playbook pre season

Volume 25, Issue 1 August 8 - September 2, 2010

SEASON-OPENING SPECIAL ISSUE!

College & NFL Pre-Season Extravaganza!

• Tremendous NFL Pre-Season Trends

• 2010 College and NFL Top 10 ATS Teams

• NFL QB Pre-Season Rotations

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• NFL Pre-Season Over/Under Review

• 2010 NFL Pre-Season Schedule

w w w . P L A Y B O O K . c o m 1 . 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOK

100% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Welcome to the pre-season edit ion of the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter. Whether you're a football fundamentalist, a technical buff or a stats lover, we have

it all for you under one cover in the PLAYBOOK, where each week through the Super Bowl we help you get every edge imaginable!

“If past history were all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.” Those words of wisdom come from famous investor Warren Buffett. The point being you need to understand the present, too. And that’s what the weekly PLAYBOOK Football Newlsetter does. It examines the past and moves it forward to the present. The PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter is your value investor. Don’t make a move without it this football season.

In each issue I'll share with you a personal BETCHA DIDN'T KNOW handicapping article as I reveal an insider's approach to the art of football handicapping. Along with Best Bets, Awesome Angles, Tremendous Trends, NFL Over/Under Records and Trends, the PLAYBOOK.COM WISE GUYS CONTEST and a complete schedule featuring opening lines, we've got you covered. Also, be sure to check PLAYBOOK's 2-Minute Handicap featuring a quick-read into key stats and trends on the weekly football card – plus the Incredible Stat Of the Week. It's no wonder whenever the WISE GUYS in Vegas speak of PLAYBOOK, they say it's "Where The Smart Money Is."

Take the time to insure your success this football season by subscribing to the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter and put EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE in your favor. Subscribing has never been easier. Sign up online at www.PLAYBOOK.com or call Toll Free for instant service at 1.800.PLAYBOOK.

You can also get EVERY ACTIVE COACH'S ATS RECORD inside the 2010 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL HANDICAPPER'S YEARBOOK magazine (FREE with a full season subscription to the 2010 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL NEWSLETTER)! Meanwhile, check out our NFL pre-season game writeups on page 8 of this special kickoff edition. And later make sure you head over to the HANDICAPPERS LOUNGE at PLAYBOOK.com.

We hope you like what you see and decide to join us for the best information available anywhere this season. Remember, don't make a move without your PLAYBOOK, or your personal copy of the 2010 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL HANDICAPPER'S YEARBOOK!

page 2 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK

23456789

10111213141516

Betcha Didn't Know / Awesome Angle of the MonthNFL 2-Minute Handicap / Incredible Stat of the MonthPLAYBOOK Football Newsletter 25th AnniversaryNFL Pre-Season Super Systems / Wise Guys Contest / Smart BoxNFL Pre-Season Coach & Team Trends / NFL Pre-Season QB RotationsNFL Pre-Season Report / 2010 NFL Strength of Schedule ChartsNFL Pre-Season 5�, 4�, 3� Best BetsMarc Lawrence's ECONOMY CLUBMIDWEEK ALERT Final 2009 College and NFL Stat Rankings Marc Lawrence’s PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB Betting On NFL Pre-Season Over/UndersNFL TOTALS TIPSHEET Marc Lawrence's 2010 College & NFL Top 10 ATS TeamsOFF SHORE SPORTS WAGERING / Mobile.Playbook.com 2010 NFL Pre-Season Schedule

NCAA COACHES BEST & WORST ATS RECORDSA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

BETCHA DIDN'T KNOW by Marc Lawrence

BEST HOME FAVORITEChris Ault (Nevada) 19-4

Butch Jones (Cincinnati) 8-2Troy Calhoun (Air Force) 8-3

Derek Dooley (Tennessee) 6-0Urban Meyer (Florida) 4-0

Steve Fairchild (Colo St) 5-1

Rick Stockstill (Mid Tenn St) 6-1Mike Gundy (Okla St) 8-3-1Randy Edsall (UConn) 10-4

D. Christensen (Wyoming) 6-1Skip Holtz (South Florida) 18-6

Turner Gill (Kansas) 18-8

W ith the 2010 NFL season just around the corner, let’s take a look at a popular feature contained inside the HANDICAPPERS LOUNGE at www.PLAYBOOK.com.

Listed below are the three BEST and WORST ATS records of current college coaches in specifi c roles. For a comprehensive study on all NFL & College coaches – along with NFL QBs – be sure to visit the HANDICAPPERS LOUNGE today!

BEST HOME DOG

BEST ROAD FAVORITE

BEST ROAD DOG

FAST FACT: Jacksonville head coach Jack Del Rio is 9-1-1 ATS as a pre-season dog, including 6-0 ATS off a SU win.

Troy Calhoun (Air Force) 17-7Larry Blakeney (Troy) 27-16Kirk Ferentz (Iowa) 52-34-2

Doug Marrone (Syracuse) 4-0Urban Meyer (Florida) 31-4-1

Bo Pelini (Nebraska) 8-2

BEST VS. CONFERENCE

BEST VS. NON-CONF

H. Schnellenberger (FAU) 6-0Rick Neuheisel (UCLA) 7-1Urban Meyer (Florida) 6-1

BEST BOWL RECORD

WORST HOME FAVORITERobb Akey (Idaho) 1-4

Rick Neuheisel (UCLA) 16-28-1H. Schnellenberger (FAU) 21-33

Todd Dodge (North Texas) 4-8Gary Pinkel (Missouri) 5-10

Art Briles (Baylor) 5-9

Gene Chizik (Auburn) 0-3Kevin Sumlin (Houston) 2-9Pat Hill (Fresno St) 16-25-1

Todd Graham (Tulsa) 0-4Tim Beckman (Toledo) 1-4

Steve Fairchild (Colo St) 2-6-1

WORST HOME DOG

WORST ROAD FAVORITE

WORST ROAD DOG

Todd Dodge (N Texas) 7-14-1Bob Toledo (Tulane) 28-49-3

Les Miles (LSU) 28-40-6

David Bailiff (Rice) 3-9T. Brewster (Minnesota) 3-7-1Mike Stoops (Arizona) 5-9-1

WORST VS. CONFERENCE

WORST VS. NON-CONF

Ron Zook (Illinois) 0-3Chris Ault (Nevada) 2-5

D. Erickson (Arizona St) 4-7

WORST BOWL RECORD

View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

ATS W-L Record Since 1990:

11-0(100%)

ONE-WAYSTREETPLAY AGAINST any

NFL pre-season home favorite of more than 7 points if they

are off one-win exact.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE MONTH

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 3

NFL Pre-Season Games NFL Pre-Season Games (cont.)

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

Defending Super Bowl champs are 6-12-1 SU and 3-16 ATS in Game Two

of the NFL pre-season since 1991.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT FOR AUGUST

WEEK ONE Thursday, August 12New Orleans 21-3-1 Away One… 5-11-1 UNDER vs AFCNEW ENGLAND 3-8 UNDER Game One… host 1-3 Saints series

Carolina 5-1 OVER Game One… 4-2 SUATS Away OneBALTIMORE 4-12 UNDER as fav… host 1-3 Panthers series

Friday, August 13Buffalo 6-0-1 and 1-5 UNDER Game One… 9-2-1 dogWASHINGTON 3-10 Home One… 4-12 HF vs AFC… 0-3 vs Bills

Kansas City 1-6 SUATS Away One… 4-19-1/3-21 all gms S/04ATLANTA 51-1-1 when win SU… 11-5-3 vs AFC

Saturday, August 14Detroit 2-6 SUATS Away One… 0-3 dog vs SteelersPITTSBURGH 13-6 Home One pick / fav… 1-13-1 UNDER vs NFC

Houston 5-1 away vs NFC… KUBIAK: 8-1 dog… 7-1 awayARIZONA WHISENHUNT: 2-10 SU & 3-9 ATS… 0-6 SUATS fav

Cleveland 1-5 SUATS vs NFC… 2-6 SUATS all games L2YGREEN BAY 3-0 SUATS vs Browns… McCARTHY: 4-1 fav

WEEK TWO Friday, August 20Philadelphia 10-1-1 Game Two… 4-1 SUATS vs BengalsCINCINNATI 1-8 SUATS Game Three… 1-6 SUATS home off home

Saturday, August 21Baltimore HARBAUGH: dog 6-2… visitor 6-2 WASHINGTON *4-12 HF vs AFC… *2-9 UNDER vs AFC

Pittsburgh *1-13-1 UNDER vs NFC… *TOMLIN: 2-10-1 UNDERNY GIANTS COUGHLIN: *16-8 SUATS vs AFC

NY Jets 7-2 Game Two… 3-0 and 3-7 UNDER Away OneCAROLINA 0-3 SUATS Game Two… *9-11/6-14 L5Y

Houston *5-1 away vs NFC… * KUBIAK: 8-1 dogNEW ORLEANS 2-10 SU & 1-11 ATS Home One… 5-13/4-14 favs

Dallas 8-18-1 Game Three… *1-5 vs AFCSAN DIEGO 10-4 OVER Game Two… 5-1 SUATS vs Cowboys

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

(All results are preseason ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. * Check earlier this season for similar situation. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and

the PLAYBOOK™ Database and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

Note: The next full edition of the 2-MINUTE HANDICAP will appear TUESDAY, AUGUST 17 on the new-look PLAYBOOK.COM website!

