marc’s college false favorite gom goes saturday! s college false favorite gom goes saturday!...

VegasInsider.com

Volume 30, Issue 6 October 1-5, 2015

BEST BETS WIN AGAIN, NOW 16-5!

Marc’s College False Favorite GOM Goes Saturday!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

SABAN, CRIMSON TIDE IN FIGHT FOR PLAYOFF LIVES!

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2015 Amway Coaches

Poll Top 25 (Week 5):

1 OHIO ST2 MICHIGAN ST3 TCU4 BAYLOR5 OLE MISS6 GEORGIA7 NOTRE DAME

8 LSU9 FLORIDA ST10 UCLA11 CLEMSON12 UTAH13 ALABAMA

14 OKLAHOMA15 TEXAS A&M16 USC17 N’WESTERN18 WISCONSIN19 OKLAHOMA ST

20 STANFORD21 WEST VIRGINIA22 MISSISSIPPI ST23 FLORIDA24 CALIFORNIA25 OREGON

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

THE TIMES THEYARE A-CHANGIN’

A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

PLAY AGAINST any college football road dog off a win

if they fi nished the previous season with a 6-7 record.

“The line is drawn, the curse it is castThe slow one now will later be fast.As the present now will later be past

The order is rapidly fadin’.And the fi rst one now will later be last

For the times they are a changin’.”

The world of college football is altering rapidly. No longer just a Saturday sport, it’s now a

competition fi lled with 128 teams vying to fi ll 40 bowl games, playing every night of the week around schedules expanded to 13-plus games.

Is the product diluted? Sure it is. Do we care? No, we don’t… not as long we get our college football fi x throughout the fall into the early months of winter.

More is the operative word these days. Thanks to the kindness of the NCAA (sic), there are more football scholarships being offered these days than ever before. As a result, more coaches are employed and students are attending games. The fact is the NCAA’s bottom line has never been healthier. We’ll save the argument for player royalties for another debate.

Meanwhile, along with expanded schedules comes a new twist from a handicapping perspective. It involves the psyche of teams that came this-close to a winning season last year and how they perform the following campaign. While there are a myriad of situations that abound, one of the more intriguing ones tells us to –

That’s because our powerful database reports that teams in this role have gone 28-42-1 ATS since 2000.

The damaging side effects of a 6-7 season linger on the following year. After coming oh-so-close to a winning campaign, these teams tend to lose their way when playing away from home, especially when taking to the highway off a win.

Dress them up as a dog of more than 6 points in a conference games and they

slip to 10-23 ATS in this road-weary role. Worse, pair them up against foe with a decent defense (allows less than 27 PPG) and they dip to 3-28 SU and 6-25 ATS.

Last year witnessed three such qualifying plays when Rutgers (+20.5) fell at Ohio State, 56-17; and then again at Michigan State (+24), 45-3; while Washington State (+14) was blown out at Arizona State, 52-31.

And for what it’s worth, these teams bottom out at 1-10 ATS when facing a quality defensive foe off a loss. This week fi nds North Carolina traveling to Georgia Tech in this precarious role.

So now you know what to do. As legendary singer-songwriter Bob Dylan once sang:

“And don’t speak too soon, for the wheel’s still in spin, and there’s no

tellin’ who that it’s namin’.For the loser now will be later to win,

For the times they are a changin’.”

View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

ATS W-L Record Since 1980:

18-2(90%)

BUMP INTHE ROAD

PLAY AGAINST any college football road favorite with rest from

Game Four out if they won 11 or fewer games last season and

are facing an avenging foe who won 7 or more games last season.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach shines in conference loss revenge games, going 22-12 SUATS. When priced as either a dog or a favorite

of 3 or less points, he zooms to 18-3 ATS. Who is this week’s revenge monster?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

Be sure to check out the COACHES LEAGUE for ATS records on every College & NFL coach in 16 key situational roles. Simply log on to www.PLAYBOOK.com and click on the COACHES LEAGUE.

T R I V I A T E A S E R

Play AGAINST: MIAMI FLORIDA

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

The Temple Owls are just 1-29 SU in lined road games when playing with rest,

including 25 losses in a row.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Thursday, October 1Baltimore 5-0 Away Three vs div opp w/ rev… 5-1 A aft Cincinnati PITTSBURGH 4-1 H Thursday off non-div… 1-4 Home Two vs div

Sunday, October 4Ny Jets 12-3 RD’s vs div off NFC… 1-5 A off H vs opp off HMiami SERIES: 0-3 L3… 5-1 favs 3 > off Buffalo vs .500 > div

Jacksonville 5-1 Away Two dogs vs div… 1-5 Game Four awayINDIANAPOLIS 6-0 H btwn 2 A vs div opp… 5-1 in 2nd of 3 div games

Houston 4-1 A in 2nd BB non-div bef Indy… 0-6 Away Two dogsATLANTA 1-8 vs AFC… 1-7 H off BB A… 2-9 1st BB H

Carolina 5-0 Away Two vs opp w/ rev… 0-5 A in 2nd BB div TAMPA BAY SERIES: 1-3 L4… 8-2 vs .500 > div bef AFC

Ny Giants 9-0 Away Two dogs off DD SU win… 6-0 off ThursdayBUFFALO SERIES: 1-5-1 L7 / 0-3 L3H… 1-5 Game Four

Oakland 4-1 bef Denver… 11-4 Away Two vs non-div oppCHICAGO SERIES: 4-0 L4H… 12-1 H off BB SU losses vs AFC

Philadelphia 18-4 in 2nd BB A… 1-6 off SU dog winWASHINGTON 0-5 H bef NFC South… 1-14 H bef BB A vs < .500 opp

Kansas City 7-1 off NFC… 0-5 off MNF vs opp off SUATS win CINCINNATI 5-0 1st BB H… 8-1 off SUATS A win

Cleveland 10-2 vs < .500 non-div opp off BB SU losses w/ rev SAN DIEGO SERIES: 0-3 L3… 0-4 bef MNF… 1-8 H off BB A

Green Bay 2-6 A btwn 2 H vs non-div… 2-6 A w/ rev bef BB H SAN FRAN 6-0 off SU Arizona loss… 0-7 HD’s off DD SU loss & BB A

Minnesota 1-7 A off H vs opp off A… 2-9 Away Two non-div dogsDENVER 7-1 HF’s vs non-div opp scored 30 > pts… 4-1 off NFC

St. Louis 6-0 off AFC… 6-1 off non-div & scored < 7 ptsARIZONA SERIES: 4-0 L4 / 6-2 L8H… 3-14 HF’s aft allow < 14 pts

Dallas 0-8 A btwn 2 H off non-div vs opp off SU lossNEW ORLEANS SERIES: 8-3 L11 / 5-1 L6H… 5-0 off BB div games

Monday, October 5Detroit 2-13 A off AFC… 4-10 RD’s vs < .500 non-div oppSEATTLE 8-0 H MNF w/ rev… 14-2 in 2nd BB H vs non-div opp

Saturday, October 3W Virginia 10-2 as conf dogs 7 < pts… 3-7 w/ conf revengeOKLAHOMA 4-0 Game Four… 3-0 aft Tulsa… 3-1 aft score 50+ pts

Iowa SERIES: 8-3 L11… 5-0 away off BB HG… 6-1 w/ conf revWISCONSIN 1-4 in 4th straight HG… 1-3 Game Five… 2-5 vs conf rev

Miss State 5-1 as conf dog 7 < pts… 8-2 in 2nd of BB RG TEXAS A&M 0-6-1 Game Five… 0-5 aft Arkansas… 0-4 as HF’s 7 < pts

Arizona St 5-2 w/ conf revenge… 1-4 as conf RD’s 10 > ptsUCLA 0-4-1 as HF’s 10 > pts… 2-8 home vs conf revenge

Arizona 5-1 as conf RD’s 15 > pts… 0-5 aft UclaSTANFORD SERIES: 7-3 L10… 5-2 as conf HF 14 > pts… 1-4 Game Five

Texas SERIES: Visitor 5-1… 0-6 Game Five… 0-3 away off BBB HGTCU 8-3 home bef BB RG… 1-4 aft Texas Tech… 2-5 Game Five

Alabama 6-1 as RF/RD 3 < pts… 5-2 away off BBB HGGEORGIA 0-6-1 in 3rd straight HG… 2-6 off BB SU home wins

Ole Miss 6-2 aft Vandy… 3-7 vs conf bef non-conf HGFLORIDA 5-1 aft Tenn… 0-5 in 2nd of BB HG… 0-3 bef Missouri

Ohio St 1-4 as conf RF’s 14 > pts… 2-7 vs conf revengeINDIANA SERIES: 4-0 L4… 4-0 Game Five… 4-1 as HD’s > 18 pts

Notre Dame 4-1 Game Five… 7-3 as fav /dog 3 < pts… 2-5 bef NavyCLEMSON 4-1 in 1st of 3 straight HG’s… 1-4 w/ rest vs non-conf opp

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

SMARTBOX

FRESHEN UPAccording to our powerful database, it seems Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This is especially true for teams that are either playing at home off a win, or conversely on the road off their fi rst defeat of the season. Check out these numbers:• When these reinvigorated home teams take the fi eld off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season, they are a super-strong 78-49-1 ATS overall since 1980.This week fi nds Clemson, Oklahoma and Tulane with smiles on their faces.Dress these rested Game Four hosts with a measure of revenge and they rocket to 30-11-1 ATS. And if they take on a conference foe in this rested, avenging role they zoom to 27-5 ATS. With that, look for the Green Wave to bring home the green this Saturday.• Meanwhile, Game Four rested road teams who fi nd themselves off a loss have gone 39-19 ATS over the same span in this role. Air Force and Pittsburgh both fi t the bill this week. Bring these same guys in off their fi rst loss of the season and they really show their muscle, going 25-10 ATS. Air Force and Pittsburgh qualify this week.And fi nally, if these rested Game Four road teams are off their initial defeat and are facing a foe that allowed more than 17 points in its previous game, their record rockets to 16-2 ATS. Once again, the Falcons get the call.Now, if you’re either Air Force or Tulane this week, raise your hand if you’re sure!

WEEK FOUR BYES: NEW ENGLAND, TENNESSEE


Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Crimson Tide Muzzles Bulldogs Between The Hedges...Broncos Ready To Repel Viking Invaders At Mile High...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 1-5

Friday, October 2Memphis over SOUTH FLORIDA by 6

Following last week’s aforementioned win over Cincinnati, the Tigers now sit 4-0 for the fi rst time since 1961 while riding a school-record 11-game win skein dating back to last season. And while we think a 12th straight victory is certainly within reach, it’s a baker’s dozen and the monster look-ahead to Ole Miss two weeks from Saturday that has us concerned tonight in Tampa. Remember, not only did the Tigers’ stop-unit get lit up for 752 total yards in last week’s win over Cincy, they also got torched for 579 by Bowling Green and allowed 359 yards to lowly Kansas (the Jayhawks’ FBS high). And though we realize that running with these Bulls has been more dangerous of late (6-28 SU the last 34 versus FBS foes) than dodging the ones in Pamplona, they have at least covered seven of their last 13, including 7-1 ATS when taking doubles. And though we’ve ‘never been to Spain’, we ‘kinda like’ the South Florida bovines as USF HC Willie Taggart is 15-4 ATS in his familiar role as a conference dog, including 6-0 ATS off back-to-back losses. So while the 2015 Tigers may continue to make history, when it comes to taking the points, ‘we can’t refuse it’ (if you’re a fan of Three Dog Night you knew that was coming!) – especially with the Bulls seeking double revenge from 13 and 11-point losses, respectively, each of the past two seasons.

