presentation to the financial community 1h 2005 results · presentation to the financial community...
TRANSCRIPT
2
Forward-Looking Statements
Forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and expectations that could ultimately prove inaccurate, as they are subject to risks and variables, outside the company’s control, that could cause actual results to differ materially, including currency fluctuations, the level of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry as well as other industries, the timing of development of energy resources, construction and project risks, armed conflict or political instability in the Arabic Gulf or other regions, the strength of competition and interest rate fluctuations.
3
Presentation Outline
• Conclusions
• Market Trends & Saipem Strategy
• Saipem Strategy Extract:Focus on Local Content
• 1H 2005 Financial Results
5
EBIT Before G&A(Mln €)
OffshoreOffshore
1H 2005 Financial Results
OnshoreOnshore
Floating ProductionFloating Production LNG LNG
Onshore Drilling Onshore Drilling
Offshore DrillingOffshore Drilling MMO MMO
0
50
100
150
200
250
1H 20051H 20051H 20041H 2004
Net financial expenses
Net Income
0
50
100
150
200
Net Income
Income taxes
Minority Interests
103103 108*108*
1H 20051H 20051H 20041H 2004
206206
2828
3131
106106
77
1010
151599
214214
2626
3030
124124
22
1313
881111
Both 2004 and 2005 figures are IAS Compliant
222828
1515
223030
1414
(*) Including the negative effect of the introduction of IAS 39 for an amount of € 6 Mln
6
Outflows
Investments
Fleet
Project Related
FPSO
Local Content
(Mln €)
1H 2005 Financial Results
Sources and Application of Funds,Net Debt & D/E Ratio
874874942942
Net Debt @ Jun. 2005
D/E = 0.63 D/E = 0.63
203203
202202
Sources of Funds 1H 2005
141141
271271
8383
Application of Funds 1H 2005
Net Debt @ Dec. 2004
D/E = 0.55D/E = 0.55
11
Investments
Dividends & Shares Buy back
Employee Term. Benefit (TFR)
Cash Flow
Inflows2005E1H 2004 2004 1H 2005
350
160160
8080
4040
187
107107
5656
2424
87
137
70*70*
4747
(*) Following the acquisition of Golfinho II leased FPSOWorking Capital
& Others
7
0500
1000150020002500300035004000450050005500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
New Contract Acquisitions
1H 2005 Contract Acquisitions & Backlog
Onshore Drilling
OnshoreOffshore DrillingOffshore
Floating Production LNG
MMO
(Mln €)
Backlog
1H 20051H 20051H 20041H 2004
19341934
3193194040
11221122
99
3737
213213194194
2242*2242*
144144139139
15051505
3*3*7979
Jun. 30, 2005Jun. 30, 2005Dec. 31, 2004Dec. 31, 2004
183183189189
53065306
296296
33033303
763763
447447
5429*5429*
575575
316316
35513551
107*107*282282
497497
317317117117
1011016363
(*) Not including Golfinho II leased FPSO contract (USD 600 Mln) acquired in Q3 2005
9
Bil. $
Worldwide E&P Spending
Forecast @ June 2005
Source: Lehman Brothers
Short Term Outlook: E&P Spending
Bil. $North America E&P Spending
Bil. $International E&P Spending
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2000A 2001A 2002A 2003A 2004A 2005E
+23.3%
+10.2%-0.8%
+13.4%
+14.1%
30
50
70
90
110
130
2000A 2001A 2002A 2003A 2004A 2005E
+9.3%
+13.3%
+10.3%
+24.4%
+12.2%
30
50
70
2000A 2001A 2002A 2003A 2004A 2005E
+18.3%-17.0%
+21.6%
+13.5%
+10.1%
10
Offshore Pipelines
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E
Installations 2002-2004Km 15,400
Expected Installations2005-2007Km 26,500
+72%Km Laid
0
50
100
150
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E0
50
100
150
200
250
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E
Expected Growth 2007 vs. 2004
+35%
mbbl/day
GTLLNG
MM Tons/Year
OnshoreWorld Liquefaction Capacity World Production
Expected Growth 2007 vs. 2004:
+194%
Sources: Saipem elaborations based on Infield Database for Subsea Developments and FPSO, on Quest Offshore for Offshore Pipelines, on CERA for LNG; Saipem estimate for GTL.
