overview of the teesside collective industrial ccs project

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Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project and respective insights for the Cement Industry Tim Dumenil SCCS Workshop - Industrial CCS: Constraints and Opportunities for the Cement Industry 28 th August 2015

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Page 1: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS

Project and respective insights for the Cement Industry

Tim Dumenil

SCCS Workshop - Industrial CCS: Constraints and

Opportunities for the Cement Industry

28th August 2015

Page 2: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Agenda

Introduction

Why Teesside & Why Industrial CCS (ICCS)

Project Objectives and Overview

Infrastructure Requirements

ICCS Value Chain & Support Mechanism

ICCS Business Case Output

Next Steps for Teesside

Insights for the Cement Industry

2

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Page 3: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Management Consultants for the Energy Transition

Management Consultants for The Energy Transition

1

Carbon Capture & Storage

2

Oil & Gas Transition

3

Emerging Energy Systems

We help organisations of all sizes to create opportunities and mitigate risks arising from major changes in the energy markets.

Pale Blue Dot delivers Management Consultancy to the energy industry, large energy users and the public sector.

© Pale Blue Dot Ltd 2015

Page 4: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Why Teesside & ICCS?

Image Source: Teesside Collective

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Page 5: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

TVU Objectives

5

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Page 6: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

System Capacity

5 mTpa or

15 mTpa

Storage Solution

Bunter 154km

Captain 433km

Teesside Overview

5 major elements to capture, transportation & storage of 2.8 mTpa of CO21) Capture, 2) Gathering, 3) Boosting, 4) Offshore Transport, 5) Storage

A

B

C

D

E

Image Source: Amec Foster Wheeler

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Page 7: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Estimating Infrastructure needs

Multiple sources of CO2 supply

CO2 volumes variable

Longevity of the businesses

Importance of timing of an acceptable ICCS investment mechanism

7

9.7

2.30.3

12Mt CO2 currently emitted

Tier 0, > 1000ktpa

Tier 1, > 50ktpa

Tier 2, > 5ktpa

© Pale Blue Dot Ltd 2015

Page 8: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Business Case Output

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Teesside ICCS is technically & economically viable:

Scenario discounted capex cost ranges £0.8-£2.1bn

Over 20 years the entire ICCS Chain for the Reference Scenario requires undiscounted financial support of £5.4bn (£1.5bn PV7) equating to £95/T for 56.5mT CO2 stored. (13% IRR. 7% Discount Rate)

Capture 47%, Gathering 3%, Offshore 50%

Trebling the infrastructure only requires an additional 8% of support (£104m)

Financial Support

(£/T over 20 years)

Excluding Return Undiscounted PV7

Ammonia 25.5 8.4

Steel 30.5 10.1

Hydrogen 34.8 12.4

PET 116.7 42.8

Including Return Undiscounted PV7

Ammonia 37.4 10.5

Steel 45.3 12.7

Hydrogen 61.6 17.5

PET 214.9 61.6

Page 9: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

ICCS Value Chain – initial thoughts

9

Disaggregated model Each emission site will require a capture facility, which may be operated by

the process company, or someone else

Onshore transportation of gases is commonplace & many interested players

Offshore transportation of gases is also commonplace but fewer players

Very few players in storage domain

Several variations all with multiple players, which adds commercial complexity

Onshore TransportationCapture 1

Offshore Transportation

Storage

Capture 2

Capture 3

Capture 4

CO2

Contracts

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Page 10: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Commercial Support Mechanism

10

Image Source: Societe Generale

Three options for a Funding Mechanism reviewed:

a Storage Mechanism Payment

a CO2 CfD Emitter Mechanism

a hybrid

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Page 11: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Next Steps

11

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Ambitious Schedule

“Bridge Phase” to secure funding and support for transition from Concept Study to Pre-FEED

Establishing an agreed Funding Mechanism solution with HMG is key

Additional emitters, i.e. new Power CCS project, to help fill 15 mTPa infrastructure and deliver significant scale efficiencies

Page 12: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Teesside Conculsions

12

ICCS technically and economically viable… but…

Full Chain Costs: 50% Capture, 50% Transport & Storage

Lots done and known on capture. Storage??

Commercially more complex versus a single full chain power station project

Multiple sources, vastly differing scales, cross-chain liabilities

Increased risk of commercial carbon leakage

Multiple players add complexity to risk allocation & financing

Maintaining the “polluter pays” principle

Financial support needs may be significant. ICCS needs a commercial mechanism that is attractive to global corporations

© Pale Blue Dot Ltd 2015

Page 13: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Cement Industry: CCS is core to Carbon Strategy

13

4 levers for CO2 emission reductions Energy efficiency 10%

Alternative fuels (biomass) 24%

Clinker substitution 10%

Carbon Capture and Storage 56%

© Pale Blue Dot Ltd 2015

Image Source: IEA and MPA

Page 14: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Cement Industry: CCS is core to Carbon Strategy

14

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Anticipated CCS Beachheads

CCS Progress

Capture via 2 options √

Oxyfuel at €50/T CO2

Storage??

Scale of Factory

1-2 mT

10 mT

Regional Solutions

Cost of Cement

Image Source: ETI and MPA

Page 15: Overview of the Teesside Collective Industrial CCS Project

Tim Dumenil

Creative Spirit and Energy Consultant

Management Consultants for the Energy Transition Carbon Capture & Storage – Oil & Gas Transition – Emerging Energy Systems

t: +44 1330 826890 m: +44 7891 385 395

e: [email protected] w: www.pale-blu.com Pale Blue Dot Energy Limited, Scotland Registered No: SC453362 Business Office: Brathens Eco-Business Park, Hill of Brathens, Glassel, Banchory, Aberdeenshire, AB31 4BW Registered Office: Johnstone House, 52-54 Rose Street, Aberdeen, AB10 1HA, United Kingdom