Temple over CHARLOTTE by 16After a pair of season-opening wins to begin their maiden FBS voyage, it has been ‘hush, hush’ for not-so-sweet Charlotte the past two weeks as they were drubbed 73-14 at Middle Tennessee and coughed up the ball seven times in last week’s rain-soaked 10-point home-loss to FAU. However, the 49ers did outgain the Owls in the setback while pushing the spread and that provides hope that the hosts can stay within this generous number in front of the home faithful. After all – compliments of our INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page 3 – the Owls are 1-29 SU in lined road games (and that one win was by 1 point!) when playing with rest, including 25 losses in a row. With all due respect to the fi ne job Matt Rhule has done with the 3-0 Owls, we’re not about to lay the lumber with a team that hasn’t laid double-digits since 2011 – in their third straight road game, no

Thursday, October 1

4� BEST BET

For the second straight week, the Bearcats honor the God of Thunder by playing on ‘Thor’s day.’ And though the ‘Cats couldn’t quite bring the hammer down last week in Memphis (lost 53-46, despite gaining a school-record 752 yards), we expect a different outcome in this October lid-lifter as fall hits the Queen City. And nothing says autumn in Ohio like NCAA football! Sure, the undefeated Hurricanes fi gure to bring some Miami heat but expect a ‘Bump in the Road’ for Al Golden’s group as they leaf, err leave, South Florida for the fi rst time this season. In addition, the ‘Canes are a super-lazy 0-12 ATS as favorites of 4 or more points when playing with rest. That’s not a good sign against a Cincy squad that is 4-0 ATS with non-conference revenge, 8-2 ATS in weekday affairs and 13-3-1 ATS as home dogs of more than 4 points. And while we’re well aware that starting QB Gunner Kiel (left the Memphis game on a stretcher with a neck injury) may not suit up, it appears that quarterbacks are like electrical sockets in HC Tommy Tuberville’s system – you just plug the next one in and let them light up the fi eld. Such was the case last week as redshirt freshman Hayden Moore relieved Kiel late in the fi rst quarter and proceeded to throw for a school-record 557 yards. And with Tuberville 19-6 SU in his career after scoring more than 45 points, don’t expect his Bearcats to ‘Kiel’ over here. No, it’s a must take as the hosts wield the hammer tonight in Nippert Stadium, especially with the backing of The Clincher: See our AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.

CINCINNATI over Miami Florida by 8

3� BEST BET

Just like the ant with the rubber tree plant, the Yellow Jackets had ‘high hopes’ entering the 2015 season as their pre-season ranking (#16) made them the favorites to win the ACC Coastal. One month into the season, we ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ that the Jackets would be swarming all over the Coastal cellar. Wow, ‘The Times They Are A-Changin’ and rather quickly we might add. However, as Dylan so eloquently put it back in 1964, ‘For the loser now will be later to win.’ And that appears to be the case 51 years into the future as favored Tech fi nds itself hosting a North Carolina team that arrives off a win and fi nished the 2014 season with a 6-7 record. In fact, the Tar Heels fl ourished in this exact role two weeks earlier when they routed the Illini. Better yet, our MIDWEEK ALERT notes that the Stingers ‘D’ has held two of three FBS foes to season-low yardage while the Heels’ soft rush defense (No. 114, allowing 229 RYPG) yielded 279 yards on the ground to Delaware, a lower-rung FCS opponent and now must deal with the Jackets’ ground-and-pound attack. And not only does series history favor the Techsters (5-1 ATS last six, including 3-0 ATS at home), our trends and angles add additional support as: the Jackets are 4-0 ATS with previous-season conference revenge and 6-0-1 ATS as conference home chalk off a SU loss. Meanwhile, the Heels are 1-9 ATS as dogs of more than 6 points after scoring 35 or more and 1-8 ATS in conference openers. With all that being said, look for these Bees to not only move but pollinate a plant today in Atlanta as the fi nal words come courtesy of The Clincher: the Tar Heels fi nd themselves in a precarious 1-10 ATS situation as outlined in the ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ article on page 2.

GEORGIA TECH over N Carolina by 20

PENN ST over Army by 24Yippie. Or should we say ‘Ypsilanti’ to the Black Knights who snapped a 21-game road losing streak with a 58-36 whipping of Eastern Michigan. However, their 1-8 ATS mark off a SU win since 2012 – coupled with an 0-8 ATS log off a double-digit ATS win – suggests the Cadets could be on furlough this week in State College. As it is, the Nittany Lions own the nation’s 13th-rated rush defense (90.5 RYPG), not a good formula for an Army team that relies on the ground for 75% of its offense. In fact, the Cadets’ 118th-rated passing attack is about as effective as a Polish parachute (you know, the one that opens on impact). However, with the Lions hit by the injury bug this season (three starters left last week’s game and did not return while another did not dress) and the offense still sporadic at best, we’re not about to lay this kind of lumber. Thus, we’ll join the infantry – not in battle but on furlough. Pass.

less! And though the nocturnals should improve to 4-0 SU for the fi rst time since ABC aired the fi nal episode of ‘Love, American Style’ (1974), we can’t show any ATS adoration for a Temple team that is 0-10 ATS as chalk with rest. As for the 24 points tonight in Charlotte, ‘that’s me and you’.

BYU over Connecticut by 14 The Friday night fi ghts continue on ESPN2 as the Huskies look to avenge a 25-point home beating they suffered to the Mormons in last season’s opener at East Hartford. And with a 6-1 ATS mark as non-conference dogs of 16 or more points, we’d be on the sled dogs like a mall cop on an Auntie Anne pretzel if this weren’t their fi rst ‘high altitude’ game in recent memory. The truth of the matter is our database feels that the Cougars may be spent as it notes: teams off a shutout loss (blanked by Michigan, 31-0) that was preceded by a 1-point setback (lost, 24-23, to UCLA) are just 3-6 SU and 1-8 ATS since 1997, including 0-7 ATS at home. And while you’re chewing on that, we’ll also let you know that the Cougs were 0-4 ATS as chalk of 15 or more points last season, 0-4 ATS in weekday tilts of late and 1-6 ATS at home versus a foe with revenge. That‘s ‘knot’ something we want to back tonight in Provo. A simple case of take it or leave it.

Saturday, October 3

(continued on next page)


BUFFALO over Bowling Green by 1With a non-conference slate that included a trip to Rocky Top and a pair of Big Ten road wins (Maryland, Purdue) – not to mention a shootout loss with highly-rated Memphis – the 2-2 Bee Gees fi gure to be well-prepared for this MAC opener. However, the Falcons are leaving their nest for the fourth time in fi ve weeks and we’re not about to lay double-digits on the road with a squad that owns a sketchy stop-unit (allowing 40 points and 478 YPG) and is a giddy 0-3 SU since 2007 following wins over Big Ten foes. And though the 2-2 Bulls are coming off a mistake-prone 24-21 home loss to Nevada, head coach Lance Leipold has proved to be a great hire. According to sources, “He’s respected by his players. He knows how to prepare a team and manage games… Leipold has yet to be outcoached.” He also has yet to lose when taking points (2-0 ATS). Thus, we’ll stay home on the range as the Bulls improve to 7-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS at UB Stadium off a previous home encounter.

Toledo over BALL ST by 3Holy Toledo. The Rockets were a double-thorn in our sides last week with their 37-7 rout of Arkansas State as we faded them (as did the entire country as they went from a 9-point favorite to 4-point chalk by kickoff) in both our MIDWEEK ALERT Newsletter and Late Phone Service. Matt Campbell’s crew now sits 3-0 on the season but it’s not like they’ve been ‘um, um, good’ as they have been outgained by an average of 102 yards per game. Needless to say, we want no part of these road favorite phonies today in Muncie as the Cardinals appear to be a live Homecoming dog. For starters, the Gonads have covered eight of the last 10 in the series while HC Pete Lembo is 13-6 ATS as a dog when not off a spread loss, including 6-2 ATS in conference play. And like last week, you may want to grab the points as soon as possible as the public is already fading a Rockets’ roster that is due to miss lift-off.

APPALACHIAN ST over Wyoming by 25If this were the Wild West, we‘re not even sure that Billy the Kid or Annie Oakley would want to lead these Wyoming Cowboys into Appalachian country. Sure, Laramie’s top gunslinger, QB Cameron Coffman, had the best game of his career last week against the Lobos, throwing for 366 yards and four touchdowns, and the present-day Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back away games. However, these Mountaineers can play. They’ve already thrown TWO 49-0 shutouts this season, including a whitewashing last Saturday in Old Dominion (ODU’s fi rst-ever shutout loss) – a game in which they outgained the Monarchs, 501-175. That was remarkably their fourth shutout in the past two seasons (in this day and age off offensive football, that’s impressive) and their 3-0 ATS mark off a win versus a foe off a conference game tells us the boys from Boone aren’t going bust today at Kidd Brewer Stadium. So if you’re going to make this cross-country trek to 3,333 above sea level – like Annie – you’d better get your gun… but that might not be enough to back Wyoming’s 72nd-ranked offense. Thus, we say lay it or leave it.

AKRON over Ohio U by 3HC Terry Bowden may have fi nally settled on a starting quarterback after playing musical chairs with his signal-callers the fi rst month of the season. Sophomore Thomas Woodson threw for 238 and two TDs in last week’s 35-14 win over UL-Lafayette. He also rushed for 93 yards and one score. However, if Woodson’s ‘seat’ is chosen, he must deal with the Zips’ 2-12 ATS mark off a double-digit ATS win along with a series history (Ohio U is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS since 2008) that would make Catherine Robbe-Grillet (France’s most famous dominatrix) proud. And just when you thought we were about to say the ‘Cats could ‘whip it good’ again in Akron, we fi nd the Bobbies just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS away off a previous away game. Hmm, we don’t like when ‘problems come along.’ So, we’ll just do what we do best – and that’s grab the home dog, or in this case the Homecoming Dog, as the Zips put an end to some nasty series history.

KENT ST over Miami Ohio by 10After losing in Illinois, 52-3, to open the season, Kent State has show ‘Flashes’ of brilliance. They routed FCS Delaware State in Week Two before falling at Minnesota, 10-7, and succumbing to Marshall, 36-29, last week in double overtime. The loss to the Herd was particularly tough as Paul Haynes’ bunch led for most of the game thanks to a 247-126 advantage on the ground. They also held the high-scoring Herd to 227 total yards in regulation and now have held three of four foes to season-low yardage. All of which led Haynes to say, “A lot of crazy things happened in this game,

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

and the ball fell their way in the end. It’s heartbreaking because you know you should have won two weeks in a row. Nobody is going to feel sorry for you, though. Now we begin the most important part of our season.” And while we could clearly make a case for Kent and their 6-0 ATS log as favorites with revenge against a Miami Ohio squad that is 0-3 SU, ATS and ITS versus FBS foes this season, the fact is favorites off an extra-session loss are just 31-51-3 ATS in conference play since the inception of overtime in 1996. That’s a stronger warning than the Surgeon General’s ‘Don’t Smoke’ campaign! Next.

IOWA ST over Kansas by 14Remember the movie ‘Hunt for Red October’ starring Sean Connery as the captain of a Soviet submarine that is virtually invisible thanks to stealth technology? Well, we’ll call this meaningless matchup the ‘Hunt for Dead October’ as both Iowa State and Kansas will be under water once their Big 12 seasons get going. As it is, they’re both already invisible as the 0-3 Jayhawks opened the season with a loss to FCS South Dakota State while the 1-2 Cyclones’ lone victory came against FCS ‘power’ Northern Iowa. Making matters worse for the visitors is a question mark at quarterback as starter Montell Cozart missed the last game with a high fever (did his tummy hurt also?) while back-up Deondre Ford left the game with a thumb injury. Apparently they found some extra-strength Tylenol in Lawrence as Cozart is expected back. However, that may not be enough against a Cyclones’ clan that is 7-3 ATS at home in this series and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as double-digit home favorites. But we’re not about to lay the lumber with an Iowa State team that has dropped nine straight conference games. Nor are we going to recommend a Kansas squad that is 3-48 SU in its last 51 Big 12 affairs, including 0-27 SU away. Ouch! You’re on your own here.

MICHIGAN ST over Purdue by 16Here’s an interesting tidbit that you will only fi nd in the Playbook. The Spartans are only the third team since 1980 to start a season 4-0 SU and 0-4 ATS. Both of the previous teams won and covered Game Five. Then why isn’t State bolded and underlined, you ask? Well, the Spartans are already beset with major injury issues as All-American left tackle Jack Conklin went down with a knee injury last week while right tackle Kody Kielser was lost for the season the previous week. Our MIDWEEK ALERT also informs us that the Spartans are a ‘leaking oil’ favorite (any favorite who lost the stats in each of its previous three games) while our database reminds us that Mark Dantonio’s men are just 2-7 ATS as conference chalk of 17 or more points and 2-7 ATS at home versus a conference foe with revenge. Meanwhile, the erratic Boilers have covered the last three in the series (and all with a much lower line than today’s 3-touchdown number), are 3-0 ATS away off back-to-back-to-back home games and 3-1 ATS as conference road dogs of 17 or more points. Yes, Darrell Hazell and company has made us nuts trying to handicap their games but with Michigan State a Homecoming favorite – and the Boilers having made a necessary QB change – there’ll be no ATS party for Sparty today in East Lansing. A must take.

