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    The First Shall Be Last? Entrepreneurship and Communist Cadres in the Transition fromSocialismAuthor(s): Akos Rona-TasReviewed work(s):Source: American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 100, No. 1 (Jul., 1994), pp. 40-69Published by: The University of Chicago PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2782537.

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    The

    First Shall Be Last? Entrepreneurship

    and

    Communist

    Cadres

    in

    the Transition

    from Socialism1

    Akos

    Rona-Tas

    University f California,

    an

    Diego

    This article eviews he

    ociological iteraturen the ransitionrom

    socialism to

    capitalism.

    t

    distinguishes

    etween

    the

    erosion and

    transition hases

    and

    between raditional nd corporate egments

    in the emerging rivate ector.Panel surveydata fromHungary

    show

    thatduring

    he

    transitionx-communistadresmaintain heir

    advantageousposition nd do

    especiallywell

    in

    the

    moredynamic

    corporate egment.They are successful ecause human

    capital

    is

    importantn both capitalism

    nd socialism nd because the cadres

    are

    able

    to convert

    past political

    power

    to

    economic

    advantage.

    Contrary

    o the

    findings

    f studiesbased

    only

    on

    agriculture,

    he

    transitionncreases ncome

    nequalities.

    The transition rom socialistto a capitalist conomy s a large-scale

    transformationngineered

    rom

    bove,

    in

    which ocialist ountriesmove

    theirbureaucratically

    oordinated conomies oward a market

    model.

    This

    transition equires profound

    hange

    n

    property

    elations nd a

    new set of economic nstitutions

    o form

    private

    ector.

    n

    turn,

    hese

    changes

    reate

    new economic lite nd redistribute

    roperty

    nd mate-

    rial well-being.

    n this

    process,

    ome

    people gain wealth,

    others ose

    it;

    some see their ncomes

    grow,

    while others ee a markeddeterioration

    n

    their

    arningpower.

    1

    This articlewouldnothave beenpossiblewithout hegenerosityf Tamas Kolosi,

    who provided he survey ata and

    gave advice and many uggestions

    n the course

    ofwritinghis rticle. he paper lsobenefitedromnsightsnd criticismrom 6zsef

    Borocz,JuanDiez Medrano,BarbaraGeddes,MarthaLampland, erenc

    Moksony,

    VictorNee, Victor erezDiaz, James

    Rauch,Susan Shirk, oel obel, van

    Szelenyi,

    Szonja Szelenyi, arlosWaisman,

    Andrew

    Walder,

    David

    Wank,Gergely

    imanyi,

    and theAJS reviewers.

    n

    earlier ersion

    f

    thispaperwas presentedt

    the nnual

    conferencef heAmerican ociological ssociation

    n

    1993.

    A

    largepart

    f hework

    wascompleted hile he uthorwas a fellow t theJuanMarch nstitute

    or

    Advanced

    Studies

    n the

    SocialSciences

    n

    Madrid.Correspondence aybe addressed

    o

    Akos

    R6na-Tas,Departmentf Sociology,

    niversityf California, an Diego,

    9500 Gil-

    manDrive,La Jolla,California 2093.

    ?

    1994by

    The

    University

    f

    Chicago.

    All

    rights eserved.

    0002-9602/95/10001-0002$01

    50

    40 AJS Volume 100 Number

    1

    (July 1994):

    40-69

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    Transition rom ocialism

    This article iscusses nd critiques he

    growing iteraturen thesocial

    consequences

    f the

    transition

    rom ocialism. t

    develops

    the distinction

    between he erosionofsocialism,whenonlytraditional mall-scalepri-

    vate enterprisean exist, nd the transition

    rom ocialism,whichbrings

    the novelty

    f modern

    privatecorporate ntrepreneurship.

    use

    panel

    survey

    data from

    Hungary

    to

    investigate

    wo related but analytically

    distinctssues,therecruitment

    f

    entrepreneurs

    n

    the private ector nd

    the distributional

    onsequences

    f the transition. he

    evidence uggests

    that,

    while the transition ften

    disposed

    of the top layersof the old

    political lite

    n

    a

    spectacularmanner,

    ommunist adres

    have

    not lost

    theirdvantageous conomic ositionsntheprocess.Cadresquickly ook

    advantage

    of

    thenew

    corporate egment

    f

    the

    private

    ector s

    entrepre-

    neurs.This development as increased ncome nequality, s those

    who

    hadmore nitially ained

    more han hosewho started ut with ess.

    THEORIES OF

    TRANSITION FROM SOCIALISM

    The Changing

    Elite Thesis

    In

    the sociological iterature,

    esearchers raw two

    contradictory

    onclu-

    sions bout whowilltakeadvantageof the newmarketnstitutions,ho

    will benefit

    mostfrom

    hem,

    nd as a

    consequence,

    ow this

    nstitutional

    change

    will transformhe social structure f

    postcommunist

    ocieties.

    One

    part

    of the

    literature

    uggests

    hat

    the

    main

    beneficiaries f the

    transition

    ill be those who were

    n

    less

    privileged ositions

    when

    the

    transition

    egan.

    Those

    who

    propose

    hat he

    ransition esults

    n

    a

    major

    change

    n

    the economic

    lite

    expect

    new

    group

    of

    people

    to

    emerge

    s

    a

    class

    of new

    entrepreneurs, high

    turnover t the

    top, and,

    as new

    advantages

    ccrue to

    previously nderprivileged

    roups,

    t least an

    ini-

    tial decrease n social inequalities.

    Szelenyi 1988)

    offers

    historical

    rgument

    redicting

    he circulation

    of economic lites

    see

    also

    Szelenyi

    nd

    Szelenyi1990).

    His

    interrupted

    embourgeoisementheory

    orEastern

    Europe

    is

    supported y

    an exten-

    sive

    study

    of

    household

    farming

    n

    Hungary. Szelenyi

    found that the

    amount of land held

    by

    the

    head of

    householdor

    his

    parents

    before

    the communist akeoverhad a

    positive

    ssociationwith the

    ncome the

    household

    produced

    n

    its

    privateplot

    n

    1980 Szelenyi1988, pp. 129-

    34). People

    most active

    n

    privatefarming,egalized

    and

    supported y

    the communisttate nHungary rom heearly1960s,were thosewhose

    familieswere

    already acquainted

    with

    market

    production

    n

    the mid-

    1940s and who could draw on precommunist

    emories r a "habitus"

    (Bourdieu 1977, pp. 72-95)

    of market ulture ransmitted

    y their ami-

    lies Kovaich 988). He concludes hat

    he

    emergingmarket

    n

    agriculture

    41

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    AmericanJournal f Sociology

    is a continuation f a long-term istorical rend, nterruptedy the com-

    munist xperiment.

    Having had large- r

    even

    moderate-sizedandholdingswas a serious

    liability

    n

    thefirst ecade of communism,nd the ife hancesof better-

    offpeasants,

    or

    kulaks,

    and their hildren

    were seriously mpairedby

    policies

    of

    collectivization. hus, household arming

    n

    the 1980s eemed

    to be

    a

    consolationprizefor

    the middle-

    and large-holding easantry

    mistreated

    n

    the

    earlyyears

    of communism.

    zelenyi

    1988) shows that

    the

    few

    who

    became cadres

    despite

    heir

    ackground

    were ess

    likely o

    participate

    n

    market-oriented

    rivate farming. zelenyi'stheory hus

    predicts hat new economic litewillemerge rom elow, from group

    whosehistorical

    scendencewas

    aggressivelynterruptedy

    four

    ecades

    of ocialism nd

    which

    will

    now reclaim

    ts

    elite

    position

    rom

    ommunist

    cadres

    see

    also Konra'd

    nd

    Szelenyi1991, pp. 348-49).

