october - december, 2010 india the wto · october - december, 2010 shri anand sharma, union...
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OCTOBER - DECEMBER, 2010
Shri Anand Sharma, Union Minister of Commerce and Industry, during his meeting with Mr. Pascal Lamy, Director General of the WTO, in Geneva on October 20, 2010, reaffirmed India's commitment to an ambitious and balanced outcome of the Doha round. He recalled that world leaders have also reaffirmed their commitment to an early conclusion of Doha Round at the G-20 Summit and added that the issue would come up again in the G-20 Seoul meeting next month. “Sustaining trade and investment flows is critical for the future prosperity of developed and developing economies alike. They recognized that one of the main threats to the revival of trade flows is the rising protectionist pressures and continued delay in concluding the Doha Round. Therefore, strengthening the multilateral trading system by concluding the Doha Round at the earliest is a vital imperative”, Shri Sharma emphasized. Shri Sharma also met Ambassadors of the key players in the Doha Round, including the G-33, NAMA 11 and the recently constituted G-11, Chairs of Agriculture, NAMA and Services.
Shri Sharma pointed out that since March 2010 stock taking, while some progress has been achieved in small group meetings, the text based negotiations led by the chairs must resume at the earliest. He said that while there are still a few gaps and large number of unresolved issues, the December 2008 texts of Agriculture and NAMA presented, a fine balance and any attempt to revisit settled issues would potentially unravel the round itself. He said that 2011 presented a “Year of opportunity” for conclusion of the round and felt that through the G-20 summit in Seoul, a strong articulation of political intent would lend the necessary momentum to negotiations.
A Newsletter of the Ministry of Commerce & IndustryVol. 14 No. 10-12
INDIA
The
INDIA
The WTO& WTO
In this issue Page No.
ANAND SHARMA REAFFIRMS INDIA'S COMMITMENT TO BALANCED OUTCOME OF THE DOHA ROUND
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS COMMITTEE LAMY: “THE FINAL COUNTDOWN STARTS NOW”
SHORT-TERM MERCHANDISE TRADE STATISTICS TRADE VALUE GROWTH SLOWS IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2010
LAMY: “THE DOHA ROUND MARKS A TRANSITION FROM THE GOVERNANCE OF THE OLD GOLD TRADE ORDER TO THE NEW GOVERNANCE OF A NEW TRADE ORDER
PARLIAMENT BRIEFS
WTO NEWS
PRESS CLIPINGS
EARLY CONCLUSION OF INDIA-EU FTA: ANAND SHARMA
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The Minister stressed that Doha Round negotiations hold the promise of raising standards of living worldwide, alleviating global poverty, removing inequities in the trade regime, and enhancing international stability especially in times of global financial and economic crisis. There are signs of recovery, however, there are also continuing concerns on the uncertainty on the prospects of the recovery as many countries have not fully recovered from the impact of the crisis. The conclusion of the Round would provide a big boost to help recovery. Shri Sharma reiterated that this is a Development Round and the mandate of the Doha Round is non-negotiable and should be respected. The final outcome must correct the historical distortions and address structural flaws in the global trading regime, while responding to the legitimate concerns and aspirations of the poor in the developing world. The Special safeguard mechanisms and special products are crucial to protect the livelihood concerns of millions of small and marginal farmers in the developing world.
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TRADE NEGOTIATIONS COMMITTEE
Lamy: “The final countdown starts now”
Director-General Pascal Lamy announced at a Trade Negotiations Committee meeting on 30
November 2010 an “intensive work programme” to finish the Doha Round by the end of next year. He
said: “We have the political signal, we have the technical expertise and we have the work programme.
We now need to translate these into a comprehensive deal which you can all take back home.”
I would like to welcome delegations to this informal meeting of the Trade Negotiations Committee.
thAs indicated in my fax to you of 15 November I thought it would be useful for us to review and assess
developments in the Doha Development Agenda, following the meeting of the G-20 and APEC. Also,
since our last meeting in this format a second round of meetings of the small brainstorming groups has
taken place and today is a good opportunity to take the temperature and evaluate the discussions in
this process.
thYou will recall that at the 19 October 2010 TNC meeting delegations had looked ahead to the meeting
of G-20 Leaders in Seoul and the APEC leaders meeting in Yokohama, with the hope that a clear
political signal would emanate from those gatherings that the Doha negotiations had now entered the
final stretch.
WORLD TRADE
ORGANIZATION
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In my concluding remarks at that meeting I emphasized that the challenge facing us in Geneva was to
take the recent positive engagement in Geneva to a higher gear by going deeper and wider in the
discussions, as a prelude for the “give and take” spirit that will be required to build a final package in
our multilateral process. Delegations also called for the G-20 Leaders to empower their negotiators to
make the compromises necessary for this gear change to happen.
On the basis of the discussions among Leaders and Ministers at these recent meetings and my own
private conversations, I believe we have now received the signals we need. The G-20 in Seoul and
APEC Leaders and Ministers in Yokohama both sent strong signals of political resolve to conclude the
Doha Development Round. They recognised the 2011 window of opportunity to achieve this goal.
They called for intensified engagement and for negotiations across the board to conclude the end
game. They also committed to seeking domestic ratification once an outcome is reached. In short,
they provided a clear signal that they expect the Doha Development Round to be a deliverable next
year.
The discussions between leaders on this topic were to the point: how to supplement what is already on
the table with new “gives and takes” in order to build a final package that they could take to their
respective legislatures. Our task now is to translate this political will into negotiations here in Geneva.
Since June last year, Members have been testing flexibilities in various formats. This process must now
intensify in order to “walk the talk”.
In practical terms, if we are to deliver on this recent momentum we need a clear sense of urgency in
the work programme in Geneva. Our “Cocktail Approach” means that every configuration and every
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possibility for progress must be exploited to the fullest, whether it is small groups, bilateral contacts,
negotiating groups or my own consultations. We have been mixing these ingredients up until now.
From now on we will continue to mix these ingredients but with different proportions. In order to
ensure full participation, though, the Negotiating Groups need to be at the heart of our intensified
efforts over the coming months, with the Chairs taking a more pro-active role in accelerating the work.
I know the Chairs are all prepared to do this. Together we plan an intensive work programme from now
on, through the beginning of next year, advancing on all fronts of the negotiations at the same time.
