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Page 1: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

The Spatial Dimensions of Population www.icpg2015.org

PROGRAM

HOSTED AT

Page 2: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PROGRAM

TUESDAY 30 JUNE

Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

Welcome Reception, 1700-1900 (Terrace Room, Level 6, Sir Llew Edwards Building) – Sponsored by

WEDNESDAY 1 JULY

Registration Desk Open, 0800-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

CONFERENCE OPENING, 0845-0930, Abel Smith Lecture Theatre (Building 23)

Welcome to CountryWelcome from the University of Queensland Faculty of Science: Professor Stephen WalkerKeynote Address and Formal Opening: Mr David Kalisch, Australian Statistician

OPENING PLENARY, 0930-1100, Abel Smith Lecture Theatre (Building 23)

SESSION 1 Migration in the Modern World, Dr Nikola Sander, Professor Philip Rees, Professor Ellen Percy Kraly, Professor Peter McDonald Chair: Professor Martin Bell

Morning Tea 1100-1130, Sir Llew Edwards Building (Foyer, Level 2) – Sponsored by

GOLD SPONSORS SPONSORS

Page 3: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

www.icpg2015.orgwww.icpg2015.org

WEDNESDAY 1 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 2, 1130-1300, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 2A INDIGENOUS DEMOGRAPHY 1: MEASUREMENT AND IDENTITY

2B OFFICIAL STATISTICS 1: SPATIAL STATISTICS

2C FAMILY AND THE LIFE COURSE 1: PARTNERING

2D POPULATION AGEING 1: INTERGENERATIONAL LINKAGES

2E IMMIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT 1: CASE STUDIES OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION FLOWS

2F INTERNAL MIGRATION 1: SPATIAL INTERACTION

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR John Taylor Kim Johnstone Edith Gray Peter McDonald Philip Rees James Raymer

WED

NES

DA

Y 11

30-1

300

2A.1 Data about and for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians: Population data needs and aspirations Nicholas Biddle, Tom Bolton

2B.1 Australia’s 2016 Population Census - how a Digital Census is transforming the way the Australian Bureau of Statistics does business Duncan Young

2C.1 Partner relationships, residential relocations and housing in the life course: A research agenda Clara H Mulder, Michael Wagner, Hill Kulu, Michael J. Thomas, Sandra Krapf, Julia Mikolai

2D.1 Family networks and socio-economic disparities among elderly in Sweden – a comparison of survey and register dataJenny Olofsson, Erika Sandow

2E.1 Locally hired Japanese workers abroad: viewing from gender perspective and destination choiceHiroo Kamiya

2F.1 The gravity model in spatial demography: the successful comeback of an ageing superstarJacques Poot, Omoniyi Alimi, Michael Cameron, David Mare

2A.2 Contemporary Population Geography of Taiwan Indigenous Peoples’ A Revival of Research from Integration and Enrichment of Modern Administration Micro Records & Construction of TIPD Data BankJi-Ping Lin, Bor-Wen Tsai, Ming-Chen Li, Hsin-Hsien Liao

2B.2 Restocking And Improving Australia’s Regional Population EstimatesAndrew Howe, Hayley Sandercock

2C.2 Moving patterns after divorce or separation. A study on spatial aspects of family dissolution in a peripheral region of DenmarkLisbeth B Knudsen, Anja Jorgensen

2D.2 Elderly Households and Intergenerational Relations in IndiaPremchand Dommaraju

2E.2 Transnational Labour Migration from Lao PDR to Bangkok Thailand-working in BangkokTakahito Niwa, Satoshi Nakagawa

2F.2 Inter-regional migration in Indonesia: A micro approachNashrul Wajdi, Clara H. Mulder, Sri M. Adioetomo

2A.3 Self-Identification change in Australia and its effect on projections of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander populationJames O’Donnell

2B.3 Regional Internal Migration Estimates - Methods and ChallengesTricia Chester, Andrew Howe

2C.3 Migration and Union DissolutionThomas Cooke, Clara Mulder, Michael J Thomas

2D.3 Ageing Spatial Patterns of Living Arrangements and its associationsMeimanat Hosseini, Peter McDonald

2E.3 The Impact of Remittances on Left Behind Families in Ethiopia Girmachew Zewdu

2F.3 Assessing the modelling performance of interregional migration in China: The effects of regional attributes and spatial interactionJianfa Shen

2B.4 The Urban Dilemma - a comparison of OECD and local urban definitions for AustraliaDarren Hossack

2C.4 Residential mobility and the lifecourse: evidence of de-standardisation? Allan Findlay, David McCollum, Glenna Nightingale

2D.4 The Impact of Population Aging on Savings in ChinaXianling Zhang, Fei Guo

2E.4 Behind and Beyond Disaggregation by Sex: The Place of Gender in the Demography of Forced Migration Ellen Percy Kraly

2F.4 Structural Mechanisms of Chinese Inter-provincial migration: 1985-2010Qing Guan

Lunch, 1300-1400 (Foyer, Level 2)

Page 4: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PROGRAM

WEDNESDAY 1 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 3, 1400-1530, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 3A INDIGENOUS DEMOGRAPHY 2: SPATIAL PATTERNS AND MOBILITY

3B OFFICIAL STATISTICS 2: MEASURING DEMOGRAPHIC BEHAVIOUR

3C FAMILY AND THE LIFE COURSE 2: THE DOMESTIC DIMENSION

3D POPULATION AGEING 2: SPATIAL PATTERNS

3E IMMIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT 2: WHAT HAPPENS TO IMMIGRANTS AT THEIR DESTINATIONS

3F INTERNAL MIGRATION 2: IMPACTS ON DEVELOPMENT

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR John Taylor Nick Parr Erika Sandow Thomas Cooke Aude Bernard Jianfa Shen

WED

NES

DA

Y 14

00-1

530

3A.1 The spatial and mobility dimensions of Indigenous identification changeNicholas Biddle, Paul Campbell

3B.1 The role of integrated Health and Demographic Surveillance System in Monitoring and Evaluation of the country’s progress towards achievement of MDGs in Papua New GuineaBang Nguyen Pham, Peter Siba

3C.1 Dynamics of Domestic Labour across Short- and Long-Distance Family RelocationsSergi Vidal, Francisco Perales, Janeen Baxter

3D.1 The contributions of past immigration flows to regional ageing in the United StatesJames Raymer, Andrei Rogers

3E.1 The recent immigration to Brazil: aspects of the flow and distribution in the national territoryDuval Magalhães Fernandes, Andressa Virgínia de Faria

3F.1 Internal Migration and Development in Latin AmericaFrancisco Rowe, Philipp Ueffing, Martin Bell, Elin Charles-Edwards

3A.2 Closing the Gap in Indigenous Mortality: One Spatial Problem or Two?Helen Ware

3B.2 Counting at What Cost? Same-Sex Demographics and the U.S. Census Jason R. Jurjevich

3C.2 Mothers Returning to StudyMonica Alexander, Rohan Alexander

3D.2 Residential Mobility, Neighbourhood Cohesion, and Health Status among the Urban Elderly in Japan: A Multilevel AnalysisMasataka Nakagawa

3E.2 White Immigration into Britain: The Case of A2 Immigrants from 2007 to 2014 Fathi Bourmeche

3F.2 Internal Migration and Development in the Philippines, 2005-2010Nimfa Ogena

3A.3 Decolonising population geography: Indigenous peoples in AustraliaFrances Morphy, John Taylor

3B.3 The lack-of-data dilemma: how to approach second housing in Poland in the context of incomplete official statistics?Adam Czarnecki, Mirosław Drygas, Izasław Frenkel

3C.3 Geographies of divorce in Spain: The effect of Autonomous Regions Laws in recent trends of Joint Physical Custody (2007-2013)Montse Solsona, Jeroen Spijker

3D.3 Ageing in Place and Retirement Migration: Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Migration in AustraliaJung Hoon Han, Jun-Hyung Kim

3E.3 Second class citizens? Employment opportunities for skilled migrant women arriving as secondary applicants in metropolitan and rural AustraliaLisa Thomson

3F.3 Effects of the recent economic crisis on the internal migration patterns of Latin American residents in Spain: New evidences from the latest dataJordi Bayona-i-Carrasco, Jenniffer Thiers Quintana, Rosalia Avila-Tàpies

