production and operations management: manufacturing and...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Chapter 9A
Process Capability & SPC
2
Process Variation
Process Capability
Process Control Procedures
Variable data
Attribute data
Acceptance Sampling
Operating Characteristic Curve
OBJECTIVES
3
Basic Forms of Variation
Assignable variation is caused by factors that can be clearly identified and possibly managed
Common variation is inherent in the production process
Example: A poorly trained employee
that creates variation in finished
product output.
Example: A molding process that
always leaves “burrs” or flaws on a
molded item.
4
Taguchi’s View of Variation
Incremental
Cost of
Variability
High
Zero
Lower
Spec
Target
Spec
Upper
Spec
Traditional View
Incremental
Cost of
Variability
High
Zero
Lower
Spec
Target
Spec
Upper
Spec
Taguchi’s View
Traditional view is that quality within the LS and US is good and that the cost of quality
outside this range is constant, where Taguchi views costs as increasing as variability
increases, so seek to achieve zero defects and that will truly minimize quality costs.
5
Process Capability
Process limits
Specification limits
How do the limits relate to one another?
6
Process Capability Index, Cpk
3
X-UTLor
3
LTLXmin=Cpk
Shifts in Process Mean
Capability Index shows how well parts
being produced fit into design limit
specifications.
As a production process produces
items small shifts in equipment or
systems can cause differences in
production performance from
differing samples.
7
A simple ratio: Specification Width
_________________________________________________________
Actual “Process Width”
Generally, the bigger the better.
Process Capability –
A Standard Measure of How Good a Process Is.
8
This is a “one-sided” Capability Index
Concentration on the side which is closest to
the specification - closest to being “bad”
3
;3
XUTLLTLXMinCpk
Process Capability
9
Coffee Bean Bag Example
Ron Valdez Café roasts and nationally distributes 16 ounce bags of coffee beans. The Omaha World Herald has just published an article that claims that the bags frequently have less than 15 ounces of coffee beans in out 16 ounce bags.
Let’s assume that the government says that we must be within ± 5 percent of the weight advertised on the bag.
Upper Tolerance Limit = 16 + .05(16) = 16.8 ounces
Lower Tolerance Limit = 16 – .05(16) = 15.2 ounces
We go out and buy 1,000 bags of coffee beans and find that they weight an average of 16.102 ounces with a standard deviation of .629 ounces.
10
Cereal Box Process Capability
Specification or Tolerance Limits
Upper Spec = 16.8 oz
Lower Spec = 15.2 oz
Observed Weight
Mean = 16.102 oz
Std Dev = .629 oz
3
;3
XUTLLTLXMinCpk
)629(.3
102.168.16;
)629(.3
2.15102.16MinCpk
370.;478.MinCpk
370.pkC
11
What does a Cpk of .370 mean?
An index that shows how well the units being produced fit within the specification limits.
This is a process that will produce a relatively high number of defects.
Many companies look for a Cpk of 1.3 or better…
6-Sigma company wants 2.0!
Cpk < 1 The process is not capable
Cpk = 1 The process is just capable
Cpk > 1 The process is capable
12
Types of Statistical Sampling
Attribute (Go or no-go information)
Defectives refers to the acceptability of product
across a range of characteristics.
Defects refers to the number of defects per unit
which may be higher than the number of
defectives.
p-chart application
13
Types of Statistical Sampling
Variable (Continuous)
Usually measured by the mean and the
standard deviation.
X-bar and R chart applications
14 Statistical
Process
Control
(SPC) Charts
UCL
LCL
Samples
over time
1 2 3 4 5 6
UCL
LCL
Samples
over time
1 2 3 4 5 6
UCL
LCL
Samples
over time
1 2 3 4 5 6
Normal Behavior
Possible problem, investigate
Possible problem, investigate
15
Control Limits are based on the Normal Curve
x
0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 z
m
Standard deviation units or “z”
units.
