nsw€¦ · transport infrastructure projects and strategic assets to meet time, cost and quality...
TRANSCRIPT
NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
Customer Experience
Freight & Regional ment
Newcastle Port Corporation
Port Kembla Port Corporation
Transport Advisory Board
Planning & Programs
Policy & Regulation
Sydney Ferries
Bus operators
Light Rail
Les Wielinga Director General
Transport Projects
Transport Services
Services
RailCorp
STA
Transport Management Centre
Revenue
HR and Business Services
Corporate Services
Slide N"-. 2
ar'1t .l.,'1~ Transport NSW GOVERN" '"' for NSW
Customer Experience Division
• dedicated to customer needs in order to increase customer satisfaction and transport system use
Tony Braxton-Smith Deputy Director General
t~'~ . .l.,'l,~ Transport NSW GO,,"N"'NT for NSW
Freight & Regional Development Division
• integrating freight strategies and programs to meet the current and future needs of the NSW economy and regional economies
Rachel Johnson . Deputy Director General
Transport for NSW
Planning and Programs Division
• planning and investment advice for all modes of transport to drive the development of programs and services
., :.:
Carolyn McNally Deputy Director General
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Slide N2., 5
tr.~ • ... ,",. Transport NSW """'"NM"" for NSW
Policy and Regulation Division
• driving development and implementation of customer focused legislative, regulatory and policy solutions
Tim Reardon Deputy Director General
.r'~. ~'I/. Transport NSW GOVERNMENT for NSW
Transport Services Division
• ensuring services across the whole transport portfolio meet the current and future needs of customers
Fergus Gammie Deputy Director General
·~.~ . . ~I.,. Transport NSW f GOV'"N"'", or NSW
Transport Projects Division
• developing and delivering transport infrastructure projects and strategic assets to meet time, cost and quality objectives
.rt~. -l.,'1,. Transport NSW ,""",R"M£NT for NSW
Centre of excellence for infrastructure and fleet asset contracts
• cost estimating
• project management
• procurement
• strategic procurement . .
• englneenng
• community and stakeholder relations
800.0
700.0
600.0
500.0
400.0
300.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
Transport for NSW
CD 0 0 N , l!) 0 0 N
- -
t- oo 0 0 0 0 N N , , CD t-0 0 0 0 N N
Project Expenditure
• Wynyard Walk
• Commuter Car Park Program
• • Northem Sydney Freight Corridor Program
• Southwest Rail Link
• Newcastle Rail Corridor Upgrade
• NWRLlCBD rail link
North Sydney Station Upgrade
• Metro Rail Projects
• Clearways Program
(Jl 0 ~
• Epping to Chatswood Rail Link 0 ~ ~
0 0 0 N N N , , , oo (Jl 0 0 0 ~
0 0 0 N N N
Slide N2.. 10
i"" NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW Completed Projects
Completed
Parramatta Transport Interchange (2006)
Newcastle Rail Corridor (2007)
Epping to Chatswood Rail (2008)
Chatswood Transport Interchange (2008)
North Sydney Station Upgrade (2008)
Rail Clearways Program (9 Projects 2006-2011)
Commuter Car Park Program (20 projects 2009 - 2011)
Slide NQ 11
Transport for NSW
In Construction
Rail Clearways Program (4 Projects)
South West Rail Link
Commuter Car Park and Interchange (7 Projects)
In Planning and Development Wynyard Walk
Projects in hand
Commuter Car Park and Interchange (14 Projects)
Northern Sydney Freight Corridor Program (4 Projects)
Asset Divestment Program (1 Project)
North West Rail Link (support)
.t"", I Transport NSW """" ...... NT for NSW
THERE ,'-we are not alone
Slide N£. 13
i"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NS~L-________ ~2~~A~c~ru~a~nu~'t~o=us~h=is~to~r~o~i~c~o~s~t ~o~ve~r~r=un~ ________________________________ ~
2 A calamitous history of cost overrun
COllstructively from expcrienC! by i:1en lHying h::ssonll tha: may prove: U~eful in improvL1g fLHurc dcciskns rC,iardins mcgaprojcc[s Given dlC large amoun l ~ of IT.one), spent on o ajOt tmnSj>orc infrn.siructure project~J it is remarkable bow litlle dll.:a w,d reseatch Ire a"ililabJe [hat would help answer the [wo basic ql,.lestions: :i) w~thersucb projects hnvc the imended
A first step In reducing cost overrun is to acknowledge that a substantial risk for overrun exists and cannot be completely eliminated; but it can be moderated.
