polio - current status …achievements… challenges for eradication ….!!!
TRANSCRIPT
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DR.SHWETHASHREE M
GUIDE: DR.JAYARAM S
Current Status …
Achievements….
Challenges for
eradication ….!!! 31/01/2014
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Introduction Epidemiology Clinical scenario History Status- past & current Achievements Eradication – Steps, challenges &strategy Summery
Out line
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an acute infection caused by an RNA virus
Inflammation of grey matter of the spinal cord
INTRODUCTION
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Agent: poliovirus sero types-
Type 1 (Brunhilde/Mahoney): mostly causes outbreaks
Type 2 (Lansing): easiest to eradicate
Type 3 (Leon): often last to be eradicated
Host : age : 6 months to 3 years
Environment : rainy season
Infectious material : faeces, oro-pharyngeal secretions
Incubation period: 7 to 14 days( 3- 35 days)
EPIDEMIOLOGYGroup:
Group IV ((+)ssRNA)Family:
PicornaviridaeGenus:
EnterovirusSpecies:
Poliovirus
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Period of communicability: 7 to 10 days
Reservoir: man
Mode of transmission: faeco – oral route, droplet infection
Highly contagious (usually infects 100% of all susceptible)
Occurs worldwide and is seasonal
Inapparent to apparent infection ratio = 200-1000:1
cont…
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CLINICAL SPECTRUM
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Among children who are paralyzed by polio:o 30% make a full recovery o 30% are left with mild paralysis o 30% have medium to severe paralysis o 10% die
prognosis
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Polioviruses: Are human enteroviruses ,which infect cells via a specific receptor [PVR: CD 155]
Wild polioviruses: field isolates and reference strains of polioviruses known to have circulated persistently in the community.
Oral poliovirus vaccine strains: attenuated polioviruses approved for use in oral vaccines by national control authorities.
Vaccine derived polioviruses : mutated progeny of approved poliovirus vaccine strain.
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HISTORY
1580-1350 BC an Egyptian tablet portrays a priest with a withered leg , indicating that the disease dates backs to ancient times
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GLOBAL
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INDIA
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1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011*
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000Indian epidemiological approach
P1 wild P3 wild
P2 cases eradicated in 1999 14 States and UTs free of polio Since 2001 NIDs conducted since 1995 covering 170 million children per round Sharp decline in polio cases in 2010 Single WPV 1 case reported in 2011 and longest polio free period
741
42 1
mOPV 1
bOPV
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STATUS …..
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Country or territory3 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Israel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA NA 159 01-Dec-13Pakistan 117 89 144 198 58 56 75 18-Apr-12 26-Nov-13 18 79 142 89 49 11-Nov-13Afghanistan 31 38 25 80 37 34 11 11-Apr-10 12-Nov-13 2 27-Jul-09Cameroon 0 3 0 0 0 0 4 15-Oct-09 30-Oct-13Somalia 0 0 0 0 0 0 183 NA 09-Oct-13Nigeria 798 388 21 62 122 119 50 10-Nov-12 08-Oct-13 1 15 3 29-Apr-13Syria 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 NA 08-Oct-13Ethiopia 3 0 0 0 0 0 6 NA 19-Sep-13West Bank and Gaza 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA NA 3 20-Aug-13Kenya 0 19 0 1 0 0 14 NA 14-Jul-13Egypt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA 03-May-04 2 1 2 06-Dec-12Niger 12 15 2 5 1 0 0 NA 15-Nov-12Chad 37 64 26 132 5 5 0 10-Mar-11 14-Jun-12DRC 5 3 100 93 0 0 0 24-Jun-09 20-Dec-11CAR 3 14 0 4 0 0 0 09-Aug-09 08-Dec-11China 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 NA 09-Oct-11Guinea 0 42 0 3 0 0 0 03-Aug-11 03-Nov-09Côte d'Ivoire 1 26 0 36 0 0 0 24-Jul-11 06-Aug-09Angola 29 29 33 5 0 0 0 17-Nov-08 07-Jul-11Mali 