putin's russia william f. jasper

8/13/2019 Putin's Russia William f. Jasper

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WRITTEN BY WILLIAM F. JASPERMONDAY, 22 JANUARY 2 ! " #"$

%&'B in(l)*n+* ar )n/*r P)tin, % 0lar*/ t1* 1*a/lin* ( a BB nlin* arti+l*( r D*+*m0*r "3, 2 4. T1* ( ll 5in6 /a7, a imilar 1*a/lin* *+1 */ a imilarl7alarmin6 t r7 at t1* 5*0 it* ( Der Spiegel , n* ( '*rman7 lar6* t n*5ma6a8in* # %P)tin R) ia# &r*mlin Ri//l*/ 5it1 F rm*r &'B A6*nt .%

In t1* 9*nin6 *nt*n+* ( Der Spiegel's arti+l*, r*a/*r ar* in( rm*/ t1at# %F )r )t ((i:* m*m0*r ( R) ia 9 liti+al an/ 0) in* *lit* 1a:* a &'B 9a t, a++ r/in6 t a n*5t)/7 07 t1* 9r* ti6i ) ;R) ian< A+a/*m7 ( S+i*n+* . T1* in(l)*n+* ( *=-S :i*t 9i* 1a0all n*/ )n/*r Pr* i/*nt >la/imir P)tin.%

T1* t)/7, 51i+1 l ?*/ at ", 4" t 9 &r*mlin, r*6i nal, an/ + r9 rat* @ 0 , ( )n/ t1at %!9*r+*nt ( t1* R) ian *lit*% ar* 51at ar* ?n 5n in R) ia a % il :i?i,% 51i+1 i t a7,( rm*r m*m0*r ( t1* &'B r it / m* ti+ )++* r, t1* FSB. T1* a)t1 r ( t1* t)/7,Ol6a &r7 1tan : ?a7a, *=9r* */ 1 +? at 1*r 5n (in/in6 . %I 5a :*r7 1 +?*/ 51*n Il ?*/ at t1* 0 ar/ ( ma@ r + m9ani* an/ r*ali8*/ t1*r* 5*r* l t ( 9* 9l* 51 1a/+ m9l*t*l7 )n?n 5n nam* , 9* 9l* 51 5*r* n t 9)0li+ 0)t 51 5*r* /*(init*l7, 0:i )il :i?i,% 1* t l/ R*)t*r .

Ot1*r )99 */ *=9*rt in R) ia an/ t1* W* t 1a:* al *=9r* */ )r9ri * an/ alarmat t1* a99ar*nt r* )rr*+ti n ( t1* /r*a/*/ S :i*t *+r*t 9 li+*. A(t*r all, ( r t1* 9a t/*+a/* an/ a 1al( t1* * am* *=9*rt 1a:* 0**n 9 intin6 t t1* all*6*/ /*mi * ( t1* &'Ba t1* 9rimar7 *:i/*n+* )99 rtin6 t1*ir +laim t1at + mm)ni m i /*a/.

Fr m t1* B l 1*:i? R*: l)ti n in "C"!, t1* R) ian *+)rit7 a99arat) 1*?a an/ it lat*r9*rm)tati n # O'PU, N&>D, M'B, &'B 1a/ 0**n t1* % 5 r/ an/ 1i*l/% ( t1* + mm)ni t5 rl/ r*: l)ti n.

%W* tan/ ( r r6ani8*/ t*rr r,% /*+lar*/ F*li= D8*r81in ?7, t1* (ir t +1i*( ( t1* 1*?a ( r

S :i*t /i+tat r >la/imir L*nin. In "C" , D8*r81in ?7 la)n+1*/ t1* +am9ai6n ( arr* t an/*=*+)ti n ?n 5n a t1* R*/ T*rr r. Krasnaya Gazeta , t1* B l 1*:i? n*5 9a9*r, *=9r* */t1* 1*?i t +r*/ 51*n it r*9 rt*/ a99r :in6l7 in "C" ( t1* t*rr r +am9ai6n# %W* 5illma?* )r 1*art +r)*l, 1ar/ an/ imm :a0l*, t1at n m*r+7 5ill *nt*r t1*m, an/ t1att1*7 5ill n t )i:*r at t1* i61t ( a *a ( *n*m7 0l /.%