3A.4 Mobilising a ‘Spiritual Geography’: The Movements of the Art and Child Artists of the Carrolup Native School and Settlement, Western Australia Ellen Percy Kraly, Ezzard Flowers

3C.4 YOUR, MY or OUR kids. Time Use Distribution in StepfamiliesNuria García-Saladrigas, Marc Ajenjo-Cosp, Montse Solsona

3D.4 Planning for Age Friendly Communities using a new spatial indicator of Access to Services for Older People Melanie Davern, Tamara Lowen, Suzanne Mavoa, Kathleen Brasher

Afternoon Tea, 1530-1600 (Foyer, Level 2)

Page 5: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

www.icpg2015.orgwww.icpg2015.org

WEDNESDAY 1 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 4, 1600-1730, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 4A ETHNICITY & SEGREGATION 1: SPATIAL DIMENSIONS

4B POPULATION PROJECTIONS 1: METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

4C FAMILY AND THE LIFE COURSE 3: MARRIAGE PATTERNS

4D THE IMAGE PROJECT 4E IMMIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT 3: NEW IMMIGRANT STREAMS AND BEHAVIOURS

4F INTERNAL MIGRATION 3:STUDENT MIGRATION AND TRANSITIONS TO WORK

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Chris Lloyd David A Swanson Clara Mulder Martin Bell Ellen Percy Kraly Alison Taylor

WED

NES

DA

Y 16

00-1

730

4A.1 Parallel lives: can residential segregation explain ethnic separation?Stefania Rimoldi, Laura Terzera, Patrizia Farina

4B.1 How Should We Forecast International Migration? A Framework and UK IllustrationsPhilip Rees, Nik Lomax, Peter Boden

4C.1 Age difference between spouses : geographic changes within 5 decades in TunisiaZahia Ouadah-Bedidi, Ibtihel Bouchoucha, Nour Fredj

This session will provide an update and overview of

progress on the IMAGE Project (Internal Migration Around the GlobE), including a summary of the Inventory, the Repository,

and a demonstration of the IMAGE Studio.

4E.1 Latin American two-way transoceanic migrations: economic cycles and public attitudesRosalia Avila-Tàpies, Josefina Domínguez-Mujica

4F.1 Pathways to Adulthood and Internal Migration in AustraliaAude Bernard, Francisco Rowe, Sergi Vidal

4A.2 Mixed Metros England and Wales: Towards an Enhanced Understanding of the Complexities of Segregation, Mixing and DiversityGemma Catney, Richard A. Wright, Mark Ellis, Steven R. Holloway

4B.2 A Cost of Living Longer: Projections of the Effects of Prospective Mortality Improvement on Economic Support Ratios for Fourteen More Advanced EconomiesNick Parr, Jackie Li, Leonie Tickle

4C.2 Do social and demographic characteristics shape family geographies in France? Loic Trabut

4E.2 Brazil as the new “el dorado” for migrants: Caribbean and Africans, dreams and realityDuval M Fernandes, Consolacao Castro, Romerito Valeriano

4F.2 Fees, flows and fantasies: cross-border student migration flows between Scotland and EnglandAllan Findlay, Helen Packwood, David McCollum

4A.3 Spatial dimensions of inter-ethnic couples in Australian cities: deconstructing broad ethnic group categoriesAlex Tindale

4B.3 Alternative state and national projections of Australia’s very elderly populationWilma Terblanche

4C.3 Marriage Formation and Dissolution in Central AsiaPremchand Dommaraju, Victor Agadjanian

4E.3 Sri Lankan Student Migrants’ Settlement in a New Environment (Singapore)Tharuka Prematillake Thibbotuwawa, Ivy Maria Lim

4F.3 Wage outcomes of non-metropolitan Australian youth in the school-to-work transition: The role of migration and post-school career pathwaysFrancisco Rowe, Jonathan Corcoran, Martin Bell

4A.4 Integration vs Segregation: the Role of the School System. A Case of Study from ItalySilvia Venturi, Piero Manfredi, Luigi Marangi, Odo Barsotti

4B.4 Using land-use modelling to statistically downscale population projections to small areasMichael Cameron, William Cochrane

4F.4 Dynamics of job satisfaction around internal migrations: A panel analysis of young people in Britain and AustraliaFrancisco Perales

