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© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
PEPS Oil & Gas RiskCritical Risk Analysis and Benchmarking Tools for E&P Workflows
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Oil & Gas Risk: Beyond Country Risk
• An oil & gas industry approach to risk assessment
> Petroleum sector focused, produced by experts with regulatory and fiscal policy understanding
> Drawing on energy fundamentals, institutions, and investor dynamics
• Answering critical questions for countries of interest, such as:
> What is the potential for legislative or regulatory-driven changes in regulatory burden and licensing terms?
> Which states are most vulnerable to the low oil price environment, and which have the willingness and/or capacity to change fiscal terms?
> How does the mix of foreign competitors and the level of NOC dominance affect policy choices and risks to new entrants and incumbents?
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Oil & Gas Risk RatingOil & Gas Risk Rating
State Capacity Political LegitimacyPolitical Violence Geopolitical Risk
State Capacity Political LegitimacyPolitical Violence Geopolitical Risk
Country PoliticsCountry Politics
Sanctity of ContractRegulatory Burden Civil Society Risk
Corruption Rule of Law
Sanctity of ContractRegulatory Burden Civil Society Risk
Corruption Rule of Law
Hydrocarbon Sector Operations
Hydrocarbon Sector Operations
International OpennessGovernment Take Expeditiousness of
Contract State/NOC Role
International OpennessGovernment Take Expeditiousness of
Contract State/NOC Role
Hydrocarbon SectorEntry
Hydrocarbon SectorEntry
Export RiskFacility and Personnel
Violence Ministerial/Policy
VolatilityLabor Unrest
Export RiskFacility and Personnel
Violence Ministerial/Policy
VolatilityLabor Unrest
Hydrocarbon SectorShocks
Hydrocarbon SectorShocks
Transfer Risk Primary Fiscal Balance
Real Per Capita GDP Growth
Level of Development
Transfer Risk Primary Fiscal Balance
Real Per Capita GDP Growth
Level of Development
Country EconomicsCountry Economics
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.3
Service Features
• Briefs and Research Notes: Ongoing monitoring and timely analysis of changes to energy policy, investor relations and operational risks tied into oil & gas risk factors
• Special Reports and Quarterly Outlooks: Detailed assessment of global trends and analysis of special interest topics
• Country Profiles: Analysis of government policy and decision making, energy fundamentals, and competitive environment in top hydrocarbon producing countries
• Advanced Risk Rating and Benchmarking Tools: Customizable tool for more advanced visualization and evaluation of risk for 130 countries and territories over the immediate and five-year time-horizons, focusing on 21 upstream risk factors
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Oil & Gas Risk Commentaries
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Expert analysis and quantitative ratings for each risk factor
• Summary of the current overall risk environment and the 5-year outlook
• Detailed analysis of the quantitative and qualitative factors driving each risk rating component
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Research Notes and Briefs
• Ongoing monitoring of changes to energy policy, investor relations, and operational risks tied into oil & gas risk factors
• Timely analysis of key developments and how they impact the upstream risk environment
• Research notes and briefs incorporate IHS energy data, forecasts and cartography
• Recent examples include:
• Saudi Arabia: Succession risks to energy
• Nigeria: Contract changes and energy reforms
• Chad: Gloves off on fiscal change
• Brazil: Pressures to relax local content
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Timely expert analysis on key developments with impact on upstream risk factors
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Special Reports and Quarterlies
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In-depth analysis of regional, thematic and country developments
• Forward looking assessments, allowing clients to anticipate changes to their risk environment beyond the country level
• Detailed analysis of emerging trends affecting investors on a regional, thematic and country level
• Drawing on IHS energy data, forecasts, cartography, and broader petroleum sector expertise
• Recent examples include:
• Boundary disputes affecting E&P
• Impact of low oil prices on above ground risk
• Impact of competitor mix on E&P engagement
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Oil & Gas Country Profiles
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Analysis of the structural fundamentals of key producing countries
• Government Policy and Decision Making –analysis of the structure of the policy making and governing entities
• Energy Fundamentals – the petroleum sector in the context of the larger economy and fiscal balance
• Competitive Environment – assessment of the active producers in the country, including the impact of state-owned firms
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Risk Rating and Benchmarking Tools
• See Current, 5-year Forecast, and Historical scoring trends for all risk factors
• Quickly compare risk factors across multiple countries and visualize in several formats
• Customize risk factor weightings to reflect user’s own concerns and risk tolerance
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Easily visualize and compare above-ground risks
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
[email protected]@[email protected]
Oil & Gas Risk Analyst Team
Latin [email protected]@ihs.com
Western Europe and North [email protected] Russia/CIS/Eastern Europe
Middle East and North [email protected]@ihs.comSub-Saharan Africa
[email protected]@ihs.com
Iraq Iran
PEPS Oil & Gas Risk [email protected]
© 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
IHS Customer Care:
Americas: +1 800 IHS CARE (+1 800 447 2273); [email protected]
Europe, Middle East, and Africa: +44 (0) 1344 328 300; [email protected]
Asia and the Pacific Rim: +604 291 3600; [email protected]
Contact Us
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Email: [email protected]