pgn business presentation - public expose (28 nov 2012)
TRANSCRIPT
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PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) TbkInvestor Summit Presentation
November 2012 Update
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Disclaimer:
The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal
reference. In addition, such information contains projections and forwardlooking
statements that reflect the Companys current views with respect to future events and
financial performance. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risk. No
assurance can be given that further events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or
that the Companys assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from
those projected.
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OurBusinessModel
3
Producer
Transporter
Distributor GSA
GTA Off taker
Industrial,
Commercial,
Residential
Dominantplayer
in
domestic
natural
gas
transmissionanddistribution
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ShareholdingStructure
4
43.03%Public
56.96%Governmentof
Republic
Indonesia
*) Total:24,241,508,196shares
Public
Shareincludes
1,850,000
shares
of
Treasury
Stock
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SubsidiariesandAffiliates
5
Transasia
PipelineCompany 40%
60%
PetronasInternationalCorporation
Ltd.(35%)
ConocoIndonesiaHoldingLtd.(35%)
SPCIndoPipelineCo.Ltd.(15%)
TalismanTransgasindoLtd.(15%)
40%
60%PGN
Pertamina
60%
40%PGN
PTTransportasi
GasIndonesia
PT PGASTelekomunikasi Nusantara
PT PGASSolution
PTNusantara
Regas
PT SakaEnergi
Indonesia
PT GagasEnergi
Indonesia
PT PGNLNG
Indonesia
60% 100% 100% 40% 99% 99% 99%
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Minister of State Own Enterprise
To act as Government of Republic of Indonesia shareholder proxy.
Minister of Energy and Mineral ResourcesTo formulate national, implementation and technical policies in
energy and mineral resources sector.
Downstream Oil and Gas Regulator
To regulate and to supervise downstream oil and gas activities
(processing, transportation, storage and trading).
KeyStakeholders
6
KEMENTERIAN
BADANUSAHAMILIKNEGARA
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RelatedRegulations
7
Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 19/2009
Set the structure of natural gas trading, transmission and distribution
business and licensing. Provides special rights and licensing for dedicated downstream. Set pricing mechanism for piped natural gas:
o Residential regulated by BPH Migas.
o Special users determined by Minister of Energy.
o General users determined by the companies.
Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 3/2010
Upstream has a mandate to serve domestic demand by 25% of natural gas
production. Domestic gas utilization priorities for national oil and gas production,
fertilizer, electricity and industrial uses.
Exemption for existing Gas Sales & Purchase Agreements, Heads ofAgreement, Memoranda of Understanding or negotiations in progress.
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DemandforNaturalGas2012
8
No Subsidy of Fuel for the Industries
Subsidies for industries revoked in 2005.
Pricing and Efficiencies
Significant price and efficiencies benefits by converting to
natural gas, as well as environmental concerns.
Conversion of Power Plants
Pentup demand from the conversion of existing dual fired
power plants pending availability of gas.
Demand from the industries
Require natural gas to compete in the era of Free Trade
Agreement.
2,411
995
813
394285 270
116
TotalDemand
:5,284MMSCFD
Source:MinistryofIndustryRepublicofIndonesia&PLN
[MM
SCFD]
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StrategytoFulfillDemand
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Obtain access to new gas supplies
Actively seeking new gas supplies, starting from the oneslocated in the proximity of existing infrastructure. Seek to obtain more allocation from the imposed domestic
market obligations to new production and contracts, but will
require new infrastructure to be built.
Develop existing and build new infrastructure
Expand existing distribution and transmission capacity. Plan for intermode gas transportation such as CNG and LNG.
Aim for nonconventional sources
Plan and anticipate the nonconventional sources such as CoalBed Methane.