Page 6: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PROGRAM

THURSDAY 2 JULY

Registration Desk Open, 0800-1700 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PLENARY, 0900-1030 (Room 212, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

SESSION 5 The Global Burden of Disease, Professor Alan LopezChair: James Raymer

Morning Tea 1030-1100 (Foyer, Level 2) – Sponsored by

CONCURRENT SESSION 6, 1100-1230, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 6A ETHNICITY & SEGREGATION 2: INEQUALITY AND DEPRIVATION

6B POPULATION PROJECTIONS 2: HOUSEHOLDS AND HOUSING

6C FAMILY AND THE LIFE COURSE 4: FAMILY NETWORKS AND FAMILY CHANGE

6D HEALTH AND MORTALITY 1: SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS

6E IMMIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT 4:SMALL IMMIGRANT GROUPS IN BIG COUNTRIES

6F INTERNAL MIGRATION 4: COMPARISONS OVER TIME AND ACROSS SPACE

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Ramon Bauer Guangqing Chi Sergi Vidal Santosh Jatrana Rosalia Avila-Tàpies Laszlo Kulcsar

THU

RSD

AY

1100

-123

0

6A.1 Geographical Inequalities and Population Change in Britain, 1971-2011Chris Lloyd

6B.1 Using agent-based modelling to develop small-scale population and household projectionsAnton Marais, Michael Cameron

6C.1 Life course reversals and mobility outcomes: an assessment of whether Swedes ‘boomerang’Allan Findlay, Gunnar Malmberg, Glenna Nightingale, Jenny Olofsson, Erika Sandow

6D.1 SAGE data provides enough evidence supporting the association between prevalence of hypertension and lifestyle factors in BRICS countriesAjay Gupta, Anita Pal

6E.1 Visible but not counted: problems conceptualising and operationalising Accession White migrants to Britain in large-scale survey DataWilliam Shankley

6F.1 Internal Migration Around the World: Comparing Distance Travelled and its Frictional Effect John Stillwell, Konstantinos Daras, Martin Bell, Elin Charles-Edwards, Philipp Ueffing, Marek Kupiszewski, Dorota Kupiszewska

6A.2 Exploring the Association Between Ethnic Concentration and Neighbourhood Deprivation in Britain: A Study of Small Areas Over Four DecadesGemma Catney

6B.2 Understanding recent average household size increases in AustraliaPhillip Ueffing, Tom Wilson

6C.2 Income segregation in family networks in SwedenErika Sandow, Emma Lundholm, Gunnar Malmberg

6D.2 Politics, Income Inequality, and Adult HIV/AIDS Prevalence in 150 Countries: A 15-Year Panel StudyHsin-Chieh Chang, Thung-hong Lin

6E.2 Small Town, Big Returns: the economic and social impact of the settlement of a community of Karen refugees from Burma in the small rural town of Nhill in VictoriaTerry Taylor, Jenni Blencowe

6F.2 Internal migration in Brazil from the Census 2010: (dis)continuitiesJosé Irineu Rangel Rigotti, Járvis Campos, Renato Haddad

6A.3 A comparative approach towards ethnic segregation patterns in Belgian cities using individualised neighbourhoodsLena Imeraj, Didier Willaert, Helga De Valk

6B.3 Reflecting on the past to improve the future – an evaluation of official New South Wales population projectionsAngélique Parr

6C.3 Transitions to Adulthood in South and Southeast Asia: Continuity and Change, 1970-2010Aude Bernard, Philip S Morrison, Harley Williamson

6D.3 Spatial variation in maternal health care use in MozambiqueBoaventura Cau

6E.3 Haitians in Brazil: a case of legal strangersPatrícia Rodrigues Costa de Sá

6F.3 Indonesia’s inter-provincial migration during 1970-2010: Flows, spatial concentrations and structural patterns across provincesHasnani Rangkuti

6A.4 New estimates of ethnic mortality in the UK - resolving the debatePia Wohland, Philip Rees

6B.4 Regional Population Road MapDavid Sykes, Beatrice Derody

LUNCH AND POSTER SESSION, 1230-1330 (Terrace Room, Level 6, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

Page 7: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

www.icpg2015.orgwww.icpg2015.org

THURSDAY 2 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 7, 1330-1500, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 7A ETHNICITY & SEGREGATION 3: MOBILITY AND SEGREGATION

