process for 2007 maps
DESCRIPTION
Process for 2007 Maps. Attenuation Oct 2005. National User-Needs Workshop DEC 2006 CA. CA Oct 2006. Comments From Outside Community June-July. Final Prob Maps Sep 2007 Design maps Dec 2007. PacNW Mar 2006. Draft maps (Project 07) Feb 15, 2007. Draft maps June 2007. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Process for 2007 Maps
CAOct 2006
PacNWMar 2006
InterMtnWest
June 2006
CEUSMay 2006
NationalUser-NeedsWorkshopDEC 2006
CA
Draft maps(Project 07)Feb 15, 2007
External Review Panel on NGA
Sep, 2006
CommentsFrom
OutsideCommunityJune-July
Draft mapsJune 2007
ExternalReview Panel on
Maps May 2007
Final ProbMaps
Sep 2007Design maps
Dec 2007
For 2008 NEHRPProvisions*,2010 ASCE,
2012 IBC*If deadlines met
AttenuationOct 2005
Figure 1: Process for developing the 2007 maps
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BACKGROUND SOURCE ZONES
M 7.0
Figure 2: Two large regional zones for the CEUS.
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Wheeler and Johnston
Figure 3: Global earthquake data for craton and margin earthquakes.
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Wheeler and JohnstonFigure 4: Histograms showing magnitudes for craton and margin earthquakes.
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Figure 5: Special zones and faults in the CEUS.
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Kentucky Geological Survey SP6
Figure 6
Reelfoot fault
Northern Arm
Southern ArmBlytheville
New Madrid seismicity
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NEW MADRID LOGIC TREE
Figure 7: New Madrid logic tree
7.8
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Figure 8: Alternative source zones near Charleston, South Carolina and logic tree
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Figure 9: CEUS 0.2 s SA attenuation relations for M 7 earthquake on Vs30 760 m/s site conditions: AB95 AB05 (Atkinson and Boore, 1995, 2005; F96 (Frankel et al., 1996); T97 T02m (Toro, 1997, 2002); C03 (Campbell, 2003); S01 (Somerville 2001); SV02 (Silva et al., 2002); TP05 (TavakoliAnd Pezeshk, 2005)
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Figure 10: CEUS 1 s SA attenuation relations for M 7 earthquake on Vs30 760 m/s site conditions: AB95 AB05 (Atkinson and Boore, 1995, 2005; F96 (Frankel et al., 1996); T97 T02m (Toro, 1997, 2002); C03 (Campbell, 2003); S01 (Somerville 2001); SV02 (Silva et al., 2002); TP05 (TavakoliAnd Pezeshk, 2005)
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Figure 11. WUS seismicity and zones.
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Zeng and Shen 2006
Figure 12: GPS strain data for the western U.S.
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Figure 13: Faults in the western U.S. showing style of faulting
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Geodetic rupture depth
Figure 14: Fault geometry used in the Cascadia subduction zone
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Figure 15: Probability of surface rupture with magnitude
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NGA Project Database
• NGA strong-motion database:– 172 worldwide
earthquakes– 1,400 recording
stations– 3,500 multi-
component strong-motion recordings
– Over 100 parameters describing source, path, and site conditions
0 . 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0Distance (km )
4
5
6
7
8
Mag
nit
ud
e
Previous Data
0 . 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0Distance (km )
4
5
6
7
8
Mag
nit
ud
e
New Data
Provided by Ken Campbell, EQECAT
Figure 16: Strong motion dataset prior to NGA database (red) in NGA database (blue)
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0.001
0.01
0.1
1
1 10
Distance (km)
Sa
(g)
Period = 1 (sec); Vs30 = 500 (m/s); SAO97 Rock
5.56.5
7.58.5
Chiou and Youngs-solid
Sadigh et al.-dashed
Figure 17: Comparison of new NGA equation (Chiou and Youngs) and olderEquation by Sadigh et al. (1997) used in 2002 maps.
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Figure 18: 2007 draft national seismic hazard map for CEUS at 0.2 s SA and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years on firm rock site condition 760 m/s Vs30.
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Figure 19: 2007 draft national seismic hazard map for CEUS at 1.0 s SA and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years on firm rock site condition 760 m/s Vs30.
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Figure 20: Ratio of 0.2 s SA 2007 and 2002 national seismic hazard maps for CEUS at 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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Figure 21: Ratio of 1.0 s SA 2007 and 2002 national seismic hazard maps for CEUS at 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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Figure 22: 2007 draft national seismic hazard map for WUS at 0.2 s SA at 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years on firm rock site condition 760 m/s Vs30.
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Figure 23: 2007 draft national seismic hazard map for WUS at 1.0 s SA at 2% probability of exeedance in 50 years on firm rock site condition 760 m/s Vs30.
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Figure 24: Ratio of 0.2 s SA 2007 and 2002 national seismic hazard maps for WUSat 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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Figure 25: Ratio of 1.0 s SA 2007 and 2002 national seismic hazard maps for WUSAt 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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Testing the model:
Figure 26: Comparison of 1996 seismic hazard maps with seismicity since 1996.