This is the only way to take advantage of our narrow window of opportunity. We need to recall
constantly that the clock is not our friend. In order to finish the Round by the end of next year we will
have to operate on a very tight timetable bearing in mind that, once the package is agreed, scheduling
and legal polishing will take up a minimum of six to seven months.
With this timing in mind, I believe there is now a collective sense emerging that revised texts in all
areas of the negotiation will have to be developed so that they appear towards the end of the first
quarter of 2011. We all know these texts are essential as a tool to conclude the negotiations, but we
also know that they need to be constructed in our customary bottom-up way, on the basis of
consensus emerging from Members. I should also add that in order to arrive at these texts it will be
essential for participants to take an active role and come up with inputs which take us towards
consensus. As usual, convergence is best achieved by Members, so that Chairs can reflect rather than
create compromises.
At the right moment we will also need to develop more of a global sense of what the final package will
contain. I sense that issues are no longer confined to silos: as is to be expected, and indeed hoped,
there are inter-linkages which are starting to appear and these will have to be properly addressed and
negotiated when the time is ripe. How, where and when to do this is not something we need to decide
now; I believe it will become clearer in the light of the substantive progress in the Negotiating Groups.
Finally, I think we need to plan for the greater involvement of Senior Officials as our work intensifies in
the months ahead. Their role will be a dual one – assisting Ambassadors in the negotiations here in
Geneva and helping Ministers undertake some of the heavy lifting at home.
So, in practical terms, the work programme we propose is as follows:
• During December Negotiating Groups will continue their scheduled activities,
supplemented by informal contacts among participants.
th• From 10 January 2010, the Rules, Trade Facilitation, Trade and Environment, TRIPS [trade-
related intellectual property rights] and Development groups will begin intensive sessions, th
to be joined from 17 January 2010 by Agriculture, NAMA [non-agricultural market access],
Services and Dispute Settlement.
• I would like to stress the importance of Ambassadors remaining fully involved in the
negotiations themselves since they will be central to the final deal;
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• Our intention is that this intensive negotiation across the board will continue as long as it
takes to build the basis for revised texts. This will be a very demanding process, but there isno
alternative if we are serious about concluding the Round, as I know we all are.
I am well aware of the strain it will put on all delegations but particularly on the smaller ones. You can
be assured that the Negotiating Group Chairs and I will act in full accordance with our established
principles concerning the scheduling of meetings, and we will make every effort to ensure
transparency and full participation. As I have usually done, I shall consult with co-ordinators of
regional and other groups to reinforce these efforts. I shall also keep up chairs meetings, informal TNC
meetings, Green Rooms and all of my other contacts with delegations.
In sum, we have the political signal, we have the technical expertise and we have the work
programme. We now need to translate these into a comprehensive deal which you can all take back
home. The final countdown starts now.
Overview of Negotiating Groups
On Agriculture, work continues on two tracks, templates and on the bracketed or otherwise
annotated issues of the draft modalities. On templates, and on the associated work on base data, Step
2 on drafts of the actual proposed formats for the scheduling process is actively engaged. A number of
drafts, in each of the three pillars
(domestic support, market access
and export competition), have
now been put before the Special
Session, in informal setting, and
are under discussion. Additional
such drafts are being prepared for
the Group's next set of meetings,
in the week of 6 December. Work
on base data is also progressing,
with the Secretariat issuing, on the
basis of data provided by
Members, papers in a number of
areas, inc luding va lue of
production and product-specific
AMS [aggregate measurement of support] and Blue Box in preparation for continuation of the
verification exercise.
On modalities, the Chair has continued his consultations. The Chair has also continued consultations
on clarification of certain technical aspects of the modalities. The Chair will again convene open-ended
informals in the week of 6 December 2010, when the programme of work will continue on both tracks.
And he remains available for “confessionals” on technical ambiguities in the draft modalities.
On NAMA, the Group held dedicated discussions on several of the NTB [non-tariff barriers] areas
under consideration. On the Horizontal Mechanism, a revised contribution by some of the middle-
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grounders laid the basis for an exchange. On Remanufacturing, additional explanations were
circulated by the co-sponsors concerning their proposal and this formed part of the input for the
discussion. One Room D session was reserved for an exchange on transparency, conformity
assessment, international standards and good regulatory practice. The discussion on transparency
was lengthy and was based on a Secretariat document which highlighted the “TBT [technical barriers
to trade] plus” elements on transparency. Under conformity assessment, the US introduced its
revised electronics proposal. On international standards, the US circulated some questions regarding
the development and use of relevant international standards which Members found helpful. On
chemicals, the discussion was based largely on a series of answers which had been submitted by the
EU concerning its proposal. On textile labelling, a revised proposal by the co-sponsors sparked a
number of interventions.
Regarding future work, in tandem with the overall change in the dynamics of the negotiations, the
Chairman has indicated that the next step is to move more into a text-based negotiation. This will
happen in the context of NAMA weeks which are supplemented by small-group processes; the latter
clearly being an ongoing process. In this connection, the next NAMA week is scheduled for the week of th
17 January 2010. I understand the Chair has already begun some small-group consultations.
In Services, the positive signals given at the Seoul and Yokohama ministerial meetings have
significantly raised the level of activity in this area. This was evident during last week's cluster of
services meetings, where many heads of mission attended the Special Session and emphasized their
commitment to accelerate and intensify participation in the services negotiations.
On market access, discussion continued on two new negotiating elements. The first is a proposal to
cluster together services that are closely-related to logistics and the supply-chain, in order to add
focus to the request/offer negotiations. The second element is an additional plurilateral request/offer
group, to deal with accounting services.
In the other areas of the services negotiations, further progress on technical issues has been
registered. Recent consultations on the LDC [least-developed countries] waiver text have further
clarified the remaining differences between delegations. On domestic regulation, fruitful discussions
have taken place, based on the Chairman's text. The main topics covered were licensing and
qualification requirements and procedures (including a proposal to streamline disciplines in these two
areas), and technical standards. On subsidies, Members had their first dedicated discussion based on
their submissions. Discussions focused on how services subsidy schemes worked, and what their
distortive effects might be. Important work has also been undertaken in the Committee on Specific
Commitments, on the basis of a Secretariat note laying out alternative scenarios for the verification of
GATS [General Agreement on Trade in Services] Schedules at the end of the Round. Discussions in all
these areas will continue as needed.