TIle pl'oblem of cost overrun
COOt ovtt1'um in rr.ajor ttanspon infrasL'ucrure p('(Jjecls are ~~idest=read .
Th: differenoe bet\J/cen actual nnj cstimOltl!d investment ccst is often 50-100 per c:~n r, Rnd (or many p rojecu; COM Ovtrruns tnd up thrca1enina proj(:ct viabili[}'. A trSt St~p in rcducin£ COSt o-..errun is ro acknowJ· edge th:e.t :I ~t1 b!)w.o tial risk of overrun ("x15t!lllnd c::mru;: t be co mpktcly
I I
Slide N"-. 14
.t"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
Table U.I l!:to,np!e$ 0/ conut'u(1J01l crul fAA,,,"U1U J1/ Iarg.J rnlnspran projC<Js.
ClJlt1lGm price... r'(Jr-patrfmQ~figfmlS. su Chapren :1 Q"d 4
Co" m.'fl'nIn (%)
Table ILi Examples of conSl1·uctiolZ cost overruns in large transport projeas. Constant prices. For patronage figures, see Chapters 3 and 4
Project
Boston's anery/runnel projecT Humber bridge, UK Boston-Washington- NewYork rail, USA Great Belt rail tunnel, Denmark A6 Motorway Chapel-en-le-FrithlWhaley bypass, UK Shinkansen Joecsu rail line, Japan Washington metro, USA Channel tunnel, UK, France Karlsruhe- Bretten light rail, Germany 0resund access links, Denmark Mexico City metro line Paris-Auber- Namerre rail line Tine and Wear metro, UK Great Belt link, Denmark 0resund coast-to-coast link
Cost overrun (%)
196 175 130 110 100 100 8:5 80 80 70 60 60 55 54 26
Slide N~. 15
tr'~. . ~'I,. Transport NSW GOV'RNM'NT for NSW
COST ESTIMATION aka 'Costing', 'Cost Planning', 'Forecasting', 'Budgeting', 'Cost Engineering'
Slide N£. 16
.t"" NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW Project Phases
Planning Pipeline The Transport Projects Program
Project Identification Phase
Project Scoping Phase
Project Development Phase
Project Delivery Phase
Asset in Operation
.. t,tk NSW Tr~nsport
for NSW
Uncertainty and Time GOVERNMENT
Project Pre-Concept Concept Reference \ Definition Design Design Design
\ \ \ \ ,
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.... Ds. .... "'.s~
.... c"'rv. .... '" " .....
..... --~ ... --
Detailed Design
Construction
------ .... - ____ _ _ "If __ _
TIME
Slide N"-. 18
Transport forNSW Best Practice Estimation
Attachment 6: Besr Practice StDndard
Department of Infrastructure, l'"r8n. port, Region., Developm.nt .Ad Loeal Govemm.nt
Beat Practfca Cost estimation for Publicly Funded Road and Rail ConstructIon ...
Slide N2. 19
4\"" NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW Cost Estimate Structure
Contractor's Direct Costs
Contractor's Indirect Costs
Contractor's Margin
Contingency for Risk
Escalation
TOTAL OUTRUN COST
~"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
tJne Comm~1J 1
Rctnlaiog ~·ll.lb
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P;'lgr~ No : fi
Direct Cost Direct Cost Estimates
Pn'rl ll~d : .loJV .1, ?QaT .n 8. ;1I:1 ~S1
Oult Quanel(}' Plnllt Sull~t11 . Tnl!!1
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42463 4Uti.l 1162 7NOJ !]J6 1.59-11 JU&4fJ
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5.165 W3U 3560 19499 JI)9 , 5 1.!