UMASS over Florida Int’l by 10After showing signs of life in the second half of the 2014 campaign (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS), the ‘lights all went out in Massachusetts’ in the month of September as the Minutemen are off to an 0-3 start. However, after three games against Colorado, Temple and Notre Dame, Mark Whipple’s men should be ready for FIU. That drop in class – and a change to the cozy confi nes of McGuirk Stadium (a 17,000-seat on-campus facility) as opposed to Gillette Stadium – are just a few of the reasons why we ‘feel we’re going back to Massachusetts’ (remember our Upset Special over Temple a few week ago?) this afternoon. Of more importance, the well-traveled Panthers are also hitting the road for the fourth time in fi ve weeks and bringing just four healthy safeties – not a good sign against a future NFL QB in Blake Frohnapfel. However, what concerns Panthers’ HC Ron Turner is a lack of discipline as none of FIU’s seven penalties in last week’s 27-17 loss at Louisiana Tech occurred in the process of making or preventing a play (the Panthers had fi ve pre-snap fl ags and two unsportsmanlike conduct penalties). “It’s extremely disappointing. No doubt about it,” Turner said. “I like this football team. We have a chance to be a good football team. I don’t like what I saw Saturday.” We don’t think he’ll like what he sees this Saturday, either, as the Minutemen notch their fi rst win of the season. Lay it AND play it!

Minnesota over NORTHWESTERN by 3While the Gophers have rewarded their fans with three straight wins following a tough season-opening loss to TCU, they have dug a hole for their ATS supporters, dropping all three to the spread. And though these ‘fi nancial backers’ may want to hire Bill Murray to talk to these Gophers (if you get our drift), our database comes to Minny’s side as it


notes: conference dogs off three wins in a row exact where they failed to cover the spread in all three games are 4-0 ATS this millennium. That’s pretty strong, as is the fact that Jerry Kill’s crew has dominated this series, posting a 5-1 ATS mark the last six overall and a spotless 7-0 ATS log the last seven in Evanston. In addition, Pat Fitzgerald and company are 0-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games and 2-11 ATS as conference home favorites of 5 or more points. And though we could probably use a Northwestern look-ahead to Michigan as more ammo, the Wildcats are actually 17-3 ATS before dancing with the Wolves. Nonetheless, the last time the 4-0 Purple Cats opened the season with four wins (2013), they hit Big Ten play and proceeded to go straight into the toilet, losing their next seven in a row. You know what to do.

NC STATE over Louisville by 1If Bobby Petrino thought the hot tub he shared with Jessica Dorrell was scorching, he’s in for a rude awakening. An 0-3 start against FBS opposition this season has the Papa John’s crowd wanting to ship him out of town on a Moped with a couple of slices of pizza (anchovy, of course). And Petrino might be wishing he had ‘Jessica’s curl’ back this week as the trip to Raleigh fi nds the unbeaten Wolfpack looking for payback from a 30-18 setback they suffered in Louisville last season. The Pack have already held three foes to season-low yardage in 2015 while outscoring all four opponents by an average of 34 PPG. However, we’ve seen this act before (4-0 last year heading into ACC play before dropping four straight) and wins over Troy, Eastern Kentucky, Old Dominion and South Alabama is akin to dating the hottest girl in a bowling league – there just ain’t much to go by. We’ll give State the SU win as revenge rears its ugly head but Petrino’s 10-1 ATS mark versus a foe off back-to-back SUATS wins, including 6-0 ATS in conference games, ‘cheats’ the ‘Pack out of the money.

OKLAHOMA over West Virginia by 10 We knew that the 23rd-ranked Mountaineers would be good but we didn’t realize they would be one of only 10 FBS teams that have not trailed in any game this season. This will also be just the seventh time under fi fth-year HC Dana Holgorsen that the Mounties have faced a ranked opponent while also being in the Top 25. They are 3-3 SU in those games, including last season’s 31-30 loss to then-No. 10 TCU. And while we’d love to swig some moonshine with these Hillbillies on this fi rst Saturday in October and toast their 4-0 ATS mark in their fi rst roadie of the season and 10-2 ATS log as conference dogs of 7 or less points, the SMART BOX warns against fading a refreshed Sooners’ squad. And to boot, OU has some impressive numbers on their side as well: a 4-0 Game Four log, a 3-1 ATS mark after scoring 50 or more points, not to mention Big Game Bob’s 16-2 SU and 11-7 ATS record at home versus undefeated opposition, including 5-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite. Tough call but we’ll hop on the Schooner today in Norman if pressed for the choice.

WISCONSIN over Iowa by 2As expected, both the Badgers and Hawkeyes bring solid numbers into this conference opener as they look to take a leg up in the competitive Big Ten West division. In fact, Bucky has been downright defensive since an opening loss to Alabama, allowing just 3 points in three games. The last time a Wisky team accomplished that feat was just a few years after Prohibition ended (1937). Not to be outdone, Kirk Ferentz’s crew arrives in Madison with the nation’s 20th-ranked stop-unit and a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS record on this fi eld. They also come armed with a 5-0 ATS mark away off back-to-back home games and 6-1 ATS log conference revenge while Captain Kirk, himself, is a super 14-3 ATS away with SU home loss revenge (beat Iowa State in this role earlier this season). Like the Oklahoma / West Virginia battle, this is a tough call. But in what fi gures to be a close-to-the-vest, low-scoring affair, the points look awfully mouth-watering. So drink up and grab the touchdown (as soon as possible). Prohibition – and inhibition – is over.

Pittsburgh over VIRGINIA TECH by 3After Virginia Tech scored two touchdowns off East Carolina turnovers last week in Greenville, the Pirates turned the tables and did the ‘Hokey-Pokey’ on Beamer’s boys, reeling off 28 consecutive points in the 35-28 upset. (Upset – as in you’d be just that if you didn’t follow our 5* advice in last week’s issue). We don’t want to say we nailed it but we did have the Pirates winning by seven as 10-point dogs. And this week we’re back for more as we’re still not convinced this is a solid bunch of Hokies. Of course, it also helps that the SMART BOX is on our side as the Panthers arrive rested and raring to go off their initial loss of the season. And with the Hokies 4-12-1 ATS off one loss exact – including 1-10 ATS in conference games – look for Pitt to improve to 8-1 ATS in this matchup. So now that we’ve let the cat out of the bag, the rest is up to you. Be ‘SMART.’

TEXAS A&M over Miss State by 3How much energy does hated Arkansas take out of A&M? We can answer that with another question: how much did V Stiviano take from Donald Sterling? We’re guessing a lot more than he put in! Since starting their neutral series games with Arkansas in 2009, the Aggies are 0-5-1 ATS in their next encounter. That’s good news for a Bulldogs bunch that is already 3-1 ATS in this series and 4-0 SUATS in their last four versus undefeated opposition. In fact, those numbers are just the tip of the proverbial iceberg as Mullen’s men are a perfect 6-0 ATS of late as pick or dogs of 10 or less points, 5-1 ATS as conference pups of 7 or less points and 8-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. In ‘Stark’ contrast , the Aggies have been no ‘Ironman’ in Game Five of the season, logging an 0-6-1 ATS mark. They’re also a woeful 0-4 ATS as home chalk of 7 or less points and 1-4 ATS with conference revenge. We’ve ‘Stated’ our case. Now it’s up to you fi nd a sugar momma to take you to the window and grab the points.

TULANE over Central Florida by 7You might think that Vegas didn’t post an early line on this game because of the pathetic Knight offense and that is partially true as UCF is last in offense (244 YPG, 49 yards behind the next closest) as well as last in points scored (12.5 PPG). The delay on posting the opening number, however, is that last years starting QB, Justin Hollman was KO’d after two attempts in Week Two and may return (check his status). Even if he’s ready to go, the dynamic is quite different in Orlando as UCF is 0-4 for the fi rst time since 2004. Meanwhile, Tulane is off a SU win which is still not the norm for the Green Wave, but under head coach Curtis Johnson, the Greenies have gone 4-1 ATS at home following a victory – including three outright upsets. The Wave enter as the best of this week’s SMART BOX with a extra week of rest and playing with revenge off a win. Behind 16 returning starters, we’ll back the team with the mojo against the one with no-joe.

Western Kentucky over RICE by 6In last issue’s INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK, we told you WKU QB Brandon Doughty had a 39-0 TD/INT ratio at home since October 15, 2013. After last week, that mark now stands at 45-0! The Hilltoppers took out their frustrations after a 3-point loss to Indiana by overwhelming Miami Ohio with a 49-7 halftime lead and topping 560 yards for a third straight game. Rice was also overwhelmed by Baylor as the Owls allowed 70 points and 793 yards. Rice is normally a reliable home dog (18-9-2 ATS since 2005, including 16-2-2 ATS in conference games), but our well-oiled database points out that home teams who allowed 70-plus points in previous game are just 1-9 SU and 0-9-1 ATS the last four seasons. With confl icting numbers all over the board and WKU hitting the road to Houston, we’ll sit this one out

OKLAHOMA ST over Kansas St by 1The Cowboys rode through their non-conference schedule with ease, winning by a combined score of 125-35, but as so often happens when jumping into conference competition, they struggled. OSU held Texas to 13 offensive points and just 48 yards and two fi rst downs in the second half, yet trailed 27-24 late in the 4th quarter. The Cowboys’ fi nal two ‘drives’ on offense accounted for 0 yards (+30 yards of penalties) before OSU kicked a game-tying fi eld goal. Then after a -6 yard punt by Texas, the offense ‘drove’ -4 yards for the game-winning fi eld goal. Oklahoma State now looks for revenge against K-State from their worst loss of last season (48-14) but they are 0-4 ATS home versus opponents with rest. Meanwhile, on the other sideline is Hall of Fame head coach Bill Snyder, whose teams are 7-1 ATS as dogs, 7-0 ATS with rest the last three seasons, 10-2 ATS as dogs versus conference revenge and have covered four straight in this series. Whew! The choice is simple… take it or leave it.

Houston over TULSA by 13Much has been made of Ohio State’s struggling offense but few have mentioned that new Houston head coach Tom Herman was their play-caller last season.The Cougars are averaging 58 PPG and 593 YPG, bringing back memories of Case Keenum, Kevin Kolb and David Klingler. The Cougars also have been a top predator on the road, thanks in part to their dual threat QB Greg Ward, going 11-0-1 ATS during the last 2+ regular seasons away from home. Their ATS streak is even more impressive as their average cover is more than 13 PPG and includes upsets at Louisville earlier this season as well as Memphis, Rutgers and UTSA in previous years. Tulsa also has its offense rolling as new head coach Phil Montgomery, who was Baylor’s WR coach, leads a squad averaging 42 PPG and 607 YPG overall. The bigger difference between these two is on the opposite side of the ball as Houston is allowing foes 379 YPG on defense while Tulsa is surrendering 575 YPG. The stats say Houston, as does the SMART BOX, which orders up a major fade of the Hurricane this week. Who are we to argue?





UCLA over Arizona St by 6With UCLA off a 26-point conference road win and Arizona State of a 28-point conference home loss, Joe Public has his ‘best bet’ lined up for the week. But what if we told you that the Bruins only fi nished with a 29-yard margin and faced a backup QB in the second half (but were +3 in turnovers), while the Sun Devils were only outgained by ONE yard (but were -2 turnovers)? Let us take it a step further as UCLA was a 5-point Vegas favorite in this matchup this summer and has done as expected, going 4-0 all as a favorite. ASU meanwhile has also done as expected, winning both games as a favorite and losing both games as a dog – but now they’re getting almost two touchdowns? Sun Devils head coach Todd Graham (the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2) is 22-10 SUATS with conference revenge, including 18-3 ATS as a dog or a favorite of 3 points or less. And by the way, ASU is avenging not only its worst loss ever under Graham, (62-27) but also their lone home loss over the previous two seasons. The Bruins are 0-4-1 ATS as home chalk of 10 or more points, and 2-8 ATS at home versus teams seeking conference revenge. In addition, UCLA’s next game is a trip to face a Stanford team they have lost to SEVEN straight times by an average of 18 PPG. Sun Devils take down the cash.

