saturday night fever, murder on the - 国立環境研究所 · centre for urban and regional...
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Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Saturday Night Fever,Murder On theMurder On the Dance floor,
Cli ChClimate Change, Cities and
CollaborationDr Sebastian Carney
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitiga
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitigation actions scientifically robust?
• It is easy to be critical.
• The solutions appear simple• The solutions appear simple.• Reduce energy we consume
Ch th• Change the energy we consume
• Change the way we generate energy
f h h• A mixture of the three.
• Clumsy solutions, Complex Worlds.
EU CO2 Emissions 1990‐2006..2050
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
EU CO2 Emissions 1990 2006..2050
83BnTonnes CO
65BnTonnes CO2
83BnTonnes CO2
EU CO2 Emissions upto 2152
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
EU CO2 Emissions upto 2152
65BnTonnes CO22
65BnTonnes CO2
A safe level of release?A safe level of release?
EU CO2 Emissions beyond
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
EU CO2 Emissions beyond
65BnTonnes CO22
65B T CO 83BnTonnes CO
83BnTonnes CO2
65BnTonnes CO283BnTonnes CO2
A safe level of release?A safe level of release?
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitiga
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitigation actions scientifically robust?
• Image projects• Timeframe for actionTimeframe for action
• Is climate change the over‐riding purpose?
G d b d h li k• Grand statements – but do they link to national and international policy?• How do we allocate the emissions reduction targets?
T l S ?• Totals, or Sectors?
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitiga
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitigation actions scientifically robust?
Which aspects are not addressed or weakly
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Which aspects are not addressed or weaklyaddressed?
• Creative accounting, double accounting and obsessive accounting (where we were or are?)
• Avoiding difficult/controversial tasks.• The UK is responsible for 1/3 of Europe’s International Aviation Emissions.
• Competing Silos
• A fear of large emissions sources.
• The baseline year, importance? Meeting targets.
Whi h t t dd d kl dd
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Which aspects are not addressed or weakly addressed?
• Difficulties with understanding.• The GRIP Scenario Process A quantitative energyThe GRIP Scenario Process A quantitative energy scenario process – 300+ Stakeholders participating less than 10 have every quantified their future.y q
• Competing Silos – lack of integration.
• Focus between city boundary and outside• Focus between city boundary and outside.
• Totals rather than sectors.
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Communicating the Issue
Does staying below 2degrees C mean 1.99 or 2.99?
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Communicating the Issue
The atmosphere is only 0.038% CO2
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
What is the state of linkages between the scienceand the policies action and how such
li k b h d?linkages can be enhanced?
• “Scientific knowledge is a public good but it is not a free d” (C ll )good” (Callon)
• Academics, Boundary organisations, Consultants, NGO’s – the media and others – Collaborate.
• Communication ‐ Time Consuming, but vital.
• (over what?)
• Is climate change the focal issue for policy makers?
• Mitigation, a focus on past trends, or new, future pathways (a li t ti li ti )climate perspective or an energy policy perspective)
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
What is the state of linkages between the scienceand the policies action and how such
li k b h d?linkages can be enhanced?
• Building networks.– EUCO2 Project
– NARC
– CUPN
• Being clear on our audienceP li k Ci il S– Policy makers, Civil Servants,
– Top Down, Bottom Up.
• Being clear on our abilities and responsibiities• Being clear on our abilities and responsibiities
• Policy Time Frames
i b l
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Overcoming our obstacles
NIMBYNIMBYsBANANAsBANANAs NIMTOOsandNOPEs
Participating Regions (EUCO )
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Participating Regions (EUCO2)
• Attica (Athens) Bologna Province Brussels‐Attica (Athens), Bologna Province, BrusselsCapital Region, Frankfurt/Rhein‐Main, Glasgow and the Clyde Valley Hamburg MRGlasgow and the Clyde Valley, Hamburg MR, Comunidad de Madrid, Napoli, Oslo, Osrednjeslovenska regija (Ljubljana) Ile deOsrednjeslovenska regija (Ljubljana), Ile de France (Paris), Porto, Rotterdam, Stockholm, Stuttgart MR Torino VenetoStuttgart MR, Torino, Veneto…
• Sacramento, CA; Washington, DC; Shanghai, CN; South AmericaCN; South America
h j
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
The EUCO2 Project
1) Inventory
2) Scenarios
3) Plans
Emissions with GRIP level
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Emissions, with GRIP level60,000.00
50,000.00
30,000.00
40,000.00
Level 3
Level 2
10,000.00
20,000.00Level 1
0.00
Emissions by Sector & Sub Sector
Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology
School of Environment and Development
Emissions by Sector & Sub‐Sector60,000.00
50,000.00
Agriculture
30,000.00
40,000.00Agriculture
Waste
Industrial Processes
Fugitive
Transport
10,000.00
20,000.00
p
Services
Industry
Residential
Energy Industry
0.00