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Page 1: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity finding observation

Page 2: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

1 2 3 4 5

a

b

c

seeing vs. observingmissing the details

3. what color light is on the top of of the street light?

1. how many legs does a lobster have (not claws)

“vuja de” - actually seeing something for the first time even though you witnessed it many times before

2. what letters correspond to the “3” on telephones

nickerson and adams, 1979

4. which is the correct penny design?

Page 3: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

seeing vs. observing

the invisible gorilla test ~50% miss it

missing the big picture

inattentional/perceptual blindnessthe brain is designed to filter out what it thinks is the unnecessary information for the task at hand

“did you see that?!”

TED, apollo robbins: the art of misdirection

Page 4: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

seeing vs. observing

pay attention to details and the big picture or you might miss things

Page 5: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findingneed finding, problem finding

sometimes problems/needs are obvious

Page 6: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

product opportunity

opportunity findingportable braille label maker

“if i had asked my customers what they wanted, they’d have said a faster horse” - Henry Ford

Page 7: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findingportable braille label maker

Page 8: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

6 Dot (www.braillelabeler.net)

opportunity finding

Page 9: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findinglatent needs

“give the world something it didn’t know it was missing.” - Paola

Antonelli

creating new markets, platforms

Page 10: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findingbad design = opportunity

Page 11: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findingbad design = opportunity

The Palm Beach County ballot was resplendent with usability issues:  the layout of two pages with punch holes in between was unfamiliar; text in the left column was left-aligned while text in the right column was right-aligned; the right column, lower that the left, appeared to be subordinate and thus had a minimal relationship to the punch holes; the word "Democratic was aligned with a hole for a different party; there was no relationship between the boxes and holes; the arrows were very small; and the holes were closely spaced.

44,000-100,000 deaths in US/year due to human error(in hospitals alone) Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences November 1999

no stupid users, just bad design

Page 12: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findinghow designers see users

Page 13: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findinguser modifications, adaptations = opportunity

Haier washing machine

Page 14: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity finding

if you fix something or see duct tape and rubber bands

user modifications, adaptations = opportunity

Page 15: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

opportunity findingearly adapters, extreme users = opportunity

jet setters, front end users

Page 16: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

reviews and critiquesopportunity finding

Page 17: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

window/catalog shopping

inspirationinspiration board“newsstand roundup”

opportunity finding

Page 18: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

inspirationopportunity findingWhat Comes Next (To): How to Increase the Power of Your Designs Through Adjacency featuring Allan Chochinov, partner, Core77; founding chair, MFA in Products of Design graduate program, School of Visual Arts (New York) Wednesday, October 11 Doors open at 2:30 PM, Lecture 3:00-4:00 PM 225 Rapson Hall

Page 19: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

inspiration “idea wallet”

opportunity finding

Page 20: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

inspiration “idea wallet”

opportunity finding

Page 21: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

strange phenomenon are idea food

inspiration “idea wallet”

opportunity finding

Page 22: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

strange phenomenon are idea food

inspiration “idea wallet”

opportunity finding

Page 23: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

strange phenomenon are idea food

inspiration “idea wallet”

opportunity finding

Page 24: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

bug lists!

note: we are not typically designing for ourselves, but sometimes there are commonly observed bugs

opportunity finding

Page 25: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

questioning the status quothinking like a childbe curious, play, ask more questions, wonder

‘There is frequently more to be learned from the unexpected questions of a child than the discourses of men, who talk in a road, according to the notions they have borrowed and the prejudices of their education.’ - John Locke

(or Seinfeld)

Page 26: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

questioning the status quohabits and tradition

once a rule gets in place it’s very difficult to eliminate it even though the original reason for its generation has gone away. - von oech

“About three-quarters of the energy use and greenhouse-gas emissions from washing a load of

laundry come from heating the water — a practice that, scientists say, is often wasteful and unnecessary.

mom’s age-old advice that hot water washes best”

martin and rosenthal, new york times, 2011

Page 27: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

“The telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to use” western union internal memo 1876

we resist change. radical

Page 28: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

“while theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially it is an impossibility”

lee deforest, inventor 1927

we resist change. radical

Page 29: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”

- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM 1943

we resist change. radical

Page 30: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

2015 Today’s Toilet(incremental innovation)

1880 Thomas Crapper(innovation)

1775 Joseph Braman(invention)

135 years and little change

we resist change. radical

is there a better way?

Page 31: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

“We were not meant to sit on toilets. We were meant to squat in the field.” - Proctologist Michael Freilich in Time 1978

each flush:1.6 gallons of water

question the status quo.

Page 32: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

36.5 billion rolls of toilet paper go to waste annually.

question the status quo.

Page 33: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

habits and traditionfear of being different, fear of change

1850 1900 20XX

TP age

question the status quo.

can you believe they used toilet paper 100 years ago!?

Page 34: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

1930 1950 1930

19101914

can you believe they did that?

Page 35: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

can you believe they did that?what are our children are going to say they can’t believe their parents did/used/didn’t have?

Page 36: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

can you believe they did that?what are our children are going to say they can’t believe their parents did/used/didn’t have?

Page 37: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the futurehistorical evolutionlook to the past to predict the future?

Page 38: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the future

8 in floppy 3.5 in floppy zip disk compact disc dvd flash

1870 1900 1920 1940 1960 20001980

historical evolutiontrends

the direction things are goinglook to the past to predict the future?

darwin drew diagrams to comprehend what is known and to guide in the search for what was not yet known

Page 39: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the futuretrends

service at your own convenience at any time you wantno employees/automationpay per usebring the company to youno centralized establishment integrated computing

http://www.trendwatching.com/tips/

Page 40: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

bleeding edge

leading edge

state of the art

dated

obsolete

designing the futuretrendsthe s curve - technology maturity life cycle - product life cycle

market intro phaseworking out kinksestablishing market

growth phaseovercoming technical obstacles user base grows

maturity phasedifficult to make further improvementsusefulness levels off

perf

orm

ance

time

decline/retirementprofitability diminishes

Page 41: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the futuretrendsthe s curve - technology maturity life cycle - product life cycle

record players

market intro phaseworking out kinksestablishing market

growth phaseovercoming technical obstacles user base grows

maturity phasedifficult to make further improvementsusefulness levels off

perf

orm

ance

decline/retirementprofitability diminishes

time

nanotech

personal computers

motor vehicle

Page 42: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the futuretrendsthe s curve - technology maturity life cycle - product life cycle

record players

perf

orm

ance

time1877 19901965 1997

cassettes

mp3 players

incremental innovation

radicalinnovation

cds

paradigm shift

Page 43: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

designing the futuretrends

perf

orm

ance

time

innovatorsenthusiasts

2.5%

early adoptersvisionaries

13.5%

early majoritypragmatists

34%

late majorityconservatives

34%

laggardsskeptics

16% EM Rogers

these are good interviewees

Page 44: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

be hyperaware to details and the big picture

people don’t know what they want, they know what they know

askobserveexperience

look for bad design and modifications

keep a bug list

step back, think about our everyday activities

watch for trends and predict the future

question the status quo

Page 45: opportunity finding observation - Product Designproduct.design.umn.edu/courses/pdes2701/documents/lecture03b_2017.pdfquestioning the status quo habits and tradition once a rule gets

questions!

Tuesday:Target vs. 3Mbring questions