On Rules, the Group has increased the pace of its work significantly, and recently has been meeting
on a monthly basis. The Group held week-long clusters in October (on fisheries subsidies) and on AD
[anti-dumping] and horizontal subsidies (November 2010). Additional meeting clusters are already
scheduled or planned for early December 2010 (on AD and fisheries subsidies), and further meetings
are envisaged from January 2010 onwards on all clusters.
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On AD and horizontal subsidies, while the Group has considered some new proposals, the focus of the
work has been on the systematic review, in plurilateral sessions, of all the bracketed and un-bracketed
issues in the current Chair texts, as well as a further consideration of certain issues raised by
Participants but not addressed in those texts. In the area of fisheries subsidies, where the Group also
has been meeting principally in a plurilateral context, it is working both on a topical basis (e.g.,
prohibition, special and differential treatment) and on the basis of specific proposals from delegations.
On regional trade agreements, you will recall that at the General Council meeting on 4 May 2010 this
year, Members agreed with a proposal from China, India and Pakistan that consultations should be
held to review the Transparency Mechanism for RTAs [regional trade agreements], with a view to
making it permanent but suggested that it take place in the Negotiating Group on Rules. The Chair of
the NGR has held informal plurilateral consultations on this issue and I understand will be convening a
meeting of the Negotiating Group on 13 December 2010 to begin the process of reviewing the
Transparency Mechanism. Informal discussions have also been held on systemic issues on RTAs,
although discussions remain dependent on the submission of text-based proposals by Members of
which there have been none forthcoming thus far.
In the area of Trade Facilitation, since the beginning of this year, the Negotiating Group has worked
to refine and elaborate on the consolidated text of Members' proposals that is the NGTF's working
document.
The focus of discussions this week is on the GATT Article VIII (fees and charges) and S&D [special and
differential treatment] components of the text. Over the course of this year the Group has been able
to cover all elements of the text in some detail. Negotiations have certainly helped Members to
identify better how the eventual new agreement will benefit their trade and where their main national
interests are. While there has recently been a positive trend to reduce the many square brack ets in the
text, their overall number continues to be way too high. It must be brought down to a much lower level
for serious negotiations on the remaining issues to commence.
As regards Trade and Environment negotiations, the CTE [Committee on Trade and Environment]
in Special Session met informally on 8 November
2010. On DDA [Doha Development Agenda]
paragraph 31(i), Switzerland introduced a new
proposal related to conflict avoidance between
WTO rules and specific trade obligations (STOs)
laid out in MEAs [multilateral environmental
agreements]. Moreover, discussions under
paragraph 31(i) continued as Norway and South
Africa (on behalf of the African Group)
reintroduced their original submissions
continuing the exercise initiated at the 13
September meeting with other submissions. At
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the 8 November meeting, there was general support to continue discussing all proposals on the table
in preparation for text-based negotiations. The Chair intends to discuss in detail the different aspects
of the proposals on the table, on a cluster by cluster basis, with a view to identify commonalities and
outstanding issues.
On paragraph 31(iii), a recent Secretariat paper on Environmental Services, submitted to the Council
for Trade in Services, was presented to the CTESS [Committee on Trade and Environment in Special
Session] and triggered a lot of interest from Members given the linkages between environmental
goods and services. Moreover, at the meeting, Members were invited to share their views on ways to
move forward on this part of the mandate. Members stressed the need to address cross-cutting
issues such as NTBs, special and differential treatment, technology transfer and capacity building.
Most Members agreed that negotiations on environmental goods needed to change gear. The Chair
therefore intends to intensify work on this part of the mandate with dedicated discussions on both
cross-cutting issues and submissions identifying environmental goods of interest and suggesting
approaches for such identification. The objective of the Chair is for the CTESS to have a more in-
depth understanding of the technical issues that will enable delegations to advance negotiations in a
meaningful way.
On the Work Programme on Special and Differential Treatment, the Chair of the Special Session
of the CTD [Committee on Trade and Development] has been focusing on narrowing the gaps on
different elements of the Monitoring Mechanism. While some progress has been made, the Chair has
also indicated that divergences remain on a number of negotiating elements.
In this context, there have been some positive developments based on the deliberations of the
informal group of Ambassadors on Development Issues. The Ambassador-led informal process has
suggested some 'Guiding Principles on the Monitoring Mechanism' which have been introduced by
some of the Members into the small group consultations that the Chair has been holding. During
these initial consultations, Members have generally felt that the elements of the Guiding Principles
would be helpful in generating further convergence in the work on the Monitoring Mechanism being
carried out in the Special Session. Even though these are, as the name suggests, only 'Guiding
Principles', they provide a useful basis to advance the work in the Special Session.The Chair will
continue with his consultations on the Monitoring Mechanism. At the same time, based on Members'
inputs, he will revert to the remaining Agreement-Specific Proposals, at an appropriate time.
As regards the negotiations on the establishment of a multilateral system of notification and
registration of geographical indications for wines and spirits, the TRIPS Special Session held
its 27th formal meeting on 28 October 2010. Delegations continued their structured and businesslike
exchange of technical information on the basis of two sub-questions the Chairman had posed
regarding current domestic procedures and practices of registration and protection of trademarks and
geographical indications. The objective of the discussions on current domestic procedures and
practices is to identify differences and commonalities. A number of delegations that had hitherto not
taken the floor in these discussions provided responses to the questions, while some others fine-
tuned the responses they had given at previous meetings.
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Pursuant to the working schedule for the overall process, the Chairman will, in the first four months of
2011, intensify the work of the Special Session, building on the work done. In view of this
intensification, he will hold informal consultations on 1 and 6 December and convene an open-ended
informal meeting on 10 December 2010.
On Dispute Settlement, work continues to be conducted on the basis of consultations in groups of
variable geometry, with regular reporting to the Membership. The Chairman held a series of
consultations in the week of 1 November 2010. Discussions focused on effective compliance and
sequencing. The next set of meetings is foreseen for the week of 17 January 2010, and will focus on
outstanding issues on effective compliance and sequencing, as well as timeframes and post-
retaliation.