STANFORD over Arizona by 14The Cardinal are riding high after a 2-0 start to the Pac-12 season, especially with both games coming on the road and one versus hated USC. Stanford once again looks like a power with a strong defense and an offense that has put up back-to-back 40+ point performances, but it’s only the second time the Cardinal have done that since some guy named Andrew Luck left for Nap-town. Since Luck’s departure, the Cardinal have been a conference home favorite off a SU conference win three times, and despite an average line of -13, they won those three games by a total of 13 points. That stat won’t help Stanford’s 1-4 ATS effots in Game Five and 1-4 ATS off a midweek game. The Wildcats have gone 5-1 ATS as conference road dogs of more than 15 points and are 9-1 ATS on the road following a game they failed to cover. However, with Arizona QB Anu Solomon suffering a head injury in the loss last week after producing 63% of his team’s yardage and 55% of their touchdowns last season, we will have to pass as long as his health remains in question.

TCU over Texas by 11Oh what a difference 40 seconds makes! Last week with 0:40 left on the clock, Texas was punting from their own 24 preparing for overtime. Meanwhile, TCU ran the ball on 3rd and goal from the 3 and lost a yard. Forty seconds later, Texas was off a loss and TCU off a win. How things have changed in Austin as Oklahoma on deck used to be the main story in Austin this time of the year. Instead we’re reading, “For the fi rst time since 1956, Texas is a 1-3 football team heading into this week’s date with TCU.” The visitor has gone 3-0 SUATS and 5-1 ATS in this series, which along with a UT’s SU conference road record of 18-6, has us thinking burnt orange. Hot seat holder and still head coach Charlie Strong (at least for this game) also remembers last year’s regular season fi nale beat down very well as it was his worst loss ever (by 28 points), the most points a squad of his has ever allowed (48 points). TCU is 4-0, and No. 3 in the current Coaches Poll and the Frogs beat Texas by 38 points last year, thus the reason they opened as 17-point favorites. But in TCU’s last two games, the horned ones have allowed a mind-numbing 1,115 yards and 89 points to Texas Tech and SMU – which is ’just a bit higher’ than the 691 yards and 27 points they allowed to the same duo last year! Until the Frogs learn to play defense, we’ll keep taking the points.

NAVY over Air Force by 1While nothing will negate the importance of the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy, it should be noted that since 1980, Air Force has had a secondary goal of winning their conference – while the Middies add that to their list of goals for the fi rst time this year. Also a concern: when Navy is off a SUATS win and has Notre Dame on deck, the sailors are just 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. The Falcons enter this week having won 12 of their last 16 games SU and are playing at a higher level than their military counterpart. While Air Force is 1-2 this season, their WORST game was at No. 2 Michigan State where they OUTGAINED the Spartans by 104 yards! Meanwhile, Navy is 3-0 but their BEST game was hosting Colgate, who they outgained by only 113 yards. With these two foes so familiar with each other, it’s no surprise that the dog stands 12-4 ATS. We will never shy away from a dog in a military matchup but it gets even better with the SMART BOX calling.

5� BEST BET

Our powerful database has done some extraordinary things, but calling for a deja vu moment in advance? Well, the last time Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide were a regular season underdog was in Game Five at Georgia in 2008 when the QB/WR combination of John Parker Wilson and Julio Jones upset Matthew Stafford and AJ Green. Now we fi nd Georgia 4-0 again but the Dawgs are 1-6 ATS in Game Fives and 0-6-1 ATS in their third straight home game. Alabama, meanwhile, has already lost a game – reason enough to back the Tide as Nick Saban has not lost two conference games in a season since 2010. In addition, Bama is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite or dog of 3 or less points, 5-2 ATS away off three consecutive home games, and 26-12 ATS as a conference underdog, including 9-2-1 ATS as a dog versus an undefeated conference foe. And by the way, the Crimson Tide defense may not be getting as much publicity as in days gone by but they have held all four foes to season-low yardage on offense. We wrap it up with The Clincher: Nick Saban is 16-4 ATS as a dog of less than 7 points off a win in his CFB career, including 6-0 ATS versus an opponent off a win of 17 or more points.

Alabama over GEORGIA by 11

FLORIDA over Mississippi by 1Last week we saw Ole Miss with a hangover after knocking off Alabama, as the Rebels were downright lethargic in their 11-point win at home versus Vanderbilt, failing to cover the 27.5-point line. However, it would not surprise us one bit if that hangover turned into one of the two-week variety. The Rebels have taken care of business versus the Gators, covering the last fi ve meetings, but this is a completely new dynamic as Johnny Reb was a double-digit dog in all fi ve games. This week they’re a favorite for the fi rst time in this series since 1980, when Ole Miss lost 15-3 to Florida as 4-point chalk. This will be Mississippi’s fi rst test as an SEC road favorite this year but recent history is not on their side: in their last four attempts, they were -3 at Arkansas and lost 30-3, -4 at LSU and lost 10-7, -4 at Mississippi State and lost 17-10, and -2 at Auburn and lost 30-22. Not a good report card! The Gators came into this season failing to cover fi ve straight and eight of nine conference home games but new HC Jim McElwain broke that streak last week with a win over Tennessee. McElwain now has the Gators 2-0 in SEC play and he’s currently 4-1 ATS versus undefeated foes. Could this be another Gator attack?

DUKE over Boston College by 3If we told you that these two teams are averaging a COMBINED 379 yards per game and a COMBINED 20 points per game, you may say their offenses are horrible. But those numbers are what these two teams are allowing on defense. And while three FCS teams are included in that lineup, so are Georgia Tech, Northern Illinois and Florida State. The visitor in this series has gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, and that favors Boston College. So does the situation: the Eagles are off a 3-point win in which they failed to cover (-4 versus Northern Illinois, 17-14) as another Flutie (Troy, Doug’s nephew) made his fi rst start. While Troy’s numbers were far from inspiring (5 of 11, 92 yards), all he has to do here is not make mistakes – not with the country’s No. 1 defense on his side, one that held the Seminoles and the Huskies to 314 yards BELOW their average on offense! Prior to Duke head coach David Cutcliffe’s arrival, the Blue Devils had lost 47 straight times versus ranked opponents. But after last week’s upset of Georgia Tech, the Devils have now won their LAST FOUR in the regular season. Still, they were still outgained last week, and that ‘inside-out’ stat-win off an upset, and a Homecomeing game, all fi nds us looking at the invaders today.

Nebraska over ILLINOIS by 6Underwhelming best describes both of these teams. Nebraska comes into the Big Ten season at 2-2, outgained by 115 combined yards in losses to BYU and Miami. Meanwhile, Illinois started off with two dominating wins versus weaker foes. But after their collapse at North Carolina (lost 48-14), the Illini struggled against Middle Tennessee last week, failing to cover in a 2-point win while fi nishing with only a 10-yard edge. We’ll pass on Nebraska, though, as the Huskers’ Yin-Yang pattern will not get our money – especially with a new head coach playing his conference opener on the road. Last week we said we’d wait and see how Illinois handled adversity following its blowout loss at UNC behind new interim head coach Bill Cubit, but a non-covering SU win last week leaves us asking the same questions. Remember, the Illini now have a head coach that has never been in charge of a Power-5 team in conference action. In one of the rare Big Ten games that is not played for a trophy, we have zero interest.


Ohio St over INDIANA by 21We’re in Week Five and after each of Ohio State’s last three games, the headlines were the same: ‘Buckeyes Struggle On Offense’... which is the reason they are 0-3 ATS in that streak. Head coach Urban Meyer’s reaction is simple: “The ultimate goal is to compete for championships in November.” Now they face a team they have beaten 20 straight times, but lost against the spread four straight times. Close starts are not in Meyer’s vocabulary and looking back at his previous six seasons, he is 8-1-3 ATS in his fi rst conference road game and fi rst conference home game combined, thus always setting the stage for the balance of the season to follow. Meanwhile, favorable trends for Indiana include a 4-0 ATS record in Game Five and a 4-1 ATS log as a home dog of more than 18 points. While Hoosier Nation is excited about being 4-0, it plays into Ohio State’s record of 33-5 ATS in SU away wins versus greater than .700 opponents. It also made Columbus papers that OSU and IU are meeting as unbeatens for the fi rst time since 1942, when each was 1-0. Lastly, in the Buckeyes’ previous visit here, Meyer said, “That was one of the few times I’ve seen a defense quit playing hard. That was not a good moment. I think we were up by three, four scores, and they came back.” The feeling here is the Buckeye offense could break out against a Hoosier defense allowing 500 yards and 32 points per game this season. Be careful.

Northern Illinois over C MICHIGAN by 1Talk about playing hard: these two teams are 5-0 ATS combined versus Ohio State, Boston College, Oklahoma State, Syracuse and Michigan State. And while they were dogs by an average of 17 PPG in those contests, they were outgained by only 29 YPG. Props to the MAC on a job well done to start the season. Defense has been the mainstay for both as they have yet to allow over 30 points in a game. Northern is in a brutal stretch as this their third straight road game and despite having a legitimate chance to knock off each of their last two foes, the sled dogs totaled only 343 yards of offense in those games. This week it’s the ultimate revenge game as the Chippewas snapped the Huskies’ streak of 28 straight home wins last year. But will they have enough left? Another concern for Huskies backers is that in head coach Rod Carey’s fi rst 26 regular season games, Northern Illinois went 24-2 SU – but in their last two regular season games, they are 0-2. Central Michigan may be 1-3 SU but the Chips are 3-1 ITS and a Homecoming dog. Hey, some teams seem to have another team’s number, and while Northern Illinois is 38-3 SU their last 41 regular season MAC games, ALL THREE LOSSES WERE TO CMU!

BAYLOR over Texas Tech by 21As we’ll see all season long, Big 12 heavyweights will be playing their version of ‘anything you can do, I can do better.’ Both Baylor and TCU traveled in their opener, but while TCU played a tougher foe and won by 6 points, Baylor won by 35. Both played SMU, and while TCU won 56-37, Baylor won 56-21. While TCU is ranked No. 3 in this week’s Coaches Poll, Baylor is No. 4. The Bears saw TCU complete a desperation 4th-down pass versus Texas Tech to win by 3 last week so they know it’s their turn to play better against another common foe. Should that happen, the Art Briles publicity machine will then take over as Baylor looks to jump their conference counterpart in the polls. The Bears’ No. 1 offense (64 PPG & 767 YPG) has yet to be slowed, plus they are 5-1 ATS in their fi rst conference game, as well as 3-1 ATS the last four games in this series. Tech is now off a loss they should have won, while being 4-0 ATS on the season. Add the fact that Baylor led Tech 45-20 last year but needed to stop a Red Raiders’ 2-point conversion to tie the game with just over a minute to go. That ensures there is no look-ahead for the Bears to a revenge match with West Virginia. Do you want to step in front of that? Not us. Lay it if you play it.

BOISE ST over Hawaii by 25The Broncos went into Virginia last Friday having to replace an injured Ryan Findley, who started the fi rst three games at QB this season, and Brett Rypien (Mark’s nephew) fi lled in admirably (24-35 for 321 yards, 3-0 ratio). However, thanks to a spate of Cavalier turnovers, Boise led 17-0 with Rypien throwing just two passes, and he’ll probably feel more pressure this week on the blue turf making his fi rst home start. What can be said about Boise since they earned their reputation with several BCS bowl wins is that home wins are good enough and there’s no need to impress the pollsters. In fact, the Bronco’s are 1-14 ATS as a conference HF of 11 or more points. While there are a few reasons to fade Boise, we have no interest in backing Hawaii. After a 9,000 mile round trip and getting shut out versus Ohio State, they played an FCS foe and then made an 8,400 mile round trip to get shut out at Wisconsin. Now the Warriors turn around with no rest and play in the altitude at Boise. What makes it even more diffi cult this year is that none of the Hawaii players have made the trip here, as their last visit was in 2010, a 42-7 loss. We’ll just watch. So should you.

Oregon over COLORADO by 14Eighteen conference games ago, Oregon made this trip to Colorado and was favored by 37.5 points. So is Colorado 30 points better or is Oregon 30 points worse? The Ducks have covered the last fi ve in the series and are coming off only their fi fth home loss in seven-plus seasons. And in today’s role, they are 4-0 SUATS off a home loss, covering by 13 PPG. Add the fact that the Ducks allowed 42 straight points to Utah in their worst home loss since 1977 – and that they are now 2-2 SU while looking up at the 3-1 Buffalos in the standings – and they should be focused here. Colorado is 3-0 ATS as a double-digit home dog, and to our surprise this line fell from -11.5 to only -7.5 at press time. We should also mention that the Buffs are 7-3 ATS in conference revenge but have performed poorly as single-digit dogs. We’ll leave you with this: in the past three seasons, Colorado has NEVER been a Pac-12 home favorite, has been a pick only once and in the other 13 games, they have been a home dog by an average of 17.3 PPG. In Oregon’s last 22 Pac-12 games away from Eugene, they been favorites of under 8 points just twice (at UCLA, at Stanford). In the other 20 games, the Ducks’ average line was -18.6 PPG. Oregon -7.5? There’s value galore here, folks.