WEEK THREE Thursday, August 26Indianapolis *12-6 OVER vs NFC… *6-16 all games S/05GREEN BAY *4-1 vs AFC… *McCARTHY: 4-1 fav

Friday, August 27Atlanta *11-5-3 vs AFC (7-1-1 dog and 5-1-1 away)MIAMI *7-18-4 fav 3 <… *SPARANO: 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS

San Diego 10-4-1 / 6-2 OVER Game ThreeNEW ORLEANS *4-14 favs… PAYTON: *3-5 SUATS fav

Saturday, August 28Cleveland 5-1 Game Three… *2-6 SUATS all games L2YDETROIT 3-10 SUATS Game Three… 1-7-1 fav

Cincinnati 5-0 Game Four… visitor 5-0 Bills seriesBUFFALO 1-5 SUATS Game Three… *GAILEY: 2-8 overall

Tennessee *19-5 RD vs NFC… FISHER: *12-5 RDCAROLINA 1-3-1 home Game Three… *6-14 L5Y

Arizona 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS vs Bears (8-1 SUATS away)CHICAGO 1-9 SUATS Home Two… 1-7 vs NFC

San Francisco *SINGLETARY: 0-3 fav or dog < 7 OAKLAND 1-8 UNDER Game Three… 7-1 fav

Sunday, August 29Pittsburgh *TOMLIN: 2-10-1 UNDER (0-4 away and dog)DENVER 14-6-1 Home Two… 10-4-2 home off home

WEEK FOUR Thursday, September 2Cincinnati 13-5 vs Colts… *LEWIS: 14-2 vs pre-sea revengeINDIANAPOLIS 1-6 home vs AFC… *6-16 all games S/05

Buffalo 1-10 UNDER Game Four… *9-2-1 dogDETROIT Host 0-6 Bills series… 1-8 UNDER vs Bills NY Jets 8-0 SU Game Four… 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS Away TwoPHILADELPHIA 6-15 vs Jets (1-9 home)… fav 1-4 Jets series

Miami *SPARANO: 6-1-1… 4-0 SUATS pick or dog DALLAS 6-2 OVER Game Four… *1-5 vs AFC

Chicago Visitor 4-1 Browns series… *SMITH: 6-2 dog 3 >CLEVELAND 1-6 UNDER Game Four… *1-5 SUATS vs NFC

Seattle 8-4 OVER Game Four… *CARROLL: 11-5-1OAKLAND *2-9 UNDER fav… 0-4 SUATS vs Seahawks

Washington *SHANAHAN: 12-3-1 dog > 2ARIZONA *WHISENHUNT: 3-9… 0-6 SUATS fav

Readers Note: Issue #2 of the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter will be available for download or

internet delivery Tuesday, August 31st after 6:00 PM ET.

FAST FACT: The New Orleans Saints are 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS in pre-season home openers.

• www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK

It’s PLAYBOOK’s 25th anniversary and to celebrate this milestone, I’d like to make you one of our greatest FREE offers ever. Subscribe to the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter ONLINE weekly thru the Super Bowl for just $109 and you’ll receive these FREE BONUSES:

MARC LAWRENCEPublisher, PLAYBOOK

“It’s our 25th anniversary… and to celebrate we’re making

a generous FREE offer!”

2010 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL HANDICAPPER’S MAGAZINE –The 18th year edition of the Marc Lawrence PLAYBOOK Football Handicapper’s Yearbook magazine is the NUMBER ONE best-selling College and Pro Football publication in Las Vegas, containing 248 pages of stats, logs, trends, winning systems, schedules and exclusive charts (Monday Night re-sults, Coaches records, College Overtime games, and much, much more). A $10 value, yours FREE when you subscribe to the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

FREE FOOTBALL PHONE PICKS GALORE – One Month Pre-Season Football Late Phone Service! You get them all on the Playbook Update Phone every Thursday throughout August. Four full weeks of his Pre-Season Late Phone selections, the same service that went 6-2 last season. Regular $99. Yours FREE!

Full Season Playbook Weekend Update Phone Service – Call each Thursday from September through December for updated selections on the College and NFL football card. Regular $299. Yours FREE!

One Week Preferred Picks Late Phone Service –Receive a full week of Marc’s No. 1 ranked Late Phone Football Service during the month of September. Regular $150. Yours FREE! Remember, my NFL picks led the nation in 2008 in Win Percentage at 30-17 (63.8%). I also won the prestigious 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST. You can read the WISE GUY picks every week in the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter.

Why am I doing this? Because I think there’s no better, more honest way to say THANK YOU for being a loyal customer. I’ve found over the years that whenever I give people the tools to BECOME A WINNER they become hooked on winning! Once they subscribe, they continue to subscribe for years to come. And WINNING is what we’re all about at PLAYBOOK. Who will ever forget the 89-59-1 performance in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter during the 2008 season?

Take a look at your FREE STUFF. If you love it as much as I think you will, I’ll process your order immediately to insure that you don’t miss any of the winning information this season!

P.S. Do it now. Sign up for the 2010 Playbook Football Newsletter by August 1st – 25 issues thru the Super Bowl – for only $109 (an immediate savings of $30) and you will also get a FREE COPY of the highly acclaimed 2010 COLLEGE BOWL STAT REPORT – a $25 value... yours FREE!

Dear Marc Lawrence:I purchase your PLAYBOOK Football

Newsletter every year. It sure does give me a GREAT ADVANTAGE when handicapping.

Your College Bowl outlook is great. I have won over 70% with your information. Thanks again

for the great information.HAROLD F. JOHNSON

Moundsville, WV


NFL PRE-SEASON SUPER SYSTEMS

3. PLAY AGAINST any non-division Game Four or Game Five

winless pick or favorite off a loss of 6 < points.

N F L P R E -S E A S O N S U P E R S Y S T E M S W H I C H H A V E W O N 7 5 % O R M O R E A T S

Below are three NFL PRE-SEASON Super System plays along with their W-L records in games since 1983. Play accordingly and, remember, NEVER FORCE A PLAY.

1. PLAY AGAINST any Game Two favorite of > 3 points

off a SUATS win versus an opponent off an ATS loss.

ATS W-L RECORD:

26-6 (81%)

2. PLAY AGAINST any Game Three team off BB SUATS losses vs. an

opponent off one win exact if the last lost was > 8 points ATS.

ATS W-L RECORD:

19-4 (83%)ATS W-L RECORD:

15-3 (83%)

SUPER SYSTEM ALERT!

33-0Just like the plays contained each week throughout the season in Marc’s famous PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB, every one of the aforementioned SUPER SYTEMS has subsets that are 100% perfect, having combined to go 33-0 ATS! You can fi nd these subsets on the new-look PLAYBOOK.COM website simply by clicking on the ANGLES SYSTEMS TRENDS link on the home page under BETTING TOOLS!

P L A Y B O O K . C O M

WISE GUYS CONTEST

2009 TOP 10 WISE GUYS

A $10,000 2010WINNERS-TAKE-ALL BEST BET CONTEST

CONTESTANT W-L POINTSRobbie Gainous 24-12 38Fixer Wins 23-13 36Rocketman Sports 22-13-1 36Sixth Sense Sports 22-13-1 36Teddy Covers 23-12-1 35.5Dave Malinsky 21-13-2 34.5Andy Iskoe 21-13-1 34 Jersey Kid 22-14 34Southern Comfort 22-14 34Stan Lisowski 19-16-1 34

1.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.8.8.

In its 27th year of competition, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all contest sponsored by JustBet.com. The TOP THREE fi nishers, the BEST BET champion and the FINAL FOUR WEEK winner will take home the money, with each winning selection

printed in the PLAYBOOK Newsletter carrying a value of one point, all winning DOUBLE PLAYS worth two points, and a one time TOP PLAY OF THE YEAR worth three points. The designated DOUBLE PLAY BEST BET PICKS can be purchased every Friday at the Playbook Store (www.PLAYBOOK.com) for only $10 a week, or FREE if you are a PLAYBOOK.COM MVP ALL ACCESS MEMBER! All selections are graded against the lines listed in the Friday edition of the USA Today. Congratulations to 2009 champion Robbie Gainous of Cajun Sports. Remember, you can follow the selections of each week’s Top 10 contestants, along with other notable professionals including: Cincinnati Kid, King Creole, Vernon Croy, Brad Diamond, Doc’s Sports, Mr. East, Matt Fargo, Jim Feist, Tom Freese, Jorge Gonzalez, Great Lakes Sports, Hurricane Bill, Marc Lawrence, Bryan Leonard, Stan Lisowski, Matty B, Steve Merril, Joe Nelson, James Patrick, Alex Smart, Red Dog Sports, Rocketman Sports, Alex Smart, Triple Threat Sports, Richard Witt and more – every week in the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

SMARTBOX

DO IT TO ME ONE MORE TIME

Sometimes the price you’re asked to pay for success is truly a bargain. And in today’s

economy, we’ll take any and all bargains we can fi nd.Take the case of NFL teams that have just enjoyed winning back-to-back home games during the pre-season. One might think these teams are primed for a letdown. However,

Best Bet Champion: Stan Lisowski (13-4-1)Final 4-Week Champion (Tie):Dave Tuley (11 pts) • Dawg Pound (11 pts)

FAST FACT: Since 2001, the Oakland Raiders have gone 1-8 UNDER the total in Game Three of the NFL pre-season.

as one of our favorite football analysts, Lee Corso, would say, “Not so fast my friend!” That’s because teams in this role are a solid 38-22-1 ATS when taking to the road off a pair of home victories in the pre-season since 1983. Better yet, send them away off a double-digit win and they are a 22-7 ATS winning proposition. Dress these same guys up as dogs and they become 17-4 ATS.One qualifying play occurred last season when Green Bay invaded Arizona as a 3.5-point dog. The Packers won the whole game, 44-37! Incidentally, they also qualifi ed in a 14-0 ATS PERFECT subset by NOT covering their previous home victory by 15 or more points. Here is a list of NFL teams that will be taking to the road off back-to-back home

games this pre-season. You know what to do: 8/27 Atlanta at Miami; San Diego at New Orleans; Washington at NY Jets. 8/28 Cincinnati at Buffalo; Seattle at Minnesota. 9/2 Buffalo at Detroit; Carolina at Pittsburgh; Chicago at Cleveland; Denver at Minnesota; New Orleans at Tennessee; Tampa Bay at Houston.Editor’s Note: 100% Perfect Systems like the one outlined above appear weekly on the College and NFL cards during the regular season inside Marc Lawrence’s PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB. The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB has gone 95-60 ATS in the past fi ve years. To become a PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB member simply log on to PLAYBOOK.COM or call 1.800.PLAYBOOK today.


