prevention of sexual aggression contextualizing the problem
TRANSCRIPT
Prevention of Sexual AggressionContextualizing the Problem
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
All Sexual Arrests
5% Repeat Offenders
95% of Arrest Offenses Committedby First-time Offenders
(Sandler, Freeman, & Socia, 2008; Zgoba et al., 2015)
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Focus ofsex-offender
specificmanageme
nt legislation
Note only 28.5% of
arrests lead to
conviction
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Arrests
1.1%
All Reported Sexual Assaults
22% of ReportedArrested
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Arrested
(FBI, Uniform Crime Reports, Arrest Data: 2006-2010)
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Reported
.3%
32% of EstimatedReported
Estimated Sexual Offense Frequency
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Reported
(Justice Department, National Crime Victimization Survey: 2008-2012)
Estimated repeat proportion of unreported .011 * .68 = .7%
Estimated Sexual Offense Frequency
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
(Justice Department, National Crime Victimization Survey: 2008-2012)
1.0%1.0%
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Sex-Offender Specific Strategies
Registration/Community Notification
Effects CollateralConsequences
No reduction in recidivismPossible increase in speed of arrest
Reduced offender integrationReduced employment opportunities
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
ResidencyRestriction
s
Effects CollateralConsequences
No reduction in recidivism4.4% of sex offenses in child dense areas
Reduced offender integrationIncreased difficulty monitoringIncreased homelessness
Sex-Offender Specific Strategies
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Global Position
Monitoring
Effects CollateralConsequences
Questionable reduction in recidivism
Very costlyLabor intensiveHigh false positive alarmReduced offender employment opportunities
Sex-Offender Specific Strategies
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
CivilCommitme
nt
Effects CollateralConsequences
No significant impact on overall recidivism
Very costlyExtremely small % of offenders (1.2% of referred)High false positive commitment rateAlternatives available
Sex-Offender Specific Strategies
1.0%
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Prevention Targets the Whole Problem
Vast Majority of
our resources
are directed here
1.0%
From the Perspective of Offense Frequency
Prevention Is the Elephant in the Room