oxford internet institute - twitter predicts epidemics
DESCRIPTION
Can Twitter provide an Early Warning function for the next Flu Pandemics? OII blog: http://blogs.oii.ox.ac.uk/policy/can-twitter-provide-an-early-warning-function-for-the-next-flu-pandemic/TRANSCRIPT
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#swineflu: twitter-based early warning and risk communication of the swine flu pandemic in
2009
Patty KostkovaCity University, London
Healthcare in 21st century: mobile17% of cell phone users have
used their phone to look up health information
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Media coverage
Over 3 million tweets were
collected during May 2009 to March 2010 containing the word
flu by CeRC pilot study
Categorisation of Links
Category Total Authors Total ResourcesBlog 7573 162
News 6151 117
Medical Organisation 4388 38
Spam 4231 312
Video 3897 72
Poll 741 5
Comic 484 8
Aggregator 318 10
Game 294 4
Sales 288 31
Download 248 8
Campaign 63 1
Suspended account 5 1
“I have swine flu”12,954
“I have the flu”12,651
Self Reporting Flu
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 520
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Evaluation – UK data (RCGP)
20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 520
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0
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UKUK ILI
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eets
Clinic
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ate
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Media and twitter: who was influencing whom during swine flu pandemics 2009?
11th June 2009
Hour-by-Hour breakdown of the most popular resources posted to Twitter
Media Coverage
Invited Speaker – “Idea Champion” at BMJ Panel: ◦ "The idea most likely to make the biggest impact on healthcare by 2020" (the
NHS Innovation Expo 2011, Excel, London, March 2011)
◦ ECDC Invited Speaker European meeting on “Epidemic Intelligence” (Stockholm, October 2010)
BMJ feature ◦ Can Twitter predict disease outbreaks?
◦ BMJ 2012; 344 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e2353 (Published 17 May 2012
Media Coverage
◦ “Epidemic Inteligence”Scientific Film
◦ BMJ: Medical Innovation: Sabreena Malik
◦ Social networking sites can help prevent pandemics:
(AFP) (15th December 2010) and replicated across more than
30 online news outlets 13
“Patty Kostkova and her colleagues at City ehealth Research Centre, City University, London, showed that the 2009 H1N1 flu outbreak could have been identified on Twitter one week before it emerged in official records from general practitioner reports
“E-Bug uses interactive games to teach children about infection control”
Thanks to Martin Szomszor & Connie St Louis
Patty KostkovaGawesh JawaheerGayo DialloSue WisemanDavid FarrellSteve D’SouzaGemma MadleJane Mani-SaadaAnjana RoyJulius WeinbergMike CatchpoleFaiza HansrajNancy LaiSandy BeverageJohn LawrensonMartin SzomszorLisa LazareckDasun WeerasingheRos NyugiChristina DalyEd de QuinceyHelen Oliver David FowlerSimon Hammond Andreea Molnar 14