TEAM FAV DOG MOST RECENT PRE-SEASON TRENDS – ALL ATS

TEAM FAV & DOG ROLES S/1990 • COACH & TEAM PRE-SEASON ATS DATA S/1983

Arizona 17-15 24-24Atlanta 24-17 24-16Baltimore 20-23 23-14Buffalo 11-22 27-22Carolina 10-16 18-13Chicago 15-21 24-21Cincinnati 11-20 25-25Cleveland 8-9 15-12Dallas 18-31 18-21Denver 32-24 17-13Detroit 17-20 19-24Green Bay 25-24 17-17Houston 1-7 12-11Indianapolis 18-25 26-18Jacksonville 17-17 17-7Kansas City 14-28 15-23Miami 17-24 26-14Minnesota 24-21 23-14New England 21-15 19-21New Orleans 14-23 29-18NY Giants 17-26 17-21NY Jets 18-13 34-18Oakland 22-23 20-19Philadelphia 18-31 14-19 Pittsburgh 25-21 20-20St. Louis 17-18 19-28San Diego 21-15 24-21San Francisco 22-28 18-14Seattle 19-17 29-18Tampa Bay 20-25 23-14Tennessee 22-28 19-21Washington 20-24 16-22

9-1 off SU loss vs opp off DD SU win • 9-3 off DD SU loss vs opp off SU win • 1-6 away off BB SUATS losses9-1 favs off DD SU loss • 8-1 home off SU loss vs opp off SU win • 7-1 dogs off SU dog win 6-1 off SUATS loss w/ revenge vs .500 > opp • 15-5 A vs < .500 opp off SUATS loss • 1-6 home off DD SU loss0-6 favs off DD SU win • 1-6 off SUATS win vs opp off DD SU loss • 3-10 H vs opp w/ revenge6-0 off SU dog win • 7-2 dogs vs opp off SUATS win • 1-6 favs vs opp off SU loss • 2-7 home off DD SU loss7-1 favs off SU dog win • 1-8 H vs opp off DD ATS loss • SMITH: 1-7 L7 vs NFC opp • 5-15 HF’s vs .500 > opp 6-1 favs vs opp off DD loss • 1-4 away off BB SU losses • 2-7 dogs vs opp off DD SU loss • 3-14 HF’s w/ revenge 8-1 dogs vs opp off SUATS loss • 5-1 dogs off SU dog win • 8-2 home w/ pre-season revenge0-8 favs vs opp off DD SU win • 2-13 H vs opp off BB SU wins • 1-6 dogs vs opp off BB SU losses 14-2 off SU fav loss • 12-2 < .500 home • 7-2 off BB SU losses • 0-4 away off SU dog win 1-11 A off SU win vs opp off SU loss • 1-7 away vs opp off BB SU losses • 1-5 dogs off SU dog win1-7 home off BB SU losses • 2-12 vs opp off BB SU losses • 2-9 dogs vs opp off DD SU lossKUBIAK: 7-1 L8 A • 1-6 L7 favs • 2-6 off DD SU loss • 3-7 dogs 3.5 > Pts 10-2 favs off DD SU loss • 5-1 home vs opp off BB SU losses • 3-13 w/ revenge vs opp off SUATS loss7-1 away off DD SU win (5-0 as dogs) • 6-1 dogs vs opp w/ revenge • 10-2 L12 RD’s • 2-7 H off SU win1-9 home off DD ATS win • 3-21 L24 • 2-12 away off SU fav loss • 1-5 favs vs opp off BB SU losses7-1 favs vs opp off SUATS win • 6-1 off BB SU wins vs opp off SU win • 8-2 .500 > vs opp off DD ATS win8-1 dogs vs opp off DD SU win • 0-4 RF’s vs .500 > opp • 1-7 away vs opp off DD SU loss6-0 off BB SU losses w/ revenge • 7-1 vs opp off SU fav loss w/ rev • 14-3 vs opp off BB SU losses (10-0 home) 4-0 dogs off BB SU losses • 17-4 A vs opp w/ rev • 1-9 H vs opp off SU fav loss • 1-7 off SU dog win vs opp off win6-2 home off BB SU wins • 0-6 A off SU loss w/ revenge • 1-6 favs off BB SU losses11-1 vs opp off DD SU win • 7-1 favs w/ pre-season revenge • 7-1 dogs off BB SU wins • 16-6 off SU dog win1-7 dogs off DD ATS loss • 1-7 L8 HD’s • 2-9 home off SU fav loss • 3-13 w/ revenge vs opp off SU loss 10-2 w/ revenge vs . 500 > opp • 11-4 away off SU loss • 1-8 off BB SUATS wins • 2-7 favs off BB SU wins6-0 dogs vs opp off BB SU losses • 6-0 dogs off DD SU loss • 5-1 away off BB SU losses • 3-11 off SU dog win8-2 H vs opp off BB SU losses • 0-4 dogs off BB SU losses • 1-6 HF’s vs opp off DD SU win • 1-6 w/ rev off DD SU loss7-0 away off SUATS loss vs < .500 opp • 5-1 favs off SU fav loss • 2-7 .500 > A vs opp off DD ATS loss4-1 favs off BB SU losses • 1-5 w/ revenge vs opp off DD SU loss • 2-8 H vs < .500 opp • 2-6 A vs opp off BB SU losses8-2 HF’s vs opp off BB SU wins • 12-2 dogs off SU loss • 11-2 < .500 HF’s • 5-1 away off DD SU loss 7-0 dogs vs opp off SU dog win • 7-1 off SU loss vs opp off BB SUATS wins • 10-3 .500 > off SU loss 7-0 .500 > dogs vs opp off SU win • 11-1 RD’s vs opp off SUATS win • 5-1 favs off BB SU losses • 3-12 < .500 H6-0 RF’s vs opp off SU loss • 1-9 dogs 3 > Pts vs opp off SUATS win • 1-6 < .500 H off DD ATS loss

Ø

COACH AND TEAM ATS PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN OF NFL TEAMS IN THE PRE-SEASON

NFL COACH & PRE-SEASON DATA

FAST FACT: The Pittsburgh Steelers are 0-7 ATS the L7Y in pre-season road openers.

NFL PRE-SEASONQB ROTATIONS

A Look at Probable NFL Pre-Season Quarterback Rotations for 2010

TEAM QUARTERBACK DEPTH CHART QUARTERBACK DEPTH CHART

ARIZONAATLANTABALTIMOREBUFFALOCAROLINACHICAGOCINCINNATICLEVELANDDALLASDENVERDETROITGREEN BAYHOUSTONINDIANAPOLISJACKSONVILLEKANSAS CITY

MIAMIMINNESOTANEW ENGLANDNEW ORLEANSNY GIANTSNY JETSOAKLANDPHILADELPHIAPITTSBURGHST. LOUIS SAN DIEGOSAN FRANCISCOSEATTLETAMPA BAYTENNESSEEWASHINGTON

Matt Leinart, Derek Anderson, John Skelton, Max HallMatt Ryan, Chris Redman, John Parker Wilson, D.J. Shockley Joe Flacco, Troy Smith, John Beck Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Brohm, Levi BrownMatt Moore, Jimmy Clausen, Tony Pike, Hunter Cantwell Jay Cutler, Caleb Hanie, Dan LeFevour Carson Palmer, J.T. O’Sullivan, Jordan PalmerJake Delhomme, Seneca Wallace, Brett Ratliff, Colt McCoyTony Romo, Jon Kitna, Stephen McGee, Matt NicholsKyle Orton, Brady Quinn, Tim TebowMatthew Stafford, Sean Hill, Drew Stanton Aaron Rodgers, Matt Flynn, Graham HarrellMatt Schaub, Dan Orlovsky, John David BootyPeyton Manning, Curtis Painter, Tom Brandstater, Tim HillerDavid Garrard, Luke McCown, Trevor HarrisMatt Cassel, Brodie Croyle, Tyler Palko

TEAM

Chad Henne, Chad Pennington, Pat White, Tyler ThigpenBrett Favre, Tarvaris Jackson, Sage Rosenfels, Joe WebbTom Brady, Brian Hoyer, Zac RobinsonDrew Brees, Chase Daniel, Sean Canfi eldEli Manning, Jim Sorgi, Rhett BomarMark Sanchez, Kellen Clemens, Erik Ainge, Kevin O’ConnellJason Campbell, Bruce Gradkowski, Charlie Frye, Kyle BollerKevin Kolb, Michael Vick, Mike KafkaByron Leftwich, Dennis Dixon, Charlie Batch, B. RoethlisbergerA.J. Feeley, Sam Bradford, Keith Null, Thaddeus LewisPhilip Rivers, Billy Volek, Jeff CromptonAlex Smith, David Carr, Nate Davis, Jarrett BrownMatt Hasselbeck, Charlie Whitehurst, J.P. LosmanJosh Freeman, Josh Johnson, Rudy Carpenter, Jevan SneadVince Young, Kerry Colllins, Chris Simms, Rusty Smith Donovan McNabb, Rex Grossman, Richard Bartel, C. Brennan


NFL PRE-SEASON REPORT

A Game-By-Game ATS Breakdown of NFL Teams in the Pre-Season Since 1983 (MRT results: Most Recent Trends • All ATS Ties Omitted)

GAME FIVE

0-13-00-22-41-03-21-00-13-74-51-11-41-02-31-02-22-52-13-02-32-12-06-12-35-23-11-16-42-22-11-32-3

0-13-00-22-11-00-21-00-11-32-11-00-31-00-31-01-00-20-13-01-01-02-00-11-04-13-00-14-10-11-01-01-3

ARIZONA CARDINALSATLANTA FALCONSBALTIMORE RAVENSBUFFALO BILLSCAROLINA PANTHERSCHICAGO BEARSCINCINNATI BENGALSCLEVELAND BROWNSDALLAS COWBOYSDENVER BRONCOSDETROIT LIONSGREEN BAY PACKERSHOUSTON TEXANSINDIANAPOLIS COLTSJACKSONVILLE JAGUARSKANSAS CITY CHIEFSMIAMI DOLPHINSMINNESOTA VIKINGSNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSNEW ORLEANS SAINTSNEW YORK GIANTSNEW YORK JETSOAKLAND RAIDERSPHILADELPHIA EAGLESPITTSBURGH STEELERSST. LOUIS RAMS SAN DIEGO CHARGERSSAN FRANCISCO 49ERSSEATTLE SEAHAWKSTAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSTENNESSEE TITANSWASHINGTON REDSKINS

ATS MRTATS MRTATS MRTATS MRTATS MRTGAME FOURGAME THREEGAME TWOGAME ONE

TEAM14-1312-1415-119-187-6

13-1313-146-4

14-1216-1011-1611-151-6

12-139-69-1612-1418-912-1513-1410-1718-913-148-1815-1210-1612-1310-1616-1013-1314-1214-13

0-52-14-20-21-44-15-00-27-2

10-02-01-31-00-54-01-62-00-22-11-61-23-00-30-34-13-02-00-24-04-10-20-6

13-1416-1014-1314-126-8

10-1710-167-48-1811-1412-1513-123-5

16-1111-411-1417-912-1417-912-1411-1518-88-1812-1511-1513-1315-1016-1120-715-1116-1113-14

6-13-01-31-51-21-31-85-10-30-42-02-03-13-14-01-52-02-00-23-00-22-00-22-81-42-00-23-06-10-21-46-1

16-1116-1115-1011-156-9

12-1310-165-6

15-1215-1013-1414-135-3

11-167-8

6-2014-1017-913-1315-1014-1216-910-1718-811-1411-1615-1213-1314-1312-1314-1212-12

1-32-11-52-00-33-17-24-27-11-22-57-24-12-00-20-74-04-00-31-34-17-22-010-10-40-55-12-12-02-02-12-7

12-1413-1112-1411-158-6

14-1114-135-6

10-1716-109-1312-153-4

16-116-6

14-1310-1516-119-1415-1216-1011-1513-138-1615-1211-1515-1211-1413-1411-1411-1414-13

0-32-13-06-00-20-23-10-20-27-20-22-12-10-32-11-51-22-06-12-02-12-14-00-63-02-12-70-32-15-11-32-1

FAST FACT: The Bills have stampeded out of the gate during pre-season, posting a 6-0-1 ATS mark in Game One.

