q1 2009 earning report of conocophillips
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
1st QuarterEarnings Conference Call
April 23, 2009
Page 2
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTFOR THE PURPOSES OF THE “SAFE HARBOR” PROVISIONS
OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTFOR THE PURPOSES OF THE “SAFE HARBOR” PROVISIONS
OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995
The following presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. You can identify our forward-looking statements by words such as “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” “believes,” “estimates,” and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements relating to ConocoPhillips’ operations are based on management’s expectations, estimates and projections about ConocoPhillips and the petroleum industry in general on the date these presentations were given. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially include, but are not limited to, crude oil and natural gas prices; refining and marketing margins; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects due to operating hazards, drilling risks, and the inherent uncertainties in interpreting engineering data relating to underground accumulations of oil and gas; unsuccessful exploratory activities; potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; potential failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying company manufacturing or refining facilities; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing, transporting or refining synthetic crude oil; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations; potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2008, as updated by our subsequent periodic and current reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K, respectively. ConocoPhillips is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, as indicated. Such non-GAAP measures are intended to supplement, not substitute for, comparable GAAP measures. Investors are urged to consider closely the comparable GAAP measure and the reconciliation to that measure provided in the Appendix or on our website at www.conocophillips.com. In this presentation, peer group “non-core earnings impacts” include publicly-disclosed gains and losses on asset dispositions, asset impairments, changes in litigation accruals, write-offs, uninsured losses, and restructuring charges, in each case, to the extent such items are in excess of >$249 million as well as all cumulative effect of accounting changes and discontinued operations, regardless of amount.
Page 3
First-Quarter OverviewFirst-Quarter Overview
$0.8 Billion in Earnings
2.36 MMBOED Production
81% Refining Utilization
Lower Operating Costs
Earnings
$0.8 B
Debt-to-Cap
34%
Cash FromOperations
$1.9 B
Page 4
Total Company Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Total Company Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
1,914
840
264
125
516
310
1,669
4Q AdjustedEarnings*
Prices, Margins &Other Market
Impacts
Volumes Operating Costs Taxes Other 1Q09
* See Appendix for reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to Earnings
$MM
Page 5
Total Company Cash Flow1Q09
Total Company Cash Flow1Q09
1,885
802
1,924
755
81
3,147
696
Beginning Cashand CFO
Debt Increase Capital Program Dividends Other Ending CashBalance
$MM
Beginning
Cash
Page 6
Debt RatioDebt Ratio
Equity $B Balance Sheet Debt $B
Debt-to-Capital Ratio %
5656
9084
35
44
54
0
20
40
60
80
100
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '081Q09
29.427.5
21.7
27.1
17.815.0
12.5
0
10
20
30
40
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '081Q09
3433
19
34
26
19
24
0
10
20
30
40
50
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 1Q09
Page 7
Exploration & Production1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Exploration & Production1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Lower crude oil and natural gas prices
Reduced operating costs
Higher production volumes
Page 8
1,9252,364
1,867
7439
31 9 817
4Q08 E&P Indonesia Russia Vietnam Australia Other 1Q09 E&P LUKOIL 1Q09
Total Company Production1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Total Company Production1Q09 vs. 4Q08
MBOED
Page 9
E&P Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
E&P Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
$MM
700
1,392
193
153
50
731,015
4Q08 AdjustedEarnings*
Prices & OtherMarket Impacts
Sales Volumes Operating Costs Production Taxes Other 1Q09
* See Appendix for reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to Earnings
Page 10
Refining & Marketing1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Refining & Marketing1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Lower worldwide marketing margins
Reduced refining market capture
Decreased capacity utilization
Page 11
R&M Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
R&M Earnings1Q09 vs. 4Q08
753
205
42
251
325
14
4Q08 AdjustedEarnings*
Prices, Margins &Other Market
Impacts
Volumes Operating Costs Other 1Q09
$MM
* See Appendix for reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to Earnings
Page 12
Other Segments 1Q09 vs. 4Q08
Other Segments 1Q09 vs. 4Q08
LUKOIL Investment ($48MM vs. $0MM*)
Midstream ($123MM vs. $69MM)
Chemicals ($23MM vs. $-6MM)
Emerging Businesses ($0MM vs. $60MM*)
Corporate ($-259MM vs. $-354MM*)
* Amounts represent Adjusted Earnings. See Appendix for reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to Earnings.
Page 13
E&P Income per BOE
$ / BOE
Peer Group
11.6215.07
20.60 22.35 22.96
30.70
15.55
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09
E&P Cash Contribution per BOE
$ / BOE
E&P per BOE MetricsE&P per BOE Metrics
Based on total E&P BOE production. All companies Income adjusted to exclude certain non-core earnings impacts (based solely on publicly available information). Cash Contribution is calculated as Income plus DD&A. See Tables 1 and 2 of Appendix for additional information.