    While

    Szelenyi

    restricts is empirical nalysis oprivatehousehold arming, e extends

    his theory f embourgeoisement

    o activities

    eyond agricultural mall

    production1988, pp. 53-54).

    One

    of

    the curious

    findings

    f

    Szelenyi'swork

    is

    that, while cadres

    were ess

    likely o engage

    n

    household arming, nce theyhad decided

    to do it the value of theirproductionwas higher han that of other

    farmers

    1988, p. 131). Moreover,focusing nly

    on

    producers ngaged

    in

    very

    ntensive

    market

    roduction,

    e found hat

    adreshad an

    advan-

    tage

    in

    entering

    hat

    group

    and

    also

    received a

    positive

    return

    within

    that

    group

    for

    being

    a

    cadre

    p. 145).

    Observingprivate family

    farms

    n

    China

    in

    the

    1980s,

    Nee

    (1989,

    1991) offers theory

    f structural

    ompensation

    o

    explain the market

    transition. e formulates

    is

    theory

    n

    three heses:

    1)

    the

    market

    ower

    thesis

    ostulates hat,

    with

    he

    emergence

    f

    the

    market,

    entral istribu-

    torswill losepowerand direct roducerswillhave morediscretion ver

    the

    erms f

    exchange

    ftheir

    oods

    and

    services; 2)

    themarket ncentive

    thesis

    claims that

    there are

    greater

    ncentives or

    ndividual

    effort

    n

    market

    ransactions

    han

    n

    the ocialist

    ector,

    whichwill result

    n

    higher

    returns

    n

    education; inally,3)

    themarket

    pportunity

    hesismaintains

    that reforms

    n

    the

    direction

    f marketization ill create

    new

    avenues

    for

    mobility

    nd

    will

    provide

    n alternative

    o

    bureaucratic dvancement

    (1989, pp. 666-67;

    see

    also

    Jenkins 990).

    Nee assertsthat "the more

    complete

    he shift

    o market

    oordination,

    he ess

    likely

    hat

    economic

    transactions illbe embedded nnetworks ominated y cadres, nd the

    more

    ikelypower-control

    over resources-will be located

    in

    market

    institutionsnd

    in

    social networks

    . . of

    privatebuyers

    nd sellers"

    (1989, p. 668).

    Nee derives everal

    hypotheses,

    ne of

    which

    predicts

    hat

    "not

    only

    are

    thedirect ontrollers

    fthe

    redistributive echanism

    ikely

    o

    experi-

    42

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    Transition

    rom ocialism

    ence

    a

    relative

    oss, but the

    value of their

    political apital

    accumulated

    through rior

    experience s cadre

    is

    likely

    o

    diminish

    s

    well" (1989,

    p. 671). Cadres are relatively isadvantaged, s theyhave "little or

    no net advantage

    in

    entering nto private

    entrepreneurship"1989, p.

    671). Nee presents

    vidence hrough

    urvey ata forChinesehouseholds

    from ujian province.Although

    e

    admits

    hatpoliticalpower

    seems to

    have utility or

    entrepreneurs,

    e

    claims

    that his data supportall his

    hypotheses.

    In

    a later rticle

    Nee (1991) extends

    his

    theory f change

    n

    the struc-

    ture of

    power,

    ncentives,

    nd

    opportunities

    o include ts

    implications

    about change n thestructuref outcomes.Nee's underlyingrgument

    is that, s previouslyess advantaged

    groups

    benefit rom he transition,

    inequalities

    hould not

    increase. His markettransition heory nd

    its

    extension

    o economic

    nequalities ely

    n

    the

    assumptions

    f

    compensat-

    ing advantages nd of structural

    etermination.

    The assumption

    f compensatingdvantages argues

    that the formal

    mode of economic

    coordination-bureaucratic

    r market-determines

    the distribution

    f

    income

    across

    positions.

    Bureaucratic

    oordination

    will favor

    one set of

    positions y

    rewarding

    hem

    highly,

    while market

    coordinationwill favor another et the same way; thesetwo sets are

    mutually xclusive,

    n

    assumption

    mplicit

    n

    Szelenyi's

    nterrupted

    m-

    bourgeoisementheory

    s

    well.

    Thus,

    certain

    ositions

    not

    preferred y

    bureaucratic oordination

    ill

    be

    better

    ompensated

    n

    the

    market

    see

    also

    Manchin

    and

    Szele'nyi 987).

    The

    assumption f structural

    eterminationontends

    hat ndividuals

    and households

    an

    be

    fully

    escribed

    by

    the

    positions

    hat

    the

    system

    of coordination

    llocates

    for hem.

    A

    change

    n

    the

    form f

    coordination

    will

    result

    n

    a change

    in the

    remuneration f

    positions,

    because the

    transitionmeansthe ntroductionf a new economicprinciplewith ts

    own

    exclusive

    et of

    preferred ositions,

    none of which

    had

    been

    pre-

    ferred

    p

    until

    then.

    Changing

    he

    remunerationf

    positions,

    n

    turn,

    means

    changing

    he remunerationf

    individuals

    nd

    households,

    s

    no

    one can

    slip

    out

    of

    his

    or herown

    position.

    t

    follows hat ncome

    nequal-

    ity among

    ndividuals nd householdshas

    to

    decline,at least initially,

    because

    equality

    ncreases

    f

    thosewho

    were

    worseoff efore

    xperience

    gains.2

    Nee

    (199J)

    proceeds

    o

    show that ince he

    beginning

    fthetransi-

    tion

    to a

    market conomy

    n

    China,

    income

    nequalities

    have not

    in-

    creased, as previous iterature n developingmarket economiessug-

    gested.

    2

    Obviously,

    he

    equalizing endency

    f

    giving

    o

    the

    poor people

    belowthe

    middle

    of the ncome istribution)orks nlyup

    to a

    point, .e., until

    he

    poor rise above

    themiddle y the same amount heywereunder t.

    If

    thepoorbecome ven richer,

    inequalitiesan increase.

    43

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    American

    Journal fSociology

    Restatinghis theory,Nee admits

    the

    importance f the existence f

    the

    cadre-entrepreneur,

    ut he

    claims that t is

    a resultof

    the partial

    natureof

    the reform nd thusdoes

    not

    contradict is theory1991, p.

    269).

    Nee's revised tance on the

    cadre-entrepreneurunsthe risk that

    his

    theory ecomes mmune

    o falsification. is

    claim that

    his theory

    should

    not

    be

    testedagainst a

    partial reform

    aises the question of

    whether t is

    possible o talk about

    market

    ransition nlessreforms re

    still

    ncomplete.Without

    urther

    pecification,ny findingwill

    support

    Nee's

    theory.

    Nee's data

    (1989,

    1991)

    are

    less than

    convincing

    n

    several

    counts. Household

    ncome

    s not

    a

    good

    measure

    of

    inequality, inceit

    is heavilydependent n the number f earnersnthehousehold nd thus

    also reflects

    nequalities

    n

    household

    composition.Household

    income

    per capita

    or household

    ncome

    per

    earnerwould

    have been

    more

    ppro-

    priate.Furthermore, ee's data on

    householdncome re

    reported etro-

    spectively.

    t is

    difficulto

    believe

    that

    accurate

    data on

    peasanthouse-

    hold ncomes an be

    gathered

    0

    years

    fter

    he fact.3

    f

    we

    discounthis

    income

    figures

    or

    1975

    and

    accept

    thosefrom

    980

    and

    1984,

    we

    see a

    small ncrease

    n

    inequalities

    see

    also Riskin

    1987).