1 2 4 7 0 0 0 23-Jun-11 01-May-10Congo4 0 0 441 1 0 0 0 NA 22-Jan-11Gabon 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 NA 15-Jan-11India5 559 741 42 1 0 0 0 22-Oct-10 13-Jan-11 33 2 19 10-Nov-10Uganda 0 8 4 0 0 0 0 NA 15-Nov-10Russian Federation 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 NA 25-Sep-10Liberia 0 11 2 0 0 0 0 NA 08-Sep-10Nepal 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 15-Oct-08 30-Aug-10 1 12-Jul-10Kazakhstan 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 NA 12-Aug-10Tajikistan 0 0 460 0 0 0 0 NA 04-Jul-10Turkmenistan 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 NA 28-Jun-10Senegal 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 NA 30-Apr-10Mauritania 0 13 5 0 0 0 0 NA 28-Apr-10Sierra Leone 0 11 1 0 0 0 0 NA 28-Feb-10Burkina Faso 6 15 0 0 0 0 0 NA 25-Oct-09Burundi 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 NA 12-Sep-09Sudan 26 45 0 0 0 0 0 16-Dec-08 27-Jun-09 1 09-Jan-09Benin 6 20 0 0 0 0 0 01-Dec-08 19-Apr-09Togo 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 NA 28-Mar-09Ghana 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA 08-Nov-08Total 1651 1604 1352 650 223 214 360 35 23 100 143 106 214Total wild virus type 16 976 482 1265 583 202 192 360Total wild virus type 3 675 1122 87 67 21 22 0Tot. in endemic countries 1505 1256 232 341 217 209 136Tot. in non-end countries 146 348 1120 309 6 5 224No. of countries 18 23 20 16 5 4 8No. of endemic countries 4 4 4 4 3Countries in yellow are endemic. Countries in pale yellow are considered to have active transmission (i.e. within the previous 6 months) of an imported poliovirus
Wild virus confirmed cases Wild virus reported from other sources2
01 Jan - 17 Dec1 Date of most recent type 3
Date of most recent type 1
Date of most recent virus2013
1Data in WHO HQ on 18 Dec 2012 for 2012 data and 17 Dec 2013 for 2013 data. 2Wild viruses from environmental samples, contacts and other non-AFP sources. 3All cases, except
those occurring in endemic countries, are importation related. 4The 2010 total includes cases with inadequate specimens that were exceptionally classified as confirmed polio
based on their association with the WPV1 outbreak.5As of 28 February 2012, India is no longer considered to be a polio-endemic country. 6Includes 1 case in 2012, 3 in 2009 and 2 in 2008 with a mixture of W1W3 virus. NA - Most recent case had onset prior to 1999.
Total Total
Wild Poliovirus 2008 - 2013
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Global polio cases, last 6 months
Horn of AfricaOutbreak
Middle EastOutbreak
Central AfricaOutbreak
Wild Poliovirus type 1
Virus concentrated in poor access areasSubstantial new
international spread
2013360 cases8 countries
India: 2yr 11 mnts without a Polio case
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International spread of polioRisk of WPV importation into India
• Afghanistan re-infected• Egypt, Israel, Palestine sewage• Horn of Africa re-infected• Syria re-infected• Cameroon re-infected31/01/2014 23
China polio outbreak 2011
Xinjiang
Hotan
Immunization of migrants–cotton harvesting
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India’s immunization coverage 61% as of
2012
Estimated and Reported Cases, India
Before 1978*
1994 1998 2002 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000200000
50000
1934 1600 559 741 42 1 0 0
*Based on IAP/WHO estimates
• OPV introduced in RI in 1978
• Pulse Polio started in 1995
• AFP Surveillance started in 1998
•No WPV case since 13th January 2011
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Last wild poliovirus cases by type, India
WPV2 24/10/1999Aligarh (UP)
WPV1 13/01/2011Howrah (WB)
WPV3 22/10/2010Pakur (JH)
* data as on 10 January 2014 31/01/2014
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Location of wild poliovirus and VDPV cases by type, India
2011
State P2 P3 TotalChhattisgarh 1 0 1Madhya Pradesh 1 0 1Orissa 0 1 1Punjab 1 0 1Rajasthan 1 0 1Uttar Pradesh 2 0 2Total 6 1 7
VDPVs
State P1 P3 TotalWest Bengal 1 0 1Total 1 0 1
WPVs
State P2West Bengal 1Total 1
VDPV
2012 2013*
State P2Bihar 1Maharashtra 2Odisha 1Uttar Pradesh 1Total 5
VDPV
* data as on 10 January 2014 31/01/2014
