q3 2018 financial results & 2021 strategy update · lean six sigma procurement excellence world...
TRANSCRIPT
Tom K. Schäbinger (CEO)
Q3 2018
financial results
& 2021 strategy
update
Investor presentation
H1 2018
Tom K. Schäbinger (CEO)
Dirk Hardow (COO)
Dr. Nico Reiner (CFO)
Ivo Schintz (CCO)
Financialresults
Investor presentation
Market
Financial results
Strategy update
Outlook The World Academy TWA | King Abdullah Economic City
Duropal HPL | Duropal HPL magnet | DecoBoard
© Paul Ott, Graz
Key developments
Key developments
Exhibition stand Pfleiderer Interzum 2017 | Cologne | Germany
Highlights
4
€
*Adjusted EBITDA = EBITDA adjusted for clearly identifiable material true one-offs and exceptional items. Please refer to appendix for more details
STRATEGY
• We have conducted a bottom-up strategy
analysis across all business areas together
with one of the TOP 3 strategy consulting firms,
validating our plan
• As a result of this process, we are revising our
2021 target upwards
• 2021 top line target raised to
>EUR 1,300m
• 2021 EBITDA margin target >16%
confirmed
• Strategic plan is driven by systemic top and
bottom line initiatives
FINANCIALS & OPS
• 9M revenues up 6.5% to EUR 799.7m,
driven by price increases;
• Reported EBITDA up 8.7% y/y to EUR 104.6m
• Adjusted EBITDA* up 15.0% y/y to EUR
107.4m
• Strict cost control and active sales management
• Operating cost reductions actively being
implemented in H2’18
• Expect significant deleveraging over coming
quarters following successful Q3 share buyback
Market
Q3’18
Exhibition stand Pfleiderer Interzum 2017 | Cologne | Germany
Glue (EUR/to)
Electricity (EUR/KWh)
Wood (EUR/to)
Q1, 2016 = 100%
6
Raw materials prices still rising
Paper
Q1, 2016 = 100%
Q1, 2016 = 100%Q1, 2016 = 100%
100%
89% 92% 94%
117%121%
107%
113%116%117%
127%
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Q42016
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Q22017
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Q42017
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Q22018
Q32018
Wood Chemicals
PaperEnergy
Material cost structure
100%
93%91% 90%
93%92% 92% 94%
99% 97% 98%
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Q22016
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Q22017
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Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
100%99%
99%96%
98% 98% 97%99%101%
103%105%
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Q22016
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Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
100% 96%98%
102%
115%
106%106%106%
115%112%111%
Q12016
Q22016
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Q42016
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Q22017
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Q42017
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Q22018
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Active price management in place
7* Base on January 2016 =100
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
Raw chipboard
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
MDF raw HDF raw
85
90
95
100
105
110
MFC
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
HPL Worktops
1.9%
DACH
Macro outlook supporting future
growth of Pfleiderer Group
3.7%
Poland
1.9%
Germany
GDP growth on main markets (2019 est.)*
3.7%
1.9%
2.1%
EU-27
*Source: European Commission, IMF 8
Financial results
Exhibition stand Pfleiderer Interzum 2017 | Cologne | Germany
Q3’18
Product price increases
support top line growth
Revenue Q3’18 (EUR m)
244.9266.5
Q3 2017 Q3 2018
+8.8%
10
750.9799.7
9M 2017 9M 2018
+6.5%
Revenue 9M’18 (EUR m)
• Q3 growth of revenues the strongest in 2018
Revenue breakdown
by products & markets
Revenue breakdown
by products (9M’18)
11
Revenue breakdown
by market (9M’18)
48%
16%
19%
11%6%
Laminated/lacquered board
HPL & elements
Raw PB
Raw MDF/HDF
Other
46%
22%
24%
6%2%
DACH
Other Western Europe
Poland
Other Eastern Europe
Beyond Europe
• DACH & other Western European markets account for 68% of Group sales
• 64% of revenue generated by growing sales of value-added products
Higher profitability delivered
12
31.4
37.3
Q3 2017 Q3 2018
Adjusted EBITDA* (EUR m)
93.4
107.4
9M 2017 9M 2018
+15.0%+18.8%
* Reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA is available in the appendix.
• Q3 growth of EBITDA the strongest in 2018
Q3’18 EBITDA bridge
13
11.4
2.71.6
37.3
31.4
10.7
(24.2)*
1.6
(EUR m)
* Includes price & volume effects
Reconciliation to reported EBITDA is presented in the appendix
• Improved volumes, prices & product mix nearly offset visible increase in raw material costs
• Early innings of cost saving plan initiated in H2’18 already visible; full year effect to manifest itself in 2019
2.1
9M’18 EBITDA bridge
14
38.3
5.5 3.4
69.4
107.4
93.4
10.1
(41.3)*
(4.9)
(EUR m)
* Includes price & volume effects
Reconciliation to reported EBITDA is presented in the appendix
• Strong focus on pricing in order to offset increase of raw materials cost
• Increase of production costs mainly driven by inflation
• Early innings of cost saving plan initiated in H2’18 already visible; full year effect to manifest itself in 2019
2.9
15
Continuous profitable growth
* – y/y changes in net profit resulting mainly from impact of FX valuations (non-cash event)
(EUR m) Q3’17 Q3’18 Δ 9M’17 9M’18 Δ
Revenue 244.9 266.5 +8.8% 750.9 799.7 +6.5%
Gross profit 54.9 60.5 +10.2% 174.6 183.2 +4.9%
Gross profit margin (%) 22.4 22.7 +0.3 p.p. 23.3 22.9 (0.4 p.p.)