    Moreover,

    o

    sociological heory

    ftransitionrom

    ocialism o

    capital-

    ism can rely ntirelynexperiencesfagriculturaletty ommodity ro-

    duction. While both

    Szelenyi 1988)

    and

    Nee

    (1989, 1991)

    build

    their

    cases on household

    arming,

    he relevance f

    household

    arming

    hould

    be seen

    in

    the

    context

    f

    ndustrialized

    ocieties,

    where

    private

    farming

    is

    only

    one form f

    entrepreneurship.

    The

    Surviving

    lite Thesis

    In

    clear contradictiono the

    changing

    lite

    thesis,

    second and

    rapidly

    growing artof theliterature bservesthat theprimary eneficiaryf

    marketization

    s

    the old elite

    Grossman1989;

    Oi

    1989;

    Shirk

    1989, p.

    340; Stark

    1990,p. 389;

    Ren

    1990,p. 141; Prybyla

    991;

    Staniszkis

    991,

    pp. 38-52;

    Kolosi

    1991;

    Alexeev

    nd

    Gaddy 1991;

    Burawoy

    nd Krotov

    1992,p.

    34; McAuley

    1992;

    Wank

    1992;

    Rona-Tas

    1995).

    Even

    Szelenyi,

    implicitly

    ontradicting

    is

    theory

    f

    embourgeoisement,

    alls

    attention

    to the socialist

    cadres'

    ability

    o

    adapt

    to market

    nstitutions

    Szelenyi

    1986-87).

    Two sets

    of

    arguments

    ave

    been

    proposed

    for he

    survivalof

    the old elite.

    The argumentftechnocraticontinuityontends hat ocialism evel-

    3 Adding

    andom ecall rror or

    ncome igures or1975 would ncreasemeasured

    inequalitiesn thatyear, because

    the

    variance f incomes

    would increaseby the

    variance f

    the

    recall

    rror.

    alculating

    rom hat nflated

    ase would

    underestimate

    the ncreasen

    nequality.

    44

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    Transition

    rom ocialism

    oped a technocratic

    adre that

    can

    maintain

    ts

    position

    hrough ts ac-

    quired expertiseSzalai

    1990, p. 182).

    This

    pragmatic

    ew

    elite

    was

    also

    instrumental,t least

    in

    the case

    of

    Hungary,

    n bringing bout the

    transition. omparative

    tudiesof stratificationhow convincinglyhat

    educationplays

    an important ole

    in

    status

    allocation

    n

    both

    socialist

    and

    market

    ystemsConnor

    1979;

    Matras

    1980;

    Simkus

    1981; Zagorski

    et al. 1984; Haller

    and

    Mach

    1984; Haller,

    Kolosi,

    and

    Robert

    1990;

    Blau and Ruan 1990;

    Treiman nd Ganzeboom 1990). Under socialism,

    bythe1980s cadreship

    was

    strongly

    ied

    to education

    Wasilewski1985;

    Szelenyi 1987;

    Li and Bachman

    1989;

    Wasilewski

    1990;

    Li and

    White

    1990), and while n the earlyyears partymembershipnabled some to

    receive a tertiaryducation,

    n

    recentdecades most

    people joined

    the

    party opromote

    heir areers

    fter

    inishing

    heir

    ormal ducation.

    Dis-

    puting he ssumption

    f

    compensatingdvantages,

    his

    rgument

    laims

    that here

    s a common

    meritocratic-technocratic

    haracter f both

    party

    and entrepreneurial

    ecruitment

    hat

    s

    the main source of

    continuity.

    While

    one would

    expect

    shifts

    mong

    the values of different

    ypes

    of

    education

    during

    he

    transition,

    s a

    whole, people

    withmore ducation

    will do

    better

    n the

    newlyforming

    market

    ector

    han those

    with

    ess,

    and thus cadreswill be in an advantageousposition.

    The argument

    f

    power

    conversion ffers different roposition.

    While

    it

    agrees

    that the new elite

    will

    differittlefrom he old

    one,

    it

    suggests

    nother

    process.

    The

    power conversion

    hesis

    contends

    that

    power

    ccumulated

    uring

    tate ocialism s

    converted

    nto

    ssetsof high

    value

    in

    a market

    conomy.

    taniszkis

    uts

    forth he

    concept

    f

    "politi-

    cal

    capitalism"

    o

    describe

    he direct onversion f

    communist olitical

    power

    ntoeconomic

    might 1991, p. 46).

    She

    argues

    hat,

    n

    the process

    of

    the transition

    o a

    market

    conomy, trategically

    ocated

    cadres

    can

    take advantageoftheirpositionsn acquiring tateproperty. hrough

    informalhannels, xploiting

    he

    uncertainties

    f

    he

    ransition,

    adres an

    turn heir imited ontrol

    f state

    property

    nto

    quasi

    or

    real

    ownership.

    According

    o this argument, adres are at an advantage not ust

    in

    setting p

    but

    also

    in

    operating ompanies,

    because

    theycan

    use

    their

    personal

    networks

    o

    get

    access to

    valuable business nformationnd

    even to

    credit.The

    importance

    f

    personal

    ties in

    socialist

    economies,

    bothwithin nd outside

    hestate

    ector,

    s

    amply

    documentedSampson

    1986; Lampland 1987;

    Grossman

    1977; Markus 1981;

    Simis 1982; Nove

    1983, p. 78; Walder 1986,p. 181; R6na-Tas 1990,pp. 117-20; Major

    1992, p. 83; Borocz 1993a),

    but

    they ssume special

    mportance uring

    thetransition

    B6rocz

    1993b;

    Hankiss

    1990,p. 255;Prybyla 991,p. 16).

    Both

    horizontal nd vertical ies

    re

    mportant

    n postcommunistcon-

    omies.

    Socialist

    economies

    eave

    behind

    poor system

    f

    gathering nd

    disseminating

    conomic

    nformation,

    ecause under socialism nforma-

    45

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    Journal f Sociology

    tion flow

    was

    channeled hrough he center nd

    horizontal

    lowswere

    weak (Kornai1989, p. 38; 1992,pp. 127-30). In the developingmarket,

    information

    bout prices,

    demand, or the availability f

    goods is still

    very ostly oobtain, hus

    brokering etween

    market egmentss one of

    the most

    ucrative usinesses

    Staniszkis1991,

    p. 39; McAuley

    1992, p.

    98). Much precious nformations

    carried hrough

    orizontalhannels f

    personal onnectionsuring he

    transitionOi

    1989, p. 213;Wank 1992;

    R6na-Tas 1991). Cadres obtained wide

    network fconnections

    hrough

    the

    party

    rganization,

    nd these

    onnectionsurvive ven

    after he

    party

    formally eased

    to exist.

    Verticalties are equally important.All formsof vast institutional

    changesgenerate

    dditional

    ncertainties,

    ecause new

    rules, he details

    of their

    mplementation,

    nd

    their

    nintended

    onsequences

    re difficult

    to

    anticipate Bunce

    and

    Csanady 1993).

    About

    one-third f

    the

    compa-

    nies

    n

    Hungary

    re now

    engaged

    n

    what official

    tatisticsabel as "real

    estate,rental,

    nd services

    ssisting

    usiness

    ctivities."

    Having

    connec-

    tions

    n

    the state

    apparatus

    or

    local

    administration

    an

    provide

    early

    knowledge f

    new aws and

    regulations

    nd ofthe

    unwrittenules

    ftheir

    interpretation.

    ince

    the

    personnel

    f ministries

    nd

    local

    governments

    changes onlyat thetop levels and manyof the low- and middle-level

    administrators

    tay

    n

    place,

    cadres till

    have

    privileged

    ccess

    to

    ndivid-

    uals

    in

    the

    politicalbureaucracy.