Un(lin+1in6 +r)*lt7 an/ m*r+il* , 0l /7 t*rr r 1a:* 0**n t1* tra/*mar? ( t1* + mm)ni t*+r*t 9 li+*, (r m t1* 1*?a t t1* &'B. O0:i ) l7, t1* /*mi * ( )+1 an r6ani8ati n5 )l/ 0* +a) * ( r m)+1 r*@ i+in6. G*n+*, 51*n t1* &'B 5a r/*r*/ /i l:*/ an/ it

+1airman, '*n*ral >la/imir &r7)+1? :, 5a arr* t*/ in "CC" a(t*r att*m9tin6 t :*rt1r 5%li0*ral r*( rm*r% Mi?1ail ' r0a+1*: in t1* (ail*/ %A)6) t )9,% man7 9* 9l* in t1* W* t

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"! an/ t1* m)r/*r ( @ )rnali t Anna P lit? : ?a7a, 9*+ial ( r+* 9*rati:* M :la/iBai ar :, +*ntral 0an? ((i+ial An/r*i & 8l :, an/ *=-FSB 6*n*ral Anat l7 Tr (im : tnam* 0)t a (*5 ar* *n/in6 an )nmi ta?a0l* m* a6* t *:*r7 n* 5it1 *7* t ** an/*ar t 1*ar t1at t1* &'B t1 )61 n t )n/*r t1at nam* i (irml7 in + ntr l ( t1* &r*mlin.

Defector Exposes Deception

T1* m*/ia-an int*/ R) ian *=9*rt 1a:* 9r :*n tim* an/ a6ain t 0* 9*+ta+)larl7,/an6*r ) l7 wrong . W*, at TGE NEW AMERI AN, 1a:* +1 *n in t*a/ t r*l7 )9 n :*ri(ia0l*(a+t , + m0in*/ 5it1 anal7 i in( rm*/ 07 t1* in+ m9ara0l* in i61t ( Anat li7 ' lit 7n,ar6)a0l7 t1* m t im9 rtant S :i*t /*(*+t r *:*r t + m* t t1* W* t.

N t1*r /*(*+t r 1a 1a/ a++* t t1* &'B inn*r an+t)m, 51*r* t1* S :i*t Uni n t 9-

*+r*t, l n6-ran6* 9lan ( r trat*6i+ /*+*9ti n 5*r* 1at+1*/. An/ n t1*r R) ian *=9*rt+ m* +l * t mat+1in6 Mr. ' lit 7n a++)rat* anal7 i an/ 9r* +i*nt 9r*/i+ti n+ n+*rnin6 t1* S :i*t 0l + an/ it +)rr*nt in+arnati n a R) ia an/ t1* mm n5*alt1 (In/*9*n/*nt Stat* IS . ' lit 7n a t )n/in6 tra+? r*+ r/, 51i+1 tr*t+1* 0a+? m r*t1an 7*ar , ()n/am*ntall7 +1all*n6* *:*r7 ma@ r a )m9ti n )n/*r9innin6 U.S. 9 li+i*+ n+*rnin6 R) ia, t1* IS, 1ina, an/ t1* 6l 0al + mm)ni t 7 t*m.