Selling expenses (34.5) (32.0) (7.2%) (103.5) (98.2) (5.1%)
Administrative expenses (12.0) (10.8) (10.0%) (37.0) (35.8) (3.2%)
R&D (0.5) (0.4) (20.0%) (1.6) (1.3) (18.8%)
SG&A (% of sales) 19.2 16.2 (3.0 p.p.) 18.9 16.9 (2.0 p.p.)
Reported EBITDA 30.1 35.2 +16.9% 96.2 104.6 +8.7%
Adjusted EBITDA 31.4 37.3 +18.8% 93.4 107.4 +15.0%
Adj. EBITDA margin (%) 12.8 14.0 +1.2 p.p. 12.4 13.4 +1.0 p.p.
D&A 18.3 20.0 +9.3% 55.2 57.5 +4.2%
EBIT 11.8 15.2 28.8% 41.1 47.1 +14.6%
EBIT margin (%) 4.8 5.7 0.9 p.p. 5.5 5.9 0.4 p.p.
Net income 0.4 9.8 +2088%* 19.1 15.6 (18.3%)*
Strong growth of quarterly
adjusted EBITDA*
20.4
31.4
25.4
32.632.1 29.9
31.432.8
36.5
33.6
37.3
Q12016
Q12017
Q12018
Q22016
Q22017
Q22018
Q32016
Q32017
Q32018
Q42016
Q42017
(EUR m)
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* EBIDTA reconcilliation in the appendix
40.0 30.9
19.6 21.1
-10,0%
50,0%
-10,0
90,0
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2018
Net working capital after factoring % of quarterly sales
16.4%
13.0%
8.0%7.9%
Efficient working capital
managementWorking capital after factoring (EUR m)
77.2
38.1 35.324.6
94.0
99.2 104.6114.0
-82.3-97.4
-120.3 -117.5
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2018
Trade receivables Inventories Trade payables
88.9
40.0 19.6 21.1
17
• Further improvement in working capital as % of sales
Share buy-back program completed
Balance Sheet influenced by share buy-back program
(EUR m) 9M 20179M 2018
excl. SBB9M 2018
Net debt 251.4 261.0 385.4
Net leverage 1.95 1.90 2.80
Equity ratio 28.4% 26.1% 16.1%
No. of shares Capital share Value (EUR k)
Q4 2017 3.235.050 5.00% 35.643
Q1 2018 2.161.883 3.34% 18.609
Q3 2018 7.543.268 11.66% 70.491
Total 12.940.201 20.00% 124.743
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• Expect material deleveraging over the coming quarters
• Expected net leverage for end-2019: between 2.0- 2.5x
Attractive valuation vs. peers
19
EV / EBITDA MEDIAN
2017A 2018E
Consensus
estimatesPfleiderer Group 5.2x 4.9x
EV / EBITDA MEDIAN
2017A 2018E
Comparable listed
stocks
Western Europe wood stocks 9.0x 9.3x
DACH construction materials stocks 9.1x 7.9x
EV / EBITDA AVERAGE
2017A 2018E
Comparable listed
stocks
Western Europe wood stocks 8.9x 9.1x
DACH construction materials stocks 10.3x 9.5x
Source: Bloomberg, Pfleiderer calculations
• Pfleiderer stock is materially undervalued compared to its international peers
Strategyupdate
Exhibition stand Pfleiderer Interzum 2017 | Cologne | Germany
Q3’18
Pfleiderer Strategy –
the Diamond approach
21
SHAREHOLDER VALUE▪ Lean organization
▪ Sound financial basis
▪ Active investor relations
▪ Attractive dividend policy
▪ Available net cash will be distributed to shareholders
OPERATIONS
PEOPLE▪ Target oriented leadership (MBO)
▪ New Management Team
▪ Lean organization
▪ People recruitment and development
▪ Talent program
▪ Succession plan
COMMERCIAL
Sales & Marketing▪ Market segmentation & strategy
▪ Organic growth & value-added
product strategy
▪ Sales excellence program
▪ New Design Collection
▪ Target group marketing
▪ PFL Academy
PFLDIAMOND
APPROACH
CORPORATE CULTURE ▪ Empowerment
▪ Cost consciousness
▪ Diversified workforce
▪ International management
approach
▪ Employee survey
Mid-term programs
▪ Lean Six Sigma
▪ Procurement excellence
▪ World class manufacturing
Next 12 months
▪ Uptime & productivity
▪ Capacity ext. / debottlenecking
▪ Value-added technologies
▪ Procurement savings
▪ NWC optimization
▪ Continuous Improvement
program
Presented in
Sept. 2017
What we’ve achieved so far
22
New capacities: launch of lacquering line in Leutkirch
Cost optimisation: increased share of recycled wood at Neumarkt
Identification of prospective market segments, geographies, products
Shareholder value – cash generation and sharing profit
Cost optimisation – visible in Q3 2018 P&L
Launch of sales effectiveness improvement programme
• Implementation of the Diamond Strategy has already delivered significant shareholder value
• Initiatives are already translating into EBITDA growth in FY2018. Expect to see material EBITDA benefit in
FY2019 and FY2020
Diamond Strategy confirmed
23
We have conducted a bottom-up detailing of the Diamond Strategy
Together with one of TOP 3 strategy consulting firms
