royal caribbean power point - bender trust - fall 2013
TRANSCRIPT
the r
oyal
car
ibb
ean
(RC
L)
Se
an
A
cc
or
si
A
li
L
in
A
na
st
as
ia
P
al
uc
h
Pe
te
r
Sc
he
pe
l
sh
eh
an
i
wi
ma
la
wa
ns
a
RC
L M
ap
Com
pan
y P
rofil
e
Am
erican/Norw
egian cruise line
In the hospitality and the tourism industry
Founded in 1968 in Norw
ay
Publicly traded on the N
YSE
as of 1993
Five main brands: R
oyal Caribbean International,
Celebrity C
ruises, Pullmantur C
ruises, Azam
ara C
lub Cruises, and C
DF C
roisières de France
Indu
str
y O
vervie
w
Travel Agent and C
ruise Line
Survey have a rather optimistic view
about the cruise industry in future years85.3%
of agents say cruise sales in 2013 will be as good or better than
2012
38% believe 2013 w
ill be better
18.6% say 2013 w
ill be their best year ever.
Royal C
arib
bean
, C
orp; (N
YS
E: R
CL)
!
2012 A2013 E
2014 E
EP
S$1.71
$2.35$3.14
P/E
Ratio
20.3320.12
14.21
S&
P E
PS
90.3788.37
91.67
S&
P P
/E R
atio17.03
19.1521.78
Relative P
E130%
97%65%
NYS
E: R
CL
con
tinu
ed...
Market D
ata
52 Week H
igh:$44.09
52 Week L
ow:
$31.35M
arket Cap. (M
M):
$9.53BShares O
ut. (MM
):219.94M
Avg. D
aily Vol.:
1,884,880
NYS
E: R
CL
con
tinu
ed...
Price P
erformance - C
omparison to S
&P
500
SW
OT A
nalysis
: str
en
gth
s
One of the m
ost well know
n brands
Second largest cruise company in the w
orld
Five lines that vary w
ith location, price, and luxury
455 ports in 95 countries and all seven continents
Services appeal to various people of all economic
sectors
SW
OT A
nalysis
: w
eakn
esses
Relies on shipyards to construct, repair and
revitalize vessels
Any financial difficulties, liquidations, or closures
of these shipyards can affect the timely delivery
or costs of the ships
Highly dependent on travel agencies, and
political/economic conditions for bookings
SW
OT A
nalysis
: opportu
nitie
s
Expanding into other countries w
ith potential for grow
th and profitability
China and A
ustralia
Expanding the P
ullmantur line further into L
atin A
merica despite the tough Spanish econom
y
Investing in five new ships to enter the m
arket by 2016
SW
OT A
nalysis
: th
reats
Significant threat is dependency on fuel
Safety concerns are of paramount im
portance.
Strong competition in the travel econom
y;
Carnival C
ruise Line is the com
pany’s largest cruise ship com
petitor.
Porte
r’s
Fiv
e F
orces
Strong influence on internal and external operations
Recent rise in oil price; low
er amount of
berths
Joint venture cruise line, TU
I Cruises
Supplier Power
Porte
r’s
Fiv
e F
orces
Difficult threat of new
entry
RC
L is in a unique position
Strong and durable barrier to entry
Threat of N
ew E
ntrants
Porte
r’s
Fiv
e F
orces
Buyer leverage is extrem
ely high
Fierce competition
Volatile price w
ars
Buyers are a pow
erful force
Buyer Pow
er
Porte
r’s
Fiv
e F
orces
High degree of rivalry w
ith a wide clientele of travelers
Three sectors of rivals:
(1) Direct com
petition with various cruise lines; C
arnival Corporation
& plc (A
ida Cruises, C
arnival Cruise L
ine, Ibercruceros, P&O
Cruises
and Princess Cruises), D
isney Cruise L
ine, MSC
Cruises, N
orwegian
Cruise L
ine, and Oceania C
ruises
(2) Indirect competition w
ith a larger market in the travel industry;
various airlines, land-based resort hotels, and sightseeing destinations
(3) Com
petition within the organization
Degrees of R
ivalry
Porte
r’s
Fiv
e F
orces
High threat of substitution
Varying cruise lines are equally com
parable
Threat of substitution on can also be found in the
general travel market from
airline industries, hotel/resort industries, to travel and sightseeing industries
RC
L has a w
eak power
Threat of Substitutes
Recom
men
datio
n:
BU
YPrice: $47.65
Best know
n brand in the Cruise L
ine industry
Large expansion for potential new
growth
and profitability
Industry estimates for 2014 are on the rise
They have a current dividend of 2.30%