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DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com ProCORFA ProCORFA Main Window Main Window Main Menu Items: - File - Input Data - Component Model - Analysis Options - Review Results - Graphics - Setting - Help ProCORFA ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog GUI: Main Window Dialog

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Page 1: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

ProCORFAProCORFAMain WindowMain WindowMain Menu Items:- File- Input Data- Component Model- Analysis Options- Review Results- Graphics- Setting- Help

ProCORFAProCORFA GUI: Main Window DialogGUI: Main Window Dialog

Page 2: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

ProCORFAProCORFA Software Configuration LayoutSoftware Configuration LayoutPROCORFA

Analysis

Crack Initiation

Crack Propagation

ProCorfa Crack Growth Models

AFGROW Crack Growth Models

ProCorfa Input Database

Mechanical Properties

Constitutive Equations

Crack Initiation Model

Crack Propagation Model

Pitting Model

Material Properties

Crack Geometry

Load

Maintenance Data

Lap Joint FEA(ANSYS)

StochasticStress Field

Life Modeling Cost Modeling Net Section Modeling

Stochastic Crack Growth

Probability Of Failure

Availability

Planned Cost

Unplanned Cost

Availability Cost

PROCORFA

Analysis

Crack Initiation

Crack Propagation

ProCorfa Crack Growth Models

AFGROW Crack Growth Models

ProCorfa Input Database

Mechanical Properties

Constitutive Equations

Crack Initiation Model

Crack Propagation Model

Pitting Model

Material Properties

Crack Geometry

Load

Maintenance Data

Lap Joint FEA(ANSYS)

StochasticStress Field

Life Modeling Cost Modeling Net Section Modeling

Stochastic Crack Growth

Probability Of Failure

Availability

Planned Cost

Unplanned Cost

Availability Cost

Page 3: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

ProCORFAProCORFAProbabilistic Life Probabilistic Life

ModuleModule

ProCORFAProCORFAManagement ModuleManagement Module

GUIGUI

ProCORFAProCORFARiskRisk--Based MaintenanceBased Maintenance

ModuleModuleProCORFAProCORFA--AFGROW AFGROW

Link ModuleLink Module

Component SFEA Component SFEA Stress/Strain Results Stress/Strain Results

ANSYS/Other codeANSYS/Other code

ProCORFAProCORFA Modular ConfigurationModular Configuration

Page 4: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

MultiMulti--Scale Stochastic FE ApproachScale Stochastic FE Approach

Global Model:• Shell and beam elements• “Weld” stringers and frames with

skin panel• Linear analysis• Find critical locations

Local Model:• Solid elements• Includes contacts• Obtain BC from global model• Consider stochastic parameters• Detailed local stresses

Very Local Model:• Axi-symmetric elements• Material and full contact

nonlinearity • Residual stress and interference

analysis

Displacement constrains of boundary nodes are interpolated from global model using sub-modeling technique

(collaboration with STI Technologies Inc.)(collaboration with STI Technologies Inc.)

Page 5: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

Single hole plate-rivet model

Contact FEAObtain local stress Obtain local stress σσ at at key locationskey locations

Fracture Mechanics Fracture Mechanics analysis is performed analysis is performed under same load under same load conditions to calculate the conditions to calculate the stress intensity stress intensity ∆∆K as K as function of crack lengthfunction of crack length

Dimension less stress intensity aKaπσ

β =)(

One-side crack

Two-side crack

Page 6: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Stochastic FE Analysis for Local Stress DistributionStochastic FE Analysis for Local Stress Distribution

Location variation

Shape variations

Local corrosion or wear effects

Plate thickness varitions

Distance variations

Size variations

- Obtain the local stress distribution considering all the random variabilities.

