41.1 40.0 5.3


103



YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

- THOUSANDS -

1991 2593. 212. 399. 182. 201. 923. 252. 191. 139. 94.

2001 3054. 191. 436. 228. 225. 991. 423. 245. 176. 138. 2006 3248. 195. 413. 235. 245. 984. 502. 320. 191. 164.

2016 3499. 202. 395. 205. 233. 996. 496. 480. 288. 205. 2021 3593. 198. 401. 203. 214. 998. 472. 505. 365. 238.

2031 3704. 182. 387. 208. 215. 938. 494. 452. 455. 372. 2036 3721. 179. 371. 204. 217. 907. 502. 459. 429. 453.

2046 3693. 178. 357. 188. 205. 891. 457. 484. 418. 515.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+


1991 49.6 48.7 48.6 48.8 49.5 48.9 48.9 49.2 53.8 60.2

2001 49.7 48.6 48.6 49.1 48.7 49.1 48.9 49.8 51.7 60.8 2006 49.7 48.6 48.5 49.0 49.3 49.0 49.0 49.6 51.9 59.7

2016 49.8 48.6 48.5 48.8 49.0 49.0 49.6 49.4 51.5 58.6 2021 49.8 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.9 49.0 49.2 49.9 51.0 58.0

2031 50.0 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.9 48.9 49.2 49.4 51.3 56.5 2036 50.1 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.9 48.9 49.4 49.2 51.3 56.3

2046 50.2 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.9 48.8 49.1 49.5 50.5 56.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

104

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION ALBERTA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 8.2 15.4 7.0 7.7 35.6 9.7 7.4 5.4 3.6 1996 100.0 7.2 15.3 7.1 7.1 34.3 11.8 7.5 5.7 4.0 2001 100.0 6.3 14.3 7.5 7.4 32.5 13.8 8.0 5.8 4.5 2006 100.0 6.0 12.7 7.2 7.5 30.3 15.5 9.8 5.9 5.0 2011 100.0 5.9 11.6 6.6 7.3 29.0 15.6 12.0 6.6 5.5 2016 100.0 5.8 11.3 5.9 6.7 28.5 14.2 13.7 8.2 5.9 2021 100.0 5.5 11.2 5.6 5.9 27.8 13.1 14.1 10.2 6.6 2026 100.0 5.2 10.9 5.6 5.8 26.6 13.0 13.0 11.8 8.1 2031 100.0 4.9 10.4 5.6 5.8 25.3 13.3 12.2 12.3 10.0 2036 100.0 4.8 10.0 5.5 5.8 24.4 13.5 12.3 11.5 12.2 2041 100.0 4.8 9.7 5.3 5.7 24.0 13.1 12.8 11.1 13.5 2046 100.0 4.8 9.7 5.1 5.6 24.1 12.4 13.1 11.3 13.9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION ALBERTA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 7.3 -5.7 6.8 9.1 -1.6 3.3 30.0 8.4 14.5 19.4 2001 9.8 -4.4 2.3 15.3 13.8 4.0 29.3 18.4 10.9 23.0 2006 6.3 1.8 -5.2 3.0 9.1 -.7 18.7 30.3 8.1 18.4 2011 4.2 2.5 -4.8 -4.6 .1 -.3 5.3 27.2 16.6 12.9 2016 3.3 1.2 .4 -8.7 -5.0 1.5 -6.1 18.1 29.4 10.9 2021 2.7 -1.8 1.5 -1.1 -8.4 .3 -4.9 5.2 27.1 16.0 2026 1.9 -4.3 -.4 1.7 -1.0 -2.4 1.3 -6.0 18.3 24.8 2031 1.1 -4.1 -3.1 1.1 1.7 -3.7 3.5 -4.7 5.3 25.4 2036 .5 -1.7 -4.2 -1.8 1.0 -3.3 1.6 1.5 -5.8 21.6 2041 -.1 .0 -2.9 -4.1 -1.7 -1.8 -2.8 3.7 -4.3 11.0 2046 -.6 -.5 -.9 -3.9 -3.9 .0 -6.4 1.7 1.8 2.5




YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

- THOUSANDS -

1991 1407. 106. 163. 427. 369. 211. 107. 23.

2001 1710. 129. 179. 395. 474. 363. 145. 26. 2006 1848. 133. 195. 412. 454. 436. 190. 29.

2016 1944. 116. 186. 440. 442. 436. 286. 38. 2021 1932. 115. 170. 428. 457. 414. 301. 47.

2031 1891. 118. 171. 382. 451. 434. 270. 65. 2036 1878. 116. 173. 383. 423. 441. 274. 69.

2046 1823. 106. 163. 386. 404. 402. 289. 73.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------


YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+


1991 44.3 46.8 46.6 44.6 45.3 43.4 38.5 27.1

2001 45.1 48.0 47.1 44.6 46.6 45.5 39.4 23.7 2006 45.5 47.9 48.1 44.7 47.2 46.4 39.5 24.1

2016 45.5 47.7 48.2 45.7 47.3 47.6 39.6 23.3 2021 45.3 47.7 48.1 45.6 47.5 47.2 40.1 22.9

2031 45.1 47.7 48.1 45.4 47.5 47.3 39.6 22.8 2036 45.0 47.7 48.1 45.4 47.4 47.4 39.4 22.9

2046 44.8 47.7 48.1 45.4 47.4 47.1 39.7 23.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

106

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ALBERTA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.6 11.6 30.3 26.2 15.0 7.6 1.7 1996 100.0 7.2 10.4 25.9 28.5 18.4 7.6 1.8 2001 100.0 7.5 10.4 23.1 27.7 21.2 8.5 1.5 2006 100.0 7.2 10.6 22.3 24.5 23.6 10.3 1.5 2011 100.0 6.6 10.1 22.4 22.6 24.0 12.6 1.6 2016 100.0 6.0 9.6 22.6 22.7 22.4 14.7 2.0 2021 100.0 5.9 8.8 22.2 23.7 21.4 15.6 2.4 2026 100.0 6.1 8.8 21.0 24.3 22.0 14.8 3.0 2031 100.0 6.2 9.1 20.2 23.9 23.0 14.3 3.4 2036 100.0 6.2 9.2 20.4 22.5 23.5 14.6 3.7 2041 100.0 6.0 9.2 20.9 21.7 23.1 15.3 3.8 2046 100.0 5.8 9.0 21.2 22.2 22.0 15.8 4.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ALBERTA BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 8.3 3.1 -2.2 -7.5 17.8 32.9 8.0 19.7 2001 12.3 17.8 12.3 -.1 9.1 29.1 24.6 -5.6 2006 8.1 3.0 9.2 4.5 -4.3 20.2 31.0 7.8 2011 4.4 -4.6 .2 5.0 -3.8 6.5 28.0 9.3 2016 .7 -8.7 -5.0 1.7 1.3 -6.1 18.1 22.1 2021 -.6 -1.1 -8.4 -2.8 3.5 -4.9 5.0 23.5 2026 -1.2 1.7 -1.0 -6.5 1.6 1.3 -6.0 21.3 2031 -1.0 1.1 1.7 -4.7 -2.8 3.5 -4.5 13.2 2036 -.7 -1.8 1.0 .3 -6.4 1.6 1.5 6.3 2041 -1.2 -4.1 -1.7 1.3 -4.7 -2.8 3.6 3.4 2046 -1.7 -3.9 -3.9 -.3 .3 -6.4 1.7 2.2


107

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ALBERTA MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 80.7 61.7 87.1 94.5 94.9 93.9 69.0 18.1 1996 79.8 59.1 84.4 94.9 95.7 93.0 68.5 18.3 2001 79.0 58.7 83.4 94.8 95.4 92.2 72.2 15.6 2006 78.0 58.7 82.8 94.5 95.2 92.1 72.2 14.8 2011 76.7 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2016 74.9 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2021 72.6 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2026 70.2 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2031 68.5 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2036 67.6 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2041 66.9 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0 2046 66.4 58.7 82.3 94.3 95.0 92.0 72.2 14.0

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE ALBERTA FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 64.6 57.3 77.6 78.1 82.4 75.2 44.4 5.4 1996 64.9 53.3 79.2 79.9 82.1 80.1 44.7 5.7 2001 65.3 56.3 78.1 79.7 85.0 80.6 47.1 4.0 2006 65.4 56.3 78.8 80.3 86.8 83.0 47.7 3.9 2011 65.0 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2016 62.7 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2021 60.3 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2026 58.0 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2031 56.2 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2036 55.1 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2041 54.1 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7 2046 53.4 56.3 79.5 81.8 88.7 85.2 48.3 3.7

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

108

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.65 .51 .14 .13 .24 .15 .09 .05 .01 1996 1.65 .49 .12 .13 .24 .16 .09 .05 .02 2001 1.62 .45 .10 .11 .24 .17 .09 .06 .02 2006 1.58 .41 .09 .10 .22 .17 .09 .06 .02 2011 1.57 .38 .09 .09 .20 .19 .10 .06 .02 2016 1.59 .36 .09 .09 .18 .22 .13 .07 .03 2021 1.64 .37 .09 .09 .18 .28 .17 .08 .03 2026 1.71 .37 .09 .09 .19 .34 .20 .10 .04 2031 1.76 .37 .09 .09 .19 .39 .22 .13 .04 2036 1.78 .36 .09 .09 .19 .42 .21 .16 .06 2041 1.80 .36 .09 .09 .18 .44 .20 .17 .07 2046 1.81 .35 .09 .09 .18 .46 .21 .16 .09

