renewables - energies of the future, the german example (2008)

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    Detlef Loyon behalf of

    Berliner Energieagentur GmbHRenewable Energy AsiaBangkok, June 05, 2008

    Renewables Energies of the Future

    The German Example

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    European and German Framework

    German RES-Policy

    RES-Targets and current Situation

    Measures and Programs

    The Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    Achievements

    Outlook

    Summary

    Contents

    Picture: BMWi

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    Germany in the Heart of Europe

    Area: 357,031 km

    Inhabitants: 82.4 Mill.

    Gross National Income:

    2,423 billion EUR (2007)

    Currency: 1 EUR = 51 THB

    Source Map: MYGEO

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    -20% 20% -20%Total Primary Energy Supply RES share of Final Energy Consumption GHGEmissions

    (incl. 10% Biofuels) against 1990, minimum

    Climate Protection

    Import Dependency

    Security of Energy Supply

    Finite fossil-fuel Resources

    Cost Increase

    European Energy Policy

    Targets for 2020

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    German Energy Policy Triangle

    Source: Climatic Research Unit UEA Norwich, 2008

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    Te

    mperatureanomaly(C)

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    Te

    mperatureanomaly(C)

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    Te

    mperatureanomaly(C)

    1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    Te

    mperatureanomaly(C)

    Global air temperature

    2007 anomaly +0.40C

    (8th warmest on record)

    Global air temperature

    2007 abnormally +0.40C

    (8th warmest on record)0.4

    0.6

    -0.2

    -0.4

    -0.6

    0.0

    0.2

    Temp

    eratureanorma

    ly(C)

    1860 1880 1900 1920 19601940 1980 2000

    1. Sustainable

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    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    Jan 03 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06Jun 03 Jun 04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Dez 06

    Source: DENA, Germa Energy Agency, Statistisches Bundesamt, 2006

    Fuel oi l:

    Trend + 19% p.a.

    Natural gas:Trend + 11% p.a.

    Electricity:

    Trend + 5% p.a.

    Wood pellets

    Trend + 3% p.a.

    Development of price indicesLight fuel oil

    Natural gas

    Electricity

    Wood pellets

    Ind

    exJan2003=100

    German Energy Policy Triangle

    2. Economic

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    High Dependence on Energy Imports: 74.5 % in total

    66 % Hard Coal

    84 % Natural Gas96 % Petroleum

    100 % Uranium

    Promotion of renewable energy sources and energy efficiency

    is one pillar of the German energy policy

    German Energy Policy Triangle

    3. Security of Energy Supply

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    Renewable Energy Feed-in Tariff System (EEG):RES power

    Market Incentives Programme:grants and loans for RES heat

    Research and Development Support

    Tax incentives (partly for biofuels)

    Main measures so far

    German RES-Policy

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    Power: Reform / extension of the feed-in legislation

    Gas: Share of bio-methane in natural gas grid 10 % by 2030

    Heat:

    Improvement of market incentives program: stable & transparent

    Renewable heat law in progress: quotas & rules

    Share in RES heat production 14% by 2020

    Transport: Introduction of sustainabili ty criteria for biofuels

    In line with various measures to improve energy efficiency

    Support of high efficiency cogeneration; share raised from 12% to

    25% by 2020

    CO2 reduction in the transport sector etc.

    German RES-Policy

    Integrated Climate and Energy Program

    Source: Integriertes Energie- und klimaschutzprogramm der Bundesregierung, 05.12.07

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    German RES-Policy

    2010 targets

    Share of RES 2000 2007 Target year

    2010

    Primary energy consumption (DE) 2.6 % 6.7 % 4.2 %

    Electricity supply (EU Directive: 22 %) 6.3 % 14.2 % 12.5 %

    Transport fuel (EU Directive) 0.4 % 6.9 % 5.75 %

    ... already reached up-front

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    Source: BMU

    6.70%

    2,10%

    0,00%

    1,00%

    2,00%

    3,00%

    4,00%

    5,00%

    6,00%

    7,00%

    8,00%

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Development of RES Share of Total Primary Energy Consumption

    German RES-Policy

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    Total: 13,878 PJ in 2007

    Total Primary Energy Consumption by dif ferent Energy Sources

    German RES-Policy

    Hard Coal

    14%Nuclear

    11%

    Gas

    22%

    Biomass: 4.9%2)

    Wind energy: 1.0%

    Hydropower: 0.5%

    share RE

    6.7%

    Other RE: 0.3%

    Oil

    34%

    Lignite

    12%

    1)

    Source: BMU according to Working Group on Renewable

    Energies / Statistics (AGEE-Stat); using data from Working Group on Energy Balances (AGEB); physical energy content method.

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    Source: BMU

    German RES-Policy

    Composition of RES Share in the German Energy Mix (2007)

    Geothermal

    energy; 1%

    Photovoltaic;

    2%

    9%

    18%

    38%

    11%

    Solarthermal

    energy; 2%

    20%

    Bioenergy

    (Heat)

    Wind

    Power

    Hydro

    Power

    Bioenergy

    (Power)Biofuels

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    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    14.2%

    4,70%

    0,00%

    2,00%

    4,00%

    6,00%

    8,00%

    10,00%

    12,00%

    14,00%

    16,00%

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Source: BMU

    Development of RES Share of Total Gross Power Consumption

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    Contribution o f renewable energy sou rced electricity generation

    in Germany 1990 - 2007

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    100,000

    1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    [GWh]

    Hydropower Wind energy

    Biomass* Photovoltaics

    * sol id, l iquid, gaseous bio mass, biogenic share of waste, landfi ll and sewage gas;Electricity from geothermal energy is not presented due to the low volumes of electricity