TENNESSEEHOUSTONDALLASCINCINNATIJACKSONVILLENEW ENGLANDNY GIANTSWASHINGTONPHILADELPHIACLEVELANDINDIANAPOLISDETROITBALTIMORECHICAGOMINNESOTABUFFALOKANSAS CITYMIAMINY JETSOAKLANDATLANTAGREEN BAYPITTSBURGHDENVERTAMPA BAYCAROLINANEW ORLEANSSAN FRANCISCOSAN DIEGOSEATTLEST. LOUISARIZONA

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE OUTSIDE OF DIVISIONOVERALL STRENGTH OF SCHEDULETEAM

.547

.547

.543

.539

.535

.531

.527

.523

.520

.516

.516

.508

.508

.504

.504

.500

.500

.500

.500

.500

.496

.488

.488

.484

.480

.477

.469

.457

.453

.453

.449

.445

116116117118119120121122123124124126126127127128128128128128129131131132133134136139140140141142

00000000000000000000000000000000

113456789

1010121214141616161616212222242526272829293132

140140139138137136135134133132132130130129129128128128128128127125125124123122120117116116115114

2010 NFL STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE RANKINGS

TIES OPP WIN PCTOPP WINS OPP LOSSESRANKDALLASCINCINNATINEW ENGLANDMINNESOTAPHILADELPHIAARIZONASAN FRANCISCOINDIANAPOLISNY GIANTSGREEN BAYHOUSTONBALTIMORENY JETSSAN DIEGOTENNESSEEDENVERNEW ORLEANSCHICAGOATLANTAMIAMIOAKLANDSEATTLEPITTSBURGHCLEVELANDBUFFALOKANSAS CITYJACKSONVILLEWASHINGTONCAROLINADETROITST. LOUISTAMPA BAY

TEAM.581.575.575.556.544.538.531.525.519.519.513.513.513.513.500.500.500.494.494.488.488.488.481.475.475.475.469.463.450.438.431.394

6768687173747576777778787878808080818182828283848484858688909197

00000000000000000000000000000000

1224567899

11111111151515181820202023242424272829303132

9392928789868584838382828282808080797978787877767676757472706963

TIES OPP WIN PCTOPP WINS OPP LOSSESRANK


Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 7 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line.

WEEK ONE WEEK THREE

3� BEST BET

Jack’s Jags are the fi rst of six ‘Double Entendres’ (teams playing with double revenge from last season – one loss in exhibition and the other during the regular season) and should be highly motivated to kicks things off in 2010 after suffering back-to-back losing campaigns for the fi rst time in the Del Rio era. The Cats have been on the prowl against NFC foes of late, posting a tidy 9-1-1 ATS mark in their last eleven and their eight-year head coach is a nifty 9-1-1 ATS as a dog in pre-season play. They’ll be tackling an Eagles’ squad that doesn’t put much credence in pre-season openers as evidenced by their current 0-6 SUATS run. They’ll also be facing a Philly bunch that is undergoing more than a nip/tuck after the departures of Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook. Fall harvest may be right around the corner but the corn on this ‘Kolb’ is not quite ripe for the taking – or the giving in this matter. Grab the bushel of points.

Jacksonville over PHILADELPHIA by 7

Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined & Bold.

2010 NFL PRE-SEASON FOOTBALL

Friday, August 13

Saturday, August 21TAMPA BAY over Kansas City by 11

Much like Roman Polanski needs a 14-year old – bottle of Scotch, that is – some coaches need to win in order to feel better about themselves. We feel like that’s the case with Tampa’s Raheem Morris, who suffered through a three-win season in his rookie campaign. Including pre-season, the Bucs were only able to muster one win in their ten efforts in front of the home faithful. Like his previous predecessors, KC’s Todd Haley doesn’t seem to be in any hurry to impress before September. Since 2004, the Chiefs have delivered only four wins in 24 contests, while posting a hair-raising 3-21 ATS mark – including Haley’s 0-4 SU and ATS record in his 2009 inaugural season. Look for the cannon to sound at the ‘New Sombrero’ as the Bucs improve to 9-3 SU in pre-season home openers and 4-0-1 ATS in this series. Drink up!

WEEK TWO

5� BEST BET

Another ‘Dress Rehearsal’ duo threat takes place in the City of Lakes as the Seahawks and Pete Carroll join forces to take on a Vikings squad that’s just 1-3 ATS at home off back-to-back road trips. Seattle has been anything but sleepless in Game Three of the pre-season posting an eye-opening 21-5 SU and 20-6 ATS mark, including 8-4 SU and 11-1 ATS away while Carroll is 3-1 SUATS in Week Three during his previous NFL tenure. Our powerful PLAYBOOK.com database dresses up this one further as it chimes in with this little beauty: since 1985, home teams in Game Three that won exactly three pre-season games the previous season are 0-6 ATS when hosting a foe that won four or more pre-season games the previous season. We’ll supply the fi nishing touches as we note the last six pre-season matchups between these two have produced an average of 48.5 PPG, resulting in all ‘Overs’ – just the way Pete wants it.

Seattle over MINNESOTA by 11

Saturday, August 28

Friday, August 27Washington over NY JETS by 8

Week Three is ‘Dress Rehearsal’ time in the NFL and the combination of Mike Shanahan and the Washington Redskins won’t require any understudies during this recital. In his days in Denver, Shanahan performed to a 9-5 SU mark in Week Three, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog, while the ‘Skins, themselves, have avoided stage fright during this week by logging a 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS mark since 1999. The Jets, meanwhile, have had a long-running stint of their own on Broadway this time of year as they have battled the Giants in Week Three of the pre-season 15 of the last 17 years. What have they done the two times they haven’t lined up against their roommates in Week Three since 1993? How about a disinterested 0-2 SU & ATS! The Flyboys 2-4-1 ATS script in ‘Last Home Games’ also has us taking a curtain call with Shanahan and company as they prepare for the September stage.

WEEK FOURThursday, September 2

NY Jets over PHILADELPHIA by 6These two ‘pre-season rivals’ have met every year since 1985 with the Jets owning a healthy 18-7 SU and 16-8-1 ATS advantage. In fact, the Jets have won the last eight in a row. If you consider each of those contests has taken place the fi nal week of the pre-season, this dominance should really come as no surprise. The simple fact of the matter is Andy Reid could care less about pre-season fi nales. He’d rather look at 3rd and 4th string players for a fi nal time rather than play the regulars solely for the sake of winning. That’s confi rmed by his 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS mark in pre-season fi nales since his sophomore campaign, including 1-5 SUATS at home. With the Jets a ‘phat’ 9-0 ATS in their fi nal road game of the pre-season since 2001 and Rex wanting a little bit more to chew on, don’t expect a nose dive from the fl yboys with opening day right around the corner. If the Jets are taking, so are we.

Washington over ARIZONA by 7Here we go again – riding Mike Shanahan’s coat tails during the pre-season. And why not? He’s an excellent dog this time of year (12-3-1 ATS when taking more than two points) and he’s also 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS in his last 13 pre-season fi nales. We have a feeling he’s hell-bent on instilling a positive attitude in his team as they prepare for their season opener with Dallas next week… and he couldn’t have asked for a better opponent. Some coaches don’t give a damn about exhibition games and, as we stated earlier, Whisenhunt is one of them. His 0-6 SUATS mark as a pre-season favorite fi ts with Shanahan’s dog record like an athlete in a Kardashian bedroom. We’ll gladly grab the points and whatever else is being offered. We suggest you hop on for the ride.

FAST FACT: The Denver Broncos are 10-0 SU and ATS in Game Four of the pre-season.

Saturday, August 14Houston over ARIZONA by 6

Like Philly, Zona gets a facelift as Kurt Warner decides to bag a fabulous 12-year NFL career and spend more time with his wife – who has apparently spent the last couple of years getting a makeover of her own. Even with Warner, the Cardinals have been slow pre-season starters (0-3 SUATS last three openers) and have dropped their last four versus AFC foes. While Arizona head man Ken Whisenhunt treats exhibition play like a red-headed stepchild (2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS, including an atrocious 0-6 SUATS as a favorite), Houston’s Gary Kubiak has posted a solid overall 9-5-2 ATS pre-season log, including 5-1 ATS away versus the NFC and a near spotless 8-1 ATS mark when taking points. From our viewpoint, this coaching philosophy matchup doesn’t appear to be broke and we’re certainly not about to fi x it. Texans avenge last season’s 28-21 regular season loss in the desert here tonight.

4� BEST BET

Along with Gary Kubiak’s terrifi c pre-season numbers (see Game One writeup), we have a couple of other factors in our favor as we ride the Texans for a second straight week. For starters, Houston will be looking to avenge a 38-14 whippin’ they suffered in last year’s pre-season home opener when the Saints came marching in – their worst pre-season defeat ever under Kubiak. More importantly, however, Drew Brees and company will be tangling with our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 as it points out the diffi culties defending Super Bowl champs face in Game Two of the exhibition season. With the Saints just 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS in pre-season home openers since 1998 and 5-13 SU and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 as exhibition chalk, we’ll look for the Texans to return the favor in this Superdome lid lifter.

Houston over NEW ORLEANS by 10


MIDWEEK ALERT Listed below are our exclusive 2009-10 FINAL COLLEGE AND PRO FOOTBALL STATS RANKINGS, a quick read guide into the offensive and defensive stats and rankings compiled by each of the teams. Reading across we fi nd each team's record in Outyarding Its Opponents (ITS-In The Stats), average Points For (PTF), Points Against (PTA), Offensive Rushing Yards (OFR), Offensive Passing Yards (OFP), Total Offensive Yards (OYD), Total Defensive Yards (DYD), Defensive Passing Yards (DFP), and Defensive Rushing Yards (DFR) – along with their numerical ranking against all other teams.

Stat Rankings

PLEASE NOTE: The COLLEGE AND NFL STAT RANKINGS shown on this page and individual game/team STAT LOGS are updated weekly throughout the season in the PLAYBOOK MIDWEEK ALERT Football Newsletter. Call 1.800.752.9266 now to subscribe!