    Having

    the kindof

    connections x-cadreshave is

    not a

    necessary re-

    requisite orprospering

    n

    all forms

    f

    enterprise.

    unning local shoe-

    repair

    tore r

    even

    a chicken arm

    equires ertain onnections

    ut not

    necessarily ith

    officials

    n

    ministries,anks,

    or

    the

    top

    echelons

    f

    state

    firms.

    Artisans

    r

    household

    armers

    might

    eed

    this

    type

    of

    connection

    occasionally,

    ut these

    can

    be

    found

    hrough

    riends f

    friends.

    On

    the

    otherhand,startingnd subsequentlyuccessfullyperating n import-

    export

    businessor a

    manufacturinglant requires

    onnections

    n

    high

    places,

    whichcadres are more

    ikely

    o have.

    The technocratic

    ontinuity

    rgument

    ontests he

    assumption f com-

    pensating dvantages.

    t maintains hat ocialism nd

    capitalism

    prefer

    a set of

    common,highly killed,

    echnocratic

    ositions.

    The

    power

    con-

    version hesis

    disputes

    he

    assumption

    f structural

    etermination.ndi-

    viduals

    are

    not

    playthings

    f formal

    nstitutions;

    ather, hey

    re

    adept

    at

    finding

    heir

    way

    aroundthem.

    In summary, hefour

    arguments

    ffer

    ontradictoryuggestions

    n

    who becomes an

    entrepreneur

    nd

    who will thrive s an

    entrepreneur.

    Thus, they

    mustarrive t differentonclusions

    bout

    the

    distributional

    consequences

    of the transition

    table 1).

    On the issue

    of

    recruitment,

    Szelenyi's 1988)

    interruptedmbourgeoisement

    heory

    nd Nee's

    (1989,

    1991) theory

    f structural

    ompensation

    uggest

    hat cadres will not

    be

    46

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    Transition rom ocialism

    TABLE

    1

    DISTRIBUTIONAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRANSITION FROM SOCIALISM TO CAPITALISM

    Who Has

    the

    Advantage

    Who Will

    Key

    to

    in

    Becoming Prosper s

    an

    Recruitment What Happens

    Theory/Thesis an Entrepreneur Entrepreneur and Success to Inequality

    Structural

    compensation

    .. .................

    Noncadres Noncadres Education Does not

    change

    Interrupted

    embourgeoisement

    ............

    Noncadres Cadres ?)

    Family

    ...

    background

    Power conversion .............. ....

    Cadres Cadres

    Cadre

    position

    Increases

    Technocratic

    continuity

    ....................... Cadres Cadres Education Increases

    the new

    entrepreneurs.

    he theses f technocratic

    ontinuity

    nd

    power

    conversion

    redict

    he

    opposite, hough

    hetwodescribe

    ifferentecruit-

    ment

    processes.

    As

    to

    who

    will benefitmost from

    private enterprise,

    Nee

    (1989) proposes

    n

    his market ncentive hesis hat

    people

    with

    high

    educationwillprospermore nd thatcadres as entrepreneursillenjoy

    no advantage;

    the

    technocraticontinuity

    hesis

    grees. Szelenyi'sdata

    suggest

    hat

    cadres,

    once

    they

    tart

    business,

    will

    receive return n

    their

    adreship;

    he

    power

    conversion

    hesismakes the

    same

    suggestion

    and describes

    he

    process

    of informalization

    hrough

    which the

    ghost

    of

    the defunct

    arty rganization

    an still nfluence

    utcomes.

    Finally,

    according

    o

    the

    theory

    f

    structural

    ompensation,nequalitieswill not

    grow.

    n

    contrast,

    he

    corollary

    f both the technocratic

    ontinuitynd

    power

    conversion

    rguments laiming

    he

    survivalof the

    old elite

    s

    an

    increase n inequalities.

    Erosion fromBelow versusTransition romAbove

    I

    propose

    o

    distinguish

    etween

    he

    erosion f

    the

    socialist

    conomy nd

    the transition

    o a

    market.While

    the

    erosion

    s

    initiated

    rimarily rom

    below

    by

    self-interestedndividuals

    ursuing rivategain,

    the

    transition

    is

    initiated

    rimarily

    rom

    bove, through

    ecisive

    egislative ctionwith

    the

    explicit urpose

    of

    creating

    market

    conomy.During the erosion,

    the socialist tateeither ightsheprivate ector r makesconcessions t

    considers

    emporary.

    he

    transition o a market

    conomybegins when

    the state

    makes a

    credible ommitmento create he

    egal institutionsf

    a market

    economy North 1993),

    institutionshat are

    intendedto be

    permanent,

    hat

    guarantee

    ecure

    property ights,

    nd

    that do not dis-

    criminate

    gainst

    the

    private

    ector. will

    argue

    thatthe

    changing

    lite

    47

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    theses apture n earlierperiod: he periodof

    the erosion f the socialist

    economy.4 he surviving lite rguments

    escribe laterpoint: he ctual

    transition.

    In all socialist conomies small private ector-often referredo as

    the "second economy" Grossman1977;

    Kemeny

    1982; Galasi 1985; Los

    1990)-always exists,but it is suppressed

    nd severely estricted.t is

    limited o being mall, abor ntensive, ndoften nformalnd is confined

    to

    a

    local market f households.These

    restrictionsecreasethe barriers

    of

    entry,

    s little

    apital

    is

    needed

    and as

    specialized

    killsare of little

    usebecausetheconfinedmarket nd small ize imit

    hedivision f abor.

    Moreover,these restrictionseduce the incentives orthose bestoff n

    thesocialist ector oparticipate

    n

    the second

    economy.

    In

    early stages of the erosion, he state tries

    to confine

    he

    private

    sector o theconsumer conomy Aslund1985,pp. 66, 169; Berend 1990,

    p. 189). Private ntrepreneursre restrictedo

    selling oods and services

    to consumers nd are forced o buy mostof theirraw material

    n

    the

    retailmarket Kornai 1992,p. 507). By

    building wall between

    he

    state

    and the private ectors, he stateprevents he

    flow

    f

    material esources,

    labor, and

    skill

    between he

    two sectors

    f

    the

    economy Gabor 1989, p.

    340). The very urpose fthisbarriers topreventhe lite fthe ocialist

    sector rom

    efecting o

    the

    second economy nd the eliteof

    the

    private

    sector rom uying

    ts

    way

    into

    the socialist ector.

    Duringthe

    ater

    phases

    of the

    erosion, ome restrictions

    n the

    private

    sector

    re lifted r are

    enforced

    ess

    vigorously.

    his

    loosening

    f restric-

    tions createsnew segments

    n

    the

    private

    ectorwith

    higher

    arriers

    o

    entry

    nd

    greater

    ncentives

    or

    those

    n

    the

    first

    conomy

    o

    join

    in.

    Nevertheless,

    ven

    under the boldestreforms

    many

    restrictions

    emain

    in

    place-most important,

    he

    prohibition

    f

    property

    low

    from

    he so-

    cialistto theprivate ector, he imit n the number f employees, nd

    the exclusion

    f the

    private

    ectorfrom ntire

    ections f the

    economy,

    such as health

    are, education,banking,wholesale,

    nd

    foreign

    rade-

    and state nd

    party

    fficials

    re

    still

    xplicitly,hough

    ot

    lways

    success-

    fully, arred

    from

    articipating

    n

    the

    private

    conomy.