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS ALBERTA ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.84 .56 .15 .15 .26 .17 .10 .05 .02 1996 1.83 .54 .13 .14 .27 .18 .10 .06 .02 2001 1.79 .50 .11 .12 .26 .18 .10 .06 .02 2006 1.76 .46 .11 .11 .24 .19 .10 .07 .02 2011 1.75 .42 .10 .10 .22 .21 .12 .07 .03 2016 1.80 .41 .10 .10 .21 .25 .15 .07 .03 2021 1.86 .41 .10 .10 .21 .31 .19 .09 .03 2026 1.92 .42 .10 .10 .21 .38 .23 .12 .04 2031 1.96 .41 .10 .10 .22 .44 .24 .15 .05 2036 1.98 .40 .10 .10 .21 .47 .23 .18 .06 2041 2.00 .40 .10 .10 .20 .49 .22 .19 .08 2046 2.03 .40 .10 .10 .20 .51 .23 .18 .10

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

109

15. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, BRITISH COLUMBIA

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 3373.4 369.3 12.29 1763.9 208.9 13.43 1280. 2.64 20.1 12.7 1996 3882.0 508.6 15.08 2000.9 236.9 13.43 1487. 2.61 19.4 12.5 2001 4126.3 244.3 6.29 2139.9 139.1 6.95 1628. 2.53 17.9 12.9 2006 4395.0 268.7 6.51 2299.5 159.6 7.46 1774. 2.48 16.6 13.4 2011 4652.0 257.0 5.85 2434.7 135.1 5.88 1919. 2.42 15.5 14.4 2016 4895.7 243.7 5.24 2499.0 64.3 2.64 2061. 2.38 15.0 16.6 2021 5124.1 228.4 4.67 2538.4 39.4 1.58 2195. 2.33 14.7 18.9 2026 5327.8 203.6 3.97 2564.8 26.4 1.04 2312. 2.30 14.3 21.3 2031 5498.3 170.6 3.20 2590.4 25.6 1.00 2411. 2.28 13.9 23.4 2036 5634.0 135.6 2.47 2618.5 28.1 1.09 2490. 2.26 13.5 24.7 2041 5738.8 104.8 1.86 2643.1 24.6 .94 2550. 2.25 13.2 25.5 2046 5819.5 80.7 1.41 2657.6 14.4 .55 2596. 2.24 13.1 26.1


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 30.2 6.2 -3.3 2.7 73.8 39.7 57.5 45.1 23.7 1996 47.7 7.2 5.4 3.5 66.9 44.9 71.5 46.3 27.2 2001 43.9 7.3 -2.0 .0 58.0 53.3 39.3 43.7 29.6 2006 48.1 7.8 .0 .0 56.7 54.6 42.5 44.5 32.8 2011 48.1 8.3 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 39.9 46.2 36.0 2016 48.1 8.7 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 39.4 47.6 39.3 2021 48.1 9.1 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 39.0 48.1 43.1 2026 48.1 9.5 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 38.6 47.6 48.0 2031 48.1 9.8 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 38.3 47.1 54.1 2036 48.1 10.1 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 38.1 47.2 60.8 2041 48.1 10.3 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 37.9 47.8 66.9 2046 48.1 10.4 .0 .0 55.6 55.6 37.7 48.4 71.5


110

TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.69 13.5 7.1 6.4 75.2 81.3 16.6 20.2 67.2 44.3 1996 1.55 12.1 7.1 5.0 76.1 81.8 17.0 20.5 65.7 45.1 2001 1.49 10.7 7.2 3.4 76.9 82.1 17.4 20.7 64.9 46.1 2006 1.49 10.2 7.5 2.7 77.7 82.5 17.7 20.9 64.4 46.6 2011 1.49 10.0 7.8 2.2 78.3 82.9 18.1 21.2 63.7 47.1 2016 1.49 9.8 8.1 1.7 78.9 83.2 18.4 21.4 61.8 47.1 2021 1.49 9.4 8.4 1.0 79.5 83.6 18.7 21.6 59.9 47.1 2026 1.49 9.0 9.0 -.1 80.0 83.9 18.9 21.8 58.0 47.1 2031 1.49 8.6 9.9 -1.3 80.4 84.3 19.2 22.1 56.6 47.2 2036 1.49 8.4 10.8 -2.4 80.8 84.6 19.4 22.3 55.6 47.2 2041 1.49 8.3 11.7 -3.3 81.1 84.9 19.6 22.6 55.0 47.1 2046 1.49 8.3 12.3 -4.0 81.4 85.3 19.7 22.8 54.5 47.1


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 34.4 33.8 35.1 38.4 73.0 36.2 36.7 35.5 10.0 1996 35.6 34.9 36.4 39.4 73.6 37.7 38.0 37.3 8.9 2001 37.7 37.1 38.4 41.0 74.2 39.1 39.3 38.9 7.6 2006 39.4 38.7 40.1 42.3 74.3 40.1 40.4 39.9 7.6 2011 40.8 40.2 41.5 43.1 73.7 40.7 40.9 40.4 7.6 2016 42.1 41.4 42.8 43.4 72.9 40.8 41.0 40.5 7.6 2021 43.2 42.4 43.9 43.5 73.0 40.8 41.1 40.6 7.6 2026 44.2 43.4 45.0 43.5 73.5 41.0 41.2 40.7 7.6 2031 45.3 44.4 46.1 43.7 74.2 41.2 41.4 41.0 7.6 2036 46.2 45.3 47.1 43.9 75.0 41.4 41.6 41.2 7.6 2041 46.9 45.9 47.9 44.1 75.7 41.4 41.6 41.2 7.6 2046 47.3 46.1 48.4 44.1 76.0 41.3 41.5 41.1 7.6


111


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 3373. 228. 448. 217. 238. 1146. 369. 298. 254. 175. 1996 3882. 242. 509. 254. 260. 1292. 506. 331. 278. 209. 2001 4126. 224. 516. 269. 265. 1307. 617. 395. 287. 247. 2006 4395. 225. 502. 278. 285. 1315. 687. 515. 311. 276. 2011 4652. 232. 487. 280. 294. 1330. 735. 624. 372. 299. 2016 4896. 240. 494. 264. 295. 1361. 738. 693. 483. 329. 2021 5124. 244. 508. 264. 279. 1399. 722. 740. 583. 386. 2026 5328. 244. 520. 270. 279. 1410. 726. 744. 648. 488. 2031 5498. 241. 523. 277. 285. 1401. 755. 730. 693. 593. 2036 5634. 240. 520. 282. 292. 1391. 781. 735. 699. 695. 2041 5739. 242. 515. 281. 296. 1387. 789. 764. 688. 775. 2046 5819. 246. 517. 278. 296. 1404. 773. 790. 696. 821.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.1 49.0 48.7 48.9 49.0 49.5 48.9 49.3 54.4 60.2 1996 50.2 48.6 48.7 48.4 49.3 49.6 49.7 49.8 52.9 60.9 2001 50.3 48.7 48.8 48.3 49.1 49.8 50.1 50.1 51.1 60.8 2006 50.4 48.7 48.8 48.6 49.1 50.0 50.3 50.2 50.9 59.6 2011 50.4 48.7 48.8 48.5 49.3 50.2 50.2 50.4 51.0 58.4 2016 50.5 48.7 48.8 48.5 49.2 50.4 50.3 50.6 50.9 57.5 2021 50.6 48.7 48.8 48.5 49.3 50.4 50.7 50.4 51.1 56.7 2026 50.7 48.7 48.7 48.5 49.3 50.4 51.0 50.5 51.1 56.0 2031 50.8 48.7 48.7 48.5 49.2 50.4 50.9 50.9 50.9 55.9 2036 50.9 48.7 48.7 48.5 49.2 50.4 50.9 51.0 50.9 56.0 2041 51.0 48.7 48.7 48.5 49.2 50.4 50.9 50.9 51.2 56.1 2046 51.1 48.7 48.7 48.5 49.2 50.4 50.9 50.9 51.3 56.5

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112

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.8 13.3 6.4 7.1 34.0 10.9 8.8 7.5 5.2 1996 100.0 6.2 13.1 6.5 6.7 33.3 13.0 8.5 7.2 5.4 2001 100.0 5.4 12.5 6.5 6.4 31.7 14.9 9.6 6.9 6.0 2006 100.0 5.1 11.4 6.3 6.5 29.9 15.6 11.7 7.1 6.3 2011 100.0 5.0 10.5 6.0 6.3 28.6 15.8 13.4 8.0 6.4 2016 100.0 4.9 10.1 5.4 6.0 27.8 15.1 14.2 9.9 6.7 2021 100.0 4.8 9.9 5.2 5.4 27.3 14.1 14.4 11.4 7.5 2026 100.0 4.6 9.8 5.1 5.2 26.5 13.6 14.0 12.2 9.2 2031 100.0 4.4 9.5 5.0 5.2 25.5 13.7 13.3 12.6 10.8 2036 100.0 4.3 9.2 5.0 5.2 24.7 13.9 13.0 12.4 12.3 2041 100.0 4.2 9.0 4.9 5.2 24.2 13.7 13.3 12.0 13.5 2046 100.0 4.2 8.9 4.8 5.1 24.1 13.3 13.6 12.0 14.1