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Environmental surveillance, India
*: data as on 10 January 2014
YearNumber of
sewage sample collection sites
Number of sewage samples collected
Number of sewage samples
with WPV
2005 3 151 16
2006 3 24 2
2007 3 102 12
2008 3 156 32
2009 3 156 2
2010 8 297 20
2011 15 501 0
2012 17 742 0
2013* 21 885 0
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Wild poliovirus type 1Wild poliovirus type 3
Negative for wild poliovirusScheduled but sample not collectedX
Sampling not scheduled
Wild poliovirus detected in sewage samples, 2010 – 20112010
2011Mumbai
Delhi
Patna
Kolkata
Week
F ward
G ward
M ward
Week
Red cross hospital
Bhalaswa lake
Wazirpur JJ colony
Swarn cinema
Batala house (Okhla)
Sonia vihar
Nangloi
Week
Choti pahari
Dujara
Transport nagar
Week
Ward 8, MM
Ward 135, KMC
49 50 51 5245 46 47 4841 42 43 4437 38 39 4033 34 35 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
XX XXX
XXX
XXXXXXX
X XXXX
X XXXX
XX
X
XXX
X XXXXXX
X
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 39 4033 34 35 36 5245 46 47 48
X
49 50 5141 42 43 4437 38
Mumbai
Delhi
Week
F ward
G ward
M ward
Week
Red cross hospital
Bhalaswa lake
Wazirpur JJ colony
Swarn cinema
Batala house (Okhla)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
X X X X X
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
X X X
X X X
X X X
X X
X X X X X
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Wild poliovirus type 1Wild poliovirus type 3 Result pending
Negative for wild poliovirus Scheduled but sample not collectedX
Sampling not scheduled
Wild poliovirus detected in sewage samples, 2012
Mumbai
Delhi
Patna
Kolkata
Week
F ward
G ward
M ward
Week
Red cross hospital
Bhalaswa lake
Wazirpur JJ colony
Swarn cinema
Batala house (Okhla)
Sonia vihar
Nangloi
Week
Choti pahari
Dujara
Transport nagar
Week
Ward 8, MM
Ward 135, KMC
Ward 29, KMC
Ward 66, KMC `
49 5037 38 39 4033 34 41 42 43 44 5245 46 47 48 5135 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
49 50 51 5245 46 47 4841 42 43 4437 38 39 4033 34 35 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
49 50 51 5245 46 47 4841 42 43 4437 38 39 4033 34 35 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
X X X X
X X X X X X X X X X X
X X X X X X X X X X X
X X X X X X X X X X X
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
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Wild poliovirus type 1Wild poliovirus type 3 Result pending
Negative for wild poliovirus Scheduled but sample not collectedX
Sampling not scheduled
Wild poliovirus detected in sewage samples, 2013*
* data as on 10 January 2014
Mumbai
Delhi
Patna
Kolkata
Punjab
Week
F ward
G ward
M ward
Week
Red cross hospital
Bhalaswa lake
Wazirpur JJ colony
Swarn cinema
Batala house (Okhla)
Sonia vihar
Nangloi
Week
Choti pahari
Dujara
Transport nagar
Week
Ward 8, MM
Ward 135, KMC
Ward 29, KMC
Ward 66, KMC
Week
MHL - Zirakpur (ZKP)
SAN_Adawal Near Losara Drain(ADW)
ASR-Fatahpur Pumping Station(FPS)
PTL-Near Railway Crossing(RWC)
49 5037 38 39 4033 34 41 42 43 44 5245 46 47 48 5135 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
49 50 51 5245 46 47 4841 42 43 4437 38 39 4033 34 35 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
49 50 51 5245 46 47 4841 42 43 4437 38 39 4033 34 35 3629 30 31 3225 26 27 2821 22 23 2417 18 19 2013 14 15 169 10 11 125 6 7 81 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 1311 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
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Wild Polio virus case detection from AFP Cases
AFP Surveillance Sensitivity
* data as on 21st December 2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
74699705 8508
13274
27049
32194
4152445585
50405
5588060540 60922
50688
271 1603 225 134 66 676 877 559 742 42 1 0 0
AFP Cases Wild Polio cases
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Circulating Vaccine-derived Poliovirus Cases1, 2000 - 2013
1Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) is associated with 2 or more AFP cases. Niger 2006, Niger 2009, Niger 2010, Chad 2010 cVDPVs are linked to the Nigeria outbreak. Kenya 2012 cVDPVs are linked to the Somalia outbreak. VDPV type 2 cases with greater than or equal to 6nt difference from sabin in VP1; VDPV types 1 and 3 cases with greater than or equal to 10nt difference from sabin in VP1 are reported here. Figures exclude VDPV from non-AFP sources. Nigeria figures include the following cases with WPV1/cVDPV2 mixture: 2005 - 2, 2006 - 1, 2007 - 1, 2008 - 3, 2009 - 1, 2011 - 1; WPV3/cVPDV2 mixture 2007 - 2. *Figures include multiple emergences and transmission chains. Data in WHO HQ as of 17 Dec 2013
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013cVD
First case Most recent case
Duration in weeks
Mozambique 2 10-Feb-11 02-Jun-11 16Myanmar 1 4 30-Apr-07 06-Dec-07 31Indonesia 46 09-Jul-05 26-Oct-05 15China 2 13-Jun-04 11-Nov-04 21Philippines 3 15-Mar-01 26-Jul-01 19DOR/Haiti 12 9 12-Jul-00 12-Jul-01 52Total type 1 12 12 0 0 2 46 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013cVD
First case Most recent case
Duration in weeks
Pakistan 16 44 30-Aug-12 10-Nov-13 62Cameroon 4 09-May-13 12-Aug-13 13Niger 2 2 1 1 1 11-Jul-13 11-Jul-13 <1Nigeria 3 22 71 66 154 27 34 8 1 02-Jul-05 06-Jun-13 413Chad 1 12 4 15-Aug-12 12-May-13 38Afghanistan 5 1 9 3 10-Jun-10 13-Mar-13 143Somalia 1 6 1 9 1 1 18-Aug-09 09-Jan-13 177Kenya 3 18-Apr-12 29-Aug-12 19DRCongo 13 5 18 11 17 04-Nov-11 04-Apr-12 21China 2 10-Jan-12 06-Feb-12 3Yemen 9 09-Apr-11 05-Oct-11 25India 15 2 19-Oct-09 18-Jan-10 13Ethiopia 3 1 04-Oct-08 16-Feb-09 19Madagascar 1 4 3 26-Jun-05 13-Jul-05 2Total type 2 0 1 4 0 0 6 24 71 83 183 55 65 68 58
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013cVD
First case Most recent case
Duration in weeks
Yemen 2 27-Apr-12 24-Aug-12 17Ethiopia 1 6 27-Apr-09 17-May-10 55Cambodia 1 1 26-Nov-05 15-Jan-06 7Total type 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 2 0
Most recent transmission chain
cVDPV type 2* Most recent transmission chain
cVDPV type 3* Most recent transmission chain
cVDPV type 1*Country
Country
Country
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Achievements ……
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19883, 50,000 Cases in 125
Countries
20101,291 Cases
in 20 Countries4 Endemic Countries
2011650 Cases
in 16 Countries4 Endemic Countries
2012213 cases
3 countries
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ERADICATION…STEP TAKEN, CHALLENGES & STRATEGY
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Rapid Response Team (RRT) - polio outbreak
Emergency Preparedness & Response Plan (EPRP)-polio case detection
Special booths @ areas bordering neighbouring countries*
high level of vigilance - surveillance - importation or circulation
Continuation existing environmental surveillance
rolling emergency stock of OPV is being maintained .
STEPS TAKEN
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expert sub-group tOPV to Bopv switch in routine immunization IPV introduction
multi pronged strategy @ 107 High risk blocks( ensure sanitation, hygiene & clean drinking water)
Social Mobilization
every new born child in UP and Bihar-tracked for 8 subsequent rounds.
transit site strategy
cont…
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Continued focus on high risk areas and populations
West UP: HR blocks – 66 Bihar:
HR blocks – 41
107 blocks of UP and Bihar Kosi river operational intensification
Immunization of newborns
Intense focus on migrants and mobile populations
Religious congregations
• 8 million children in transit immunized in India each round • 100,000 of these in running trains • 2 million children vaccinated in
congregations each year
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International
importation
Gaps in AFP surveillance or delays in detection of
WPV
Delayed and / or inadequate response to importation
Areas with low
population immunity
(HRAs)
CHALLENGES - eradication in India
Complacency/ Lack of
focus
Risks
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STRATEGY
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SUMMERY
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World Health Assembly
"DECLARES polio
eradication….emerg
ency for global
public health"
25 May 2012
Global Emergency
52
Thank yu
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