CALIFORNIA over Washington St by 10Many had California on their radar as an up-and-coming team and with the Bears’ 4-0 start the publicity continues to grow. A win at Texas increased their exposure and they are a now a 17-point favorites for the fi rst time since 2009. The Golden Bears are 0-3 ATS as chalk of 14 or more in this series, and only 2-12 ATS as a conference double-digit favorite off a conference game. The other issue with Cal is their defense, one that allowed the feeble offenses of San Diego State and Texas to gain season high yardage – while needing a +3 turnover differential to get past Washington. Meanwhile, the visitor in this series has cashed three straight and has gone 9-2 ATS the last eleven. In addition, Washington State also benefi ts from a Bye week. Can’t be afraid of grabbing the infl ated pointspread when the back door is always open versus Cal and WSU is 6-1 ATS as an away dog of 17 or more points. The clincher comes courtesy of Cougars head coach Mike Leach, who is 8-0 ATS as a double-digit dog off an ATS loss 7 or more points. Just do it.

AUBURN over San Jose St by 21Auburn may be in an SEC sandwich here but after dropping consecutive conference games, the Tigers may be more focused on San Jose State than the Spartans will on the Tigers – what with a trip to UNLV on deck for visiting SJSU. It may sound crazy, but hear us out. San Jose State knows that its prime bowl hopes will only be achieved by winning the Mountain West, and they’re currently off a conference win with another game on deck. The Spartans also know that with this being their third road game in four-plus weeks, the addition of heat and humidity will take its toll (along with their 0-7 ATS mark as a road dog the last two years). The Tigers are looking to take their frustrations out on someone and San Jose State could be the perfect fodder. The line on this game would have been at least -34 on opening day, hence two-touchdown value if you feel they can play. The proverbial ‘buy sign’ may have very well came in the loss to Mississippi State last week when Auburn won the stats for the fi rst time this season. But we won’t lay it, not with Homecoming and not until they play up to their potential. With that being said, a blowout would be no surprise.

ARKANSAS ST over Idaho by 25If Arkansas State starting QB Fredi Knighten is unable to play for a third straight week, at least replacement QB James Tabary won’t have to play the Toledo defense tonight. Last Saturday, the Rockets sacked Tabary (a redshirt freshman making his fi rst road start) six times, intercepted him three times – returning one for a touchdown – and forced a fumble in a 37-7 blowout of the Red Wolves. Cue the Vandals, the perfect fodder for any squad looking for a pick-me-up. Idaho’s program is so non-competitive that the boys from Moscow have won only four games since the start of the 2012 season; worse, they’re a money-burning 10-25-1 ATS during that same time span, including 0-3 ATS this year. ASU hasn’t had a problem getting up for home games, covering in a 7-point loss to Missouri and obliterating Missouri State, 70-7. Their 17 PPG average at home on defense will work just fi ne spreadwise against the Vandals, who are handing out over 45 PPG every time they take the fi eld. We like the fact that the Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS at home off a loss of 30 or more points when facing non-conference foes. We also like the idea that Arky State won’t stop at ‘45’ once they get rolling.

LA TECH over UL-Lafayette by 10You probably won’t want to go anywhere near UL-Lafayette after last week’s performance, a humiliating 35-14 home loss to Akron. Going into the game, the Ragin’ Cajuns owned a 28-13 SU record in four-plus years under HC Mark Hudspeth, including just four losses at Cajun Field, and were favored by a reasonable 7.5 points. But the hosts were outyarded and outplayed by the Zips while being held to a season-low 285 yards of offense.



If the bayou boys are suitably embarrassed and ready to make amends, this is a good place to start: ULL lost to the Bulldogs in 2014 by a whopping 28 points as 14.5-point home chalk. That makes for some meaningful revenge tonight and our powerful database steps in to offer support, noting that Lafayette is 8-2 ATS as a dog in games off a SU favorite loss. The Cajuns will have to overcome La Tech’s 7-0 SU stranglehold in recent series play, as well as a 1-3 ATS defi cit in the last four meetings. But the deciding factor is Tech coach Skip Holtz’s M.O. as a good underdog and a lousy favorite. His Bulldogs couldn’t pull away to secure the cover against FIU last Saturday and we don’t see it happening here.

Vanderbilt over MIDDLE TENN by 6Everyone who watched Vandy take mighty Ole Miss down to the wire last week – losing by just 11 points as a 27-point underdog – was waiting to pounce when the line came out on tonight’s game. And when the Blue Raiders opened as 3-point chalk, the stampede was on: the number moved quickly down to a Pick and remains there at press time. Yes, we hate losing the fi eld goal but after the Commodores delivered the bacon for the PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB last week, we can’t resist backing them again – especially knowing the SEC stands 126-23 SU versus Conference-USA. An extra dash of intrigue comes from the fact that these two campuses are about 30 miles apart, which is close enough to spark a bout of ‘big brother-little brother’ warfare in central Tennessee. MTSU has not fared well off a SU loss where they covered the number, going just 1-5 ATS in the last six tries. Keep a close eye on the line here as SEC squads are 6-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS the last seven as dogs against C-USA opponents since 2005. With the series favorite now 0-3 SUATS of late, the Commies get the call.

MISSOURI over S Carolina by 8Despite the fact that South Carolina wriggled off the hook like a worm on a 90-degree day to overcome a 14-8 halftime defi cit and beat pitiful UCF at Columbia last week, our SEC scout, Jaybird the Bulldog, isn’t buying into the Gamecock revival. “Central Florida’s so bad they would’ve lost to the College of Charleston last Saturday – and I’m not sure they have a team. Spurrier and his boys are TOAST.” While that may be, we’re not exactly enamored with the toothless Tigers from Missouri, who cost us a Late Phone release last week when they folded against Kentucky. So when faced with two desperate teams that can’t seem to get over the hump, we defer to the ATS archives. Turns out that pointspread history agrees with Jaybird: while South Carolina is just 2-6 ATS as a conference road dog of 6 or less points and 3-7 ATS when playing with SEC revenge, Mizzou boasts a 4-1 ATS effort versus a conference revenger, plus the Tigers have cashed in fi ve of their last six appearances as SEC chalk of more than 3 points. Even more impressive, Gary Pinkel’s team has posted a 12-2 SU and 11-2-1 ATS mark – including 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve – in games off a loss. That’s strong medicine right there and only respect for the Ol’ Ball Coach’s success in conference games keeps us from really grabbing the Tigers by the tail today.

LSU over E Michigan by 42Eastern Michigan sunk to a new low last week when the Eagles allowed Army to rush for 556 yards and score 58 points on their home fi eld at Ypsilanti. Considering the Black Knights had scored all of 31 points in their previous two games, the Bayou Bengals and superstar RB Leonard Fournette (8.6 yards per carry!) could probably hang 100 on these clowns. Perhaps the best way to put this game into perspective is to check out LSU’s performance in its last four unlined contests – four blowout wins by an average of 47.8 PPG. No surprise, then, when this game opened at LSU -46! In truth, the fi nal score here will be determined by just how bloodthirsty Les Miles is feeling at kickoff time, though running up the numbers on a weak sister foe won’t help his Tigers climb any higher in the polls. Somehow, in the midst of the impending slaughter, our ever-inquisitive database managed to uncover a nugget of hope for the visitors: Eastern Michigan is a perfect 12-0 ATS in away games off a double-digit non-conference spread loss. While that might be like saying Abe Lincoln was undefeated before he went to the Ford Theatre, we’ll just let our natural disdain for 40-plus point chalk – a costly 72-86-2 ATS at home – make the call here. Editor’s Note: our sympathy to the members of Eastern Michigan’s secondary that will be asked to tackle Fournette once he makes it past the linebackers. Get ready for some serious time in the whirlpool on Sunday!

MARSHALL over Old Dominion by 16We apologize to Utah for some recent smoke-and-mirrors comments about the Utes. In reality, the masters of deception now happen to reside in Huntington, West Virginia. Yes, Marshall may be 3-1 this season but the Herd could just as easily be 1-3, barely beating Purdue in the season opener and escaping with a 36-29 double OT win at Kent State last week (Marshall outgained by a shocking 436-277 by the Flashes). Meanwhile, Old Dominion is trying to fi gure out how to stop the bleeding after

stepping up in class the last two weeks and getting pulverized by a combined score of 87-14 in losses to NC State and Appalachian State. And while the Monarchs were thoroughly embarrassed in a 49-0 home defeat to ASU on Saturday, we think they’ll fi nd the Blundering Herd more to their liking than the Wolfpack or the Mountaineers. The linesmaker continues to overvalue Marshall on the strength of last year’s epic 13-1 campaign but name and reputation do not cover pointspreads. And with Doc Holliday’s team now 0-3 In The Stats versus FBS foes this season (average stat loss by more than 110 YPG), we have no interest in laying three TDs against an Old Dominion team that should put forth a better effort this afternoon. Take it or leave it.

GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

Arkansas over TENNESSEE by 3We had the Hogs in this spot last week and they failed to deliver the money when Texas A&M blew a game-winning fi eld goal and sent the game to overtime – where the Aggies won by 7 points. But we’re right back on the Razorbacks here versus an opponent who, for the second time this season, had a statement-making win in their grasp but let it slip away. Yes, Tennessee keeps fi nding new ways to lose games in heart-breaking fashion: last week the Gators grabbed the lead with a 63-yard TD pass from Will Grier to Antonio Calloway with 1:26 left on 4th-and-14 to overcome a 27-14 defi cit. Then the Vols saw a 55-yard FG go inches wide on the fi nal play of the game. Wow… all this on the heels of losing in double overtime to Oklahoma two weeks prior after blowing a 17-0 lead! Bad enough that Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS as chalk after facing Florida but last Saturday’s Gator gut-wrencher at the Swamp could put this young Vols team in a serious tailspin. That’s not a prescription for success against a hungry, pissed-off Arkansas squad that’s gone 7-2 ATS of late in this series, including 5-1 ATS when placed in the role of underdog. If that’s not enough to make you go hog-wild in tonight’s game at Neyland Stadium, there’s always The Clincher: College Football teams off a SUATS loss who faced the toughest schedule in the nation last year are 21-6 SUATS since 1980 when playing off back-to-back SUATS losses, including 17-2 ATS when facing a .750 or less opponent.

East Carolina over SMU by 1In honor of the late Leonard Nimoy, we’ll call this the Mr. Spock Special of the Month – because logic dictates that ECU should completely annihilate SMU this afternoon in Dallas. Look, there’s nothing wrong with the Mustang ‘D’ getting gashed for 720 yards and 56 points by a highly-ranked offensive powerhouse like TCU. But giving up 729 yards and 48 points while losing at home to James Madison? Yikes! After whipping Virginia Tech 35-28 as 10-point home dogs, head coach Ruffi n McNeill and his East Carolina squad should be salivating at the prospect of piling up big points against this porous Pony defense. However, this is where we’ll part with logic. The SMU stop unit is awful but new HC Chad Morris has revived the offense, improving last year’s averages by +22 PPG scoring and +184 yards gained. Bad news for the Pirates: teams who beat Beamer’s Boys are just 4-8 ATS the next game, including 0-4 ATS away (ECU was outyarded by Va Tech in the contest). Watch this line as the Pirates have walked the plank in games as road chalk of more than 6 points of late, going an abysmal 1-14 ATS. Sorry, Spock… but we’ll take the points and prosper with an SMU team that’s light years beyond last season’s edition.

SOUTHERN MISS over North Texas by 11If you’re not a rabid fan of either school and you’re risking serious money on this tragedy, you need to nut up and head to rehab immediately. But if you somehow can’t prevent yourself from getting involved with a matchup that 99.9% of the college football viewing public wouldn’t stop to watch on their way to the kitchen, don’t take the bait and lay 14 points with the Golden Eagles. Yes, Southern Miss is genuinely trying to extricate itself from the 4-20 SU scrap heap built during HC Todd Monken’s fi rst two seasons in Hattiesburg, and the 2-2 Eagles showed some real spunk in rallying from a 29-7 defi cit against Nebraska last week to lose to the Huskers by only 8 points. Improved they are, but not enough to be double-digit chalk, not with a 1-9 ATS effort in the their last 10 games versus winless foes, or a dead-on-the-slab 0-5 ATS record as favorites the last three-plus years! North Texas is rapidly heading south in what looks to be HC Dan McCarney’s fi nal season at Denton, going 2-9 SUATS in the Lean Green’s last 11 games. But as bad as UNT might be, we can’t lay substantial points with Smissy. Hey, the series visitor has won and covered two straight, both as an underdog, so hold your nose and hope for the hat trick here.


