october 23, 2008, atlas copco group q3 results october 23, 2008
TRANSCRIPT
1October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Atlas Copco Group
Q3 Results
October 23, 2008
2October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Contents
Q3 Business Highlights
Market Development
Business Areas
Financials
Outlook
3October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Q3 - Highlights
Good order growth across all business areas and most regions
Continued strong development of the aftermarket business
Record operating profit and margin– Price increases continue to offset component cost increases
– Neutral currency effect
Solid financial structure– Increased interest costs but very favorable loan maturity profile
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Q3 - Figures in summary
9% organic order growth
Revenues of MSEK 18 440; 13% organic growth
Operating profit up 16% to MSEK 3 640– Operating margin at 19.7% (19.0)
Profit before tax at MSEK 3 224 (2 708)
Earnings per share for continuing operations SEK 1.99 (1.54)
Operating cash flow MSEK 1 054 (1 586)
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Contents
Q3 Business Highlights
Market Development
Business Areas
Financials
Outlook
6October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Orders received - Local currencyGroup total +19% YTD, +9% last 3 months
(Structural change +6% YTD, 0% last 3 months)
September 2008 A = Portion of sales, Year-to-date, %
B = Year-to-date vs. prev. year, %
18 +15 +7
39 +13 +4
12 +43 +43
18 +13 -3
5 +23 +118 +36 +33
A B CA = Portion of sales, Year-to-date, %
B = Year-to-date vs. prev. year, %
C = Last 3 months vs. prev. year, %
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Q3 - The Americas
Overall healthy quarter in North America– Mining segment still strong, especially coal
in the US
– Weaker demand for construction equipment and from automotive industry
– Strong growth in Mexico
Continued strong demand from all customer segments in South America
September 2008
A B C
8 +36 +33
18 +15 +7
A = Portion of sales, Year-to-date, %
B = Year-to-date vs. prev. year, %
C = Last 3 months vs. prev. year, %
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Q3 - Europe and Africa/Middle East
Growth in Europe– Good mining demand continues
– Low activity in the construction segment and weaker demand from consumer goods related industries in Western Europe
– Good growth in Eastern Europe, the Nordic countries, and Germany
Continued strong demand in Africa / Middle East
September 2008
A B C
39 +13 +4
12 +43 +43
A = Portion of sales, Year-to-date, %
B = Year-to-date vs. prev. year, %
C = Last 3 months vs. prev. year, %
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Q3 - Asia and Australia
Stable demand development in Asia – Good order growth for mining
equipment and industrial tools
– Fewer large compressor orders and somewhat slower industrial growth in China affect compressor sales
Mining equipment high in demand in Australia
September 2008 A = Portion of sales, Year-to-date, %
B = Year-to-date vs. prev. year, %
C = Last 3 months vs. prev. year, %A B C
18 +13 -3
5 +23 +11
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Organic* Growth per Quarter
Change in orders received in % vs. same quarter previous year
Atlas Copco Group, continuing operations
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
00 Q
100
Q2
00 Q
300
Q4
01 Q
101
Q2
01 Q
301
Q4
02 Q
102
Q2
02 Q
302
Q4
03 Q
103
Q2
03 Q
303
Q4
04 Q
104
Q2
04 Q
304
Q4
05 Q
105
Q2
05 Q
305
Q4
06 Q
106
Q2
06 Q
306
Q4
07 Q
107
Q2
07 Q
307
Q4
08 Q
108
Q2
08 Q
308
Q4
*Volume and price
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Atlas Copco Group – Sales Bridge
July - September January - SeptemberOrders Revenues Orders Revenues
MSEK Received Received
2007 17 388 16 431 50 243 45 806Structural change, % 0 0 +6 +7Currency, % -1 -1 -3 -3Price, % +3 +3 +3 +3Volume, % +6 +10 +10 +12Total, % +8 +12 +16 +192008 18 842 18 440 58 135 54 446
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Contents
Q3 Business Highlights
Market Development
Business Areas
Financials
Outlook