    The

    transition emolishes

    he

    wall between he

    private

    nd

    the

    state

    sectors,

    nd the

    private

    ector

    ecomes n

    equal player

    n

    the

    economy.

    Now the

    private

    ector an

    engage

    n

    capital-intensivearge-scale

    manu-

    facturing,

    nternational

    rade, nationwide ervices,

    r

    big

    construction

    projects, ll of whichwerethe ole privilege fthe ocialist ector arlier.

    4 Atkinsonnd

    Micklewright1992,pp. 122-33) show hat here s a slight

    ncrease

    in inequalities

    lready t the end of the 1980s n Poland and Hungary, he two

    countries here he

    rosion hasedeveloped hefurthest.

    48

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    Transition

    rom ocialism

    While during

    he

    period

    of erosiontheprivatesectordoes not pose

    a

    direct hreat o

    the

    obs

    of

    cadres

    n

    thestate ector,

    he

    transition orces

    cadres

    to swimor sink.

    Therefore,

    hefurther

    he

    economy

    moves

    away

    from ocialism, hemore

    ikely

    we are to see cadrestoiling

    n

    the private

    sector.Thus, contrary

    oNee's claim,the ncompletenessf market e-

    forms

    s

    precisely

    what

    keeps

    cadres

    away

    from

    rivate nterprise.

    During the

    transition,here

    are two

    privatesectors. The

    first s a

    traditional ector,

    mostly

    he

    product

    f the erosion

    phase;

    the second

    s

    an

    expansive

    modern

    ectormade

    possible by

    the

    privatization

    f state

    property nd bynew legal forms

    f

    entrepreneurship

    hatallow

    private

    enterpriseso accumulate apital Staniszkis1991, p. 47). Hungarywas

    the

    country

    here he

    private

    ector

    eveloped

    hefurthest

    n

    theerosion

    phase. Privatefarming

    nd

    private

    onsumer ervicesbecame tolerated

    in the1960s.

    This

    happened ventually

    n

    all socialist ountries o some

    degree Rumer 1981;

    O'Hearn

    1981;

    Radio Free

    Europe 1984;

    Aslund

    1985; Cochrane 1988;

    Ronnas

    1989;

    Zubek

    1991).

    Hungary,however,

    made another

    tep

    in

    1982,

    when

    private

    ndividualswere allowed to

    form

    mall business

    artnerships

    nd to make contracts

    ith tatefirms.

    The

    1982

    law was not meant to

    be a first

    tep

    in

    the transition o

    a

    market conomy ut a temporary easure ocopewith ome ofthemany

    problems aced by

    the socialist conomy Rona-Tas 1995). The lack of

    political

    commitmento

    a

    private

    ectorwas

    apparent

    from

    he

    many

    restrictionshat werekept

    n

    place, such

    as limits n size, credit, nd

    foreign rade,

    nd

    from he

    forcing

    f these

    partnerships

    o

    operate

    with

    full

    iability.

    In

    Hungarythe transition o

    a

    market conomy

    an be dated from

    January1989,

    when

    the so-calledLaw

    on Economic Associations ook

    effect.

    This law was introduced

    y

    the

    Hungarian

    Socialist

    Workers'

    Party HSWP), whichdisintegrated ytheend ofthatyear, osingover

    600,000

    of its

    700,000

    members

    fter ts last

    congress

    n

    October. The

    new law laid the foundation or

    the

    privatization f the state sector,

    introduced

    rivate

    imited-liabilityompanies, opened the Hungarian

    economy

    o

    foreign

    nvestment,

    nd

    declared the

    principle

    f "sector

    neutrality,"ifting

    ll

    discriminationgainst heprivate ector, ncluding

    limitations

    n size and area of ctivity. he caretaker

    overnment, hich

    managed

    the

    economy

    n

    the

    power

    vacuum

    preceding

    nd

    ensuing he

    final demise of the

    HSWP, began

    the

    implementation

    f the

    Law on

    EconomicAssociations.However,thecreation fa coherentegal system

    to

    underpin

    market

    conomy

    was left

    o

    the

    noncommunisteadership

    that

    took

    power

    n

    the

    spring

    f

    1990.

    The

    most mportant

    nstitutionsf a market conomy

    were put into

    place between 989

    and 1991.These ncluded deregulated rice ystem,

    49

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    TABLE 2

    INDICATORS OF THE GROWTH OF THE MARKET SECTOR

    1980 1985 1988 1991 1992

    Corporate nterprises:

    Limited-liabilityompanies,

    joint-stock ompanies,

    and

    joint

    ventures

    .........

    NA

    370

    919 42,695 59,363

    Limited iability ompanies

    only

    .

    .......... ...

    .. .

    450

    41,204 57,262

    Noncorporate nterprises:

    Business partnerships ......... NA 34,926 33,821 52,136 70,597

    Sole

    proprietornterprises

    ..

    113,000 170,000 211,536 317,218

    SOURCE.-Data

    on

    sole

    proprietornterprises

    or

    1980-88

    are

    from entralStatisticalOffice 1984,

    pp. 187, 214; 1986, pp. 177, 208; 1989, pp. 173, 204; for 1992 HVG (1993, p. 83). Data on other

    organizations

    re

    from al6

    and

    Lipovecz 1989, p. 774, 1993, p. 509).

    a

    capital

    market

    or

    private

    nd institutional

    nvestors,

    nd a

    decentral-

    ized

    banking

    nd insurance

    ystem.

    etweenthe end of

    1988 and

    1991,

    thesize of theprivate ector ncreased onsiderablytable 2).

    In

    1991

    the

    Hungarian private

    sector

    therefore ad three different

    segments-privatefarming, oncorporate nterprise,

    nd

    corporate

    n-

    terprise

    r

    imited-liabilityompanies-reflecting

    o

    some extent

    he

    his-

    tory

    f the erosion nd

    the

    subsequent

    ransition o a

    market

    conomy.

    The three

    different

    ypes

    of

    entrepreneurship

    how

    different

    atterns

    of recruitment

    nd

    of

    success and have different

    ffects

    n

    the income

    hierarchy.

    he first

    ne, private farming,

    s

    the

    creationof the

    early

    erosion

    f socialism.

    With

    the

    onsetof

    the

    transition, rivatefarming

    s

    undergoing ransformation,ut since theprivatization fland and the

    dissolution

    f

    agricultural ooperatives

    re still

    n

    progress,

    can

    say

    little bout

    those

    hanges.

    The

    bulk of

    private arming

    s

    still mall

    scale,

    labor intensive,

    nd

    builton

    family

    abor.

    The

    second

    form

    f

    entrepreneurship,oncorporate

    nemjogi

    zeme'lyi-

    se'gu) nterprise,

    n

    the

    forms

    f ole

    proprietorships

    nd business

    artner-

    ships,

    is

    partly

    lso

    the

    product

    of the erosionof

    socialism. The vast

    majority

    f

    people

    in

    this

    category

    re

    sole-proprietor-business

    wners

    such as

    artisans,

    small

    tradespeople,

    nd

    self-employed

    ntellectuals.

    Most forms f thesenoncorporate,ndividualbusinessesweretolerated

    from he

    earlyyears

    of

    communism,

    ut

    they

    were

    granted

    new

    rights

    during

    the transition.

    here are also different orms f

    noncorporate

    partnerships,

    uch as

    work

    partnershipsgazdasadgi unkak6z6sseg),

    e-

    posit

    ssociations

    bete'ti airsasaig),

    nd civil-law

    ssociations

    polgadriogi

    tairsasag). artnerships

    were first

    ccepted

    in

    1982.