Deepwater SubseaDevelopments
Market Segments Outlook
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E
Installations2002-2004
N. 365
Expected Installations2005-2007
N. 632
N. of Installa-tions +73%
Offshore
0
5
10
15
20
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E
+62%Installations2002-2004
N. 29
Expected Installations2005-2007
N. 47
FPSO
Units
11
Use Market Potential to Target Opportunities Meeting Strict Financial Criteria
Leased FPSO: Growth Opportunity
Saipem Leased FPSO StrategySaipem Leased FPSO Strategy
Exploit Group Financial synergies:
• Existing EPIC CompetenciesFPSO MYSTRAS
FPSO FIRENZE
Saipem’s 1st Standalone Leased FPSO:Golfinho II - awarded by Petrobras in July 2005
Saipem’s 1st Standalone Leased FPSO:Golfinho II - awarded by Petrobras in July 2005
Golfinho II Leased FPSOStorageStorage: : 1.6 MM barrels 1.6 MM barrels Production CapacityProduction Capacity: : 100,000 barrels per day100,000 barrels per dayWater DepthWater Depth: : 1,400 metres1,400 metresDurationDuration: : 9 years from 19 years from 1stst half 2007 + 3 extension optionshalf 2007 + 3 extension options (1 year each)(1 year each)Contract Value:Contract Value: USD 600 USD 600 MlnMln over 9 Years Firm Periodover 9 Years Firm Period
Leverage Group Operational Synergies
• Existing Fleet Management Expertise
• Financial Strength• Cash Flow generated from other Business (e.g. EPIC downpayments) exploited
in Capex Phase of Leased FPSO
Golfinho II FPSO
12
Saipem Strategy
OFFSHORE- Update -OFFSHORE- Update -
New Vessels - KashaganNew Vessels - Kashagan
Ersai 1Ersai 1
Castoro 12Castoro 12Shallow Water Post-Trenching Shallow Water Post-Trenching (50%)(50%)
Leased FPSOLeased FPSO
Golfinho II (Awarded Standalone)Other Opportunities
Fleet PrimacyFleet Primacy
Saipem 7000Saipem 7000
ROV FleetROV Fleet
Saipem 3000
Cost EffectivenessCost Effectiveness
SMS(Rijeka-Croatia)
Offshore
SIPS (Chennai - India)
On-OffShoreUp-DownStream
PT SOF(Jakarta-Indonesia)
Offshore
Local ContentLocal Content
Kurik Yard, KazakhstanKurikKurik Yard, Yard, KazakhstanKazakhstan
Soyo Base, AngolaSoyoSoyo Base, AngolaBase, Angola
SharjahBase, U.A.E.SharjahBase, U.A.E.
SPS Yard, AzerbaijanSPS Yard, SPS Yard,
AzerbaijanAzerbaijanRumuolumeni Base, NigeriaRumuolumeni Rumuolumeni Base, NigeriaBase, Nigeria
Engineering ConceptsEngineering Concepts
‘OOL’
• Kizomba A-B• Rosa• Akpo
FDSFDSFDS
‘SLOR’‘BHOR’‘SLOR’‘BHOR’
Engineering CentresEngineering Centres
Local ContentLocal Content
Developed World
Cost Effective
Saipem People
20%20%
45%45%
35%35%
Saipem People
20%20%45%45%
35%35%
Local Content
Developed World
Cost Effective
Cost Effective
Yards /BasesYards /Bases
Golfinho II
13
Saipem Strategy
Local ContentLocal Content
SMS(Rijeka-Croatia)
Offshore
SIPS (Chennai - India)
On-OffShoreUp-DownStream
PT SOF(Jakarta-Indonesia)
Offshore
SMS(Rijeka-Croatia)
Offshore
SIPS (Chennai - India)
On-OffShoreUp-DownStream
PT SOF(Jakarta-Indonesia)
Offshore
ONSHORE- Under Analysis -
ONSHORE- Under Analysis -
Boost Engineering CapacityBoost Engineering Capacity
Cost effectivenessCost effectiveness
Engineering
Saipem People
OFFSHORE- Update -
OFFSHORE- Update -
COMMON ENABLERS
COMMON COMMON ENABLERSENABLERS
• Extreme Environments• HC LD HP
Acquire /Develop TechnologiesAcquire /Develop Technologies
GTLGTL
LNG Chain Onshore-Offshore LNG Chain Onshore-Offshore
LNG Carrier
LNG FRSU
Esp. Ref. to Gas Monetisation
PipelinesPipelines
Fleet PrimacyFleet Primacy
New Vessels - KashaganNew Vessels - Kashagan
Leased FPSOLeased FPSO
Engineering ConceptsEngineering Concepts
Kurik Yard, KazakhstanKurikKurik Yard, Yard, KazakhstanKazakhstan
Soyo Base, AngolaSoyoSoyo Base, AngolaBase, Angola
SharjahBase, U.A.E.SharjahBase, U.A.E.
SPS Yard, AzerbaijanSPS Yard, SPS Yard,
AzerbaijanAzerbaijanRumuolumeni Base, NigeriaRumuolumeni Rumuolumeni Base, NigeriaBase, Nigeria
Kurik Yard, KazakhstanKurikKurik Yard, Yard, KazakhstanKazakhstan
Soyo Base, AngolaSoyoSoyo Base, AngolaBase, Angola
SharjahBase, U.A.E.SharjahBase, U.A.E.
SPS Yard, AzerbaijanSPS Yard, SPS Yard,
AzerbaijanAzerbaijanRumuolumeni Base, NigeriaRumuolumeni Rumuolumeni Base, NigeriaBase, Nigeria
Castoro 12Castoro 12Shallow Water Post-Trenching Shallow Water Post-Trenching
Ersai 1Ersai 1
(50%)(50%)
Golfinho II (Awarded Standalone)Other Opportunities
20%20%
45%45%35%35%
Local ContentLocal Content
Developed World
Cost Effective
Cost Effective
GolfinhoGolfinho IIII
Yards /BasesSaipem 7000
Saipem 7000
ROV FleetROV Fleet
Saipem 3000
‘OOL’
• Kizomba A-B• Rosa• Akpo
FDSFDSFDS
‘SLOR’‘BHOR’‘SLOR’‘BHOR’
15
Backlog Detail
Onshore Drilling
Onshore
Offshore Drilling
Offshore
Floating Production LNG
MMO
(Mln €)
Backlog in 3 Key Countries
Kazakhstan 14%
Nigeria 21%
Angola 9%
2388 44% of total backlog
Country % share of total backlog
LEGEND:
Backlog
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
35513551
June 30, 2005
316316
497497
282107
101
54295429
575575
11481148
753753
487487
June 30, 2005
16
2
3
4
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Reserves Reserves (2005):(2005): 23.89 23.89 bilbil. bbl . bbl (Liquids);(Liquids); 43.48 43.48 tcftcf (Gas)(Gas)
Production: 3.07 Production: 3.07 boeboe/day /day (Liquids + gas, 2005)(Liquids + gas, 2005)
Population: 137.3 million Population: 137.3 million
Nigeria
Production Increase Substantially Offshore/Deepwater Production Increase Substantially Offshore/Deepwater -- DrivenDriven
Country Highlights
FORECASTFORECASTMM MM bblbbl/d/d Nigeria Nigeria LiquidsLiquids Production Production
HISTORYHISTORY
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Saipem Present since late 1960s2,400 Nigerian employees14 contracts ongoingSeveral partnership with Nigerian indigenous companies
Saipem Presence
16
© 1993-2003 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.