That concludes my overview of the recent and envisaged activities of the negotiating bodies.
Finally, with respect to the two TRIPS implementation issues of GI [geographical indications]
extension and the relationship between TRIPS — CBD [Convention on Biological
Diversity] on which I have been undertaking consultations on in my capacity as Director-General and
not as TNC [Trade Negotiations Committee] Chair, I understand that the recent small group
brainstorming sessions have been exploring these issues as well. Bearing this in mind, I will continue
to follow up with Members on how to best proceed with the consultative process. Transparency with
the broader membership has been a watchword throughout the consultations and I will, of course,
keep you posted on developments.
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The value of world merchandise trade was 18% higher in the third quarter of 2010 than in the same
period of 2009, according to the latest WTO quarterly figures released on 1 December 2010. This
marks a slowdown in comparison with the 26% increase registered in the second quarter of 2010.
From January to September trade expanded by 23%, continuing the recovery that began in the
second quarter of 2009. Despite this positive trend, the value of world trade remains below its peak
level from before the present financial crisis. These short-term “value” figures should not be confused
with the annual trade growth figures, which are “volume” data using “constant dollars” with inflation
taken into account.
The latest projection of 13.5% merchandise trade volume growth for 2010, released on 20 September
2010, remains unchanged for the time being.
WTO short-term merchandise trade values are expressed in “current” US dollars, i.e, they are not
adjusted for changes in prices. Nor are they seasonally adjusted. Seasonal patterns therefore
considerably affect the quarter on quarter (Q-o-Q) and month on month (M-o-M) developments in
world trade, and this in turn affects comparisons between the trade developments in individual
regions and economies.
Chart 1: World merchandise exports, first quarter 2007 to third quarter 2010
Indices, first quarter 2005=100
In the third quarter of 2010, world merchandise exports were about 3% higher than in the second
quarter (“quarter on quarter”).
07Q
1
08Q
1
09Q
1
10Q
1
10Q
3
0
50
100
150
200
WORLD TRADE
ORGANIZATION
SHORT-TERM MERCHANDISE TRADE STATISTICS
Trade value growth slows in the third quarter of 2010
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Within that period, available monthly statistics for about 70 economies representing some 90% of
world trade show that merchandise trade stagnated in July, decreased in August and bounced back in
September 2010.
This pattern is similar, albeit less pronounced, to what had already been observed in 2009 and reflects
in good part seasonal variations of demand.
Overview of regional trade flows
Extra-EU trade (external trade between the EU and the rest of the world) rose considerably faster than
trade within the EU, which remained constrained by low economic activity. Asian exports rose by about
30% in the third quarter of 2010, as compared to the corresponding period of 2009.
Exports from Africa and the Middle East were 22% higher than in the corresponding period of 2009
mainly due to the rebound of commodity prices after the crisis.
Table 1: World merchandise trade by region and selected economies, July-Sept 2010
Percentage change in current US dollars, year-on-year (Y-o-Y) and quarter-on-quarter
(Q-o-Q)
a. Includes significant re-exports or imports for re-exports.
b. “Intra EU” is trade within the EU; “extra EU” is trade between the EU and non-EU economies.
c. Hong Kong, China (excluding re-export trade); Republic of Korea; Malaysia; Singapore; Taipei,
Chinese and Thailand.
Exports Imports
Y-o-Y Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Q-o-Q
18 3 World (a) 18 4
21 0 North America 23 4
20 1 United States 23 5
16 -5 Canada 20 1
22 4 South and Central America 34 12
33 12 Brazil 49 18
7 2 Europe 9 2
8 2 European Union (27) (b) 9 2
4 0 -intra EU 4 0
14 6 -extra EU 17 6
18 -1 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 29 13
18 0 Russian Federation 39 17
22 3 Africa and the Middle East 10 5
29 6 Asia (a) 26 5
32 11 China 27 5
20 2 India 31 4
28 7 Japan 25 7
25 2 Six East Asian traders (c) 26 2
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In a speech he delivered at the occasion of the 10th anniversary of the World Trade Institute in Bern,
on 1 October 2010, Director-General Pascal Lamy outlined the profound changes which have occurred
in the last decades in the patterns of world trade, as well as the challenges this dramatic reshaping
pose to the governance of multilateral trade. This is what he said:
“My congratulations to the World Trade Institute on your 10th birthday — and my thanks for this
invitation. It is customary on anniversaries like this to say “After all these years, you haven't changed a
bit”. I somehow doubt this is true for the Institute, and I know it is not true for the subjects you
research and teach.
The global trade landscape has changed profoundly in the past decade — more profoundly, I suspect,
than we fully understand. These changes are being driven partly by market opening, but mainly by
transport, communications and information technologies. It now costs less to ship a container from
Marseille to Shanghai — half way around the world — than to move it from Marseille to Avignon — 100
kilometres away. A phone call to Los Angles is as inexpensive as a phone call next door. Multinationals
routinely organize their activity around three “shifts” corresponding to the three main times zones —
Europe, North America and Asia — and deliver on-line services —
data inputting, software writing, help-lines — from practically
anywhere in the world.
One result of these changes is the continuing globalization of trade.
Despite the recent crisis, world exports were 30 percent higher in
2009 than in 2000 and 150 percent higher than in 1990. Not all
sectors are expanding at the same pace: manufactured exports are surging; raw material exports are
growing steadily; and agriculture exports are largely static. But overall the trend is towards
accelerating growth. And with the exception of East Asia, trade between regions is growing faster
than trade within regions. Never before has the world economy been as inter-linked by trade as it is
today.
Another result is the rapid shift in economic power East and South, as developing countries harness
globalization to “catch-up” to the industrialized West. Developing countries' share of world trade has
grown from a third to over half in just fifteen years and China has just passed Japan as the world's
second biggest national economy, and Germany as the world's top exporter. In 1990, less than a third
of developing-country trade was with other developing countries; today over half of their trade is
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WORLD TRADE
ORGANIZATION
Lamy: “The Doha Round marks a transition from the Governance of the
old gold trade order to the new governance of a old trade order
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South-South. Not all developing countries are sharing in this growth, and for too many Raul Prebisch's
concerns about dependency and an uneven trade playing field remain true. But for export
powerhouses like China, India, Brazil and others — growing at historically unprecedented rates —
Prebisch is being turned on his head.