    Most

    partnerships

    50

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    Transition

    rom ocialism

    are composed

    f

    self-employed

    ndividualswith

    few

    employees nd little

    capital.

    Most partnerships

    hat wanted to

    expand

    transformedhem-

    selves nto imited-liabilityompanies.Between1989 and 1991,thenum-

    ber

    of most

    types

    fpartnerships,xceptdeposit

    ssociations,

    eclined.

    These deposit

    associations llowedpeople

    to take advantage of the tax

    code

    without

    aving

    to

    put

    down

    start-up apital.

    Finally, he third

    ype f entrepreneurship

    s corporatejogi szemelyi-

    segu) privatebusiness,

    whichbecame

    possibleonly

    when

    the transition

    introduced

    imited-liabilityompanies

    n

    theprivate ector.To register

    a limited-liabilityompany,

    ne had to

    put up

    a minimum f one

    million

    HungarianforintsHUFs), worth ver$13,000 n 1991,as security.

    Not all

    limited-liabilityompanies

    re

    private;many

    are either

    ully

    orpartially

    tate

    owned. Between

    he summer f

    1989,

    after he Law on

    Enterprise

    ransformation

    as

    declared,

    nd

    the

    spring

    f

    1990,

    about

    100 state

    firms ook

    advantage

    of a

    loophole

    n

    new regulations nd split

    their perations

    nto

    dozens of subunits

    designed

    o be

    limited-liability

    companies Stark

    1990, 1992;

    Borocz

    1993b).

    The center f the

    firm

    hen

    acted

    as a

    holdingcompany

    hat held

    majority wnership ights

    ver

    these

    units

    n

    principle

    ut often

    was littlemore than an

    empty

    hell.

    The actual control estedwith themanagement f thesenewlyformed

    companies,

    who often

    cquired

    some of the shares nd

    became

    minority

    owners

    as well.

    The

    legal loophole

    was closed

    in

    the

    springof 1990,

    when

    he

    StateProperty gency

    was created. tate

    firms

    re still

    orming

    limited-liabilityompanies,

    but

    these

    can be given

    nto private hands

    onlythrough

    he State

    Property gency.

    Thesespin-offsonstituted

    small

    but mportantegment

    fthenewly

    emerging

    imited-liabilityompanies, omprising

    ot

    more

    than

    10%-

    30%

    of

    all

    such

    companies

    t the time

    Kocsis 1992).

    The majority f

    private imited-liabilityompanieswere foundedby individualsor pri-

    vate

    groups

    o

    take

    advantage

    of the

    new

    opportunities

    rovidedby

    the

    privatization rocess

    o

    buy

    machines r

    buildings

    rom tate firms nd

    by

    the liberalization

    f

    domestic nd

    foreign

    rade to sell

    goods and

    services.

    n

    1991,

    of the

    top 3,000

    firms

    by sales)

    that

    were

    n

    partial

    or

    full

    private

    ownership, nly

    a small fraction

    were noncorporate nter-

    prises,

    while

    the

    majority

    were

    imited-liabilityompanies

    table 3).

    DATA AND METHODS

    The data

    in

    the

    analysis

    were

    acquired

    from sampleof 1,000 people

    over

    ge

    18 nterviewed

    n

    the

    pring

    f

    1989and then gain n the pring

    of

    1991.

    The

    sampling

    methodwas

    multistage luster ampling. n the

    first

    tage,

    112

    of the

    3,100settlements

    n

    Hungarywere

    selected n such

    a

    way

    that the

    population

    of

    the

    112

    settlements

    ollowed losely the

    51

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    AmericanJournal f Sociology

    TABLE 3

    DISTRIBUTION OF THE

    ToP 3,000

    ECONOMIC UNITS

    IN 1991 THAT

    WERE PARTIALLY OR COMPLETELY

    OWNED BY NONSTATE INVESTORS*

    %

    of

    Total Nonstate

    Enterprises

    Corporate enterprises

    .............. ......... 97.4

    Limited-liability

    companies ............ 71.0

    Joint-stock companies

    ........... ........

    19.9

    Noncorporate enterprises .......... ........

    2.6

    SOURCE.-Hungarian Central tatistical ffice ata Base.

    *

    The hierarchyf conomic nits

    s

    measured y heir ross nnual ales.

    distribution f the entirepopulation f thecountry n 15 demographic

    characteristics.

    n the

    econd tage,usingresidentialegisters,heproper

    number f ndividualsweredrawnfrom ach settlemento that henum-

    bers reflected

    he

    nationaldistribution

    f

    ndividuals ysettlementype.

    This selection rovided hree

    amples

    of

    1,000respondents,nd

    for ach

    sampleanother1,000 ndividualswere chosento replacethosewho did

    not respond.

    In the 1989 survey ll three

    amples were nterviewed. f the 3,000

    people, 162 (5.4%) refused,

    nd 622

    (20.7%)

    were

    unavailable

    forother

    reasons.These missing esponses

    were

    replacedrandomly rom

    he

    sup-

    plementary ool

    of

    respondents,

    o that hree

    roups

    f

    1,000

    nterviews

    were

    completed.

    n

    the

    1991survey

    he first

    ample

    of

    1,000

    of

    the

    first

    wave

    was reinterviewed.rom

    these,

    15

    peopleresponded,

    nd random

    substitutes ere

    drawnfrom he econd

    ample

    of 1,000of the

    first

    ave

    tomakeupfor hemissing ases. Afterleaning hedata,thefinal ample

    size was

    979.

    To

    measurepersonal

    ncome

    PINCOME89,

    PINCOME9

    1),

    the nter-

    viewer

    sked

    separately

    or

    primaryncome,

    or

    econdary

    ncomefrom

    a

    second

    ob, contracts, ips,

    household

    arming,

    nd

    rental

    f an

    apart-

    ment, and,

    or

    equipment,

    nd for

    profit

    rom

    business

    nterprise,

    hen

    summedthese

    figures.

    He also asked

    for

    the

    person's

    otal taxable

    in-

    come.

    I

    used

    the

    larger

    of the two

    figures.

    o

    calculate

    the

    change

    n

    incomebetween 989

    and

    1991

    dINCOME),

    I

    subtractedncome

    n

    1989

    from ncome n 1991. I also generatedncomequintilesfor bothyears

    and

    from hat reated

    ummy

    ariables

    o

    measure

    f

    respondenttayed

    in

    thetop quintile STAYUP),

    movedup

    from

    hebottom uintile BOT-

    TOM1),

    or moved

    up

    from he bottom wo

    quintiles BOTTOM2)

    be-

    tween

    1989

    and

    1991.

    52

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    Transition rom ocialism

    The validity f elf-reportedncome s always uspect.Previous tudies

    of ncomereporting

    n

    Hungary how that ncome reported rom

    tate

    employmenty therespondents quite reliable. ncome receivedfrom

    the private ector

    s

    generally nderreported. ccording o estimates,

    about

    one-third f all nonstate ncomes eceived re

    inaccessible hrough

    survey uestionnairesEkes 1987;

    Kolosi

    and R6bert1991).

    As

    the ource

    of

    the underestimations

    primarily

    ncomefrom he

    private ector,

    n-

    comes

    fthose

    participating

    n

    the

    private

    ectorwill

    be underestimated.

    This suggests hatbecause

    the size of the

    private ector ncreasedduring

    that

    period,my

    data will underestimatehe

    change

    n

    incomes.5

    The three ntrepreneurialtrategiesremeasured s dummy ariables.