TEAM ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RNKMISSISSIPPI 9-4 30 30 18 15 185 28 219 57 404 41 315 20 174 14 141 58MISSISSIPPI ST 7-5 26 64 27 69 228 9 144 113 372 64 366 58 220 64 146 62MISSOURI 10-3 29 42 25 56 127 85 285 14 412 32 370 64 251 104 119 26NAVY 7-7 28 55 19 17 281 4 76 119 357 76 335 34 213 49 122 30NEBRASKA 9-5 25 74 10 1 147 62 176 100 323 99 271 7 179 18 92 8NEVADA 9-4 38 5 29 86 345 1 160 107 505 2 410 96 298 119 112 22NEW MEXICO 4-8 16 112 36 112 100 109 215 62 315 103 418 100 253 105 165 83NEW MEX ST 1-12 11 120 32 101 142 66 88 117 230 120 423 102 202 35 221 112N CAROLINA 8-5 24 81 17 12 133 79 175 102 308 109 270 6 174 14 96 10NC STATE 4-8 30 30 31 98 121 91 273 23 394 46 361 53 222 68 139 57

NORTH TEXAS 7-5 27 60 36 112 185 28 223 51 408 36 413 97 217 54 196 104NO ILLINOIS 6-7 29 42 22 29 196 18 150 109 346 83 333 30 206 41 127 36N’WESTERN 8-5 26 64 24 48 118 93 287 12 405 40 351 47 222 68 129 40NOTRE DAME 8-4 30 30 26 61 128 84 324 5 452 8 398 86 228 76 170 89OHIO ST 10-3 29 42 13 5 196 18 173 103 369 67 263 5 172 13 91 7OHIO U 4-10 25 74 21 26 112 100 198 81 310 106 350 46 195 31 155 75OKLAHOMA 10-3 31 26 15 7 135 76 289 11 424 23 273 8 180 19 93 9OKLAHOMA ST 7-6 28 55 22 29 188 22 179 98 367 70 333 30 237 90 96 10OREGON 10-3 36 8 24 48 232 6 180 97 412 32 337 35 208 44 129 40OREGON ST 9-4 31 26 25 56 140 68 271 26 411 34 349 45 235 84 114 25

PENN ST 12-1 29 42 12 2 170 41 237 39 407 37 275 9 185 23 90 6PITTSBURGH 9-4 32 21 20 19 180 34 211 67 391 51 319 23 213 49 106 18PURDUE 8-4 28 55 29 86 136 74 255 33 391 51 376 69 203 38 173 94RICE 1-11 18 109 43 120 109 104 195 84 304 113 464 117 273 114 191 102RUTGERS 7-6 29 42 18 15 134 78 192 88 326 97 308 18 205 40 103 14SAN DIEGO ST 5-7 23 85 31 98 78 116 264 29 342 86 383 74 217 54 166 85SAN JOSE ST 2-10 14 118 35 109 77 117 209 70 286 115 443 109 184 22 259 119SMU 6-7 29 42 28 77 110 102 282 15 392 48 397 83 230 78 167 88S CAROLINA 9-4 21 98 20 19 121 91 226 45 347 82 301 15 163 8 138 52S FLORIDA 8-5 26 64 20 19 171 39 195 84 366 71 322 24 186 25 136 49

SO CAL 8-5 26 64 20 19 167 44 222 54 389 53 340 40 212 48 128 38SO MISS 4-9 33 17 26 61 183 32 235 43 418 30 392 80 261 109 131 43STANFORD 8-5 35 11 27 69 218 11 209 70 427 19 403 90 265 110 138 52SYRACUSE 6-6 21 98 28 77 127 85 204 78 331 92 337 35 235 84 102 13TCU 12-1 38 5 13 5 238 5 217 58 455 7 239 1 159 7 80 3TEMPLE 7-6 30 30 22 29 187 23 146 112 333 91 334 32 226 73 108 19TENNESSEE 8-5 29 42 22 29 157 54 226 45 383 60 318 22 169 12 149 64TEXAS 11-3 39 3 17 12 148 61 274 22 422 25 252 3 180 19 72 1TEXAS A&M 8-5 33 17 34 104 184 30 282 15 466 5 427 105 255 106 172 91TEXAS EL PASO 8-4 30 30 34 104 151 57 276 20 427 19 447 110 246 97 201 106

TEXAS TECH 10-3 37 7 22 29 84 115 387 2 471 4 352 48 227 74 125 34TOLEDO 7-5 30 30 38 116 160 49 278 19 438 13 407 95 241 92 166 85TROY 9-4 34 13 30 91 149 59 337 3 486 3 425 104 287 118 138 52TULANE 3-9 16 112 37 115 106 105 207 73 313 105 423 102 215 52 208 110TULSA 6-6 29 42 27 69 151 57 259 31 410 35 397 83 250 101 147 63UCLA 5-8 22 91 21 26 114 98 223 51 337 88 334 32 191 28 143 59UNLV 3-9 25 74 32 101 127 85 224 50 351 78 457 115 236 87 221 112UTAH 9-4 30 30 20 19 160 49 229 44 389 53 316 21 178 16 138 52UTAH ST 6-6 29 42 34 104 193 20 247 36 440 12 456 114 250 101 206 109VANDERBILT 3-9 16 112 23 42 160 49 147 111 307 110 363 56 165 9 198 105

VIRGINIA 3-9 19 105 26 61 99 111 171 105 270 118 359 52 185 23 174 95VIRGINIA TECH 9-4 32 21 16 9 208 14 184 95 392 48 295 13 167 11 128 38WAKE FOREST 8-4 26 64 26 61 132 80 272 25 404 41 383 74 219 60 164 82WASHINGTON 3-9 26 64 27 69 139 69 237 39 376 62 390 79 241 92 149 64WASH ST 0-12 12 119 39 118 71 118 176 100 247 119 512 120 276 115 236 117W VIRGINIA 8-5 26 64 22 29 186 24 191 89 377 61 337 35 210 46 127 36W KENTUCKY 0-12 20 104 40 119 174 38 148 110 322 100 478 118 233 80 245 118W MICHIGAN 5-7 25 74 28 77 110 102 276 20 386 57 420 101 241 92 179 97WISCONSIN 9-4 32 21 22 29 204 15 213 64 417 31 305 16 217 54 88 5WYOMING 4-9 18 109 27 69 136 74 173 103 309 107 392 80 221 65 171 90

2009 COLLEGE STAT RANKINGS

2009 NFL STAT RANKINGS

TEAM ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RNKAIR FORCE 9-4 30 30 16 9 283 3 88 117 371 66 288 11 154 5 134 47AKRON 4-8 19 105 29 86 118 93 191 89 309 107 368 59 196 32 172 91ALABAMA 11-3 32 21 12 2 215 12 188 91 403 43 245 2 166 10 79 2ALA BIRM’HAM 6-6 28 55 32 101 230 7 196 83 426 22 454 112 310 120 144 60ARIZONA 6-7 27 60 24 48 159 53 225 48 384 58 322 24 202 35 120 27ARIZONA ST 8-4 22 91 21 26 117 95 213 64 330 94 292 12 187 26 105 16ARKANSAS 7-6 36 8 25 56 132 80 296 10 428 18 401 88 248 99 153 72ARKANSAS ST 4-8 23 85 23 42 135 76 194 86 329 95 342 41 219 60 123 31ARMY 4-8 15 117 22 29 204 15 72 120 276 117 305 16 153 3 152 68AUBURN 8-5 33 17 28 77 212 13 220 56 432 15 374 67 218 58 156 77

BALL ST 3-9 19 105 28 77 161 47 134 115 295 114 386 77 234 82 152 68BAYLOR 3-9 21 98 27 69 101 108 242 37 343 84 406 94 227 74 179 97BOISE ST 12-2 42 1 17 12 186 24 264 29 450 9 300 14 180 19 120 27BOSTON COLL 6-7 25 74 20 19 138 71 186 93 324 98 328 28 225 71 103 14BOWL GREEN 8-5 28 55 27 69 87 114 316 6 403 43 398 86 204 39 194 103BYU 8-5 35 11 22 29 146 63 281 17 427 19 329 29 219 60 110 21BUFFALO 9-3 24 81 24 48 164 45 242 37 406 38 343 42 211 47 132 44CALIFORNIA 8-5 29 42 25 56 169 42 223 51 392 48 378 71 266 111 112 22C FLORIDA 5-8 26 64 23 42 131 82 210 68 341 87 353 49 268 112 85 4C MICHIGAN 9-5 34 13 19 17 168 43 256 32 424 23 344 44 221 65 123 31

CINCINNATI 10-3 39 3 23 42 139 69 309 8 448 11 374 67 230 78 144 60CLEMSON 8-6 31 26 20 19 177 37 179 98 356 77 311 19 156 6 155 75COLORADO 4-8 22 91 29 86 88 113 226 45 314 104 363 56 202 35 161 80COLORADO ST 5-7 22 91 30 91 144 64 207 73 351 78 387 78 236 87 151 66CONNECTICUT 7-6 31 26 24 48 171 39 217 58 388 55 369 60 236 87 133 45DUKE 5-7 25 74 28 77 64 120 305 9 369 67 369 60 216 53 153 72E CAROLINA 8-6 27 60 22 29 152 55 217 58 369 67 378 71 258 107 120 27E MICHIGAN 1-11 16 112 38 116 127 85 152 108 279 116 427 105 150 1 277 120FLORIDA 13-1 36 8 12 2 222 10 236 41 458 6 252 3 152 2 100 12FLORIDA ATL 6-6 27 60 34 104 152 55 280 18 432 15 454 112 233 80 221 112

FLORIDA INTL 3-9 23 85 35 109 105 107 217 58 322 100 492 119 259 108 233 116FLORIDA ST 7-6 30 30 30 91 149 59 271 26 420 29 434 107 229 77 205 108FRESNO ST 7-6 34 13 28 77 229 8 202 79 431 17 414 98 200 33 214 111GEORGIA 6-7 29 42 26 61 161 47 201 80 362 74 339 38 213 49 126 35GEORGIA TECH 9-5 34 13 25 56 295 2 127 116 422 25 361 53 209 45 152 68HAWAII 8-5 23 85 29 86 100 109 337 3 437 14 403 90 201 34 202 107HOUSTON 12-2 42 1 30 91 131 82 432 1 563 1 452 111 225 71 227 115IDAHO 7-6 33 17 36 112 163 46 287 12 450 9 434 107 278 116 156 77ILLINOIS 5-7 24 81 30 91 200 17 193 87 393 47 403 90 249 100 154 74INDIANA 6-6 24 81 30 91 117 95 248 35 365 72 401 88 241 92 160 79