!088 }9' " 1-:6.' 9'J1JSI
Phil Jorgengen
C:'tPHIUPS $ .. ,122' 45 TIDG MRCP SWRl REVJ
533200
Slide NQ 21
Transport forNSW Cost Estimate Structure
Contractor's Direct Costs
Contractor's Indirect Costs
Contractor's Margin
Contingency for Risk
Escalation
TOTAL OUTRUN COST
i,tk NSW GOVERNMENT
6
7
8 9
10
11
!2
13
14 15 16
17 18
'9 20
Transport forNSW Owner's Project Costs
I ;
Slide NQ 23
~"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW Cost Estimate Structure
Contractor's Direct Costs
Contractor's Indirect Costs
Contractor's Margin
Contingency for Risk
t~'~. ~'I/. Transport NSW GOVERNMENT for NSW
ESCALATION
Slide NQ., 25
.rt~ • ... ,'1,. Transport NSW f GOVERNMENT or NSW Escalation
~"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW
CQN:TINGENCY Too large and the project may be unviable Too small and cost over runs occur
Slide N~. 27
~"k NSW GOVERNMENT
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
.i'::' = 0.6 :z; as 0..5 D t2 D.. 0.4 te +i 0.3 as ~ t; Q.2 ~ ()
0.1
Q
Transport for NSW
P90
7 8
Probabilistic project cost curve
Total Project Cost
Commercial decision
RiSk
I18lue
Pft.\iecf.
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Cost$'m
.r'~. "\'I~ Transport NSW GOVERNM"" for NSW
TENDERING
Slide N~. 29
i,tk NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
Step 1: Develop an understanding
of project
Delivery Strategy Selection Process
Step 2: Determine the design
delivery options
Step 3: Select a packaging strategy
Step 4: Select a contracting
strategy
Step 5: Report outcomes
Document selection
process and outcomes
Slide NO.. 30
:JRAN PARK
i"" NSW GOVERNMENT
ROSSMOHE
Transport for NSW
tI*"" I-m,: "' ~I.:Ie-" -, .. ~~ ~~ -"" taitt.'fI'f11w" UI/I(lI;IJoII'IIi(W!III l!Il.~ l/IrIIlM~
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LEPPINGTON
South West Rail Link
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Slide NQ. 31
4\,tk NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW SWRL construction contracts
Glenfield to Leppington rail Glenfield Transport Interchange (10.5 km) (2.4 km)
e--------e e--------------e e-------e Stabling facility
Leppington Station
Edmondson Park Station
Earth and civil works, rail system works, signalling, Edmondson Park and
Leppington Stations Design and Construct contract (John HoI/and)
----------------------/ "
Auburn Stabling Design and Construct contract
Airport Line power upgrade
\
I \ I
,---------------------~
Southern flyover
Glenfield Station
Seddon Park car park
Northern flyover
Design PSC (AureconIAECOM) Construct only contract (North Shore Paving)
Glenfield South Substation Design PSC (Hyder)
Construct only contract (Tenix) Slide NQ. 32
tr'~ • .l.,II,-, Transport NSW GOVeRNMENT for NSW
ISSUES so what goes wrong?
.t,tk NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW
Staged (later)
$1 ,245m
Announcements too early Changing Priorities
$500m
$1 ,365m 2012
2013
$2 ,122m 2016
*$ of the day ** Glenfield Station upgrade, car parks etc. Slide No. 34
4I"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW Unclear Scope
---------------------------------------------, From Schoflelds
To Quakers Hili
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~ = - '"
From QU ke Hili
To Schofeld
.r'~ • ... ,'1,. Transport NSW f GOV'RNM'", or NSW it became .....