    A respondent

    ith ncomefromhousehold

    armingHHF)

    was

    consid-

    eredto have

    participated

    n

    this

    ctivity.Noncorporate ntrepreneurship

    (NONCORP)

    is defined s

    being engaged

    n

    any

    form f

    noncorporate

    enterprise

    n

    1991,

    uch as

    being

    n

    artisan

    r

    small

    tradesperson,aving

    a

    single-proprietor

    icense

    o run a

    business

    n

    manufacturing

    r

    service,

    or

    being

    a member

    f a

    registered

    usiness

    partnershipwork partner-

    ship,

    civil-law

    association,

    or

    deposit association). Unfortunately,

    he

    small

    sample

    size

    did not allow me to

    separate

    ole

    proprietorships

    rom

    partnerships. corporate ntrepreneurCORP) is an ownerorco-owner

    of a

    limited-liabilityompany.

    A

    former

    adre

    CADRE)

    is a

    person

    who

    was

    both

    a

    member

    f

    the

    HSWP and held a position

    f

    authority t a low (AUTH89L), middle

    (AUTH89M)

    or

    high (AUTH89H)

    level

    in

    the

    spring

    of

    1989 (i.e.,

    CADRE

    is a

    binary

    variable

    coded

    as

    "1" if

    HSWP member

    with au-

    thority

    nd

    "0"

    otherwise).

    he

    category

    f ex-cadre

    s thus based on a

    wider

    definition

    f the

    past

    elite.

    t

    includesnot ust

    the

    very opof the

    communist

    ierarchy-the

    o-callednomenklatura-but

    veryone

    who

    formallyoinedtheHSWP and reached omeposition fpower. By the

    mid-1980s

    n

    Hungary, artymembership

    as

    required nly

    for ertain

    highpositions. hus,

    the

    category

    xcludes

    many

    rtists nd

    profession-

    als who

    belonged

    to the

    top layer

    of

    Hungarian society

    nd

    reached

    important ositions y

    the ate

    1980s

    without

    ormallyoiningthe party.

    Including hem

    nto the ex-cadre

    ategory

    would

    have overemphasized

    the

    continuity

    n

    the

    transition,

    ince hese

    people

    were

    quickly

    mbraced

    by

    the new

    leadership.

    5

    Incomes

    f

    private ntrepreneursillbe

    considerablynderestimated,ecause hey

    can

    manipulate

    heir

    usiness

    ncomes

    n

    order

    o

    minimize heir

    ersonal ncomes

    and thus void

    ncome ax. For

    nstance,

    uccessful

    ntrepreneursriveWestern ars

    that shouldbe counted s

    part

    of

    their

    ersonal ncomes. nstead,thesecars are

    acquired hrougheasing greements

    nd

    are

    counted s

    operatingxpenses.

    53

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    American ournal

    f

    Sociology

    Human capital is measuredbythe number fyears

    of educationthe

    respondent ompleted y 1989 EDUC).6 The

    respondent's amily ack-

    ground, apping nto hildhood ocialization,s measured y two dummy

    variables ndicating

    whether

    he

    respondent's

    ather

    was

    self-employed

    as

    either private

    farmer

    r

    a

    nonagriculturalntrepreneur

    FPFARM,

    FSENTR).7 These last

    two variables re intended

    o revealanyevidence

    of

    nterruptedmbourgeoisement.

    The

    demographic ackground

    variables are

    age

    (AGE)

    and

    gender

    (GENDER;

    female

    =

    1).

    These

    two variablesare included s controls.

    Because gender

    s

    strongly

    orrelated

    with

    both

    partymembership

    nd

    entrepreneurialnvolvement,

    wanted

    to factor

    out

    its

    effect.

    Age

    is

    included o enhance heeffect

    f

    parental ackground, s younger eople

    are more

    ikely

    o

    start

    business ut ess

    ikely

    o

    have

    parents

    who

    ran

    a

    private

    farm

    r

    business.

    Thus, age may

    act

    as

    a

    suppressor.Age

    is

    also

    related

    o

    education,

    s

    younger eople

    are

    better ducated.

    Table

    4

    liststhe variables

    used

    in

    this

    tudy.

    FINDINGS

    The most raditional orm fentrepreneurship,ousehold arming, ives

    no

    advantage

    to

    ex-cadres

    s shown

    n

    table 5. Household

    farming

    oes

    not require

    n unusual amount

    f

    formal ducation.

    On

    the other

    hand,

    people

    whosefathers ere

    ndependent

    armers re more

    ikely

    o

    follow

    this venue. Though

    formal

    ducationdoes

    not

    ncrease ne's

    likelihood

    to

    participate

    n

    household

    arming, nowledge ransmittedhrough he

    family

    oes.

    When

    gender

    nd

    age

    are

    included, heanalysis hows that

    men

    are more

    nvolved

    n

    household arming han women

    even though

    household

    arming

    s

    usually family nterprise.

    his

    is because

    single

    women re less ikely o farm han inglemen.Youngerpeopleare more

    likelyto farm,

    nd

    indeed

    the

    inclusionof age enhances the effect f

    parentalbackground.

    As table

    6

    indicates,

    former

    arty

    adres are more

    ikely

    o

    become

    noncorporate ntrepreneurs

    han

    others.However, the effect fhaving

    been

    a

    party

    adre

    ceases

    to

    be

    significant

    nce

    education

    s

    included

    n

    the

    analysis. Thus,

    cadres are more

    ikelyto startnoncorporate usi-

    nessesnot because they

    re

    cadres but because theyhave

    humancapital.

    Noncorporate ntrepreneurship

    s

    not nfluenced

    y

    family ackground.

    6

    I

    also

    carried ut my nalyses sing

    dummy

    ariables or lementary,

    econdary,

    and

    tertiaryducation

    o

    test

    f

    the ffect f

    educations due to

    credentialing.

    ow-

    ever, hat

    did

    not

    mprove

    hefit

    n

    any

    of

    themodels.

    '

    I

    do nothave thekind

    of detailed

    nformationnfarming

    zel6nyi1988) used

    to

    estimatehevalue

    of

    householdroduction.

    54

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    TABLE 4

    DESCRIPTION OF VARIABLES

    Variable-Description

    Coded

    Value Univariate

    Distribution N

    HHF-commercial household

    farming

    ........................

    Yes = 1

    68

    979

    NONCORP-noncorporate

    entrepreneur

    ....................... Yes

    =

    1

    134

    979

    CORP-corporate entrepreneur

    (limited-liabilityirms, tc.)

    ..... Yes

    =

    1

    55

    979

    STAYUP-stayed

    in the

    top

    incomequintilebetween1989

    and 1991 ..........................

    Yes = 1

    100

    826

    BOTTOMl-moved

    out of the

    bottom

    ncome

    quintile

    between

    1989 and 1991 ......................

    Yes

    =

    1

    97

    826

    BOTTOM2-moved out of the

    bottom wo

    ncome uintiles

    between

    1989 and 1991 ..........

    Yes

    =

    1

    100

    826

    CADRE-party

    memberwith

    some

    authority

    .................. Yes

    =

    1

    45

    979

    AUTH89L-low-level

    authority

    ..................

    Yes

    =

    1

    53 979

    AUTH89M-middle-level

    authority

    ..................

    Yes

    =

    1

    47

    979

    AUTH89H-high-level authority

    Yes

    =

    1

    13 979

    FPFARM-father

    was

    a

    private

    farmer

    .........................

    Yes

    =

    1

    170

    979

    FSENTR-father

    was a

    nonagricultural

    ntrepreneur

    .. Yes

    =

    1

    53 979

    FSEMP-father was self-

    employed

    ither

    s a

    private

    farmer r a nonagricultural

    entrepreneur.......................

    Yes

    =

    1

    223

    979

    GENDER

    ..........................