IOWA 8-5 23 85 15 7 114 98 222 54 336 89 277 10 153 3 124 33IOWA ST 5-8 21 98 22 29 180 34 185 94 365 72 416 99 250 101 166 85KANSAS 6-6 29 42 28 77 112 100 310 7 422 25 383 74 245 96 138 52KANSAS ST 7-5 23 85 23 42 180 34 169 106 349 80 339 38 234 82 105 16KENT ST 5-7 19 105 22 29 115 97 213 64 328 96 356 51 219 60 137 50KENTUCKY 4-9 26 64 23 42 191 21 140 114 331 92 361 53 178 16 183 100LA LAFAYETTE 5-7 22 91 30 91 137 72 225 48 362 74 404 93 222 68 182 99LA MONROE 7-5 26 64 27 69 181 33 207 73 388 55 343 42 235 84 108 19LSU 5-8 25 74 16 9 123 90 182 96 305 112 327 27 194 30 133 45LA TECH 7-5 29 42 26 61 184 30 188 91 372 64 369 60 206 41 163 81

LOUISVILLE 5-7 18 109 26 61 125 89 209 70 334 90 371 65 206 41 165 83MARSHALL 7-6 22 91 24 48 143 65 206 77 349 80 372 66 237 90 135 48MARYLAND 5-7 21 98 31 98 106 105 210 68 316 102 397 83 246 97 151 66MEMPHIS 3-9 22 91 35 109 160 49 214 63 374 63 457 115 283 117 174 95MIAMI FLA 10-3 30 30 22 29 141 67 255 33 396 45 323 26 193 29 130 42MIAMI OHIO 4-8 16 112 34 104 70 119 273 23 343 84 377 70 190 27 187 101MICHIGAN 3-9 30 30 28 77 186 24 198 81 384 58 393 82 221 65 172 91MICHIGAN ST 8-5 30 30 26 61 137 72 269 28 406 38 381 73 268 112 113 24MID TENN ST 6-7 32 21 24 48 186 24 236 41 422 25 355 50 218 58 137 50MINNESOTA 5-8 21 98 24 48 99 111 207 73 306 111 369 60 217 54 152 68

TEAM ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RNKARIZONA 9-9 24 9 23 20 97 27 259 9 356 12 359 24 244 27 115 16ATLANTA 7-9 23 12 20 10 117 13 223 14 340 16 349 20 242 26 107 9BALTIMORE 12-6 24 9 16 2 140 4 202 19 342 14 294 2 205 8 89 3BUFFALO 6-10 16 27 20 10 117 13 157 30 274 30 341 19 184 2 157 30CAROLINA 9-7 20 19 19 5 156 3 175 27 331 19 316 8 191 4 125 23CHICAGO 6-10 20 19 23 20 93 29 217 17 310 23 338 18 212 13 126 24CINCINNATI 9-8 19 22 19 5 131 7 176 26 307 24 305 5 202 6 103 8CLEVELAND 2-14 15 29 23 20 130 8 130 32 260 32 389 30 244 27 145 28

DALLAS 13-5 22 15 17 3 133 6 260 7 393 1 319 10 229 20 90 4DENVER 8-8 20 19 20 10 115 16 227 13 342 14 315 7 186 3 129 26DETROIT 2-14 16 27 31 32 101 23 198 20 299 26 392 32 266 32 126 24GREEN BAY 12-5 30 2 20 10 115 16 270 4 385 4 299 3 211 12 88 2HOUSTON 11-5 24 9 21 16 92 30 291 1 383 5 325 14 218 18 107 9INDIANAPOLIS 11-8 25 7 19 5 81 32 286 2 367 8 337 17 219 19 118 19JACKSONVILLE 8-8 18 23 24 23 127 9 210 18 337 17 352 22 236 25 116 18KANSAS CITY 7-9 18 23 27 29 120 12 182 25 302 25 389 30 232 22 157 30

TEAM ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RNMIAMI 6-10 23 12 24 23 139 5 198 20 337 17 350 21 235 23 115 16MINNESOTA 12-6 30 2 19 5 122 11 260 7 382 6 299 3 213 14 86 1N ENGLAND 11-5 26 5 19 5 117 13 269 5 386 3 317 9 199 5 118 19N ORLEANS 10-9 32 1 21 16 127 9 266 6 393 1 367 28 245 29 122 22NY GIANTS 10-6 25 7 27 29 115 16 251 12 366 9 324 13 214 15 110 12NY JETS 11-8 21 17 15 1 167 1 156 31 323 20 270 1 169 1 101 7OAKLAND 5-11 12 31 24 23 106 21 160 29 266 31 362 25 206 9 156 29PHILADELPHIA 11-6 26 5 22 19 100 24 257 11 357 11 327 16 217 17 110 12

PITTSBURGH 12-4 23 12 20 10 112 19 259 9 371 7 306 6 216 16 90 4ST. LOUIS 4-12 11 32 27 29 112 19 167 28 279 29 373 29 235 23 138 27SAN DIEGO 10-7 28 4 20 10 87 31 272 3 359 10 323 12 202 6 121 21S FRANCISCO 7-9 21 17 18 4 100 24 191 22 291 27 326 15 229 20 97 6SEATTLE 7-9 18 23 24 23 98 26 219 15 317 21 356 23 245 29 111 14TAMPA BAY 3-13 15 29 25 27 102 22 186 24 288 28 365 26 207 10 158 32TENNESSEE 8-8 22 15 25 27 162 2 190 23 352 13 365 26 258 31 107 9WASHINGTON 8-8 17 26 21 16 94 28 219 15 313 22 319 10 207 10 112 15


www.PLAYBOOK.comTHE PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB. WHEN ONLY PERFECT WILL DO.

A - An online internet service that provides weekly College Football & NFL Football Super Systems in 100% PERFECT winning roles outlining the parameter, the logic supporting the system and the qualifying teams each week throughout the regular season. Here’s an example from last year’s PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB:

PLAY ON any NFL dog of 6 or more points from Game Four out with a win percentage of .111 or less on the season if they are playing with a week of rest.ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 21-0 Play On: Tampa Bay (W)RATIONALE: Rest does wonders for bad teams, especially in later stages of the season. Give them enough points and they respond with aplomb.

DIAL 911

A - Every Friday after 1:00 PM EST you log in at www.PLAY-BOOK.com and enter your username and access code. It’s that simple!

The cost for The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB is only $179 for the entire season. That breaks down to an average of less than $10 per week for amazing Super Systems that you can file in your library and use forever! SPECIAL BONUS: Join The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB today and get the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter through the Super Bowl for only $50 – a savings of $89!

For more information, call the PLAYBOOK Customer Service Department weekdays at 1.800.752.9266 anytime from 10:00 AM until 6:00 PM ET. Friendly customer service representatives are always available!

1.800.752.9266

Q - What is The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB?

Q - How do I access The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB?

Note: Tampa Bay was a 9.5-point dog and responded with a 38-28 straight-up WIN over Green Bay, improving the record to 22-0!


BETTING ON NFL PRE-SEASON OVER/UNDERS

Welcome back, boys! When last we spoke, KING CREOLE was off a 4**** Best Bet WINNER on the

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS plus the points in the 2010 Super Bowl. Now it’s time to get back to work!

You’ll notice that just like in last season’s issue of the PLAYBOOK Pre-Season Football Newsletter, the anchor for our 2010 Pre-Season Preview is the OU line range chart listed on this page. What I’ve done is to break down all NFL pre-season Over / Under results based on each different closing OU line in the last ten seasons (the actual line at kickoff). Some of the results are not too revealing. But there are a handful of OU line ranges that have resulted in pretty predictable fi nal scores.

NFL Over / Under lines in exhibition games have been as low as 30 points… and as high as 46 points in the last nine seasons. And our chart breaks down into the following four categories: Total (or overall) OU results… Home FAVORITE OU results… Home UNDERDOG OU results… and the ‘Most Recent Trend’ (or MRT) in each particular OU line.

Please remember that these results are not ATS results. They are Over / Under results with OVERS always listed fi rst and UNDERS always listed second. Our very fi rst NFL pre-season Over / Underr rule is:

1. Over/Under LINE RANGES

by Victor King / King Creole Sports

Pre-Season Home UNDERDOGS will usually result in an

“UNDER”-whelming outcome!

Play a pre-season game ‘OVER the Total

’ when the

OU line is 34.5 to 36 points!

FAST FACT: The Miami Dolphins are 1-7 O/U in the pre-season under head coach Tony Sparano.

OU line Total HF’s HD’s MRT3030.53131.53232.53333.53434.5

2-02-14-20-55-87-6

13-1413-1621-2220-11

2-02-02-20-34-77-4

10-1212-1018-1819-9

0-00-11-00-10-10-21-11-51-41-2

2-02-12-10-51-55-14-66-107-617-5

OU line Total HF’s HD’s MRT4040.54141.54242.54343.54444.5>

11-128-87-136-45-44-01-30-21-12-1

9-106-75-86-34-23-01-20-21-12-1

2-21-12-30-11-21-00-10-00-00-0

4-44-21-66-22-04-00-10-20-12-0

OU line Total HF’s HD’s MRT3535.53636.53737.53838.53939.5

32-3123-1728-3430-3023-3120-2624-2516-1517-74-7

25-2420-1424-2628-2523-2719-2013-1814-1211-52-4

4-43-23-62-50-31-58-62-25-22-3

9-513-314-98-99-163-134-97-94-12-5

A higher-than-normal OU line in an NFL Exhibition game is usually

justifi ed by an ‘OVER’ result!

Since the 2001 season, NFL ‘X’ games in which the home team is an UNDERDOG (or ‘pick em) have gone a very impressive 32-67-3 O/U overall. Regardless of the OU line, these pre-season home dogs have gone Under 68% of the time! The most profi table Under results have been in the very fi rst

The way that we have broken down our pre-season chart is by each different individual Over / Under line. The nice thing is that we

In this query, we’ll take a look at some of the higher OU lines in an NFL pre-season game. The MRT tells us not to ‘fall for the hype’… but there IS an exception if the OU line is REALLY high.

We’ll focus our attention on the OU line range of 41.5 or more points. In a regular season game, an OU line of 41.5 points is just about average these days. However, in NFL Exhibition play, the average OU line is somewhere in the 34 to 35 point range. So a line of 41.5 or more is just about a full touchdown higher than the ‘norm’. A line that high is what the linesmakers would consider to be a pre-season ‘shootout’… equivalent to a regular season game with an OU line of 49 or more points. So let’s run the query for NFL ‘X” games with an OU line of 41.5 or higher points.