7.089.97
14.79 13.76 12.19
4.04
18.44
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09
Page 14
Peer Group
1.26
2.39
3.59 3.854.50
2.40
0.94
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09
R&M Income per BBL
$ / BBL
R&M Cash Contribution per BBL
$ / BBL
1.88
3.06
4.28 4.645.16
3.16
1.80
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09
R&M per BBL MetricsR&M per BBL Metrics
Based on total petroleum product sales. All companies Income adjusted to exclude certain non-core earnings impacts (based solely on publicly available information). Cash Contribution is calculated as Income plus DD&A. See Tables 1 and 2 of Appendix for additional information.
Page 15
8%5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
4Q08 1Q09
Return on Capital EmployedReturn on Capital Employed
All companies adjusted to exclude certain non-core earnings impacts. See Table 3 of Appendix for additional information.
Peer Group COP
Page 16
OutlookOutlook
Full-year E&P production slightly higherthan 2008
Higher second-quarter U.S. refiningcapacity utilization
Continue cost discipline
Execute capital program
1st QuarterEarnings Conference Call
April 23, 2009
Appendix
Page 19 Table 1
COP Non-GAAP ReconciliationsCOP Non-GAAP Reconciliations
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09GAAP E&P Net Income - $MM 4,302 5,702 8,430 9,848 4,615 (13,479) 700 GAAP E&P Net Income - $ / BOE 7.33 9.97 14.79 13.78 6.73 (20.59) 4.04 non-core earnings impacts - $MM gains and (losses) on asset dispositions 565 590 asset impairments (118) (4,752) (26,070) tax legislation / regulatory / other 142 (4) 133 436 (71) E&P Income - $ / BOE 7.08 9.97 14.79 13.76 12.19 18.44 4.04 E&P DD&A - $ / BOE 4.54 5.10 5.81 8.59 10.77 12.26 11.51 E&P Cash Contribution - $ / BOE 11.62 15.07 20.60 22.35 22.96 30.70 15.55
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09GAAP R&M Net Income - $MM 1,272 2,743 4,173 4,481 5,923 2,322 205 GAAP R&M Net Income - $ / BBL 1.14 2.39 3.52 3.53 5.00 2.09 0.84 non-core earnings impacts - $MM gains and (losses) on asset dispositions 339 224 asset impairments (441) 112 (550) tax legislation / regulatory / other (125) (83) 34 141 (24) (25) R&M Income - $ / BBL 1.26 2.39 3.59 3.85 4.50 2.40 0.94 R&M DD&A - $ / BBL 0.62 0.67 0.69 0.79 0.66 0.76 0.86 R&M Cash Contribution - $ / BBL 1.88 3.06 4.28 4.64 5.16 3.16 1.80
Page 20
COP Non-GAAP ReconciliationsCOP Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Table 2
For Peer Companies, Cash Contribution is calculated as adjusted Income plus DD&A for each full year 2003 through 2008.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09GAAP E&P CFOA - $MM 7,751 9,109 12,126 16,978 16,228 20,976 2,270 GAAP E&P CFOA - $ / BOE 13.20 15.92 21.27 23.77 23.65 32.04 13.10
excluded GAAP items - $MMnon-cash working capital 356 221 31 244 393 389 (339) non-working capital adjustments* 573 267 350 770 78 488 (86)
E&P Cash Contribution - $ / BOE 11.62 15.07 20.60 22.35 22.96 30.70 15.55
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09GAAP R&M CFOA - $MM 2,208 2,671 4,914 4,625 6,757 1,903 (698) GAAP R&M CFOA - $ / BBL 1.99 2.32 4.14 3.65 5.70 1.71 (2.85)
excluded GAAP items - $MMnon-cash working capital (104) (702) 267 (1,095) 1,188 (1,294) (1,044) non-working capital adjustments* 225 (142) (427) (172) (546) (314) (95)
R&M Cash Contribution - $ / BBL 1.88 3.06 4.28 4.64 5.16 3.16 1.80
*Includes items such as deferred tax, accretion on discounted liabilities, and undistributed equity earnings.
Page 21
COP Non-GAAP ReconciliationsCOP Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Table 3
4Q08 1Q09GAAP ROCE -126% 5% non-core earnings impacts - $MM gains and (losses) on asset dispositions 525 - asset impairments (34,104) - tax legislation / regulatory / other (99) 63
ROCE 8% 5%
Page 22
COP Non-GAAP ReconciliationsReconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to EarningsCOP Non-GAAP ReconciliationsReconciliation of Adjusted Earnings to Earnings
Table 4
4Q08 - $MM E&P R&M Lukoil Midstream Chem. Emerg. Bus. Corp. ConsolidatedEarnings (loss) ($24,293) $289 ($7,410) $69 ($6) ($25) ($388) ($31,764)Goodwill impairment (25,443) - - - - - - (25,443)Impairments - other (599) (537) - - - (85) (30) (1,251)LUKOIL Investment impairment - - (7,410) - - - - (7,410) Total Impairments (26,042) (537) (7,410) - - (85) (30) (34,104)Gain (loss) on asset sales 428 97 - - - - - 525Severance accruals (71) (24) - - - - (4) (99) Total Adjustments (25,685) (464) (7,410) - - (85) (34) (33,678)Adjusted earnings $1,392 $753 - $69 ($6) $60 ($354) $1,914