Russian experience concerning GAINS

model application:

implementation of the joint project

FSUE “SRI Atmosphere" - IVL – IIASA

Morozova

Irina

FSUE «SRI Atmosphere»

Head of the department for the scientific-methodological grounds of expertise, environmental impact assessment, transboudary

transport and state accounting

(ОНМО ЭВТПиГУ)

E-mail: sriatm@yandex.ru

Tel. +7 812 297 45 14

Swedish-Russian project

«Development of the cooperation under the Convention on long-

range transboundary air pollution»

EP-07

The main goal of the project:

To increase the awareness level concerning air

pollution and to strengthen the political profile

of the activities carried out in the Russian

Federation within the framework of the

Convention.

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Convention on long-range transboundary

air pollution

Signed by the USSR in 1979

Ratified by the USSR in 1980

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Federal Law № 96 from May 4, 1996

ON ATMOSPHERIC AIR PROTECTION

Article 20. Transboundary pollution of the atmospheric air

In order to decrease the transboundary pollution of the atmospheric air generated by sources of pollutant (harmful) emissions located at the territory of the Russian Federation, it should provide the necessary support in order to carry out the activities aimed at the pollutant (harmful) emission reductions, as well as implement other activities in accordance with the international RF obligations in the field of atmospheric air protection.

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Protocols to the ConventionDate of signing

1. Protocol on Long-term Financing of the Cooperative Programme for Monitoring and Evaluation of the Long-range Transmission of Air Pollutants in Europe (EMEP)

Geneva,

1984

2. Protocol on the Reduction of Sulphur Emissions or their

Transboundary Fluxes by at least 30 per cent

Helsinki,

1985

3. Protocol concerning the Control of Nitrogen Oxides or their

Transboundary Fluxes

Sofia,

1988

4. Protocol concerning the Control of Volatile Organic Compounds

or their Transboundary Fluxes

Geneva,

1991

5. Protocol on Further Reduction of Sulphur EmissionsOslo,

1994

6. Protocol on Heavy MetalsAarhus,

1998

7. Protocol on Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs) Aarhus,

1998

8. Protocol to Abate Acidification, Eutrophication and Ground-

level Ozone

Gothenburg

1999 4

The functions of the head federal agency of the

executive authority responsible for the

fulfillment by the Russian Federation of the

obligations under the

Convention on long-range transboundary air

pollution

are performed by the

Ministry of Natural Resources and

Environment of the Russian Federation

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Extended EMEP gridspatial grid size = 50 km at latitude of 60º,

132x159 cells

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The gross atmospheric pollutant emissions

in the RF subjects in 2006

(thousands of tons)

The following practical goals of the

given project are considered:

1. Training of the Russian GAINS model users

2. Looking into possibilities of GAINS model applicationin order to provide the ecology-economicaloptimization of the economic and other types ofactivities carried out in the Russian Federation.

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is the tool that is needed in order to assess the environmental

impact of the various economical scenarios, as well as to

assess the efficiency of different strategies aimed at the

pollutant and greenhouse gas emission reductions.

Developer of the model

International Institute for Applied System Analysis

IIASA

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GAINS model

Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies Model

SO2

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GAINS model runs in the ONLINE mode

The current model version allows to get access to the:

Emission inventories and projections, as well as cost estimations concerning the control over pollutant atmospheric substances (SO2, NOX, VOC, PM, NH3)

Greenhouse gas emission projections and inventories (CO2, CH4, N2O и F-gases)

Projections concerning data on the main types of emission-related activity related

Control measures and costs of emission control with a view to the most efficient scenarios

Air quality indexes (atmospheric concentrations and depositions)

Health and environmental impact estimations

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The development of Russian GAINS

module will allow to

Carry out the online assessment of the environmental effects related to the adoption of the economical decisions at the

federal and regional levels (for instance, changes of the fuel-energy balance, location of the new enterprises etc.)

In particular: to carry out the online assessment of the pollutant emission change in the region;

to carry out the health and environmental impact assessment not only in the

considered region but also in other RF regions;

to carry out the cost and efficiency evaluation of the proposed emission control

measures;

etc…

We will get the useful tool that will help us to develop and adopt the decisions in the field of the environmental

protection

Maps of total nitrogen depositions caused by the Swedish

sources

subject to the actual fuel distances subject to 10x increase of coal consumption

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* - national data cover only road transport and railway transport; there is no data on marine

and air and other transport

** - 2006 data

Emission calculation results for the Leningrad region

(including Saint-Petersburg),

that were gained with a help of GAINS model

* * *

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