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PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 15.1 6.3 13.6 17.0 9.3 12.7 37.3 11.0 9.6 19.5 2001 6.3 -7.5 1.3 5.8 1.7 1.2 21.9 19.3 3.0 18.2 2006 6.5 .5 -2.7 3.6 7.5 .6 11.4 30.4 8.4 12.0 2011 5.8 2.9 -3.0 .5 3.2 1.1 7.0 21.1 19.7 8.0 2016 5.2 3.4 1.3 -5.6 .3 2.4 .4 11.0 29.8 10.2 2021 4.7 1.9 2.8 .1 -5.4 2.8 -2.2 6.8 20.7 17.4 2026 4.0 -.2 2.4 2.2 .0 .8 .6 .6 11.3 26.4 2031 3.2 -1.2 .7 2.8 2.1 -.6 4.0 -1.9 7.0 21.5 2036 2.5 -.3 -.7 1.5 2.6 -.8 3.4 .7 .9 17.2 2041 1.9 1.0 -.8 -.3 1.4 -.3 1.0 4.0 -1.5 11.5 2046 1.4 1.3 .3 -1.1 -.3 1.2 -2.0 3.4 1.0 6.0


113


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 1764. 130. 189. 497. 479. 303. 144. 22. 1996 2001. 120. 192. 524. 559. 409. 171. 25. 2001 2140. 126. 194. 498. 590. 503. 199. 31. 2006 2300. 130. 209. 503. 597. 567. 261. 32. 2011 2435. 131. 216. 533. 588. 614. 317. 36. 2016 2499. 123. 216. 556. 591. 617. 352. 43. 2021 2538. 124. 205. 563. 616. 603. 376. 52. 2026 2565. 126. 205. 550. 638. 606. 378. 61. 2031 2590. 130. 209. 537. 645. 631. 370. 69. 2036 2619. 132. 215. 541. 632. 652. 373. 75. 2041 2643. 131. 218. 552. 618. 659. 388. 78. 2046 2658. 130. 217. 561. 622. 646. 401. 81.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 44.3 48.5 47.5 45.3 45.0 43.0 35.1 30.4 1996 45.1 49.6 47.4 45.2 46.1 44.3 39.8 29.5 2001 46.1 49.1 47.5 46.2 46.3 46.8 41.8 33.5 2006 46.6 49.4 47.9 46.7 47.0 47.8 42.1 33.6 2011 47.1 49.3 48.5 47.2 48.1 48.4 42.7 33.4 2016 47.1 49.4 48.4 47.3 48.3 48.4 42.9 32.8 2021 47.1 49.3 48.5 47.3 48.2 48.9 42.7 32.6 2026 47.1 49.3 48.4 47.3 48.3 49.1 42.8 32.5 2031 47.2 49.3 48.4 47.3 48.3 49.0 43.1 32.5 2036 47.2 49.3 48.4 47.3 48.3 49.1 43.3 32.7 2041 47.1 49.3 48.4 47.2 48.3 49.1 43.2 33.0 2046 47.1 49.3 48.3 47.2 48.3 49.1 43.2 33.3

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114

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.4 10.7 28.1 27.2 17.2 8.2 1.2 1996 100.0 6.0 9.6 26.2 27.9 20.4 8.5 1.3 2001 100.0 5.9 9.1 23.3 27.5 23.5 9.3 1.4 2006 100.0 5.7 9.1 21.9 26.0 24.7 11.3 1.4 2011 100.0 5.4 8.9 21.9 24.1 25.2 13.0 1.5 2016 100.0 4.9 8.7 22.2 23.7 24.7 14.1 1.7 2021 100.0 4.9 8.1 22.2 24.3 23.7 14.8 2.0 2026 100.0 4.9 8.0 21.4 24.9 23.6 14.7 2.4 2031 100.0 5.0 8.1 20.7 24.9 24.3 14.3 2.7 2036 100.0 5.0 8.2 20.7 24.1 24.9 14.2 2.9 2041 100.0 5.0 8.2 20.9 23.4 24.9 14.7 3.0 2046 100.0 4.9 8.2 21.1 23.4 24.3 15.1 3.0

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PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 13.4 -7.3 1.4 5.6 16.6 35.1 18.4 16.0 2001 7.0 4.4 1.1 -4.9 5.4 22.9 16.6 20.7 2006 7.5 3.6 7.6 .9 1.3 12.9 31.0 5.6 2011 5.9 .4 3.2 6.0 -1.5 8.3 21.7 10.3 2016 2.6 -5.6 .3 4.2 .6 .4 11.0 21.7 2021 1.6 .1 -5.4 1.3 4.2 -2.3 6.8 19.6 2026 1.0 2.2 .0 -2.3 3.6 .6 .5 17.4 2031 1.0 2.8 2.1 -2.5 1.1 4.0 -2.1 13.2 2036 1.1 1.5 2.6 .9 -2.1 3.4 .7 8.2 2041 .9 -.3 1.4 2.0 -2.2 1.0 4.0 4.7 2046 .5 -1.1 -.3 1.7 .7 -2.0 3.4 3.4


115

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 75.5 61.5 83.8 94.0 95.6 92.7 63.2 8.7 1996 72.8 47.2 78.2 92.2 92.8 90.7 63.2 8.9 2001 70.8 46.9 77.4 91.1 91.3 88.0 60.0 9.1 2006 69.7 46.9 76.9 90.8 91.1 87.9 60.0 8.6 2011 68.2 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2016 66.3 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2021 64.3 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2026 62.4 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2031 60.9 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2036 60.0 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2041 59.5 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2 2046 59.1 46.9 76.4 90.6 90.9 87.8 60.0 8.2

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PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE B.C. FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 59.1 60.5 78.0 78.5 79.2 73.2 35.1 3.0 1996 58.7 49.5 72.0 77.7 79.2 72.9 42.0 3.0 2001 59.2 48.5 71.9 78.2 78.7 77.1 42.9 3.8 2006 59.3 48.5 72.6 78.8 80.4 79.4 43.4 3.7 2011 59.2 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2016 57.5 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2021 55.6 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2026 53.8 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2031 52.4 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2036 51.4 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2041 50.6 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6 2046 50.0 48.5 73.2 80.3 82.1 81.5 44.0 3.6

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116

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.64 .44 .11 .11 .21 .21 .12 .07 .02 1996 1.62 .42 .10 .11 .21 .20 .12 .07 .02 2001 1.60 .39 .09 .10 .21 .21 .11 .07 .02 2006 1.57 .36 .08 .08 .19 .21 .11 .07 .03 2011 1.56 .33 .08 .08 .18 .22 .12 .07 .03 2016 1.59 .32 .08 .08 .17 .26 .16 .07 .03 2021 1.63 .32 .08 .08 .17 .31 .19 .09 .03 2026 1.69 .33 .08 .08 .17 .36 .21 .12 .04 2031 1.73 .33 .08 .08 .17 .41 .22 .14 .05 2036 1.76 .33 .08 .08 .17 .44 .22 .16 .06 2041 1.77 .32 .07 .08 .17 .45 .21 .17 .07 2046 1.78 .32 .08 .08 .17 .47 .21 .17 .09

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PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS B.C. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.91 .51 .13 .13 .25 .24 .14 .08 .02 1996 1.94 .50 .12 .13 .26 .24 .14 .08 .02 2001 1.93 .47 .10 .12 .25 .25 .13 .09 .03 2006 1.91 .44 .10 .10 .24 .26 .14 .09 .03 2011 1.91 .41 .10 .10 .22 .28 .15 .09 .04 2016 1.96 .40 .10 .10 .21 .32 .19 .09 .04 2021 2.02 .40 .10 .10 .21 .38 .23 .11 .04 2026 2.08 .40 .10 .10 .21 .44 .25 .14 .05 2031 2.12 .40 .09 .10 .21 .50 .27 .17 .06 2036 2.15 .40 .09 .10 .21 .53 .27 .19 .07 2041 2.17 .39 .09 .09 .21 .55 .26 .20 .09 2046 2.19 .39 .09 .09 .20 .57 .26 .20 .10

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117

16. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, YUKON TERRITORY

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 28.9 4.4 18.06 16.2 2.2 15.60 10. 2.81 24.3 3.9 1996 31.9 3.0 10.29 17.5 1.3 8.21 12. 2.74 23.5 4.4 2001 30.1 -1.8 -5.73 16.8 -.7 -3.93 11. 2.62 20.1 5.6 2006 30.0 -.1 -.30 16.9 .1 .52 12. 2.54 17.0 7.3 2011 30.6 .6 1.95 17.0 .1 .34 12. 2.45 15.8 9.4 2016 31.3 .7 2.34 16.5 -.5 -2.78 13. 2.38 16.1 12.9 2021 31.8 .5 1.51 15.9 -.6 -3.44 13. 2.36 16.5 16.9 2026 31.9 .1 .32 15.5 -.4 -2.65 14. 2.34 16.1 20.2 2031 31.6 -.2 -.72 15.4 -.1 -.47 14. 2.33 15.1 21.6 2036 31.2 -.4 -1.36 15.5 .0 .13 13. 2.31 14.3 21.5 2041 30.7 -.5 -1.64 15.2 -.2 -1.43 13. 2.30 14.2 20.4 2046 30.2 -.5 -1.72 14.9 -.3 -2.22 13. 2.29 14.5 19.6


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .1 .1 .0 .0 2.3 1.8 .5 .6 .1 1996 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.2 1.6 .6 .4 .1 2001 .0 .1 .0 .0 1.8 2.1 -.3 .4 .1 2006 .0 .1 .0 .0 1.9 2.0 -.2 .4 .2 2011 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .4 .2 2016 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .4 .2 2021 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .4 .3 2026 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .4 .3 2031 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .3 .3 2036 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .3 .4 2041 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .4 .4 2046 .0 .1 .0 .0 2.0 2.0 -.1 .3 .4


