pgn business presentation - public expose (28 nov 2012)

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    PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) TbkInvestor Summit Presentation

    November 2012 Update

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    Disclaimer:

    The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal

    reference. In addition, such information contains projections and forwardlooking

    statements that reflect the Companys current views with respect to future events and

    financial performance. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risk. No

    assurance can be given that further events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or

    that the Companys assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from

    those projected.

    2

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    3

    OurBusinessModel

    3

    Producer

    Transporter

    Distributor GSA

    GTA Off taker

    Industrial,

    Commercial,

    Residential

    Dominantplayer

    in

    domestic

    natural

    gas

    transmissionanddistribution

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    ShareholdingStructure

    4

    43.03%Public

    56.96%Governmentof

    Republic

    Indonesia

    *) Total:24,241,508,196shares

    Public

    Shareincludes

    1,850,000

    shares

    of

    Treasury

    Stock

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    SubsidiariesandAffiliates

    5

    Transasia

    PipelineCompany 40%

    60%

    PetronasInternationalCorporation

    Ltd.(35%)

    ConocoIndonesiaHoldingLtd.(35%)

    SPCIndoPipelineCo.Ltd.(15%)

    TalismanTransgasindoLtd.(15%)

    40%

    60%PGN

    Pertamina

    60%

    40%PGN

    PTTransportasi

    GasIndonesia

    PT PGASTelekomunikasi Nusantara

    PT PGASSolution

    PTNusantara

    Regas

    PT SakaEnergi

    Indonesia

    PT GagasEnergi

    Indonesia

    PT PGNLNG

    Indonesia

    60% 100% 100% 40% 99% 99% 99%

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    Minister of State Own Enterprise

    To act as Government of Republic of Indonesia shareholder proxy.

    Minister of Energy and Mineral ResourcesTo formulate national, implementation and technical policies in

    energy and mineral resources sector.

    Downstream Oil and Gas Regulator

    To regulate and to supervise downstream oil and gas activities

    (processing, transportation, storage and trading).

    KeyStakeholders

    6

    KEMENTERIAN

    BADANUSAHAMILIKNEGARA

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    RelatedRegulations

    7

    Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 19/2009

    Set the structure of natural gas trading, transmission and distribution

    business and licensing. Provides special rights and licensing for dedicated downstream. Set pricing mechanism for piped natural gas:

    o Residential regulated by BPH Migas.

    o Special users determined by Minister of Energy.

    o General users determined by the companies.

    Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 3/2010

    Upstream has a mandate to serve domestic demand by 25% of natural gas

    production. Domestic gas utilization priorities for national oil and gas production,

    fertilizer, electricity and industrial uses.

    Exemption for existing Gas Sales & Purchase Agreements, Heads ofAgreement, Memoranda of Understanding or negotiations in progress.

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    DemandforNaturalGas2012

    8

    No Subsidy of Fuel for the Industries

    Subsidies for industries revoked in 2005.

    Pricing and Efficiencies

    Significant price and efficiencies benefits by converting to

    natural gas, as well as environmental concerns.

    Conversion of Power Plants

    Pentup demand from the conversion of existing dual fired

    power plants pending availability of gas.

    Demand from the industries

    Require natural gas to compete in the era of Free Trade

    Agreement.

    2,411

    995

    813

    394285 270

    116

    TotalDemand

    :5,284MMSCFD

    Source:MinistryofIndustryRepublicofIndonesia&PLN

    [MM

    SCFD]

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    StrategytoFulfillDemand

    9

    Obtain access to new gas supplies

    Actively seeking new gas supplies, starting from the oneslocated in the proximity of existing infrastructure. Seek to obtain more allocation from the imposed domestic

    market obligations to new production and contracts, but will

    require new infrastructure to be built.

    Develop existing and build new infrastructure

    Expand existing distribution and transmission capacity. Plan for intermode gas transportation such as CNG and LNG.

    Aim for nonconventional sources

    Plan and anticipate the nonconventional sources such as CoalBed Methane.