7B POPULATION PROJECTIONS 3: FORECAST APPLICATIONS

7C FAMILY AND THE LIFE COURSE 5: THE PURSUIT OF HAPPINESS

7D HEALTH AND MORTALITY 2: MORBIDITY AND DISABILITY

7E TEMPORARY MIGRATION 7F INTERNAL MIGRATION 5: AGE AND SEX PATTERNS

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Gemma Catney Michael Cameron Lisbeth B Knudsen Salut Muhidin Elin Charles-Edwards Francisco Rowe

THU

RSD

AY

1330

-150

0

7A.1 Exploring social mobility demographically and spatially Lisa Denny

7B.1 A projection model for resident students in Queensland state school catchmentsGlen Heyen

7C.1 Geographical variation in family formation in AustraliaEdith Gray, Ann Evans

7D.1 A Spatial Neuroepidemiology of Australia: Visualising the Current and Future Impact of the DementiasHamish Robertson, Nick Nicholas, Andrew Georgiou, Andrew Hayen, Joanne Travaglia

7E.1 Mapping circular migration with register statisticsTomas Johansson

7F.1 Long-distance relocations of families in Australia, Britain, Germany and Sweden: Intersections of gender and institutional contextSergi Vidal, Francisco Perales, Philipp Lersch, Maria Branden

7A.2 Assessing the role of migration on residential segregation in the Baltic capitals: destination choice of internal migrantsMaris Berzins, Tiit Tammaru, Kadri Leetmaa, Annika Väiko, Kadi Mägi, Zaiga Krisjane

7B.2 Building a Spatial Regression Model for Population ForecastingGuangqing Chi

7C.2 Measuring Malaysian Well-Being Through the Personal Well-Being Index (PWI): Findings from the Fifth Malaysian Population and Family Survey, 2014Irwan Nadzif Mahpul, Azian Abdul Hamid, Raudhatul Mahfuzah Shafiai

7D.2 Spatio-Temporal Variation in the Pattern of Life Expectancy in IndiaBraj Raj Sinha

7E.2 Migrant Latvia: the elusive spatialities of a nation in motionZaiga Krisjane, Elina Apsite-Berina, Maris Berzins

7F.2 Internal migration in Austria along the rural-urban continuum and across the life course, 1996–2014Nikola Sander, Ramon Bauer

7A.3 Does the inherited ethnic landscape dissolve in a post-Soviet city?Kadri Leetmaa, Kadi Mägi

7B.3 Restructuring Schools in Thailand: The Consequence of Low Fertility and Spatial DeterminantsJongjit Rittirong

7C.3 The factors influencing the family happiness in Malaysia: from parents and children’s perceptionsIsmail Najihah, Azman N.A.A, Aziz Azlinda

7D.3 Investigating the gender and nativity differences in the development of disability in Australia: Findings from a nationally-representative longitudinal surveySantosh Jatrana

7E.3 Factors associated with mobility of adolescent girls: Evidence from rural BangladeshFarhana Akter, Sajeda Amin

7F.3 Aging in place? Geographical mobility of the elderly in JapanReiko Hayashi

7B.4 The research of the past, present and future urbanization in IranElham Fathi

7E.4 Passive Mobile Positioning as a Way to Map the Connections Between Change of Residence and Daily MobilityPilleriine Kamenjuk, Anto Aasa

7F.4 Time Series of Internal Migration in the United Kingdom by Age, Sex and Ethnic Group: Estimation and Analysis Nik Lomax, Philip Rees, John Stillwell

Afternoon Tea, 1500-1530 (Foyer, Level 2)

Page 8: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PROGRAM

THURSDAY 2 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 8, 1530-1700, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 8A DATA VISUALISATION 1: REPRESENTING POPULATION DATA

8B POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT 1: GLOBAL IMPACTS

8C FERTILITY 1: THE FERTILITY TRANSITION

8D HEALTH AND MORTALITY 3: HEALTH CARE AND POLICY

8E SPATIAL PATTERNS 1: DEPOPULATION

8F INTERNAL MIGRATION 6: POPULATION IMPACTS

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Robert Cromley Allan Findlay Ann Evans Pia Wohland Andrew Howe Neil Argent