In the last fi ve seasons, these games have hit at a surprising OVER percentage of 72% (13-5 O/U overall). The average OU line in these games has been 42.5 points. And the actual scoring average in these 18 games has been 48.4 points. That’s an OVER ‘cushion’ of +5.9 PPG. And on a fi nal note, if the home team is favored by less than (<) 6 points in these ‘expected shootouts’, the results improve to an impressive 13-2 O/U. Last season, these games averaged a whopping 54.8 PPG!

week of Exhibition play… Or the very last week.

Here’s your breakdown of that overall fi gure based on each week of the pre-season: GAME ONE Home Dogs (or pick em) have gone 6-17 O/U (74% Under). GAME TWO Home Dogs (or pick em) have gone 7-14-2 O/U (67%). GAME THREE Home Dogs (or pick em) have gone 14-19 O/U (58%). GAME FOUR Home Dogs (or pick em) have gone 4-12-1 O/U (75%). And GAME FIVE Home Dogs (or pick em) have gone 1-5 O/U (83%). So the most consistent Under results have occurred in Games One, Four, and Five (11-34-1 O/U / 76%).

Another aspect of NFL Exhibition home underdogs is trying to understand the following question: What is the reason or motivation for the oddsmakers to make a team a road favorite or home underdog in the fi rst place? One explanation would have to be that a team is priced as a home underdog in exhibition play if they are playing off a loss in the previous week… or multiple losses in a row. So with that in mind, here’s another query I ran in the PLAYBOOK Pre-Season database in regards to home underdogs:

10-25-2 O/U for all Game 2 > home dogs playing off a SU loss (71%)…. 2-9 O/U for all Game 3 > home dogs playing off 2 or more losses in a row (82%)…. And 0-3 O/U for all Game 4 > home dogs playing off 3 or more losses in a row (100%). From this query, our conclusion is that UNDER results are more predictable and consistent with each consecutive pre-season loss.

The bottom ‘line’ (pun intended) is to NEVER play a pre-season game to go “OVER” when the home team is an underdog or the line is ‘pick em.

can lump a few different lines together to come up with a solid ‘line range’ result. And that’s the case here. In our ‘what have you done for me LATELY?’ query, we note that the most recent patterns for these OU lines have gone 34-14-1 in the last three seasons. That’s all NFL Exhibition home favorites of -1.5 > points with an OU line in the range of 34.5 to 36 points.

Here’s the breakdown by individual OU Line: 7-1 O/U for 34.5… 9-6-1 O/U for 35.0… 9-2 O/U for 35.5… and 9-5 O/U for 36. Add ‘em all together and you get 71% for the Over in the last three seasons.


FAST FACT: The 2009 College Bowl Stat Report went an amazing 23-8 ATS, including a 3-0 sweep of the Best Bets!

Week OneAtlanta 5-0 O/U… Chicago 5-0 O/U… Carolina 5-1 O/U.

New Orleans 0-4 O/U… Pittsburgh 0-4 O/U… Green Bay 1-8 O/U… Arizona 1-6 O/U… Cleveland 1-6 O/U… Buffalo 1-5 O/U… Baltimore 2-9 O/U.

Week TwoGreen Bay 4-0 O/U… Indianapolis 4-0 O/U… Seattle 4-0 O/U… Houston 6-1 O/U… Carolina 5-1 O/U… San Francisco 4-1 O/U… Tampa Bay 4-1 O/U… Tennessee 4-1 O/U.

Kansas City 1-7 O/U… Atlanta 1-4 O/U… Pittsburgh 1-4 O/U.

Week ThreeChicago 7-1 O/U… Cincinnati 5-1 O/U… Philadelphia 5-1 O/U… Atlanta 7-2 O/U.

Oakland 1-8 O/U… Pittsburgh 1-6 O/U…… Miami 1-5 O/U… NY Jets 1-5 O/U.

Week FourGreen Bay 4-0 O/U… NY Jets 5-1 O/U… Seattle 5-1 O/U… Jacksonville 4-1 O/U… Tennessee 4-1 O/U… Washington 4-1 O/U.

Buffalo 1-10 O/U… Atlanta 1-6 O/U… Chicago 1-5 O/U… Cincinnati 1-5 O/U… Cleveland 1-5 O/U… Detroit 1-5 O/U… New Orleans 1-5 O/U… Baltimore 1-4 O/U.

2. Pre-Season Week-by-Week OU

TEAM TENDENCIES

This will be Cincinnati’s 3rd game of the 2010 pre-season. But for the Eagles, it’s actually Game #2 (Cincy gets an extra

game as they start the year with a Hall-of-Fame date with the Dallas Cowboys). So with an added game under their belts, this one is the ‘tune up’ for the Bengals. And it’s the fi rst situational System that I queried in our Playbook NFL database. 7-1 O/U since 2001: All NFL ‘X’ Game 3 HOME teams (Cincy) versus an opponent playing Game 2 (Philly). The Bengals are also off a home game vs the Broncos. 4-0 O/U since 2000: NFL ‘X’ Game 3 teams playing in the 2nd of BB home games… If they also played in the Hall-of-Fame game (Cincy).

3. Pre-Season Series History OU PATTERNS

Arizona vs Chicago: 3-0 O/U (42.3 comb PPG)

Arizona vs Oakland: 1-5 O/U (31.8)

Atlanta vs Jacksonville: 4-1 O/U (38.2)

Baltimore vs Washington: 1-4 O/U (24.4)

Buffalo vs Cincinnati: 3-1 O/U (46.7)

Buffalo vs Detroit: 1-5 O/U (28.3)

Carolina vs Pittsburgh: 1-4-1 O/U (30.4)

Chicago vs Cleveland: 1-6 O/U (30.1)

Cincinnati vs Indianapolis: 1-5 O/U (31.5)

Dallas vs Oakland: 3-0 O/U (49.0)

Detroit vs Pittsburgh: 3-0 O/U (47.6)

Jacksonville vs Tampa Bay: 5-1 O/U (40.2)

Speaking of previous foes, we also note that NFL ‘X’ home teams have gone 5-0 O/U in the last 3 years AFTER playing the Denver Broncos (Cincy). A look at this particular Day of the Week also points us in the right direction. 7-1 O/U last 3 years: All NFL ‘X’ Game 3 teams playing on a FRIDAY. On the Philadelphia side, this will be the fi rst of back-to-back road games for the Eagles. 13-1 O/U since 2001: All NFL ‘X’ Game 2 teams playing in the FIRST of BB road games (Philly).

The 2nd pre-season game has always been an important one for Andy Reid of the Eagles. For you ATS fans, we note that Philly has gone 9-1-1 ATS in Game 2 over the last 11 seasons. They have scored 20 or more points SIX times in the last 7 years. And we note that PHILLY has gone a perfect 6-0 O/U in Games 2 and 3 of the pre-season in the last 3 years. The clincher to this Best Bet is the fact that the Bengals have gone a perfect 5-0 O/U as pre-season favorites against a NFC opponent in the last 4 years.

Every week thru the Super Bowl, King Creole will keep you posted with year-to-date OU results for all teams in the NFL. If you’re into ‘TOTALS’ wagering, there’s only ONE publication in the entire country that is devoted entirely to NFL Over / Unders. And that’s the Playbook TOTALS TIPSHEET! Delivered to your email address EVERY Tuesday afternoon throughout the course of the season. 17 issues are yours for the full-season price of just $99.00. Call the Playbook offi ce to grab your seat on King Creole’s 2010 ‘Totals Train’!

4. King’s Pre-SeasonOver/Under BEST BET

3*** OVER the TOTAL Philadelphia Eagles @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

Friday, August 20th

Miami vs Tampa Bay: 1-5 O/U (29.8)

Minnesota vs Seattle: 4-0 O/U (43.0)

NY Giants vs New England: 3-1 O/U (49.8)

NY Giants vs NY Jets: 1-8 O/U (30.2)

NY Jets vs Philadelphia: 5-1 O/U (46.5)

Oakland vs Seattle: 3-1 O/U (40.3)


This article appears in the 2010 PLAYBOOK Football Handicapper’s Yearbook. Get your copy FREE with a full season subscription to the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

I t seems like only yesterday when Mack Brown leaned heavily on Colt McCoy, then watched in horror when his star QB was forced out of the

biggest game of the year with a shoulder injury in the fi rst quarter – thus paving the way to Alabama’s victory over Texas in the 2009 BCS title game. Brown and the Longhorns are back in 2010, sans McCoy, while the Tide look to repeat last year’s celebrated feat. But before we peer that far ahead, let’s take a look at my list of teams that are poised to become moneymakers in the season ahead. Remember, as one of my all-time favorite groups, the Traveling Wilburys, once put it, “Everybody’s got somebody to lean on. Put your body next to mine, and dream on… Handle me with care.”

NFL’S 2010 TOP ATS TEAMS

NCAA’S 2010 TOP ATS TEAMS

“Been beat up and battered ‘roundBeen sent up, and I’ve been shot down.

I’ve been uptight and made a messBut I’ll clean it up myself, I guessOh, the sweet smell of success.”

FLORIDA STATE – The ball is now in Jimbo’s court and he’s itching to make a score. Compared to last year’s murderers’ row schedule, this year’s itinerary looks like a piece of cake. Behind a huge and talented offensive line, QB Christian Ponder fi gures to receive a fair share of Heisman votes. If new DC Mark Stoops patches a leaky ‘D’, the Sems will begin the post-Bowden era in grand style.

MIAMI OHIO – No, it’s not a typo and no, it’s not the Miami Hurricanes. The RedHawks had the misfortune of being the most turnover-prone team in the land in 2009. As such, the improvement made on both sides of the ball went unnoticed by most observers. A promising young quarterback and a rookie coach that are now in their 2nd years, along with 17 returning starters, fi gure to reap the rewards of a much better effort than last year’s numbers.

MISSOURI – Like a lot of substandard teams in 2009, the Tigers suffered from a bad case of acne. Thirty of 44 players on the season-ending two-deep roster were either sophomores or freshmen. They’re back, along with the key ingredients from a defense that improved signifi cantly in 2009. With only fi ve bowlers (all conference foes) dotting this year’s schedule, a 5-0 start could build momentum en route to a Big 12 North Division title.

NORTH CAROLINA – A fl ock of returning starters for a team wracked with injuries can spell the right recipe to a team that can cook. Master chef Butch Davis has all the ingredients in place to make a run at the ACC this season. Remember this: in his college football head coaching career, Davis is 59-3 SU and 42-9-1 ATS in games in which his team scores 28 or more points. He’ll add to those totals in 2010.