16
Control Limits
We establish the Upper Control Limits (UCL) and the Lower Control Limits (LCL) with plus or minus 3 standard deviations from some x-bar or mean value. Based on this we can expect 99.7% of our sample observations to fall within these limits.
x
LCL UCL
99.7%
17
Example of Constructing a p-Chart:
Required Data
1 100 4
2 100 2
3 100 5
4 100 3
5 100 6
6 100 4
7 100 3
8 100 7
9 100 1
10 100 2
11 100 3
12 100 2
13 100 2
14 100 8
15 100 3
Sample
Number
Number of
Samples
Number of defects found
in each sample
18
Given:
Statistical Process Control Formulas:
Attribute Measurements (p-Chart)
Compute control limits:
nsObservatio ofNumber Total
Defectives ofNumber Total=p
ns
)p-(1 p = p
p
p
z - p = LCL
z + p = UCL
s
s
19
1. Calculate the sample proportions, p
(these are what can be plotted on the
p-chart) for each sample
Sample n Defectives p
1 100 4 0.04
2 100 2 0.02
3 100 5 0.05
4 100 3 0.03
5 100 6 0.06
6 100 4 0.04
7 100 3 0.03
8 100 7 0.07
9 100 1 0.01
10 100 2 0.02
11 100 3 0.03
12 100 2 0.02
13 100 2 0.02
14 100 8 0.08
15 100 3 0.03
Example of Constructing a p-chart: Step 1
20
2. Calculate the average of the sample proportions
3. Calculate the standard deviation of the sample proportion
Example of Constructing a p-chart:
Steps 2&3
0.036=1500
55 = p
.0188= 100
.036)-.036(1=
)p-(1 p = p
ns
21
4. Calculate the control limits
UCL = 0.0924
LCL = -0.0204 (or 0)
Example of Constructing a p-chart: Step 4
p
p
z - p = LCL
z + p = UCL
s
s
3(.0188) .036
22
Example of Constructing a p-Chart: Step 5
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Observation
p
UCL
LCL
5. Plot the individual sample proportions, the average
of the proportions, and the control limits
23
Example of x-bar and R Charts:
Required Data
Sample Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4 Obs 5
1 10.68 10.689 10.776 10.798 10.714
2 10.79 10.86 10.601 10.746 10.779
3 10.78 10.667 10.838 10.785 10.723
4 10.59 10.727 10.812 10.775 10.73
5 10.69 10.708 10.79 10.758 10.671
6 10.75 10.714 10.738 10.719 10.606
7 10.79 10.713 10.689 10.877 10.603
8 10.74 10.779 10.11 10.737 10.75
9 10.77 10.773 10.641 10.644 10.725
10 10.72 10.671 10.708 10.85 10.712
11 10.79 10.821 10.764 10.658 10.708
12 10.62 10.802 10.818 10.872 10.727
13 10.66 10.822 10.893 10.544 10.75
14 10.81 10.749 10.859 10.801 10.701
15 10.66 10.681 10.644 10.747 10.728
24
Example of x-bar and R charts: Step 1. Calculate sample
means, sample ranges, mean of means, and mean of ranges.
Sample Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4 Obs 5 Avg Range
1 10.682 10.689 10.776 10.798 10.714 10.732 0.116
2 10.787 10.86 10.601 10.746 10.779 10.755 0.259
3 10.78 10.667 10.838 10.785 10.723 10.759 0.171
4 10.591 10.727 10.812 10.775 10.73 10.727 0.221
5 10.693 10.708 10.79 10.758 10.671 10.724 0.119
6 10.749 10.714 10.738 10.719 10.606 10.705 0.143
7 10.791 10.713 10.689 10.877 10.603 10.735 0.274
8 10.744 10.779 10.11 10.737 10.75 10.624 0.669
9 10.769 10.773 10.641 10.644 10.725 10.710 0.132
10 10.718 10.671 10.708 10.85 10.712 10.732 0.179
11 10.787 10.821 10.764 10.658 10.708 10.748 0.163
12 10.622 10.802 10.818 10.872 10.727 10.768 0.250
13 10.657 10.822 10.893 10.544 10.75 10.733 0.349
14 10.806 10.749 10.859 10.801 10.701 10.783 0.158
15 10.66 10.681 10.644 10.747 10.728 10.692 0.103
Averages 10.728 0.220400
25
Example of x-bar and R charts: Step 2. Determine Control
Limit Formulas and Necessary Tabled Values
x Chart Control Limits
UCL = x + A R
LCL = x - A R
2
2
R Chart Control Limits
UCL = D R
LCL = D R
4
3
From Exhibit TN8.7
n A2 D3 D4
2 1.88 0 3.27
3 1.02 0 2.57
4 0.73 0 2.28
5 0.58 0 2.11
6 0.48 0 2.00
7 0.42 0.08 1.92
8 0.37 0.14 1.86
9 0.34 0.18 1.82
10 0.31 0.22 1.78
11 0.29 0.26 1.74