THU

RSD

AY

1530

-170

0

8A.1 How Data Visualisation Enhances the Impact and Visibility of ScienceNikola Sander, Ramon Bauer

8B.1 Terra Populus: Integrated Data on Population and the EnvironmentRaphael Nawrotzki, Tracy A Kugler, Steven Ruggles

8C.1 The Dynamics of Fertility Rate and Economic Development in the Philippines: Evidence from Intra-Country Provincial DataDennis Mapa, Manuel Leonard Albis, John Carlo Daquis, Michel Dominic Del Mundo

8D.1 An application of Population Geography to a Comprehensive Needs Assessment of Primary Healthcare Provision in South-East QueenslandRemo Ostini, Luke Passfield

8E.1 Anticipating depopulation – the spectrum of interventions availableRachael McMillan

8F.1 Impact of internal migration on population redistribution: a cross-national comparisonPhilip Rees, Marek Kupiszewski, Dorota Kupiszewska, Martin Bell, Elin Charles-Edwards, John Stillwell, Philipp Ueffing, Aude Bernard, Konstantinos Daras

8A.2 Deconstructing people’s moves: visualising the significance of internal migration to New South Wales’ population geographyAlison Taylor

8B.2 Migrants in urban areas of developing countries: understanding exposure and vulnerability in the context of global environmental change Susana Adamo, Paola Kim-Blanco

8C.2 Key Drivers of Fertility in Nigeria: A re-examination of the Regional DifferentialsOnipede Wusu, Uche C Isiugo-Abanihe

8D.2 Spatial Variations in the Association between Institutional Care Supply and Migration of the Elderly Population in Japan: A Local Analysis using Geographically Weighted RegressionMasataka Nakagawa, Kenji Kamata

8E.2 The yellow brick road to nowhere: The shrinking human countryside of rural Kansas Laszlo Kulcsar

8F.2 Where to settle down the floating population in China: the conflicting aspirations of migrants and governmentShenghe Liu, Wei Qi

8A.3 Migration flows in Brazil : a spatial analysisJoão Francisco De Abreu, Leonidas Barroso, Christiano Ottoni Carvalho

8B.3 Environmental change-induced migration and urbanization in the Pacific Island Countries: Future challengesManoranjan Mohanty

8C.3 How migration to Europe affects the fertility of Senegalese couples? The role of spouse’s migration, own migration and migrant networksPau Baizan-Munoz

8D.3 Government statistics for evidence-based decisions in Russian Health policyVioletta Khabibulina

8E.3 Mapping Population Dynamics in Europe: An indirect approach Jon Minton, Maja Zaloznik, Danny Dorling

8F.3 Migrants’ Permanent Settlement Intention in Host Cities in ChinaSisi Yang, Fei Guo

8A.4 Australian Population Grid 2011Alister Nairn, Thomas Walter

8E.4 Assembling a Typology of Scottish Coastal Communities: Considering policy-making, statistical governance and Assemblage theoryPaula Duffy, Anne Findlay, Tim Stojanovic

8F.4 Organized proximity and migration flows: how do Universities push young talents to Russian ArcticNadezhda Zamyatina, Alexey Yashunsky

CONFERENCE DINNER, 1830-2200, Customs House, 399 Queen Street, Brisbane – Sponsored by

Page 9: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

www.icpg2015.orgwww.icpg2015.org

FRIDAY 3 JULY

Registration Desk Open, 0800-1600 (Main foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PLENARY, 0900-1030 (Room 212, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

Session 9: Advances in Applied Demography, Professor David A SwansonChair: Elin Charles-Edwards

Morning Tea 1030-1100 (Foyer, Level 2)

CONCURRENT SESSION 10, 1100-1230, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 10A DATA VISUALISATION 2: APPLICATIONS

10B POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT 2: CLIMATE AND POPULATION DYNAMICS

10C FERTILITY 2: DETERMINANTS OF FERTILITY DECLINE

10D HEALTH AND MORTALITY 4: HEALTH INEQUALITIES

10E SPATIAL PATTERNS 2: SPATIAL METRICS

10F INTERNAL MIGRATION 7: DETERMINANTS

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Nikola Sander Susana Adamo Pau Baizan Fran Darlington John Stillwell Angelique Parr