I( ' lit 7n i + rr*+t, t1*n rat1*r t1an 5innin6 t1* l/ War, a W* t*rn 9 liti+ian ,militar7 l*a/*r , a+a/*mi+ian , an/ m*/ia (i6)r* 1a:* 0**n 9r +laimin6 in+* "CC", 5*

in t*a/ 1a:* 0**n +*l*0ratin6 51il* in :*r7 6ra:* 9*ril. Li?* t1* an+i*nt Tr @an , 5* 1a:*(all*n ( r n* ( t1* l/* t /*+*9ti n . Una0l* t 0r*a+1 Tr 7 im9r*6na0l* 5all , t1*'r**? (*i6n*/ /*(*at an/ 9r*t*n/*/ t (a/* a5a7. B*li*:in6 t1at t1*7 1a/ (inall7/*(*at*/ t1* 'r**? , t1* Tr @an 0r )61t t1* 'r**? 9*a+* ((*rin6 t1* 6iant 5 /*n1 r * in i/* t1*ir ( rmi/a0l* 5all . An/ 51il* t1* Tr @an 5*r* *n6a6*/ in +*l*0ratin6 5*ll, 5* ?n 5 t1* r* t ( t1* t r7.

A++ r/in6 t ' lit 7n, in "C4 t1* mm)ni t Part7 *ntral mmitt** ( t1* S :i*t Uni n,5it1 im9l*m*ntin6 1*l9 (r m t1* &'B, *+r*tl7 *t in m ti n a l n6-ran6* 9lan t1at i till

9la7in6 )t t /a7. A ?*7 (*at)r* ( t1i 9lan 5 )l/ 0* a 51 l* *ri* ( + ntr ll*/ % 9lit %5it1in t1* + mm)ni t m :*m*nt an/ 0*t5**n + mm)ni t + )ntri* t1at t1* &r*mlintrat*6i t 5 )l/ ) * t mani9)lat* W* t*rn 9 li+i* . T1i 5a initiat*/ at t1* "C4 M + 5n6r* ( " + mm)ni t 9arti* (r m ar )n/ t1* 5 rl/. All 6*n)in* (a+ti n , 9lit , an/

9 5*r tr)66l* 5it1in t1* + mm)ni t 0l + 5*r* + m9l*t*l7 *n/*/ at t1at m**tin6. Fr mt1at 9 int ( r5ar/, an7 )+1 in(i61tin6 0*t5**n + mm)ni t , r an7 9 9)lar r* i tan+*a6ain t + mm)ni m, 5 )l/ 0* arti(i+ial an/ )n/*r t1* ()ll + ntr l ( t1* *=t*n i:* *+r*t-9 li+* n*t5 r? 9*rm*atin6 +i*ti* )n/*r + mm)ni t r)l*.

T1* %Sin -S :i*t S9lit,% t1* all*6*/ 9lit 0*t5**n t1* USSR an/ R mania, Y)6 la:ia, an/8*+1 l :a?ia, an/ M + 5 %0r*a?% 5it1 -+all*/ %E)r + mm)ni t% m /*rat* in W* t*rn

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E)r 9* 5*r* all *la0 rat* /*+*9ti n mana6*/ 07 t1* &r*mlin an/ it &'B trat*6i t . An* )all7 *la0 rat* /*+*9ti n i t1* &'B-+r*at*/ %R) ian Ma(ia,% 51i+1 i 0lam*/ ( r t1*+ rr)9ti n, :i l*n+*, +1a , an/ ma71*m t1at 1a:* 9la6)*/ R) ia an/ t1* IS in+* t1*7%5*nt +a9itali t.% In tr)t1, all ( t1* l*a/in6 R) ian +rim* 0 * , t1* % li6ar+1 ,% L )t+1an ?7, ') in ?7, B*r*8 : ?7, &1 r/ ? : ?7, M 6il*:i+1 ar* :*t*ran ( t1* &'B-FSB an/K r t1* & m m l, t1* mm)ni t Y )t1, an/ 5*r* % *t )9% in 0) in* 07 t1* &'B,( ll 5in6 a r*(in*/ :*r i n ( L*nin N*5 E+ n mi+ Pr 6ram ( t1* "C2 . B* i/*9r :i/in6 t1* (i+titi ) a99*aran+* ( a 6*n)in* (r** mar?*t t attra+t W* t*rn +a9ital an/t*+1n l 67, t1* &'B-Ma(ia al 9r :i/* an *((i+i*nt m*an ( r /*alin6 5it1 9 liti+al)n/* ira0l* # 51*n a ( r*i6n r / m* ti+ %tr )0l*ma?*r% n**/ t 0* li )i/at*/, it +an 0*/ n* 5it1 t1* 0lam* (allin6 n )ni/*nti(i*/ +riminal *l*m*nt , rat1*r t1an t1* Stat*, r+ mm)ni t ((i+ial .

