[on-demand webinar] property update with dr nicola powell
TRANSCRIPT
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This presentation contains general information only and does not take intoaccount your personal objectives, financial situation or needs and youshould consider whether the information is appropriate to you beforeacting on it.
Before acting on any information you should consider seeking advice froma financial adviser and your accountant before making any financialdecision in relation to any matters discussed in this presentation.
General advice disclaimer
Dennis Wong
• Product & Training Manager.
• Property investor for the past 10 years
• Personal experience with renovations
• Great amount of industry experience
• Data Scientist for the Domain Group
• Her key objective is to create factual data driven conversations across all media channels.
• Nicola provides regular property commentary for local and national media outlets including digital, print, television and radio.
• Her passion is translating data to digestible consumer friendly columns.
• Within her career she has published numerous academic and interest papers.
• She is quickly establishing a name as a notable property commentator in Australia.
Dr Nicola Powell
Real Estate Investar
• Property investor focused technology company founded 2006
• We help simplify Real Estate Investment
• We help property investors make the most of their investment portfolios
• 260,000+ investors subscribe to our free membership, news and market reports
• 2,800 current members
• Mix of personal users, brokers, buyers agents and accountants
ASX:REV
• Heavy investment in product
• Public company governance
• Strong and focused board;
• Simon Baker – Former CEO of REA
• Anthony Catalano – CEO of Domain
Our mission is to provide property investors around the world with the best advice, guidance, products
and services to enable them to create wealth through property investment.
Three types of property investors
Dr Nicola Powell
Passive Active Analytical
• Limited research
• Limited understanding of the investment
path, e.g. tax benefits, finance strategy
• Purchase quickly
• Purchase emotionally
• Some degree of research to find a good
investment prospect
• Understands basic principles
• Seeks professional advice
• Increased chance of making a viable
investment
• Seeks extensive advice
• Research and analytics are a key
foundation
• Takes time to commit
• Conducts extensive due diligence
• Can miss an opportunity
Beginner-research Mid-research Deep-research
Three sorts of property investors
Dr Nicola Powell
Renovator Developer
ActiveShort-term
ActiveShort- to mid-term
Landlord
Passive
Mid- to long-term
Dr Nicola Powell
Property debate..a house or a unit?
1. Purchase price
2. Ongoing expenses
3. Maintenance
4. Investment goals
5. Rental potential
New homes
Pros Cons
Delays and extra costs
Growth corridors
(over supply)
Potential over supply
Unpredictable growth
Tax depreciation
Attractive to tenants
Lower maintenance costs
Guarantees & warranties
Dr Nicola Powell
Established homes
Pros Cons
Older home
Building reports
Emotional buyers
Maintenance issues
Avoid premium of new build
Stronger performance in slow markets
Value add
Negotiate price
Dr Nicola Powell
Depreciation
New Home Established Home (5-yrs)
Asking Price $400,000 $375,000
Land Value $200,000 $200,000
Building Value $200,000 $175,000
Depreciable Amount $200,000 $153,125
Amount ($200,000 x 2.5%) x 40yrs ($175,000 x 2.5%) x 35yrs
Real Purchase Price $200,000 $221,875
Dr Nicola Powell
Dr Nicola Powell
Off-plan
purchasing fundamentals
Location
Owner-occupied Stock
Due diligence
Fixtures & fittings
Paperwork
Depreciation
Floor plan
Yield
When to purchase?
Dr Nicola Powell
Key considerations:
- Market dynamics
- Research sales history
- Domain Home Price Guide
- Rental vacancy
- Domain State of the
Market Report
- Yield potential
- Future development
- Research rezoning and
infrastructure changes
Trend watch: house prices
Source: Australian Property Monitors 1 800 817 616. Copyright APM Pty Limited.
Dr Nicola Powell
$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Canberra Perth Hobart Darwin
Mar 2017 $1,167,127 $842,221 $533,292 $513,263 $692,313 $564,000 $383,558 $593,707
Dec 2016 $1,129,055 $813,146 $539,412 $506,539 $673,137 $574,458 $369,574 $576,904
Trend watch: house price movements
Source: Australian Property Monitors 1 800 817 616. Copyright APM Pty Limited.
Dr Nicola Powell
14.6%
15.0%
3.6%
4.6%
8.4%
-2.5%
10.3%
-4.1%
3.4%
3.6%
-1.1%
1.3%
2.8%
-1.8%
3.8%
2.9%
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Adelaide
Canberra
Perth
Hobart
Darwin
YoY Change QoQ Change
Median Unit Price
Source: Australian Property Monitors 1 800 817 616. Copyright APM Pty Limited.
Dr Nicola Powell
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Canberra Perth Hobart Darwin
Mar 2017 $741,789 $464,247 $385,987 $299,587 $410,256 $369,594 $283,627 $408,652
Dec 2016 $721,920 $463,169 $393,177 $301,909 $412,189 $383,087 $274,183 $464,148
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
Mar 2017 Dec 2016
Units price movements
Source: Australian Property Monitors 1 800 817 616. Copyright APM Pty Limited.
Dr Nicola Powell
-20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%
Darwin
Hobart
Perth
Canberra
Adelaide
Brisbane
Melbourne
Sydney
YoY Change QoQ Change
Trend watch: affordability
Source: Australian Property Monitors 1 800 817 616. Copyright APM Pty Limited.
Dr Nicola Powell
Price constraint for buyers in certain markets
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
$1,000,000
$1,100,000
$1,200,000
$1,300,000
Mar-
06
Ju
l-06
No
v-0
6
Mar-
07
Ju
l-07
No
v-0
7
Mar-
08
Ju
l-08
No
v-0
8
Mar-
09
Ju
l-09
No
v-0
9
Mar-
10
Ju
l-10
No
v-1
0
Mar-
11
Ju
l-11
No
v-1
1
Mar-
12
Ju
l-12
No
v-1
2
Mar-
13
Ju
l-13
No
v-1
3
Mar-
14
Jul-14
Nov-1
4
Mar-
15
Ju
l-15
No
v-1
5
Mar-
16
Ju
l-16
No
v-1
6
Mar-
17
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Canberra Perth
Building approvals riseCapital cities tell different stories
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Building Approvals, 8731.0
Dr Nicola Powell
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
To
tal B
uil
din
g A
pp
rov
als
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Perth
Greater Sydney
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Building Approvals, 8731.0
Dr Nicola Powell
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Bu
ild
ing
Ap
pro
vals
Houses Units
Greater Melbourne
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Building Approvals, 8731.0
Dr Nicola Powell
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Bu
ild
ing
Ap
pro
vals
Houses Units
Greater Brisbane
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Building Approvals, 8731.0
Dr Nicola Powell
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Bu
ild
ing
Ap
pro
vals
Houses Units
Australian Capital Territory
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Building Approvals, 8731.0
Dr Nicola Powell
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Bu
ild
ing
Ap
pro
vals
Houses Units