record-high net profit of dkk 897 million and roe of … · key messages 1 core income up 4 % ......

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Dette billede kan ikke vises i øjeblikket. Presentation of Spar Nord’s Financial results for 2015 RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF 12.2 %

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Page 1: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Dette billede kan ikke vises i øjeblikket.

Presentation of Spar Nord’s Financial results for 2015

RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF 12.2 %

Page 2: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

KEY MESSAGES

Core income up 4 % driven by net fee income and market value adjustments 1

Costs rose 2 % when adjusted for one-offs related to change of IT-platform 4

Market-value adjustments at extraordinary level following sale of shares in Nørresundby Bank 4

Loan losses came down to DKK 316 m corresponding to an impairment percentage of 0.64 6

Solid capital position makes way for distribution of 87 % profits as dividend and buy-back 7

Page 2

NII down 4 % due to margin pressure, declining volume and lower income from bond portfolio 2

Core earnings before impairment of DKK 1,488 m – much higher than expected at beginning of year 5

Fee income at all-time high following strong activity in mortgage-distribution and asset management 3

Page 3: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 3

HEADLINES FROM THE INCOME STATEMENT

Key messages Income statement

ROE at satisfactory level – 2014: 9.0 % after tax – 2015: 12.2 % after tax

Growth in core income

– Gain from sale of shares in Nørresundby Bank

– Very strong fee income Declining loan losses

– But agriculture remains a big concern

Last year with large contribution

to depositors’ insurance scheme

SPAR NORD BANK Realized Realized Realized RealizedDKKm 2015 2014 Index Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Index

Net interest income 1,727 1,800 96 416 417 100Net fees, charges and commissions 1,030 863 119 239 222 108Market-value adjustments 507 380 134 43 36 122Other income 66 160 42 16 21 76Core income 3,331 3,202 104 714 696 103Staff costs 1,098 1,053 104 291 232 125Operating expenses etc. 745 870 86 179 177 101Costs 1,843 1,922 96 469 409 115Core earnings before impairment 1,488 1,280 116 245 286 86Impairments of loans and advances, etc. 316 493 64 76 74 102Core earnings 1,172 786 149 169 213 80Investment income - 21 - - - -Profit/loss on ordinary activities 1,172 807 145 169 213 80Sector Fund -99 -102 96 -25 -25 100Profit before tax 1,074 705 152 145 188 77

Page 4: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Net interest income and volume trend

Trend in interest margin

Net interest income was down by 4 % and came to DKK 1,727 million

Bank lending declined by 5 % – Primarily attributable to corporates (public sector, FIH

portfolio and run-off portfolio)

Continued pressure on interest margin

– Total interest margin has dropped by 20 bps during 2015

– Decline in lending margin of 52 bps was partially offset by reduction in deposit margin

Substantial reduction in interest income from bond portfolio

Page 4

LOWER INTEREST INCOME FROM BONDS PORTFOLIO AND DECLINING INTEREST MARGIN PUT NII UNDER PRESSURE

34.4 33.6 32.8 33.1 32.6

0

250

500

750

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

Net interest income Loans, banking activities

DKKm

0.84 0.79 0.76 0.69 0.58 0.46 0.31 0.29 0.27

5.80 5.77 5.71 5.58 5.45 5.35 5.20 5.03 4.92

4.95 4.98 4.94 4.89 4.87 4.89 4.89 4.74 4.66

Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

Interest rate (Deposits) Interest rate (Loans) Interest margin

Pct.

Page 5: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 5

Interest income from bond portfolio

LOW-RATE ENVIRONMENT PUTS INCOME FROM BOND PORTFOLIO UNDER PRESSURE

388351 353

295

196

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DKKm

6777 76 76

6850

4235

Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015

DKKm

Net interest incomeDKKm Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2014 2015 ChangeLoans and deposits, customers 413 405 436 433 421 428 406 407 1,687 1,661 -26Financial counterparties 42 55 60 61 48 28 25 22 218 123 -95Capital market funding -41 -31 -18 -17 -16 -14 -14 -13 -106 -57 49Net interest income 414 430 479 477 452 442 417 416 1,800 1,727 -72

2014 2015

Page 6: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 6

NET FEE INCOME AT ALL-TIME HIGH

Securities trading Asset management

Loan transaction fees Other fees Net fee income

Net fee and commission income grew by 19 % and came to DKK 1,030 million

– Especially Q1 was remarkably busy

Income from mortgage-distribution grew by 25 % to DKK 310 million

Income from securities trading and asset management grew by 29 %

– AUM grew by 29 % to DKK 23.4 billion

Net fee income accounts for 37 % of total net interest and fee income (2014: 32 %)

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

Q414

Q115

Q215

Q315

Q415

14 15

DKKmY/Y: 26 pct.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Q414

Q115

Q215

Q315

Q415

14 15

Y/Y: 22 pct.DKKm

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

Q414

Q115

Q215

Q315

Q415

14 15

Y/Y: 32 pct.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Q414

Q115

Q215

Q315

Q415

14 15

Y/Y: -11 pct.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

14 15

DKKm 14/15: 19 pct.