A third result is the spread of globally-integrated production chains — in effect, global factories — as
companies locate various stages of the production process in the most cost-efficient markets. In this
process, expanding trade links with emerging economies are mirrored by expanding FDI links — as
trade growth fuels investment and investment growth fuels trade. We still think in terms of Adam
Smith's world of trade between nations, but in reality most trade now takes place within globe-
spanning multinational companies and their suppliers. It is not competition between China and the US
that is relevant, so much as competition between Nokia's and Samsung's value chains. Instead of
“Made in China” on the back of an iPhone, the label should read “Made in the World”, reflecting
Japanese microchips, US design, Korean flat-screens and Chinese
assembly.
These new global realities also force us to re-examine how we
analyze and measure the whole concept of “international trade”.
With so much trade now involving foreign companies operating
within national jurisdictions — and with so many components now
criss-crossing the same border multiple times — we need a new approach to trade statistics which
measures the value-added at each stage in the production chain, and not just the last place from
which a product was shipped. Here is the paradox: Open trade is more central than ever to the world
economy — and a rule-based multilateral trade system has never been more critical to global
prosperity and peace. Yet this system is struggling to cope with the fast-globalizing world it has
helped to create. Even with the major changes to the WTO in recent years — its new Members,
expanded scope, and more effective dispute settlement — there is a palpable need to factor in new
realities.
This is not easy. The trading system has become more complex to manage as it has become more
important. The dramatic reduction in border barriers has exposed deeper structural differences
between economies — in standards, regulations or legal systems — that are generating new “systems
frictions” because they are more tied up with values-based domestic objectives, are proving harder to
resolve. Subjects that were never given much consideration when the GATT was first created — such
as technology protection, environmental sustainability, or resource scarcity — have become more
pressing. Because trade has become so important to development strategies, development issues
have become increasingly important for the system — indeed, development is centre stage in the
current Doha negotiations. And overall the system's rules have had to become more technical, more
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intrusive and more binding in order to remain relevant to economies that are still diverse, but far more
interdependent.
As the system becomes more important, it also exerts a huge gravitational pull on countries to join and
participate. The WTO has expanded to 153 Members — up from just 23 in 1947 — and this number
could easily grow to 180 within a decade. US, EU and Japan remain key players but they are no longer
dominant. Fast-emerging powers, like China, India and Brazil, play a role that was unimaginable even
twenty years ago — while smaller developing countries naturally want a say in a system in which they
have a growing stake. As recently as 1997, some four-fifths of WTO disputes were initiated by
industrialized countries; this year almost two-thirds were initiated by developing countries. For anti-
dumping alone, developing countries initiated almost 70 percent of actions since 1995 — and three
quarter of these were directed at other developing countries, further underlining their increasing use
of, and reliance on, the system. But as the number of players grows and their participation increases,
cooperation becomes more difficult — especially when interests diverge.
But this is not the full story. The bigger challenge — I suspect — is that we have not yet figured out how
to deal with the interdependent world economy we have created. This system was initially designed to
tackle problems specific to the mid-twentieth century — exclusionary trade blocs and tit-for-tat tariff
wars — that preceded the Second World War. The basic architecture of the system reflected its origins
in an Atlantic-centric world of shallow integration. The question now is what is needed to manage a
globalized world of deep integration and multiple powers. How to adapt?
Let me give some examples:
Previous negotiations were driven by the exchange of market access — and the trading of one tariff
concession for another. But tariff bargaining has less traction in an era when over half of world trade is
MFN duty free — and another quarter is covered by free-trade agreements and other preferences.
Reciprocity also makes less sense in a world of integrated production chains — where “imports” are
key to “exports”, and where connectivity determines whether an economy becomes a link in the chain
or not. It is also difficult to make reciprocity operational in areas like services where the challenge is to
make whole national systems more open and compatible. How, for example, to trade one country's
banking regulations for another's telecoms rules?
Previous negotiations have also attempted to deal with a lengthening list of issues in a single
“package” — with the aim of giving every Member an interest in its overall success. That is why the
Uruguay and Doha rounds have been “single undertakings” — where nothing is agreed until
everything is agreed. But this approach can also complicate negotiations — especially for poorer,
capacity-constrained countries. And it can mean that progress on uncontroversial and solvable issues
is held hostage to progress on more difficult and intractable ones. Finally, in the past, transatlantic
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leadership was central to moving negotiations forward. But trade power is shifting, and the days — last
seen during the Uruguay Round — when the US and Europe could essentially strike a deal on behalf of
the entire Membership are long gone. It is not just that established powers need to accept to share
the centre stage; emerging powers also need to recognize their responsibility for a system in which
they now have a major (and growing) interest. The old North-South divide seems increasingly
outdated when so much of the future trade agenda will be played out among developing countries.
It is not just the composition of leadership that needs to evolve. The WTO's impact now goes far
beyond the traditional scope of trade policy touching on core national and international interests. Yet
despite repeated statements of support and of engagement, world governments seem incapable of
marshalling the policies and political will needed to move the multilateral agenda forward. A worrying
leadership vacuum has opened that has — so far — proved difficult to fill. Let's hope that the G-20 can
help provide an answer. This is not the occasion to find answers to these questions — and even if it
were, no one should pretend that the solutions are obvious or easy.
One approach would be to explore the scope for more plurilateral agreements — allowing smaller
groups of Members to move forward, outside the single undertaking, on issues important to them. The
1996 Information Technology Agreement is a recent example successful plurilateral undertaking —
dependent on a critical (but not universal) mass of signatories. And one of the most relevant
agreements in the WTO today — with potential for expansion — is the plurilateral Government
Procurement Agreement. With the procurement market representing upwards of a fifth of GDP in
advanced economies (may be more in developing), nine Members, including China, have signalled a
clear interest in joining. Government procurement offers are a mine for efficiency gains which remain
largely unexploited.