17
The PeopleThe People
Drilling: Scarabeo 7; Scarabeo 3Onshore Construction: Soku II, Gts 4, Okpai Power Plant,Cawthorne Channel Pipeline, Obiafu/ObrikomOffshore Projects: Akpo, Amenam II, Yoho B, East Area, ErhaLeased FPSO: Mystras II on Okono FieldMMO: activities for Shell, other clients
Main Operating Centre: Project management, Engineering, Administration, HR, Fabrication, Logistics
Nigeria
Port Harcourt, NigeriaPort Harcourt, Nigeria
2003: 2003: Rumuolumeni ExpansionRumuolumeni Expansion17
Saipem Rumuolumeni Main Characteristics:
460,000 sqm total area
Fabrication Capability:150,000+ fabrication man-hours per month
Jetty access:Vessel draft 7.5 m / 9.5 m Quay front 110 m
Current Activities
FABRICATION ACTIVITIESFABRICATION ACTIVITIESfor EAST AREA PROJECTfor EAST AREA PROJECT 17
• FOTO LCSkills Improvement Schemes - TrainingExposure to Industry Technology - Practical ApplicationLocal Employee Training in the Use of Advanced Application Software (SAP)
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER & TRAINING
Local Content Investment - Rumuolumeni Base-Yard
FPSO ERHAFPSO ERHA GTS 4GTS 4
EAST AREAEAST AREAOKPAIOKPAI SOKU II SOKU II
SCARABEO 7SCARABEO 7
ERHA DrillingERHA Drilling
Nigerian
Expatriates-Cost Effective
Expatriates-Developed World 64%
26% 10%SPLIT PER NATIONALITY
18
Major Project - Example
Vessels:Vessels:• SAIBOS FDS• S 3000• S 355• Bar Protector
Nigeria
Client: TotalClient: TotalActivities:Activities:Subsea System includes:• 22 Oil production wells, 2 Gas injection wells,
20 Water injection wells, 10 Manifolds Production and Injection Network consisting of:• 4 x 10" ID, thermally insulated, production flow Ioops and steel
catenary risers - 48km• 1 x 8" ID gas injection line & steel catenary riser - 12km• 3 x 10" ID water injection lines and steel catenary risers - 34kmUmbilical Network consisting of:• 4 x production umbilical - 26km, 4 x injection umbilical -33km,
5 x infield, “short” umbilical - 9kmGas Export pipeline to Amenam AMP2 Platform (147km) 1 x 16",
internally coatedOil Loading Terminal (OLT)FPSO Mooring System
Local Content: 1.2 million manLocal Content: 1.2 million man--hourshoursmainly fabrication/assembly of mainly fabrication/assembly of FLETsFLETs & in& in--line tee structures, mooring piles, line tee structures, mooring piles, flowlineflowline anchoring piles, riser interface anchoring piles, riser interface spools, spools, subseasubsea spools and jumpers, quadspools and jumpers, quad--jointing of production jointing of production flowlinesflowlines, steel , steel catenarycatenary risers and OOLrisers and OOL
Overall Project Valueapprox. 920 Mln. USD
Overall Project Valueapprox. 920 Mln. USD
1350m WD1350m WD
Akpo - URFAkpo - URF
Saipem 3000
Saibos FDS
S 355 Bar Protector
1818
19
Angola
Production Increase Totally Offshore/Deepwater Production Increase Totally Offshore/Deepwater -- DrivenDriven
0
1
2
319
95
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
FORECASTFORECASTMM MM bblbbl/d/d
Angola Liquids Production Angola Liquids Production HISTORYHISTORY
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Reserves: 10.76 Reserves: 10.76 BilBil. barrels (2005) . barrels (2005) Production: 1.29 MM bbl/d (2005, subProduction: 1.29 MM bbl/d (2005, sub--Saharan AfricaSaharan Africa’’s second s second largest oil producer behind Nigeria)largest oil producer behind Nigeria)Population: 10.98 million Population: 10.98 million
Country Highlights
Saipem PresenceSaipem (ex-BOS) present since early 1980s900 Angolan employees5 contracts ongoingPrincipal Operating Local Companies:
Petromar: JV 70% Saipem, 30% Sonangol. Kwanda: JV 49% Saipem, 30% Sonangol, 21% Other Angolan Partners Main Operating Centres: Soyo, Malongo, Luanda
19
© 1993-2003 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.