    Source: Source: BM U accord ing to Working Group on Renewable Energies / Statistics (AGEE-Stat)

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    StrEG

    1. January 1991

    EEG

    1. April 2000

    New EEG

    1. August 2004

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    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    Power Generation from RES in 2007

    Hydropower

    23.7%

    Sewage gas

    1.2%

    Landfill gas

    1.2%

    Liquid Biofuels

    3.0%

    Solid Biofuels

    8.4%

    Photovoltaics4.0%

    Biogas

    8.5%

    Bio-waste

    4.9%

    Wind energy

    45.1%

    Version: March 2008; all figures provisional

    Source: BMU according to Working Group on Renewable Energies / Statistics (AGEE-Stat)

    Total Biomass: approx. 25%(excluding Landfill and sewage gas)

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    Priority for grid connection, purchase and transmission ofelectricity from renewable energies

    Consistent fee ( tariff ) paid per kWh by the grid operators forthis electrici ty

    - Long-term perspective and investment security (1530 years)

    - Incentive for opening up new potentials and technologies

    Strong incentive for efficiency boost

    - Tariffs differentiated by source and size of the plant- Annual degression rates taking into account technical

    development

    Nationwide equalization between all grid operators and

    electricity suppliers for fees paid

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    Main Features

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    Cents/kWh Duration (a) Degression

    Small Hydro Power 6.65 - 9.67 30 -Biomass 8.03 - 21.14 20 1.5%

    Geothermal 7.16 - 15.00 20 1% from 2010

    Wind onshore 5.18 - 8.19 20 2%

    Wind offshore 6.19 - 9.10 20 2% from 2008

    PV 37.95 - 54.21 20 5%

    Source: BMU: Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen, 2007, EEG

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    Feed-in Tarif f for plants commissioned in 2007

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    Renewable

    Power Plants

    Ca. 900 Distribution

    Grid Operators

    Ca. 900 Supply

    Companies

    Consumers

    4 Transmission Grid

    Operators

    Equalisation of Feed-in Tarif f

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    RES-Electricity

    Payment

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    Consumer Energy Supplier

    Feed in tarif f... ... PV on Buildings 2008

    < 30kWp 46.8 ct

    30 100 kWp 44.5 ct

    > 100 kWp 44.0 ct

    Ground mounted

    Facade

    35.7 ct

    + 5.0 ct

    Source: Solar Energy in Germany

    Government

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

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    Grid co st

    36%

    Electricity

    generation and

    sale

    25%

    VAT

    14%Electricity tax

    10%

    EEG levy

    4%

    Concession fee

    9%

    Cogeneration fee

    2 %

    Components of Electricity Price, 2006, Private Households

    German RES-Policy:

    Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)

    Source: BMU

    19.5 EUR-Cent/ kWh

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    Pictures: TU Ilmenau, BMU /Bernd Mller

    Solar Collectors Biomass Boilers

    German RES-Policy:

    Market Incentives Programme

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    6.60%

    3,50%

    0,00%

    1,00%

    2,00%

    3,00%

    4,00%

    5,00%

    6,00%

    7,00%

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Source: BMU/BEE

    Development of RES Share of Total Heat Consumption

    German RES-Policy:

    Market Incentives Programme

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    Liquid biofuels

    5.0%

    Gaseousbiofuels

    3.8%

    bio-waste5.4%

    Solid biofuels

    (households)64.1%

    Solid biofuels

    (industry)

    12.5%

    Near-surface

    geothermal energy

    2.4%

    Deep geothermal

    energy

    0.2% Solar thermal

    energy

    4.1%

    Solid biofuels (co-generation power

    installations and

    heating installations)

    2.5%

    Version: March 2008; all figures provisional

    Source: BMU according to Working Group on Renewable Energies / Statistics (AGEE-Stat)

    Total Biomass: approx. 93%

    Heat Supply from RES in Germany

    German RES-Policy:

    Market Incentives Programme

    Total: 90.2 TWh in 2007

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    German RES-Policy:

    Achievements in 2007

    Reduction of energy related carbon dioxide emissions:

    15.5 % by 2007 compared to 1990

    Estimation of avoided external costs (impacts of cl imate change):

    some 12 billion in 2007

    773 Mt in 2007

    948 Mt in 1990

    Source: BMU/AGEEStat: 2007

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    Source: Wissenschaftlicher Beirat der Bundesregierung Globale Umweltvernderungen (WBGU)

    Year

    Prim

    aryenergyuse[E

    J/a]

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    400

    200

    0

    2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2100

    GeothermalOther renewables

    Solar thermal (heat only)

    Solar power(PV & solar thermal generation)

    Wind

    Bio-mass (advanced)

    Bio-mass (traditional)

    HydroelectricityNuclear powerGasCoalOil

    Renewables Energies of the Future

    Global Energy Scenario Until 2050

    Outlook

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    Renewables Energies of the Future

    Cooperation for Sustainability

    Initiated between Germany and Spain in June 2004

    International cooperation on designingsupport framework

    for renewable energy

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    Renewables Energies of the Future

    Cooperation for Sustainability

    Expanding renewable energy use is one of the main steps

    towards a sustainable energy supply

    International cooperation is needed to meet the

    challenges and build up the markets

    Germany is offering to share its experience

    Export Initiative for RES-technology of theGerman Ministry of Economics and Technology

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    Renewables Energies of the Future

    Cooperation for Sustainability

    Information on current events and fairs, case studies, branch

    news, presentations and information on different RES:

    www.renewables-made-in-germany.com

    Comprehensive information on German companies

    and products in the field of RES:

    www.german-renewable-energy.com

    Further Information

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    Thank you for your attention !