- Perform fatigue analysis assuming the same dimensionless stress intensity βobtained from the single-hole model shown in the previous slide

Page 7: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Original Image in color Corr1

Corrosion Sample # 1

Gray Scale Corr1

Original RGB Image

Stochastic Corrosion Surface TopographiesStochastic Corrosion Surface Topographies

Grayscale Image

Surface Plots from different Views

Page 8: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Simulated Stochastic Corroded Surfaces for FE ModelSimulated Stochastic Corroded Surfaces for FE Model

Page 9: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Constitutive ModelConstitutive ModelMechanical PropertiesMechanical Properties

Mechanical Properties & Constitutive Model Mechanical Properties & Constitutive Model

Page 10: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Corrosion Pitting Corrosion Pitting

Strain Life and Damage Model Strain Life and Damage Model

Strain Life, Fatigue Damage Model and Pitting Strain Life, Fatigue Damage Model and Pitting

Page 11: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Statistical Crack PopulationStatistical Crack PopulationVariable LoadingVariable Loading

Variable Loading and Statistical Crack Population Variable Loading and Statistical Crack Population

Page 12: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Multiple InspectionsMultiple InspectionsNDI POD CurvesNDI POD Curves

Maintenance Info: POD Curves, Inspection Times Maintenance Info: POD Curves, Inspection Times

Page 13: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Risk AnalysisRisk Analysis

Probabilistic Pit GrowthProbabilistic Pit Growth

Life Prediction and RiskLife Prediction and Risk--Based Condition Assessment Based Condition Assessment

Page 14: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Crack Growth StatisticsCrack Growth StatisticsFailure Risk EvolutionFailure Risk Evolution

Crack Statistics & RiskCrack Statistics & Risk--Based Condition Assessment Based Condition Assessment

Page 15: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Probabilistic Optimal LifeProbabilistic Optimal Life--Cycle Cost AnalysisCycle Cost Analysis

Objective: Develop an optimal inspection program that minimizes cost under reliability constraints

Assumptions:

- Crack growth model:A(t)=A0 exp(Λt), t > 0 (A0 and Λ are random)

- Cracks with length. A(t) > acr => replaced (failure). ad < A(t) ≤ acr => repaired. A(t) ≤ ad => undetected

- System failure probability Pf (t) > pf,0 at all times

(collaboration with Professor M. Grigoriu, Cornell University)(collaboration with Professor M. Grigoriu, Cornell University)

Page 16: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Inspection and Maintenance Policy:

Model parameters: - Cost: ci, cr and cf = inspection, repair, failure costs- System life: τ > 0- Inspection schedule: (t1,…,tn) = inspection times

A 0 ( t 1 ) > a c r

A 0 ( t 1 )≤ a c r A 0 ( t 1 ) > a d

A 1 ( t 2 - t 1 ) > a c r

A 1 ( t 2 - t 1 )≤ a c r

A 0 ( t 2 ) > a c r

A 0 ( t 1 )≤ a d

A 0 ( t 1 )≤ a c r

A 2 ( τ - t 2 ) > a c r

A 2 ( τ - t 2 )≤ a c r A 1 ( t 2 - t 1 ) > a d

A 1 ( t 2 - t 1 )≤ a d A 1 ( τ - t 1 ) > a c r

A 1 ( τ - t 1 )≤ a c r

A 3 ( τ - t 2 ) > a c r

A 3 ( τ - t 2 )≤ a c r

A 0 ( τ ) > a c r

A 0 ( τ )≤ a c r

A 0 ( t 2 ) > a d

A 0 ( t 2 )≤ a c r

t im e 0 t 1 t 2 τ

Page 17: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Total Cost and Failure Probabilities:

- Total cost at t = τ:

- Failure probabilities:

} samples { # }a)t(A{ # )t(P̂ cr

f

>=

time

)(tP̂f

Page 18: ProCORFA GUI: Main Window Dialog - GP · PDF fileMain Window Main Menu Items:-File - Input Data - Component Model ... AFGROW Crack Growth Models ProCorfa Input Database Mechanical

DOCUMENT DOWNLOADED FROM GP TECHNOLOGIES INC. WEB SITE at http:// www.ghiocel-tech.com

Optimization algorithm:

- Problem statement:

- Feasible region for n=2:

feasible region

t1

t2

topt

)*ctat cost aly that totprobabilit )t,...,t*;c(q (where

t ... tt0 and p)(P ,p)t(P, ... ,p)t(P ,p(0)P

under )}t,...,t*;c(q{min

n1n

n21

0,ff0,fnf0,f1f0,ff

n1nnt,...,1t

>τ==τ≤≤≤≤≤

≤τ≤≤≤