20
Drilling: Saipem 10000 on RosaOffshore Projects: Rosa Surf, Kizomba B, DaliaLNG: Potential at SoyoMMO: activities for Total
Current Activities
The PeopleThe People
Angola
1.5 % OF ANNUAL TURNOVER SPENT IN TRAINING.RECOGNIZED WELDERS / PIPEFITTERS SCHOOL IN SOYO WITH EXPATRIATE TRAINER.BASIC MECHANICAL, ELECTRICITY & INSTRUMENTATION TRAINING CENTER IN SOYO.LANGUAGE COURSES : ENGLISH, FRENCH, PORTUGUESE.COMPUTERIZED SOFTWARE : CAD, EXCEL, WINDOWS, ETC.
TRAINING POLICY
KIZOMBAKIZOMBA DALIA FPSODALIA FPSO
Total base area 160 hectares and includes: industrial area, port, maintenance center, administration block, residential zone, clinic, restaurants, sports and recreation center, heliport and fuel storage tanks.
Local Content Investment - Soyo BaseMain Operating Centre:
Offshore FabricationLogisticsMMO
20
Angolan
Expatriates-Cost Effective
Expatriates-Developed World 63%
12%25%
SPLIT PER NATIONALITY
21
Vessels :• Saipem 10000• Saipem 3000• Saibos FDS
Flowlines System includes: • Production lines 65 km x Pipe in Pipe 8” x 12” and 17 x 8” FLETs• Water Injection lines 40 km x 10” + 14 x 10” FLETs• Flowlines spools and well jumpers – 4 Production ManifoldsRisers System includes:• Bundle Hybrid Offset Riser (BHOR) One set including 4 x 8 inch
production with Gas lift lines and 2 x 10 inch Water Injection lines
Umbilicals System includes:• Production Umbilicals: 60 km• Water Injection Umbilicals: 20 km• Installation of Flying leads • Coil Tubing Service Line : 54 km x 3,5 inchDrilling Activities:• Drillship Saipem 10000: drilling campaign of 2 years with the
option to extend it for a further two years
Major Project - ExampleRosaRosa
Angola
Overall Valueapprox. 620 Mln. USD
Overall Valueapprox. 620 Mln. USD
Client: TotalActivities:
Saipem 3000
Saibos FDS
Saipem 10000Saipem 10000
Local Content: 1 million manLocal Content: 1 million man--hourshoursmainly fabrication of pipemainly fabrication of pipe--inin--pipe quadpipe quad--joints and bundle hybrid offset riser (BHOR)joints and bundle hybrid offset riser (BHOR) 21
13001300--1400 m WD1400 m WD
22
Reserves Reserves (2005)(2005): 27.15 : 27.15 bilbil. bbl (Liquids); 53.53 . bbl (Liquids); 53.53 tcftcf (Gas)(Gas)Caspian Sea region's largest recoverable oil reservesCaspian Sea region's largest recoverable oil reservesProduction: 1.57 Production: 1.57 boeboe/day /day (2004)(2004)Population: 15.1 millionPopulation: 15.1 million
KazakhstanCountry Highlights
Production Increase Deriving from Offshore (Kashagan and others)Production Increase Deriving from Offshore (Kashagan and others) and Onshore (and Onshore (TengizTengiz, Karachaganak), Karachaganak)
0
1
2
3
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
FORECASTFORECASTMM MM bblbbl/d/d
HISTORYHISTORY
KazakhstanKazakhstan LiquidsLiquids Production Production
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Saipem PresenceSaipem Present since 19921,300 Kazakh employeesMore than 10,000 people mobilised in the peak of activity for the Karachaganak Project
Karachaganak Development ProjectKarachaganak Development Project
22
© 1993-2003 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.
