poised for monthly closes above 11,491 dow and 1210.7 spx

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  • 8/4/2019 Poised for Monthly Closes above 11,491 Dow and 1210.7 SPX

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    Richard Suttmeier is the Chief Market Strategist at www.ValuEngine.com . ValuEngine is a fundamentally-based quant research firm in Newtown, PA. ValuEnginecovers over 7,000 stocks every day.

    A variety of newsletters and portfolios containing Suttmeier's detailed research, stock picks,and commentary can be found http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl

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    August 31, 2011 Poised for M ont hly Closes a bove 11,491 Dow and 1210.7 SPX

    If todays closes are above my annual pivots at 11,491 Dow and 1210.7 SPX the upside is to

    annual risky levels at 5179 Dow Transports and 784.16 Russell 2000. The 50-day and 200-daysimple moving averages are in a negative formation called the Death Cross 11,926 / 11,990Dow Industrials, 1257.6 / 1283.77 SPX, 2657 / 2704 NASDAQ, 5016 / 5137 Dow Transports and378.84 and 416.62 Russell 2000. If todays month end closes are below 11,491 Dow and 1210.7SPX the risk is back to 2335 on the NASDAQ. Tomorrow I will be presenting a set of newmonthly risky levels based on the past eight monthly closes plus todays month end closes.

    10-Year Note (2.188) Daily, semiannual, weekly, annual and quarterly value levels are 2.291, 2.414,2.428, 2.690 and 3.053 with weekly and semiannual risky levels at 1.914 and 1.672.

    Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

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    Comex Gold ($1840.6) Quarterly, semiannual and monthly value levels are $1655.8, $1644.8 and$1604.1 with a daily pivot at $1819.0 and weekly risky level at $1907.5.

    Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

    Nymex Crude Oil ($88.69) The 200-week SMA is $83.85 with a weekly pivot at $86.56, my dailyrisky level at $90.25, the 50-day / 200 day death cross at $91.77 and $95.18, my annual pivots at

    $99.91 and $101.92 and quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $102.40 and $103.92.

    Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

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    The Euro (1.4446) Weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.4153 and 1.3728 with daily andsemiannual risky levels at 1.4527, 1.4752 and 1.4872.

    Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

    Daily Dow: (11,560) My weekly value level is 10,987 with the 200-week and 120-monhtly simplemoving averages are 10,716 and 10,572, and daily and annual pivots at 11,512 and 11,491.Semiannual value levels are 9,635 and 8,468 with the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averagedeath cross at 11,936 and 11.988, and quarterly and annual risky levels at 13,839 and 13,890.

    Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters

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    S&P 500 (1212.9) Weekly and Semiannual value levels are 1135.9, 981.3 and 855.7 with daily andannual pivots at 1205.9 and 1210.7, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 1257.6 and 1283.7

    and quarterly and annual risky levels are 1467.0 and 1562.9.NASDAQ (2576) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2430, 2335, 2199 and 2049 withmy daily pivot at 2556, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 2657 and 2704, and quarterlyand annual risky levels at 3109 and 3243.

    NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2238) Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are 2148, 1951, 1861 and1723 with a daily pivot at 2222, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 2269 and 2285, andannual risky level at 2590.

    Dow Transports (4684) Semiannual, weekly, and semiannual value levels are 4335, 4221 and 3868with a daily pivot at 4596, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 5016 and 5137, and annualrisky level at 5179.

    Russell 2000 (728.08) Weekly and semiannual value levels are 663.88, 577.47 and 530.04 with m ydaily pivot at 720.97, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 770.90 and 794.93 and annualrisky level at 784.16.

    The SOX (358.23) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 319.35, 270.98, 258.97 and204.67 with a daily pivot at 357.56, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs death cross at 378.84 and 416.6and quarterly and annual risky levels at 493.22 and 531.14.

    Equity Fundamentals Stocks are undervalued. 80.6% of all stocks are undervalued / 19.4% of all stocks are overvalued. In March 2009, 91.1%

    of all stocks were undervalued. All sixteen sectors are undervalued, fifteen by double-digit percentages, six by 20.6% to 26.1%.

    Back in March 2009 the sectors were undervalued by 33% to 45%. Check out and subscribeto www.ValuEngine.com .

    VE Morning Briefing If you want expanded analysis of the US Capital Markets including a FearlessPrediction of the Week and a Stock of the Day go to this link and sign up:http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=D

    ValuTrader Model Portfolio If you want to learn how to Buy and Trade use this link and sign up:http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=V

    ETF Weekly If you want my Value Levels and Risky Levels for 30 Electronically Traded Funds usethis link and sign up: http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=U

    ValuEngine FDIC Evaluation Report In this report I slice and dice the FDIC Quarterly BankingProfile. We publish a ValuEngine List of Problem Banks in this publication:http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=C

    Definition of MOJO This is my term for technical momentum. I use whats called 12x3x3 slowstochastic readings from daily, weekly and monthly charts. The scale is zero to 10.0 where above 8.0is overbought and below 2.0 is oversold.

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    Buy and Trade Strategies for Long Positions Value Level The price at which you establish an additional long position on share price

    weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weakness to the Value Level. Risky Level The price at which you remove a single long position or reduce a multiple

    long position on share price strength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength tothe Risky Level.

    Buy and Trade Strategies for Short Positions Value Level The price at which you remove a single short position or reduce a multiple

    short position on share price weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weaknessto the Value Level.

    Risky Level The price at which you establish an addition short position on share price strength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength to the Risky Level.

    Richard SuttmeierChief Market StrategistValuEngine.com(800) 381-5576

    To unsubscribe from this free email newsletter list, please clickhttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/Unsubscribe?

    Send your comments and questions to [email protected] . For more information on our productsand services visit www.ValuEngine.com As Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine Inc, my research is published regularly on the website www.ValuEngine.com . I have daily, weekly, monthly, andquarterly newsletters available that track a variety of equity and other data parameters as well as my most up-to-date analysis of world markets. My

    newest products include a weekly ETF newsletter as well as the ValuTrader Model Portfolio newsletter. You can go tohttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl to review sample issues and find out more about my research.

    I Hold No Positions in the Stocks I Cover.