Another approach — which I am acting upon — is to fill in the WTO's “missing middle” by scaling up our
surveillance activities, capacity building, and the day-to-day technical work that is critical to
strengthening the system's foundations. By shining a spotlight on protectionism during the recent
financial crisis, the WTO provided important intellectual ammunition for keeping markets open — and
a good example of the progress that can be made through more information sharing, transparency,
and peer pressure. The growing importance of WTO dispute settlement is also relevant, not just for
conflict resolution, but for pointing out possible future directions for policy-makers. Another priority
for the institution is capacity building for developing countries — captured in the “aid for trade”
initiative. The basic idea is that more resources — and more policy attention — needs to be focused on
helping developing countries to “connect” with the world economy — and with the global production
chains that are its arteries. I agree with Bob Zoellick when he suggested earlier this week that
“development economics must broaden the scope of the questions it asks”. Part of that broadening
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involves asking how trade can be better harnessed for the developing countries that are still left
behind. All of these initiatives are in keeping with the original intent of the WTO which was to move
towards more continuous work, negotiations, and rule-making.
But the central priority remains concluding the Doha Round — and here too we need to be realistic
about the magnitude both of the challenge and of what is at stake. Early GATT rounds which focused
on tariff cutting among a small group of countries, could be wrapped up in a matter of months. But
with expanding issues and participants, and more effective and active dispute settlement, trade
rounds have inevitably become more difficult and drawn-out. The Kennedy Round — which started
grappling with development issues and involved 60 countries — took three years to complete. The
Tokyo Round — which addressed “non-tariff” barriers and involved 102 countries — lasted six years,
twice as long. And the Uruguay Round — which created the WTO and involved 133 countries —
turned into a negotiating marathon lasting eight years.
With 153 Members now at the table and the most ambitious negotiating agenda yet, the only thing
surprising about the length of the Doha Round is that anyone is really surprised. Not without reason
does the term “trade round” takes its inspiration from the boxing ring! What is at stake is more than
the economic benefits that would flow from a successful Doha deal. The real issue is the relevance of
the multilateral trading system itself. With its global Membership, comprehensive rules and “world
trade court”, the WTO is more central than ever to international economic relations. But this also
means that the costs of failure are higher — with ramifications that could be felt more widely. Bringing
the Doha Round to a successful conclusion would send the strongest possible signal that the WTO is
relevant to today's new world economy, that it remains the focal point for global trade negotiations,
and that it will be a key forum for international economic cooperation into the future. But if Doha
stumbles, then doubts will grow, not just about the WTO, but about the future of multilateralism in
trade.
In many ways, the Doha Round marks a transition from the old governance of the old trade order to
the new governance of a new trade order. Covering classic trade issues such as the reduction of
import tariffs and subsidies, as well as innovative new chapters on trade facilitation and fisheries
subsidies, the Doha Round is a turning point for the system.
The politics of this Round have had to adjust to the changes that happened since it was launched in
2001. And we all know we need to conclude it in order to address tomorrow's challenge. Let me end by
saying that I am optimistic we will find a way forward. The multilateral trading system remains the
most successful example of international economic cooperation in history despite repeated
predictions of an imminent death, it has shown a remarkable ability to grow, adapt and rejuvenate
itself over the years. The GATT's transformation into the WTO in 1995 proves that reform is possible.
The ease with which the old Quad leadership has made way for a new G-5 — including rising powers
such as India and Brazil — underlines the system's pragmatism and flexibility.
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Besides, what is the alternative? Multilateralism may be complex, messy, and even “medieval” but the
reality is that none of the big trade challenges facing the world — from imbalances, to climate change,
to resource scarcity — can be solved without it. The biggest reason why Doha is proving so difficult is
precisely because it is tackling the tough problems that cannot be solved anywhere else. Certainly the
current patchwork of bilateral and regional deals offers no substitute for global rule-making — and for
coherent governance of a fast globalizing economy. Nor can regional deals — even dozens of them —
come close to matching the economic impact of agreeing to global trade liberalization among 153
countries. Bilateral and regional deals can be a complement to the multilateral system, but they can
never be an alternative.
In a world of interdependence, multilateralism matters. The global trade landscape may look
dramatically different today, but some things have not changed — especially trade's capacity to
generate huge international tensions and the importance of rules for managing disputes among the
great powers. Economists will agree that current global imbalances have macro-economic and
structural — not trade — causes. And they are proven right, if one looks at what has not changed in the
patterns of world trade for the last 25 years, which is a structural deficit between North- America and
Asia of a stubbornly persistent magnitude. But no one should underestimate the potential of this issue
to spill-over into escalating trade tensions. We are seeing it already. Just as a strong WTO provided a
critical bulwark against protectionism during the recent financial crisis — and a valuable forum for
international cooperation — so too does it provide an indispensable foundation for economic stability
in the time ahead, provided we understand what world trade is about today as opposed to yesterday.
As we see the Doha round finish line, we will have to put on our thinking cap and seriously look at the
challenges that await us. We already have a lot of good ideas on the table from the Sutherland
Commission and from the Warwick Commission. And I am sure we will have more to come when the
space for thinking opens.
This is where the work of the World Trade Institute is so important and why the Secretariat and I value
the high quality of research and capacity building you provide. History reminds us that today's
international order grew out of the disastrous failure of a previous system — the ill-fated League of
Nations. History also shows that it was the power of an idea — that open trade and economic
prosperity could secure world peace — which underpinned the success of today's globalization.”
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SUBSIDY FOR FISHERIES
Under the work programme of Doha Round of WTO Negotiation, Member are also discussing framing
of new disciplines for fisheries subsidies. As per the Ministerial mandate, appropriate and effective
Special and Differential (S&D) treatment for Developing and least Developed Countries should be an
integral part of the fisheries subsidies negotiations, taking into account the importance of this sector to
poverty reduction and livelihood and food security concerns. Member's proposals are currently under
negotiations.
IMPACT OF PROTECTIONISM ADOPTED BY VARIOUS COUNTRIES
Protectionism can take various forms, including tread protectionism. Government has, from time to
time, taken steps to help industry copy with protectionist measures by other countries. These issues
are examined thereafter taken up in the appropriate bilateral or multilateral forum. For example, the
US Government's recent decision to raise fees for H1B and L1 visas and the ban by the Ohio State on
offshore outsourcing of government business to overseas companies etc. were taken up bilaterally
under the US-India Trade Policy Forum.