we have uncovered further possible upside
2021 Revenue target raised to >EUR 1.3B
2021 EBITDA margin target >16% confirmed
Currently we are delivering 13.5% EBITDA margin
With the implementaton of the diamond strategy we plan to close the
gap to best-in-class peers that deliver 16–17% EBITDA margin
Clear goals for strategy defined
24
Strengthen sales and market position
Increase production capacity and efficiency
Increase EBITDA margin
Focus on High Value-Added Products
Sustainable progress
on strategy implementation
25
12 key initiatives were identified across the organisation,
allocated to three workstreams on three areas:
COMMERCIAL OPERATIONS POLAND
Improve direct and raw material
cost efficiencyIncrease revenues w/ existing
customers
Silekol growth plan
Improve plant performanceNew customer acquisition Improved customisation services
Optimize procurement spending
Enter new geographies
Incremental volume growth
Enter new market segments
New product development
Increase price and margin
discipline
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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
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Outlook
Exhibition stand Pfleiderer Interzum 2017 | Cologne | Germany
Q3’18
Positive outlook drives future profits
27
Cutting-edge
products
Pricing
approach• Smart pricing strategy to mitigate higher prices of raw materials with pass through to customers
• Pfleiderer to monetise new products and segments with higher margins (e.g. successful launch of
kitchen top line in Poland)
• Continuous improvement of cost structure and cost-cutting initiatives will result in additional
savings
• Optimisation of plant performance on output increase, improved cost monitoring thanks to IT tools
Cost &
performance
optimisation
• Pfleiderer is ideally positioned with its capacity to benefit from a growing demand of customers
in premium products within its strategic core markets
• Entering new customer segments, new geographies
Customer
demand
Market trends
• Growth of furniture and construction markets to boost order book and future earnings
• New initiatives in Poland to address expansion of capacities by competitors & wood market
changes (e.g. reducing costs through increased use of recycled wood, expanding Silekol’s
outside sales)
EBITDA outlook
109.8120.0
129.1143.0
FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2017 excl. OCCPPenalty¹
FY 2018 Marketconsensus²
EBITDA (EUR m)
1 Reported EBITDA adjusted for EUR 9.1m of one-off provision for OCCP penalty and related cost 2 Bloomberg consensus 28
• Expect to meet or outperform FY2018 market consensus
Key takeaways
29
Enhanced 2021 strategy thanks to bottom-up account analysis2
Improving profitability and cost structure; maintaining cost discipline1
Clear management inititiaves addressing new capacities in Poland3
Raw material prices increase successfuly passed through to customers6
Smart pricing strategy provides future upside5
Cont’d strong focus on value-added products with superior profitability4
Positive market environment in DACH and Poland7
Appendix
Motel One | Barcelona
Duropal HPL | XTreme Matt
©Motel One
Q3’18
The Management Board
Dirk HardowChief Operating Officer
Ivo SchintzChief Commercial Officer
Tom K. SchäbingerChief Executive Officer
Dr. Nico ReinerChief Financial Officer
Reported & adjusted EBITDA
reconciliation
32
(EUR m) 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018
Reconciliation Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3
Reported EBITDA 30.8 35.3 30.1 36.5 32.9 35.2
Add/deduct derecognition of EEG
liabilities1.0 -5.4
Add back anti-trust related
expenses0.3 1.3 0.2 0.1
Add back strategy consulting costs 2.0
Add back ALNO provision 0.6
Adjusted EBITDA 32.1 29.9 31.4 36.5 33.6 37.3
Quarterly reported EBITDA
development
20.4
31.4
25.4
32.630.8
35.3
30.1
23.7
36.5
32.935.2
Q12016
Q12017
Q12018
Q22016
Q22017
Q22018
Q32016
Q32017
Q32018
Q42016
Q42017
(EUR m)
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www.pfleiderer.com
More information
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IR Contact
Bartek Godlewski
M: +48 795 529 424
Coiffeur Panzerhalle | Salzburg | Austria
Duropal HPL Individual
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