santos presentation sa roundtable 11 nov 2019 [read-only]energymining.sa.gov.au › __data ›...
TRANSCRIPT
Cooper BasinSouth and East coast gas supply growth
1959 Innamincka 1
1963Gidgealpa 2First gas discovery
1969Moomba PlantFirst domestic gas supply
1983Port BonythonFirst liquids Shipment
1992Cross border gasFirst sales
2015GLNGFirst supply to LNG
2019+Build& Grow
2
Cooper BasinObjectives
+ 20+ year Reserve/Production life
+ Production plateau/new play growth
+ Swing producer to East Coast
+ Leveraged carbon business
How?
+ Disciplined operating model
+ Leveraged data, knowledge and technology
+ Balanced capital allocation (target inventory)
+ Prudent infrastructure re-lifing Horizontal Drilling
Fracturestimulation
~70% of drilled conventional 2C converts to 2P
CCS
CO2
inje
ctio
n in
to
depl
eted
rese
rvoi
rs
Grow annual production to 17-19mmboe by 2025
A disciplined operating modelImproved efficiencies are delivering growth
3
50% 72%
201567
72%
4.8
2.42018
2016
Well costUS$million
Wells drilledno. of wells / year
ReservesReplacement Ratio
Low-cost, efficient drilling enables…
improved capital efficiency and more wells leading to…
increased production and reserves replacement.
2017 2018
5
32
722015
2015-
2019LE
115
With drilling efficiencies and <US$40/BBL Upstream FCFBP realised, risk tolerance rises, programme mix is more balanced – and new reserves and resources result
4
Renewed focus on appraisal and wildcat exploration
98
29941
Prospective* 2C resources 2P reserves
Developed Undeveloped
Reserve estimates are as at 31 December 2018
Cooper Basin Reserve / ResourcesNet mmboe
+ Wildcat exploration – new play maturation & running room, material resource adds
+ NFE exploration – rate, liquids, quick cycle tie-back and acreage management
+ Appraisal activity – unlocking reserves, project framing
+ Development drilling –undeveloped to developed 2P, quick cycle tie-back
22%
30%
49%
Drilling Program Composition2019 Estimate
Prospective Resource
Contingent Resource
UndevelopedReserve
* Indicative volumes are sum of the unrisked mean
Deploying an increased proportion of wells utilising horizontal, frac, and UBD technologies
Case Studies+ Underbalanced drilling+ Carbon Capture and Storage+ Appraisal – Moomba South Patchawarra+ Exploration – Moomba new plays
– Deep coal: Liquids-rich gas
Narrows key uncertainties
6
Underbalanced drilling
10s bcfLow PressureReservoirs
100s bcfFracture StimulationReplacement
>100bcfEvaluationof rate while drilling
* Volumes reflect “forecast” 2P conversion “from undeveloped to developed reserves using UBD development”, as well as 2P Addition
UBD is the only technology which has been consistently successful in developing low pressure Cooper reservoirs Moomba South - Toolachee
Informed go forward completion decisionsBarrolka
Capex reduction and productivity uplift by effectively developing stacked, variably depleted sands, without fracture stimulationDullingari
7
Cooper Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) project
+ 2018 CCS Concept defined
+ 2019 1H Appraisal drilling complete
+ 2019 Q4 CO2 injection test
+ 2020 Q1 facilities FEED entry
+ 2020 H2 FID CCS project
+ 2022 CO2 injection and storage
Gidgealpa
MOOMBA
Tirrawarra
Della
StrzeleckiCentral
CO2 transmission pipeline
MOOMBA Compress Dehydrate FACILITY OPTIONALITYGidgealpa, Tirrawarra,
Della, Central, Strzelecki
Injection wells
High graded Cooper Basin CO2 storage
locations
+ Contingent Patchawarra resource located beneath historical Toolache-Daralingie production
+ Significant reserves and historical production in adjacent fields
+ Incremental upside emerging (granite, wash)
+ 2019 Q4 Phase 2 – planning 8 well pilot program
+ 2020 H1 Phase 2 Execution / planning full development
Monetising a large contingent and prospective resource opportunity
8
Appraisal - Moomba South
8.7mmscf/d
up toHigherliquids
Lower
8Wells
(Phase 1)
2018 Appraisal Campaign
650Bcf
2C CRevaluated
milli
met
res
10,330ft 10,389ft
Granite Wash Fresh GraniteWeathered Granite
milli
met
res
milli
met
res
10,277ft
9
Exploration new plays - Moomba
+ Thick intervals of gas-saturated granite, weathered granite, alluvial fans
+ Challenging , complex reservoir+ Proven sustained flow in multiple tests + 2019 Planning, reservoir characterisation,
additional coring and horizontal drilling+ 2020 Bespoke fracture stimulation designs
New incremental reserves and material contingent resource adds in complex old reservoirs
10%porosity
5mD kaporosity
Moomba 72 @
9865ftWeatheredGranite
Porosity / Permeability NetworkMatrix
Micro-porosity / fractures
Open fractures
Exfoliation Joints
Cooper deep coal: Liquids-rich gasTransformational play potential
4.7TcfProspective Resource*mapped
+ Material and scalable+ Proven sustained flow in multiple tests, repeatable
PLTs + 2019 Horizontal well planning / frac design trials+ 2020 Drill horizontal seeks to establish
commercial rate thresholds and step-change EUR/well
0.2mmscf/dP50 Qi per coal seam(vertical)
30bbl/mmscfTypical Tirrawarracoal condensate to gas ratio
* On a raw, gross and unrisked basis
0.01
0.1
1
Probability
Qi per stage Permian Deep Coal FracsLognormal Distribution
Qi p
er s
tage
fro
m
initi
al M
PLT
mm
scf/d
P50
P90
P10
0.17
0.05
0.45
11
Summary
60 YearsSince Innamincka‐1 spud
Vision
2025Transform, Build and Grow
First gas
Moomba Plant
Port Bonython
Cooper Oil
LNG Export
CCS
Swing producer into domestic and export markets
Horizontal DrillingLeverage technology and dataThroughout the project cycle
Transform50 YearsSince first pipeline gas
17 -19