Other matters taken up by India in the relevant forum include: various instances of stricter applications
of regulations on Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) measures and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT);
seizure of consignments of India generic drugs, bound for Latin America and Africa, by the customs
authorities of the European Union (EU) and the Government of Netherlands; an EU Regulation for the
Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemical Substances; an EU Directive
regarding the registration procedure of 'traditional' herbal medicinal product (THMP); the proposed
Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA) being discussed largely amongst the developed
countries etc. India has strongly raised its voice against protectionism at various bilateral and major
international meetings, including the recently concluded G-20 leaders Summit help in Seoul in
November 2010.
PARLIAMENT BRIEFS
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PROTECTIONIST MEASURES FOR INDUSTRY
Government has, from time to time, taken steps to help industry cope with protectionist measures by
other countries, both of its own accord as well as on the basis of representations received from
industry. These issues are examined and thereafter take up in the appropriate bilateral or multilateral
forum. For example, the US Government's recent decision to raise fees for H1B and L1 visas and the
ban by the Ohio State on offshore outsourcing of government business to overseas, etc. were taken
up bilaterally under the US-India Trade Policy Forum.
Other matters taken up by India in the relevant forum include: various instances of stricter
applications of regulations on Sanitary and Phytosanitray (SPS) measures and technical Barriers to
Trade (TBT); seizure of consignments of India generic drugs, bound for Latin American and African,
by the customs authorities of the European Union (EU) and the Government of Netherland; an EU
Regulation for the Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemical Substances; an
EU Directive regarding the registration procedure of 'Traditional Herbal Medicinal Products (THMP);
the proposed Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA) being discussed largely amongst the
developed countries etc.
India has strongly raised its voice against protectionism at all major international meetings including
the recently concluded Summit of G-20 leaders in Seoul.
INDIA’S CONCERNS WITH DEVELOPED COUNTRIES IN WTO
The United States has been seeking greater access into India markets for various products and has
been raising the issue in both multilateral and bilateral fora. In agriculture, these include milk and milk
products, poultry, port, pet food, etc.
During negotiations in the World Trade Organisation (WTO), India, together with her partner in
various developing country coalitions has been urging rich developing countries, including the US, to
effectively reduce the subsidies provided to their farmers, as these have the effect of distorting
production and trade. As per the draft modalities being negotiated in the Doha Round of trade
negotiations, all trade-distorting domestic support to the agriculture sector would have to be
substantially reduced.
There are several unresolved issues in the Doha Round of trade talks, not only in agriculture but also
in other areas of the negotiations. These include educations in subsidies to farmers, flexibilities
proposed for developed and developing member countries, additional tariff reductions on industrial
goods, liberalization of services sectors, disciplines on fisheries subsidies etc. India has been working
closely with her partners in various developing country coalitions to ensure an outcome that will
safeguard the interests of developing countries, particularly those of small and marginal framers and
vulnerable industries.
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IMPORT OF CHEAP PRODUCTS
Trade defence measures are available to the domestic industry to counter unfair trade practices followed by exporters of goods from other countries. In case a product is imported into the country at less than its normal value, and it causes injury to the domestic industry, the domestic industry can make an application to Directorate General of Anti-Dumping and Allied Duties (DGAD) in the Department of Commerce for imposition of Anti-Dumping Duty. Similarly the domestic industry can also make an application to DGAD under the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures in cases of subsidization of exports which causes injury to them. The Customs Tariff Act, 1975 includes provisions for providing relief to the domestic producers against injury caused to them by imports, in accordance with the WTO Agreement on Anti-Dumping (i.e. the Agreement on the implementation of Article VI of GATT, 1995,) the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures as well as the Agreement on Safeguards. These provisions are aimed at offsetting the adverse effects of 'dumped' imports, 'subsidized' imports or 'increased' imports.
During the period 2008-09, 2009-10 and 2010-11 (upto 20.07.2010) anti dumping duty was imposed in 27 cases by DGAD.
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WORLD TRADE
ORGANIZATIONWTO NEWS
Trade Policy Review: Belize
The first review of the trade policies and practices of Belize takes place on 3 and 5 November 2010.
The basis for the review is a report by the WTO Secretariat and a report by the Government of Belize.
Trade Policy Review: Sri Lanka
The first review of the trade policies and practices of Sri Lanka takes place on 4 and 5 November 2010.
The basis for the review is a report by the WTO Secretariat and a report by the Government of Sri
Lanka.
Trade Policy Review: Papua New Guinea
The first review of the trade policies and practices of Papua New Guinea takes place on 16 and 18
November 2010. The basis for the review is a report by the WTO Secretariat and a report by the
Government of Papua New Guinea.
Trade Policy Review: Democratic Republic of the Congo
The first review of the trade policies and practices of the Democratic Republic of the Congo takes place
on 24 and 26 November 2010. The basis for the review is a report by the WTO Secretariat and a report
by the Government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Trade Policy Review: Hong Kong, China
The sixth review of the trade policies and practices of Hong Kong, China takes place on 1 and 3
December 2010. The basis for the review is a report by the WTO Secretariat and a report by the
Government of Hong Kong, China.
Seychelles resumes membership negotiations
On 22 November 2010, at the second meeting of the Working Party on the Accession of Seychelles,
WTO members examined the Seychelles' economic and trade regime.
Members supported a rapid accession of Seychelles taking into account the economic situation of the
country and its status as a Small and Vulnerable Economy. During the examination, Members raised
specific questions and requested further clarification on a number of areas: pricing policy, investment
regime, state ownership, privatisation, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers to
trade, intellectual property, export subsidies, customs, import regulation and licensing.
Working Party Chair Hilda Ali Al-Hinai (Oman) stated that there was a sense of political commitment
for WTO membership at the highest level of the Seychelles' Government. She added that there was
considerable work ahead. She stressed the critical importance of technical assistance and urged
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members to continue providing such assistance for Seychelles' accession to the WTO. In that regard,
the EU announced it will continue dispensing technical assistance to Seychelles.
“We remain fully engaged in the accession negotiations and committed to accelerate the process”
stated the Seychelles Vice President Danny Faure. He added that the government was committed to
change and was determined to be part of the global economy. He also said that Seychelles faced
numerous obstacles, among them isolation and piracy, which had significant impact on its GDP.
Bilateral negotiations
Bilateral market access negotiations have resumed with interested Members on the basis of updated
offers circulated in October 2010.