TROY over South Alabama by 1Both teams have faced a common opponent in 2015, NC State. South Alabama lost at home to the Wolfpack by 50 points last week while Troy lost by only 28 points at Raleigh in their season opener. But while those results may steer you in the Trojans’ direction, be advised that the program has fallen on hard times as new HC Neal Brown tries to make the transition from Larry Blakeney’s 25-season regime. The hosts also happen to be smack in the middle of a tough-to-digest Wisconsin-Mississippi State sandwich, a situation that would test any team’s ability to stay focused on the task at hand. South Alabama actually beat San Diego State on the road before getting dismantled by the Pack, so the Jaguars should be able to hang close to a Troy team that gives up almost 100 YPG more than it gains. South Alabama also shows up with a strong 6-1 ATS mark against opponents off a SU loss, a stat that fi ts nicely with the series host’s recent 0-3 ATS run.

Ga Southern over UL-MONROE by 11Sometimes a team’s on-fi eld performance can negate a lot of ATS history. That’s precisely the case here as the Warhawks take the fi eld with plenty of good numbers on their side against a Georgia Southern squad playing its second straight conference road game. Sure, ULM got blanked by Bama last week, 34-0, but check this out: Monroe is a healthy 7-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 7 points and 6-1 ATS off a shutout loss. Plus, our database informs us that home dogs in general off a shutout defeat were 5-1 ATS last season. Problem is after being blanked themselves in their season opener at West Virginia, 44-0, the Eagles have managed to get back on track in a big way. GSU has logged three straight wins, scoring 40 or more points in each game while rushing for an average of 412 YPG. We won’t be stepping in front of that! Not when Willie Fritz and company are on a mission to go bowling this year after an archaic NCAA rule denied them a post-season berth in 2014 despite a 9-3 record. A quick look at the schedule tells us the Eagles could run the table with the exception of a late-November trip to Athens to take on Georgia. With the Warhawks rushing for a mere 2.7 yards per carry while giving up 4.6 yards per rush to opponents, look for the visitors to run away with this one.

Florida St over WAKE FOREST by 14It seems like a hundred years have passed since Wake was relevant in the ACC but the Deacons actually played in the Orange Bowl in 2006 and beat Florida State FOUR TIMES from 2006 thru 2011. That’s when the Seminoles declared ‘enough is enough’ and punished Wake with a trio of blowout beatings, outscoring the Deacs by 52-0. 59-3 and 43-3. This year, however, FSU has much bigger fi sh to fry on deck with Miami Fla, Louisville and Georgia Tech – and won’t risky injury to its starters should they open up a big lead. Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson insists his team is getting better but they don’t have much to show for their improved play on the fi eld, going 0-3 ATS despite outyarding three of four opponents and winning the stats in those contests by an average of 136 YPG. And while the defense is holding foes to under 20 PPG for the fi rst time since that magical 2006 season, FSU should burst that bubble this afternoon. Still, we think Wake won’t go down without a scrap and we look for Clawson’s revenge-minded crew to improve to 4-1-1 ATS of late as home dogs of 16 or more points.

Michigan over MARYLAND by 10Okay, let’s not get carried away. Head coach Jim Harbaugh has indeed brought the swagger back to Michigan’s program as the Wolverines are playing with a purpose and intensity that hasn’t been present for years. And after what Utah did to Oregon last week, Michigan’s season-opening 7-point road loss to the Utes doesn’t look so bad right now. Even so, we think it’s a bit early for the Maize-and-Blue to be laying double digits on the Big Ten road after enjoying the comforts of home for three straight weeks. The Terps have disappeared into their shells versus quality opposition this season, going 0-2 SUATS against Bowling Green and West Virginia while losing the stat battle by an average of 309 YPG! But Maryland has not played that poorly at home except for a 4th-quarter collapse against BGSU and HC Randy Edsall (how did this guy earn a recent contract extension?) does own a 9-3 ATS record as a conference home dog off a SU loss. The Wolverines – who lost to Maryland in last year’s home fi nale – are a troubling 1-8 ATS away with revenge versus an opponent off a loss, plus they’ve cashed in only three of their last 13 games as road chalk. Yes, Harbaugh is exceeding expectations so far (defense yielding just 9.5 points and 203.7 yards per game) but with Maryland QB Caleb Rowe listed as probable for this game, we can’t lay points with a Michigan team that’s gone a miserable 1-9 ATS in its last ten road games off a win. You know what to do.

Colorado St over UTAH ST by 1After a 19-9 start including a pair of bowl wins in his fi rst two seasons as head coach for the Aggies, Matt Wells was expecting big things for his Utah State team this year. After all, with 16 starters returning and record-setting QB Chuckie Keeton back for yet another season behind center, early trips to Utah and Washington seemed like winnable games. Unfortunately, Chuckie has played more like Buster Keaton (google it) as he’s thrown more picks than TDs (5-2) while completing less than 55% of his passes. It’s true the Aggies are riding a 10-game SU home win skein but they barely got past Southern Utah – as 32-point offl ine chalk – in their opener at Maverik Stadium, 12-9. It’s been a rocky road for 2-2 Colorado State as well with the Rams suffering back-to-back OT losses before edging UTSA last week, 33-31. However, fi rst-year HC Mike Bobo has inherited a team with lots of good ATS history in tonight’s role. Besides owning a superb 11-2 ATS mark versus .333 or less opposition and a 6-1-1 ATS record as dogs of less than 7 points, the Rams also know how to win away from home, going 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games. With Utah State still trying to right the ship before a huge revenge game with Boise State in two weeks, we’ll look for the visitors to sneak out of Logan with an ‘upset’ win.

Utsa over UTEP by 5Jeez, with all these college programs looking to re-brand themselves as U-this or U-that, we seem to get an Alphabet Bowl like this one almost every week now. And when we get down to this portion of the schedule, there’s also no shortage of slop-bucket games like tonight’s matchup in old El Paso. Still, after wallowing in the mud for 60 minutes, somebody’s gotta cover the spread and we like the Roadrunners’ chances. Sure it’s tough to back a winless road favorite but UTSA opened against Arizona, Kansas State and Oklahoma State before taking Colorado State down to the wire in a 2-point loss last week. After navigating a tough opening schedule like that, we look for the ‘Runners to crack the win column against a 2-2 UTEP squad whose wins came at the expense of Incarnate Word and New Mexico State. The reality is the Miners are 0-4 ITS this season and they take the fi eld here with a sorry 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS mark when playing at home off a previous home game. Look for the series visitor to improve to 3-0 SUATS here.

CLEMSON over Notre Dame by 6When there’s talk about the elite head coaches in college football, the words ‘Dabo Swinney’ are seldom mentioned. Why is that? Since taking over for Tommy Bowden back in 2008, Swinney has led Clemson to a 61-26 record and his Tigers have played in a bowl game every year. In fact, Swinney has won his last three post-season trips over LSU, Ohio State and Oklahoma! Now Clemmie takes on another high-profi le foe in Notre Dame and as usual the public loves to back the Irish: after the line opened at Clemson -1.5, it’s been bet down to pick in most places. Our mean machine tells us that’s a ‘no-no’ as the Tigers are a perfect 8-0 ATS as pick or favorites of less than 15 points in the fi rst of back-to-back home games. Clemson’s outstanding 28-2 SU mark in its last 30 home games also points out that the ACC’s version of Death Valley is one tough place to steal a victory. Brian Kelly’s Irish are not in a good spot under the Saturday night lights here, going 0-4 off consecutive SUATS wins if the last came by double digits (stomped UMass last week, 62-27). And if the line should move back to favor the Tigers, Notre Dame’s 0-4 ATS failure as a dog of less than 9 points after scoring 36 or more comes into play. We’ll show a little love for the oft-overlooked Swinney, who stands 8-4 ATS versus undefeated opposition, including 5-1 ATS as a pick or dog. Regardless of where the line settles, we’ll take exciting Clemson QB Deshaun Watson – and a little dab of Dabo – to bring down the No. 7 Irish and their team of replacements here tonight.

NEW MEXICO over New Mexico St by 10Here’s a matchup you’ll never see promoted on ESPN’s ‘Rivalry Week’ – and for good reason. These two bottom-feeders have produced a combined SU record of 16-57 over the past three years with the Lobos taking three straight from their in-state rivals. However, recent events have led us to believe that both New Mexico schools are showing signs of actual improvement. The 0-3 Aggies have piled up 529 and 551 yards in their last two outings and catch the Lobos coming off a rare SU road win. As for HC Bob Davie and UNM, they’ve progressed to the point that this contest marks the third time in four FBS games this season where they’re favored! That’s not good news here, though, as the Lobos are currently riding an ugly 10-19-1 ATS slide as non-conference chalk. If you’re even remotely inclined to get involved, remember that the series visitor is 5-1-1 ATS of late – which means you should reach for the clothespin, attach to your nose and take the points. Good luck!




Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

VegasINSIDER.com


4� BEST BET

Don’t take this the wrong way. The Bills have been good to us this season and we certainly hate to bite the hand that feeds us. But from a handicapping perspective, sometimes “you gotta do what you gotta do”. After opening the season in grand style with a huge win at home over Indianapolis, Buffalo returns home off back-to-back division duels with Miami and New England. Sure, the Bills are 24-6 ATS after facing the Dolphins when taking on a losing foe. But this is Rex Ryan’s team and he is just 4-5 SUATS in games after facing the Fish. That Ryan is also just 8-14-2 ATS against the NFC, including 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS the last fi ve, serves us well, too. In addition, teams with new coaches, off a SU division upset win, are 11-26 SU and 11-22-4 ATS in their next game when facing a non-division foe off a win since 2000. Enter the Giants, off Thursday’s much needed win over the Redskins, sporting a neat 7-1 ATS road record in games off back-to-back home contests. The G-Men are also 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC East opposition. With Buffy just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games in this series, we ultimately turn it over to The Clincher: The Giants are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their next game after playing on Thursdays.

New York Giants over BUFFALO by 7

INDIANAPOLIS over Jacksonville by 6While the Colts got back on track, thanks to a stirring late 4th-quarter rally at Tennessee last week, we’re not completely sold on this unit. For openers the MIDWEEK ALERT reports they are ‘leaking oil’, having been outgained in each of their fi rst three games (0-3 ATS). They are also in a particularly lousy role for division teams in Game Four: 17-31 SU and 15-30-2 ATS since 1980, including 1-7-1 ATS when favored by 4 or more points. Sure the Horseshoes are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games in this series, and 6-0 ATS home in division games between away games, but we simply can’t trust them in the leaky condition they fi nd themselves in today. Instead, we’ll turn to the Jaguars’ 7-2 ATS mark in division away games off an away loss (4-0 ATS last four). Grab the clothespin and apply.

Houston over ATLANTA by 1The Falcons have certainly been the surprise team in the NFL this season, opening 3-0 SUATS under new head coach Dan Quinn. And the good news is coaches with new teams shine in this league in Game Four after opening 3-0. But this is where we jump off the roller coaster. In fact, our database insists, noting that NFL favorites who won each of their previous three games SU as underdogs have bit the bullet in non-division games, going just 4-14-2 ATS. Toss in Atlanta’s despicable 1-14 ATS record at home in games off back-to-back SUATS wins, its dastardly 0-17-1 ATS mark at home since 1981 in games off three ATS wins in a row, and you know why this ride is over for us. Houston has been disappointing, for sure, but the Texans are 2-0-1 ATS away off a win versus an opponent off a win under Bill O’Brien. Hop off the bus Gus, and make a new plan Stan. No time to be coy, Roy. Just listen to us.

Carolina over TAMPA BAY by 6 Bash them all you want, the Panthers continue to sit atop the NFC South behind a stingy defense. On the other side of the coin, the Bucs reside one game ahead of the winless Saints in the division with a stop-unit that ranks No. 26 overall in the league. And therein is the primary difference between these two division rivals. Tampa Bay enters today game looking to make amends for four consecutive losses in this series knowing they are a scant 1-10 ATS with quadruple revenge-exact versus a NFC South opponent. They are also 1-5 ATS in second home games of the season. Meanwhile, Carolina stands 5-0 ATS in its second away game of the campaign when facing a foe they beat in an earlier showdown. Until things change with Lovie Smith’s crew, we can only expect similar results from similar teams.

PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, October 1Baltimore over PITTSBURGH by 6

The 0-3 Ravens could very well be 3-0, albeit for a slight reversal of fortune, with all three defeats by a touchdown or less. Nonetheless, as Bill Parcells so famously says, “You are what your record says you are.” What we do know is NFL road favorites who are 0-3 in their last three games, with each loss by 6 or fewer points, are 25-8 SU and 22-10-1 ATS since 1984, including 18-3 SUATS in games in which they sport a losing record. Meanwhile, the Ravens are 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after facing Cincinnati. The big news for the Steelers is the loss of Pro Bowl QB Ben Roethlisberger to a knee injury. Enter the world’s most famous dog killer, Michael Vick. And speaking of dog killers, Vick is just that in his NFL career, going 2-9 SUATS as an underdog in games in which his team is playing off a SUATS win. He is also 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS as a starter versus Baltimore. Granted, only three of the 124 teams who have started a season 0-3 have gone on to make the playoffs since 1990 – the last Buffalo in 1998 – but don’t tell that to these Black Birds. They never liked Parcells, anyhow.

Sunday, October 4

3� BEST BET

Look out London... here they come. Get ready for some early morning NFL football when these two teams kick off at 9:30 AM ET (or sun rise on the West Coast) In the fi rst of three scheduled NFL games at Wembley Stadium this season. Today’s matchup represents the fi rst divisional battle in London with Miami making its third trip across the pond, with the Jets fl ying over for the fi rst time ever. The Fish cashed the chips in each of their previous two visits to London and now take fl ight in a state of fright following last week’s home-opening debacle against Buffalo. It sets the table for today’s fray, though, as NFL teams arriving in London, off a SU favorite loss in its last game, are 4-1 SU and ATS. On the fl ip side, the Flyboys are just 7-14-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a division favorite. With the Dolphins 3-0 SUATS as dogs with revenge in this series, look for the pressure of playing away from South Beach to take a bit of heat away from Joe Philbin’s toasted fanny here in this tea-and-crumpets breakfast at Wembley. And if that’s not enough, there is always The Clincher: Miami is 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS in games with a losing record under Philbin, including 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS when off a loss (6-0 ATS during the fi rst half of the season).

Miami over New York Jets by 8

NEVADA over Unlv by 3As one of the worst college cards in recent memory winds down (at least in terms of garbage games), we’re forced to examine yet another garbage-can matchup in this battle for the state championship of Nevada. After running a season-opening gauntlet against the likes of Northern Illinois, UCLA and Michigan, the UNLV picked up a sorely-needed confi dence builder last week when the Rebels buried Idaho State, 80-8. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack rode a +3 TO differential to a 3-point upset win at Buffalo last week, depite the fact they were outgained by over 100 yards. No surprise there as our MIDWEEK ALERT reminds us Nevada has gone 0-3 ITS versus FBS foes this year, with an average stat loss of 178 YPG! That makes the Pack a ‘leaking oil’ favorite and we always fi nd a way to steer close of teams in that situation. With both defenses allowing over 5 yards per rush, we won’t be getting involved here. But with a gun to our head, we’ll take the points with the Rebels and hope for the best.

SAN DIEGO ST over Fresno St by 6Two teams with proud histories have both fallen onto the slag heap after identical 1-3 starts. Fresno State did manage to subdue Abilene Christian in its season opener but has since been lambasted in a trio of lopsided defeats to FBS foes, going 0-3 SUATS and ITS while allowing 168 points – and losing every game by double-digit ATS margins! But before you look to line up against the Bulldogs here, you should know that San Diego State is also 0-3 SUATS and ITS in its last three contests. So we have head coach Rocky ‘Leaking Oil’ Long and an Aztec offense that’s completely disappeared laying doubles to Tim ‘I coulda been a contender’ DeRuyter and a Bulldog squad that’s well on its way to becoming the Mountain West’s punching bag. Which is our way of saying you should ignore this travesty and check out Marlon Brando in ‘On The Waterfront’ instead. It may be depressing as hell but at least it’s only two hours long!


Monday, October 5SEATTLE over Detroit by 8

So you still think the Super Bowl Loser jinx is simply an anomaly? It took a meeting against the lowly, winless Chicago Bears on this fi eld last week to fi nally spring the Seahawks into the win column this season. And if you’re head coach Pete Carroll, you’ve got this plastered in the locker room this week: Detroit 28, Seattle 24. That was the score the last time these two teams met in 2012. It also leads to the Seahawks’ deadly 8-0 ATS record at home in Monday nights when seeking revenge. On the other side of the coin is the Lions’ lowly 2-8 ATS mark on Monday nights versus non-division opponents off a win. So why isn’t this game bolded and underlined, you ask? In Detroit’s defense, our all-knowing database points out the fact that 0-3 teams playing Game Four under the Monday Night lights tend to suck it up, going 8-4 ATS since 1982, including 5-0 ATS of late. Yeah, we know all about Seattle’s salty 14-2 ATS log at home off a home game when hosting a non-division foe. But Jim Caldwell’s 10-2-1 ATS career mark as a non-division road dog versus sub .800 foes raises the ante. it’s your move.

ARIZONA over St. Louis by 1After laying a tyrannosaurus-size egg with our call on the 49ers against the Cardinals last week, it’s never easy getting too close to the fl ames the following week. But we’ve got our fi re-retardant suits on and we’re going in again this week. For openers, we don’t like to beat a dead horse, but Rams head coach Jeff Fisher is a league-best 96-66-2 ATS as a dog in his NFL career. And Louie is 6-1 ATS off a non-division game in which they scored 7 or fewer points. Bring in the Red Birds’ 2-12 SU and 0-14 ATS record at home with a .500 or greater record in division games off a division game and suddenly the fi re turns to smoke. Add in the fact that 3-0 ATS teams are a wobbly 5-8 SU and 3-10 ATS in Game Four since 2010 and just like that… the fl ames have dissipated. Call off the fi re trucks. We’ve got this game under control.

NEW ORLEANS over Dallas by 3 Still a lot of unknowns at press time in this Sunday-nighter. Word is there is a possible return of Saints QB Drew Brees. If so the line will likely move dramatically, as it did last week when it was offi cially announced that he would miss his fi rst-ever NFL start. In the meantime, these are the facts as we have them: Cowboys QB Brandon Weeden is now 0-9 SU and ATS his last nine starts in the NFL. FYI: in case he gets the call, QB Matt Cassel is 22-12 ATS away in his starts in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Saints are optimistic he will make the start. “I’m literally day to day right now,” Brees said. “But I’m making progress.” If Brees can’t go on Sunday, then backup Luke McCown will make his second straight start after not seeing the fi eld in 2014. New Orleans, who’s on a rare 6-game home loss skid, is 11-1 ATS with a winless record when facing a .500 or greater non-division opponent. And for what it’s worth, McCown completed 31 of his 38 passes for 310 yards in an emergency start for the Saints, who have 11 defensive rookies on the roster. The hidden story inside the game is that former Dallas defensive coordinator Rob Ryan landed on his feet in New Orleans after parting ways with the Cowboys following the 2012 season. His troops stuffed Dallas here in 2013, 49-17, before losing last year at Jerry’s World, 38-17. We’ll follow the fl ow.

5� BEST BET

You know the saying, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fi x it.” We’ve had a handle on the Broncos from the get-go this season, using them as 5* Best Bets on these pages (now a jaw-dropping 7-0 overall this season) the past two issues. Today it’s on to the hat trick, and for all the right reasons. For openers, Denver has enjoyed playing at home in Game Four of the season, going 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS the last seven seasons. They are also 5-0 ATS In Game Fours when undefeated and facing a .500 or greater opponent. In addition, the Wild Horses are 7-1 ATS as home chalk against non-division foes that scored 30 or more points in their last game. And speaking of which, the Vikings are a pathetic 4-20 ATS away in games off a home win where they tallied 30 or more points (that fi ts like a Johnny Cochran prop-glove). Toss in Minny’s not so mighty 1-7 ATS away log off a home game when facing an opponent off an away game and we have all the right tools in place to effectuate the aforementioned hat trick. But for those doubting Thomas’s, there is always added ammunition from our well-oiled database as it supplies The Clincher: 3-0 NFL home teams in Game Four, hosting a non-division foe not off a double-digit loss, are 23-2 SU and 21-4 ATS since 1980. Goal!

DENVER over Minnesota by 16

CHICAGO over Oakland by 1How bad are things in Chicago these days (the Cubs aside, of course)? They are so bad that the lowly Raiders fi nd themselves favored in the Windy City, despite the fact they are 1-5 SUATS the last six games as road chalk. It’s what happens when Jimmy Clausen is your quarterback and your offensive production is falling faster than Donald Trump’s stock. And speaking of Clausen, he brings a 1-11 SU and 4-8 ATS resumé as a starting quarterback in this league into this game. With Chicago’s best receiver Alshon Jeffrey and starting QB Jay Cutler each nursing hamstring issues, their status for this game is up in the air. The good news is Chicago is 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS at home off back-to-back losses when facing an AFC opponent. They are also 8-2 ATS in this series, including 4-0 ATS here. And because we know inquiring minds want to know, Oakland brings a 3-15 SU away record in games off a win, along with a queasy 1-5 SUATS mark as a road favorite since 2003, into the contest. The bottom line is until the complexion of this game clears up (read: status of Cutler and Jeffrey), we’re simply bystanders.

Philadelphia over WASHINGTON by 1 The Eagles quieted the naysayers with a comfortable win in New York against the Jets last week. Or did they? After being outgained for the second week in a row, Philly now takes its act back on the road in a division tussle at Washington where they have enjoyed a modicum of success of late, going 13-7 SU and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 visits to the nation’s capitol. The problem, though, comes from our well-intentioned database as it notes that 1-2 NFL favorites in Game Four are a sloppy 10-28 ATS when playing off an initial victory of the season. Yes we realize Eagles head coach Chip Kelly is 22-3 SU away versus either NFL division or college conference foes in his career, but the machine could care less. The Redskins counter with a 12-1 ATS mark in division games when playing with revenge off a loss against an opponent off a win. Only Washington’s putrid 1-14 ATS record at home in games before back-to-back away games when facing sub .500 opponents keeps us from calling the upset. Philly… by the skin of their teeth.

CINCINNATI over Kansas City by 10 It’s becoming evidentially clear, the Bengals are a main player in the AFC race for the Super Bowl. And like our 5* Denver Broncos, they too are another 3-0 NFL home team in Game Four in a non-division test. (See ‘The Clincher’ in the Broncos write-up for more on this). Helping this week is Cincy’s sparkly 5-0 ATS log in the fi rst of back-to-back home games, along with a shiny 8-1 ATS ledger in games off a SUATS road win. They catch the Chiefs reeling off a Monday night loss at Green Bay with head coach Andy Reid just 1-1-1 SU and 0-3 ATS in his career versus Cincinnati. The Featherheads are also 0-5 ATS in games after playing on Mondays when facing a foe off a SUATS win. The Bengals’ shimmering 12-2-1 SU and 11-3 ATS mark in the last 15 non-division games on this fi eld cements it. Another polished performance is in order by the Super Cats.

SAN DIEGO over Cleveland by 4 Don’t know which team is more disappointed at the moment, the 1-2 Browns or the 1-2 Chargers. For Cleveland, the path was set. Its fi rst three games of the season were against foes that were 9-39 combined last year – and they took a dump. Meanwhile, San Diego fi nished up 1-3 SUATS to conclude the campaign last year and appear to be in a similar groove this year. Hence, in a matchup of two disappointing teams, the points become the play. The Browns’ 6-1 ATS log as a dog in games before Baltimore when facing a sub .500 opponent helps, as does their 6-1 ATS mark in games with a losing record versus sub .500 AFC West foes. The Chargers’ clumsy 1-8 ATS record at home in games off back-to-back away games, and an 0-3 ATS record in this series, seals the deal. Take it if you play it.

