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    PREPARED BY:

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    POPULATION GROWTH

    ININDIA

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    INTRODUCTION: India comes next only to China as regards the size of its

    population but is seventh in this world as regards the size of

    its area.

    Thus, on 2.4 percent of world's area with 1.8 percent of world

    income, India is maintaining 18 percent of world's population.

    It clearly indicates that there is excessive burden of

    population in India.

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    Size and Growth of lndias

    population:India's population increased rapidly in the post-independenceperiod.

    Between 1951-61, it increased by more than 7.82 crore whichexceeded its growth rate of the previous 40 years.

    Between 1971-81, growth rate of population was 24.8percent.

    Between 1981-91 it was 23.8 percent.

    The population was estimated to be 84 crore 63 lakh in the

    year 1991 and 102.90 crore in 2001. In the year 2011, size of population was 121.02 crore.

    Every year there is an addition of about 1 crore 80 lakhspersons in our country population.

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    Size and growth of Indias population till 2011

    are indicated in the following table:Growth of population of India

    Year Population (crore)Increase in Population

    (crore)

    18911921

    1931

    1941

    1951

    1961

    19711981

    1991

    2001

    2011

    23.8725.13

    27.90

    31.87

    36.11

    43.92

    54.8268.33

    84.63

    102.90

    121.02

    -----1.26

    2.77

    3.97

    4.24

    7.81

    10.9013.51

    16.30

    18.27

    18.12

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    Classification of Growth of Population:

    Period of stable population(1891-1921)

    Period of growth of population(1921-1951)

    Period of population explosion(1951-1981)

    Period of high growth but with signs of slowing down

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    Birth Rate And Death Rate:

    Birth rate refers to number of children bornper thousand persons in a year.

    Death rate refers to number of people dying

    per thousand persons in a year.

    when it is said that birth rate in India is 22 it

    means every year 22 children are born per

    thousand persons, on the average.

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    Birth rate and death rate situation in India for

    the last 108 years is shown in Table :

    Period Birth rate(per 1,000 per Year)

    Death rate(per 1,000 per Year)

    Growth Rate(Of Decade)

    1901-1910

    1921-1930

    1951-1960

    1961-1970

    1971-1980

    1981-19901991-2001

    2009

    49.2

    46.4

    41.7

    37.9

    36.0

    32.525.0

    22.5

    42.6

    36.3

    22.8

    19.0

    15.0

    11.48.1

    7.3

    6.6

    10.1

    18.9

    18.9

    21.O

    21.116.9

    15.2

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    Rural-Urban Population :India is an agricultural country, so ratio of urban population

    is less than rural population.

    Ratio of urban-rural population in different census years is

    shown in the following Table:

    Year Ratio of Rural

    Population (%)

    Ratio of Urban

    Population (%)

    1901

    1951

    19611971

    1981

    1991

    2001

    89.2

    82.7

    82.080.1

    76.7

    74.3

    72.2

    10.8

    17.3

    18.019.9

    23.3

    25.7

    27.8

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    Two main causes of rise in urban

    population in India are : Migration Effect: Rural life in India suffers from many

    difficulties, such as, less opportunities of employment, low level ofincome, lack of educational and training facilities, lack of healthand medical

    facilities, etc. In order to get rid of these difficulties rural-peoplemigrate to urban areas.

    Attraction Effect: Urban living has its own attraction, such aseducational, medical and health facilities, jobopportunities, development of railways, recreationcentres, restaurants and park, etc.

    Rural people are very much tempted by these allurements anddecide to settle in towns and cities.

    According to a report by National Sample Survey, main causeof rural-male to migrate to urban areas is employment andrural-female is wedding ties.

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    Age Structure/Composition :Age structure of the population of a country indicates the

    extent to which the population of that country is useful

    from the economic point of view.

    Population in the age group of 15-60 years is known as

    working population.

    Population in the age group of 0-14 years and above 60

    years is known as non-working/dependent population.

    Higher proportion of working population is beneficialfor the economic development of the nation.