118

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.15 19.5 4.1 15.4 71.9 76.3 14.6 17.5 75.3 43.1 1996 1.67 14.0 4.4 9.6 73.0 77.0 15.0 17.7 73.1 43.8 2001 1.82 13.0 4.9 8.1 73.9 77.4 15.4 18.0 71.4 44.8 2006 1.82 12.6 5.6 7.0 74.7 77.9 15.8 18.2 69.3 45.5 2011 1.82 13.4 6.4 6.9 75.5 78.3 16.1 18.4 67.4 46.0 2016 1.82 13.4 7.3 6.1 76.2 78.8 16.5 18.6 64.4 45.9 2021 1.82 12.4 8.4 4.0 76.9 79.2 16.8 18.9 61.7 45.7 2026 1.82 11.2 9.6 1.6 77.5 79.6 17.1 19.1 59.7 45.6 2031 1.82 10.8 11.0 -.2 78.0 80.0 17.4 19.3 59.2 45.4 2036 1.82 11.0 12.2 -1.2 78.4 80.4 17.6 19.6 59.6 45.5 2041 1.82 11.4 12.9 -1.5 78.8 80.8 17.8 19.8 59.6 45.2 2046 1.82 11.5 13.1 -1.6 79.1 81.2 18.0 20.0 59.5 45.2


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 30.8 31.1 30.4 36.9 71.4 35.6 36.5 34.5 10.4 1996 32.6 32.9 32.3 38.7 71.2 37.3 38.1 36.5 9.7 2001 35.4 35.1 35.6 41.6 71.4 39.7 40.3 39.1 7.0 2006 37.1 36.5 37.8 43.0 71.3 40.3 40.4 40.2 7.0 2011 38.4 37.3 39.4 42.8 71.3 39.8 39.5 40.1 7.0 2016 38.3 37.1 39.9 41.9 70.9 38.2 37.8 38.6 7.0 2021 39.1 38.2 40.2 40.5 71.5 38.2 38.1 38.2 7.0 2026 40.8 39.5 41.9 41.1 72.6 39.0 38.8 39.2 7.0 2031 42.2 40.8 43.7 41.9 74.2 40.0 39.9 40.0 7.0 2036 43.2 41.5 44.9 42.6 75.9 40.3 40.3 40.3 7.0 2041 43.3 41.4 45.2 42.8 77.2 39.9 40.0 39.7 7.0 2046 42.8 40.9 44.8 42.6 76.6 39.5 39.6 39.3 7.0


119


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 29. 3. 5. 2. 2. 12. 3. 2. 1. 0. 1996 32. 2. 5. 2. 2. 12. 4. 2. 1. 0. 2001 30. 2. 4. 2. 2. 10. 5. 2. 1. 1. 2006 30. 2. 3. 2. 2. 9. 6. 3. 2. 1. 2011 31. 2. 3. 2. 2. 9. 5. 4. 2. 1. 2016 31. 2. 3. 2. 2. 10. 4. 5. 3. 1. 2021 32. 2. 3. 1. 2. 10. 4. 4. 4. 2. 2026 32. 2. 3. 2. 2. 10. 4. 4. 4. 2. 2031 32. 2. 3. 2. 2. 9. 4. 3. 4. 3. 2036 31. 2. 3. 2. 2. 8. 5. 3. 3. 4. 2041 31. 2. 3. 2. 2. 8. 5. 4. 3. 4. 2046 30. 2. 3. 1. 2. 9. 4. 4. 3. 3.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 47.7 46.5 48.6 47.9 48.4 49.4 42.5 42.4 46.4 52.9 1996 47.8 48.3 47.6 46.4 49.3 49.5 45.4 43.8 42.9 55.8 2001 48.1 49.1 46.2 49.3 46.3 49.9 48.7 42.3 44.5 55.2 2006 48.5 49.0 46.3 47.4 49.7 49.4 50.7 45.0 45.2 51.6 2011 48.8 48.9 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.3 53.6 48.8 43.8 52.3 2016 49.2 48.9 46.6 48.2 47.8 47.7 54.8 50.9 46.5 51.2 2021 49.5 48.9 46.7 48.1 48.8 47.5 52.5 54.0 50.3 49.7 2026 49.8 48.9 46.7 48.1 48.7 48.0 50.4 55.2 52.2 51.4 2031 50.1 49.0 46.6 48.1 48.6 47.6 50.5 52.5 55.2 53.9 2036 50.2 49.0 46.4 48.1 48.6 47.8 50.8 49.9 56.2 55.8 2041 50.3 49.0 46.3 48.0 48.6 47.9 50.1 50.2 53.5 59.0 2046 50.2 49.0 46.4 48.0 48.6 47.9 50.8 50.5 50.7 60.0

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120

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 8.7 15.6 6.7 7.5 40.9 11.0 5.6 2.7 1.2 1996 100.0 7.6 15.9 6.6 6.9 38.4 13.9 6.2 3.0 1.3 2001 100.0 6.3 13.8 8.2 6.2 33.8 17.9 8.3 4.0 1.7 2006 100.0 5.8 11.1 7.6 8.2 29.5 19.0 11.4 5.1 2.3 2011 100.0 6.1 9.7 6.0 7.7 29.6 16.8 14.6 6.6 2.8 2016 100.0 6.3 9.7 5.0 6.2 30.6 13.7 15.5 9.2 3.8 2021 100.0 6.1 10.4 4.7 5.2 31.3 11.8 13.6 11.9 5.0 2026 100.0 5.5 10.5 5.1 5.0 31.1 11.4 11.1 12.9 7.3 2031 100.0 5.2 9.9 5.5 5.5 28.7 14.1 9.6 11.7 9.9 2036 100.0 5.2 9.1 5.4 5.9 27.1 16.4 9.4 9.7 11.8 2041 100.0 5.4 8.8 4.9 5.8 27.3 15.1 12.2 8.5 12.0 2046 100.0 5.5 9.0 4.6 5.4 28.3 13.1 14.5 8.4 11.2

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PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 10.3 -3.6 12.4 8.2 1.5 3.7 39.5 22.0 23.3 23.6 2001 -5.7 -21.9 -18.2 17.0 -16.0 -17.2 21.2 24.6 23.4 17.7 2006 -.3 -7.5 -19.7 -7.8 32.7 -13.0 6.2 38.1 27.6 34.4 2011 1.9 6.8 -10.9 -19.6 -4.2 2.4 -9.7 30.1 32.1 28.8 2016 2.3 6.3 2.4 -15.2 -18.0 6.0 -16.5 8.3 42.6 35.6 2021 1.5 -2.9 8.3 -4.1 -14.3 3.6 -12.9 -10.4 31.7 35.1 2026 .3 -8.8 1.8 9.0 -3.8 -.3 -3.3 -18.1 9.0 46.4 2031 -.7 -7.1 -6.7 7.2 8.4 -8.4 23.1 -14.4 -10.3 34.1 2036 -1.4 -1.2 -9.3 -3.3 6.8 -6.8 14.7 -3.5 -17.8 17.5 2041 -1.6 2.2 -5.0 -9.9 -3.0 -.9 -9.4 27.8 -14.3 -.2 2046 -1.7 .5 .6 -8.1 -9.3 1.7 -14.5 16.6 -2.8 -7.7


121


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 16. 1. 2. 5. 5. 3. 1. 0. 1996 18. 1. 2. 5. 6. 4. 1. 0. 2001 17. 1. 1. 4. 5. 4. 1. 0. 2006 17. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 2. 0. 2011 17. 1. 2. 4. 4. 4. 2. 0. 2016 16. 1. 1. 5. 3. 4. 2. 0. 2021 16. 1. 1. 4. 4. 3. 2. 0. 2026 16. 1. 1. 4. 5. 3. 2. 0. 2031 15. 1. 1. 3. 4. 4. 1. 0. 2036 15. 1. 1. 4. 4. 4. 1. 0. 2041 15. 1. 1. 4. 3. 4. 2. 0. 2046 15. 1. 1. 4. 4. 3. 2. 0.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 43.1 46.9 46.7 46.3 43.9 36.4 29.5 21.9 1996 43.8 45.6 47.1 46.6 44.6 40.3 32.6 22.4 2001 44.8 49.0 44.5 44.8 47.7 44.7 31.9 22.5 2006 45.5 47.1 48.2 43.0 49.1 47.5 34.6 22.4 2011 46.0 46.9 46.7 44.3 47.3 51.0 38.4 22.3 2016 45.9 47.9 46.6 45.0 45.3 52.2 40.4 23.2 2021 45.7 47.8 47.7 44.1 45.9 49.9 43.4 24.7 2026 45.6 47.8 47.6 44.3 46.4 47.8 44.6 25.9 2031 45.4 47.8 47.5 44.6 45.6 47.9 42.0 27.9 2036 45.5 47.8 47.5 44.5 45.9 48.2 39.5 28.9 2041 45.2 47.7 47.5 44.5 46.3 47.5 39.7 29.3 2046 45.2 47.7 47.5 44.6 46.2 48.3 40.0 28.6

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122

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 6.5 10.4 30.9 30.7 15.9 5.1 .5 1996 100.0 5.6 9.4 27.1 31.5 20.3 5.6 .5 2001 100.0 6.9 8.2 22.3 28.6 25.9 7.3 .6 2006 100.0 6.4 10.9 20.6 23.7 27.6 10.0 .8 2011 100.0 5.1 10.4 24.7 20.9 25.1 12.9 1.0 2016 100.0 4.5 8.8 28.8 20.8 21.5 14.2 1.4 2021 100.0 4.4 7.8 27.2 26.2 19.5 13.0 1.9 2026 100.0 5.0 7.7 24.1 30.6 19.4 10.9 2.4 2031 100.0 5.3 8.4 22.4 28.0 24.0 9.5 2.4 2036 100.0 5.2 8.9 22.8 24.1 27.5 9.2 2.4 2041 100.0 4.7 8.8 24.5 22.6 25.3 12.0 2.2 2046 100.0 4.4 8.1 25.4 23.5 22.1 14.2 2.2