26 Example of x-bar and R charts: Steps 3&4. Calculate x-bar Chart
and Plot Values
10.601
10.856
=).58(0.2204-10.728RA - x = LCL
=).58(0.220410.728RA + x = UCL
2
2
10.55
10.60
10.65
10.70
10.75
10.80
10.85
10.90
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sample
Mea
ns
UCL
LCL
27
Example of x-bar and R charts:
Steps 5&6. Calculate R-chart and Plot Values
0
0.46504
)2204.0)(0(R D= LCL
)2204.0)(11.2(R D= UCL
3
4
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sample
RUCL
LCL
28
Basic Forms of Statistical Sampling for Quality Control
Acceptance Sampling is sampling to accept or reject
the immediate lot of product at hand
Statistical Process Control is sampling to determine
if the process is within acceptable limits
29
Acceptance Sampling
Purposes
Determine quality level
Ensure quality is within predetermined level
Advantages
Economy
Less handling damage
Fewer inspectors
Upgrading of the inspection job
Applicability to destructive testing
Entire lot rejection (motivation for improvement)
30
Acceptance Sampling (Continued)
Disadvantages
Risks of accepting “bad” lots and rejecting “good”
lots
Added planning and documentation
Sample provides less information than 100-percent
inspection
31
Acceptance Sampling:
Single Sampling Plan
A simple goal
Determine (1) how many units, n, to sample from a lot, and (2) the maximum number of defective items, c, that can be found in the sample before the lot is rejected
32
Risk
Acceptable Quality Level (AQL)
Maximum acceptable percentage of defectives defined by
producer.
The a (Producer’s risk) is the probability of rejecting a good lot
Lot Tolerance Percent Defective (LTPD)
Percentage of defectives that defines consumer’s rejection
point.
The (Consumer’s risk) is the probability of accepting a bad lot
33
Operating Characteristic Curve
n = 99
c = 4
AQL LTPD
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lot Tolerance Percent defective
Pro
ba
bil
ity o
f a
ccep
tan
ce
=.10
(consumer’s risk)
a = .05 (producer’s risk)
The OCC brings the concepts of producer’s risk, consumer’s risk, sample size, and maximum defects
allowed together
The shape or slope of the
curve is dependent on a
particular combination
of the four parameters
Acceptable Quality Level
34
Example: Acceptance Sampling Problem
Zypercom, a manufacturer of video interfaces, purchases printed
wiring boards from an outside vender, Procard. Procard has set an
acceptable quality level of 1% and accepts a 5% risk of rejecting lots at
or below this level. Zypercom considers lots with 3% defectives to be
unacceptable and will assume a 10% risk of accepting a defective lot.
Develop a sampling plan for Zypercom and determine a rule to be
followed by the receiving inspection personnel.
35
Example: Step 1. What is given and what is not?
In this problem,
Acceptable Quality Level, AQL = 0.01
Tolerance Percent Defective, LTPD = 0.03
Producer’s risk, a = 0.05
Consumer’s risk, = 0.10
You need c and n to determine your sampling plan
36
Example: Step 2. Determine “c”
First divide LTPD by AQL.
Then find the value for “c” by selecting the value in the approprate table
“n AQL” column that is equal to or just greater than the ratio above.
c LTPD/AQL n AQL c LTPD/AQL n AQL
0 44.890 0.052 5 3.549 2.613
1 10.946 0.355 6 3.206 3.286
2 6.509 0.818 7 2.957 3.981
3 4.890 1.366 8 2.768 4.695
4 4.057 1.970 9 2.618 5.426
0.10 0.05,for Plan table Sample a
301.
03.
AQL
LTPD
37
Example: Step 3. Determine Sample Size
Sampling Plan:
Take a random sample of 329 units from a lot.
Reject the lot if more than 6 units are defective.
Now given the information below, compute the sample size in units to generate your sampling
plan
up) round (always 329
6.32801./286.3/
AQLAQLn
problemin given ,01.
Table from ,286.3
Table from ,6
AQL
AQLn
c