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Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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Page 1: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Paul Carter, CFAPoint Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013

Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Page 2: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

From SEC’s “Microcap Stock: A Guide for Investors”1

“Lack of Public Information… information about microcap companies can be extremely difficult to find, making them more vulnerable to investment fraud schemes.”

“Risk…microcap stocks are among the most risky. Many microcap companies tend to be new and have no proven track record. Some of these companies have no assets or operations.”

1 Source: www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/microcapstock.htm

Microcaps Often Get a Bad Rap

Page 3: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

•MSCI USA Micro Cap Index (932 stocks)1

•Market Cap Range: $2 mm - $564 mm•Median: $73 mm

•Russell Microcap Index (1,510 stocks)2

•Market Cap Range: $30 mm - $565 mm•Median: $152 mm

•Dow Jones Select MicroCap Index (272 stocks)3

•Market Cap Range: $0.0 – $1.0 billion•Median: $0.3 billion

1 Source: www.msci.com/resources/factsheets/index_fact_sheet/msci-usa-micro-cap-index.pdf2 As at 2012 reconstitution; Source: www.russell.com/indexes/tools-resources/reconstitution/us-capitalization-ranges.asp3 Source: www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/downloads/fact_info/Dow_Jones_Select_MicroCap_Index_Fact_Sheet.pdf

Definition

Page 4: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Russell 2000® Index 8% of Russell 3000®

Index

Russell Midcap® In-dex

27% of Russell 3000® Index

Russell Top 200® Index

64% of Russell 3000® Index

Russell Microcap® Index <3% of U.S. equity market

Russell Indexes

Source: http://www.russell.com/indexes/documents/US_Indexes_comparison.pdf

Page 5: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Some Common Beliefs about Microcaps

• They are a bunch of tech/biotech stocks.• They are companies of low quality.• The costs to trade them are extremely high.• It’s hard to borrow / short these stocks.• If a tree falls in the forest, does anybody hear?• Correlations among microcaps are high.

Page 6: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Sector Diversity

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 7: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Quality of Microcaps

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 8: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Microcaps Are Often Well Known

Page 9: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

How Hard are Microcaps to Trade?

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 10: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

How Hard are Microcaps to Trade?

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 11: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

How Hard are Microcaps to Trade?

Source: Thomson ONE, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 12: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Short Interest

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 13: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Analyst Coverage

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 14: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Do Microcaps Move?

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 15: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Do Microcaps Move Together?

Source: Baseline, Point Defiance Capital Management calculations

Page 16: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Conclusions about US Microcap Stocks

• Lots of opportunities by sector/industry.• Plenty of “good” companies, although the quality range is wide.• Trading costs are significant.• Relatively little competition to short.• News often moves these stocks a great deal.• Correlations among stock returns are low.• Inefficiencies, and therefore opportunity to get an edge, are high.

Page 17: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

Paul Carter, CFAPoint Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013

Thank You

Page 18: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

The Case For MicrocapDennis Jensen, CFA – Director of Research4-23-13

Investment Management in Microcap

Page 19: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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Microcap – A Rich Opportunity

Inefficiency creates better return opportunity

Little institutional attention to Microcap stocks

A diversifying space within US Equity (stock specific)

Shares some advantages of Private Equity strategies, but avoids some disadvantages

Microcap companies are common targets for M&A activity

Page 20: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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The Average Manager Outperforms

Source: Acuitas, Evestment, Russell Investments.

Annualized Active Manager OutperformancePeriod ending June 30, 2012

Page 21: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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Why Doesn’t Everyone Do It?

Large investment managers can’t manage enough money to support infrastructure

Large brokers can’t generate trading volume

Investors that rely on brokers for research are at a disadvantage

“Competitors” end up being insiders, individual investors, local brokers, etc.

The bottom line – most institutional investors don’t even try!

Page 22: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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Unique considerations for managers

Tug-of-war between resources and business viability

Efficiency in idea generation and research is critical

Far easier to gain an ‘informational’ advantage

With power comes responsibility (on your own with research!)

Does anyone care? Discovery is powerful

Avoiding the ‘garbage’ puts wind at your back

DON’T MANAGE TOO MUCH MONEY

Page 23: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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Microcap Products with Low Asset Bases Outperform

Source: Acuitas, Evestment, Russell Investments. Annual returns are based on asset level as of the start of each 12 month period beginning June 30.

Microcap Universe Performance by AUM10 years ending June 30, 2012

Page 24: Paul Carter, CFA Point Defiance Capital Management LLC April 23, 2013 Myths and Realities of Microcap Investing

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