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30.68
31.51
29.26
27.79
22.21
17.89
17.71
14.04
10.38
8.45
Kerosene
Gasoline88Ron
HSD(Diesel)
MDF/IDO(Diesel)
MFO
LPG
Bulk
LPG 50Kg
LPG 12 Kg
(Subsidized)
LPG 3Kg
(Subsidized)
NaturalGas
USD/MMBtu
OpportunityinPriceAdvantage
10
PGNAverage
SellingPrice
Note:
FuelpricePertamina asof1stOctober2012
ExchangerateUSD1=IDR 9,200
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
[USD/MMBTU]
ComparisonBetweenHSDvs NaturalGas
HSDUnsubsidizedPrice
NaturalGasPGN'sPrice
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DistributionPricingScheme
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Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 19
Year 2009
Allows pricing for general users to be determined by theCompanies.
General users are nonsubsidized industries and power plants.
Pricing Considerations
Demand and Supply Dynamics
Affordability Reasonable Margin
Intended to stimulate more supplies to meet the growing
demands
Implementation
PGN has taken the effort to communicate and educate theend users market on the merit of new pricing flexibility.
Implement new pricing scheme with regionalized anddifferentiated pricing on nationwide basis from 1 April 2010.
CostofGasCostofGas
Transport&
Distribution
Costs
Transport&
Distribution
Costs
InternalCostInternalCost
Margin/
Spread
Margin/
Spread
Gas
SellingPrice
Gas
SellingPrice
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TransmissionPipelineFacilitiesand
DistributionArea
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Duri
KALIMANTAN
Terbanggi Besar St.Pagardewa St.
Panaran St.
BojonegaraSt.
Grissik ReceivingSt.
Legend:
SouthSumatera WestJavaTransmission
Pipeline(SSWJ)
Grissik Duri transmissionpipeline
PLN Medan
Strategic
Business
Unit
(SBU)
I
StrategicBusinessUnit(SBU)II
StrategicBusinessUnit(SBU)III
Grissik Singaporetransmissionpipeline
Pagardewa CompressorSt.
Muara Bekasi St.
Labuhan Maringgai St.
Wampu -Belawan transmission pipeline
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SourcesofGas
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PertiwiNusantaraResources
(gasex
Salamander
Energy)
Inti Daya Latu Prima
(gasexJambiMerang)
Pertamina EP
RegionJawa
Pertamina EP
RegionSumatera
CorridorPSC
MedcoE&PIndonesia
South&CentralSumatra PSC
Lapindo Brantas,Inc
Brantas PSC
PHEWMO
WestMaduraOffshorePSC
Pertamina EP
FieldP.Susu
Indonesia
Pertamina TACEllipse
Jatirarangon PSC
MaduraOffshore
PSC
MedcoE&P
Lematang
Lematang PSC
HuskyOil
MaduraStraitPSC
BBG&WNE,IKD,
Sadikun(gasexTSB)
GagasEnergi
(gasexPHEWMO)
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WeServeAllSegments
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INDUSTRIES AND
POWERPLANTS
97%oftotalvolumes
1,245Customers
COMMERCIALS
&SME
2.7%oftotalvolumes
1,658Customers
HOUSEHOLDS
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43%
15%
11%
8%
6%5%
4% 4%3%
1%
PowerPlant Chemical Ceramic Food FabricatedMetal Others Paper Basic
Metal Textile Cement
Diversified Industrial Customer
Domestic industrial consumption 9M-2012
was 777 MMScfd or 97% of PGNs sales
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GrowingOperationalPerformance
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767
836
845 844
878
2009 2010 2011 9M11 9M12
792
824
795
785
801
2009 2010 2011 9M11 9M12
Transmission Distribution
(MMSCFD)
(MMSCFD)
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Interim Consolidated Statements of
Comprehensive Income 9M 2012
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InUSD Mio 9M
2011 9M
2012 %
Revenues 1,635.6 1,827.8 12
Cost ofRevenues 619.1 746.9 21
OperatingIncome 698.2 768.8 10
EBITDA 846.1 904.3 7
NetIncome 533.8 621.3 16
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Interim Consolidated Statements of
