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Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit Precession of the Ellipse For Next Class: Read Ruddiman Ch. 9 (AsUlearn) Exam 2 on October 8 th !

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Page 1: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Orbital Forcing on ClimateFinish Climates of Geologic TimeIntroduction to Orbital FactorsAxial TiltAxial PrecessionChanges in Earth’s eccentric orbitPrecession of the Ellipse

For Next Class: Read Ruddiman Ch. 9 (AsUlearn)Exam 2 on October 8th!

Page 2: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit
Page 3: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit
Page 4: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit
Page 5: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit
Page 6: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

© AMS 6

Climates of the Pleistocene Ice Age

Chronology and Temperature Trends Last major glacial climatic episode began

about 27,000 years ago and reached its peak about 20,000 to 18,000 years ago

Page 7: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

© AMS 7

Climates of the Pleistocene Ice Age

Page 8: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

© AMS 8

Climates of the Holocene

The Holocene Epoch is the present interglacial Glacial ice withdrew from North American

Great Lakes region about 10,500 years ago• Civilization and agriculture developed

Holocene has had spatially and temporally variable temperature and precipitation

Page 9: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

• Global climate transitioned from a cold glacial (Pleistocene) to a warmer interglacial (Holocene) approximately 15,000 years ago primarily as a result of orbital forcing.

• However, two prominent periods of abrupt cooling are evident at the end of the Pleistocene and beginning of Holocene.

Page 10: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Abrupt Climate ChangesTheory, models, and paleoclimatic reconstructions have shown that changes in the climate system can be abrupt and widespread.Abrupt climate change: “. . . occurs when the climate system is forced to cross some threshold, triggering a transition to a new state . . .” (Alley et al. 2002)“Climate surprises” often used to refer to these abrupt transitions

Page 11: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Responses of a Climate Variable to Forcing

Page 12: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Younger DryasAbout 14,500 years ago, the global climate began to transition to a warmer interglacial.Around 13,000 years ago, the climate suddenly or abruptly returned to glacial conditions, cooling 3-8 °C (even colder across portions of Europe).This period is called the Younger Dryas, named after an Arctic flower that became common across Europe.

Page 13: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

NOAA 2011

Page 14: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

8.2 ka Cooling EventAnother period of abrupt climate change occurred approximately 8,200 years ago and is hence termed the 8.2 ka cooling event. Temperatures were lower and much of the world was much drier.Climate returned to warmer conditions characteristic of the present interglacial after about 150 years.

Page 15: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

8.2 ka Event in Paleoarchives

NOAA 2011, from Morrill and Jacobson (2005)

Page 16: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Possible Causes of 8.2 ka Event

Page 17: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit
Page 18: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Day After Tomorrow

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnvqsWVluCE

Page 19: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Causal MechanismsSignificant influx of freshwater into the North Atlantic appears to have caused both the Younger Dryas cooling and the 8.2 ka cooling event. Freshwater influx changed the density structure associated with meridional overturning circulation (or thermohaline circulation) and caused a slowing or stopping of Gulf Stream circulation.

Page 20: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Orbital Influences on InsolationVariations in axial tilt (41,000 year cycle)Axial precession (25,700 year cycle)Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit (100,000 year cycle)Precession of the ellipse (23,000 year cycle)

Page 21: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Earth’s Tilt Actually VariesVaries between 22 and 24°, on a 41,000 year cycle

Page 22: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

No Tilt vs. 90° TiltHow does the annual pattern of solar radiation vary at the Equator and at the Poles in the two examples on the right?

Which scenario would be most favorable for polar ice sheet growth? Tropical glacier advance?

Page 23: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Axial Precession

A rotating body like the Earth is subject to a slow wobble.

Page 24: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Changes in Eccentric OrbitEccentricity, or the shape of Earth’s path around the sun, changes on a 100,000 year cycle

Causes changes to the distance away from the sun during theperihelion and aphelion, resulting in subtle differences in insolation.

Page 25: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Precession of the EllipseThe entire ellipse is also subject to slow rotation.

Page 26: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Precession of the EquinoxesAxial precession and precession of the ellipse results in the precession of the equinoxes. A strong cycle is evident on a 23,000 year cycle.

Page 27: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Influences on Solar Radiation

Page 28: Orbital Forcing on Climate Finish Climates of Geologic Time Introduction to Orbital Factors Axial Tilt Axial Precession Changes in Earth’s eccentric orbit

Departure from Modern Insolation