sec1_group9_nabsico
TRANSCRIPT
RJR NabiscoA Leveraged Buyout
Special Committee
Leo LeungAaron Ng
Marcus LamJennie LiuWendy Ma
Agenda• LBO Evaluation• Value of Company
Pre-bidManagementKKR
• Sources of Gains• Use of One-Round Auction• Bid Recommendation
LBO Evaluation• Low debt level• Sufficient tangible assets• Steady growth of sales and stream of
cash flows• Not a volatile industry• Little capital investment required• Undervalued
Good Candidate
Pre-Bid Operating Strategy
• E(rd):1987 interest expense / debt level
• E(re): CAPMRisk Free Rate: 10-year US T-Bills in 1989Market return: 1982 to 1987 NYSE annual returnBeta: 1987 regression data
)()1)(( ed rEED
EtrEED
DWACC
Pre-Bid Operating Strategy
• Projected cash flows 1989 to 1998: Cash flows available for capital
paymentsFuture growth after 1998: 3%
1187.)1451(.133,11204,5
133,11)34.1)(0940(.133,11204,5
204,5
Pre-Bid Operating Strategy
• Present value of cash flows: $28,276• Current Debt: $5,204• Equity: $23,072• Number of Shares: 247.4• Value per Share: $93.26
Management’s Operating Strategy
• E(rd) 1989 to 1998 interest expense / avg. debt level
• E(re): CAPMRisk Free Rate: 10-year US T-Bills in 1989Market return: 1982 to 1987 NYSE annual returnBeta: 1987 regression data
)()1)(( ed rEED
EtrEED
DWACC
Management’s Operating Strategy
• Present value of cash flows: $34,512• Current Debt: $5,204• Equity: $29,308• Number of Shares: 247.4• Value per Share: $134.24
1026.)1517(.202,4186,11
202,4)34.1)(1276(.202,4186,11
186,11
KKR’s Operating Strategy
• Present value of cash flows: $38,416• Current Debt: $5,204• Equity: $33,212• Number of Shares: 247.4• Value per Share: $118.46
1106.)1584(.4115932,18
4115)34.1)(1518(.4115932,18
932,18
Sources of Gains• Pre-Bid
From continuous operations• Management
From continuous operations through better management
Sale of food business Cost cutting & operational improvements Tax shields
• KKR From continuous operations Sale of non-essential assets Cost cutting & operational improvements Tax Shields
Use of One-Round Auction• Pros
Forces bidders to deliver their most competitive offer
Most time and cost efficientBids are more comparable
• ConsDoes not allow for follow-up counter offers
• AlternativeMultiple-round auction
Management Bid
Not converted ConvertedCash: $90 $90PIK preferred: $ 6 $ 6Convertible: $ 4 $18.26
$100 $114.26
@85% projected firm value: $111.52 @115% projected firm value: $116.99Note: Convertible stock is callable by company
KKR Bid
Not converted ConvertedCash: $75 $75PIK preferred: $ 11 $ 11Convertible: $ 8 $26.67
$94 $112.67
@85% projected firm value: $108.67 @115% projected firm value: $116.67
Value Comparison
• Pre-Bid: $93.26• Management: $134.24• KKR: $118.46
• Management Bid: $100.00• KKR Bid: $112.67
Bid Recommendation Management KKR
Value Higher LowerEquity Lower HigherDebt Higher LowerPIK Lower HigherCallable Yes NoCash offer Higher LowerTotal offer Lower Higher
Better Offer!
Questions?