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PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 8.2 -7.1 -2.8 -5.2 11.2 38.5 18.1 16.6 2001 -3.9 18.7 -15.6 -20.7 -12.9 22.4 27.0 16.4 2006 .5 -7.8 32.5 -7.3 -16.6 7.2 37.1 24.3 2011 .3 -19.6 -4.1 20.2 -11.6 -8.9 28.7 25.8 2016 -2.8 -15.2 -18.0 13.5 -3.0 -16.6 7.4 39.2 2021 -3.4 -4.1 -14.3 -8.8 21.3 -12.7 -11.5 30.6 2026 -2.6 9.0 -3.8 -13.6 13.8 -3.1 -18.5 18.6 2031 -.5 7.2 8.4 -7.6 -8.9 23.1 -13.5 3.4 2036 .1 -3.3 6.8 1.8 -13.9 14.6 -2.4 -2.6 2041 -1.4 -9.9 -3.0 6.1 -7.7 -9.3 27.7 -6.8 2046 -2.2 -8.1 -9.3 1.4 1.9 -14.5 16.5 -4.5


123

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 81.9 56.3 81.8 92.7 93.8 90.6 62.6 11.3 1996 78.9 48.2 79.0 91.6 92.2 89.0 59.3 10.3 2001 76.4 48.4 78.7 91.6 92.5 88.5 59.6 10.0 2006 73.6 48.4 78.2 91.3 92.3 88.4 59.6 9.5 2011 71.4 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.0 2016 68.9 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.1 2021 66.7 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.1 2026 65.0 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.2 2031 65.0 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.3 2036 65.6 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.4 2041 66.0 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.4 2046 65.9 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.5

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PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE YUKON FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 68.1 54.1 76.0 77.5 78.4 70.0 35.6 3.5 1996 66.9 46.6 72.2 77.6 78.6 71.9 36.9 3.5 2001 66.0 47.9 72.8 78.9 80.0 75.2 38.0 3.3 2006 64.7 47.9 73.5 79.5 81.7 77.4 38.5 3.2 2011 63.2 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2016 59.8 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2021 56.6 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2026 54.5 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2031 53.5 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2036 53.7 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2041 53.3 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2046 53.2 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1

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124

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.54 .48 .13 .13 .21 .06 .04 .02 .00 1996 1.53 .46 .12 .12 .22 .07 .05 .02 .00 2001 1.51 .43 .10 .10 .24 .09 .06 .02 .01 2006 1.47 .36 .09 .08 .20 .11 .07 .03 .01 2011 1.45 .32 .09 .07 .16 .14 .10 .03 .01 2016 1.51 .32 .10 .08 .14 .20 .14 .05 .01 2021 1.61 .34 .10 .09 .15 .27 .19 .07 .01 2026 1.71 .36 .09 .09 .18 .35 .22 .10 .02 2031 1.73 .36 .09 .08 .18 .37 .20 .14 .03 2036 1.70 .33 .09 .08 .17 .37 .17 .15 .05 2041 1.65 .32 .09 .07 .15 .34 .14 .14 .06 2046 1.63 .31 .09 .08 .15 .32 .14 .11 .07

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PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS YUKON ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.79 .55 .15 .15 .25 .07 .05 .02 .00 1996 1.82 .55 .14 .14 .27 .08 .06 .02 .00 2001 1.79 .51 .11 .11 .28 .10 .07 .02 .01 2006 1.77 .44 .10 .09 .24 .13 .09 .03 .01 2011 1.80 .39 .11 .09 .19 .17 .12 .04 .01 2016 1.90 .40 .12 .10 .18 .25 .17 .06 .01 2021 1.99 .42 .12 .11 .19 .34 .24 .08 .02 2026 2.05 .43 .11 .11 .21 .42 .27 .13 .03 2031 2.05 .42 .11 .10 .22 .44 .24 .17 .04 2036 2.02 .40 .10 .09 .20 .43 .20 .18 .05 2041 2.01 .38 .11 .09 .19 .41 .17 .17 .07 2046 2.02 .39 .11 .10 .18 .40 .17 .14 .09

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125

17. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, NORTHWEST TERRITORIES AND NUNAVUT

Summary Tables

PMEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION LABOUR FORCE TOTAL HOUSE % OF TPOP YEAR -------------------- ------------------- HOUSE -HOLD ------------ TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH -HOLDS SIZE <15 65+ ('000) ('000) (%) ('000) ('000) (%) ('000)----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 60.9 6.2 11.39 30.6 2.6 9.35 17. 3.58 32.3 2.7 1996 67.6 6.7 10.94 33.1 2.5 8.26 21. 3.27 31.9 3.0 2001 69.8 2.2 3.31 34.5 1.3 4.01 22. 3.24 31.0 3.4 2006 73.3 3.5 4.97 36.6 2.1 6.03 23. 3.16 28.9 4.2 2011 78.6 5.3 7.22 39.7 3.1 8.50 25. 3.09 27.2 5.2 2016 84.8 6.2 7.86 42.0 2.3 5.81 28. 3.02 27.1 6.8 2021 91.0 6.2 7.32 43.9 1.9 4.65 31. 2.96 27.3 8.1 2026 96.9 5.9 6.50 45.9 2.0 4.55 33. 2.93 27.1 9.8 2031 102.5 5.6 5.82 48.5 2.6 5.62 35. 2.91 26.3 11.3 2036 108.2 5.6 5.49 51.4 2.9 5.95 37. 2.89 25.6 11.8 2041 114.0 5.8 5.35 54.4 3.0 5.92 40. 2.86 25.5 11.3 2046 119.9 5.9 5.20 56.9 2.5 4.56 42. 2.84 25.5 11.3


PMEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMMI- EMI- CHANGE RETURN IN- OUT- NET BIRTHS DEATHS GRA- GRA- IN -ING MIGRA MIGRA IN- YEAR TION TION NPR CANA- -TION -TION FLOW DIANS----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .1 .1 .0 .0 3.7 3.6 .1 1.6 .2 1996 .0 .1 .0 .0 3.6 4.2 -.7 1.6 .2 2001 .0 .1 .0 .0 3.6 4.2 -.7 1.4 .2 2006 .0 .1 .0 .0 3.8 4.0 -.4 1.5 .3 2011 .0 .1 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.1 1.6 .3 2016 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 1.8 .4 2021 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 1.8 .4 2026 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 1.8 .5 2031 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 1.9 .6 2036 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 2.0 .7 2041 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 2.1 .7 2046 .0 .2 .0 .0 3.9 3.9 -.2 2.2 .8


126

PMEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL CRUDE CRUDE NAT- LIFE EXPECTANCY AT -- LF LF FERT- BIRTH DEATH URAL ------------------------- PART % YEAR ILITY RATE RATE INC- AGE 0 AGE 65 RATE FEMALE RATE REASE M F M F----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.88 27.1 3.4 23.7 71.9 76.3 14.6 17.5 75.6 42.5 1996 2.70 24.2 3.4 20.8 73.0 77.0 15.0 17.7 73.3 43.2 2001 2.58 20.7 3.5 17.2 73.9 77.4 15.4 18.0 72.9 43.8 2006 2.58 20.1 3.6 16.5 74.7 77.9 15.8 18.2 71.5 44.3 2011 2.58 20.9 3.9 17.0 75.5 78.3 16.1 18.4 70.7 44.8 2016 2.58 21.0 4.2 16.8 76.2 78.8 16.5 18.6 69.4 44.7 2021 2.58 20.1 4.7 15.4 76.9 79.2 16.8 18.9 67.9 44.5 2026 2.58 19.1 5.2 13.9 77.5 79.6 17.1 19.1 66.5 44.4 2031 2.58 18.6 5.7 12.9 78.0 80.0 17.4 19.3 65.8 44.4 2036 2.58 18.7 6.2 12.5 78.4 80.4 17.6 19.6 65.5 44.3 2041 2.58 18.8 6.6 12.2 78.8 80.8 17.8 19.8 65.6 44.2 2046 2.58 18.7 6.8 11.9 79.1 81.2 18.0 20.0 65.3 44.0


PMEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4 N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION MEDIAN AGE OF LF U YEAR --------------------------------- -------------------- RATE TOTAL MALE FEMALE AGE AGE TOTAL MALE FEMALE (%) 20-64 65+----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 24.8 25.4 24.1 33.7 72.4 32.1 32.9 31.1 10.4 1996 26.0 26.4 25.5 35.4 71.3 34.0 34.6 33.2 9.7 2001 26.4 26.7 26.0 37.3 70.6 35.6 36.2 34.9 7.0 2006 26.8 27.0 26.7 38.4 70.6 36.1 36.6 35.6 7.0 2011 27.5 27.6 27.4 38.4 70.8 35.3 35.8 34.7 7.0 2016 28.2 28.1 28.2 37.2 70.5 34.8 35.2 34.3 7.0 2021 29.1 28.9 29.3 37.3 71.6 34.9 35.3 34.5 7.0 2026 30.0 29.8 30.2 37.6 71.8 35.5 35.7 35.2 7.0 2031 30.3 30.1 30.6 38.1 72.3 36.1 36.3 35.8 7.0 2036 30.4 30.2 30.6 38.5 73.5 36.1 36.5 35.7 7.0 2041 30.5 30.4 30.7 38.6 75.1 36.0 36.4 35.5 7.0 2046 30.9 30.7 31.0 38.5 75.3 36.0 36.4 35.4 7.0