FRID

AY

110

0-12

30

10A.1 How to communicate small area statisticsChantal Melser, Niek van Leeuwen

10B.1 Living with drought: Understanding the role of mobility in livelihood strategies to cope with climatic variability Ricardo Safra de Campos, Martin Bell, Elin Charles-Edwards, Karen McNamara

10C.1 Determinants of fertility decline in Namibia: An analysis of the proximate determinantsMartin Palamuleni

10D.1 Comparative Level Plots for visual benchmarking of mortality rates: Is Scotland really the ‘sick man of Europe’?Jon Minton, Gwilym Pryce

10E.1 Creating Population Surfaces for the Analysis of Small Area ChangeChris Lloyd

10F.1 Determinant Factors of Recent Migration in Indonesia: Evidence from the 2010 CensusSri Hartini Rachmad, Haerani Natali Agustini, Salut Muhidin

10A.2 Concentration Classed, Value-by-Dot Density and Value-by-Perspective Height Maps for Visualizing Demographic Densities and Rates Robert Cromley

10B.2 Housing recovery in Queensland following two flood eventsShelby Canterford, Valdis Juskevics

10C.2 The diffusion of new fertility behaviours in Algeria: geographical changes observed between 1987, 1998 and 2008 censusesZahia Ouadah-Bedidi, Jacques Vallin

10D.2 Understanding health expectancy inequalities across local areasPia Wohland, Seraphim Alvanides, Carol Jagger

10E.2 Development and potential uses of a metropolitan accessibility index for Australian capital cities – Metro ARIAJarrod Lange, Danielle Taylor

10F.2 The stabilizing role of social proximity in the Arctic migration: the case of Russian cities Norilsk, Dudinka and Igarka in comparision with international Arctic zoneNadezhda Zamyatina, Alexey Yashunsky

10A.3 Vienna’s religious diversity in the past, present and future: A tale of three research-driven data visualisations Ramon Bauer

10B.3 A Tale of Two Continents: Exploring the Relationship between Climate Change and International Migration in Africa and Latin America using the Terra Populus Data CollectionRaphael Nawrotzki, Tracy A Kugler, David Van Riper

10C.3 High fertility in Timor-Leste: have cultural norms overpowered economic rationalities?Udoy Saikia

10D.3 Do ‘stayers’ widen health gradients in England? Moving beyond ‘movers’ to understand health inequalities Fran Darlington, Paul Norman, Dimitris Ballas

10E.3 Historically grounded spatial population scenarios for the continental United StatesBryan Jones, B O’Neill

10F.3 Gasoline Price Changes and Residential Relocation: Preliminary Findings from the American Housing Survey, 1996–2008Guangqing Chi, Jamie Boydstun

10A.4 Mapping school performance: Visualising the spatial dimension of Australia’s educational inequalityCrichton Smith

10C.4 Recent Chinese Fertility Trends: Insights from School Enrolment DataMenghan Zhao

Lunch,1300-1400 (Foyer, Level 2) – Sponsored by

Page 10: PROGRAM · PROGRAM. TUESDAY 30 JUNE. Registration Desk Open, 1600-1800 (Main Foyer, Level 2, Sir Llew Edwards Building)

PROGRAM

FRIDAY 3 JULY

CONCURRENT SESSION 11, 1330-1530, Sir Llew Edwards Building

SESSION 11A GRADUATE MIGRATION 11B POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT 3: UNDERSTANDING DISPLACEMENT

11C FERTILITY 3: SPATIAL VARIATIONS

11D HEALTH AND MORTALITY 5: EXPLAINING THE DIFFERENCES

11E SPATIAL PATTERNS 3: UNDERSTANDING REGIONS

11F INTERNAL MIGRATION 8: RETURN MIGRATION

ROOM 219 115 116 216 217 212

CHAIR Jonathan Corcoran Manoranjan Mohanty Jacques Vallin Jon Minton Nik Lomax Reiko Hayashi

FRID

AY

133

0-15

00

11A.1 Human capital flows: an examination graduate migration in the United States Jonathan Corcoran, Alessandra Faggian, Pantelis Kazaqi

11B.1 Spatial Distribution of Social Vulnerability by Gender to Climate ChangeIsalia Bolaños, Abraham Martínez