Slide N~. 36
i"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW Change of Policy
THE RON CARL SCULLY MP Minister for Transport Muu:stci fur Rt)<llb·
MEDIA RELEASE
O~YMPIC TEAM TO FAST-m .CK MIL UNK
Tm SL1!.e Q)vCl:lWd bJ ~ Uc.lt"itrl otkq p!nOCUl m\'011'ed D IbI ~ .. tW4eI.i~r;ryo! ,1Iiru1l'Xtc!e ~ SC'O'II<:es !w lb Z(OO OC\~ Giat.1 10 .... 1.1[. W:!.!ndIUE \be ~u fWI
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RAIL INF~S'RUC1\JRE (;MPORATlON lc onl l
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• "There is 1.6 billion of Srate Government funding locked in to complete the Chatswood to Epping sc~tion by 2008 and deliver a new Parramarta Transport fnterchange by 2006 "Mr ScuLy saic:L
Btob L««.11k CICmer ~VIRC1arorUll'U)-cp;-~ .. ilWl$pOfl AUIklrlQ'. tD btIni IJIPCIIllId co Ibe BoItO ,r !he fIm:nr.u IWt t:i:lk ~ (l'jU..C). ),{r I.eccc "".1$ IIbo It. Dt't'ut)' Dlm;w of Cbt OlYli\Pl! CoaI"'~on !Wbx'.o:r (OCA) I!YI "*' tap:lMbk fllf .n JJJftI"""~'*'I.:onstrIICSan «t.11I)'
~U ... _I J") ...... t. _L .. __ '"fIf<I'''~ 110 1M Pili WORK·IN·PROGRESS
PARf.tAMATTARAIL LINK
te s)U::C)' Otpnst::; Caauma.n for III (lQy:J;rJ ,,()om~
PARRAMAiA PAil LINK' V.rlQJS Jo •• BiIITU]QU{tl, ~ ~£>o:UIrI'e. Dnaop • EPPING TO C;-AT S'NOOJ "'!'ofC!ClDlr!l(:l.QtblheP~Wl...!::k...MrB. AAJD PARRA-MATrA TRANSPORT
~'"
1999 2008 1,621.000 11 9,000
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'" ------------------------------~
Slide NQ. 37
.r'~. ~,.~ Transport NSW f GOVERNMENT or NSW
Complex construction in a Live Rail Environment
tr'~ • .l.,'11~ Transport NSW GOVERNMENT for NSW
BhlT IT'S NOT ALL BAD some urban myths exploded
i.tk NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW Epping to Chatswood
TARGETS ACHIEVEMENTS
I Time: p,Qj9C\ wmplel<1ll ill ZWll'
CoSl: Deliver fltOieel iorU6 bllion(S 2C01i
I::Wi l l~ ;"'*VII, upgratle statim) and aeri.a'l con...-ou r$e'
-Ch~~Stall1n :
Build tw~ addiIIienQI ~tbms
Pajlai ....... ""~I"I; ~rode alotion
Salety: ,,",nleve a IDsl tlme-Ir-.,-y frequer raIe for !he iIe 01 the~,oiecl 01 10 (half the iIlj~$lry .... ' a9£ allh" \illlt,,)
- Compl~nc,,, AClTi~rwliant~ "",l h the p:rCJOCt'3 2$l) condiliio,--.. 00 cppr~ •
. ..= Envfronm61'1181 m~em6lt: R9S~le ma1l<lQ<iI1loml Of envira,P'l asses illOfIJ IIle (WI'
Slal(l!flQlOer enlJ3tlemem: Keep 5lakeholders mIormed oIiptojl!d :oeIi
,
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....... .od. __ 1I:rJIQ """""""" _ of of" b ...... o:rII Ita""""'" - _ .... _ IIebw lien:u.rr; _..,..