127


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 61. 8. 12. 5. 6. 21. 5. 2. 1. 1. 1996 68. 8. 14. 6. 5. 24. 6. 3. 1. 1. 2001 70. 7. 15. 6. 6. 23. 8. 4. 2. 1. 2006 73. 7. 14. 7. 6. 22. 9. 5. 2. 1. 2011 79. 8. 14. 7. 7. 22. 10. 6. 3. 1. 2016 85. 9. 14. 7. 8. 24. 10. 7. 4. 2. 2021 91. 9. 16. 7. 7. 27. 9. 9. 5. 2. 2026 97. 9. 17. 7. 7. 29. 9. 9. 6. 3. 2031 103. 9. 18. 8. 8. 30. 10. 7. 7. 4. 2036 108. 10. 18. 9. 9. 31. 12. 8. 7. 5. 2041 114. 10. 19. 9. 9. 31. 14. 9. 6. 7. 2046 120. 11. 20. 9. 9. 33. 13. 11. 7. 7.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 47.5 49.3 48.8 48.7 48.7 46.7 44.4 44.2 43.2 50.2 1996 47.6 48.5 48.4 48.4 48.8 47.5 45.0 45.8 46.5 47.7 2001 47.7 48.6 48.1 47.7 49.0 47.8 45.0 47.0 49.3 48.2 2006 47.8 48.5 47.2 49.4 48.3 48.0 45.3 46.6 51.8 53.9 2011 47.9 48.5 47.2 47.4 49.9 47.8 46.7 46.2 51.7 55.7 2016 48.0 48.5 47.2 47.4 48.0 47.7 48.3 46.3 50.2 58.7 2021 48.0 48.5 47.4 47.4 48.0 47.6 47.8 47.7 49.1 57.4 2026 48.0 48.5 47.4 47.5 48.0 47.4 46.4 49.3 48.8 55.9 2031 48.1 48.5 47.5 47.6 48.1 47.4 46.5 48.8 49.9 54.3 2036 48.1 48.5 47.5 47.6 48.1 47.0 47.5 47.2 51.5 53.8 2041 48.1 48.6 47.5 47.7 48.1 47.0 47.4 47.2 51.0 54.1 2046 48.1 48.6 47.6 47.7 48.1 47.1 46.3 48.1 49.3 55.6

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128

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 12.9 19.4 8.3 9.9 35.2 7.5 4.1 1.7 1.0 1996 100.0 11.7 20.2 8.3 8.0 34.9 9.5 4.5 1.9 1.0 2001 100.0 10.2 20.9 8.6 8.3 32.5 10.8 5.4 2.4 1.0 2006 100.0 9.6 19.3 9.4 8.6 30.2 11.7 6.9 3.1 1.1 2011 100.0 9.8 17.4 9.2 9.3 28.5 12.7 7.9 3.7 1.4 2016 100.0 10.1 17.0 7.8 9.1 28.8 11.7 8.7 4.9 1.9 2021 100.0 9.8 17.5 7.4 7.9 30.2 9.5 9.6 5.7 2.4 2026 100.0 9.4 17.7 7.7 7.5 30.0 9.1 8.9 6.4 3.3 2031 100.0 9.0 17.2 8.0 7.7 29.3 10.1 7.3 7.2 4.1 2036 100.0 9.0 16.6 8.0 8.1 28.2 11.3 7.1 6.8 5.0 2041 100.0 9.1 16.4 7.7 8.0 27.6 11.9 8.1 5.6 5.7 2046 100.0 9.1 16.5 7.5 7.7 27.8 11.1 9.1 5.5 5.8

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PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 0- 4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 10.9 .6 15.6 11.3 -10.5 9.9 39.4 21.5 26.9 15.4 2001 3.3 -10.0 6.7 6.9 7.3 -3.7 17.4 23.6 28.0 2.5 2006 5.0 -.5 -2.8 13.9 9.3 -2.5 14.6 35.6 35.2 12.6 2011 7.2 9.2 -3.5 5.2 15.9 1.2 16.0 23.1 29.8 37.0 2016 7.9 10.8 5.7 -7.7 5.3 8.9 -.8 18.4 40.8 41.9 2021 7.3 4.6 10.4 1.5 -7.2 12.6 -12.7 18.0 24.5 38.4 2026 6.5 1.6 7.6 9.9 1.3 5.9 1.6 -.8 20.3 47.6 2031 5.8 2.1 3.0 11.1 9.2 3.1 18.4 -13.5 19.1 28.2 2036 5.5 5.0 1.8 4.6 10.4 1.7 17.1 2.2 -.6 29.2 2041 5.4 6.3 3.6 1.5 4.3 3.2 11.0 20.3 -13.5 21.5 2046 5.2 5.2 5.7 2.1 1.4 6.0 -1.6 18.7 3.3 6.5


129


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 31. 3. 5. 11. 8. 4. 1. 0. 1996 33. 3. 4. 11. 9. 5. 1. 0. 2001 34. 3. 4. 9. 10. 6. 2. 0. 2006 37. 3. 5. 9. 10. 7. 2. 0. 2011 40. 3. 5. 11. 9. 8. 3. 0. 2016 42. 3. 6. 12. 9. 8. 4. 0. 2021 44. 3. 5. 13. 10. 7. 4. 0. 2026 46. 4. 5. 13. 12. 7. 4. 1. 2031 48. 4. 6. 13. 13. 9. 4. 1. 2036 51. 4. 7. 13. 13. 10. 4. 1. 2041 54. 4. 7. 15. 12. 11. 5. 1. 2046 57. 4. 7. 16. 13. 11. 5. 1.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 42.5 47.7 46.9 43.4 41.1 38.2 31.1 20.1 1996 43.2 47.5 46.6 44.5 42.4 39.9 34.5 22.4 2001 43.8 47.4 47.1 44.7 43.9 41.0 36.1 23.3 2006 44.3 49.1 46.8 43.9 46.0 42.1 36.1 26.3 2011 44.8 47.1 48.8 44.4 46.3 44.2 36.0 27.0 2016 44.7 47.1 46.9 45.1 45.0 45.7 36.1 26.7 2021 44.5 47.1 46.9 45.0 45.0 45.3 37.3 25.8 2026 44.4 47.2 46.9 44.1 45.8 43.9 38.9 25.4 2031 44.4 47.3 46.9 44.1 45.6 44.0 38.4 25.4 2036 44.3 47.3 47.0 44.2 44.7 44.9 36.9 26.0 2041 44.2 47.4 47.0 44.3 44.7 44.8 36.9 26.0 2046 44.0 47.4 47.0 44.4 44.7 43.8 37.8 25.8

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130

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 9.0 15.2 34.6 24.7 12.1 4.1 .4 1996 100.0 7.9 12.1 33.2 26.5 15.6 4.4 .4 2001 100.0 8.3 12.5 27.3 28.4 17.8 5.3 .4 2006 100.0 8.9 12.9 25.2 26.3 19.5 6.8 .5 2011 100.0 8.6 13.7 26.8 21.5 21.0 7.8 .6 2016 100.0 7.5 13.7 29.0 20.7 19.6 8.7 .8 2021 100.0 7.3 12.1 30.5 23.0 16.4 9.8 .9 2026 100.0 7.7 11.8 28.8 25.4 16.0 9.2 1.2 2031 100.0 8.1 12.2 26.4 26.5 17.9 7.5 1.4 2036 100.0 8.0 12.7 26.2 24.7 19.8 7.3 1.4 2041 100.0 7.6 12.5 27.0 22.5 20.7 8.3 1.4 2046 100.0 7.4 12.1 27.5 22.6 19.5 9.4 1.4

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PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 8.3 -4.4 -14.3 3.9 16.2 39.2 17.6 12.7 2001 4.0 8.5 7.5 -14.3 11.6 19.1 24.6 12.5 2006 6.0 13.9 9.4 -2.2 -1.9 15.8 36.5 18.3 2011 8.5 5.2 15.8 15.3 -11.1 17.0 23.8 25.0 2016 5.8 -7.7 5.4 14.7 1.6 -1.0 18.3 42.3 2021 4.6 1.5 -7.2 9.8 16.5 -12.6 17.4 30.4 2026 4.6 9.9 1.3 -1.1 15.6 1.8 -1.5 29.7 2031 5.6 11.1 9.2 -3.0 10.2 18.3 -13.3 22.6 2036 6.0 4.6 10.4 4.9 -1.4 17.0 2.9 9.6 2041 5.9 1.5 4.3 9.1 -3.4 11.1 20.3 1.7 2046 4.6 2.1 1.4 6.7 5.0 -1.5 18.2 5.5


131

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 81.7 56.3 81.8 92.7 93.8 90.6 62.6 11.3 1996 79.1 48.2 79.0 91.6 92.2 89.0 59.3 10.3 2001 78.1 48.4 78.7 91.6 92.5 88.5 59.6 10.0 2006 76.5 48.4 78.2 91.3 92.3 88.4 59.6 9.5 2011 75.0 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.0 2016 73.8 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.1 2021 72.6 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.1 2026 71.2 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.2 2031 70.3 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.3 2036 70.2 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.4 2041 70.5 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.4 2046 70.3 48.4 77.7 91.1 92.1 88.3 59.6 9.5

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PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE N.W.T.& NUN. FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 8FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGE GROUP YEAR TOTAL -------------------------------------------------------------- 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 68.6 54.1 76.0 77.5 78.4 70.0 35.6 3.5 1996 66.9 46.6 72.2 77.6 78.6 71.9 36.9 3.5 2001 67.2 47.9 72.8 78.9 80.0 75.2 38.0 3.3 2006 66.1 47.9 73.5 79.5 81.7 77.4 38.5 3.2 2011 66.0 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2016 64.5 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2021 62.9 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2026 61.4 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2031 60.8 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2036 60.4 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2041 60.4 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1 2046 59.9 47.9 74.1 81.0 83.5 79.5 39.0 3.1

