peter katz - reliance rail - a case study on the reliance rail rolling stock ppp
TRANSCRIPT
The Waratah Train Project – Case Study
19 November 2015
Covering
• What is Reliance Rail?
• The Journey so far
• Current position
• Lessons from the project
• Conclusion
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What is Reliance Rail?
Reliance Rail is the special purpose company set up for the
Waratah Train Project, a PPP for:
• Design, manufacture, testing and commissioning of 78 x 8
car stainless steel double deck train sets,
• 2 driver and 2 guard crew training simulators
• A new maintenance facility for up to 1000 rail cars
• Maintenance of trains, facilities and simulators for 30 years
• Total delivery value of $3.6b (NPV over full term of
contract)
3
What is Reliance Rail? Key Players
*Under a restructure agreement the NSW government has an arrangement to inject equity in
2018 under certain conditions.
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SYDNEY TRAINS
RELIANCE RAIL
EQUITY PROVIDERS
State $175M*
Original Investors $137M Downer EDI
AMP Capital
RBS
IPP
DEBT PROVIDERS
Bank Debt Westpac
NAB
Sumitomo
Mizuho
Bonds
Sub-Debt
Hitachi Aust-DEDIR Joint Venture
Rolling Stock
Manufacture
Contract
Financial Guarantee
TRAIN BUILD
EDI Rail PPP Maintenance Pty Ltd
(100% owned by DEDIR)
THROUGH LIFE SUPPORT
Maintenance Facility
Construction
Contract
FINANCIAL GUARANTORS
FGIC Syncora
50% 50%
EDI Rail Pty Ltd (100% owned by DEDIR)
FACILITY BUILD
Project Contract
Through Life
Support
Contract
What is Reliance Rail? Structure
.
5
Scrapping of old non air conditioned trains
6
The Journey 1
• Contract signed in December 2006
• Design was late, subcontractors changed
• International supply chain issues
• Time required to establish quality benchmarks
• The first train was delivered 30 June 2011 - 14 months late, subsequent trains later still
• The GFC had a significant effect on funding confidence
• AAA rated monoline insurers downgrade affected Reliance Rail credit ratings
7
The Journey 2
• New more experienced management at contractor
• Design locked down
• Focus on high volume manufacturing
• Focus by all parties on outcomes
• Increased collaboration between parties
• Train delivery rates improved
8
The Journey 3
• Financial delay costs funded by Downer
• Way forward agreed – Government to inject $175m in equity in 2018
subject to specific conditions being met
• Bank drawdown achieved, project fully funded
• Train delivery rebounded - Trains entered service at twice scheduled
rate
• Final train set entered service May 2014
• Trains proving to be highly reliable and popular with public
• Project receives ARA Corporate Award, 2015 and Engineers Australia
Engineering Excellence Award for Project Management, 2014.
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Train delivery
10
Day
s b
ehin
d s
ched
ule
Current situation
• Trains have travelled over 35 million kilometres in
service
• Reliability and availability of trains excellent
• Reliance look forward to another 28 years of providing
trains to the Sydney network
11
Rolling stock Availability
12
99.89%
*6 month average
Reliability Improvement going as planned
13
Where to for Reliance Rail
• Delivery risk passed
• Trains proving reliable
• Stable cash flows from AAA rated government
• Interest rate and CPI exposure hedged
• Confidence in project finances increasing
• Good relationships with key stake holders
• Contract runs for another 28 years with potential for extension
14
What Waratah Trains bring to Sydney Commuters
• Nearly half of Sydney Trains fleet now modern air-
conditioned comfortable trains
• Passenger numbers are predicted to grow 89% over
next 30 years (NSW Government Bureau of
Transport Statistics) - Waratahs help accommodate
the growth
• Rail is essential for a modern city to survive and
thrive
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Future rail patronage to grow rapidly
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100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
20
11
20
16
20
21
20
26
20
31
20
36
20
41
20
46
Car Driver
Car Passenger
Rail / Light Rail / Ferry
Bus
Bicycle
Walk
Taxi
Year
Demand Statistics by Journey (Linked Trip)
(24-hr Average Workday)
Gro
wth
in p
atr
onage d
em
and
20
11 =
10
0
Lessons from the Waratah Train project - Delivery
• Relationships essential to delivery, has to be a partnership
• Contract has to be flexible – numerous changes will happen
• Approval processes need to be clear, quick and have a materiality threshold
• Mass produced products need to have design finalised and quality controlled before production ramps up.
• Supply chain management essential
• Look at long term need and order for long term
17
Lessons from the Waratah Train project - Maintenance
• Change will continue – all parties and documents
must allow for it
• Incentivize all desired outcomes, need to relate
money to total performance
• Technology will change
• Demands and usage will change
• Good working relationships must continue for
duration.
18
Lessons from the Waratah Train project - Finance
• Establish simple consent structures with financiers –
only for material items
• Need flexibility in finance deal long term – set and
forget is not an option
• In a 40 year contract conditions will move – GFCs,
booms, busts, exchange rate changes, inflation. It
will all happen.
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Conclusion
• All parties must work together to get best outcomes for all (includes client, contractor(s), SPV and financiers)
• Expect and allow for change
• Keep financing flexible and simple
“Going by train? Catch a Waratah if you can”
Sydney Morning Herald
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