PI ......... , RIll ' . r_ .. WII". _ ..... ea...H.lnaI.,..taCl~~ .. ....-Gi8rllJ. F'IInIId ...... 1JIIP 14..., nuMdIlllnl_1IIe P"ClflClIIIeI. Norelhlln9W.oIapOl_ s.........,. ... """"" .......... --. I.,.iIage_atPlsr •• ,OJl!a, ~_~_
IJSId mml_.,. MMIt81I"lOrtl!I~ ..... "~al unaCXIW1IImOIIII1"lIdl T1OCClMHII8d WI Cl\lll:lDmllIIaII I ell hI'--of hi canIPIIy ._nll' IIC/II'" ' ... _ _ 8ui:c:c'illl1IIy .,,,*",...-.cI .. __ "'_,.",. _ ... , "-'9 3O.000""l5Cldib and a.a1tS2S. he IaGID gmmre1I8IlIftS1IId lie aIIIIIRlyiiUXJ ~
i"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW Benchmarking
1111 111111 11"
IS..- lO l l
s!/ EIlMr" YOUNG
Transport forNSW
6.5.1 Road - Total construction cost per lane kilometre ($m)
In the figure be ow, the total construction (ost per kilometre for road projeclS Is sl1Own. There are 6 road projects Included I" the cost per kilometre analysi~.
floure,42: Road - total construction cost per lane kilometre
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
o
9
6
4
Froject7 Project9 ProjectlO Prolect23 ProJecti Proje~t17 PrQjeltlS
• NSW • Rest of Australia
Slide N"-. 42
.. \"" NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
6.5.3 Rail - Total eonstructlon cost per track ki.lometre ($m)
In the figure below, the total construction cost per track kilometre lor rail projects Is shown. There are 8 projects included In the per kilometre analysis. Th@ total conslructlon costs are Inclusive of the dient costs.
F1gure 44: Rail' 101.1 construction co., por tracK kllomel re
30
10
60
50
'0 35
30 Z!
10
10
7.
S9
p(oletl" PfO}c'CI1 ' Projecl3 Pro]ec-t9 PH)jectS P'oJectlO Pro}ect6 'roJen2
• NSW • _est at Aus.1r.Ua
Slide NQ 43
tt"" NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW
6. 1.3 Road - Average client cost as percentage of total construction cost
The ave'aae road client cos~ as a percenlilQe of total construction c(>S ts for NSW 81d the rest of ,~ustl1l11a are shown In tr.e fiQUre below,
Flol.rcr 4 : Road · AVer1!qe ,Uen1 COlt lI' p~rc.tntaOIl of Ictal construc11on cost
100,.
90%
80%
70%
60'6
SO~
40%
30%
20% 14% 14%
10%
0'1
• N5:W • Rest of Australia • Alistralia
Slide N~ . 44
4.t) NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport for NSW
6.2.3 Rail - Average t: llent c ost as percentage or to tal con5tr uction cost
-he Clvera{je roll client costs (1;$ C percent.age of total construction costs ror each proJoct considered in Ihe bencrmar{lng analvsls are shown In tne figure below.
rJoure 16: Ran den.t costs M J percen:lMjIe of tolll construcl-.on costs
I 100%
90%
80"
70%
EOI(;
50%
40%
30% 2ll' 20% .0%
10%
O~
III NSW WRest or AUltrilllll • Austral1"
Slide NQ 45
i"k NSW GOVERNMENT
Transport forNSW I nternal Benchmarking
Epping to Chatswood Rail Line
Package F Perth Mandurah
Greenfield Rail $/track km
South West Rail Link
Regional Rail Link, Vic
Brownfield Rail $/track km
Cronulla Line Duplication
Richmond Line Duplication
Kingsgrove to Revesby Quad
Corinda to Darra, Queensland'
South Morang Rail Extension, Vic'
$40m
$59m
$43m
$42m
$51 m
Commuter Car Parks $/space
Glenfield Multi Storey Car Park
Perth Elder Street Car Park
Warwick Farm Slide N"-. 46
.~,~ . .l.,"~ Transport NSW GOVERN" "" for NSW Safety Performance
Key achievements 2010/11
• lost time injury frequency rate of 1.8 rolling 12-month average (national industry average of 11)
• . no major rail safety incidents requiring investigation by the Rail Safety Regulator
• conducted 803 consultative safety inspections
• conducted 162 safety audits across a range of programs
• implemented a Safety Performance Index
• enhancing knowledge and management of safety risks
• improving project safety assurance methodology.
Slide No. 47