Ratio of Energy Consumption Value to GDPRatio of Energy Consumption Value to GDP

Source : GDP : Economic and Finance Stats. Q1/ 2002, Bank of Thailand - http://www.bot.or.th/BOT homepage/databank/EconData/Thai_Key/Thai_Key.asp

Data 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

GDP (at present value) 4,732,600 4,626,400 4,637,100 4,916,500 5,123,400 5,433,300

Value of Final Energy Demand 573,029 548,127 543,192 687,983 754,185 777,306

Ratio of Final Energy Demand to GDP 12.11 11.85 11.71 13.99 14.72 14.31

Value of Final Energy Demand Petroleum 320,408 306,417 303,000 409,037 432,409 437,564

Electricity 162,304 175,652 167,977 198,821 232,393 245,244

Natural Gas 5,671 5,494 6,815 11,696 13,670 15,992

Coal/Lignite 6,397 4,740 5,534 5,050 7,211 7,950

Renewable Energy 78,536 55,824 59,866 63,379 68,502 70,557

(Million Baht)

573777

1,529

2,145

1,090

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Forecasted Value of National Energy Forecasted Value of National Energy Consumption in the FutureConsumption in the Future

Unit: Billion Baht

(Assumption: Energy Elasticity = 1.4 :1 and Est. GDP Growth Rate = 5% per year)

World Primary Energy Consumption per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product 1980- - 2001

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Btu

pe

r 19

95

U. S

. D

oll

ars

Us

ing

Ma

rke

t E

xc

ha

ng

e R

ate

s

USA

UK

FranceJapan

http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/tablee1g.xlsEnergy Intensity [Total Primary Energy Consumption Per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product]

Comparison of Energy IntensityComparison of Energy Intensity

Malaysia

Thailand

Economic structure in developed countries has been reformed to save energy

Energy demand is 1.4 times higher than GDP growthEnergy demand is 1.4 times higher than GDP growth

Energy-GDP Elasticity

Avg.'85-20011998 1999 2000 20011994 1995 1996 19971990 1991 1992 1993

1.401.07Energy Elasticity 0.97

1985

1.47 1.08 1.511.24 1.34 1.64 1.94 -3.50 0.58 0.970.47

Source : EIA,DOE, BP Statistic Review of World Energy, EGAT

Energy Elasticity = Energy Elasticity = ∆∆tt Energy Energy Consumption/ Consumption/ ∆∆tt GDPGDP

Ave. Energy Elasticity1.4 : 1.0

New Target1 : 1

or lower

Thailand

573

777

1,529

2,145

1,090

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2540 2545 2550 2555 2560

98

263

528

3,112

Value of Potential Energy SavedValue of Potential Energy Saved

Unit : Billion Baht

3.1 trillion Baht can be saved from energy efficiency

(Assumption: Energy Elasticity = 1:1 and GDP Growth Rate = 5% per year)

1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Energy Consumption by Economic Sector

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2535 2536 2537 2538 2539 2540 2541 2542 2543 2544 2545

ktoe

Transport 37%Transport 37%

Industry 36%Industry 36%

Resident & Commercial 21%Resident & Commercial 21%

Agriculture 6%Agriculture 6%

Industry=Manufacturing+Mining+Construction

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Share of Energy Demand in the Transportation Sector in Thailand

Transport Mode Energy Demandktoe

Share(%)

Land Transportation 14,743 79.1Road 14,638 78.6

Rail 105 0.5

Water Transportation 851 4.6

Domestic 57 0.3

Overseas 794 4.3

Air Transportation 3,038 16.3Domestic 307 1.6

Overseas 2,731 14.7

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

Installed Capacity

Reserve Margin 15%

August-02

MW

BLCP

Co.

#1,2

2x6

73.25

MW

201020072005 2008 20092006 20112003 2004 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

SPPs

107

MW,

Lam T

aklon

gPum

p Stor

age #

1-2 2

x250

MW

. La

n Krab

eu 1

22 M

W,Bo

Win

713 MW

, Eas

tern P

ower

Co.,L

td. 35

0 MW

.

Sou

thern

Comb

ined C

ycle

Powe

r Plan

t 1x

700

MW

New

Pow

er Pla

nt 2x

700 MW

New

Pow

er Pla

nt 3x

700

MW

New

Powe

r Plan

t 3x

700

MW

North

Ban

gkok

& S

outh

Bang

kok

Com

bined

Cyc

le Po

wer P

lants

#3 2

x700

MW

.

New

Pow

er Pla

nt 1x

700 MW

New

Powe

r Plan

t 1x

700 MW

New

Pow

er Pla

nt 4x

700 MW

Lao-Na

m Th

ern 2

# 92

0 MW,

Ban

g Pak

ong C

ombin

ed C

ycle

Powe

r Plan

t #

5 1x7

00 M

W.

Gulf C

o., U

nion C

o. #1 2

x700

MW

Union

Co.

#2 1

x700

MW

New

Pow

er Pla

nt 3x

70W0 MW

Average power demand growth 1,580 MW per year

255325502548 2551 25522549 25542546 2547 2555 2556 2557 2558 2559

Power System Adequacy(Generation & Transmission Systems)

Power System Adequacy(Generation & Transmission Systems)

Reserve Margin 15%

Installed Capacity

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Structure of Community Development Fund UtilizationStructure of Community Development Fund Utilization

Community Development Fund (CDF)(3 Designated Authorizing Committees)

Provincial Committees of the CDFC

Community Committeesof the CDFC

Community Development Fund Committee (CDFC)

• consider fund utilization for the development of quality of life and the environment at the provincial level

• consider fund utilization for overall development of quality of life and the environment

• consider fund utilization for the development of quality of life and the environment at the local level

X% Y% Z%

consider fund utilization under the CDF framework

NakhonSrithammarat

Phuket

Andaman Sea

Gulf of Thailand

Trang

Trans-isthmus pipeline

Strategic crude Stockpiling

Phang Nga

Krabi

Petrochemical complex

Refinery

Refinery & Petrochemicalcomplex

Oil depotSichon

Oil depot

Tap Lamu

Existing road system

Marine Maintenance/repair

facility

Strategic Energy Landbridge

Trading centre for BIMST-EC OilPetrochemical

Pipeline

Length 240 KM.

Diameter 42”

Capacity 1.0 MBD

Tank Capacity 2 x 5.0 mm.BBL

Investment Cost 719 mm.USD