11C.1 The stability of low fertility in Tunisia : which geographical variations since the late 1990s?Jacques Vallin, Zahia Ouadah-Bedidi

11D.1 Enduring gender differences in general health from 1990 and beyond: Evidence from the Taiwan Social Change SurveyHsin-Chieh Chang, Yang-Chih Fu

11E.1 Population Geography, Planning & Policy – Too Much Evidence? A Case Study of Sub-Regional Urban Planning in Sydney, AustraliaKim Johnstone

11F.1 Attraction, retention and return: migration histories of a regional work force in AustraliaFiona McKenzie, Trevor Budge

11A.2 Location choices of university graduates in China, 1995-2005Ye Liu, Jianfa Shen, Wei Xu, Guixin Wang

11B.2 Climate Displacement and Urban Migration: A Built Environmental PerspectiveMuhammad Abdur Rahaman, S M Ali Aslam, Mohammad Mahbubur Rahman

11C.2 Why is Central India Lagging in Fertility Transition?Jogindar Singh Chauhan

11D.2 Selective migration and health inequalities: are overall ethnic health gradients and differences in rates of CVD and mortality influenced by selective migration in New Zealand?Fran Darlington, Daniel J Exeter, Paul Norman, Arier Lun Lee

11E.2 How to engage the ‘untapped’ labour force to assist Northern development? A case study of Darwin, Northern Territory (NT)Kate Golebiowska, Alicia Boyle

11F.2 The propensity of rural youth migration in AustraliaSonya Glavac, Neil Argent

11A.3 Education-job (mis)matches: are overseas graduates getting the right job?Angelina Zhi Rou Tang, Jonathan Corcoran, Francisco Rowe

11B.3 Environment and Population Movement: A Case Study of Cross-Border Migration from Bangladesh to IndiaSudhaveni Naresh

11C.3 Spatial Differences in Fertility in Today’s Russia: Uneven Responses to the Pronatalist Policy within the Context of Historical TrendsSergei Zakharov

11D.3 Patterns and Health Consequences of Overeducation in ChinaLiu Jinju, Chen Wei

11E.3 Lake Albert region (Uganda) at a demographic turning point? A spatial and historical approach of migration and settlement before and in the course of oil explorationValerie Golaz, Claire Medard, Gideon Rutaremwa

11F.3 Exploring the motivations for return migration in AustraliaAngélique Parr

11A.4 Decomposing the Demographic Sources of Human Capital Stock Increases in U.S. Metropolitan Areas, 2000–2010Rachel Franklin

11D.4 Improving maternal and reproductive health in Ethiopia: A life course modelSathiya Susuman

PLENARY, 1500-1530 (Room 212, Sir Llew Edwards Building)CONFERENCE CLOSE

Poster AwardAnnouncement of venue for ICPG 2017

Afternoon Tea, 1530-1600 (Foyer, Level 2)

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www.icpg2015.orgwww.icpg2015.org

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ICPG 2015 CONFERENCE PROGRAM AT A GLANCE

TUESDAY 30 JUNE WEDNESDAY 1 JULY THURSDAY 2 JULY FRIDAY 3 JULY

0800 – 1700

Registration Desk Open (closes 1800)

Registration Desk Open

Registration Desk Open

0845 Session 1 - Conference Opening

0900 Session 5 – Plenary 2

Session 9 – Plenary 3

0930 Opening Plenary

1000

1030 Morning Tea Morning Tea

1100 Morning Tea Session 6 - Concurrent

Session 10 - Concurrent

1130 Session 2 - Concurrent

1200

1230 Lunch and Poster Session

Lunch

1300 Lunch

1330 Session 7 - Concurrent

Session 11 - Concurrent

1400 Session 3 - Concurrent

1430

1500 Afternoon Tea Conference Close (Plenary)

1530 Afternoon Tea Session 8 - Concurrent

Afternoon Tea

1600 Registration Open Session 4 - Concurrent

Close of Conference

1630

1700 Welcome Reception Close of Day

1730 Close of Day

1800

1830 Conference Dinner (1830 – 2200)

1900 Close of Day

Please check noticeboards for any program changes.

The Spatial Dimensions of Population www.icpg2015.org