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132

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO POPULATION 20-64

1991 1.76 .71 .23 .18 .30 .05 .03 .01 .00 1996 1.76 .71 .21 .19 .31 .05 .03 .01 .00 2001 1.76 .70 .18 .19 .33 .06 .04 .01 .00 2006 1.74 .67 .17 .17 .33 .07 .05 .02 .00 2011 1.71 .62 .17 .15 .30 .09 .06 .02 .00 2016 1.72 .60 .17 .16 .27 .12 .08 .03 .00 2021 1.75 .61 .17 .16 .27 .14 .10 .04 .01 2026 1.80 .63 .17 .17 .29 .18 .12 .05 .01 2031 1.84 .63 .17 .16 .30 .21 .13 .06 .01 2036 1.83 .62 .16 .16 .29 .22 .12 .07 .02 2041 1.80 .60 .16 .15 .28 .20 .10 .08 .02 2046 1.79 .59 .16 .15 .27 .20 .10 .08 .03

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PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS N.W.T.& NUN. ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOUNG OLD YEAR TOTAL ---------------------------- ---------------------------- 0-19 0- 4 5- 9 10-19 65+ 65-74 75-84 85+ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE

1991 1.99 .81 .26 .21 .34 .05 .03 .02 .00 1996 2.04 .82 .24 .23 .36 .06 .04 .02 .01 2001 2.03 .80 .21 .22 .38 .07 .05 .02 .00 2006 2.01 .77 .19 .19 .38 .08 .06 .02 .00 2011 1.98 .72 .19 .18 .35 .10 .07 .02 .00 2016 2.02 .71 .20 .18 .32 .14 .10 .03 .01 2021 2.07 .72 .20 .19 .32 .17 .12 .04 .01 2026 2.11 .73 .20 .19 .34 .21 .14 .06 .01 2031 2.11 .73 .19 .19 .35 .24 .15 .07 .02 2036 2.11 .71 .19 .18 .34 .25 .14 .08 .02 2041 2.09 .69 .19 .18 .32 .24 .12 .09 .03 2046 2.11 .70 .19 .18 .32 .24 .12 .09 .03

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133

18. ADDITIONAL RESULTS, CANADA BY REGION


PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 28031. 2370. 7065. 10428. 4705. 3373. 90. 1996 29672. 2381. 7274. 11101. 4935. 3882. 100. 2001 31002. 2373. 7394. 11770. 5239. 4126. 100. 2006 32249. 2370. 7507. 12404. 5470. 4395. 103. 2011 33447. 2378. 7633. 13015. 5659. 4652. 109. 2016 34559. 2381. 7741. 13600. 5826. 4896. 116. 2021 35560. 2369. 7819. 14156. 5968. 5124. 123. 2026 36383. 2339. 7854. 14657. 6075. 5328. 129. 2031 36973. 2290. 7835. 15073. 6143. 5498. 134. 2036 37336. 2223. 7767. 15398. 6175. 5634. 139. 2041 37513. 2143. 7664. 15647. 6176. 5739. 145. 2046 37555. 2055. 7541. 15839. 6151. 5819. 150.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 5: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 50.4 50.4 50.8 50.6 49.9 50.1 47.5 1996 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.7 49.9 50.2 47.7 2001 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.7 50.0 50.3 47.9 2006 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.7 50.0 50.4 48.0 2011 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.7 50.0 50.4 48.2 2016 50.5 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.0 50.5 48.3 2021 50.5 50.5 50.6 50.6 50.0 50.6 48.4 2026 50.5 50.6 50.7 50.6 50.1 50.7 48.5 2031 50.6 50.6 50.7 50.6 50.1 50.8 48.5 2036 50.6 50.7 50.8 50.6 50.2 50.9 48.6 2041 50.7 50.7 50.9 50.6 50.3 51.0 48.5 2046 50.7 50.7 50.9 50.6 50.4 51.1 48.5

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134

PMEDS-D TABLE 6: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 8.5 25.2 37.2 16.8 12.0 .3 1996 100.0 8.0 24.5 37.4 16.6 13.1 .3 2001 100.0 7.7 23.8 38.0 16.9 13.3 .3 2006 100.0 7.3 23.3 38.5 17.0 13.6 .3 2011 100.0 7.1 22.8 38.9 16.9 13.9 .3 2016 100.0 6.9 22.4 39.4 16.9 14.2 .3 2021 100.0 6.7 22.0 39.8 16.8 14.4 .3 2026 100.0 6.4 21.6 40.3 16.7 14.6 .4 2031 100.0 6.2 21.2 40.8 16.6 14.9 .4 2036 100.0 6.0 20.8 41.2 16.5 15.1 .4 2041 100.0 5.7 20.4 41.7 16.5 15.3 .4 2046 100.0 5.5 20.1 42.2 16.4 15.5 .4

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PMEDS-D TABLE 7: PROJECTED POPULATION CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 5.9 .4 3.0 6.5 4.9 15.1 10.7 2001 4.5 -.3 1.6 6.0 6.2 6.3 .4 2006 4.0 -.1 1.5 5.4 4.4 6.5 3.4 2011 3.7 .3 1.7 4.9 3.5 5.8 5.7 2016 3.3 .1 1.4 4.5 2.9 5.2 6.3 2021 2.9 -.5 1.0 4.1 2.4 4.7 5.8 2026 2.3 -1.3 .4 3.5 1.8 4.0 4.9 2031 1.6 -2.1 -.2 2.8 1.1 3.2 4.2 2036 1.0 -2.9 -.9 2.2 .5 2.5 3.9 2041 .5 -3.6 -1.3 1.6 .0 1.9 3.8 2046 .1 -4.1 -1.6 1.2 -.4 1.4 3.7


135


PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - THOUSANDS -

1991 14476. 1100. 3526. 5582. 2458. 1764. 47. 1996 15021. 1094. 3597. 5690. 2588. 2001. 51. 2001 15951. 1138. 3672. 6125. 2825. 2140. 51. 2006 16720. 1139. 3713. 6513. 3002. 2300. 53. 2011 17353. 1133. 3733. 6877. 3119. 2435. 57. 2016 17501. 1094. 3664. 7049. 3137. 2499. 58. 2021 17458. 1043. 3559. 7139. 3118. 2538. 60. 2026 17373. 993. 3463. 7200. 3090. 2565. 61. 2031 17297. 942. 3383. 7247. 3070. 2590. 64. 2036 17312. 899. 3327. 7340. 3062. 2619. 67. 2041 17303. 853. 3279. 7421. 3037. 2643. 70. 2046 17201. 806. 3205. 7467. 2993. 2658. 72.

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PMEDS-D TABLE 9: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - FEMALE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL -

1991 44.5 44.0 43.8 45.3 44.3 44.3 42.7 1996 45.1 45.0 44.4 45.8 44.7 45.1 43.4 2001 45.6 45.3 44.6 46.2 45.2 46.1 44.1 2006 45.9 45.5 44.7 46.6 45.6 46.6 44.7 2011 46.3 45.7 45.0 46.9 45.9 47.1 45.2 2016 46.1 45.4 44.7 46.7 45.7 47.1 45.0 2021 45.9 45.0 44.5 46.5 45.5 47.1 44.8 2026 45.9 44.7 44.6 46.5 45.4 47.1 44.7 2031 45.9 44.5 44.6 46.5 45.3 47.2 44.6 2036 45.9 44.3 44.6 46.4 45.2 47.2 44.5 2041 45.8 44.2 44.5 46.4 45.1 47.1 44.4 2046 45.7 44.0 44.5 46.3 45.0 47.1 44.2

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136

PMEDS-D TABLE 10: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION -

1991 100.0 7.6 24.4 38.6 17.0 12.2 .3 1996 100.0 7.3 23.9 37.9 17.2 13.3 .3 2001 100.0 7.1 23.0 38.4 17.7 13.4 .3 2006 100.0 6.8 22.2 39.0 18.0 13.8 .3 2011 100.0 6.5 21.5 39.6 18.0 14.0 .3 2016 100.0 6.3 20.9 40.3 17.9 14.3 .3 2021 100.0 6.0 20.4 40.9 17.9 14.5 .3 2026 100.0 5.7 19.9 41.4 17.8 14.8 .4 2031 100.0 5.4 19.6 41.9 17.7 15.0 .4 2036 100.0 5.2 19.2 42.4 17.7 15.1 .4 2041 100.0 4.9 19.0 42.9 17.6 15.3 .4 2046 100.0 4.7 18.6 43.4 17.4 15.4 .4

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PMEDS-D TABLE 11: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) BOTH SEXES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATE -

1996 3.8 -.5 2.0 1.9 5.3 13.4 8.2 2001 6.2 4.0 2.1 7.6 9.2 7.0 1.3 2006 4.8 .1 1.1 6.3 6.3 7.5 4.2 2011 3.8 -.5 .5 5.6 3.9 5.9 5.9 2016 .9 -3.4 -1.9 2.5 .6 2.6 3.2 2021 -.2 -4.6 -2.8 1.3 -.6 1.6 2.4 2026 -.5 -4.8 -2.7 .9 -.9 1.0 2.6 2031 -.4 -5.1 -2.3 .7 -.7 1.0 4.1 2036 .1 -4.6 -1.7 1.3 -.3 1.1 4.5 2041 -.1 -5.1 -1.4 1.1 -.8 .9 4.2 2046 -.6 -5.5 -2.3 .6 -1.4 .5 3.1