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    10

    30.68

    31.51

    29.26

    27.79

    22.21

    17.89

    17.71

    14.04

    10.38

    8.45

    Kerosene

    Gasoline88Ron

    HSD(Diesel)

    MDF/IDO(Diesel)

    MFO

    LPG

    Bulk

    LPG 50Kg

    LPG 12 Kg

    (Subsidized)

    LPG 3Kg

    (Subsidized)

    NaturalGas

    USD/MMBtu

    OpportunityinPriceAdvantage

    10

    PGNAverage

    SellingPrice

    Note:

    FuelpricePertamina asof1stOctober2012

    ExchangerateUSD1=IDR 9,200

    10

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    [USD/MMBTU]

    ComparisonBetweenHSDvs NaturalGas

    HSDUnsubsidizedPrice

    NaturalGasPGN'sPrice

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    DistributionPricingScheme

    11

    Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 19

    Year 2009

    Allows pricing for general users to be determined by theCompanies.

    General users are nonsubsidized industries and power plants.

    Pricing Considerations

    Demand and Supply Dynamics

    Affordability Reasonable Margin

    Intended to stimulate more supplies to meet the growing

    demands

    Implementation

    PGN has taken the effort to communicate and educate theend users market on the merit of new pricing flexibility.

    Implement new pricing scheme with regionalized anddifferentiated pricing on nationwide basis from 1 April 2010.

    CostofGasCostofGas

    Transport&

    Distribution

    Costs

    Transport&

    Distribution

    Costs

    InternalCostInternalCost

    Margin/

    Spread

    Margin/

    Spread

    Gas

    SellingPrice

    Gas

    SellingPrice

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    TransmissionPipelineFacilitiesand

    DistributionArea

    12

    Duri

    KALIMANTAN

    Terbanggi Besar St.Pagardewa St.

    Panaran St.

    BojonegaraSt.

    Grissik ReceivingSt.

    Legend:

    SouthSumatera WestJavaTransmission

    Pipeline(SSWJ)

    Grissik Duri transmissionpipeline

    PLN Medan

    Strategic

    Business

    Unit

    (SBU)

    I

    StrategicBusinessUnit(SBU)II

    StrategicBusinessUnit(SBU)III

    Grissik Singaporetransmissionpipeline

    Pagardewa CompressorSt.

    Muara Bekasi St.

    Labuhan Maringgai St.

    Wampu -Belawan transmission pipeline

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    SourcesofGas

    13

    PertiwiNusantaraResources

    (gasex

    Salamander

    Energy)

    Inti Daya Latu Prima

    (gasexJambiMerang)

    Pertamina EP

    RegionJawa

    Pertamina EP

    RegionSumatera

    CorridorPSC

    MedcoE&PIndonesia

    South&CentralSumatra PSC

    Lapindo Brantas,Inc

    Brantas PSC

    PHEWMO

    WestMaduraOffshorePSC

    Pertamina EP

    FieldP.Susu

    Indonesia

    Pertamina TACEllipse

    Jatirarangon PSC

    MaduraOffshore

    PSC

    MedcoE&P

    Lematang

    Lematang PSC

    HuskyOil

    MaduraStraitPSC

    BBG&WNE,IKD,

    Sadikun(gasexTSB)

    GagasEnergi

    (gasexPHEWMO)

    13

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    WeServeAllSegments

    14

    INDUSTRIES AND

    POWERPLANTS

    97%oftotalvolumes

    1,245Customers

    COMMERCIALS

    &SME

    2.7%oftotalvolumes

    1,658Customers

    HOUSEHOLDS

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    43%

    15%

    11%

    8%

    6%5%

    4% 4%3%

    1%

    PowerPlant Chemical Ceramic Food FabricatedMetal Others Paper Basic

    Metal Textile Cement

    Diversified Industrial Customer

    Domestic industrial consumption 9M-2012

    was 777 MMScfd or 97% of PGNs sales

    15

    15

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    GrowingOperationalPerformance

    16

    767

    836

    845 844

    878

    2009 2010 2011 9M11 9M12

    792

    824

    795

    785

    801

    2009 2010 2011 9M11 9M12

    Transmission Distribution

    (MMSCFD)

    (MMSCFD)

    17

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    Interim Consolidated Statements of

    Comprehensive Income 9M 2012

    17

    InUSD Mio 9M

    2011 9M

    2012 %

    Revenues 1,635.6 1,827.8 12

    Cost ofRevenues 619.1 746.9 21

    OperatingIncome 698.2 768.8 10

    EBITDA 846.1 904.3 7

    NetIncome 533.8 621.3 16

    17

    18

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    Interim Consolidated Statements of