13October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Revenues Operating Operating ROCEMSEK profit margin12 month values, period ending Sep. 2008 Sep. 2008 Sep. 2008 Sep. 2008
Compressor Technique 34 397 7 161 20.8% 59%Construction and Mining Technique 30 775 5 550 18.0% 31%Industrial Technique 7 369 1 493 20.3% 51%Eliminations/Common Group Functions -546 -325Atlas Copco Group 71 995 13 879 19.3% 34%*
* excluding w rite-dow n of RSC notes
Atlas Copco GroupOperating Profit and Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) by Business Area
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Compressor Technique
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4% organic order growth– Slow-down in demand for smaller industrial compressors in
Western Europe
– Favorable demand for large industrial compressors
– Strong aftermarket sales
Operating margin at 21.3%– Previous year 20.7% adjusted for capital gain
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Compressor Technique
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
01
Q1
01
Q2
01
Q3
01
Q4
02
Q1
02
Q2
02
Q3
02
Q4
03
Q1
03
Q2
03
Q3
03
Q4
04
Q1
04
Q2
04
Q3
04
Q4
05
Q1
05
Q2
05
Q3
05
Q4
06
Q1
06
Q2
06
Q3
06
Q4
07
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
08
Q1
08
Q2
08
Q3
08
Q4
Organic* revenue growth: Change vs. same quarter previous year, %
Quarterly operating margin, %
Quarterly operating margins include Prime Energy from Q1 2006.*Volume and price
16October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Continued high order growth; 17% organically– Demand from the mining industry still strong
– Construction demand slower in North America and Western Europe, specifically for light equipment
Operating profit up 30%, margin at 18.8% (16.9)
Two new factories inaugurated– Drilling consumables factory in Canada
– Road construction equipment factory in India
Construction and Mining Technique
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-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
01
Q1
01
Q2
01
Q3
01
Q4
02
Q1
02
Q2
02
Q3
02
Q4
03
Q1
03
Q2
03
Q3
03
Q4
04
Q1
04
Q2
04
Q3
04
Q4
05
Q1
05
Q2
05
Q3
05
Q4
06
Q1
06
Q2
06
Q3
06
Q4
07
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
08
Q1
08
Q2
08
Q3
08
Q4
Organic* revenue growth: Change vs. same quarter previous year, %
Quarterly operating margin, %
Construction and Mining Technique
*Volume and price
18October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Industrial Technique
4% organic order growth– Growth in motor vehicle industry
– Strong aftermarket business
Operating profit margin at 18.8% (22.5, adjusted for restructuring costs)– Margin affected negatively by sales mix and production disturbances
related to restructuring of pneumatic tools manufacturing
Acquisition of US distributor
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Industrial Technique
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
03
Q1
03
Q2
03
Q3
03
Q4
04
Q1
04
Q2
04
Q3
04
Q4
05
Q1
05
Q2
05
Q3
05
Q4
06
Q1
06
Q2
06
Q3
06
Q4
07
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
08
Q1
08
Q2
08
Q3
08
Q4
Organic* revenue growth: Change vs. same quarter previous year, %
Quarterly operating margin, %
*Volume and price
20October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Contents
Q3 Business Highlights
Market Development
Business Areas
Financials
Outlook
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Group Total
July - September January - SeptemberMSEK 2008 2007 % 2008 2007 %
Orders received 18 842 17 388 +8 58 135 50 243 +16
Revenues 18 440 16 431 +12 54 446 45 806 +19
Operating profit 3 640 3 127 +16 10 518 8 705 +21
- as a percentage of revenues 19.7 19.0 19.3 19.0
Profit before tax 3 224 2 708 +19 9 604 8 400 +14
- as a percentage of revenues 17.5 16.5 17.6 18.3
Profit from continuing operations 2 432 1 890 +29 7 087 6 040 +17
Profit from discontinued operations, net of tax 184 53
Profit for the period 2 432 1 890 7 271 6 093
Basic earnings per share, SEK 1.99 1.54 5.94 4.97
- of which continuing operations, SEK 1.99 1.54 5.79 4.93
Return on capital employed, % 341) 312)
1) Excluding non-recurring w rite dow n of RSC notes. 2) Including discontinued operations.