Amazingly Accurate Predictions

Wit1 1i intimat* ?n 5l*/6* ( t1* &'B trat*67, ' lit 7n a++)rat*l7 ( r* a5, 7*ar a1*a/( a+t)al *:*nt , man7 9*+i(i+ /*:*l 9m*nt t1at 1a:* n 5 ++)rr*/. G* + rr*+tl79r*/i+t*/ t1at S :i*t /i+tat r Y)ri An/r 9 : 5 )l/ 0* )++**/*/ 07 %a 7 )n6*r l*a/*r 5it1a m r* li0*ral ima6*,% 9*r(*+tl7 /* +ri0in6 Mi?1ail ' r0a+1*: an/ t1* 9 liti+alr* tr)+t)rin6 9r +* t1at 5 )l/ 0* +arri*/ )t )n/*r t1* nam* %9*r* tr i?a.%

In 1i "C 0l +?0) t*r 0 ?, New Lies for Old , ' lit 7n + rr*+tl7 9r*/i+t*/ t1at S li/arit75 )l/ 0* l*6ali8*/ in P lan/ an/ all 5*/ t ( rm a + aliti n 6 :*rnm*nt 5it1 t1*+ mm)ni t a(t*r 1am m)lti9art7 *l*+ti n . G* al ( r* a5, 5it1 a t ni 1in6 9r*+i i n,/*m +rati8ati n in 8*+1 l :a?ia, 5it1 a r*:i:al ( ( rm*r + mm)ni t /i+tat r D)0+*? an/+l * alli* t1* 9*nin6 ( t1* B*rlin Wall an/ t1* r*)ni(i+ati n ( '*rman7 a t1* + r* ( ra Unit*/ E)r 9* t1* im9l*m*ntati n ( %/*m +ra+7% in )+1 + )ntri* a R mania an/G)n6ar7 t1* *n/ ( t1* War a5 Pa+t an/ t1* *(( rt ( Ea t*rn E)r 9*an 6 :*rnm*nt t@ in t1* E)r 9*an mm)nit7 a a 9r*l)/* t )ni(i+ati n 5it1 t1* W* t. ' lit 7n *:*n

tat*/ t1at t1* * +1an6* 5 )l/ 0*6in /)rin6 t1* (i:* 7*ar ( ll 5in6 1i "C 0 ? 51i+1 a+t)all7 1a99*n*/, (r m ' r0a+1*: a99 intm*nt in "C $ t t1* r*n*5al in Ea t*rnE)r 9* in+* *arl7 "C C.

Mar? Ri*0lin6, a)t1 r ( t1* im9 rtant "CC 0 ? Wedge: T e Se!ret War "etween t e #"$and %$&, a7 ( ' lit 7n 9r*/i+ti n in New Lies for Old # %"3C )t ( " 5*r* ()l(ill*/ 07t1* *n/ ( "CC3 an a++)ra+7 rat* ( n*arl7 C 9*r+*nt.% T1at r*+ r/ i *:*n m r*a t ni 1in6 51*n n* + n i/*r t1at Mr. Ri*0lin6 a * m*nt in+l)/* nl7 t1* m r*9r min*nt ( ' lit 7n 9r @*+ti n it / * n t in+l)/* man7 ( 1i m r* )0tl* anal7 *

an/ ( r*+a t . N t1*r ( r*i6n 9 li+7 anal7 t *:*n + m* +l * t ' lit 7n l*:*l (

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a++)ra+7 an/ /*9t1 ( anal7 i .