    Financial Position

    InUSDMio Jan1,2011/Dec

    31,2010 Dec31,2011 30 Sep,2012

    CurrentAssets

    NonCurrentAssets1,5421,998

    1,5071,893

    1,7261,886

    TotalAssets 3,540 3,400 3,612

    CurrentLiabilities

    NonCurrent

    Liabilities

    TotalEquity

    449

    1,4401,651

    274

    1,2471,879

    330

    1,2022,080

    TotalLiabilitiesAndShareholdersEquity 3,540 3,400 3,612

    Key Ratios 9M 11 9M 12

    DebttoEquityRatio(x) 0.58 0.49

    Netdebt/Equity(x)

    EBITDA/Interestexpense(x) 38.7 54.9

    Returnon

    Investment

    (%) 24.9 25.1

    18

    18

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    DebtCompositionasof9M2012

    19

    JPY

    72.2%

    USD

    27.8%

    Fixed

    82%

    Float

    18%

    Longtermdebtamountingto

    USD867 million

    Mostlylong

    dated/maturity

    loans

    fromDevelopmentalBanks

    EffectiveCostof

    DebtofAround 1.9%

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    RecentUpdates

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    Event Detail of Event

    October 17, 2012

    Amendmentandrestatement

    agreementwithHoegh andRekayasaIndonesia

    Strengthening the sinergy between PGN and Hoegh Rekayasa Industri to

    follow up the relocation of FSRF in Medan to Lampung

    August 30, 2012

    Price increase of gas supply from major

    suppliers

    Application of two phases price increase for upstream supply

    Starting September 1, 2012 :

    ConocoPhillips increased its selling price from $ 1.85/mmbtu to $ 4.36/mmbtu

    Pertamina increased its selling price from $ 2.2/mmtu to $ 4.42/mmbtu

    Starting April 1, 2013 :

    ConocoPhillips selling price will go up from $ 4.36/mmtu to $ 5.44/mmbtu

    Pertaminas selling price will go up from $ 4.42/mmbtu to $ 5.33/mmbtu

    June 28, 2012

    Price adjustment of PGNs gas selling

    price to customers

    PGN will increase its selling price by 50% to customers in West Java

    The increase will be implemented in stages: 35% starting September 2012

    and 15% starting April 2013

    20

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    PlanforNewLNGInfrastructure

    21

    Donggi

    Senoro

    Block

    Mahakam

    Block Tangguh

    Block

    Masela

    Block

    ExistingLNGLiquefactionPlant

    ExistingLNG

    Receiving

    Terminal

    Existingtransmissionpipelines(PGNinvolvement)

    (planned)

    (planned)

    Arun

    Block

    PlannedLNGLiquefactionPlant

    PlannedLNG

    Receiving

    Terminal

    (PGNInvolvement)

    (PGNInvolvement)

    (Revitalisation)

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    FloatingLNGTerminalOverview

    22

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    LNGReceivingTerminals

    23

    West Java Lampung

    Location JakartaBay LabuhanMaringgai

    Capacity(MTPA) 3MTPA 23 MTPA

    Customers Power plants,industry

    Owner PGN(40%)Pertamina (60%) PGN

    Scope FSRU, jetty, subseaand

    overland

    pipelines

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    FSRUProject WestJava

    24

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    FSRUProjects RecentDevelopment

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    West Java:

    Gas has been source with Mahakam PSC to the ammount of

    11.75 MT of LNG supply over 11 years and back

    to

    back HoA withPLN as the offtaker.

    FSRU Nusantara Regas1 has been positioning at Jakarta Bay andoperating starting June 2012.

    LNG supplies is coming from Bontang.

    Lampung:

    Advance survey and Environment Impact Analysis Document. Target of project completion in 2014. Principal permit from local authority for project location. Amendment and restatement agreement with Hoegh on October

    17, 2012.

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    Thank You

    Contact:

    Investor Relations

    PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk

    Jl. K H Zainul Arifin No. 20, Jakarta-11140,

    Indonesia

    Ph: +62 21 6334838 Fax: +62 21 6331632

    http://www.pgn.co.id

    Thank You

    Contact:

    Investor Relations

    PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk

    Jl. K H Zainul Arifin No. 20, Jakarta-11140,

    Indonesia

    Ph: +62 21 6334838 Fax: +62 21 6331632

    http://www.pgn.co.id