Green Bay over SAN FRANCISCO by 3Get an oversize clothespin out… you’re going to need it. Nobody likes to be embarrassed, especially professional athletes. The 47-7 loss the Niners suffered at Arizona last week was ticketed for failure in the fi rst fi ve minutes of the game when Frisco QB Colin Kaepernick tossed a pair of pick 6’s. From that point forward the avalanche was on. It sets the table for today’s play, though, as our all-knowing, well-oiled database reports that NFL home dogs off a loss of 40 or more points in their last game are 10-2-1 ATS since 1995, with six straight up wins in the tally. Today they catch the Packers off a huge revenge victory over Seattle, followed by another convincing win Monday night over the Chiefs. With that, we look to Green Bay’s 0-5 ATS record in games after playing on Monday nights, and the 49ers’ glittery 6-0 ATS mark in their next game after losing SU to Arizona. Now take a huge deep breath, open the pin… and apply.


To view the entire Wise Guys standings, including Triple, Double and Single plays, visit www.PLAYBOOK.com and cash in this weekend for only $12!

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants from the 2015 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

Eagles UNDER 47.5

Utsa (-3)

GIANTS (+6)

Iowa (+7)

GIANTS (+6)

Ohio St (-21)

California (-16.5)

CARDINALS (-7)

JAGUARS (+8.5)

GIANTS (+6)

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

6-0 / 3-0 / 9 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

3-2-1 / 2-1 / 5 pts

4-2 / 3-0 / 7 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

4-2 / 3-0 / 7 pts

5-1 / 3-0 / 8 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 30th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Andy Iskoethelogicalapproach.com

Big Board [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Brad Diamonddiamondquickpicks.com

Brad Powersplaybook.com

California Sportscaliforniasports.com

CfbRefStats.comcfbrefstats.com

Chuck Edelsportsxradio.com

Cincinnati Kidplaybook.com

Doc’s Sportsdocsports.com

Alabama (+2.5)

No Illinois (-2.5)

Florida St (-19.5)

Eagles OVER 47.5

Clemson (Pk)

Ohio U (-2.5)

UConn (+17.5)

App State (-23)

Notre Dame (Pk)

SEAHAWKS (-9.5)

3-3 / 2-1 / 5 pts

3-3 / 2-1 / 5 pts

4-2 / 1-2 / 5 pts

3-3 / 2-1 / 5 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

4-2 / 3-0 / 7 pts

4-2 / 3-0 / 7 pts

3-3 / 3-0 / 6 pts

4-2 / 2-1 / 6 pts

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

Hurricane Billplaybook.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Rob [email protected]

Ross Benjaminrossbenjaminsports.com

Stan Lisowskiplaybook.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252

Victor Kingplaybook.com

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 5 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K F O U R

The fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. The ENTIRE 2-minute Handicap (all 16 gms) along with this week’s 3 NFL O/U BEST BETS will appear in the 2015 ‘TOTALS’ TIPSHEET by Victor King – the defi nitive weekly OU newsletter. Current record for 2015: 6-3 ATS. A single issue is only $8.00 (or $79 for the season). Sent via email on Tuesdays. Call the PLAYBOOK offi ces to get on the 2015 “Totals Train”! …*This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Panthers @ Bucs ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

BaltimorePITTSBURGH

NY JetsMiami

JacksonvilleINDIANAPOLIS

HoustonATLANTA

CarolinaTAMPA BAY

NY Giants BUFFALO

OaklandCHICAGO

PhiladelphiaWASHINGTON

4-0-1 O/U L5 div RG... but 0-3 O/U bef Clev... 1-5 O/U Thursdays vs div... 1-4 O/U 1st meeting vs Pit (32.6)... 2-5 O/U aft Cin4-0 O/U L4 as HD’s... 2-0 O/U Game 4... 5-1 O/U bef SD... but 0-11 O/U bef Mon gm... 0-3 O/U home on Thursdays

4-1 O/U in 1st div gm... 4-1 O/U aft Phil... 6-2 O/U bef Bye... 6-2 O/U as div fav/dog 3 < pts... but 2-6-1 O/U L9 vs Mia (34.1) 5-1 O/U Gm 4 (49.5)... 5-2 O/U bef Bye... but 0-10-1 O/U w/ div revenge... 0-6 O/U 2nd of BB div gms... 0-4 O/U as RD 3 < pts

4-0 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 3-0 O/U aft NEng... but 1-4 O/U as div dog 7 > pts... 1-3 O/U Gm 4 (39.3)... 1-3 O/U bef TBay8-1 O/U Gm 4 (53.4)... but 0-5 O/U as favs 8 > pts... 0-3 O/U bef div RG... 1-7 O/U L8 vs Jax (36.9)... 2-7 O/U aft Ten

4-0-1 O/U away vs NFC South... 9-1 O/U as dogs < 9 w/ line 45 > pts... 5-1 O/U as non-div dogs off DD SU win4-0 O/U as non-div favs 4 > pts... 4-0 O/U Game 4 (59.5)... 3-0 O/U 1st of BB HG... 5-1 O/U aft Dal... 4-1 O/U aft score 38 > pts

0-7 O/U bef Bye Week... 0-6 O/U off div home win... 0-4 O/U in 2nd of BB div gms... 1-4 O/U L5 as RF’s... 2-4 O/U aft NOrl0-3 O/U L3 vs Car (34.2)... 1-9 O/U aft score < 10 pts... 1-4 O/U as div HD’s 6 < pts... 1-3 O/U home off BB RG

4-0 O/U off SUATS div fav win.. 4-1 O/U aft Wash... but 0-3 O/U aft Thur gm... 2-10 O/U aft score 31 > pts... 2-7 O/U A vs AFC6-0 O/U vs opp off Thur gm... 2-0 O/U L2 vs NYG (55.0)... but 1-5 O/U off div RG... 1-3 O/U home aft score 40 > pts

6-0 O/U vs NFC North... 6-1 O/U off road dog win... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Chi (38.5)... but 1-3 O/U aft Clev... 1-3 O/U Gm 4 (45.8) 4-0 O/U Gm 4 (60.5)... 5-1 O/U as non-div HD’s... but 1-5 O/U aft score 3 < pts... 1-4 O/U off 3+ SU losses... 1-3 O/U aft Sea

5-1 O/U off road dog win... 3-1 O/U opp off Thur gm... 5-2-1 O/U L8 div RG... ... but 0-4 O/U w/ div revenge... 1-5 O/U aft NYJ3-1-1 O/U L5 vs Phil (53.8)... but 0-3 O/U aft Thur gm... 2-9-1 O/U as HD’s 3 > pts.. 3-7-1 O/U aft NYG... 2-4 O/U Gm 4


2015 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 1-5

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 5, 2015 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

GEORGIA TECH CINCINNATI ALABAMA

DOLPHINS GIANTS BRONCOS

ARKANSAS“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any por tion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening

lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 1UNLV7:00 PM TIME CHANGE NEVADA

FRESNO ST CBSSN10:30 PM SAN DIEGO ST

215 216

217 218

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4

MONDAY, OCTOBER 5

DETROIT 8:30 PM SEATTLE ESPN

277 278 9 8

MEMPHIS7:00 PM USF ESPN2

TEMPLE 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE CHARLOTTE CBSSN

CONNECTICUT10:15 PM BYU ESPN2

105 106

107 108

109 110

12’ 6

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3

NY JETS1:00 PM at London, Eng MIAMI

JACKSONVILLE1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS

HOUSTON1:00 PM ATLANTA

CAROLINA1:00 PM TAMPA BAY

NY GIANTS1:00 PM BUFFALO

OAKLAND1:00 PM CHICAGO

PHILADELPHIA1:00 PMWASHINGTON

KANSAS CITY1:00 PM CINCINNATI

CLEVELAND4:05 PM SAN DIEGO

GREEN BAY4:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO

MINNESOTA4:25 PM DENVER

ST. LOUIS4:25 PM ARIZONA

DALLAS NBC 8:30 PM NEW ORLEANS

251 252

253 254

255 256

257 258

259 260

261 262

263 264

265 266

267 268

269 270

271 272

273 274

275 276

NORTH CAROLINA 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE GA TECH ESPNU

ARMY12:00 PM PENN ST ESPNU

BOWLING GREEN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BUFFALO

TOLEDO3:00 PM TIME CHANGE BALL ST

WYOMING3:30 PM TIME CHANGE APPALACHIAN ST OHIO U2:00 PM TIME CHANGE AKRON

MIAMI OHIO 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE KENT ST

KANSAS12:00 PM IOWA ST

PURDUE ESPN212:00 PM MICHIGAN ST

FLORIDA INT’L3:00 PM TIME CHANGE UMASS

MINNESOTA12:00 PM N’WESTERN BTN

LOUISVILLE12:30 PM TIME CHANGE NC STATE

111 112

113 114

115 116

117 118

119 120

121 122

123 124

125 126

127 128

129 130

131 132

133 134

OL PB135 136

137 138

139 140

141 142

143 144

145 146

147 148

149 150

151 152

153 154

155 156

157 158

159 160

161 162

163 164

165 166

167 168

169 170

171 172

173 174

OL PBOREGON 10:00 PM TIME CHANGE COLORADO ESPN

WASHINGTON ST4:00 PM TIME CHANGE CALIFORNIA PAC12

SAN JOSE ST4:00 PM TIME CHANGE AUBURN SEC

IDAHO7:00 PM ARKANSAS ST

UL-LAFAYETTE7:00 PM LOUISIANA TECH

VANDERBILT CBSSN7:00 PM MIDDLE TENN

SOUTH CAROLINA12:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSOURI SEC

E MICHIGAN7:00 PM LSU ESPNU

OLD DOMINION3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARSHALL

ARKANSAS7:00 PM TENNESSEE ESPN2

EAST CAROLINA4:00 PM TIME CHANGE SMU ESPNN

NORTH TEXAS 7:00 PM SOUTHERN MISS

SOUTH ALABAMA7:00 PM TROY

GA SOUTHERN7:00 PM UL-MONROE

FLORIDA ST ESPN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE WAKE FOREST

MICHIGAN8:00 PM MARYLAND BTN

COLORADO ST7:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH ST UTSA8:00 PM UTEP

NOTRE DAME8:00 PM CLEMSON ABC

NEW MEXICO ST8:00 PM NEW MEXICO

175 176

177 178

179 180

181 182

183 184

185 186

187 188

189 190

191 192

193 194

195 196

197 198

199 200

201 202

203 204

205 206

207 208

209 210

211 212

213 214

OL PB OL PB

7’

8’

4’

7

NL

5’

5’

7’

14

NL

17’

7

11’

13’

20

20’

16’

3

3’

46

20’

1

9

3’

2

WEST VIRGINIA12:00 PM OKLAHOMA FOXS1

IOWA12:00 PM WISCONSIN ESPN

PITTSBURGH 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE VIRGINIA TECH

MISSISSIPPI ST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS A&M SEC

UCF12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TULANE ESPNN

W KENTUCKY3:30 PM TIME CHANGE RICE

KANSAS ST FOXS1 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE OKLAHOMA ST

HOUSTON 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TULSA CBSSN

ARIZONA ST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE UCLA FOX ARIZONA10:30 PM TIME CHANGESTANFORD PAC12

TEXAS12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TCU ABC

AIR FORCE3:30 PM NAVY CBSSN

ALABAMA3:30 PM GEORGIA CBS MISSISSIPPI 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA ESPN

BOSTON COLLEGE3:30 PM DUKE

NEBRASKA3:30 PM ILLINOIS BTN

OHIO ST ESPN2 3:30 PM INDIANA ABC NO ILLINOIS3:00 PM TIME CHANGE C MICHIGAN TEXAS TECH ABC 3:30 PM at Arlington, TX BAYLOR ESPN2

HAWAII 10:15 PM TIME CHANGE BOISE ST ESPN2

6

3

4’

8

6

1

6

7

1

1

10

BALTIMORE 8:25 PM PITTSBURGH CBS

MIAMI FLA7:30 PM CINCINNATI ESPN

101 102

103 104

2’ 6

6’

1

9

2519’

3

3

3

11 10

15 14

10

2

3

3

7

6

1

13

6

14

11

2’

5’

7

1

11

3

3

14

10

21

25

10

6

8

42

6’

14

3’

16

3

11

1

�

�

�

�

�

�

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2

6

�

4

8

4’ 1

24’ 16

7

19’

6

21

18

16

14

10

7’ 11

7

7

4

3

16

10

2’ 10

6

3

3

13’

1

21

6

1

1 6

1’ 6

9’

NFL WEEK FOUR BYES:NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS, TENNESSEE TITANS

3

5’ 1 24 25 14’ 10

24’ 16

17’ 14

16’

3NL

10 20

NL 24

11 6

marc’s college false favorite gom goes saturday! s college false favorite gom goes saturday!...

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