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Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and Performance-Based Design Boris Jeremi´ c University of California, Davis Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley A University of California Pacific Rim Forum The Earthquake Resilience of Nuclear Facilities Berkeley, CA. June, 2015 Jeremi´ c Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

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Page 1: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-StructureInteraction and Performance-Based Design

Boris Jeremic

University of California, DavisLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley

A University of California Pacific Rim ForumThe Earthquake Resilience of Nuclear Facilities

Berkeley, CA. June, 2015

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 2: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Outline

Motivation

Real ESSI for Performance-Based DesignInelastic Modeling6D Seismic Motions

Summary

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 3: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Introduction

MotivationI Improve seismic design of soil structure systems

I Earthquake Soil Structure Interaction (ESSI) in time andspace, plays a decisive role in successes and failures

I Accurate following and directing (!) the flow of seismicenergy in ESSI system to optimize for

I Safety andI Economy

I High fidelity numerical modeling and simulation tool toanalyze realistic ESSI behavior: The Real ESSI Simulator( aka: Vrlo Prosto, Muy Fácil, Molto Facile, ,

, Πραγματικά Εύκολο, , Très Facile,Vistinski Lesno, Wirklich Einfach)

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 4: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Introduction

Modeling and Parametric UncertaintyI Modeling uncertainty: (unrealistic) modeling simplifications

for important featuresI Inelastic material: soil, rock, concrete, steel; Contacts,

foundation–soil, dry, saturated slip–gap; Nonlinear buoyantforces; Isolators, Dissipators

I Seismic Motions: 6D, inclined, body and surface waves(translations, rotations); Incoherency

I Parametric Uncertainty:

5 10 15 20 25 30 35

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SPT N Value

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ng’s

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, E (

kPa)

E = (101.125*19.3) N 0.63

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Residual (w.r.t Mean) Young’s Modulus (kPa)

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quen

cy

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 5: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Introduction

Predictive Capabilities

I Verification: provides evidence that the model is solvedcorrectly. Mathematics issue. Well developed (for the RealESSI Simulator).

I Validation: provides evidence that the correct model issolved. Physics issue. Work in progress, a new US-DOEproject.

I Prediction: use of computational model to foretell the stateof a physical system under consideration under conditionsfor which the computational model has not been validated.

I Goal is to predict and inform, not diagnose or fit.

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 6: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Inelastic Modeling

Outline

Motivation

Real ESSI for Performance-Based DesignInelastic Modeling6D Seismic Motions

Summary

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 7: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Inelastic Modeling

Real ESSI Models

I Full (6D) seismic motion input (body and surface waves)

I Inelastic (saturated or dry) soil/rock

I Inelastic (saturated or dry) contact (foundation – soil/rock)

I Buoyant (nonlinear) forces

I Inelastic structural modeling

I Verification (extensive) and Validation (in progress)

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 8: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Inelastic Modeling

Inelastic Contact, Base Slip and Gap

0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12

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Slip BehaviorNo-slip Behavior

top X top Z bottom X bottom Z

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Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 9: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Inelastic Modeling

Uncertain Inelastic Wave Propagation

I Probabilistic Elasto-Plasticity

I Stochastic Elastic-PlasticFinite Element Method

0 0.0108 0.0216 0.0324 0.0432 0.0540

0.00005

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ss (

MPa

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Mode

DeterministicSolutionStd. Deviations

Mean

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e (s

ec)

PDF

Displacement (mm)

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PDF

Real Soil Data

Conservative Guess

−1000 −500 500 1000

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Real Soil DataConservative Guess

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bab

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%)

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Real Site

Characterized SiteExcellently

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Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 10: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

6D Seismic Motions

Outline

Motivation

Real ESSI for Performance-Based DesignInelastic Modeling6D Seismic Motions

Summary

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 12: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

6D Seismic Motions

From 6D to 1D?I Record a full 6D (3D) motions in one horizontal directionI Develop a vertically propagating shear wave in 1DI Apply 1D vertically propagating shear wave

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 14: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

6D Seismic Motions

6D vs 1D: NPP ESSI Response

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 15: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Summary

New 5 Year U.S. DOE Project

I Development of advanced computational tools formodeling and simulating the earthquake response ofnuclear facilities

I Enhance understanding of the expected levels of damage,and margins against failure, for critical facilities subjectedto earthquake ground motions

I Project Team:I Dr. David McCallen (Project Leader), UCOP and LBNLI Prof. Ian Buckle (Validation Experiments), UNRI Prof. Boris Jeremic (Code development), UCD and LBNL

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 16: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Summary

Concluding RemarksI High fidelity numerical modeling and simulation (inelastic,

time domain) used to reduce modeling uncertainty

I Parametric uncertainty needs to be taken into account

I Goal is to predict and inform, not fit or diagnose

I Change state of practice (and research)

I Education (designers, regulators, owners, &c.) is essential

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design

Page 17: Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure Interaction and ...sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure

Motivation Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design Summary

Summary

Acknowledgement

I Funding from and collaboration with the US-NRC,US-DOE, US-NSF, CNSC, Shimizu Corp., and AREVA NPGmbH is greatly appreciated,

I Collaborators: Dr. McCallen (UCOP and LBNL), Prof.Buckle (UNR), Dr. Kammerer (UCB/PEER), Dr. Budnitz(LBNL), Prof. Kavvas (UCD), Prof. Sett (UB), Mr. Orbovic(CNSC) Prof. Pisanò (TU Delft), Mr. Watanabe (Shimizu),Mr. Vlaski (AREVA NP GmbH), and UCD students: Mr.Abell, Mr. Karapiperis, Mr. Feng, Mr. Sinha, Mr. Luo

Jeremic

Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design