OKLAHOMA – A red-faced coach with a ton of talent makes a lethal combination. It is our belief that it’s only a matter of time before the two make

a statement. The time is now and the declaration should be forthcoming this season. QB Landry Jones fi gures to benefi t after fi lling in for Sam Bradford last season. Don’t forget, Bob Stoops has won 110 games the last 10 years and is coming off a 5-loss effort last year. The last time his team lost that many games they went 13-0 and won a national championship. Read into that what you may.

LET’S KEEP AN EYE ON: ARIZONA STATE – Devils dipped to 4-8 last season, but not because they didn’t bring the effort. Injuries forced 18 players to make their fi rst start, 14 of whom return in 2010. Meanwhile, 23 players on the depth chart were of sophomore eligibility or younger. Yet they still managed to outstat eight foes behind the best defense in the Pac-10. Plenty of room for improvement here… GEORGIA – The Bulldogs were set back on their heels last year when star QB Matthew Stafford opted out for the NFL. Ironically, the only starter not returning on offense this year is last year’s quarterback, Joe Cox. Rest assured, Mark Richt will not accept the numbers this team put up last season. Money burners two years in a row, look for a reversal in 2010… NC STATE – The Wolfpack fi t our profi le of a team that improved its numbers on both sides of the ball, only to slip both SU and ATS the previous campaign. Tom O’Brien will not settle for fourth successive seven-loss season, not with all-ACC performers QB Russell Wilson and WR Owen Spencer leading the attack… TEXAS A&M – The Aggies’ 5th ranked offense improved 125 YPG last season behind QB Jerrod Johnson. More important, the defense made a huge U-turn in 2009 and returns nine starters from that unit. With only four true road games on the slate, it would be no surprise to see A&M land a New Year’s Day bowl bid this year… WISCONSIN – Loaded with returning starters and a soft schedule (only three opponents had winning records last year), the Badgers look primed to make a concerted run for the top spot in the Big 10 in 2010. And why not. They’ve averaged 9.5 wins per season under Bret Bielema.

BALTIMORE – Simply put, John Harbaugh doesn’t get the respect he deserves. In two years as a head coach in this league, his teams have averaged 11.5 straight up and pointspread wins per season. And best of all, he beats up on the teams he’s supposed to, going 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS against teams with losing records. With only seven opponents on this year’s agenda with winning records in 2009, look for Harbaugh to keep these birds in the black in 2010.

CINCINNATI – Somehow, these Bengals seem to make it to this page every year. Behind a healthy Carson Palmer last season, and despite staggering down the stretch when they fi nished 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS, they somehow made it to the playoffs. A tough road slate fi nds the ‘Natti facing only one foe that owned a losing record last year, meaning these Cats should puppy up plenty in 2010. That fi ts Marvin Lewis’ personality like a glove, considering he’s 34-28-2 ATS as a dog and 19-30-2 ATS as a favorite.

DETROIT – A new order is underway in the Motor City and it’s not government backed. While the Lions aren’t yet ready to compete for a North Division title, they are in position to cash tickets. Behind

a blossoming offense, head coach Jim Schwartz will continue applying his defensive schemes to a refortifi ed defense, thus keeping the Lions competitive. Should QB Matthew Stafford stay healthy, Detroit can start looking to win games.

SAN DIEGO– A legitimate Super Bowl contender this year, the Chargers made huge forward strides last year en route to a 13-win campaign that was cut short with a startling fi rst-round playoff loss to the upstart Jets. With only one winning opponent on the itinerary the fi rst six games of the season, and just one winning foe during the fi nal fi ve games, the Lightning Bolts are poised to make an impact in 2010. Look for Phillip Rivers to improve on his sparkling 38-23-2 ATS mark in his NFL career in games in which he’s not favored by over 11 points.

SEATTLE – The Pete Carroll money train makes its way back into the NFL and he looks ready for the challenge. Carroll and plenty of his former USC staff have revamped an offense that promises to be explosive from Day One. As a result, they become an odds-on favorite to improve the Seahawks’ six-spread win effort last year. Note: Seattle was 0-6 SU and ATS against winning teams in 2009. We’re betting that won’t be the case this year.

LET’S KEEP AN EYE ON: HOUSTON – Six of the Texans’ seven losses last year were by eight points or less. Behind an underrated defense that’s improved each of the past two seasons, look for the Texans to top their fi rst winning season ever in 2009 with a playoff cherry this campaign… NEW ENGLAND – It’s hard to turn an eye on a coach named Belichick and a QB called Brady. This dynamic duo is 70-36-5 ATS in games together either as a dog or favorite of nine or less points. We’re not about to fade that and neither should you… NY GIANTS – What a perplexing season for the G-Men last year. A promising 5-0 start went right in the toilet as an inability to beat .400 or greater opponents did them in and they closed 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS. The feeling here is they’re closer to 2007-08 status than the atypical year they endured in 2009… OAKLAND – Slowly but surely the Raiders are making ATS headway, winning 5, 6, 6, 7 and 8 pointspread verdicts the last fi ve years running. It’s what having a surplus of top-fi ve draft picks year in and year out does to a balance sheet. QB Jason Campbell is a major upgrade and their propensity for pulling major upsets (6-6 SU and 9-3 ATS last 12 as dogs of seven or more points) certainly deems Oakland noteworthy… WASHINGTON – Redskins were on our watch list year and we watched as the team dissolved right before our eyes. The Shanahan regime takes over and that alone should inaugurate a concerted effort. Division revenge for being swept all six games in 2009 becomes Priority One.

Now, let’s start the music and let the games begin. As the Wilburys like to put it, “Well it’s all right, even if the sun don’t shine. Well it’s all right, we’re going to the end of the line…” Good luck this football season. ♦

2010 COLLEGE & NFLTOP 10 ATS TEAMS

by Marc Lawrence


Free picks. Guaranteed best bets. 24 expert handicappers share their secrets.

Away from your computer? Going to the game?

No problem. Put everything you’ll need into the palm

of your hand from your Smart Phone with the

MyPlaybook Mobile App. Get scores, lines, picks,

tips, and much, much more! Get the all-new MyPlaybook Mobile App today. Download

your App at Playbook.Com or visit MyPlaybook Mobile at:

Mobile.Playbook.com

Keep track of all your bets. Maximize your wins and cut your losses.

Go head-to-head and take down the money. Legal fantasy wagering.

Up-to-the-minute scores and odds on every game. Plus key stats matchups.

WHEN YOUR’E ON THE GO, STAY IN THE KNOW!

SMART PHONE Users: Scan this Bar Code into your phone and download your free MyPlaybook Mobile Application today!

PHILADELPHIA8:00 PM KANSAS CITY

SAN DIEGO8:00 PM N ORLEANS CBS

ARIZONA8:00 PMTENNESSEE ESPN

MONDAY, AUGUST 23

MONDAY, AUGUST 16

NY GIANTS8:00 PMNY JETS ESPN

CINCINNATI7:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS

NY JETS7:30 PM PHILADELPHIA

ATLANTA7:30 PM JACKSONVILLE

CAROLINA7:30 PM PITTSBURGH

NEW ORLEANS8:00 PM TENNESSEE

TAMPA BAY8:00 PM HOUSTON

GREEN BAY8:00 PM KANSAS CITY

CHICAGO8:00 PM CLEVELAND

MIAMI8:00 PM DALLAS

BALTIMORE8:00 PM ST. LOUIS

DENVER8:00 PM MINNESOTA

SAN DIEGO10:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO

WASHINGTON10:00 PM ARIZONA

SEATTLE10:00 PM OAKLAND

CLEVELAND5:30 PM DETROIT

CINCINNATI6:30 PM BUFFALO

JACKSONVILLE7:30 PM TAMPA BAY

NY GIANTS7:30 PM BALTIMORE

DALLAS8:00 PM HOUSTON CBS

SEATTLE8:00 PM MINNESOTA

TENNESSEE8:00 PM CAROLINA

ARIZONA8:30 PM CHICAGO

SAN FRANCISCO9:00 PM OAKLAND

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time.

Dates and times may change.

MINNESOTA8:00 PMSAN FRAN NBC

CHICAGO9:00 PM SAN DIEGO

TENNESSEE10:00 PM SEATTLE

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 2

WEEK FOUR

SUNDAY, AUGUST 29

SATURDAY, AUGUST 28

THURSDAY, AUGUST 26

WEEK THREE

ST. LOUIS7:30 PM CLEVELAND

HOUSTON8:00 PM NEW ORLEANS

NY JETS8:00 PM CAROLINA

OAKLAND8:30 PM CHICAGO

DALLAS9:00 PM SAN DIEGO

DETROIT9:00 PM DENVER

GREEN BAY10:00 PM SEATTLE

SATURDAY, AUGUST 21

INDIANAPOLIS7:30 PM (Rogers Centre) BUFFALO

NEW ENGLAND8:00 PM ATLANTA FOX

WEEK TWO

THURSDAY, AUGUST 19

SATURDAY, AUGUST 14

JACKSONVILLE7:30 PM PHILADELPHIA

BUFFALO7:30 PM WASHINGTON

KANSAS CITY8:00 PM ATLANTA

FRIDAY, AUGUST 13

THURSDAY, AUGUST 12

WEEK ONE

2010 NFL PRE-SEASON SCHEDULE

SUNDAY, AUGUST 8

HALL OF FAME WEEKEND

CINCINNATI8:00 PM (Canton, OH)DALLAS NBC

NEW ORLEANS7:30 PM N ENGLAND ESPN

CAROLINA8:00 PM BALTIMORE

OAKLAND9:00 PM DALLAS

TAMPA BAY7:00 PM MIAMI

DETROIT7:30 PM PITTSBURGH

HOUSTON8:00 PM ARIZONA

MINNESOTA8:00 PM ST. LOUIS

CLEVELAND8:00 PM GREEN BAY

SUNDAY, AUGUST 15

SAN FRANCISCO1:00 PMINDIANAPOLIS

DENVER7:00 PMCINCINNATI

FRIDAY, AUGUST 20

PHILADELPHIA8:00 PMCINCINNATI FOX

BALTIMORE7:00 PM WASHINGTON

PITTSBURGH7:00 PM NY GIANTS

MIAMI7:30 PM JACKSONVILLE

KANSAS CITY7:30 PM TAMPA BAY

Marc Lawrence FREE Pick Phone:

714.228.MARC714.228.6272

SUNDAY, AUGUST 22

ST. LOUIS7:30 PM NEW ENGLAND

INDIANAPOLIS8:00 PM GREEN BAY ESPN

ATLANTA7:00 PM MIAMI

WASHINGTON7:00 PM NY JETS

FRIDAY, AUGUST 27

PITTSBURGH8:00 PMDENVER FOX

BUFFALO7:00 PM DETROIT

NEW ENGLAND7:00 PM NY GIANTS

page 16 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK

playbook pre season

Documents