NATIONAL POLL ON MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS

May 2-4, 2014

N=1,595 Likely 2014 Voters

Margin of Error: +/- 2.5%

#140405

Conducted on behalf of:

2

32%

42%

68%

56%

Total Total

Right Direction

Now, generally speaking, would you say

that things in the country are going in

the right direction, or have they pretty

seriously gotten off on the wrong track?

NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK. OBAMA JOB

APPROVAL IS INVERTED. ALL-IN-ALL A PESSIMISTIC

ELECTORATE.

And, do you approve or

disapprove of the job Barack

Obama is doing as President?

Wrong Track Approve Disapprove

3

58% 58%53%

62%56%

51%58%

68%

42% 42%47%

38%44%

49%42%

32%

Total DEM(37%)

IND(30%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29(17%)

Age 30-44(24%)

Age 45-64(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

MAJORITIES ACROSS PARTY LINES CALL FOREIGN

POLICY “TOP” OR “ONE OF THE TOP” PRIORITIES.

SENIORS ESPECIALLY INCLINED TO HIGHLIGHT.

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Total By Party

Thinking about the same list of issues, how high of a priority do you think

Foreign Policy should be for the federal government over the next six months before

the 2014 Congressional elections? Should it be…

The top priority, One of the top priorities, A mid-level priority, …or… Not a priority?

By Age

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

Top/

One

Of

Top

Mid/

Not

4

51%

39%

47%

68%

44%39%

55%

64%

9%14%

8%5%

17%14%

6% 5%

Total DEM(37%)

IND(30%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29(17%)

Age 30-44(24%)

Age 45-64(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

AND, MAJORITY SAY AMERICA SHOULD BE A

SUPPORTER OF ISRAEL. STRONGEST DRIVERS OF

SUPPORT ARE SENIORS AND GOP.

Isr. Pal.

Total By Party

Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the

Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be...

A strong supporter of Israel, A supporter of Israel,

A supporter of the Palestinians, or A strong supporter of the Palestinians?

By Age

Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr.

27%

Strng17%

Strng

24%

Strng

42%

Strng

24%

Strng22%

Strng

28%

Strng

35%

Strng

THE ISRAELI AND PALESTINIAN NARRATIVES

6

46%

37%41%

60%

35%41%

48%

57%

18%23%

19%13%

32%

20%15%

12%

Total DEM(37%)

IND(30%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29(17%)

Age 30-44(24%)

Age 45-64(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

VOTERS AGREE THAT ISRAEL CANNOT BE EXPECTED

TO NEGOTIATE WITH A GROUP THAT DOES NOT

RECOGNIZE ITS RIGHT TO EXIST.

Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate

with a government or party that does not

recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it.

…or…The Palestinians say that a unity government of all

Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace.

Isr.

Total By Party By Age

Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr.Pal. Pal. Pal.

As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity

government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…

Pal.

7

46%

66%

18%

34%

Total Totalw/Leaners

WHEN UNDECIDEDS ARE PUSHED FOR AN ANSWER,

FULLY TWO-THIRDS OF AMERICANS SIDE WITH

ISRAEL.

Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate

with a government or party that does not

recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it.

…or…The Palestinians say that a unity government of all

Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace.

Israel

Total

As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity

government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…

Total With “Leaners”

Palestinians Israel Palestinians

8

CURRENT STATEMENTS ABOUT WHO DESERVES THE

BLAME FOR THE CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS…

Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks

between the Israelis and the Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the

other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which side you agree with more,

even if neither is entirely right…

Israel says that it can no longer negotiate with the Palestinian Authority now that

they are forming a unity government with Hamas. Prime Minister Netanyahu has

said, “Does he (Abbas) want peace with Hamas or peace with Israel? You can have

one but not the other. I hope he chooses peace.” Israel points out that Hamas is a

designated terrorist organization by the U.S. and many other countries, continues to

deny the holocaust, and actively calls for the destruction of Israel.

…or…

The Palestinian Authority spokesperson for President Abbas says, “The choice of

unifying the Palestinian people enforces peace, and there is no contradiction

whatsoever between reconciliation and negotiations.” The Palestinians declare that

Israel which has stolen their land, destroyed their economy, and has pushed young

Palestinians to become freedom fighters. Israel should return to the table and

negotiate with the entire Palestinian people, including Hamas.

9

48%

39%42%

65%

40% 42%

50%

58%

20%26%

19%14%

32%

24%17%

11%

Total DEM(37%)

IND(30%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29(17%)

Age 30-44(24%)

Age 45-64(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

BETTER THAN TWO-TO-ONE AGREEMENT WITH

ISRAEL’S POSITION ON CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS.

Isr. Pal.

Total By Party

Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the

Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which

side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…

By Age

Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr.Pal. Pal. Pal.

Israeli Statement …or… Palestinian Statement

10

48%

67%

20%

33%

Total Totalw/Leaners

UNDECIDEDS BREAK TWO-TO-ONE FOR ISRAELI

STATEMENT, TOTAL OF TWO THIRDS SUPPORTING

ISRAEL’S POSITION.Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the

Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which

side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…

Israeli Statement …or… Palestinian Statement

Total Total With “Leaners”

Israel Palestinians Israel Palestinians

IMAGES OF MIDDLE EAST ACTORS

12

49%

25% 23%20% 19%

16%10% 9% 7% 6% 5%

27%

39% 38%

54% 53%47%

70%

54%

73%68%

57%

Israel Turkey Jordan SaudiArabia

Egypt Lebanon Iraq ThePalestinianAuthority

Iran Syria Hamas

ISRAEL STANDS ALONE IN THE MIDDLE EAST AS

LEAVING A FAVORABLE IMPRESSION ON U.S. VOTERS.

Fav

Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active

in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable,

Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable

opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below.

Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf

13

40%43%

11%6%

41%

24%

52%46%

Total Total Total Total

MAHMOUD ABBAS AND ISMAIL HANIYEH HAVE

DRAMATICALLY NEGATIVE IMAGES WITH U.S. VOTERS

WHEN IDENTIFIED BY TITLE.

Favorable

Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active

in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable,

Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable

opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below.

U.S. Secretary of

State John Kerry

Israeli Prime Minister

Benjamin Netanyahu

Palestinian

Authority President

Mahmoud Abbas

Hamas Prime Minister

Ismail Haniyeh

Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav

Conducted on behalf of: