november 2020...nucor overview •north america’s largest & most diversified steel & steel...
TRANSCRIPT
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NOVEMBER 2020
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Forward-Looking StatementsCertain statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements that involve risks anduncertainties. The words “believe,” “expect,” “project,” “will,” “should,” “could” and similar expressions areintended to identify those forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect theCompany’s best judgment based on current information, and although we base these statements oncircumstances that we believe to be reasonable when made, there can be no assurance that future eventswill not affect the accuracy of such forward-looking information. As such, the forward-looking statements arenot guarantees of future performance, and actual results may vary materially from the projected results andexpectations discussed in this report. Factors that might cause the Company’s actual results to differmaterially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: (1) competitivepressure on sales and pricing, including pressure from imports and substitute materials; (2) U.S. and foreigntrade policies affecting steel imports or exports; (3) the sensitivity of the results of our operations toprevailing steel prices and changes in the supply and cost of raw materials, including pig iron, iron ore andscrap steel; (4) availability and cost of electricity and natural gas which could negatively affect our cost ofsteel production or could result in a delay or cancellation of existing or future drilling within our natural gasworking interest drilling programs; (5) critical equipment failures and business interruptions; (6) marketdemand for steel products, which, in the case of many of our products, is driven by the level of nonresidentialconstruction activity in the U.S.; (7) impairment in the recorded value of inventory, equity investments, fixedassets, goodwill or other long-lived assets; (8) uncertainties surrounding the global economy, including thesevere economic downturn in construction markets and excess world capacity for steel production;(9) fluctuations in currency conversion rates; (10) significant changes in laws or government regulationsaffecting environmental compliance, including legislation and regulations that result in greater regulation ofgreenhouse gas emissions that could increase our energy costs and our capital expenditures and operatingcosts or cause one or more of our permits to be revoked or make it more difficult to obtain permitmodifications; (11) the cyclical nature of the steel industry; (12) capital investments and their impact on ourperformance; and (13) our safety performance; (14) the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; and (15) therisks discussed in “Item 1A. Risk Factors” of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2019 and elsewhere therein.
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Nucor Overview• North America’s largest & most
diversified steel & steel products company
• 25 scrap-based steel mills with annual production capacity of 27 million tons
• North America’s largest recycler
• 47 straight yrs. of dividend increases
Raw Materials Steel Mills Steel Products
Results 2018 2019 YTD ’20
Net Sales $25B $23B $15B
Steel
Shipped
27.9M
Tons
26.5M
Tons
19.0M
Tons
EPS $7.42 $4.14 $1.06
Capital
Returned$1.35B $791M $408M
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Nucor's Strengths
• Nucor's Culture
• Market Leadership Positions
• Diversified Product Portfolio
• Low & Highly Variable Cost Structure
• Strong Cash Generation Through The Cycle
• Strong Balance Sheet
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Principles of Nucor’s Culture
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SAFETY FIRST
Trust
Open Communications
Teamwork
Community Stewardship
Results
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Safety – Our First Priority
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10
.00
9.3
0
9.0
0
7.5
2
7.2
4
6.1
2
5.1
1
4.0
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3.8
3
3.4
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2.5
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2.1
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2.0
4 2.7
3
2.2
9
2.0
2
1.8
2
1.9
4
1.8
0
1.6
3
1.4
8
1.6
6
1.5
5
1.3
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0
2
4
6
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12
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Nucor Injury & Illness Rates 1996 - 2019
While 2019 was a RECORD safety year,
we have more work to do
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Market Leadership
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#1North American
Market
Structural Steel
Merchant Bar Steel
Cold Finish Bar Steel
Steel Joist & Deck
Steel Piling Distribution
Metal Buildings
Steel Electrical Conduit Pipe
#2North American
Market
Rebar Steel & Fab
Plate Steel
SBQ Bar Steel
Hollow Structural Section (HSS) Steel Tubing
#3North American
Market
Sheet Steel (hot + cold + galvanized)
Sources: Company filings, SEC Filings, Industry Data, First River Consulting.