137

PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) MALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 10FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 75.2 68.0 73.2 76.5 78.5 75.5 81.8 1996 72.5 65.2 70.8 73.0 77.3 72.8 79.0 2001 71.9 66.0 69.9 72.5 77.1 70.8 77.5 2006 70.7 64.6 68.2 71.3 76.3 69.7 75.6 2011 69.2 62.7 66.1 70.0 75.2 68.2 73.9 2016 67.5 60.5 64.0 68.5 73.6 66.3 72.4 2021 65.5 58.1 61.7 66.8 71.5 64.3 70.9 2026 63.6 56.0 59.8 65.0 69.4 62.4 69.6 2031 62.1 54.2 58.4 63.4 68.0 60.9 69.0 2036 61.4 53.3 57.8 62.6 67.3 60.0 69.1 2041 61.0 52.5 57.6 62.1 66.8 59.5 69.5 2046 60.6 51.8 57.2 61.7 66.3 59.1 69.4

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PMEDS-D TABLE 13: PROJECTED LABOUR FORCE CANADA (SUM) FEMALES ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 10FEB2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - PARTICIPATION RATES (%) -

1991 58.5 51.8 54.5 61.1 62.0 59.1 68.4 1996 57.8 51.4 54.4 59.1 62.1 58.7 66.9 2001 58.3 52.8 54.2 59.8 63.1 59.2 66.8 2006 58.2 52.1 53.4 59.7 63.4 59.3 65.7 2011 57.9 51.2 52.3 59.6 63.3 59.2 65.2 2016 56.1 48.8 50.3 58.1 61.4 57.5 63.1 2021 54.2 46.2 48.2 56.3 59.2 55.6 61.1 2026 52.6 44.1 46.7 54.8 57.3 53.8 59.5 2031 51.3 42.3 45.6 53.5 55.8 52.4 58.8 2036 50.6 41.2 45.0 52.8 54.8 51.4 58.6 2041 50.0 40.3 44.7 52.2 54.0 50.6 58.7 2046 49.6 39.6 44.4 51.8 53.4 50.0 58.3

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138

Dependency Ratios

PMEDS-D TABLE 19: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 1.94 2.15 2.00 1.87 1.91 1.91 1.92 1996 1.98 2.18 2.02 1.95 1.91 1.94 1.96 2001 1.94 2.09 2.01 1.92 1.85 1.93 1.95 2006 1.93 2.08 2.02 1.90 1.82 1.91 1.93 2011 1.93 2.10 2.04 1.89 1.81 1.91 1.93 2016 1.97 2.18 2.11 1.93 1.86 1.96 1.99 2021 2.04 2.27 2.20 1.98 1.91 2.02 2.05 2026 2.09 2.35 2.27 2.04 1.97 2.08 2.10 2031 2.14 2.43 2.32 2.08 2.00 2.12 2.10 2036 2.16 2.47 2.33 2.10 2.02 2.15 2.09 2041 2.17 2.51 2.34 2.11 2.03 2.17 2.08 2046 2.18 2.55 2.35 2.12 2.05 2.19 2.09

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PMEDS-D TABLE 20: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION <20 RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .53 .63 .53 .50 .58 .51 .72 1996 .53 .58 .52 .52 .56 .50 .73 2001 .50 .51 .48 .50 .52 .47 .71 2006 .46 .47 .46 .47 .48 .44 .66 2011 .43 .43 .44 .43 .45 .41 .62 2016 .42 .42 .42 .42 .44 .40 .62 2021 .42 .42 .43 .42 .44 .40 .64 2026 .43 .42 .44 .42 .44 .40 .66 2031 .43 .42 .44 .43 .44 .40 .65 2036 .42 .41 .44 .42 .43 .40 .64 2041 .42 .40 .43 .41 .42 .39 .63 2046 .41 .40 .43 .41 .42 .39 .63

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139

PMEDS-D TABLE 21: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION 65+ RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .22 .25 .22 .22 .21 .24 .06 1996 .24 .27 .24 .24 .22 .24 .07 2001 .25 .27 .26 .25 .22 .25 .08 2006 .26 .29 .28 .25 .22 .26 .10 2011 .28 .33 .32 .27 .24 .28 .12 2016 .33 .40 .38 .31 .28 .32 .17 2021 .38 .49 .46 .35 .33 .38 .21 2026 .45 .58 .54 .41 .40 .44 .26 2031 .50 .67 .60 .46 .44 .50 .29 2036 .53 .72 .62 .49 .47 .53 .29 2041 .54 .76 .63 .50 .49 .55 .27 2046 .56 .80 .64 .52 .50 .57 .27

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PMEDS-D TABLE 22: PROJECTED DEPENDENCY RATIOS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- POPULATION <20 & 65+ RELATIVE TO LABOUR FORCE FOR-- YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 .76 .88 .75 .72 .79 .75 .78 1996 .77 .85 .77 .76 .79 .75 .79 2001 .74 .78 .75 .74 .74 .72 .79 2006 .72 .76 .74 .72 .70 .69 .76 2011 .71 .76 .76 .70 .68 .69 .75 2016 .75 .82 .81 .72 .71 .72 .79 2021 .81 .91 .89 .77 .77 .78 .85 2026 .87 1.00 .98 .83 .84 .85 .92 2031 .93 1.09 1.04 .89 .88 .90 .94 2036 .95 1.13 1.06 .91 .90 .93 .93 2041 .96 1.16 1.05 .92 .91 .95 .90 2046 .97 1.20 1.07 .93 .93 .96 .90

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140

Number of Households and Household Size

PMEDS-D TABLE 24: PROJECTED NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 10288 814 2701 3758 1708 1280 27 1996 11155 868 2883 4060 1824 1487 32 2001 11990 907 3018 4421 1983 1628 33 2006 12787 941 3153 4762 2122 1774 35 2011 13567 976 3275 5107 2252 1919 38 2016 14333 1010 3390 5456 2376 2061 41 2021 15039 1033 3486 5796 2485 2195 44 2026 15582 1040 3534 6082 2568 2312 47 2031 15999 1035 3549 6326 2629 2411 49 2036 16269 1017 3531 6513 2668 2490 51 2041 16436 990 3493 6661 2689 2550 53 2046 16524 957 3448 6777 2691 2596 55

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PMEDS-D TABLE 25: PROJECTED HOUSEHOLD SIZE CANADA (SUM) ID: STANDARD (AS OF 17/JAN/00) DATE: 25JAN2000---------------------------------------------------------------------------- AREA YEAR --------------------------------------------------------------------- CAN ATL QUE ONT PRA BC NOR----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1991 2.72 2.91 2.62 2.77 2.75 2.64 3.29 1996 2.66 2.74 2.52 2.73 2.70 2.61 3.08 2001 2.59 2.62 2.45 2.66 2.64 2.53 3.02 2006 2.52 2.52 2.38 2.60 2.58 2.48 2.95 2011 2.47 2.44 2.33 2.55 2.51 2.42 2.88 2016 2.41 2.36 2.28 2.49 2.45 2.38 2.82 2021 2.36 2.29 2.24 2.44 2.40 2.33 2.77 2026 2.33 2.25 2.22 2.41 2.37 2.30 2.76 2031 2.31 2.21 2.21 2.38 2.34 2.28 2.75 2036 2.29 2.19 2.20 2.36 2.31 2.26 2.74 2041 2.28 2.17 2.19 2.35 2.30 2.25 2.72 2046 2.27 2.15 2.19 2.34 2.29 2.24 2.71

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141

SEDAP RESEARCH PAPERS

Number Title Author(s)

No. 1: Population Aging and Its Economic Costs: A Survey of theIssues and Evidence

F.T. DentonB.G. Spencer

No. 2: How Much Help Is Exchanged in Families?Towards an Understanding of Discrepant Research Findings

C.J. RosenthalL.O. Stone

No. 3: Did Tax Flattening Affect RRSP Contributions? M.R. Veall

No. 4: Families as Care-Providers Versus Care-Managers? Gender andType of Care in a Sample of Employed Canadians

C.J. RosenthalA. Martin-Matthews

No. 5: Alternatives for Raising Living Standards W. Scarth

No. 6: Transitions to Retirement: Determinants of Age of SocialSecurity Take Up

E. Tompa

No. 7: Health and Individual and Community Characteristics: A ResearchProtocol

F. BélandS. BirchG. Stoddart

No. 8: Disability Related Sources of Income and Expenses: AnExamination Among the Elderly in Canada

P. RainaS. Dukeshire M. DentonL.W. Chambers A. ScanlanA. GafniS. FrenchA. JoshiC. Rosenthal

No. 9: The Impact of Rising 401(k) Pension Coverage on Future PensionIncome

W.E. EvenD.A. Macpherson

No. 10: Income Inequality as a Canadian Cohort Ages: An Analysis of theLater Life Course

S.G. Prus

No. 11: Are Theories of Aging Important? Models and Explanations inGerontology at the Turn of the Century

V.L. BengtsonC.J. RiceM.L. Johnson

No. 12: Generational Equity and the Reformulation of Retirement M.L. Johnson

142

SEDAP RESEARCH PAPERS

Number Title Author(s)

No. 13: Long-term Care in Turmoil M.L. JohnsonL. CullenD. Patsios

No. 14: The Effects of Population Ageing on the Canadian Health CareSystem

M.W. Rosenberg

No. 15: Projections of the Population and Labour Force to 2046: Canada F.T. DentonC.H. FeaverB.G. Spencer

No. 16: Projections of the Population and Labour Force to 2046: TheProvinces and Territories

F.T. DentonC.H. FeaverB.G. Spencer

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