Financial Position
InUSDMio Jan1,2011/Dec
31,2010 Dec31,2011 30 Sep,2012
CurrentAssets
NonCurrentAssets1,5421,998
1,5071,893
1,7261,886
TotalAssets 3,540 3,400 3,612
CurrentLiabilities
NonCurrent
Liabilities
TotalEquity
449
1,4401,651
274
1,2471,879
330
1,2022,080
TotalLiabilitiesAndShareholdersEquity 3,540 3,400 3,612
Key Ratios 9M 11 9M 12
DebttoEquityRatio(x) 0.58 0.49
Netdebt/Equity(x)
EBITDA/Interestexpense(x) 38.7 54.9
Returnon
Investment
(%) 24.9 25.1
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DebtCompositionasof9M2012
19
JPY
72.2%
USD
27.8%
Fixed
82%
Float
18%
Longtermdebtamountingto
USD867 million
Mostlylong
dated/maturity
loans
fromDevelopmentalBanks
EffectiveCostof
DebtofAround 1.9%
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RecentUpdates
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Event Detail of Event
October 17, 2012
Amendmentandrestatement
agreementwithHoegh andRekayasaIndonesia
Strengthening the sinergy between PGN and Hoegh Rekayasa Industri to
follow up the relocation of FSRF in Medan to Lampung
August 30, 2012
Price increase of gas supply from major
suppliers
Application of two phases price increase for upstream supply
Starting September 1, 2012 :
ConocoPhillips increased its selling price from $ 1.85/mmbtu to $ 4.36/mmbtu
Pertamina increased its selling price from $ 2.2/mmtu to $ 4.42/mmbtu
Starting April 1, 2013 :
ConocoPhillips selling price will go up from $ 4.36/mmtu to $ 5.44/mmbtu
Pertaminas selling price will go up from $ 4.42/mmbtu to $ 5.33/mmbtu
June 28, 2012
Price adjustment of PGNs gas selling
price to customers
PGN will increase its selling price by 50% to customers in West Java
The increase will be implemented in stages: 35% starting September 2012
and 15% starting April 2013
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PlanforNewLNGInfrastructure
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Donggi
Senoro
Block
Mahakam
Block Tangguh
Block
Masela
Block
ExistingLNGLiquefactionPlant
ExistingLNG
Receiving
Terminal
Existingtransmissionpipelines(PGNinvolvement)
(planned)
(planned)
Arun
Block
PlannedLNGLiquefactionPlant
PlannedLNG
Receiving
Terminal
(PGNInvolvement)
(PGNInvolvement)
(Revitalisation)
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FloatingLNGTerminalOverview
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LNGReceivingTerminals
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West Java Lampung
Location JakartaBay LabuhanMaringgai
Capacity(MTPA) 3MTPA 23 MTPA
Customers Power plants,industry
Owner PGN(40%)Pertamina (60%) PGN
Scope FSRU, jetty, subseaand
overland
pipelines
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FSRUProject WestJava
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FSRUProjects RecentDevelopment
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West Java:
Gas has been source with Mahakam PSC to the ammount of
11.75 MT of LNG supply over 11 years and back
to
back HoA withPLN as the offtaker.
FSRU Nusantara Regas1 has been positioning at Jakarta Bay andoperating starting June 2012.
LNG supplies is coming from Bontang.
Lampung:
Advance survey and Environment Impact Analysis Document. Target of project completion in 2014. Principal permit from local authority for project location. Amendment and restatement agreement with Hoegh on October
17, 2012.
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Thank You
Contact:
Investor Relations
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk
Jl. K H Zainul Arifin No. 20, Jakarta-11140,
Indonesia
Ph: +62 21 6334838 Fax: +62 21 6331632
http://www.pgn.co.id
Thank You
Contact:
Investor Relations
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk
Jl. K H Zainul Arifin No. 20, Jakarta-11140,
Indonesia
Ph: +62 21 6334838 Fax: +62 21 6331632
http://www.pgn.co.id