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Diversified Product Portfolio
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Sheet34%
Bar22%
Structural7%
Plate7%
Steel Products
18%
Raw materials
12%
2019 Volumes Sold to Outside Customers
Construction36%
Energy9%
Automotive7%
Consumer Durables
2%
Machinery & Industrial
Equip.9%
Transport & Logistics
5%
Service Centers
28%Other
4%
Steel & Steel Products Sales by End Market
2019 Total Sales Volume: 26.5 Million tons
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$338
$393$375
$356$388
$359 $353$369
$456$434
$379
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9 Mos
U.S
. D
olla
rs p
er
ton
Avg. Sales Price Steel Mills Segment per ton Avg. Scrap & Scrap Subsitute Cost per ton Spread
Low, Highly-Variable Cost Structure
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Sustainable Profitability / Highly Variable Cost Structure / Stable Margin Spread
Metal Spread
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22.6%
26.4%
19.2%
17.1%
21.7%
20.0%
16.5%
12.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9 Mos
Bill
ions o
f U
.S. D
olla
rs
Debt Cash Net Debt / Capital
Strong Balance Sheet
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Low Financial Leverage
Highest Credit Ratings in the Sector: Baa1/A1
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NUCORLOOKING AHEAD
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12
1,151,530
239,077
2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Discrete Plate
1,913,971
90,629
2016 2019N
et
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Rebar
2,602,103
623,966
2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Hot Rolled Sheet
1,585,3701,365,604
214,894
2014 2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Cold Rolled Sheet
1,939,275 1,804,039
329,103
2014 2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Corrosion-Resistant (Galvanized) Sheet
2017 AD & CVD
Duties + 2018
Korean Quotas2017 AD &
CVD Duties
2016 AD &
CVD Duties
2016 AD &
CVD Duties
2016 AD &
CVD Duties
Driven by trade case successes – Total Imports from Subject Countries
Imports’ Shrinking Market Share
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13
1,479,166
533,353
2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Discrete Plate
2,005,778
1,103,421
2016 2019N
et
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Rebar
3,849,603
1,875,135
2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Hot Rolled Sheet
2,576,3742,300,694
1,507,179
2014 2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Cold Rolled Sheet
3,313,836 3,356,105
2,437,626
2014 2015 2019
Net
To
ns o
f Im
po
rts
Corrosion-Resistant (Galvanized) Sheet
2017 AD & CVD
Duties + 2018
Korean Quotas2017 AD &
CVD Duties
2016 AD &
CVD Duties
2016 AD & CVD
Duties2016 AD & CVD Duties
Driven by trade case successes – Total Imports
Imports’ Shrinking Market Share
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Tax ReformConverting more EBITDA to Net Income
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Converting approximately 50% of
EBITDA to Net Income
Converting less than 30% of EBITDA to
Net Income on average
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2014 2015 2016
Results Summary Under Prior Tax Regime
EBITDA Net Income Net Income/EBITDA
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2017 2018 2019
Impact of 2017 Tax Cuts & Jobs Act
EBITDA Net Income Net Income/EBITDA
Increase in bonus depreciation under 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expected to augment Nucor operating cash flow by as much as $750 million in coming years
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Strategic Growth Program Continues
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SteelmakingValue Added
ProcessingAdjacencies
Midwest Plate MillCost, quality leadership
Broad product line
Gallatin ExpansionEnhanced capabilities
Cost leadership
Rebar Micro-millsCost leadership
Proximity to customers
Kankakee MBQ
ExpansionExpanded product line
Closest to market
1.2 Million tons of New
Galvanizing CapabilityConsistently strong demand
for coated product
0.5 million tons of New
Cold Rolling CapabilityFlexible processing to cost
effectively meet present and
emerging market needs
Arkansas Paint Line
Acquisition
Industrial Gas Initiative
Nucor’s 1st ASU
Hertford, NC
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Capital Allocation Priorities
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1. Investing In Profitable Growth Opportunities
2. Base Dividend Growth Commensurate With Earnings
3. Share Repurchases or Supplemental Dividends
We remain committed to returning a minimum of 40% of
our earnings to shareholders, while maintaining our
strong investment grade credit rating
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mill
ion
s o
f U
.S. D
olla
rs
Dividends Repurchases Payout Ratio
$6.5 Billion Returned since 2009
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NM
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Current liquidity of $3.4*
billion in cash and an
undrawn $1.5 billion
credit facility maturing in 2023
No material debt
maturities
until 2022
Strongest Credit Ratings
in the Steel Sector
Baa1/A-
Ample Financial Flexibility
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-$0.5
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
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201
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Bil
lio
ns
of
U.S
. D
oll
ars
Operating Cash Flow Net Income
Strong Cash Generation
Though the Cycle
*As of October 3, 2020. Includes short-term investments of $412 million & restricted cash of $132 million
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NUCORAPPENDIX
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EBITDA Reconciliation
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Net earnings 1,371 2,481 1,381 900 193 779
Net Interest expense 121 136 174 169 174 169
Provision for income taxes 412 748 369 398 49 369
Depreciation expense 649 631 636 613 626 652
Amortization expense 86 89 91 74 74 72
Impairments and losses on assets 67 110 0 0 245 25
EBITDA 2,706 4,195 2,651 2,155 1,360 2,066
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Nucor Sheet Products: Value Added Execution
43%
20%
37%
Current Industry Mix
Hot Roll
Hot Roll (AHSS/Energy)
Tube
Cold Roll
Coated
40%
10%8%
15%
27%
Nucor (Projected)
50%
6%9%
16%
19%
Nucor (2018) • Nucor’s sheet mills are well positioned to serve key end
use markets
• Our new capabilities will
enhance existing facilities for
better efficiency, returns and
meeting customer requirements
• Added capability is diversified to
serve targeted, strategic markets
• Supported by 1.4 million tons of
additional substrate at Gallatin
• There are more investments
in value added capabilities in
the planning stages
58million
tons
11million
tons
12.5million
tons
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Brandenburg, Kentucky Plate Mill
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Existing Nucor Plate
Mills
• Hertford County, NC
• Tuscaloosa, AL
• Longview, TX
• State of the art mill situated on
the Ohio River in the middle of
the largest plate consuming
region in the U.S.