Seychelles signed its first bilateral agreement on market access for goods and services with Oman.
Meetings were held with the EU and the US. Seychelles Vice President expressed readiness to meet
with other interested Members.
WORLD TRADE REPORT - WTO launches discussion forum for World Trade
Report 2011
The WTO launched on 11 November 2010 a new discussion forum devoted to next year’s World Trade
Report. The subject of the report is “new era preferential trade agreements”.
To stimulate debate, the WTO has created a specific web page where individuals can express their
views on the role of production sharing networks in spurring bilateral and regional trade agreements
and the nature of the challenge they pose to the WTO. The aim is to encourage discussion among WTO
delegates, Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), academic experts, WTO staff members and all
those with an active interest in preferential trade agreements.
In the months leading up to publication of the Report in July 2011, short articles concerning such
agreements will be posted on the web page. Members of the research and policy community can
contribute to this discussion by submitting papers of their own or by commenting on the papers
already submitted. Comments are also sought from any individuals with an interest in this topic. All
contributions will be taken into consideration by the authors of the World Trade Report 2011.
“New era” preferential trade agreements are less about preferential tariffs and more about trade
provisions that are crucial to the success of production sharing networks, such as establishment
rights, repatriation of profits, temporary movement of personnel, infrastructure services, trade
facilitation, rules of origin, and dispute settlement mechanisms accessible to private agents.
“Preferential trade agreements” is used in academic literature to refer to reciprocal free trade
agreements and regional trade agreements. This term will be used throughout the report.
Armenia to accede to the WTO Government Procurement Agreement
The WTO Committee on Government Procurement, on 7 December 2010, adopted a decision that
invites Armenia to accede to the Agreement on Government Procurement on the basis of a final
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thcoverage offer that was circulated to the Committee on 8 November together with Armenia’s draft
Procurement Law. Director-General Pascal Lamy welcomed the decision as “good for Armenia, good
for the Agreement on Government Procurement and good for the WTO system”.
Armenia's accession to the Agreement will take effect thirty days after the deposit of its instrument of
accession with the Director-General, and following adoption of the draft law.
The decision today completes a process of negotiations that began with Armenia's application for th
accession to the Agreement just over a year ago, on 4 September 2009.
Director-General Pascal Lamy welcomed the decision as “good for Armenia, good for the Agreement
on Government Procurement and good for the WTO system.” He said that “Participation in the GPA
brings real benefits not only in terms of access to other Parties' markets for procurement of goods,
services and construction services, but also in the form of enhanced competition and transparency in
the Party's internal markets. It embodies a political and legal commitment to good governance
principles that reflects very positively on the acceding government and on its leaders.” “In applying for
GPA accession and then completing the related negotiations in a little over a year, Armenia has
effectively demonstrated to the world its commitment to these principles” Mr. Lamy said.
The Chairman of the Committee on Government Procurement, Mr. Nicholas Niggli of Switzerland,
congratulated Armenia and said that in applying for GPA accession and in completing the process in
such a timely fashion, it had shown courage, fortitude and wisdom. “You have made a commitment to
good governance that will be noted around the world, and that has made you a leader in your region”
he added.
Government procurement accounts for in the range of 15-20 % of gross domestic product (GDP), on
average, in developed countries. Only a part of this is currently covered by the Agreement on
Government Procurement.
The aim of the Agreement is to open up as much of government procurement as possible to
international competition. It is designed to make laws, regulations, procedures and practices
regarding government procurement that is covered by the Agreement more transparent and to ensure
they do not discriminate against the products or suppliers of other GPA Parties.
Currently, the Agreement covers forty-one WTO Members, namely: Canada; the European Union, with
its 27 member States; Hong Kong, China; Iceland; Israel; Japan; Korea; Liechtenstein; the Kingdom of
the Netherlands with respect to Aruba; Norway; Singapore; Switzerland; Chinese Taipei and the
United States.
Other WTO Members that are in the process of negotiating their accession to the Agreement on
Government Procurement are Albania, China, Georgia, Jordan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Moldova, Oman
and Panama. A further five WTO Members, namely Croatia, the Former Yugoslav Republic of
Macedonia, Mongolia, Saudi Arabia and the Ukraine, have provisions regarding accession to the
Agreement in their respective Protocols of Accession to the WTO.
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The Asian Age 2-12-10
The Indian Express 12-9-10
The Free Press Journal 11-12-10
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Deccan Herald 29-12-10
Financial Chronicle 29-12-10
Business Standard 29-12-10
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MINT 27-12-10
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MINT 29-12-10
The Sentinel 21-12-10
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DNA 2-12-10
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India && The WTO
Published by
Ministry of Commerce & IndustryGovernment of India
Udyog Bhawan, New Delhi - 110011Telefax : 23063622, E-mail : [email protected]
EARLY CONCLUSION OF INDIA-EU FTA: ANAND SHARMA
Shri Anand Sharma, Union Minister of Commerce and Industry met with EU Trade Commissioner Mr. Karel de Gucht in Brussels on 29th November, 2010 to review India EU economic engagement and specifically take stock of the progress of India EU Broad Based Trade and Investment negotiations. Both Ministers expressed satisfaction on the status of on going negotiations and agreed on a roadmap which will enable early conclusion of negotiations. A joint Ministerial statement will be presented to the leaders at the India EU Summit to be held in Brussels on 10th December, 2010.
Shri Sharma expressed optimism for an early conclusion with balanced gains for both India and EU. Mr. Sharma and Mr. Karel de Gucht agreed that a conclusion of this agreement would send a strong message to the global community and would also give an impetus to the Doha round of WTO. Bilateral trade touching $70 billion last year and a conclusion of this agreement will catalyze greater trade and investment flows. Mr. Sharma observed that there has been a considerable enhancement in India's investments in EU and at the same time the Indian economy is ready to absorb much greater investment flows from Europe in all areas including infrastructure, energy, renewables and manufacturing.
During the meeting Shri Sharma raised the issue of consignments of Indian generics transiting through Europe. He said this have faced difficulties in the past in context of seizures by EU authorities. EU Trade Commissioner assured Mr Sharma that a solution will be found to the satisfaction of India, and the required statutory changes in European regulations would be made.