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Profit BridgeJuly – September, 2008 vs 2007
Organic Growth One-time items
MSEK Price/Volume Acq./Div.
Atlas Copco Group
Revenues 18 440 2 169 -215 55 16 431
EBIT 3 640 573 0 -60 3 127
% 19.7% 26% - - 19.0%
Q3 2008 Currency Q3 2007
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Profit Bridge – by Business AreaJuly – September, 2008 vs 2007
One-time items in the previous year include a capital gain in Compressor Technique and restructuring costs in Industrial Technique, both affecting the one-time items column reversely
Q3 2008 Organic Growth Currency One-time items Q3 2007
MSEK Price/Volume Acq./Div.
Compressor Technique
Revenues 9 028 769 -50 5 8 304
EBIT 1 921 190 10 -80 1 801
% 21.3% 25% - - 21.7%
Construction & Mining Technique
Revenues 7 742 1 248 -175 35 6 634
EBIT 1 455 349 -15 2 1 119
% 18.8% 28% - 6% 16.9%
Industrial Technique
Revenues 1 788 117 10 15 1 646
EBIT 337 -26 0 20 343
% 18.8% -22% - - 20.8%
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Balance Sheet
MSEK Sep 30, 2008 Dec 31, 2007 Sep 30, 2007
Intangible assets 12 177 19% 11 665 21% 11 578 21%
Rental equipment 1 992 3% 1 906 3% 1 920 3%
Other property, plant and equipment 5 698 9% 4 894 9% 4 629 8%
Other fixed assets 4 797 7% 4 245 7% 4 793 9%
Inventories 16 371 25% 12 725 22% 11 962 21%
Receivables 19 770 30% 16 627 29% 16 141 29%
Current financial assets 1 531 2% 1 124 2% 1 131 2%
Cash and cash equivalents 3 403 5% 3 473 6% 4 020 7%
Assets classified as held for sale 39 0%
TOTAL ASSETS 65 778 56 659 56 174
Total equity 18 759 29% 14 640 26% 13 054 23%
Interest-bearing liabilities 27 694 42% 24 397 43% 25 403 45%
Non-interest-bearing liabilities 19 325 29% 17 622 31% 17 717 32%
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 65 778 56 659 56 174
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0,90,6
0,8 0,8
-1,1 -1,1
1,81,6
1,41,3
1,4 1,4
-1,5
-1,0
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
2005 2006Q1
2006Q2
2006Q3
2006 2007Q1
2007Q2
2007Q3
2007 2008Q1
2008Q2
2008Q3
Capital Structure Net Debt/EBITDA
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Public Bonds Bank Loans
Loan Maturity Profile
27October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Cash FlowContinuing operations
July - September January - SeptemberMSEK 2008 2007 2008 2007
Operational cash surplus after tax 2 936 2 576 8 557 7 312 of which depreciation added back 524 445 1 483 1 302Change in working capital -772 -168 -3 103 -1 461 Cash flows from operational activities 2 164 2 408 5 454 5 851Investments in tangible fixed assets -708 -635 -2 008 -1 707Sale of tangible fixed assets 126 165 370 532Other investments, net -528 -352 -1 466 -1 013Cash flow from investments -1 110 -822 -3 104 -2 188 Operating cash flow 1 054 1 586 2 350 3 663Company acquisitions/ divestments -45 -68 -223 -5 750
28October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Contents
Q3 Business Highlights
Market Development
Business Areas
Financials
Outlook
29October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Near-term Outlook
The overall demand for Atlas Copco’s products and services is expected to decrease somewhat compared to the most recent quarters. Demand from the mining industry is foreseen to decrease from the current high level and construction in North America and Western Europe will remain weak. The recent strong growth in emerging markets is expected to moderate.
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31October 23, 2008, www.atlascopco.com
Cautionary Statement
“Some statements herein are forward-looking and the actual outcome could be materially different. In addition to the factors explicitly commented upon, the actual outcome could be materially effected by other factors like for example, the effect of economic conditions, exchange-rate and interest-rate movements, political risks, impact of competing products and their pricing, product development, commercialization and technological difficulties, supply disturbances, and major customer credit losses.”