peter tallantire, uk cabinet office
TRANSCRIPT
To ensure a secure and resilient United Kingdom - by protecting our people, economy, infrastructure, territory and way of life from all major risks that can affect us directly
National Security Strategy- High level objectives
To shape a stable world, by acting to reduce the likelihood of risks affecting the UK or British interests overseas, and applying our instruments of power and influence to shape
the global environment
2
1
UK Resilience – Delivered Together
Identifying risks
EvaluatingResilience
Assessing risks
BuildingResilience
CommsGeneric Capabilities
Specific Plans
Business Continuity
Crisis Management
Horizon scanning
Systematic risk identification
Systematic Risk Assessment
Performance Management
Exercises
Real-life events
Requirements& Solutions
Assessing the Risks
Fatalities Casualties Social disruption* Economic Psychological
1 2 3 4 5* Social disruption: Disruption to Transport Disruption to supplies of
drinking water, fuel, gas, electricity, communications, money
Disruptions to schools, health services
Environmental damage Evacuation
HAZARD: ‘Likelihood’ Historical Evidence Predictable events, for example weather
forecasts Expert advice
THREAT: ‘plausibility’ “Plausibility” Intelligence about capability Intelligence about intent Intelligence about vulnerability
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
RISK
Likelihood/ Plausibility
Impact
5
4
3
2
11 2 3 4 5
=
Consequences• What are the generic consequences?• Reasonable worst case warning time?• Regional variation?• Military involvement?• Interdependency?
National Resilience Planning Assumptions
Risks• What risks should drive planning?• What is the reasonable worst case,
taken across those risks
plus
Functional Planning Assumptions
Essential Services Planning Assumptions
Building Resilience – Capability Development
5
NationalResilience Capabilities
Programme (NRCP)
Co-ordinates cross-HMG work to build and maintain
capability against the common consequences set out in the
NRPAS
National Risk Planning Assumptions
Hazards
Matrix
Managing Flood Risk
Rail Resilience Programme
Flood
Water Rescue TeamsSupport the movement and retrieval of people and property
High Volume Pump Tactical AdvisorsProvide strategic advice on deployment of High Volume Pumps
Build flood defences
Early warning
Response
Preparedness
Flood rescue National Asset RegisterProvides a centrally managed database of nationally available Rescue boats and teams for deployment to support local response
Sector Resilience
Flood alerts andwarningsfrom theEnvironment Agency
Cold weather
Department of Health Cold Weather Plan
......the average number of excess winter deaths in England and Wales exceeds 25,000, and this increased to 36,700 for 2008/9..........
over 2 million tonnes of salt stored for the winter....
Electricity margin this winter is 5%
Cold weather payments - £25 cold weather payment for an average of 0C or below, over 7 consecutive days
Minimal parliamentary interest significant parliamentary interest dominating party/national debate
Local Response only
Region
Cross Force
Cross - Region
National Coverage
Local Response withtwo way information Channel to Central Gov
Serious – Level 1Lead Government Dept led central response
Significant – Level 2Co-ordinated central response from COBR
Catastrophic – Level 3 Central direction
from COBR
Single Scene
Minimal LGD operational interest DCLG RED Ops LGD Ops Collective response Central direction Minimal LGD policy interest DCLG monitoring LGD actively involved Strategic challenge Overwhelming
Impact
Scale
Local response • Occasional briefing to DCLG or
Lead dept
Serious – Level 1 Emergency• LGD* response activated • CCS participate LGD X Govt
Teleconf • CO support and direction to LGD • Cabinet Office Ad Hoc briefing to
Ministers / No 10• CO led teleconferences where
required
Serious – Level 2 Emergency• CO co-ordinate COBR
response • Ministerial and Official
meetings (inc teleconf where necessary)
• CO led sub groups as appropriate
• CO engagement and support to SAGE
• CO/No10 Co-ordination of Comms – Meetings & Teleconf
Catastrophic -Level 3 Emergency• Top down Response • Enhanced CO co-ordination
drawing across units • Additional Command and control
arrangements – provision of national assets and resources
• Co-ordination of legal – emergency powers provision
Central Response – Trigger Levels & Co-ordination mechanisms
• DCLG RED – participation in Strategic Coordinating Groups (SCGs)
• National co –ordination of police, fire mutual aid
* LGD – Lead Government Department
+
Local Response Single Scene Point of activation
where terrorism is suspected
+ +
e.g. Road Traffic Accident
e.g. Large Scale Fire
e.g. Flooding
e.g. Prison Riot e.g. Animal Disease (Foot & Mouth)
e.g. July Bombings
e.g. London Riots
e.g. Pandemic Flu
e.g. Volcanic Ash
e.g. Industrial Action
Organisation
Sub-national Co-ordination
GovernmentLiaison Team
COBR
Silver Command
Bronze Command Bronze Command
Wide-area EmergencySingle Scene
OperationalControl at Scene
OperationalCo-ordination
IntegratedOverall Command
(usually) led by Police
NationalStrategic Level
StrategicCo-ordination
Centre (Gold Group)
GOLD Command
StrategicCo-ordination
Centre (Gold Group)
GOLD Command
StrategicCo-ordination
Centre (Gold Group)
GOLD Command
StrategicCo-ordination
Centre (Gold Group)
GOLD Command