Jam* J. An6l*t n, t1* IA +1i*( ( + )nt*rint*lli6*n+*, an/ Al*=an/*r )nt /*Mar*n+1* , 51 1*a/*/ Fr*n+1 int*lli6*n+*, 0 t1 a5 ' lit 7n a an in:al)a0l* all7 an/ an

in/i 9*n a0l* a *t in )r *(( rt t )n/*r tan/ t1* S :i*t 6* -9 liti+al +1* 6am*.Un( rt)nat*l7, 0 t1 ( t1* * m*n 5*r* 99 */ 07 9 5*r()l ( r+* in t1*ir 6 :*rnm*nt51 5ant*/ t 0*li*:* in an/ *m0ra+* t1* 9*r* tr i?a /*+*9ti n. An6l*t n an/ /*Mar*n+1* 5*r* (ir*/, 51il* ' lit 7n an/ 1i 5arnin6 5*r* i6n r*/ 51*n t1*7 5*r*n t+ rn*/ an/ ri/i+)l*/.

A Not-so-grand Bargain

On Ma7 2 , "CC", R) ia *+ n mi+ a/:i *r 'ri6 r7 A. Ya:lin ?7 m*t 5it1 a 6r )9 (

+ 6n +*nti (r m t1* )n+il n F r*i6n R*lati n FR , t1* 9ri:at* U.S. r6ani8ati n t1at1a / minat*/ 0 t1 R*9)0li+an an/ D*m +rati+ a/mini trati n in+* at l*a t FDR tim*.T1* 6r )9, 51i+1 in+l)/*/ St*91*n Sa+1 , 'ra1am Alli n, Stanl*7 Fi +1*r, an/ R 0*rtBla+?5ill, /r*5 )9 51at t1*7 t*rm*/ a %6ran/ 0ar6ain% 51i+1 r*+ mm*n/*/ 6rantin6 t1*S :i*t "$ t 3 0illi n 9*r 7*ar ( r *:*ral 7*ar . A (*5 /a7 lat*r, n Ma7 2 , t1* NewYork Times 5*nt *:*n ()rt1*r 5it1 an */it rial %A W* t*rn S9)r t S :i*t R*( rm% )r6in6 aS :i*t 0ail )t 9a+?a6* ( "$ 0illi n. T1i 5a ( ll 5*/ 5it1 an arti+l* 07 Alli n an/Bla+?5ill in t1* FR 9r* ti6i ) @ )rnal #oreign &ffairs +allin6 ( r ai/ ( % "$ 0illi n t 20illi n 9*r 7*ar ( r *a+1 ( t1* n*=t t1r** 7*ar .%

At a !-nati n S :i*t ai/ + n(*r*n+* + n:*n*/ in Wa 1in6t n in Jan)ar7 "CC2, Pr* i/*nt'* r6* B) 1 t1* *l/*r 9l*/6*/ m r* t1an $ 0illi n. B)t t1at 5a @) t t 9rim* t1* 9)m9)nt l/ 0illi n 1a:* ( ll 5*/ in+*.

A + tl7 a )r R) ian ( r*i6n 9 li+7 1a 0**n (inan+iall7, t1* + t t )r nati nal *+)rit71a 0**n imm*a )ra0l7 6r*at*r. F r m r* t1an t5 /*+a/* , Am*ri+a l*a/*r 1a:*mar+1*/ )r nati n 1*a/l n6 int t1* /*a/l7 9*r* tr i?a tra9, i6n rin6 t1* 5arnin6 (Anat li7 ' lit 7n an/ t1* :*r51*lmin6 *:i/*n+* t1at :in/i+at* t1 * 5arnin6 . T1*7 1a:*

*m0ra+*/ t1* R) ian an/ IS l*a/*r a )r %alli* % an/ int*rt5in*/ )r militar7, 9 li+*,an/ int*lli6*n+* a6*n+i* a %9artn*r % in 6l 0al *+)rit7.

N 5, 5it1 P)tin FSB 1*?i t + min6 0ra8*nl7 int t1* 9*n, it i l n6 9a t tim* tr*9)/iat* t1i /*+*9ti n an/ r*:*r * + )r * 0*( r* t1* tra9 / r i 1)t an/ 0 lt*/0*1in/ ) .

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putin's russia william f. jasper

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