Page 7: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 7

Market-value adjustments

Break-down on types

Market-value adjustments grew by 34 % and came to DKK 507 million

Gain from the sale of Nørresundby Bank was

DKK 226 million (in 2014, we booked a DKK 178 million gain related to the sale of Nets)

Positive trend in market-value adjustments and dividends related to other assets (sector companies)

A very good year for Danish shares

Market-value adjustments on bonds portfolio were satisfactory

Declining income from customers’ hedging of interest risk and FX risk

MARKET-VALUE ADJUSTMENTS AT EXTRAORDINARY LEVEL FOLLOWING THE DIVESTMENT OF SHARES IN NØRRESUNDBY BANK

0

100

200

300

400

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

DKKm

DKKm 2015 2014 ChangeMarket-valued adjustments in Trading, Financial Markets & The International 80 59 22Tangible assets 315 215 100Currency trade and -agio 57 68 -11Dividends on shares, etc. 55 38 17Total 507 380 127

Page 8: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 8

Costs and Cost/Income Ratio

Breakdown on types

TREND IN COSTS AS EXPECTED

Total costs came to DKK 1,843 million – 4 % lower than 2014

- Adjusted for one-offs costs were up 2 %

Staff costs were up by 4 % - 31 FTEs more than one year ago due to re-launch of

leasing business + large IT-projects - DKK 11 million severance pay to executive board member

Operating expenses in line with 2014

- Adjusted for one-offs related to change of IT-platform (DKK 19 million in 2015 vs. DKK 139 million I 2014)

As from Q3, contribution to new Resolution Fund is included in core costs

Cost/Income Ratio improved to 0.55 (excl. Nørresundby Bank: 0.59)

Outlook - Currently all resources are needed in the preparation for

change of the IT-platform - Workflows expected to be more efficient after the IT-

migration - Still some potential for adjustments of branch network

0.600.55

0.00

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2014 2015

DKKm

Costs(DKKm) 2015 2014 ChangeStaff costs 1,098 1,053 45Operating expenses 679 798 -119Depreciation 66 72 -6Costs 1,843 1,922 -80

Operating expenses(DKKm) 2015 2014 ChangeStaff-related expenses 39 34 4Travel expenses 16 14 1Marketing costs 95 94 1IT expenses 339 448 -110Cost of premises 84 90 -7Other administrative expenses 107 117 -9Operating expenses 679 798 -119

Page 9: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 9

Loan losses and impairment percentage

Loan losses and impairment percentage

LOAN LOSSES DOWN 36 % TO DKK 316 MILLION – 98 % OF PROFIT IMPACT ATTRIBUTABLE TO AGRICULTURE

Impairment charges came to DKK 316 million

corresponding to impairment percentage of 0.64 - Lower than expected at the beginning of the year

Breakdown on business segments

- Household: DKK 43 million (0.2 % p.a.) - Corporate excl. agriculture: DKK -37 million (-0.1 p.a.) - Agriculture: DKK 310 million (9.0 % p.a.)

Q4 profit impact came to DKK 76 million

Key figures about agriculture loan book

- Milk: Loans and guarantees of DKK 1.1 billion – of which 60.3 % impaired (total impairment = 33.3 % of exposure)

- Pigs: Loans and guarantees of DKK 0.9 billion – of which 66.8 % impaired (total impairment = 39.8 % of exposure)

Low output prices on milk and pork meat expected

to lead to substantial challenges also in 2016

1.0

0.6

-1.5

1.5

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2014 2015

DKKm Pct.

1.70.8 0.6 0.6 0.6

-7.00

-0.40

0

100

200

300

400

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

DKKm

Page 10: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Page 10

Bank lending Bank deposits

Guarantees

Mortgage-distribution

investments

Pooled pension schemes

TOTAL BUSINESS VOLUME GROWS TO DKK 211 BILLION

0

10

20

30

40

50

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DKKb2014/2015: -5 pct.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DKKb2014/2015: -6 pct.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2014/2015: 10 pct.DKKb

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2014/2015: 18 pct.DKKb

0

10

20

30

40

50

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DKKb2014/2015: 5 pct.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DKKb2014/2015: 23 pct.