    Female

    = 1

    558

    979

    Mean SD

    Minimum Maximum N

    EDUC-years

    of

    education

    completed

    .........................

    10.38

    3.42

    1

    22

    979

    AGE

    ............. .............

    47.42 16.22 21

    90 979

    PINCOME89-personal income

    in

    1989

    n

    1,000 Hungarian

    forintsHUFs) ..................... 6.64 3.68 1.70 30.00 878

    PINCOME91-personal

    income

    in

    1991

    n

    1,000

    HUFs

    ..........

    10.58

    7.08

    5.00 82.00 881

    dINCOME-change

    in

    nominal

    personal

    ncomebetween

    1989

    and 1991

    .......................... 3.98

    6.34

    -22.00 75.00 826

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    0 o

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    AmericanJournal f Sociology

    This form

    f

    enterprises the onemost qually open to men and women.

    In fact, he onlyfactors hatmake any differencere education nd age.

    Education has an importantnfluence, ecause mostof thesenoncorpor-

    ate businesses re forms f

    self-employment,herepeople can substitute

    special

    skills

    for

    scarce

    capital. Skilled workers

    nd professionals re

    especially ikely

    to

    choose this business form

    ither ndividually r in

    partnership ithothers.Youth,

    again,

    is

    an advantage.

    Ex-cadres re at an advantage n

    starting orporate nterprisestable

    7).

    Some

    of this

    advantage

    s

    explained

    by

    the

    higher ormal ducation

    ex-cadres

    ossess,but

    the effect f

    past cadreshipdoes not disappear n

    the fullmodel,even after ontrollingorholdinga top- or mid-level

    management osition

    n

    1989.

    Cadres are at

    an

    advantage even among

    top and middlemanagers.

    None of the

    family ackground ariables are

    influential.While

    men

    are more

    ikely

    o

    choose

    this

    typeof enterprise,

    their

    net

    advantage

    cannotbe discerned

    n

    the final

    model, because it is

    mostly ue

    to their

    osition

    f

    power

    n

    the

    previousregime.Just s for

    farming

    nd

    noncorporatenterprise,

    lder

    people

    are less

    likely o em-

    bark

    on

    this

    new

    form f

    entrepreneurship.hus,

    ex-cadres re

    more

    likely

    o

    pursue

    both

    noncorporate

    nd

    corporate ntrepreneurship.

    ven

    though heir dvantage n theseactivities s due to someextent o their

    higher verage education, hey

    till

    enjoy a net advantage

    n

    corporate

    entrepreneurship

    fter he effect f

    education

    s

    controlled.

    Overall,

    cadres nvolved n business

    trategies

    re

    very uccessful,

    s

    measured

    y change

    n

    ncome etween

    989

    and

    1991.

    As

    table 8

    shows,

    the

    average

    income

    of

    cadres

    engaging

    n

    businesswas

    already higher

    than

    that of

    any

    other

    group

    n

    1989,

    and

    their

    dge

    increased

    n

    the

    next woyears.

    Ex-cadres urned

    ntrepreneurs

    ore han

    doubled their

    reported ersonal ncomes;

    adres not

    engaging

    n

    such

    activities aised

    their ncomesby only 54%. Noncadreentrepreneursncreased heir n-

    come

    by 73%. They

    moved closer to this second

    group

    of

    cadres but

    were still

    only

    n

    third

    place.

    Since

    incomesfrommarket

    ctivities re

    underestimated,

    he ctual

    dynamics

    s

    probably

    ven

    stronger

    han hese

    figures uggest.

    All

    three

    ypes

    fbusiness

    nterprise

    ncreased

    he

    participants'

    ncome

    (table 9). Ex-cadres,however,

    arned

    an

    extra

    3,867

    HUFs even after

    account

    for

    education

    nd whether

    he

    fatherwas

    self-employed

    ither

    as a

    private

    farmer

    r

    as an

    entrepreneur

    utside

    gricultureFSEMP).

    WhenI extend hemodelto includethe interactionsfcadreshipwith

    the

    three

    ypes

    of

    enterprise,

    t

    shows that cadres turned

    ntrepreneurs

    have

    an

    advantage

    in

    corporate

    business.

    Their

    advantage

    in

    private

    farming

    nd

    noncorporate

    usiness s

    statistically onsignificant.

    hen

    I

    include nteraction erms

    or

    the

    type

    of

    businesswith education nd

    familybackground,

    he

    analysis

    shows some

    evidence

    for both Nee's

    58

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  • 7/21/2019 Russian Elite2

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    American

    Journal f Sociology

    TABLE 8

    NOMINALNCOME N 1,000 HUFS

    1989

    1991

    Mean SD Mean SD

    Entire

    population

    ..........................................

    6.79 3.71

    10.77 7.17

    Noncadres not nvolved

    n

    market

    trategies

    6.31 3.18

    9.57 5.16

    Noncadres nvolved n market

    trategies

    7.16 4.06 12.41

    8.43

    Cadres

    not

    nvolved

    nmarket

    trategies

    11.73

    5.08 18.11

    10.74

    Cadres involved

    n market

    trategies

    12.05 5.08 25.33

    16.68

    (1989, 1991) market ncentive hesis and

    Szelenyi's 1988)

    interrupted

    embourgeoisement

    heory. For

    all models n

    table

    9,

    I centered

    duca-

    tion,

    so the

    first-order

    erms

    for

    enterprise ype

    are for

    a

    person

    with

    average

    education.)

    There

    is

    an extra

    reward

    for

    education

    nd

    proper

    family ackground

    n

    farming

    ut not

    n

    other

    ypes f business.

    n

    the

    full

    model, ex-cadres arn

    a net

    premium

    f

    7,080 HUFs on theirpast

    status

    f

    theybecomecorporate ntrepreneurs.

    To see how relative

    positions

    n

    the income

    distribution

    hanged,

    examined heaverage change n incomeby quintiles f the1989 ncome

    distribution.

    able 10 shows that

    people

    n

    the

    top

    two

    quintilesgained

    the

    most

    n

    nominal ncome,

    but

    the

    bottom

    uintile

    was a

    close third.

    The second and third

    quintiles

    ncreased much

    less, and, given

    high

    inflation,

    his

    was a decline

    n

    real terms.

    Household

    farming

    as most

    present

    n

    the

    third nd fourth

    uintiles

    and least

    in

    the

    top quintile.

    Noncorporate ntrepreneurs

    ere most

    likely

    o come from he

    top

    two

    quintiles,

    while

    corporate nterprise

    as

    predominantly

    or hose

    who

    were

    rich

    lready

    n

    1989. Table

    11

    shows

    how people moved aroundas a resultof entrepreneurship.orporate

    entrepreneurs

    ere the

    most

    ikely

    o

    stay

    n

    the

    top quintile,

    followed

    by noncorporate

    ntrepreneurs.

    one ofthe

    trategies

    ere

    of

    anyhelp

    n

    moving

    ut ofthe

    bottom

    uintile.

    Household

    farming, owever, ssisted

    people

    in

    moving

    out of the bottom wo

    quintiles.Finally,

    as table 12

    shows,

    all threemeasures

    f

    nequality

    f

    personal

    ncomes-the coeffi-

    cient

    of

    variation,

    he mean relative

    deviation,

    nd

    the Gini

    index-

    increased.8

    DISCUSSION

    In

    this

    tudy found

    hatcadres re no more

    ikely

    o become

    household

    farmers

    han

    others,

    which matches he

    empirical

    laims of

    Nee

    (1989,

    8

    I

    calculated

    the same measures

    for

    family

    ncome

    and

    family

    ncome

    per

    capita

    and

    found

    the same

    trend.

    60

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