science advisory committee 22 november 2005 huntsville, al

SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005

Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration

Science Advisory Committee

22 November 2005

Huntsville, AL

2006 Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation Plans



2006 Regional Modeling & DA

Short-term Goals

1. MODIS SST Assimilation Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results Identify Case studies in operational system for assessment MAP 05 (Project Hurricane)—MODIS SST sensitivity studies?

2. AIRS Profiles in ADAS Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results Collaborate with Brewster (OU) on Gulf return flow Provide OU with intellectual property



Longer-term Considerations for SPoRT Modeling Activities…


Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration Coupled Earth SYSTEM

Modeling andData Assimilation

System for Earth-Sun Science

2005 Project Hurricane

2006 NASA Modeling Environment

fvGCM (GEOS4)

GEOS-5

JCSDA/GSI Project Columbia

The NASA Modeling, Assimilation, and Prediction (MAP) Environment:

Integrating Earth System Modeling and Observations



The NASA Modeling Environment Components Added as Program Evolves

Pro

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Crosscutting ThemesFocus Areas

Model, Analysis, Prediction Program / Multi-investigator proposals

CoreIntegration

Team

ExternalNRA

Proposals

ES

MFMAP

ModelingEnvironment

CMAI GMI ECCO IIGISS

Model E

…



•Coupled atm/lsm•Land/atm exchange

•Data assimilation•Regional climate model•Global lightning distribution

National Applications

•AIRS q and radiance

•Lightning and precipitation intensity•Cloud initialization•Data Assimilation

•Process Studies•Land/Atm exchange•Validation

•MODIS LST & SST•AIRS Profiles•Data assimilation

•Lightning and precipitation intensity•Cloud initialization

Science Focus Areas

Short Term Prediction

SPoRTSPoRTCenterCenter

Research and Transition• Advanced Algorithm

Development• Data Analysis• Process Studies and

Modeling• Regional Data

Assimilation

• Training• Benchmarking• Assessments

NESDIS

NCEPNWS

JCSDA

FSL

Universities

CIMSS

AMU

Aviation

Energy Management

Water Management

AgriculturalEfficiency

Air Quality

Homeland Security

External Influences on SPoRT……

Data Assimilation Framework•Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation•Supported by NOAA, NASA, DoD•FSL, NCEP, GMAO (JCSDA)•McCarty NASA Fellowship

WRF Dynamic Core & Physics•NCEP NMM•Optimal physics configuration

Support NASA Mission•MAP•NEWS•Human Space Flight



2006 Regional Modeling & DA

Longer-term

1. AIRS Radiances in GSI In collaboration with GMAO/JCSDA McCarty NASA Fellowship

2. Lightning Data Assimilation NASA NRC Post-Doc proposal pending (Themis Chronis/UCONN) CloudSat/Calipso Microphysics (Model validation/assessment)

3. Coupled WRF/LIS Implementation Collaboration with GSFC (Peters-Lidard, Tao) ESMF Transition Testbed (MAP Initiative?)



25km

NASA Land Information System

1km

High-resolution (enabled by LIS):-See small, medium, large cities-Demonstrate impact of EOS-era observations (e.g., MODIS)

Traditional resolution (before

LIS):-See only large size urban areas-Over predict magnitude of heat island (nonlinear averaging)



2. Overview: LIS Science and Data Flow

Topography,Soils

Land Cover, Vegetation Properties

Meteorology

Snow Soil MoistureTemperature

Land Surface Models

Data Assimilation Modules

Soil Moisture &

Temperature

Evaporation

Runoff

SnowpackProperties

Inputs OutputsPhysics

Weather/Climate

Water Resources

HomelandSecurity

Military Ops

Natural Hazards

Applications

LIS Structure



Coupled Earth System Modeling

Interoperability with standards:• The Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF)

• Assistance for Land Modeling Activities (ALMA)

•NCEP/EMC—K. Mitchell CollaborationLIS

Ocean Models

Atmos. Models

WithLIS12-Hours Ahead

Atmospheric Model

Forecasts

LIS Impact Example: Coupling the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model

ObservedRainfall Without

LIS



GMI chemistry

Modelers Integrate Components From Different Sources ESMF Accelerates Development Cycle

GMAO LSM

GMAO physics

GFDL dynamics

NASA AGCM For Climate and Weather

GMU ocean

LANL sea ice model

Add In The Assimilation Components And Satellite Data Earth Science Applications + Future Mission Design

GMAO ocean biology



Coupled LIS-WRF System

NASA Energy and Water Study Land-atmosphere interactions Cloud and precipitation processes

NASA Modeling and Analysis Program Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results Feeds into Nowcasting task

SPoRT collaboration with GSFC Terrestrial Hydrology and Atm Dynamics Programs

A vision for spring 2007….

science advisory committee 22 november 2005 huntsville, al

Documents