Total business volume has grown to DKK 211 billion – 8 % higher than YE-2014

Bank lending is down DKK 1.7 billion or 5 % – Primarily attributable to corporates – Reduction in business with one single public authority (0.7bn) – Reduction in FIH portfolio (DKK 0.6 bn) – Reduction in run-off portfolio (DKK 0.3 bn)

Mortgage-distribution is up by DKK 6.6 billion (10 %)

– Total distribution of DKK 70.3 billion, hereof DKK 59.3 billion to Totalkredit and DKK 11.0 billion to DLR Kredit

New leasing lending now exceeds repayments on old

portfolio – loan growth of 11 % in 2015

Bank deposits are up DKK 2.1 billion (5 %)

Strong demand for asset management and savings products leads to growth in pension pools (23 %) and other investments (18 %)

Page 11: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Capital base

Capital percentage and subordinated capital

Page 11

STRONG CAPITAL POSITION (AND ABSENCE OF GROWTH) PAVES THE WAY FOR SUBSTANTIAL PAY-OUT TO SHAREHOLDERS

Strategic capital targets – CET1 ratio: 12 %

– Capital percentage: 15.5

At the end of Q3, CET1 ratio stands at 14.4 and total capital percentage at 17.0

– Further boosted by divestment of Nørresundby Bank and net profits

Total capital percentage must be viewed in connection with the solvency requirement of 9.5 %

– Excess coverage of DKK 3.5 billion (7.5 percentage points)

• Based on fully implemented CRD IV standards, CET1 ratio stands at 13.9

• Spar Nord’s absolute leverage (lending to equity) is still low compared to Danish peers

• 87 % of net-profits to be paid out to shareholders – Cash dividend of DKK 3 per share

– Extraordinary cash dividend of DKK 2 per share (April 2015)

– Share buy-back of DKK 150 million

Pct.Q4

2015 2014 2013 2012Core tier 1 ratio 14.4 13.0 14.1 12.1Hybrid capital 0.8 0.9 4.2 3.9Deductions in hybrid capital -0.3 -0.6 -1.0 -1.0Tier 1 ratio 14.9 13.3 17.4 15.1Subordinated debt 2.3 2.3 2.9 1.4Deductions in own funds -0.3 -0.6 -1.0 -1.0Total capital ratio 17.0 15.0 19.4 15.5

0

5

10

15

20

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total capital ratio Core tier 1 ratio

Pct.

58

400

700

400

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019->

Hybrid capital Subordinated loan capital

DKKm

Page 12: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

Loan to deposit ratio

Strategic liquidity

Page 12

121109 111 107

85 78 72 69

0

50

100

150

200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Pct.

LIQUIDITY NEED FULLY COVERED BY CUSTOMER DEPOSITS AND CAPITAL BASE

Strategic liquidity of DKK 19.5 billion

Increase of DKK 4.5 billion since YE-2014 is attributable to growth in deposits as well as pressure on lending volume

No current need for wholesale funding

Since 2008, loan to deposit ratio has been reduced from 121 to 69

DKKb 2015 2014 2013Deposits, banking activities 44.4 42.2 41.8Seniorfunding 0.0 0.1 3.4Core capital and sub. capital 9.0 8.8 9.5Stable long term funding 53.4 51.1 54.7Loans, banking activities 32.6 34.4 33.8Loans, leasing activities 1.3 1.1 2.1Maturity < 1 year 0.0 -0.6 -1.5Liquidity target 19.5 15.0 17.3

Page 13: RECORD-HIGH NET PROFIT OF DKK 897 MILLION AND ROE OF … · KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income up 4 % ... Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 DKKm. Net interest

GUIDANCE AND SHARE PRICE

Guidance

Core earnings before impairment expected in the DKK 1.1 billion range

Positive trends – Moderate but positive growth in the economy – and in

bank lending – Recent years’ growth in volume and market share on

mortgage-distribution and asset management – Acquisition of portfolio from FIH Erhervsbank (January

2016)

Most serious negative trend is the extraordinarily low

interest level – Pressure on lending margins – Difficult conditions for Markets

Zero cost-growth

Loan losses expected to remain at unchanged level

– Further improvement of credit quality among SME customers

– Contiued challenges for agriculture

No expenses to Depositors’ insurance scheme

Share price

Paga 13