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    Further information with regard to age structure

    is given in table :Year Age-group: 0-14

    years (%)

    Age-group: 15-60

    years (%)

    Age-group:

    Above 60 years

    (%)

    1911

    1951

    1981

    1991

    20012006

    2016(target)

    38.8

    37.4

    39.5

    36.5

    35.332.3

    25.1

    60.2

    57.1

    54.0

    57.1

    57.058.7

    64.8

    1.0

    5.5

    6.5

    6.4

    7.79.0

    10.1

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Age-group: 0-14 years(%)

    Age-group: 15-60 years(%)

    Age-group: Above 60years (%)

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    Expectation of Life/Life Expectancy:

    Expectation of life refers to the average life of the people

    of a country.

    In India expectation of life of the people is very short.

    Average life expectancy is shown in Table:Year Expectation of Life

    (in years)

    Year Expectation of Life

    (in years)

    1921

    19311941

    1951

    1961

    19.4

    26.932.0

    33.0

    41.0

    1971

    19811991

    2001

    2010

    52.0

    54.059.0

    64.0

    64.4

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    Sex Ratio :In fact, in most of the nations of the world, males out numberthe females.

    Sex ratio in the world is 984 females to 1,000 males.

    According to 2011 Census, sex ratio in India was 940 females

    to 1,000 males.It has changed from census to census as shown in Table.

    Year No. of Women per

    1,000 men

    Year No. of Women per

    1,000 men

    19011911

    1921

    1931

    1941

    1951

    972964

    955

    950

    945

    946

    19611971

    1981

    1991

    2001

    2011

    941930

    934

    927

    933

    940

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    Literacy:Any person above the age of 7 years, who can read and write in any

    language is treated as literate.

    According to the census of 2011, the rate of literacy in

    India is 74.04 per cent.

    Males rate of literacy is 82.l4 percent.

    Females rate of literacy is 65.46 percent.

    State Literacy rate (%)

    (female)

    State Literacy rate (%)

    (female)

    Kerala

    Rajasthan

    Punjab

    92

    52.7

    71.3

    Haryana

    Himachal Pradesh

    Jharkhand

    66.8

    76.6

    56.2

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    Occupational Structure of Population :

    Economists divide all occupations into three

    sectors:

    Primary Sector: It includes such economic activities as

    are related to agriculture, animal husbandry

    forestry, fisheries, etc.

    Secondary Sector: It includes manufacturing

    industries, village and small-scale industry, etc.

    Tertiary Sector: It includes

    trade, transport, communication, banking, insurance, etc

    .

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    Changes in the occupational distribution of

    population in India are shown in table :Occupation 1901 1971 1991 2000 2004-

    2005

    2006-

    2007

    Primary SectorSecondary Sector

    Tertiary Sector

    71.712.6

    15.7

    72.111.2

    16.7

    67.412.1

    20.5

    57.416.8

    25.8

    5219.5

    28.5

    50.220.4

    29.4

    Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

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    Following inferences can be drawn regarding

    occupational distribution of population in India:Agriculture is Main occupation

    Less Development of industries

    Indian economy is highly unbalancedLess income

    Small villages

    Backward agriculture

    Increase in the proportion of agricultural labourers

    No special change in occupational distribution

    Less development of tertiary activities

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    Suggestions regarding occupational structure:

    With regard to occupational structure of India, the policy of

    the government has been to develop rapidly small and

    cottage industries, transport, banking, trade, etc.

    Prof. Wadia and Merchant have suggested that small and

    medium sized industries should be developed in the country.

    Dr. Rangnekar have suggested that the lobourers instead of

    rushing to manufacturing industries should join service

    sector i.e. transport, petrol pump, hotel, etc.

    India should lay more stress on the development of labour

    intensive technology to effect change in occupational

    structure for the good of the economy.

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    Projected Population Statistics

    Items 2011 2016 2021 2026

    (1) Population (crore)

    (2) Population Growth Rate

    (%, p.a.)(3) Birth Rate (Per 1000, Per

    Year)

    (4) Death Rate (Per 1000, Per

    Year)

    (5) Total Fertility Rate (TFR)(6) Life Expectancy (Years)

    Male

    Female

    121.02

    (Actual)

    1.3

    (Actual)21,9

    7.3

    2.5

    65.8

    68.1

    120.9

    1.2

    19.6

    7.2

    2.3

    67.3

    69.6

    134

    1.1

    18

    7.1

    2.2

    68.8

    71.1

    140

    0.9

    18

    7.1

    2.0

    69.8

    72.3

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    THANK YOU

    HSK