• Positions Nucor for market
leadership in plate products with
an ability to produce 97% of
those consumed domestically
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(500)
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500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
-$50,000
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
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Tons (
in t
housands)
Th
ou
sa
nd
s o
f U
.S. D
olla
rs
Noncontrolling Interest Expense Nucor Structural Steel Shipments
Why Market Leadership Matters
NYS Startup
NYS II Startup
Berkeley Beam
Mill Startup
Nucor’s Success in Structural Steel
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Strategic InvestmentsGallatin, Kentucky Projects
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• Hot band galvanizing line
o Widest in North America
o Capability to serve growing
automotive applications
• Cost effective modernization and
doubling of capacity
o Increases maximum coil width
to about 73 inches
o Opens up significant new
markets currently served by
higher cost competitors
Brownfield Investments Aimed at
Enhanced Competitiveness in the
Heart of the Flat Rolled Market
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1. Cold Mill Expansion
Adding a specialty cold rolling complex, utilizing existing melt capacity
Expands Nucor’s capability to produce Motor Lamination (ML), High Strength Low
Alloy (HSLA), & Advance High Strength Steel (AHSS) products
Flexible cold reduction mill will allow us to cold reduce to both lighter gauge &
much higher strength levels to meet our customers’ light weighting goals
Adds about 500,000 tons of value added CR capability
$245 million investment
Nucor Arkansas
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2. Galvanizing Line
➢ Adding a Generation 3 Flex Galvanizing Line
➢ Utilizes Specialty Cold Mill substrate
➢ Capable of efficiently making the widest variety of grades to
support the current & future demand for Coated / 3rd Gen
Advanced High Strength Steel (AHSS) market
➢ Annual capacity of about 500,000 tons
➢ $275 million investment
➢ Expect mid-2021 start-up
Strategic Investments
Hickman, Arkansas Projects
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Strategic InvestmentsLong Products
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Build a rebar micro mill in a growing market in Frostproof, Florida
Enhances low cost position by capitalizing on significant logistical
advantages
Utilizes an abundant scrap supply with existing infrastructure of Nucor’s
DJJ scrap operations
Estimated annual capacity of 350,000 tons
$240 million investment; Expected start-up in Q4-2020
Improving Scale, Diversification and Earnings Power
Build a rebar micro mill in Sedalia, Missouri (near Kansas City)
Enhances low cost position by capitalizing on significant
logistical advantages
Utilizes an abundant scrap supply with existing infrastructure of
Nucor’s DJJ scrap operations
Annual capacity of about 350,000 tons
$245 million investment
Nucor Micro Mill
Build a full range merchant bar mill at existing Illinois
steel mill leveraging existing melt capacity
Capitalizes on Nucor’s position as a low cost producer &
benefits from multiple logistical advantages
Takes advantage of abundant low-cost scrap supply in
the region
Annual merchant bar rolling capacity of 500,000 tons
$185 million investment
Nucor Kankakee Modernization of rolling mill at
Ohio steel bar mill
Updated technology will reduce
operating costs
Marion’s annual capacity is
400,000 tons (produces rebar &
signpost)
Enhances position as low cost
producer & market leader in rebar
$85 million investment
Nucor Marion Rolling Mill
Nucor Micro Mill DJJ Scrap Yards
DJJ Scrap Yards
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POWERFUL PARTNERSHIPS.
POWERFUL RESULTS.