23
Current Activities
Kazakhstan
Onshore Construction: Karachaganak Development Project (Completed)Offshore /Onshore: Kashagan Piles and Flares, Kashagan PipelineDrilling: Block D Kashagan field, duration of approx. 5 years - other onshore drilling activities
ERSAIERSAIFounded in 2003, 50/50 JV with ERC Holding (local) Activities: Fabrication
EngineeringMaritime/logistic support
Operation of Kuryk Yard andOffshore Construction Barge ERSAI 1
Construction Barge ERSAI 1Length/Width overall: 140.45/42.61 m - Depth 8.4 m Maximum lifting capacity: 800t @14m radAllowable load on crawler crane tracks: 140t / sqmDisplacement: 33,012 tDraft range: 1.65 m / 5.63 m
.ERSAI-Saipem Local Content Investment - Kuryk Yard
Kuryk Caspian Yard initiated in September 2003 650,000 sqm yard located south of AktauScope:
• Offshore Fabrication - Capability: 20,000 ton/year • Engineering and Procurement• Maritime/logistic Support
23
24
Major Project - Example
Kashagan - Experimental PhaseKashagan - Experimental Phase
Vessels:Vessels:
Purpose Designedand Built
Kazakhstan
ERSAI 1
Shallow Water Post-Trenching
BargeCastoro 12
Aktau
KASHAGAN
CASPIAN SEA
KURIK Operative Base
KURIK Operative Base
OVERALL AWARDED CONTRACTS AMOUNT: ~ 1 BIL. USDOVERALL AWARDED CONTRACTS AMOUNT: ~ 1 BIL. USD
Isolated Area:
Winter Freezing: temperatures below -20°C (ice scouring, stamukha)
Seasonal access to Caspian seaAccess channel limitations
Very Shallow Waterfrom 4m in Kashagan East to 0m near shore
Environmental restrictionsState Natural Reserve Zone
Harsh EnvironmentKashagan located in North Caspian Sea, 80 km South of Atyrau
Project DescriptionClient : Agip KCO
Experimental Phase Production Objective: 450,000 BOPD
Development will start from 2 artificial wellhead islands at Block A and Block D, then extend to 2 contiguous Blocks B & C and subsequently, artificial Island 5 will be developed
Oil and gas transported onshore through dedicated pipelines to a new oil and gas processing plant
Oil pipeline sized for 450,000 BOPD
PIPELINE PILES & FLARES DRILLING
Awarded Contracts
Local Content: 2.1 million manLocal Content: 2.1 million man--hourshoursmainly piles fabrication, pipeline coating, facilities fabricatimainly piles fabrication, pipeline coating, facilities fabrication on
Very Shallow Water Post-Trenching
Barges
24
Lack of infrastructureLack of vessels/barges
26
Conclusions
• Revenue Increase• Pricing and Efficiency Improvement
2005 Guidance
Good Growth Prospects Based on Existing ModelSignificant Improvement Potential
Good Growth Prospects Based on Existing ModelSignificant Improvement Potential
26
Results at Least in Line with 2004 Despite Negative Impact of USD Devaluation in Backlog
Results at Least in Line with 2004 Despite Negative Impact of USD Devaluation in Backlog
Medium Term
Compelling Indicators
Market Key Geographic Areas
Strong Saipem Position
Offshore Strategy
Convincing Progress
Onshore Strategy• Under Review
• Existing Strengths -An Important Element